A Company started recently last3 qures sales are q1 40 q2 45 q3 50 q4 65.

B company as data of last 30 years q1 40 q2 45 q3 50 q4 40 a5 45 ....q30

the avarge is considerd as the basis for percentage sales for next quter .it
next four quter for both the company is next 65 .
find out percentage error ,forcast and conclusion.

Company A Company B Company A Company B

Q1 40 Q1 40 Q1 40 Q1
Q2 45 Q2 45 Q2 45 Q2
Q3 50 Q3 50 Q3 50 Q3
Q4 65 Q4 40 Q4 65 Q4
Q5 45 Q5
Q6
Q7
Q30 50 Q8
Q31 65 Q9
Q10
Q11
Q12
Q13
Q14
Q15
Q16
Q17
Q18
Q19
Q20
Q21
Q22
Q23
Q24
Q25
Q26
Q27
Q28
Q29
Q30
Q31
are q1 40 q2 45 q3 50 q4 65.
5 q3 50 q4 40 a5 45 ....q30 50 q31 65 .
tage sales for next quter .it is obserb that actually sales for
65 .
on.

Company B Company A COMPANY B

40
45 AVRAGE 45 45
50
40 DEVIATION 20 20
45
40 error 5 0.64516129
45
50 Percntage error 11.11 1.43
40
45
40
45
50
40
45
40
45
50
40
45
40
45
50
40
45
40
45
50
40
50
65
 MONTHS QTY The production data of last 12 month is indi
1 45 forcast the quantity necessary to be priduce
2 55 methoud of
1 simple avarge methoud
3 58 2 3 point moving avarge
4 67 3 6 point moving avarage
GAAJWDYURUIYHWUIEIUJKED 5 69 workout the details on paper by .drawing th
workout forcast using xl spred sheeet for ab
6 75
7 70
8 65 SIMPEL AVERAGE 3 POINT MOVING AVG
9 80 MONTHS QTY MONTHS
10 90 1 45 1
11 90 2 55 2
12 92 3 58 3
13 4 67 4
14 5 69 5
15 6 75 6
16 7 70 7
17 8 65 8
18 9 80 9
10 90 10
11 90 11
12 92 12
13 71.33 13
14 71.33 14
15 71.33 15
16 71.33 16
17 71.33 17
18 71.33 18
on data of last 12 month is indicate the following data
antity necessary to be priduced for next 6 months using the

ge methoud
ing avarge
ing avarage
details on paper by .drawing the table and compare results
ast using xl spred sheeet for above 4 catogeries

3 POINT MOVING AVG 4 POINT MOVING 6 POINT MOVING AVG

QTY MONTHS QTY MONTHS QTY
45 1 45 1 45
55 2 55 2 55
58 3 58 3 58
67 4 67 4 67
69 5 69 5 69
75 6 75 6 75
70 7 70 7 70
65 8 65 8 65
80 9 80 9 80
90 10 90 10 90
90 11 90 11 90
92 12 92 12 92
90.67 13 88.00 13 81.17
90.89 14 90.00 14 83.03
91.19 15 90.00 15 86.03
90.91 16 90.00 16 87.04
91.00 17 89.50 17 86.54
91.03 18 89.88 18 85.97