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Lecture 9 - CH 11 03052021 024152pm

The document discusses the IS-LM model, which determines income and interest rates in the short run when prices are fixed. It covers the Keynesian cross model of aggregate demand and its relationship to the IS curve. It also examines how fiscal policy like changes in government purchases and taxes can shift the IS curve, causing the equilibrium level of income to increase or decrease.

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Muhammad Sarmad
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© © All Rights Reserved
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
14 views

Lecture 9 - CH 11 03052021 024152pm

The document discusses the IS-LM model, which determines income and interest rates in the short run when prices are fixed. It covers the Keynesian cross model of aggregate demand and its relationship to the IS curve. It also examines how fiscal policy like changes in government purchases and taxes can shift the IS curve, causing the equilibrium level of income to increase or decrease.

Uploaded by

Muhammad Sarmad
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Macroeconomics

N. Gregory Mankiw
Aggregate Demand
I: Building the IS-
LM Model

Presentation Slides
IN THIS CHAPTER, YOU WILL LEARN:

About the IS (Investment-Savings) curve and its relationship


to:
• the Keynesian cross
• the loanable funds model

About the LM (liquidity preference-Money supply) curve and


its relationship to:
• the theory of liquidity preference
How the IS–LM model determines income and the interest
rate in the short run when P is fixed
Context, part 1

• Recall the model of aggregate demand and aggregate


supply.
• Long run:
• prices flexible
• output determined by factors of production and
technology
• unemployment equals its natural rate
• Short run:
• prices fixed
• output determined by aggregate demand
• unemployment negatively related to output
The big picture
Context, part 2

• This chapter develops the IS–LM model, the basis of the


aggregate demand curve.
• We focus on the short run and assume the price level is
fixed (so the SRAS curve is horizontal).
The Keynesian cross

• A simple closed-economy model in which income is


determined by expenditure.
(due to J. M. Keynes)
• Notation:
I = planned investment
PE = C + I + G = planned expenditure
Y = real GDP = actual expenditure
• Difference between actual and planned expenditure =
unplanned inventory investment
Elements of the Keynesian cross

consumption function : C = C(Y - T)


government policyvariables : G = G , T = T
for now, plannedinvestment is exogenous : I = I
planned expenditure : PE = C(Y - T ) + I + G
equilibrium condition:
actual expenditure = planned expenditure
Y = PE
Graphing planned expenditure
Graphing the equilibrium condition
The equilibrium value of income
The Adjustment to Equilibrium in the Keynesian Cross
An increase in government purchases
Solving for ΔY (1 of 2)

Y = C + I + G equilibrium condition
ΔY = ΔC + ΔI + ΔG in changes
= ΔC + ΔG because I exogenous
= MPC ´ ΔY + ΔG because ΔC = MPCΔY

Collect terms with ΔY on Solve for ΔY :


the left side of the equals
sign: æ 1 ö
ΔY = ç ÷ × ΔG
(1 - MPC)× ΔY = ΔG è 1- MPC ø
The government purchases multiplier

definition: the increase in income resulting from a $1


increase in G.
In this model, the govt purchases multiplier equals
ΔY 1
=
ΔG 1- MPC
Example: If MPC = 0.8, then

ΔY 1 An increase in G
= =5 causes income to
ΔG 1 - 0.8 increase 5 times as
much!
Why the multiplier is greater than 1

• Initially, the increase in G causes an equal increase in Y:


ΔY = ΔG.
• But #Y causes #C
which causes further #Y
which then causes further #C
which then causes further #Y
• So the final impact on income is much bigger than the
initial ΔG.
An increase in taxes
Solving for ΔY (2 of 2)

ΔY = ΔC + ΔI + ΔG eq’m condition in changes


= ΔC I and G exogenous
= MPC × ( ΔY - ΔT )
Solving for ΔY : (1- MPC) ´ ΔY = - MPC ´ ΔT

Final result: æ - MPC ö


ΔY = ç ÷ × ΔT
è 1 - MPC ø
The tax multiplier, part 1

Definition: the change in income resulting from a $1


increase in T :

ΔY - MPC
=
ΔT 1 - MPC

If MPC = 0.8, then the tax multiplier equals

ΔY - 0.8 - 0.8
= = = -4
ΔT 1 - 0.8 0.2
The tax multiplier, part 2

. . . is negative:
A tax increase reduces C, which reduces income.
. . . is greater than one (in absolute value):
A change in taxes has a multiplier effect on income.
. . . is smaller than the govt spending multiplier:
Consumers save the fraction (1 – MPC) of a tax cut, so the
initial boost in spending from a tax cut is smaller than from
an equal increase in G.
NOW YOU TRY
Practice with the Keynesian cross
Use a graph of the Keynesian cross to show the effects of
an increase in planned investment on the equilibrium level
of income/output.
NOW YOU TRY
Practice with the Keynesian cross, answer
At Y1, there is
now an
unplanned
drop in
inventory . . .

. . . so firms
increase
output, and
income rises
toward a new
equilibrium.
The IS curve

definition: a graph of all combinations of r and Y that result


in goods market equilibrium
example: actual expenditure (output)
= planned expenditure
The equation for the IS curve is:

Y = C (Y - T ) + I (r) + G
Deriving the IS curve
When the IS curve is negatively sloped

• A fall in the interest rate motivates firms to increase


investment spending, which drives up total planned
spending (PE).
• To restore equilibrium in the goods market, output (a.k.a.
actual expenditure, Y) must increase.
Fiscal policy and the IS curve

• We can use the IS–LM model to see how fiscal policy (G


and T) affects aggregate demand and output.
• Let’s start by using the Keynesian cross to see how fiscal
policy shifts the IS curve . . .
Shifting the IS curve: ΔG

At any value of r,
#G " #PE " #Y
. . . so the IS curve
shifts to the right.
The horizontal
distance of the IS
shift equals

1
ΔY = ΔG
1- MPC
NOW YOU TRY
Shifting the IS curve: ΔT
• Use the diagram of the Keynesian cross or loanable
funds model to show how an increase in taxes shifts the
IS curve.
• If you can, determine the size of the shift.
NOW YOU TRY
Shifting the IS curve: ΔT, answer
At any value of r,
#T " $C " $PE
. . . so the IS curve
shifts to the left.
The horizontal
distance of the IS
curve shift equals

-MPC
ΔY = ΔT
1- MPC
IS Curve and Fiscal Policy
• the IS curve shows the combinations of the interest rate
and the level of income that are consistent with equilibrium
in the market for goods and services.

• The IS curve is drawn for a given fiscal policy.

• Changes in fiscal policy that raise the demand for goods


and services shift the IS curve to the right.

• Changes in fiscal policy that reduce the demand for goods


and services shift the IS curve to the left.

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