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2023 Barclays Consumer Staples Conference Presentation

British American Tobacco's presentation discusses their new category journey and transitioning to a multi-category portfolio. It aims to build a better tomorrow through reducing health impacts by offering consumers enjoyable and less risky products, while also delivering value to stakeholders. New categories are growing globally and becoming increasingly important, though tobacco harm reduction remains a long-term journey as many markets and over 1 billion smokers remain.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
93 views36 pages

2023 Barclays Consumer Staples Conference Presentation

British American Tobacco's presentation discusses their new category journey and transitioning to a multi-category portfolio. It aims to build a better tomorrow through reducing health impacts by offering consumers enjoyable and less risky products, while also delivering value to stakeholders. New categories are growing globally and becoming increasingly important, though tobacco harm reduction remains a long-term journey as many markets and over 1 billion smokers remain.

Uploaded by

Jonathan Kinnear
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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A Purposeful and Profitable

Pathway to
A Better Tomorrow TM

Our New Category Journey

1
Classified - Confidential
Important Information
The information contained in this presentation in relation to British American Tobacco p.l.c. (“BAT”) and its subsidiaries has been prepared solely for use at this presentation.
The presentation is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any jurisdiction where such
distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction.
References in this presentation to ‘British American Tobacco’, ‘BAT’, ‘Group’, ‘we’, ‘us’ and ‘our’ when denoting opinion refer to British American Tobacco p.l.c. and when
denoting business activity refer to British American Tobacco Group operating companies, collectively or individually as the case may be.
The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be comprehensive and has not been independently verified. Certain industry and market data contained in
this presentation has come from third party sources. Third party publications, studies and surveys generally state that the data contained therein have been obtained from
sources believed to be reliable, but that there is no guarantee of accuracy or completeness of such data.
Forward-looking Statements
This presentation does not constitute an invitation to underwrite, subscribe for, or otherwise acquire or dispose of any BAT shares or other securities. This presentation
contains certain forward-looking statements, including “forward-looking” statements made within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
These statements are often, but not always, made through the use of words or phrases such as "believe," "anticipate," "could," "may," "would," "should," "intend," "plan,"
"potential," "predict," "will," "expect," "estimate," "project," "positioned," "strategy," "outlook", "target" and similar expressions. These include statements regarding our intentions,
beliefs or current expectations concerning, amongst other things, our results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies and the economic and
business circumstances occurring from time to time in the countries and markets in which the British American Tobacco Group (the “Group”) operates.
All such forward-looking statements involve estimates and assumptions that are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors. It is believed that the expectations reflected
in this presentation are reasonable but they may be affected by a wide range of variables that could cause actual results to differ materially from those currently anticipated.
In particular, among other statements: certain statements on slides 5, 6, 17, 27 and 33.
Among the key factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements are uncertainties related to the following: the
impact of competition from illicit trade; the impact of adverse domestic or international legislation and regulation; the inability to develop, commercialise and deliver the
Group's New Categories strategy; adverse litigation and dispute outcomes and the effect of such outcomes on the Group's financial condition; the impact of significant
increases or structural changes in tobacco, nicotine and New Categories related taxes; translational and transactional foreign exchange rate exposure; changes or differences
in domestic or international economic or political conditions; the ability to maintain credit ratings and to fund the business under the current capital structure; the impact of
serious injury, illness or death in the workplace; adverse decisions by domestic or international regulatory bodies; changes in the market position, businesses, financial
condition, results of operations or prospects of the Group; direct or indirect adverse impacts associated with Climate Change and the move towards a Circular Economy; and
Cyber Security caused by the heightened cyber-threat landscape, the increased digital interactions with consumers and changes to regulation
Past performance is no guide to future performance and persons needing advice should consult an independent financial adviser. The forward-looking statements reflect
knowledge and information available at the date of preparation of this presentation and BAT undertakes no obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements,
whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements.

2
Classified - Confidential
Important Information
Forward-looking Statements (continued)
Additional information concerning these and other factors can be found in BAT’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including the Annual Report
on Form 20-F and Current Reports on Form 6-K, which may be obtained free of charge at the SEC’s website, http://www.sec.gov, and BAT’s Annual Reports, which may be
obtained free of charge from the British American Tobacco website www.bat.com.
Additional Information
All financial statements and financial information provided by or with respect to the U.S. or Reynolds American Inc. (“Reynolds”) are initially prepared on the basis of U.S. GAAP
and constitute the primary financial statements or financial records of the U.S. business/Reynolds. This financial information is then converted to International Financial
Reporting Standards as issued by the IASB for the purpose of consolidation within the results of the BAT Group. To the extent any such financial information provided in this
presentation relates to the U.S. or Reynolds it is provided as an explanation of, or supplement to, Reynolds’ primary U.S. GAAP based financial statements and information.
Our Vapour product Vuse (including Alto, Solo, Ciro and Vibe), and certain oral products including Velo, Grizzly, Kodiak, and Camel Snus, which are sold in the US, are subject to
the Food and Drug Administration (“FDA”) regulation and no reduced-risk claims will be made to these products without agency clearance.
No Profit or Earnings Per Share Forecasts
No statement in this presentation is intended to be a profit forecast and no statement in this presentation should be interpreted to mean that earnings per share of BAT for the
current or future financial years would necessarily match or exceed the historical published earnings per share of BAT.
Audience
The material in this presentation is provided for the purpose of giving information about BAT and its subsidiaries to investors only and is not intended for general consumers.
BAT, its directors, officers, employees, agents or advisers do not accept or assume responsibility to any other person to whom this material is shown or into whose hands it may
come and any such responsibility or liability is expressly disclaimed. The material in this presentation is not provided for product advertising, promotional or marketing
purposes. This material does not constitute and should not be construed as constituting an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any of our products. Our products are
sold only in compliance with the laws of the particular jurisdictions in which they are sold.

3
Classified - Confidential
Today’s Themes

01 02 03

A Multi- Tobacco New Categories


Category Harm are
Portfolio is Reduction value accretive
essential is a journey

4
Classified - Confidential
Our purpose is to build…

…through reducing the health impact of our


business by offering a greater choice of enjoyable
and less risky*† products for our consumers
*Based on the weight of evidence and assuming a complete switch from cigarette smoking. These products are not
risk free and are addictive.
†Our vapour product Vuse (including Alto, Solo, Ciro and Vibe), and certain products, including Velo, Grizzly, Kodiak,
5 and Camel Snus, which are sold in the U.S., are subject to FDA regulation and no reduced-risk claims will be made
as to these products
Classified -without agency clearance.
Confidential
Our Objective:

Delivering value for all of our stakeholders

6
Classified - Confidential
…and we’ve only just begun

100m of 1.1bn

Global consumer numbers for New Categories and Smokers at an Industry Level
7 Source: Statista 2023, Kantar Incidence & Track Studies
Classified - Confidential
Increasingly a global phenomenon

~60% ~30% BRA MEX TUR

Of T-50 markets Countries restrict Key global


fully open to New 1 or more New markets remain
Categories Categories inaccessible

8
Classified - Confidential Source: BAT Data of current market regulations H1 2023
Markets and consumers are not homogeneous

Accessible NC markets
Access restricted to one or more NCs
Highly restricted or inaccessible to NCs

SATISFACTION FLAVOUR
PREFERENCES

IDENTITY VALUE

HARM
REDUCTION CONVENIENCE

Fundamental Drivers Occasions & Consumption Regulation & Access

No single solution is capable of meeting all preferences


9
Classified - Confidential Source: BAT data & Proprietary Consumer Research
So… we are investing now in a Multi-Category future

10
Classified - Confidential
Beliefs to
Challenge

11
Beliefs to Challenge

1 2 3 4
There is a THP attracts the THP encourages Modern Oral is a
‘one size fits all’ most consumers more switching Scandinavian
solution than vaping phenomenon

5 6 7 8
Nicotine is a New Categories (NCs) NCs are used Poly-users tend to
substantial cause of are often a gateway equally across smoke just as much
disease from smoking to smoking cohorts

9 10
NCs are less Industry value is
profitable declining with
cigarette sales

12
Classified - Confidential
Theme 1: Multi-Category

1 2 3 4
There is a THP attracts the THP encourages Modern Oral is a
‘one size fits all’ most consumers more switching Scandinavian
solution than vaping phenomenon

5 6 7 8
Nicotine is a New Categories (NCs) NCs are used Poly-users tend to
substantial cause of are often a gateway equally across smoke just as much
disease from smoking to smoking cohorts

9 10
NCs are less Industry value is
profitable declining with
cigarette sales

13
Classified - Confidential
Belief #1 There is a ‘one size fits all’ solution

>80% >70%
of THP of Vapour
60%

FACT 80%

50% 70%

THP and Vapour

Vaping Penetration (%FMC*)


THP Penetration (%FMC*)
60%
40%

correlate 50%

30%

inversely to 40%

Weighted
30%
20%

20%

Average Tar 10%


10%

levels 0% 0%

8.5mg 8.5mg
Average Weighted Average Weighted
Tar per Cigarette Tar per Cigarette

* FMC: Factory Made Cigarettes


14 Source: Kantar Incidence Study 2022, Retail Audit (suppliers different by market), BAT internal information
Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Colombia, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Japan, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Mexico, Netherlands, New Zealand, Poland, Portugal, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Spain, South Korea, Sweden, Switzerland, UK, Ukraine, USA
Classified - Confidential
Belief #2 THP attracts the most consumers

62
# Total Adult Users* (Mn)
54

FACT
40
43 +36
Vapour is the biggest
34
contributor to
26
consumer growth +24 21
and accelerating 13
17

10 11
10
7
2 2

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Vapour THP MO

Source: Kantar Incidence & Track Studies 2022


*Adult users based on 20 Years of Age+ in USA. 18+ in all other markets
15 T42 Markets: Algeria, Argentina, Australia, Bangladesh, Belgium, Brazil, Bulgaria, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Egypt, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Kazakhstan,
Malaysia, Mexico, Morocco, Netherlands, New Zealand, Nigeria, Pakistan, Poland, Romania, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, Turkey, UK, Ukraine, USA, Vietnam
Classified - Confidential
Belief #3 THP encourages more switching than vaping

NC Consumers: Still Smoking Daily Stopped Smoking Daily

39% 37%

FACT
61% 63%

Vapour* and THP THP Vapour

are equally effective 54% 65%

at encouraging
66% 71%

smokers to switch 34% 29% 46% 35%

Vapour THP Vapour THP

65% 64% 61% 63%

35% 36% 39% 37%

Vapour THP Vapour THP

16 Source: Kantar Incidence & Track Studies 2022


Classified - Confidential * Vapour includes Disposables and rechargeable closed system only
Belief #4 Modern Oral is a Scandinavian phenomenon

MO Revenue Contribution
1.5

FACT 22%
1.1
MO will have a critical 21%
positive role to play as 0.8

market expansion 19% 53%

and the US accelerate 50%


52%

growth
27% 25%
31%

2021 2022 2023 Est


Nordics USA RoW

17 MO Industry Revenue, £bn


Classified - Confidential Source: Kantar Incidence Study 2022, BAT Outlook
Implication 1

1 2 3 4
THP & Vapour correlate Vapour is the biggest Vapour & THP are Modern Oral will
inversely to Weighted contributor to equally effective at have a critical
Average Tar levels consumer growth encouraging positive role to play
and accelerating smokers to switch

A Multi-Category Portfolio is Essential


to Deliver our Purpose & Industry
Transition

18
Classified - Confidential
Theme 2: THR

1 2 3 4
THP & Vapour correlate Vapour is the biggest Vapour & THP are Modern Oral will
inversely to Weighted contributor to equally effective at have a critical
Average Tar levels consumer growth encouraging positive role to play
and accelerating smokers to switch

5 6 7 8
Nicotine is a New Categories (NCs) NCs are used Poly-users tend to
substantial cause of are often a gateway equally across smoke just as much
disease from smoking to smoking cohorts

9 10
NCs are less Industry value is
profitable declining with
cigarette sales

19
Classified - Confidential
Belief #5 Nicotine is a substantial cause of disease
from smoking

It’s the other chemical compounds in


tobacco, and in the smoke created by
setting tobacco on fire, that directly and
FACT primarily cause the illness and death,
not the nicotine
Most of the harm from DR. SCOTT GOTTLIEB
US FDA COMMISSIONER (JULY 2017)

smoking is caused by
products of combustion, Nicotine is not…a highly hazardous drug.
The main culprit is smoke and, if nicotine
not nicotine could be delivered effectively and
acceptably…without smoke, most, if not all,
of the harm of smoking could probably be
avoided
UK ROYAL COLLEGE OF PHYSICIANS
Nicotine without smoke: Tobacco harm reduction (2016)

20
Classified - Confidential
Belief #6 New Categories are often a gateway to
smoking
% Solus Vapour Entrants switching to FMC*

Globally **

FACT

In general, new
adult nicotine % Solus Vapour
Entrants

consumers don’t go switching to


FMC 2022

on to smoke 2.2% 1.8% 1.7% 3.1%

% of adult 0.1% 0.1% 0.04% 0.05%


population
2.2% 2.1%

2021 2022

*Factory Made Cigarettes


21 Source: Kantar Incidence & Track Studies 2022
Classified
**Top NC- Confidential
Markets: Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Poland, S. Korea, Sweden, Switzerland, UK – excluding USA
Belief #7 New Categories are used equally across
cohorts
Category use - Age Cohorts

2018 2022
FACT
AU30 24% 23% 53% AU30 35% 22% 43%
NC penetration
correlates inversely
to the age cohorts of 30-44 21% 17% 62% 30-44 28% 23% 49%
adult consumers

AO45 13%13% 73% AO45 22% 16% 62%

Solus NC** Dual FMC-NC** Solus FMC*

*Factory Made Cigarettes ** NC Includes Snus


22 “Dual-usage" references a transitional period for adult FMC consumers towards a complete switching to NCs during which adult consumers reduce cigarette Source:
Kantar Incidence & Track Studies 2022
consumption and choose to add to it consumption of an NC. AU30: Adult consumer Classified - Confidential
from minimum legal age to 30yrs. AO45: Adult consumer over 45 yrs. Canada, Italy, Japan, UK, Sweden
Belief #8 Poly-users tend to smoke just as much

FMC* Average Daily Consumption reduction


among Poly-Users vs. FMC Solus
FACT
Index
The consumer journey FMC + THP 92
often involves poly-usage
where cigarette 100Index
FMC + MO 83
consumption is reduced FMC + Vapour 81

Consumption in leading 9 NC markets in stick Equivalent.

*Factory Made Cigarettes


23 “Poly-usage" references a transitional period for adult FMC consumers towards a complete switching to NCs during Source: Kantar Incidence & Track Studies 2022
which adult consumers reduce cigarette consumption Classified - Confidential
and choose to add to it a consumption of one or more NCs. Canada, Denmark, Germany, Italy, Japan, S. Korea, Sweden, UK, USA
Implication 2

1 2 3 4
THP & Vapour correlate Vapour is the biggest Vapour & THP are Modern Oral will
inversely to Weighted contributor to equally effective at have a critical
Average Tar levels consumer growth encouraging positive role to play
and accelerating smokers to switch

5 6 7 8
Most of the harm from In general, new adult NC penetration Cigarette
smoking is caused by nicotine consumers correlates inversely to consumption is
products of combustion, don’t go on to smoke the age cohorts of adult declining with
not nicotine consumers poly-usage

Tobacco Harm Reduction is a bona fide


corporate and societal goal

24
Classified - Confidential
Theme 3: Industry Value

1 2 3 4
THP & Vapour correlate Vapour is the biggest Vapour & THP are Modern Oral will
inversely to Weighted contributor to equally effective at have a critical
Average Tar levels consumer growth encouraging positive role to play
and accelerating smokers to switch

5 6 7 8
Most of the harm from In general, new adult NC penetration Cigarette
smoking is caused by nicotine consumers correlates inversely to consumption is
products of combustion, don’t go on to smoke the age cohorts of adult declining with
not nicotine consumers poly-usage

9 10
NCs are less Industry value is
profitable declining with
cigarette sales

25
Classified - Confidential
Belief #9 New Categories are less profitable

Annual Consumer Profitability Index

VAPOUR VAPOUR
Rechargeable Disposable

FACT

NCs are already positive


at Gross Margin level in
almost all Categories **Europe Avg.

*World Avg.
*World excl. US Avg.

>120 Solus FMC† 80-120 Solus FMC <80 Solus FMC

Source: BAT data: Indexed NC Gross Margin per consumer per annum vs FMC
*World Average based on Top 17 NC markets accounting for ~85% of World’s NCs revenue, based on BAT internal est..
26 **Europe Top 12 European NC Markets accounting for ~85% of total Europe’s NC revenue, based on BAT internal est. †Factory Made Cigarettes
-GMs per unit based on BAT internal estimates: FMC Value for money (2023 @ ‘22 FX rates); Users & Avg daily consumption data based on NC
Classified - Confidential Track, NC users. -Annual Gross Margin (excl. Marketing Investment in revenue & Royalties) per user Group
Belief #10 Industry value is declining with cigarette
sales
T10 Industry Value vs FMC Volume

FMC**
VOLUME 654bn
FACT
-6.3 613bn
Total nicotine revenue % CAGR
570bn
is growing year-on-year
£8bn £10bn £12bn
with New Categories INDUSTRY
VALUE
driving value accretion
+3.4 £43bn £43bn £43bn
% CAGR

2021 2022 2023 Est


FMC** Volume NC Value (Rev*) FMC Value (Rev*)

*Revenue **Factory Made Cigarettes


27 Source: BAT Outlook
USA, UK, Germany, Canada, Japan, Switzerland, Italy, Denmark, Poland, South Korea, France, Sweden
Classified - Confidential
10 Facts

1 2 3 4
THP & Vapour correlate Vapour is the biggest Vapour & THP are Modern Oral will
inversely to Weighted contributor to equally effective at have a critical
Average Tar levels consumer growth encouraging positive role to play
and accelerating smokers to switch

5 6 7 8
Most of the harm from In general, new adult NC penetration Cigarette
smoking is caused by nicotine consumers correlates inversely to consumption is
products of combustion, don’t go on to smoke the age cohorts of adult declining with
not nicotine consumers poly-usage

9 10
NCs are already positive Total nicotine revenue is
at gross margin level in growing year-on-year with
almost all Categories NCs driving value accretion

28
Classified - Confidential
Today’s Themes

1 2 3
A Multi-Category Tobacco Harm New Category
Portfolio is Reduction is Products are
Essential a journey Value Accretive

29
Classified - Confidential
Belief #11 Japan is the ‘bellwether’ transformation
story
Sweden FMC* Incidence 2008 - 2022

14.3%
13.4%

Sweden has 11.8%


11.3%

successfully delivered a 10.0%


9.0%
multi-decade Tobacco 6.9%
Harm Reduction policy 5.9%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

*Factory Made Cigarettes


30 Source: Euromonitor
Classified - Confidential
Video

* This slide includes materials publicly shared by third parties, which do not necessarily reflect BAT’s views and positions - Source: Smoke Free Sweden 2023**, Twitter
31 **Health Diplomats is a global network of public health experts committed to developing and delivering solutions to global health-related problems.
Classified - Confidential
In Summary

Delivering High Quality,


Multi-
Stakeholder
= Sustainable
Business Model,
Value Long into the Future

32
Classified - Confidential
NC value contribution growing fast in the top 12 markets

BAT Non-Combustibles Revenue as % of Total Revenue in TOP12 NC markets


74%
72%

2021 2022

52%
47% 46%
43% 41%
38% 40% 38%
32%
25% 26% 26%
23%
16% 17% 16% 15%
14%
10% 12%
4% 5%

SWE JAP UK POL FRA DEN ITA S.KOR USA SWI CAN GER
Non-combustibles include NC & Traditional Oral
* Revenue from Non-Combustible products as a % of total revenue in each respective market.
FX @21. Constant currency measures are calculated based on the prior year's exchange rate, removing the potentially distorting effect of translational foreign exchange on
33 the BAT Group's results. The BAT Group does not adjust for normal transactional gains or losses in profit from operations which are generated by exchange rate movements
Classified - Confidential
>30% Non Combustible revenue in 23 investment markets

Our non-Combustible products revenue % H1’23*

FRA AUS EST JPN UK

DEN POR SLO ITA POL KAZ LIT SWE FIN

GUA LAT D REP NOR GRE ICE CZE SLK UAE

>30% >40% >50% >70%

34 * Revenue from Non-Combustible products (NCs & Traditional Oral) as a % of total revenue in each respective market.
Classified - Confidential
…and we’ve only just begun

100m of 1.1bn

35 Global consumer numbers for New Categories and Smokers at an Industry Level
Classified - Confidential Source: Statista 2023, Kantar Incidence & Track Studies
A Purposeful and Profitable
Pathway to
A Better Tomorrow TM

Our New Category Journey

36
Classified - Confidential

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