Lecture 2 - Chapter 2 3 - PDF Slides - Revised-3
Lecture 2 - Chapter 2 3 - PDF Slides - Revised-3
• Strategic Plan
• Demographic Impacts
• Turnover
• Legal Changes
• Technological Changes
• Competitors
• Budgets and Revenue Forecasts
• New Ventures
• Organizational and Job Design
Forecasting Techniques for Estimating
Human Resource Demand
Techniques for Estimating Future Human Resource Needs
Expert Trend Other
Statistical Analysis
• More sophisticated statistical analyses allow for
changes in the underlying causes of demand
Other Forecasting Methods
• Budget and Planning Analysis
− Organizations that need HR planning generally have
detailed budgets and long-range plans
• New Venture Analysis
− Planners estimate human resource needs by making
comparisons with similar operations
• Simulation and Predictive Models
− More sophisticated approaches
Converting a Forecast Into Human
Resource Requirements
Overview of HR Tools used to Estimate
Internal and External Supply of Labour
Internal Supply Indicators External Supply Indicators
Human Resource Audits Labour market analysis
• Skill inventories
Community attitudes
• Management inventories
• Replacement Demographic trends
charts/summaries
Transition matrices & Markov
analysis
The Supply of Human Resources:
Internal Supply Estimates
• HR Audits
− Skills Inventories
Summary of worker skills and abilities
− Management and Leadership Inventories
Reports of management capabilities
− Replacement Charts
Lists of likely replacements for each job
− Replacement Summaries
Lists of likely replacements for each job and their relative strengths and
weaknesses.
• Transition Matrices & Markov Analysis
Figure 2.5
Hypothetical Markov Analysis For A Retail
Company
Oversupply
Shortage
Strategies to Manage an Oversupply of
Human Resources
• When the internal supply of workers exceeds the
firm’s demand, a surplus exists. There are various HR
strategies:
Headcount reduction
• Layoffs
• Leave without pay
• Incentives for voluntary separation
• Termination
Strategies to Manage an Oversupply
of Human Resources
Attrition
• Hiring freeze
• Early and phased retirement officers
Alternative Work Arrangements
• Job sharing
• Using part-time employees
Strategies to Manage a Shortage of
Employees
Develop
Source Service Existing Work
Hire Employees Employees
Providers Arrangements
Internally