2023 Barclays Consumer Staples Conference Presentation
2023 Barclays Consumer Staples Conference Presentation
Pathway to
A Better Tomorrow TM
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Important Information
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Important Information
Forward-looking Statements (continued)
Additional information concerning these and other factors can be found in BAT’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including the Annual Report
on Form 20-F and Current Reports on Form 6-K, which may be obtained free of charge at the SEC’s website, http://www.sec.gov, and BAT’s Annual Reports, which may be
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presentation relates to the U.S. or Reynolds it is provided as an explanation of, or supplement to, Reynolds’ primary U.S. GAAP based financial statements and information.
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the Food and Drug Administration (“FDA”) regulation and no reduced-risk claims will be made to these products without agency clearance.
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Audience
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sold only in compliance with the laws of the particular jurisdictions in which they are sold.
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Today’s Themes
01 02 03
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Our purpose is to build…
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…and we’ve only just begun
100m of 1.1bn
Global consumer numbers for New Categories and Smokers at an Industry Level
7 Source: Statista 2023, Kantar Incidence & Track Studies
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Increasingly a global phenomenon
8
Classified - Confidential Source: BAT Data of current market regulations H1 2023
Markets and consumers are not homogeneous
Accessible NC markets
Access restricted to one or more NCs
Highly restricted or inaccessible to NCs
SATISFACTION FLAVOUR
PREFERENCES
IDENTITY VALUE
HARM
REDUCTION CONVENIENCE
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Beliefs to
Challenge
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Beliefs to Challenge
1 2 3 4
There is a THP attracts the THP encourages Modern Oral is a
‘one size fits all’ most consumers more switching Scandinavian
solution than vaping phenomenon
5 6 7 8
Nicotine is a New Categories (NCs) NCs are used Poly-users tend to
substantial cause of are often a gateway equally across smoke just as much
disease from smoking to smoking cohorts
9 10
NCs are less Industry value is
profitable declining with
cigarette sales
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Theme 1: Multi-Category
1 2 3 4
There is a THP attracts the THP encourages Modern Oral is a
‘one size fits all’ most consumers more switching Scandinavian
solution than vaping phenomenon
5 6 7 8
Nicotine is a New Categories (NCs) NCs are used Poly-users tend to
substantial cause of are often a gateway equally across smoke just as much
disease from smoking to smoking cohorts
9 10
NCs are less Industry value is
profitable declining with
cigarette sales
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Belief #1 There is a ‘one size fits all’ solution
>80% >70%
of THP of Vapour
60%
FACT 80%
50% 70%
correlate 50%
30%
inversely to 40%
Weighted
30%
20%
20%
levels 0% 0%
8.5mg 8.5mg
Average Weighted Average Weighted
Tar per Cigarette Tar per Cigarette
62
# Total Adult Users* (Mn)
54
FACT
40
43 +36
Vapour is the biggest
34
contributor to
26
consumer growth +24 21
and accelerating 13
17
10 11
10
7
2 2
Vapour THP MO
39% 37%
FACT
61% 63%
at encouraging
66% 71%
MO Revenue Contribution
1.5
FACT 22%
1.1
MO will have a critical 21%
positive role to play as 0.8
growth
27% 25%
31%
1 2 3 4
THP & Vapour correlate Vapour is the biggest Vapour & THP are Modern Oral will
inversely to Weighted contributor to equally effective at have a critical
Average Tar levels consumer growth encouraging positive role to play
and accelerating smokers to switch
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Theme 2: THR
1 2 3 4
THP & Vapour correlate Vapour is the biggest Vapour & THP are Modern Oral will
inversely to Weighted contributor to equally effective at have a critical
Average Tar levels consumer growth encouraging positive role to play
and accelerating smokers to switch
5 6 7 8
Nicotine is a New Categories (NCs) NCs are used Poly-users tend to
substantial cause of are often a gateway equally across smoke just as much
disease from smoking to smoking cohorts
9 10
NCs are less Industry value is
profitable declining with
cigarette sales
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Belief #5 Nicotine is a substantial cause of disease
from smoking
smoking is caused by
products of combustion, Nicotine is not…a highly hazardous drug.
The main culprit is smoke and, if nicotine
not nicotine could be delivered effectively and
acceptably…without smoke, most, if not all,
of the harm of smoking could probably be
avoided
UK ROYAL COLLEGE OF PHYSICIANS
Nicotine without smoke: Tobacco harm reduction (2016)
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Belief #6 New Categories are often a gateway to
smoking
% Solus Vapour Entrants switching to FMC*
Globally **
FACT
In general, new
adult nicotine % Solus Vapour
Entrants
2021 2022
2018 2022
FACT
AU30 24% 23% 53% AU30 35% 22% 43%
NC penetration
correlates inversely
to the age cohorts of 30-44 21% 17% 62% 30-44 28% 23% 49%
adult consumers
1 2 3 4
THP & Vapour correlate Vapour is the biggest Vapour & THP are Modern Oral will
inversely to Weighted contributor to equally effective at have a critical
Average Tar levels consumer growth encouraging positive role to play
and accelerating smokers to switch
5 6 7 8
Most of the harm from In general, new adult NC penetration Cigarette
smoking is caused by nicotine consumers correlates inversely to consumption is
products of combustion, don’t go on to smoke the age cohorts of adult declining with
not nicotine consumers poly-usage
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Theme 3: Industry Value
1 2 3 4
THP & Vapour correlate Vapour is the biggest Vapour & THP are Modern Oral will
inversely to Weighted contributor to equally effective at have a critical
Average Tar levels consumer growth encouraging positive role to play
and accelerating smokers to switch
5 6 7 8
Most of the harm from In general, new adult NC penetration Cigarette
smoking is caused by nicotine consumers correlates inversely to consumption is
products of combustion, don’t go on to smoke the age cohorts of adult declining with
not nicotine consumers poly-usage
9 10
NCs are less Industry value is
profitable declining with
cigarette sales
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Belief #9 New Categories are less profitable
VAPOUR VAPOUR
Rechargeable Disposable
FACT
*World Avg.
*World excl. US Avg.
Source: BAT data: Indexed NC Gross Margin per consumer per annum vs FMC
*World Average based on Top 17 NC markets accounting for ~85% of World’s NCs revenue, based on BAT internal est..
26 **Europe Top 12 European NC Markets accounting for ~85% of total Europe’s NC revenue, based on BAT internal est. †Factory Made Cigarettes
-GMs per unit based on BAT internal estimates: FMC Value for money (2023 @ ‘22 FX rates); Users & Avg daily consumption data based on NC
Classified - Confidential Track, NC users. -Annual Gross Margin (excl. Marketing Investment in revenue & Royalties) per user Group
Belief #10 Industry value is declining with cigarette
sales
T10 Industry Value vs FMC Volume
FMC**
VOLUME 654bn
FACT
-6.3 613bn
Total nicotine revenue % CAGR
570bn
is growing year-on-year
£8bn £10bn £12bn
with New Categories INDUSTRY
VALUE
driving value accretion
+3.4 £43bn £43bn £43bn
% CAGR
1 2 3 4
THP & Vapour correlate Vapour is the biggest Vapour & THP are Modern Oral will
inversely to Weighted contributor to equally effective at have a critical
Average Tar levels consumer growth encouraging positive role to play
and accelerating smokers to switch
5 6 7 8
Most of the harm from In general, new adult NC penetration Cigarette
smoking is caused by nicotine consumers correlates inversely to consumption is
products of combustion, don’t go on to smoke the age cohorts of adult declining with
not nicotine consumers poly-usage
9 10
NCs are already positive Total nicotine revenue is
at gross margin level in growing year-on-year with
almost all Categories NCs driving value accretion
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Today’s Themes
1 2 3
A Multi-Category Tobacco Harm New Category
Portfolio is Reduction is Products are
Essential a journey Value Accretive
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Belief #11 Japan is the ‘bellwether’ transformation
story
Sweden FMC* Incidence 2008 - 2022
14.3%
13.4%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
* This slide includes materials publicly shared by third parties, which do not necessarily reflect BAT’s views and positions - Source: Smoke Free Sweden 2023**, Twitter
31 **Health Diplomats is a global network of public health experts committed to developing and delivering solutions to global health-related problems.
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In Summary
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NC value contribution growing fast in the top 12 markets
2021 2022
52%
47% 46%
43% 41%
38% 40% 38%
32%
25% 26% 26%
23%
16% 17% 16% 15%
14%
10% 12%
4% 5%
SWE JAP UK POL FRA DEN ITA S.KOR USA SWI CAN GER
Non-combustibles include NC & Traditional Oral
* Revenue from Non-Combustible products as a % of total revenue in each respective market.
FX @21. Constant currency measures are calculated based on the prior year's exchange rate, removing the potentially distorting effect of translational foreign exchange on
33 the BAT Group's results. The BAT Group does not adjust for normal transactional gains or losses in profit from operations which are generated by exchange rate movements
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>30% Non Combustible revenue in 23 investment markets
34 * Revenue from Non-Combustible products (NCs & Traditional Oral) as a % of total revenue in each respective market.
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…and we’ve only just begun
100m of 1.1bn
35 Global consumer numbers for New Categories and Smokers at an Industry Level
Classified - Confidential Source: Statista 2023, Kantar Incidence & Track Studies
A Purposeful and Profitable
Pathway to
A Better Tomorrow TM
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