Mansfield TaxAdministrationDeveloping 1988
Mansfield TaxAdministrationDeveloping 1988
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International Monetary Fund and Palgrave Macmillan Journals are collaborating with JSTOR to
digitize, preserve and extend access to Staff Papers (International Monetary Fund)
in Developing Countries
An Economic Perspective
CHARLES Y. MANSFIELD*
181
2For a statement of optimal tax theory, see Atkinson and Stiglitz (1980).
3For a recent critical summary of this literature, see United States (1985).
4Note, in what follows, that after 1986 the civil fraud penalty was raised from
50 percent to 75 percent of taxes owed and modified. The change does not affect
the substance of the argument.
In other words, the potential act of tax evasion is viewed as a gamble with
a 95 percent chance of winning $500 (the underpayment of taxes) and a
5 percent chance of losing $750 (that is, getting caught and paying the tax
owed plus a penalty). On average, over a period of years the bet will
return $437, and it is difficult to imagine a taxpayer who would not take
such a gamble.
Although this illustrative example is by no means a complete summary
of the contribution of the expected utility approach, it does show its
fundamental weaknesses in the assumptions that no allowance is made
for institutional mechanisms, such as withholding, that would interfere
with the decision of whether to evade or pay tax; and that, given such a
virtually free choice, the individual has no moral, ethical, habitual, or
peer constraints on cheating. The example also points out that the ap-
proach is static. In a dynamic context, the probability of detection may
be changing and uncertain; the potential tax evader may then become
more cautious. Indeed, the positive contribution of the risk and uncer-
tainty approach is that it leads one to wonder why people pay taxes at all.
This bare-bones approach, in which all institutional and social con-
straints on tax evasion are assumed away, shows that without these
constraints tax administrators would face a herculean task.
Theoretical analysis has also treated seemingly obvious propositions
about tax evasion, obtaining surprisingly ambiguous results (see Richu-
pan (1987)). For example, the question of whether an increase in the tax
rate would increase tax evasion would be answered in the affirmative by
tax practitioners for most situations. Yet, if a high penalty rate for
evasion is imposed on the evaded tax and the individual is risk averse,
then a higher tax rate would imply higher evaded tax and higher possible
penalties, leading such an individual to pay tax due at the higher rate.
With respect to the opposite proposition-that lower tax rates would
In contrast to the normative bent of the literature on tax policy and the
game-theoretic analysis of tax evasion stands a body of tax literature that
is based on empirical and historical thinking. This literature deals with
the questions of why a country develops a particular tax structure (a set
of taxes responsible for total tax revenue) and why this tax structure
differs among countries and changes during the process of economic
growth.8 (Note that "tax structure" refers here to the revenue im-
portance of different taxes, rather than to the legislative content of tax
laws.) This strand of tax literature not only recognizes the importance of
administrative constraints on tax policy, but in contrast to the normative
literature places administrative factors at the forefront.9 The "tax
handle" theory offers a sweeping historical explanation of tax structure
change. It argues that low-income economies are forced to collect reve-
nue from easy-to-administer taxes (or tax handles), but that this admin-
istrative constraint lessens as countries develop and become able to
choose "better" taxes as defined by the normative objectives discussed
above.10 Although economists differ on the recipe for a "better" tax
structure, there would be general agreement that broadly based income
or consumption taxes are preferable to a reliance on foreign trade taxes,
and historical evidence suggests such a shift. In any case, high-income
economies have a certain freedom to maneuver in choosing tax systems,
whereas low-income economies are in large part constrained by
administrative considerations.
The insight that administrative constraints in part determine the tax
structure of developing countries appears accurate if one examines the
actual tax structure of developing countries among themselves and in
contrast to industrial countries. For developing countries, a detailed
examination of tax structure has been undertaken by Tanzi (1987a,
8This literature includes Hinrichs (1966); Lotz and Morss (1967); Chelliah
(1971); Bahl (1971); Chelliah, Baas, and Kelly (1975); Tait, Gratz, and Eichen-
green (1979); and Tanzi (1981).
9A complete explanation of differences in effective tax structures would cer-
tainly acknowledge that differences in the structure of production and income
distribution play a role in determining tax structure. For example, that large
numbers of the population in many developing countries live in poverty explains
why a mass income tax would not be feasible.
10 The tax handle theory has also been used to explain different tax levels as
well as tax structures among different countries (see the references cited in
footnote 8).
REFERENCES
Ricketts, Martin, "Tax Theory and Tax Policy," in The Political Econo
Taxation, ed. by Alan T. Peacock and Francesco Forte (Oxford, Eng
Blackwell, 1981).
Shoup, Carl S., "Economic Aspects of Tax Administration," in Reading
Taxation in Developing Countries, ed. by Richard M. Bird and Oliv
Oldman (Baltimore, Maryland: Johns Hopkins University Press, 197
Skinner, Jonathan, and Joel Slemrod, "An Economic Perspective on Tax
sion," National Tax Journal (Washington), Vol. 38 (September 1
pp. 345-53.
Tait, Alan A., Wilfred L.M. Gratz, and Barry J. Eichengreen, "Intern
Comparisons of Taxation for Selected Developing Countries," Staff P
International Monetary Fund (Washington), Vol. 26 (March 1
pp. 123-56.
Tanzi, Vito, "Tax Policy in Middle-Income Countries: Some Lessons of E
ence" (unpublished; Washington: International Monetary Fund, 1981
, ed., The Underground Economy in the United States and Abroad
ington, Massachusetts: Lexington Books, 1982).
(1987a), "Tax Systems and Policy Objectives in Developing Count
General Principles and Diagnostic Tests," Tax Administration Revi
(Panama), No. 3 (January 3), pp. 23-34.
(1987b), "Quantitative Characteristics of the Tax Systems of Devel
Countries," in The Theory of Taxation for Developing Countries, ed
David M.G. Newbery and Nicholas H. Stern (New York: Oxford Unive
Press for the World Bank, 1987), pp. 205-41.
United States, Internal Revenue Service, Conference on Tax Administra
Vol. 1 (Washington, January 1985).