United States

Department of
Agriculture

Foreign
Agricultural
World Agricultural
Service

Circular Series
Production
WAP 10-23
October 2023

Ethiopia Wheat: Drought and Conflict Reduces Wheat Production Estimate

Ethiopia wheat production for marketing year (MY) 2023/24 is estimated at 5.5 million metric
tons (mmt), down 2.0 mmt (27 percent) from last month and down 0.3 mmt (5 percent) from last
year. Harvested area is estimated at 1.9 million hectares (mha), down 0.6 mha (24 percent) from
last month and unchanged from last year. Yield is estimated at 2.89 metric tons per hectare, down
5 percent from last year and down 1 percent from the 5-year average. Wheat yields are estimated
below the 5-year average due to conflict in several wheat growing regions, high fertilizer prices,
and mid-season drought during August and September.

Wheat is an important food staple crop in Ethiopia, and it comprises about 18 percent of the
country’s total cereal production. The Government of Ethiopia is implementing an ambitious
wheat self-sufficiency plan by increasing wheat yields through mechanization, introducing a
cluster farming agriculture extension program, and expanding wheat area with irrigation farming
in lowlands. The cluster farming extension system targets smallholder farmers and it aims to
increase wheat yields by providing adequate supplies of modern agricultural inputs, such as

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board

 improved seed varieties and fertilizers, as well as taking steps to mechanize agricultural practices
throughout the country.

USDA’s estimated MY 2023/24 wheat yield is below average because high fertilizer prices
reduced input availability and the three-year conflict decreased farmer mobility and agriculture
input supplies during the 2023 growing season. In addition, mid-season drought affected wheat-
growing areas.

USDA’s estimated MY 2023/24 wheat area is approximately the same as the previous two years.
Satellite imagery analysis by USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service and several other researchers
indicated that irrigated wheat area did not increase by two million hectares as claimed by
Ethiopia’s Ministry of Agriculture.

Ethiopia is the largest wheat producer in Sub-Saharan Africa, where wheat is mostly grown under
rainfed conditions on small farms in the southern and central highlands. Wheat in Ethiopia is
planted during the main meher rainy season from June to August and harvested from October
through January. The northern Tigray region is currently facing a food security crisis after a
conflict between federal and regional forces displaced thousands of people and access to
agriculture inputs to smallholder farmers in the north continues to be hampered. The Tigray region
is chronically food insecure, and it produced approximately six percent of the country’s wheat
output before the conflict. (For more information, please contact [email protected].)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 2 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Australia Wheat: Production Revised Lower on Dry Conditions

USDA estimates Australia marketing year (MY) 2023/24 wheat production at 24.5 million metric
tons (mmt), down 1.5 mmt or 6 percent from last month, and down 15.2 mmt or 38 percent from
last year’s record. Harvested area is estimated at 12.6 million hectares (mha), unchanged from last
month but down 0.45 mha or 3 percent from last year. Yield is estimated at 1.94 tons per hectare
(t/ha), down 6 percent from last month, and down 36 percent from last year’s record.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 3 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Australia’s wheat prospects have slowly but steadily declined throughout the season after
favorable rainfall in April. This was followed by very dry conditions in May. Favorable rains
returned in June for most growing regions. July through September turned unusually dry. Winter
crops, including wheat, enter flowering or reproduction in September in the major producing
states. The declining soil moisture began to stress the crop during this critical period.

Satellite-derived Percent of Average Seasonal Greenness (PASG) values are less than normal in
important growing areas of Western Australia and New South Wales, which is indicative of crop
stress as a result of the exceptionally dry September. Rainfall is needed soon to sustain yield
potential. In the east, harvesting typically starts in central Queensland during August and
progresses down the east coast and around to Victoria and South Australia, finishing during
January. On the west coast, the wheat harvest runs from October through January. (For more
information, please contact [email protected].)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 4 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Kazakhstan Wheat: Production Decreased Due to Unfavorable Weather

Kazakhstan wheat production for marketing year (MY) 2023/24 is estimated at 13.0 million metric
tons (mmt), down 13 percent from last month and 21 percent from last year. Yield is estimated at
0.96 tons per hectare, down 13 percent from last month and 25 percent from last year. Harvested
area is estimated at 13.6 million hectares (mha), unchanged from last month and up 6 percent from
last year.

According to the Ministry of Agriculture of the Republic of Kazakhstan, total grain harvest is
about 73 percent complete as of early October. The harvest campaign is currently occurring under
above-average precipitation conditions. The abnormally wet September weather further threatens
this season’s wheat output. A drop in grain quality and the need for additional resources for grain
drying are some of the main challenges farmers face as the harvest campaign continues. A large
portion of the Kazakhstan Grain Belt already faced challenging and suboptimal growth conditions
this season. Lack of adequate precipitation and unfavorable temperatures hampered crop
development during the key yield formation stages.

About 80 percent of the crop is produced in the north-central oblasts of Aqmola, Qostanay, and
North Kazakhstan. The crop is planted in mid-to-late May and harvested between August and
September. (For more information, please contact [email protected].)

Brazil Wheat: Record Rainfall Reduces Wheat Production

Brazil wheat production for marketing year (MY) 2023/24 is estimated at 9.8 million metric tons
(mmt), down 0.5 mmt or 5 percent from last month and down 8 percent from last year’s record
crop. Harvested area is estimated at 3.4 million hectares (mha), unchanged from last month and up
10 percent from last year. Yield is estimated at 2.88 metric tons per hectare (t/ha), down 5 percent
from last month and down 16 percent from last year’s record.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 5 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Harvest is nearly 70 percent complete in Paraná, the country’s second-largest wheat-producing
state, and harvest just began this month in the largest wheat producing state, Rio Grande do Sul.
This season began with favorable weather conditions until the end of August when there was a
freeze event and storms with high wind and large rainfall volumes in the state of Rio Grande do
Sul. Furthermore, this record rainfall continued through late September in Rio Grande do Sul.
Waterlogged soils prevented fertilizer applications which limited root development and tillering.
Some regions in the state had upwards of 700 millimeters (mm) of rainfall. The excessive moisture
coupled with high temperatures promoted fungal pathogens in both states, reducing yields and
grain quality.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 6 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 The state estimating agency for Paraná, DERAL, recently lowered state wheat yield estimates to
2.95 t/ha due to fungal disease pressure from high heat and humidity. In Rio Grande do Sul, the
Technical Assistance and Rural Extension of Rio Grande do Sul (EMATER-RS) estimates a 14
percent reduction in yield from initial estimates. The state yield in Rio Grande do Sul could be
even lower considering that the copious rainfall volume occurred during sensitive reproductive
stages. (For more information, please contact [email protected].)

Argentina Corn: Production Up 62 Percent from Last Year

Argentina corn production for marketing year 2023/24 is forecast at 55.0 million metric tons, up 2
percent from last month, and up 62 percent from last year. Corn yield is forecast at 7.75 tons per
hectare, up slightly from last month, and up 53 percent from last year. Harvested area is forecast
at 7.1 million hectares, up 1 percent from last month, and 6 percent from last year.

Harvested area is up month-to-month because of a new planted area forecast from the Bolsa de
Cereales Buenos Aires. USDA assumes normal abandonment, which is around 3 percent for corn
in Argentina. Early-planted corn began at the end of September and will continue until early
December, when late-planted corn will begin. (For more information, please contact
[email protected].)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 7 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Australia Barley: Production Revised Lower

USDA estimates Australia marketing year (MY) 2023/24 barley production at 9.7 million metric
tons (mmt), down 0.3 mmt or 3 percent from last month, and down 4.4 mmt or 31 percent from
last year. Harvested area is estimated at 4.2 million hectares (mha), unchanged from last month,
but up 2 percent from last year. Yield is estimated at 2.31 tons per hectare (t/ha), down 3 percent
from last month, and down 33 percent from last year’s record.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 8 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 The barley producing states of Western Australia and South Australia had a favorable start to the
crop season with early rains and above average levels of soil moisture across most cropping
regions, which encouraged producers to plant early. As a result, the early sown barley crops are at
a more advanced stage than other winter grains. This advanced stage reduces the likelihood of heat
stress in spring and minimizes potential yield loss even though precipitation was below normal
from July through September in some growing areas. Barley sowing commenced in April and
continued into June. Harvest begins in November and continues through December. (For more
information, please contact [email protected].)

North Korea Rice: Production Increased Due to Higher-Than Expected Harvested Area

USDA estimates North Korea’s marketing year 2023/24 milled rice production at 1.47 million
metric tons (mmt), up 8 percent or approximately 110,000 metric tons (mt) from last month and
last year, and up 1 percent from the 5-year average of 1.46 mmt. Area is estimated at 541,000
hectares (ha), 8 percent above last month and last year, and up approximately 11 percent from the
5-year average of 488,000 ha. Yield (rough) is estimated approximately at 4.18 metric tons per
hectare (mt/ha), same as last month and last year, but down 9 percent from the 5-year average of
4.61 mt/ha.

Rice progressed well throughout the season in North Korea. The rainy season typically starts in
April and about 80 percent of the annual precipitation, on average, occurs between July and
September. This year’s growing season began with beneficial soil moisture conditions, and the
rainfall continued to be above average, providing favorable conditions for planting, crop
establishment, and reproduction during May to early August. The conditions encouraged rice
plantings and maintained yield expectations at the same level as last season.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 9 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 The year-to-year increase in harvested area was determined based on USDA’s satellite imagery
analysis and statistical area estimation at the national and subnational scale. USDA relied on 10-
day, 10-meter analysis-ready imagery, which is a fusion of Copernicus Sentinel-2A, Sentinel-2B,
NASA/USGS Landsat 8, and Landsat 9 imagery. With favorable, above-average crop conditions
for rice, production is expected to increase due to an expansion in planted area. In recent years,
according to North Korea’s Ministry of Agriculture, new land has been brought into production
through such projects as river improvements, straightening of waterways, land reclamation, and
relocation of public buildings.

North Korea’s main season (April to October) crops are rice and corn, accounting for almost 90
percent of the total crop output. Additionally, there are small quantities of soybeans, potatoes,
millet, and sorghum. Rice is predominantly produced in the western provinces of South Hwanghae
(28 percent, Hwanghae-namdo), North Pyongan (22 percent, P’yongan-bukto), South Pyongan (20
percent, P’yongan-namdo), and South Hamgyong (11 percent, Hamgyong-namdo). The southern,
southwestern, and western provinces are considered the “cereal bowl regions.” (For more
information, contact [email protected].)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 10 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Argentina Sunflowerseed: Production Up Due to Higher Planted Area Forecast

Argentina sunflowerseed production for marketing year 2023/24 is forecast at 4.7 million metric
tons, up 21 percent from last month, but down 6 percent from last year. Sunflowerseed yield is
forecast at 2.04 tons per hectare, down slightly from last month and last year’s yield. Harvested
area is forecast at 2.3 million hectares (mha), up 21 percent from last month, but down 6 percent
from last year.

According to the Argentina Ministry of Agriculture (MinAg), planting began in mid-September

and by early October is about 20 percent complete. Planting will continue until early December.
The MinAg provided an updated planted area forecast of 2.4 mha. USDA publishes harvested area
that accounts for sunflowerseed abandonment, which is about 2 percent on average. (For more
information, please contact [email protected].)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 11 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Canada Rapeseed: Recent Modeling from Statistics Canada Indicates Lower Yields

USDA estimates Canada rapeseed production for marketing year (MY) 2023/24 at 17.8 million
metric tons (mmt), down 2 percent from last month, 5 percent from last year and 4 percent below
the 5-year average. Harvested area is estimated at 8.8 million hectares, unchanged from last month,
but up 2 percent from last year and 1 percent above the 5-year average. Yield is estimated at 2.02
metric tons per hectare (t/ha), down 2 percent from last month, 7 percent from last year, and 6
percent below the 5-year average.

This will be the third season in a row where dryness or drought has reduced rapeseed yields in
Canada, as the last three marketing years (MY 2021/22, 2022/23 and 2023/24) hold the lowest
yields among the previous nine seasons. The yield for all three seasons was below trend.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 12 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Statistics Canada recently published its model-based estimates for July and August, which
indicated a substantial year-to-year reduction in yield and production. Limited rainfall in the
southern and central Prairies during the summer months stressed crops and lowered yields,
particularly in Saskatchewan, where over half of Canada’s rapeseed crop is grown. (For more
information, please contact [email protected].)

India Soybeans: Yields Impacted by Near-Record Dryness in August

USDA estimates India marketing year (MY) 2023/24 soybean production at 11.0 million metric
tons, down 8 percent from last month and 11 percent from last year. Area is estimated at 13.0
million hectares, unchanged from last month and last year. Yield is estimated at 0.85 metric tons
per hectare, down 8 percent from last month and 11 percent last year.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 13 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 India has been impacted by the uneven nature of rainfall geographically and seasonally. Farmers
planted soybeans in the optimal planting window, finishing in July. August was the driest month
in 48 years, with limited rainfall as the crop progressed towards flowering and pod development.
Trade sources also reported the incidence of white flies and disease on soybeans. Near-record rains
in September along with historically dry conditions in August negatively impacted yields. In
Madhya Pradesh, the satellite-derived Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) showed
slightly below-average crop vigor in late September.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 14 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Soybeans are produced only in the kharif season. Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, and Rajasthan
produce roughly 94 percent of the total soybean production. Soybeans are harvested from late
October through November. (For more information, please contact [email protected].)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 15 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Australia Cotton: Production Revised Down on Lower Area

Australia’s marketing year (MY) 2023/24 cotton production is forecast at 5.1 million 480-pound
bales, down 0.3 million bales or 6 percent from last month and 12 percent from last year. Harvested
area is forecast at 465,000 hectares (ha), down 50,000 ha or 10 percent from last month and down
185,000 ha or 28 percent from last year. Industry sources indicate lower planting intentions this
season. Dryland cotton area is estimated lower due to extended dryness at sowing in major cotton
producing areas of eastern Australia.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 16 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Yield is forecast at 2,388 kilograms per hectare, up 5 percent from last month and 23 percent from
last year. Yield is expected to increase year-to-year because of an estimated increase in the share
of the total area sown to irrigated cotton this season as compared to last. Dryland cotton yields are
substantially lower than irrigated yields. Irrigated cotton area comprises about 90 percent of
Australia’s total cotton production. Dryland cotton planting tends to vary with the seasonal weather
forecast and prices at sowing. Irrigated cotton area is estimated to remain relatively high, reflecting
increased water storage levels in reservoirs supplying cotton growing regions.

Cotton and sorghum are the two dominant summer crops in eastern Australia. Cotton planting
typically begins in September with October being the primary planting month. Harvest begins in
March and peaks in April. The two major cotton producing states are New South Wales (62
percent) and Queensland (38 percent) based on the current 3-year average. (For more information,
please contact [email protected].)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 17 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Brazil Cotton: MY 2023/24 Production Increased on Late Harvest Results & Series Revision

This month, a series revision was made to Brazil cotton. USDA’s previous marketing year (MY)
2000/01 to MY 2022/23 area and production estimates shift to one year later and become the
current MY 2001/02 to MY 2023/24 estimates. The previous MY 2000/01 estimates for area and
production are replaced by the average of the MY 1999/00 and new MY 2001/02 estimates with
the new yield derived from the area and production revision.

Over the last 25 years, a large proportion of cotton production in Brazil has shifted geographically.
In the revised MY 2023/24, roughly 70 percent of cotton production was cultivated in the state of
Mato Grosso where it is largely grown as a second crop following soybean harvest. The geographic
shift in cotton production from the Southeast to the Center-West has resulted in a shift in the timing
of the cotton harvest. The series revision reflects the geographic shift in production and the related
timing of harvest. Please refer to the Foreign Agricultural Service’s Cotton: World Markets and
Trade publication for further details.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 18 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Brazil’s MY 2023/24 cotton production is raised to 14.6 million 480-pound bales. The MY
2023/24 production is larger due to two reasons: the series revision explained in the previous
paragraphs, and the excellent reported yields as the harvest concluded. Compared to the equivalent
monthly estimate for the same season (previously MY 2022/23 in the September estimate), the
monthly production is larger by 0.2 million bales (1 percent) from last month’s estimate (14.4
million 480-pound bales), and up by 2.8 million bales (24 percent) from the previous season.
Harvested cotton area is unchanged at 1.7 million hectares (mha) when comparing equivalent
seasons, and up 4 percent from the previous season. Cotton yield is estimated at a record 1,910
kilograms per hectare (kg/ha), roughly 1 percent higher than last month’s equivalent yield (1,889
kg/ha), and 20 percent above the previous season’s yield. This yield is 6 percent above the prior
record of 1,802 kg/ha reached in MY 2020/21. (For more information, please contact
[email protected].)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 19 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 World Agricultural Production
U.S. Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service / Global Market Analysis
International Production Assessment Division (IPAD)
Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building
Washington, DC 20250-1051
https://ipad.fas.usda.gov/
Telephone: (202) 720-1662 Fax: (202) 720-1158

This report uses information from the Foreign Agricultural Service’s (FAS) global network of
agricultural attachés and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign
source materials, and the analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. Estimates of foreign
area, yield, and production are from the International Production Assessment Division, FAS, and
are reviewed by USDA’s Inter-Agency Commodity Estimates Committee. Estimates of U.S. area,
yield, and production are from USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. Numbers within
the report may not add to totals because of rounding. This report reflects official USDA estimates
released in the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE-584), October 12,
2023.

The FAS International Production Assessment Division prepared this report. The next issue of
World Agricultural Production will be released after 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time, November 9,
2023.

Conversion Table

Metric tons to bushels

Wheat, soybeans = MT * 36.7437

Corn, sorghum, rye = MT * 39.36825
Barley = MT * 45.929625
Oats = MT * 68.894438

Metric tons to 480-lb bales

Cotton = MT * 4.592917

Metric tons to hundredweight

Rice = MT * 22.04622

Area & weight

1 hectare = 2.471044 acres
1 kilogram = 2.204622 pounds

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 20 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 For further information, contact:
U.S. Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
Global Market Analysis
International Production Assessment Division
Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building
Washington, DC 20250-1051

Telephone: (202) 720-1662 Fax: (202) 720-1158

GENERAL INFORMATION

Senior Director Ronald Frantz 202-720-4056 [email protected]

Director Robert Tetrault 202-720-1071 [email protected]
Administrative Assistant Vacant
USDA Remote Sensing Advisor Vacant
Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead Curt Reynolds, Ph.D. 202-690-0134 [email protected]
Sr. Analyst/ Satellite Imagery Dath Mita, Ph.D. 202-720-7339 [email protected]
Archives Manager/Technical Lead
Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected]
GIS Mapping/Imagery Analyst Lisa Colson 202-720-6652 [email protected]
WAP Coordinators Ifeoma Collins 202-720-0240 [email protected]
Shannon Moyo [email protected]
Aaron Mulhollen 202-690-0131 [email protected]

COUNTRY- AND REGION-SPECIFIC INFORMATION

South America, Argentina, Venezuela, Katie McGaughey 202-720-9210 [email protected]

and Colombia
Western and Central Europe, Bryan Purcell 202-690-0138 [email protected]
and North Africa
Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Moldova, Iliana Mladenova, Ph.D. 202-690-2315 [email protected]
and Belarus
South Asia, Sri Lanka Arnella Trent 202-720-0881 [email protected]
Bangladesh, India, and Nepal
East Asia, China, and Japan Dath Mita, Ph.D. 202-720-7339 [email protected]
Sub-Saharan Africa, Curt Reynolds, Ph.D. 202-690-0134 [email protected]
Nigeria and South Africa
S.E. Asia, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected]
Cambodia and Vietnam
Central America, Mexico, Ifeoma Collins 202-720-0240 [email protected]
and Western United States
Australia, New Zealand, Pakistan Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected]
Papua New Guinea and South Pacific Islands
Middle East, Central Asia, Afghanistan Aaron Mulhollen 202-690-0131 [email protected]
Iraq, Iran, and Syria
Canada, Caribbean, Aaron Mulhollen 202-690-0131 [email protected]
Eastern United States
Brazil Sunita Yadav-Pauletti, Ph.D. [email protected]

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 21 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD)
database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply
and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.

FAS Reports and Databases:

World Agricultural Production

Current: https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/world-agricultural-production
Archive: https://usda.library.cornell.edu/concern/publications/5q47rn72z?locale=en
USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) publishes a monthly report on crop acreage, yield and production in
major countries worldwide. Sources include reporting from FAS’s worldwide offices, official statistics of foreign
governments, and analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. The reports reflect official USDA estimates
released in the monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE).

World Markets and Trade

Current: https://www.fas.usda.gov/data
Archive:
https://usda.library.cornell.edu/catalog?f%5Bmember_of_collections_ssim%5D%5B%5D=Foreign+Agricultural+Se
rvice&locale=en
USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) publishes monthly and quarterly reports which include data on U.S. and
global trade, production, consumption and stocks, as well as analysis of developments affecting world trade in
oilseeds, grains, cotton, livestock and poultry. The reports reflect official USDA estimates released in the monthly
World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE).

Global Agricultural Information Network (GAIN)

https://gain.fas.usda.gov/
USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) provides timely reports on foreign markets through the Global
Agriculture Information Network (GAIN) database. An average of 2,000 reports are added each year, with reports
going back to 1995. GAIN reports are compiled by FAS’ global market intelligence network, which includes FAS
foreign service officers and locally engaged staff in over 90 overseas offices world-wide. They provide on-the-
ground intelligence, insight, and analysis on nearly 200 countries, delivering information on foreign agricultural
markets, crop conditions, and agro-political dynamics of interest to U.S. agriculture. GAIN reports contain
assessments of commodity and trade issues made by USDA staff and are not necessarily statements of official U.S.
government policy.
Production, Supply and Distribution (PS&D) Online
https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/home
PSD Online is the public repository for USDA’s Official Production, Supply and Distribution forecast data and
reports for key agricultural commodities. PSD Online data are reviewed and updated monthly by an interagency
committee chaired by USDA’s World Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB). The committee consist of
representatives from Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS), the Economic Research Service (ERS), the Farm Service
Agency (FSA), and the Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS).

EU Countries and Russia Wheat: Area and Production Estimates

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads (click on PSD Datasets)
USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) provides country-level area and production estimates for the nations of
the European Union. For Russia, country-level area and production estimates are provided for Winter and Spring
wheat. These datasets are reviewed and updated monthly by an interagency committee chaired by USDA’s World
Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB) and can be downloaded through PSD datasets on PSD Online.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 22 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 FAS Reports and Databases:

International Production Assessment (IPAD)

https://ipad.fas.usda.gov/
USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) maintains a dynamic global crop production portal with key
information including World Agricultural Production (WAP) briefs, Commodity Intelligence Reports (CIR),
geospatial applications, crop production maps at a subnational level and crop calendars for the top-20 producing
countries. Additionally, Crop Explorer (https://ipad.fas.usda.gov/cropexplorer/) displays rainfall, temperature,
evapotranspiration, soil moisture, snow cover, and vegetation conditions in charts and maps.

USDA and NASA Global Agricultural Monitoring (GLAM)

https://glam1.gsfc.nasa.gov/
The USDA and NASA Global Agricultural Monitoring (GLAM) system provides near real-time and science quality
Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) from
the satellites Terra and Aqua. The public can view and retrieve MODIS 8-day composited, global NDVI satellite
imagery and time series data. GLAM was developed by NASA’s Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies
(GIMMS) group for USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service.

Global Agricultural and Disaster Assessment System (GADAS)

https://geo.fas.usda.gov/GADAS/index.html
USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) provides the Global Agricultural and Disaster Assessment System
(GADAS), a web-based Geographic Information System (GIS) tool which integrates a vast array of highly detailed
earth observation data streams, particularly targeted towards agricultural and disaster assessment analysis. GADAS
is an interactive website which provides analysts with a wide variety of routine geospatial products (maps, charts,
tables) they require for comprehensive situational investigations and recurring assessments.

Export Sales Reporting

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/
USDA’s Export Sales Reporting Program monitors U.S. agricultural export sales on a daily and weekly basis.
Export sales reporting provides a constant stream of up-to-date market information for 40 U.S. agricultural
commodities sold abroad. The weekly U.S. Export Sales report is the most currently available source of U.S. exports
sales data. The data is used to analyze overall levels of export demand, determine where markets exit, and assess the
relative position of U.S. commodities in foreign markets.

Global Agricultural Trade System (GATS)

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx
The Global Agricultural Trade System (GATS) is a searchable database containing monthly U.S. Census Bureau
trade data organized by agricultural commodity and agricultural related product groups. Trade data is searchable by
partner countries and partner groups. Historical U.S. agricultural trade data is available back to 1967. In addition,
U.N. trade statistics (UN Comtrade) may be queried through GATS. UN trade data is available for nearly 200
countries or areas, dating from the inception of the Harmonized System (HS) of trade codes in 1989 to present. The
database is continuously updated. U.S. trade data is updated monthly according to the U.S. Census Bureau’s
reporting system. UN Comtrade data are updated in GATS after nationally submitted data to the UN are
standardized by the UN Statistical Division and added to the UN Comtrade database.

Other USDA Reports:

World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):
http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/
Economic Research Service:
http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops
National Agricultural Statistics Service:
http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 23 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 01 World Crop Production Summary
Million Metric Tons
World Total North North North Former Former Europea Asia Asia Asia Asia Asia South South Selected Selected Selected All
- Foreign America America America Soviet Soviet n (WAP) (WAP) (WAP) (WAP) (WAP) America America Other Other Other Others
Commodity
none none United Canada Mexico Russia Ukraine none China India Indo- Paki- Thai- Argen- Brazil Aus- South Turkey none
- - States - - - - - - - nesia stan land tina - tralia Africa - -

---Million metric tons---

Wheat
2021/22 781.0 736.2 44.8 22.4 3.3 75.2 33.0 nr 136.9 109.6 0.0 27.5 0.0 22.2 7.7 36.2 2.3 16.0 244.0
2022/23 prel. 789.5 744.6 44.9 34.3 3.6 92.0 21.5 nr 137.7 104.0 0.0 26.4 0.0 12.6 10.6 39.7 2.1 17.3 242.9
2023/24 proj.
Sep 787.3 740.1 47.2 31.0 3.4 85.0 22.5 nr 137.0 113.5 0.0 28.0 0.0 16.5 10.3 26.0 2.2 19.5 245.2
Oct 783.4 734.1 49.3 31.0 3.5 85.0 22.5 nr 137.0 113.5 0.0 28.0 0.0 16.5 9.8 24.5 2.2 19.5 241.2

Coarse Grains
2021/22 1,503.6 1,105.9 397.7 25.1 32.8 38.5 53.5 nr 280.9 51.4 12.7 11.0 5.4 58.6 120.6 19.2 16.6 11.6 367.9
2022/23 prel. 1,444.4 1,086.3 358.1 30.5 33.8 44.1 33.9 nr 285.5 54.5 12.9 9.9 5.3 40.7 141.6 18.7 17.5 14.8 342.6
2023/24 proj.
Sep 1,496.5 1,097.4 399.1 26.7 33.2 39.8 34.5 nr 285.3 53.6 13.1 11.0 5.5 63.4 134.3 13.3 17.4 17.0 349.3
Oct 1,494.6 1,097.6 396.9 26.4 33.2 39.8 34.6 nr 285.3 53.6 13.1 11.0 5.5 63.6 134.3 13.0 17.4 17.0 349.9

Rice, Milled
2021/22 514.3 508.3 6.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.0 nr 149.0 129.5 34.4 9.3 19.9 0.8 7.3 0.5 0.0 0.5 156.1
2022/23 prel. 513.7 508.6 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.0 nr 145.9 136.0 34.0 5.5 20.9 0.8 7.0 0.4 0.0 0.6 156.8
2023/24 proj.
Sep 518.1 511.1 7.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.0 nr 149.0 132.0 34.5 9.0 19.5 0.8 6.8 0.5 0.0 0.5 157.5
Oct 518.1 511.1 7.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.0 nr 149.0 132.0 34.5 9.0 19.5 0.8 6.8 0.5 0.0 0.5 157.6

Total Grains
2021/22 2,798.9 2,350.3 448.6 47.5 36.2 114.4 86.6 nr 566.8 290.4 47.1 47.8 25.2 81.6 135.7 56.0 18.9 28.1 768.1
2022/23 prel. 2,747.6 2,339.5 408.1 64.9 37.5 136.7 55.4 nr 569.2 294.5 46.9 41.8 26.2 54.0 159.2 58.7 19.6 32.6 742.3
2023/24 proj.
Sep 2,801.9 2,348.6 453.3 57.7 36.8 125.5 57.0 nr 571.3 299.1 47.6 48.0 25.0 80.7 151.4 39.9 19.6 37.0 752.0
Oct 2,796.1 2,342.9 453.2 57.4 36.9 125.5 57.1 nr 571.3 299.1 47.6 48.0 25.0 80.9 150.9 38.1 19.6 37.0 748.6

Oilseeds
2021/22 611.7 480.4 131.4 20.5 0.9 23.1 24.3 nr 62.1 43.2 14.3 3.3 1.0 49.9 135.2 8.7 3.4 3.4 87.2
2022/23 prel. 629.2 503.4 125.8 25.3 0.9 26.6 19.8 nr 68.0 42.3 14.8 2.7 1.0 31.6 161.0 10.1 3.8 4.0 91.6
2023/24 proj.
Sep 660.9 538.7 122.2 25.0 0.8 27.0 23.1 nr 67.3 42.1 14.9 3.7 1.0 53.7 168.7 6.8 4.0 3.2 97.3
Oct 659.4 538.5 120.9 24.6 0.8 27.0 23.1 nr 67.3 40.9 14.9 3.7 1.0 54.5 168.9 6.7 4.0 3.1 97.8

Cotton
2021/22 114.6 97.1 17.5 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 26.8 24.4 0.0 6.0 0.0 1.4 10.8 5.9 0.1 3.8 15.1
2022/23 prel. 116.3 101.8 14.5 0.0 1.6 0.0 0.0 1.6 30.7 26.0 0.0 3.9 0.0 1.5 11.7 5.8 0.1 4.9 14.0
2023/24 proj.
Sep 112.4 99.3 13.1 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 27.0 25.0 0.0 6.5 0.0 1.2 13.8 5.4 0.1 3.5 14.5
Oct 112.6 99.8 12.8 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 27.0 25.0 0.0 6.5 0.0 1.3 14.6 5.1 0.1 3.5 14.6

1/ Includes wheat, coarse grains, and rice (milled) shown above.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 24 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 02 Wheat Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 221.92 220.61 223.93 223.10 3.52 3.58 3.52 3.51 781.01 789.50 787.34 783.43 -3.91 -0.50 -6.07 -0.77
United States 15.03 14.36 15.33 15.08 2.98 3.13 3.08 3.27 44.80 44.90 47.20 49.31 2.12 4.49 4.42 9.84
Total Foreign 206.88 206.25 208.60 208.01 3.56 3.61 3.55 3.53 736.21 744.60 740.14 734.12 -6.02 -0.81 -10.48 -1.41
none
European Union 24.29 24.38 24.25 24.25 5.69 5.50 5.53 5.53 138.16 134.19 134.00 134.00 0.00 0.00 -0.19 -0.14
United Kingdom 1.79 1.81 1.75 1.75 7.81 8.59 8.43 8.43 13.99 15.54 14.75 14.75 0.00 0.00 -0.79 -5.08
Serbia 0.60 0.62 0.73 0.73 5.71 5.16 4.97 4.97 3.40 3.20 3.60 3.60 0.00 0.00 0.40 12.50
China 23.57 23.52 23.70 23.70 5.81 5.86 5.78 5.78 136.95 137.72 137.00 137.00 0.00 0.00 -0.72 -0.52
South Asia
India 31.13 30.46 32.00 32.00 3.52 3.41 3.55 3.55 109.59 104.00 113.50 113.50 0.00 0.00 9.50 9.13
Pakistan 9.17 9.00 8.86 8.86 3.00 2.93 3.16 3.16 27.46 26.40 28.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 1.60 6.06
Afghanistan 2.05 2.20 2.35 2.35 2.45 2.05 2.20 2.20 5.02 4.50 5.17 5.17 0.00 0.00 0.67 14.89
Nepal 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 2.99 2.99 3.02 3.02 2.15 2.15 2.18 2.18 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.16
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 27.63 29.00 28.30 28.30 2.72 3.17 3.00 3.00 75.16 92.00 85.00 85.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 -7.61
Russia Winter 15.22 16.30 14.60 14.60 3.43 4.17 4.14 4.14 52.19 68.00 60.50 60.50 0.00 0.00 -7.50 -11.03
Russia Spring 12.41 12.70 13.70 13.70 1.85 1.89 1.79 1.79 22.96 24.00 24.50 24.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 2.08
Ukraine 7.41 5.60 5.00 5.00 4.45 3.84 4.50 4.50 33.01 21.50 22.50 22.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 4.65
Kazakhstan 12.72 12.81 13.60 13.60 0.93 1.28 1.10 0.96 11.81 16.40 15.00 13.00 -2.00 -13.33 -3.40 -20.75
Uzbekistan 1.24 1.40 1.40 1.40 4.83 4.48 4.50 4.50 5.99 6.27 6.30 6.30 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.48
Belarus 0.65 0.68 0.68 0.68 3.54 3.48 3.38 3.38 2.30 2.35 2.30 2.30 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -2.13
Canada 9.20 10.08 10.60 10.60 2.44 3.41 2.92 2.92 22.42 34.34 31.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 -3.34 -9.71
South America
Argentina 6.55 5.50 5.50 5.50 3.38 2.28 3.00 3.00 22.15 12.55 16.50 16.50 0.00 0.00 3.95 31.47
Brazil 2.74 3.09 3.40 3.40 2.81 3.43 3.03 2.88 7.70 10.60 10.30 9.80 -0.50 -4.85 -0.80 -7.55
Australia 12.73 13.05 12.60 12.60 2.85 3.04 2.06 1.94 36.24 39.69 26.00 24.50 -1.50 -5.77 -15.19 -38.26
Africa
Egypt 1.44 1.45 1.35 1.35 6.85 6.55 6.57 6.57 9.84 9.50 8.87 8.87 0.00 0.00 -0.63 -6.63
Morocco 2.86 2.50 2.55 2.55 2.64 1.08 1.63 1.63 7.54 2.70 4.16 4.16 0.00 0.00 1.46 54.07
Algeria 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.08 1.20 1.78 1.30 1.30 2.50 3.70 2.70 2.70 0.00 0.00 -1.00 -27.03
Ethiopia 1.95 1.90 2.50 1.90 2.83 3.05 3.00 2.89 5.52 5.80 7.50 5.50 -2.00 -26.67 -0.30 -5.17
Middle East
Turkey 7.05 6.80 7.20 7.20 2.27 2.54 2.71 2.71 16.00 17.25 19.50 19.50 0.00 0.00 2.25 13.04
Iran 6.00 6.20 6.20 6.20 2.00 2.13 2.26 2.26 12.00 13.20 14.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.80 6.06
Iraq 2.00 2.00 2.20 2.20 1.75 1.50 1.91 1.91 3.50 3.00 4.20 4.20 0.00 0.00 1.20 40.00
Syria 1.57 1.50 1.20 1.20 1.25 1.40 2.00 2.00 1.95 2.10 2.40 2.40 0.00 0.00 0.30 14.29
Mexico 0.55 0.59 0.55 0.56 6.00 6.07 6.25 6.19 3.28 3.57 3.44 3.47 0.03 0.76 -0.11 -3.00
Others 7.24 7.32 7.34 7.34 2.85 2.78 2.76 2.75 20.60 20.38 20.28 20.23 -0.05 -0.25 -0.16 -0.77

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 25 October 2023
Global Market Analysis
 Table 03 Total Coarse Grain Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 344.95 335.41 340.28 340.15 4.36 4.31 4.40 4.39 1,503.56 1,444.43 1,496.50 1,494.55 -1.95 -0.13 50.12 3.47
United States 38.34 35.35 39.24 39.28 10.37 10.13 10.17 10.10 397.71 358.10 399.10 396.91 -2.19 -0.55 38.81 10.84
Total Foreign 306.61 300.06 301.04 300.87 3.61 3.62 3.65 3.65 1,105.85 1,086.33 1,097.41 1,097.65 0.24 0.02 11.31 1.04
none
China 45.77 45.52 45.44 45.44 6.14 6.27 6.28 6.28 280.85 285.50 285.30 285.30 0.00 0.00 -0.20 -0.07
European Union 27.70 26.54 26.03 25.93 5.59 5.01 5.23 5.26 154.80 132.92 136.10 136.25 0.16 0.11 3.33 2.51
United Kingdom 1.43 1.34 1.39 1.39 5.88 6.46 6.00 6.00 8.41 8.67 8.33 8.33 0.00 0.00 -0.34 -3.95
South America
Brazil 23.37 24.10 24.77 24.77 5.16 5.88 5.42 5.42 120.62 141.60 134.33 134.33 0.00 0.00 -7.28 -5.14
Argentina 9.62 9.13 9.58 9.48 6.10 4.46 6.62 6.71 58.64 40.72 63.38 63.58 0.20 0.32 22.86 56.14
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 14.01 13.60 12.90 12.90 2.75 3.25 3.09 3.09 38.54 44.13 39.80 39.80 0.00 0.00 -4.33 -9.82
Ukraine 8.66 6.32 5.92 5.92 6.18 5.37 5.83 5.84 53.51 33.93 34.47 34.57 0.10 0.29 0.65 1.90
Kazakhstan 2.63 2.63 2.95 2.95 1.43 1.79 1.49 1.39 3.76 4.71 4.40 4.10 -0.30 -6.83 -0.62 -13.08
Belarus 0.99 1.03 1.05 1.05 3.05 3.11 3.09 3.09 3.00 3.20 3.23 3.23 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.94
Africa
Nigeria 13.70 13.50 13.40 13.40 1.56 1.59 1.54 1.54 21.40 21.51 20.70 20.70 0.00 0.00 -0.81 -3.75
South Africa 3.19 3.13 3.20 3.20 5.22 5.61 5.44 5.44 16.64 17.53 17.39 17.39 0.00 0.00 -0.14 -0.80
Tanzania 5.74 5.30 5.30 5.30 1.47 1.36 1.36 1.36 8.45 7.23 7.23 7.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Burkina Faso 4.20 4.24 4.20 4.20 1.00 1.16 1.13 1.13 4.20 4.92 4.75 4.75 0.00 0.00 -0.17 -3.49
Ethiopia 5.60 5.64 5.65 5.65 3.10 3.19 3.24 3.24 17.37 17.95 18.30 18.30 0.00 0.00 0.35 1.95
Egypt 1.17 1.16 1.18 1.18 7.11 7.13 7.15 7.15 8.31 8.30 8.46 8.46 0.00 0.00 0.16 1.93
Mali 5.16 4.80 4.80 4.80 1.23 1.49 1.42 1.42 6.34 7.15 6.80 6.80 0.00 0.00 -0.35 -4.87
India 23.35 23.80 24.34 24.34 2.20 2.29 2.20 2.20 51.39 54.53 53.59 53.59 0.00 0.00 -0.94 -1.72
Southeast Asia
Indonesia 3.90 3.95 4.00 4.00 3.26 3.27 3.28 3.28 12.70 12.90 13.10 13.10 0.00 0.00 0.20 1.55
Philippines 2.56 2.50 2.57 2.57 3.26 3.32 3.27 3.27 8.34 8.30 8.40 8.40 0.00 0.00 0.10 1.20
Vietnam 0.90 0.89 0.83 0.83 4.92 4.99 4.94 4.94 4.45 4.42 4.10 4.10 0.00 0.00 -0.32 -7.30
Thailand 1.23 1.21 1.28 1.28 4.36 4.35 4.27 4.27 5.35 5.25 5.45 5.45 0.00 0.00 0.20 3.81
Mexico 8.88 8.63 9.04 8.94 3.69 3.91 3.68 3.72 32.79 33.80 33.24 33.24 0.00 0.00 -0.56 -1.66
Canada 5.91 5.74 5.26 5.26 4.25 5.32 5.08 5.02 25.12 30.54 26.71 26.38 -0.33 -1.22 -4.16 -13.61
Australia 6.69 5.68 5.63 5.63 2.87 3.29 2.37 2.32 19.22 18.66 13.34 13.04 -0.30 -2.25 -5.62 -30.09
Middle East
Turkey 4.46 4.55 4.57 4.57 2.60 3.25 3.72 3.72 11.58 14.77 16.97 16.97 0.00 0.00 2.20 14.89
Iran 1.91 1.86 1.86 1.86 2.16 2.38 2.38 2.38 4.12 4.42 4.42 4.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02
Others 73.88 73.28 73.94 74.07 1.70 1.62 1.69 1.70 125.96 118.79 125.14 125.85 0.71 0.57 7.06 5.95

World and Selected Countries and Regions; Coarse Grain includes: Barley, Corn, Millet, Mixed Grains, Oats, Rye and Sorghum

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 26 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 04 Corn Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 207.30 200.87 204.63 204.74 5.88 5.75 5.93 5.93 1,218.71 1,154.99 1,214.29 1,214.47 0.19 0.02 59.48 5.15
United States 34.53 32.02 35.25 35.25 11.09 10.88 10.91 10.86 382.89 348.37 384.42 382.65 -1.77 -0.46 34.29 9.84
Total Foreign 172.77 168.85 169.38 169.49 4.84 4.78 4.90 4.91 835.82 806.62 829.87 831.82 1.95 0.23 25.20 3.12
none
China 43.32 43.07 43.00 43.00 6.29 6.44 6.44 6.44 272.55 277.20 277.00 277.00 0.00 0.00 -0.20 -0.07
South America
Brazil 21.80 22.40 22.90 22.90 5.32 6.12 5.63 5.63 116.00 137.00 129.00 129.00 0.00 0.00 -8.00 -5.84
Argentina 7.10 6.70 7.00 7.10 6.97 5.07 7.71 7.75 49.50 34.00 54.00 55.00 1.00 1.85 21.00 61.76
Bolivia 0.41 0.44 0.43 0.43 2.42 2.52 2.62 2.62 0.99 1.10 1.13 1.13 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.27
European Union 9.23 8.82 8.22 8.22 7.75 5.92 7.23 7.27 71.52 52.23 59.40 59.70 0.30 0.51 7.47 14.30
Africa
South Africa 3.00 2.95 3.00 3.00 5.38 5.81 5.60 5.60 16.14 17.10 16.80 16.80 0.00 0.00 -0.30 -1.75
Nigeria 6.00 5.80 5.70 5.70 2.12 2.20 2.11 2.11 12.75 12.74 12.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 -0.74 -5.77
Ethiopia 2.53 2.55 2.56 2.56 3.72 4.00 4.06 4.06 9.40 10.20 10.40 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.20 1.96
Egypt 0.93 0.93 0.95 0.95 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 7.44 7.44 7.60 7.60 0.00 0.00 0.16 2.15
Tanzania 4.40 4.00 4.00 4.00 1.60 1.48 1.48 1.48 7.04 5.90 5.90 5.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Malawi 1.75 1.82 1.79 1.79 2.62 2.05 1.96 1.96 4.58 3.72 3.51 3.51 0.00 0.00 -0.21 -5.57
Zambia 1.41 1.37 1.42 1.42 2.57 1.94 2.30 2.30 3.62 2.65 3.26 3.26 0.00 0.00 0.61 22.95
Kenya 2.17 1.90 2.00 2.00 1.52 1.53 1.60 1.60 3.30 2.90 3.20 3.20 0.00 0.00 0.30 10.34
Uganda 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Zimbabwe 1.95 1.90 1.80 1.80 1.39 0.76 0.83 0.83 2.72 1.45 1.50 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.05 3.23
Former Soviet Union - 12
Ukraine 5.49 4.05 4.00 4.00 7.68 6.67 7.00 7.00 42.13 27.00 28.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 3.70
Russia 2.90 2.64 2.50 2.50 5.25 6.00 5.84 5.84 15.23 15.83 14.60 14.60 0.00 0.00 -1.23 -7.78
South Asia
India 9.96 10.10 10.00 10.00 3.39 3.56 3.43 3.43 33.73 36.00 34.30 34.30 0.00 0.00 -1.70 -4.72
Pakistan 1.65 1.60 1.65 1.65 6.43 5.83 6.36 6.36 10.64 9.33 10.50 10.50 0.00 0.00 1.17 12.53
Nepal 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 2.82 2.82 2.82 2.82 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Southeast Asia
Indonesia 3.90 3.95 4.00 4.00 3.26 3.27 3.28 3.28 12.70 12.90 13.10 13.10 0.00 0.00 0.20 1.55
Philippines 2.56 2.50 2.57 2.57 3.26 3.32 3.27 3.27 8.34 8.30 8.40 8.40 0.00 0.00 0.10 1.20
Vietnam 0.90 0.89 0.83 0.83 4.92 4.99 4.94 4.94 4.45 4.42 4.10 4.10 0.00 0.00 -0.32 -7.30
Thailand 1.20 1.18 1.25 1.25 4.42 4.41 4.32 4.32 5.30 5.20 5.40 5.40 0.00 0.00 0.20 3.85
Mexico 7.09 6.89 7.25 7.15 3.77 4.06 3.78 3.83 26.76 28.00 27.40 27.40 0.00 0.00 -0.60 -2.14
Canada 1.46 1.44 1.50 1.50 9.99 10.07 10.20 10.20 14.61 14.54 15.30 15.30 0.00 0.00 0.76 5.23
Turkey 0.54 0.53 0.65 0.65 12.04 12.83 12.62 12.62 6.50 6.80 8.20 8.20 0.00 0.00 1.40 20.59
Others 27.04 26.38 26.35 26.46 2.68 2.55 2.67 2.68 72.38 67.15 70.35 71.00 0.65 0.92 3.85 5.73

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 27 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 05 Barley Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 49.78 47.22 47.15 47.27 2.92 3.21 3.01 3.00 145.34 151.70 141.89 141.77 -0.12 -0.08 -9.93 -6.55
United States 0.81 0.99 0.97 1.03 3.25 3.85 4.04 3.90 2.62 3.81 3.92 4.03 0.11 2.81 0.22 5.72
Total Foreign 48.98 46.23 46.18 46.24 2.91 3.20 2.99 2.98 142.72 147.89 137.97 137.74 -0.23 -0.17 -10.15 -6.86
none
European Union 10.27 10.29 10.34 10.37 5.06 5.02 4.69 4.69 52.01 51.65 48.45 48.65 0.20 0.41 -3.00 -5.80
United Kingdom 1.15 1.10 1.15 1.15 6.05 6.69 6.22 6.22 6.96 7.39 7.15 7.15 0.00 0.00 -0.24 -3.18
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 7.69 7.75 7.50 7.50 2.28 2.77 2.60 2.60 17.51 21.50 19.50 19.50 0.00 0.00 -2.00 -9.30
Ukraine 2.68 1.95 1.60 1.60 3.70 3.13 3.56 3.63 9.92 6.10 5.70 5.80 0.10 1.75 -0.30 -4.92
Kazakhstan 2.16 2.18 2.50 2.50 1.10 1.51 1.20 1.08 2.37 3.29 3.00 2.70 -0.30 -10.00 -0.59 -17.86
Belarus 0.35 0.40 0.40 0.40 2.86 2.75 2.75 2.75 1.00 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Azerbaijan 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.38 3.07 2.93 2.93 2.93 1.15 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Canada 3.01 2.64 2.70 2.70 2.32 3.79 2.96 2.96 6.98 9.99 8.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 -1.99 -19.90
Australia 5.10 4.13 4.20 4.20 2.81 3.43 2.38 2.31 14.34 14.14 10.00 9.70 -0.30 -3.00 -4.44 -31.39
Middle East
Turkey 3.70 3.80 3.70 3.70 1.22 1.95 2.22 2.22 4.50 7.40 8.20 8.20 0.00 0.00 0.80 10.81
Iran 1.70 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.59 1.82 1.82 1.82 2.70 3.00 3.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Iraq 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 1.17 1.13 1.33 1.33 0.70 0.68 0.80 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.12 17.65
Syria 1.44 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.18 0.78 1.22 1.22 0.25 0.70 1.10 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.40 57.14
Africa
Ethiopia 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.98 2.45 2.47 2.46 2.46 2.35 2.40 2.40 2.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Morocco 1.49 1.10 1.20 1.20 1.87 0.64 1.13 1.13 2.78 0.70 1.35 1.35 0.00 0.00 0.65 92.86
Algeria 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 0.93 1.56 1.00 1.00 0.95 1.60 1.03 1.03 0.00 0.00 -0.58 -35.94
Tunisia 0.28 0.30 0.20 0.20 1.54 1.53 0.85 0.85 0.43 0.46 0.17 0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.29 -63.04
South Africa 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 3.52 2.99 3.62 3.55 0.33 0.30 0.38 0.39 0.01 2.63 0.09 29.14
South America
Argentina 1.34 1.57 1.40 1.40 3.96 2.88 3.79 3.79 5.30 4.50 5.30 5.30 0.00 0.00 0.80 17.78
Uruguay 0.22 0.21 0.18 0.18 4.11 4.25 4.17 4.17 0.92 0.90 0.75 0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.15 -16.39
Brazil 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.13 3.79 3.92 3.96 3.96 0.43 0.48 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.70
India 0.59 0.45 0.74 0.74 2.80 3.02 2.30 2.30 1.66 1.37 1.69 1.69 0.00 0.00 0.32 23.36
China 0.51 0.51 0.50 0.50 3.92 3.92 4.00 4.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mexico 0.35 0.30 0.33 0.33 3.11 2.69 2.92 2.92 1.09 0.80 0.95 0.95 0.00 0.00 0.16 19.50
Afghanistan 0.04 0.08 0.08 0.08 1.63 1.38 1.38 1.38 0.07 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Others 1.74 1.74 1.72 1.74 2.32 2.45 2.48 2.48 4.04 4.26 4.25 4.31 0.06 1.41 0.06 1.36

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 28 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 06 Oats Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 9.63 9.35 8.36 8.41 2.36 2.70 2.46 2.43 22.68 25.27 20.57 20.45 -0.12 -0.58 -4.83 -19.10
United States 0.26 0.36 0.33 0.34 2.20 2.33 2.21 2.46 0.58 0.84 0.72 0.83 0.11 15.32 -0.01 -1.08
Total Foreign 9.36 8.99 8.03 8.07 2.36 2.72 2.47 2.43 22.10 24.44 19.85 19.62 -0.23 -1.16 -4.82 -19.72
none
European Union 2.54 2.36 2.27 2.31 2.93 3.20 2.94 2.92 7.46 7.55 6.67 6.75 0.08 1.20 -0.80 -10.64
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 2.17 2.13 1.80 1.80 1.72 2.11 1.94 1.94 3.73 4.50 3.50 3.50 0.00 0.00 -1.00 -22.22
Ukraine 0.18 0.15 0.15 0.15 2.61 2.47 2.33 2.33 0.48 0.38 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.03 -7.89
Belarus 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 2.33 2.42 2.26 2.26 0.35 0.38 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.03 -6.67
Kazakhstan 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.90 1.16 1.16 1.16 0.18 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -3.93
Canada 1.21 1.40 0.85 0.85 2.39 3.73 3.29 2.94 2.90 5.23 2.80 2.50 -0.30 -10.71 -2.73 -52.16
South America
Argentina 0.35 0.26 0.29 0.29 2.07 1.67 2.14 2.14 0.73 0.43 0.61 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.18 42.19
Brazil 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.51 2.27 2.38 2.39 2.39 1.14 1.19 1.22 1.22 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.52
Chile 0.12 0.07 0.10 0.10 4.70 4.38 4.74 4.74 0.58 0.32 0.45 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.14 42.86
Uruguay 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 2.21 2.40 2.20 2.20 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -38.89
Oceania
Australia 0.84 0.75 0.70 0.70 2.06 2.13 1.57 1.57 1.74 1.59 1.10 1.10 0.00 0.00 -0.49 -30.69
New Zealand 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 6.25 5.67 5.67 5.67 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
China 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 1.48 1.48 1.48 1.48 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Africa
Algeria 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Morocco 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.33 0.40 0.31 0.31 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -33.33
South Africa 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 1.64 1.04 2.00 1.79 0.06 0.03 0.06 0.05 -0.01 -16.67 0.02 78.57
Other Europe
United Kingdom 0.20 0.17 0.17 0.17 5.62 5.79 5.45 5.45 1.12 1.01 0.90 0.90 0.00 0.00 -0.11 -10.63
Norway 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.29 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Serbia 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 3.11 2.80 3.00 3.00 0.06 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.02 42.86
Albania 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 2.20 2.20 2.27 2.27 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.03
Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 2.82 4.00 3.43 3.43 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -45.45
Turkey 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mexico 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 2.02 2.22 2.00 2.00 0.09 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -20.35
Others 0.06 0.03 0.06 0.06 1.66 1.63 1.68 1.68 0.10 0.05 0.09 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.04 80.77

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 29 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 07 Rye Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 4.03 3.69 3.60 3.61 3.10 3.32 3.23 3.24 12.51 12.23 11.62 11.69 0.07 0.60 -0.54 -4.41
United States 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.13 2.09 2.26 2.19 2.03 0.25 0.31 0.36 0.26 -0.10 -26.46 -0.05 -15.38
Total Foreign 3.92 3.55 3.43 3.48 3.13 3.36 3.28 3.29 12.27 11.92 11.26 11.42 0.17 1.47 -0.49 -4.12
none
European Union 1.93 1.76 1.81 1.85 4.15 4.29 4.09 4.10 8.01 7.57 7.39 7.58 0.19 2.57 0.01 0.13
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 0.99 0.88 0.80 0.80 1.73 2.27 2.25 2.25 1.72 2.00 1.80 1.80 0.00 0.00 -0.20 -10.00
Belarus 0.33 0.30 0.31 0.31 2.46 2.50 2.52 2.52 0.80 0.75 0.78 0.78 0.00 0.00 0.03 4.00
Ukraine 0.18 0.10 0.08 0.08 3.43 3.15 2.88 2.88 0.60 0.32 0.23 0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.09 -26.98
Kazakhstan 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.91 1.76 1.36 1.36 0.04 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 -50.00
Turkey 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 2.87 2.91 2.91 2.91 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Canada 0.12 0.15 0.12 0.12 3.21 3.42 3.26 3.04 0.37 0.52 0.38 0.35 -0.03 -6.67 -0.17 -32.69
South America
Chile 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 -0.01 -100.00
Argentina 0.12 0.11 0.09 0.09 1.88 1.66 1.83 1.83 0.23 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -7.82
Other Europe
Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Switzerland 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Serbia 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 3.80 3.00 3.33 3.33 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.11
Australia 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Others 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 2.18 2.80 2.20 2.20 0.10 0.13 0.10 0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.03 -23.02

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 30 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 08 Sorghum Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 40.53 39.83 41.84 41.64 1.50 1.38 1.49 1.47 61.00 54.87 62.35 61.02 -1.33 -2.13 6.15 11.21
United States 2.63 1.85 2.53 2.53 4.33 2.58 3.82 3.61 11.38 4.77 9.68 9.13 -0.55 -5.67 4.36 91.49
Total Foreign 37.90 37.98 39.31 39.11 1.31 1.32 1.34 1.33 49.62 50.10 52.67 51.89 -0.78 -1.48 1.79 3.57
none
Africa
Nigeria 5.70 5.70 5.70 5.70 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 6.73 6.74 6.70 6.70 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -0.62
Ethiopia 1.65 1.66 1.66 1.66 2.70 2.53 2.65 2.65 4.45 4.20 4.40 4.40 0.00 0.00 0.20 4.76
Sudan 6.92 7.00 7.50 7.50 0.51 0.75 0.67 0.67 3.53 5.25 5.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 -0.25 -4.73
Burkina Faso 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90 0.87 1.06 1.00 1.00 1.64 2.01 1.90 1.90 0.00 0.00 -0.11 -5.66
Mali 1.55 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.81 1.05 1.00 1.00 1.25 1.58 1.50 1.50 0.00 0.00 -0.08 -5.18
Niger 3.52 3.70 3.70 3.70 0.34 0.32 0.51 0.51 1.21 1.20 1.90 1.90 0.00 0.00 0.70 58.33
Cameroon 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tanzania 1.04 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.04 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.08 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Egypt 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 4.90 5.00 5.00 5.00 0.77 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Uganda 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 1.32 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.33 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ghana 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 1.05 1.49 1.13 1.13 0.32 0.46 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.11 -24.41
Mozambique 0.25 0.15 0.25 0.25 0.64 1.04 0.64 0.64 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.01 4.58
South Africa 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 2.78 2.86 3.75 3.75 0.10 0.10 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.05 50.00
Mexico 1.40 1.40 1.42 1.42 3.47 3.50 3.38 3.38 4.84 4.89 4.80 4.80 0.00 0.00 -0.09 -1.88
South America
Argentina 0.70 0.50 0.80 0.60 4.12 3.22 4.13 4.17 2.88 1.61 3.30 2.50 -0.80 -24.24 0.89 55.28
Brazil 0.95 1.07 1.23 1.23 3.20 2.72 2.93 2.93 3.04 2.92 3.60 3.60 0.00 0.00 0.68 23.29
South Asia
India 3.80 3.75 4.10 4.10 1.09 1.07 1.07 1.07 4.15 4.00 4.40 4.40 0.00 0.00 0.40 10.00
Pakistan 0.08 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.83 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.06 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
China 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Australia 0.62 0.67 0.60 0.60 4.26 3.65 3.00 3.00 2.65 2.46 1.80 1.80 0.00 0.00 -0.66 -26.68
European Union 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.13 5.44 4.32 5.00 5.15 0.80 0.55 0.65 0.67 0.02 3.08 0.12 22.04
Others 5.57 5.52 5.48 5.48 0.98 1.03 1.05 1.05 5.44 5.66 5.75 5.75 0.00 0.00 0.09 1.50

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 31 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 09 Rice Area, Yield, and Production

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 165.58 165.55 166.00 165.99 4.64 4.63 4.66 4.66 514.35 513.68 518.08 518.14 0.05 0.01 4.45 0.87
United States 1.01 0.88 1.15 1.15 8.64 8.28 8.69 8.67 6.08 5.09 7.01 7.00 -0.01 -0.19 1.91 37.49
Total Foreign 164.58 164.67 164.84 164.83 4.61 4.62 4.63 4.63 508.26 508.59 511.07 511.14 0.07 0.01 2.54 0.50
none
East Asia
China 29.92 29.45 29.85 29.85 7.11 7.08 7.13 7.13 148.99 145.95 149.00 149.00 0.00 0.00 3.05 2.09
Japan 1.52 1.50 1.48 1.47 6.90 6.86 6.91 6.82 7.64 7.48 7.45 7.30 -0.15 -2.01 -0.18 -2.41
Korea, South 0.73 0.73 0.71 0.71 7.12 6.88 6.77 6.77 3.88 3.76 3.61 3.61 0.00 0.00 -0.15 -4.09
Korea, North 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.54 4.18 4.18 4.18 4.18 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.47 0.11 8.09 0.11 8.09
South Asia
India 46.28 47.70 47.00 47.00 4.20 4.28 4.21 4.21 129.47 136.00 132.00 132.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 -2.94
Bangladesh 11.62 11.60 11.65 11.65 4.63 4.70 4.69 4.69 35.85 36.35 36.40 36.40 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.14
Pakistan 3.54 3.00 3.50 3.50 3.95 2.75 3.86 3.86 9.32 5.50 9.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 3.50 63.64
Nepal 1.48 1.45 1.45 1.45 3.47 3.79 3.79 3.79 3.42 3.65 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sri Lanka 1.13 1.09 1.10 1.10 3.56 3.76 4.09 4.09 2.73 2.78 3.06 3.06 0.00 0.00 0.28 9.95
Southeast Asia
Indonesia 11.60 11.55 11.60 11.60 4.67 4.64 4.68 4.68 34.40 34.00 34.45 34.45 0.00 0.00 0.45 1.32
Vietnam 7.10 7.16 7.16 7.16 6.01 6.03 6.03 6.03 26.67 27.00 27.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Thailand 10.70 11.07 10.60 10.60 2.81 2.86 2.79 2.79 19.88 20.91 19.50 19.50 0.00 0.00 -1.41 -6.74
Burma 7.00 6.80 6.90 6.90 2.77 2.71 2.72 2.72 12.40 11.80 12.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 1.69
Philippines 4.80 4.85 4.80 4.80 4.15 4.13 4.17 4.17 12.54 12.63 12.60 12.60 0.00 0.00 -0.03 -0.20
Cambodia 3.27 3.31 3.37 3.37 2.89 2.94 2.92 2.92 5.77 5.93 6.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.13
Laos 0.94 0.95 0.95 0.95 3.28 3.26 3.21 3.21 1.95 1.95 1.92 1.92 0.00 0.00 -0.03 -1.54
Malaysia 0.65 0.66 0.66 0.66 3.97 3.99 4.08 4.08 1.68 1.70 1.75 1.75 0.00 0.00 0.05 2.94
South America
Brazil 1.62 1.47 1.40 1.40 6.67 7.01 7.14 7.14 7.34 7.00 6.80 6.80 0.00 0.00 -0.20 -2.91
Peru 0.42 0.42 0.43 0.43 8.37 8.55 8.52 8.52 2.43 2.48 2.50 2.50 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.64
Africa
Egypt 0.50 0.60 0.63 0.63 8.41 8.70 8.70 8.70 2.90 3.60 3.78 3.78 0.00 0.00 0.18 5.00
Madagascar 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 2.74 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.81 2.82 2.82 2.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nigeria 3.65 3.50 3.50 3.50 2.29 2.43 2.37 2.37 5.26 5.36 5.23 5.23 0.00 0.00 -0.13 -2.35
European Union 0.40 0.33 0.34 0.34 6.64 6.32 6.56 6.56 1.73 1.34 1.43 1.43 0.00 0.00 0.09 6.89
Iran 0.56 0.57 0.57 0.57 5.14 5.32 5.30 5.30 1.90 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.25
Others 13.04 12.82 13.10 13.06 3.02 2.99 2.98 3.00 25.95 25.24 25.77 25.87 0.11 0.41 0.63 2.50

Yield is on a rough basis, before the milling process. Production is on a milled basis, after the milling process.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 32 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 10 Total Oilseed Area, Yield, and Production

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent
World Total -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 611.72 629.19 660.89 659.36 -1.52 -0.23 30.18 4.80
Total Foreign -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 480.37 503.44 538.68 538.46 -0.22 -0.04 35.03 6.96
Oilseed, Copra -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 6.07 6.03 6.05 6.05 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.36
Oilseed, Palm Kernel -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 19.14 19.87 20.51 20.51 0.00 0.00 0.64 3.20
none
Major OilSeeds 260.95 266.25 270.21 270.91 2.25 2.27 2.35 2.34 586.52 603.29 634.33 632.81 -1.52 -0.24 29.52 4.89
United States 41.06 39.92 38.83 38.85 3.20 3.15 3.15 3.11 131.35 125.75 122.21 120.90 -1.31 -1.07 -4.85 -3.86
none
Foreign Oilseeds 219.88 226.33 231.38 232.07 2.07 2.11 2.21 2.21 455.17 477.54 512.12 511.91 -0.22 -0.04 34.37 7.20
South America 68.65 70.42 73.51 73.94 2.87 2.93 3.26 3.25 196.74 206.62 239.35 240.45 1.10 0.46 33.83 16.37
Brazil 43.23 45.76 47.55 47.54 3.12 3.51 3.54 3.55 135.03 160.85 168.54 168.79 0.25 0.15 7.94 4.94
Argentina 18.77 17.76 19.11 19.55 2.66 1.78 2.81 2.79 49.85 31.57 53.68 54.53 0.85 1.58 22.96 72.74
Paraguay 3.51 3.71 3.65 3.65 1.23 2.48 2.78 2.78 4.31 9.22 10.14 10.14 0.00 0.00 0.93 10.04
Bolivia 1.68 1.61 1.63 1.63 2.18 2.10 2.13 2.13 3.67 3.37 3.48 3.48 0.00 0.00 0.11 3.27
Uruguay 1.32 1.45 1.42 1.42 2.68 0.88 2.21 2.21 3.53 1.28 3.15 3.15 0.00 0.00 1.87 146.75
China 24.02 26.06 26.32 26.32 2.58 2.61 2.56 2.56 62.07 68.04 67.33 67.33 0.00 0.00 -0.71 -1.04
South Asia 41.74 43.54 44.72 44.57 1.11 1.04 1.03 1.01 46.52 45.22 46.06 44.82 -1.24 -2.69 -0.40 -0.88
India 38.48 40.13 40.55 40.40 1.10 1.03 1.01 0.99 42.19 41.26 41.10 39.86 -1.24 -3.02 -1.40 -3.39
Pakistan 2.53 2.49 3.26 3.26 1.31 1.08 1.14 1.14 3.31 2.69 3.72 3.72 0.00 0.00 1.02 37.97
European Union 11.09 12.34 12.50 12.59 2.80 2.58 2.71 2.71 31.08 31.88 33.80 34.06 0.26 0.77 2.19 6.85
United Kingdom 0.31 0.36 0.41 0.41 3.20 3.74 3.16 3.16 0.98 1.36 1.30 1.30 0.00 0.00 -0.07 -4.85
Former Soviet Union - 12 27.82 27.66 28.69 28.69 1.89 1.87 1.94 1.93 52.66 51.85 55.57 55.44 -0.13 -0.23 3.59 6.93
Russia 14.23 14.74 14.95 14.95 1.62 1.80 1.81 1.81 23.11 26.55 27.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 1.69
Ukraine 9.58 8.75 9.50 9.50 2.54 2.26 2.43 2.43 24.32 19.80 23.10 23.10 0.00 0.00 3.30 16.67
Uzbekistan 1.08 1.09 1.05 1.05 1.10 1.24 1.13 1.13 1.19 1.35 1.19 1.19 0.00 0.00 -0.16 -11.82
Canada 11.06 10.75 11.08 11.08 1.86 2.36 2.25 2.22 20.55 25.32 24.98 24.58 -0.40 -1.60 -0.75 -2.95
Africa 25.07 24.25 24.01 24.38 0.98 1.05 1.07 1.07 24.67 25.39 25.69 26.02 0.33 1.30 0.64 2.50
Nigeria 4.97 4.87 4.87 4.87 1.11 1.15 1.15 1.15 5.50 5.61 5.60 5.60 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.25
South Africa 1.76 1.88 1.98 1.98 1.92 2.02 2.03 2.03 3.37 3.80 4.02 4.02 0.00 0.00 0.22 5.68
Tanzania 1.34 1.36 1.35 1.47 0.90 0.91 0.93 0.87 1.21 1.23 1.25 1.28 0.02 1.84 0.04 3.49
Southeast Asia 3.12 3.08 3.05 3.05 1.36 1.36 1.39 1.39 4.23 4.18 4.23 4.23 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.12
Burma 1.95 1.94 1.95 1.95 1.16 1.18 1.24 1.24 2.25 2.28 2.41 2.41 0.00 0.00 0.13 5.47
Indonesia 0.90 0.87 0.84 0.84 1.55 1.52 1.49 1.49 1.39 1.32 1.26 1.26 0.00 0.00 -0.07 -4.92
Australia 3.94 4.61 4.07 4.02 2.20 2.19 1.67 1.67 8.68 10.11 6.82 6.73 -0.09 -1.32 -3.39 -33.48
Turkey 1.32 1.48 1.26 1.26 2.55 2.69 2.53 2.49 3.37 3.98 3.19 3.14 -0.05 -1.57 -0.84 -21.16
Others 1.75 1.78 1.77 1.77 2.06 2.02 2.16 2.16 3.62 3.59 3.82 3.82 0.00 0.00 0.23 6.35

World Total and Total Foreign: (Major Oilseeds plus copra and palm kernel) Major Oilseeds: (soybeans, sunflowerseeds, peanuts(inshell), cottonseed and
rapeseed)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 33 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 11 Soybean Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 131.45 136.11 138.98 139.23 2.74 2.72 2.89 2.87 360.43 370.24 401.33 399.50 -1.82 -0.45 29.26 7.90
United States 34.93 34.87 33.50 33.50 3.48 3.33 3.37 3.33 121.53 116.22 112.84 111.70 -1.13 -1.00 -4.51 -3.88
Total Foreign 96.52 101.24 105.48 105.73 2.48 2.51 2.74 2.72 238.91 254.03 288.49 287.80 -0.69 -0.24 33.77 13.29
none
South America
Brazil 41.60 43.90 45.60 45.60 3.14 3.55 3.57 3.57 130.50 156.00 163.00 163.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 4.49
Argentina 15.90 14.40 16.40 16.40 2.76 1.74 2.93 2.93 43.90 25.00 48.00 48.00 0.00 0.00 23.00 92.00
Paraguay 3.42 3.60 3.55 3.55 1.22 2.51 2.82 2.82 4.18 9.05 10.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.95 10.50
Bolivia 1.53 1.48 1.50 1.50 2.27 2.17 2.20 2.20 3.46 3.20 3.30 3.30 0.00 0.00 0.10 3.13
Uruguay 1.16 1.10 1.28 1.28 2.80 0.64 2.27 2.27 3.23 0.70 2.90 2.90 0.00 0.00 2.20 314.29
East Asia
China 8.42 10.24 10.45 10.45 1.95 1.98 1.96 1.96 16.40 20.28 20.50 20.50 0.00 0.00 0.22 1.08
Korea, South 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.07 2.06 2.03 1.93 1.93 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.77
Korea, North 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Japan 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 1.63 1.58 1.63 1.63 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.02 6.30
India 12.15 13.00 13.00 13.00 0.98 0.95 0.92 0.85 11.89 12.41 12.00 11.00 -1.00 -8.33 -1.41 -11.37
Canada 2.08 2.12 2.25 2.25 2.99 3.09 2.98 2.98 6.22 6.54 6.70 6.70 0.00 0.00 0.16 2.40
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 2.99 3.36 3.45 3.45 1.59 1.79 1.74 1.74 4.76 6.00 6.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07
Ukraine 1.44 1.82 2.00 2.00 2.64 2.25 2.40 2.40 3.80 4.10 4.80 4.80 0.00 0.00 0.70 17.07
European Union 1.01 1.13 1.10 1.10 2.82 2.26 2.79 2.79 2.83 2.55 3.05 3.05 0.00 0.00 0.50 19.42
Southeast Asia
Indonesia 0.35 0.33 0.32 0.32 1.21 1.18 1.17 1.17 0.43 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -3.85
Vietnam 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1.61 1.60 1.61 1.61 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 -6.25
Thailand 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Burma 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.04 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -3.85
Serbia 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 2.28 1.70 2.77 2.77 0.54 0.40 0.65 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.25 62.91
Mexico 0.18 0.12 0.15 0.15 1.57 1.52 1.57 1.57 0.29 0.18 0.24 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.06 34.29
Africa
South Africa 0.93 1.15 1.20 1.20 2.41 2.40 2.33 2.33 2.23 2.76 2.80 2.80 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.63
Nigeria 1.20 1.20 1.15 1.15 0.93 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.12 1.18 1.15 1.15 0.00 0.00 -0.03 -2.54
Zambia 0.30 0.38 0.38 0.38 1.35 1.27 1.27 1.27 0.41 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Uganda 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 1.20 1.18 1.18 1.18 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Middle East
Iran 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.07 2.29 2.27 2.36 2.36 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -2.94
Turkey 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 3.91 4.14 4.12 4.12 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -3.45
Others 0.82 0.86 0.64 0.89 1.78 1.77 1.97 1.76 1.46 1.53 1.26 1.57 0.31 24.56 0.05 3.01

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 34 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 12 Cottonseed Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 31.80 31.28 31.19 31.38 1.31 1.36 1.32 1.32 41.55 42.54 41.22 41.32 0.10 0.25 -1.22 -2.86
United States 4.16 2.96 3.25 3.25 1.16 1.35 1.12 1.09 4.83 4.01 3.63 3.54 -0.09 -2.53 -0.47 -11.66
Total Foreign 27.65 28.33 27.95 28.13 1.33 1.36 1.35 1.34 36.72 38.53 37.59 37.79 0.20 0.52 -0.75 -1.94
none
South Asia
India 12.37 13.00 12.60 12.70 0.84 0.85 0.84 0.84 10.36 11.04 10.61 10.61 0.00 0.00 -0.42 -3.84
Pakistan 2.00 1.80 2.60 2.60 1.30 0.94 1.08 1.08 2.60 1.69 2.82 2.82 0.00 0.00 1.13 66.73
China 3.10 3.15 2.90 2.90 3.39 3.82 3.65 3.65 10.50 12.03 10.58 10.58 0.00 0.00 -1.45 -12.05
Former Soviet Union - 12
Uzbekistan 1.06 1.07 1.03 1.03 1.06 1.21 1.10 1.10 1.12 1.29 1.14 1.14 0.00 0.00 -0.16 -12.14
Turkmenistan 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tajikistan 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 1.09 1.11 1.15 1.15 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.72
Kazakhstan 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.84 1.05 0.88 0.88 0.09 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.03 -19.85
South America
Brazil 1.37 1.60 1.67 1.66 2.62 2.43 2.74 2.91 3.59 3.89 4.58 4.83 0.25 5.50 0.94 24.24
Argentina 0.48 0.51 0.41 0.45 1.06 1.06 1.03 1.05 0.51 0.55 0.42 0.47 0.05 11.61 -0.07 -13.58
Middle East
Turkey 0.45 0.56 0.44 0.44 2.76 2.88 2.60 2.60 1.24 1.60 1.14 1.14 0.00 0.00 -0.46 -28.56
Syria 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Iran 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 1.35 1.35 1.18 1.18 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -12.59
Australia 0.64 0.65 0.52 0.47 2.77 2.68 3.15 3.29 1.76 1.74 1.62 1.53 -0.09 -5.55 -0.21 -12.06
European Union 0.32 0.31 0.26 0.25 1.66 1.70 1.54 1.45 0.53 0.53 0.40 0.36 -0.04 -9.73 -0.16 -31.05
Africa
Burkina Faso 0.60 0.62 0.49 0.49 0.45 0.35 0.39 0.39 0.27 0.21 0.19 0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -9.81
Mali 0.72 0.60 0.70 0.70 0.56 0.35 0.50 0.50 0.40 0.21 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.15 69.71
Cameroon 0.23 0.23 0.25 0.25 1.39 1.29 1.33 1.33 0.32 0.30 0.33 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.03 8.33
Cote d'Ivoire 0.47 0.41 0.39 0.39 0.60 0.29 0.52 0.52 0.28 0.12 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.08 70.59
Benin 0.64 0.57 0.53 0.53 0.73 0.64 0.73 0.73 0.47 0.36 0.39 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.02 6.59
Tanzania 0.34 0.36 0.35 0.47 0.33 0.37 0.43 0.38 0.11 0.13 0.15 0.18 0.02 15.13 0.04 32.58
Egypt 0.09 0.14 0.11 0.11 1.00 0.92 0.96 0.96 0.09 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -17.83
Nigeria 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Uganda 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Zimbabwe 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sudan 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 1.53 1.53 1.53 1.53 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mexico 0.15 0.20 0.15 0.15 2.71 2.70 2.51 2.51 0.42 0.54 0.38 0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.16 -30.37
Burma 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.81 0.76 1.25 1.25 0.13 0.11 0.19 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.08 70.18
Others 0.70 0.62 0.63 0.63 0.74 0.82 0.75 0.75 0.52 0.51 0.47 0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -7.83

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 35 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 13 Peanut Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 30.69 29.05 29.69 29.49 1.69 1.70 1.71 1.71 51.89 49.33 50.76 50.52 -0.23 -0.46 1.20 2.42
United States 0.62 0.56 0.65 0.65 4.63 4.49 4.43 4.38 2.89 2.51 2.87 2.83 -0.03 -1.19 0.32 12.73
Total Foreign 30.06 28.49 29.04 28.84 1.63 1.64 1.65 1.65 49.01 46.81 47.89 47.69 -0.20 -0.42 0.88 1.87
none
China 4.81 4.80 4.82 4.82 3.81 3.81 3.86 3.86 18.31 18.30 18.60 18.60 0.00 0.00 0.30 1.64
Africa
Nigeria 3.50 3.40 3.45 3.45 1.21 1.26 1.25 1.25 4.23 4.28 4.30 4.30 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.37
Sudan 3.94 3.00 3.00 3.00 0.60 0.83 0.83 0.83 2.36 2.50 2.50 2.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Senegal 1.21 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.38 1.23 1.40 1.40 1.68 1.50 1.72 1.72 0.00 0.00 0.21 14.18
Cameroon 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ghana 0.34 0.37 0.37 0.37 1.48 1.65 1.62 1.62 0.50 0.61 0.60 0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -1.80
Chad 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.76 1.06 1.10 1.09 1.09 0.80 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12
Malawi 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Congo (Kinshasa) 0.52 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Niger 0.92 0.97 0.92 0.92 0.56 0.69 0.65 0.65 0.52 0.67 0.60 0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.07 -10.58
Mali 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.78 1.04 1.00 1.00 0.35 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -4.06
Uganda 0.39 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.65 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.25 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Burkina Faso 0.58 0.63 0.64 0.64 0.83 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.48 0.56 0.58 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.02 2.86
Guinea 0.79 0.90 0.90 0.90 1.15 1.14 1.11 1.11 0.91 1.03 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 -0.03 -2.44
Egypt 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 3.42 3.20 3.20 3.20 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Central African Republic 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
South Africa 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.04 1.51 2.23 2.00 2.00 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.45
Mozambique 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cote d'Ivoire 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 1.42 1.47 1.45 1.45 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.23
Benin 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 1.05 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.18 0.16 0.18 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 6.71
South Asia
India 5.71 5.00 5.50 5.30 1.52 1.26 1.20 1.21 8.70 6.30 6.60 6.40 -0.20 -3.03 0.10 1.59
Pakistan 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.94 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.15 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Southeast Asia
Indonesia 0.55 0.54 0.52 0.52 1.76 1.72 1.69 1.69 0.96 0.93 0.88 0.88 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -5.38
Burma 1.06 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.51 1.55 1.59 1.59 1.60 1.65 1.70 1.70 0.00 0.00 0.05 3.03
Vietnam 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 2.58 2.58 2.60 2.60 0.41 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -2.50
Thailand 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
South America
Argentina 0.41 0.37 0.38 0.38 3.29 2.59 3.47 3.47 1.34 0.96 1.32 1.32 0.00 0.00 0.36 37.07
Brazil 0.22 0.22 0.24 0.24 4.09 4.05 3.79 3.79 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mexico 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 1.63 1.87 1.74 1.74 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -8.91
Others 1.77 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.16 1.17 1.17 1.17 2.06 2.11 2.12 2.12 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.33

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 36 October 2023
Global Market Analysis
 Table 14 Sunflowerseed Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 28.55 27.97 28.09 28.43 1.99 1.87 1.99 1.98 56.86 52.42 55.85 56.42 0.58 1.03 4.00 7.63
United States 0.50 0.65 0.52 0.51 1.71 1.96 1.98 1.95 0.86 1.28 1.03 1.00 -0.04 -3.40 -0.28 -21.96
Total Foreign 28.04 27.32 27.57 27.92 2.00 1.87 1.99 1.99 55.99 51.15 54.82 55.43 0.61 1.11 4.28 8.37
none
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 9.61 9.11 9.50 9.50 1.62 1.78 1.84 1.84 15.57 16.25 17.50 17.50 0.00 0.00 1.25 7.67
Ukraine 7.10 5.70 6.00 6.00 2.46 2.14 2.33 2.33 17.50 12.20 14.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 1.80 14.75
Kazakhstan 0.94 1.09 1.15 1.15 1.10 1.20 1.13 1.04 1.03 1.30 1.30 1.20 -0.10 -7.69 -0.10 -7.98
European Union 4.37 4.97 4.96 4.96 2.36 1.85 2.15 2.15 10.33 9.21 10.65 10.65 0.00 0.00 1.44 15.67
South America
Argentina 1.96 2.45 1.90 2.30 2.07 2.05 2.05 2.04 4.05 5.02 3.90 4.70 0.80 20.51 -0.32 -6.36
Uruguay 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 2.00 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00
Bolivia 0.16 0.13 0.13 0.13 1.32 1.27 1.35 1.35 0.21 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 6.06
Brazil 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 1.03 1.56 1.55 1.55 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.56
Paraguay 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1.55 1.56 1.50 1.50 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -10.00
China 0.70 0.60 0.80 0.80 3.06 3.17 2.81 2.81 2.15 1.90 2.25 2.25 0.00 0.00 0.35 18.42
South Asia
India 0.27 0.33 0.25 0.20 0.52 0.66 0.76 0.75 0.14 0.22 0.19 0.15 -0.04 -21.05 -0.07 -30.23
Pakistan 0.05 0.11 0.10 0.10 1.58 1.35 1.35 1.35 0.08 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -8.78
Middle East
Turkey 0.76 0.79 0.70 0.70 2.30 2.41 2.29 2.21 1.75 1.90 1.60 1.55 -0.05 -3.13 -0.35 -18.42
Iran 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 1.00 1.02 1.05 1.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.27
Israel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 5.00 4.00 4.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00
Africa
Egypt 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 2.38 2.53 2.50 2.50 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.01 31.58
Morocco 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 1.25 1.11 1.27 1.27 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.01 40.00
South Africa 0.67 0.56 0.60 0.60 1.26 1.31 1.46 1.46 0.85 0.73 0.88 0.88 0.00 0.00 0.15 19.86
Burma 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Canada 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 2.03 2.21 2.21 2.21 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -10.71
Australia 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 1.58 1.48 1.48 1.48 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Others 0.63 0.66 0.66 0.66 2.59 2.07 2.28 2.28 1.64 1.37 1.50 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.13 9.52

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 37 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 15 Rapeseed Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 38.46 41.84 42.26 42.39 1.97 2.12 2.02 2.01 75.79 88.76 85.18 85.04 -0.14 -0.17 -3.72 -4.19
United States 0.85 0.88 0.91 0.94 1.46 1.98 2.02 1.95 1.24 1.74 1.85 1.83 -0.01 -0.76 0.09 5.11
Total Foreign 37.61 40.96 41.35 41.45 1.98 2.12 2.02 2.01 74.54 87.02 83.34 83.21 -0.13 -0.16 -3.81 -4.38
none
European Union 5.39 5.93 6.18 6.28 3.22 3.30 3.19 3.18 17.39 19.59 19.70 20.00 0.30 1.52 0.41 2.09
United Kingdom 0.31 0.36 0.41 0.41 3.20 3.74 3.16 3.16 0.98 1.36 1.30 1.30 0.00 0.00 -0.07 -4.85
Switzerland 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 3.14 3.14 3.14 3.14 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Canada 8.95 8.60 8.80 8.80 1.59 2.17 2.07 2.02 14.25 18.70 18.20 17.80 -0.40 -2.20 -0.90 -4.79
China 6.99 7.27 7.35 7.35 2.10 2.14 2.10 2.10 14.71 15.53 15.40 15.40 0.00 0.00 -0.13 -0.84
South Asia
India 7.99 8.80 9.20 9.20 1.39 1.28 1.27 1.27 11.10 11.30 11.70 11.70 0.00 0.00 0.40 3.54
Pakistan 0.32 0.45 0.43 0.43 1.50 1.64 1.53 1.53 0.48 0.74 0.65 0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.09 -12.16
Bangladesh 0.61 0.81 0.80 0.80 1.35 1.30 1.29 1.29 0.82 1.05 1.03 1.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -1.90
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 1.62 2.27 2.00 2.00 1.71 1.89 1.75 1.75 2.78 4.30 3.50 3.50 0.00 0.00 -0.80 -18.60
Ukraine 1.04 1.23 1.50 1.50 2.91 2.85 2.87 2.87 3.02 3.50 4.30 4.30 0.00 0.00 0.80 22.86
Belarus 0.39 0.36 0.40 0.40 1.83 2.22 2.25 2.25 0.72 0.80 0.90 0.90 0.00 0.00 0.10 12.50
Kazakhstan 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 1.24 1.48 1.38 1.15 0.15 0.19 0.18 0.15 -0.03 -16.67 -0.04 -20.63
Australia 3.25 3.90 3.50 3.50 2.10 2.12 1.46 1.46 6.82 8.27 5.10 5.10 0.00 0.00 -3.17 -38.35
South America
Chile 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.04 3.86 3.79 3.82 3.82 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.02 16.00
Paraguay 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 1.45 1.51 1.50 1.50 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -7.35
Ethiopia 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Others 0.51 0.73 0.53 0.53 2.02 1.89 2.02 2.01 1.03 1.38 1.06 1.06 0.00 0.00 -0.32 -23.12

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 38 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 16 Copra, Palm Kernel, and Palm Oil Production

Production Change in Production

(Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MMT Percent MMT Percent

Oilseed, Copra
Philippines 2.60 2.60 2.70 2.70 0.00 0.00 0.10 3.85
Indonesia 1.68 1.68 1.69 1.69 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.60
India 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Vietnam 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Papua New Guinea 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Thailand 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sri Lanka 0.11 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mexico 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Solomon Islands 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00
Cote d'Ivoire 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
World 6.07 6.03 6.05 6.05 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.33

Oilseed, Palm Kernel

Indonesia 11.20 11.80 12.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 1.69
Malaysia 4.45 4.49 4.70 4.70 0.00 0.00 0.21 4.68
Nigeria 0.90 0.90 1.10 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.20 22.22
Thailand 0.83 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Colombia 0.32 0.33 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.02 6.06
Guatemala 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Papua New Guinea 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 5.88
Honduras 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Brazil 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.01 6.67
Cameroon 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
World 19.14 19.87 20.51 20.51 0.00 0.00 0.64 3.22

Oil, Palm
Indonesia 42.00 46.00 47.00 47.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 2.17
Malaysia 18.15 18.40 19.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 3.26
Thailand 3.38 3.42 3.45 3.45 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.88
Colombia 1.76 1.80 1.90 1.90 0.00 0.00 0.10 5.56
Nigeria 1.40 1.40 1.50 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.10 7.14
Guatemala 0.88 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.10
Papua New Guinea 0.72 0.78 0.80 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.02 2.56
Cote d'Ivoire 0.58 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Honduras 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Brazil 0.55 0.57 0.59 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.75
World 72.96 77.58 79.46 79.46 0.00 0.00 1.88 2.42

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 39 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 17 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Kilograms per hectare) (Million 480 lb. bales)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct 2021/22 2022/23 Sep Oct MBales Percent MBales Percent
World 32.33 31.81 31.78 31.94 772 796 770 768 114.65 116.27 112.39 112.60 0.21 0.19 -3.66 -3.15
United States 4.16 2.96 3.25 3.25 918 1,065 881 860 17.52 14.47 13.13 12.82 -0.32 -2.40 -1.65 -11.41
Total Foreign 28.17 28.85 28.54 28.70 751 768 757 757 97.13 101.80 99.26 99.79 0.53 0.53 -2.01 -1.98
none
South Asia
India 12.37 13.00 12.60 12.70 429 435 432 429 24.40 26.00 25.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 -3.85
Pakistan 2.00 1.80 2.60 2.60 653 472 544 544 6.00 3.90 6.50 6.50 0.00 0.00 2.60 66.67
China 3.10 3.15 2.90 2.90 1,882 2,122 2,027 2,027 26.80 30.70 27.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 -3.70 -12.05
South America
Brazil 1.37 1.60 1.67 1.66 1,720 1,595 1,799 1,910 10.82 11.72 13.80 14.56 0.76 5.51 2.84 24.23
Argentina 0.48 0.51 0.41 0.45 624 627 611 617 1.38 1.48 1.15 1.28 0.13 10.87 -0.20 -13.56
Paraguay 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.03 527 877 806 806 0.05 0.14 0.10 0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -29.08
Africa
Burkina Faso 0.60 0.62 0.49 0.49 351 273 311 311 0.96 0.78 0.70 0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.08 -9.68
Mali 0.72 0.60 0.70 0.70 432 269 389 389 1.43 0.74 1.25 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.52 70.07
Cote d'Ivoire 0.47 0.41 0.39 0.39 486 236 424 424 1.05 0.45 0.76 0.76 0.00 0.00 0.32 70.79
Benin 0.64 0.57 0.53 0.53 483 418 483 483 1.42 1.10 1.18 1.18 0.00 0.00 0.08 6.82
Egypt 0.09 0.14 0.11 0.11 717 661 693 693 0.28 0.43 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.08 -17.65
Cameroon 0.23 0.23 0.25 0.25 606 563 578 578 0.64 0.60 0.65 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.05 8.33
Tanzania 0.34 0.36 0.35 0.47 164 184 218 220 0.26 0.31 0.35 0.47 0.12 34.29 0.17 54.10
Nigeria 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 282 282 282 282 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Zimbabwe 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.24 191 195 195 195 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ethiopia 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.06 687 726 637 713 0.16 0.18 0.24 0.18 -0.06 -25.00 0.00 0.00
Former Soviet Union - 12
Uzbekistan 1.06 1.07 1.03 1.03 588 671 613 613 2.87 3.30 2.90 2.90 0.00 0.00 -0.40 -12.12
Turkmenistan 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 356 356 356 356 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tajikistan 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 608 615 640 640 0.48 0.48 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.02 4.17
Kazakhstan 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.12 467 584 490 490 0.24 0.34 0.27 0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.07 -19.40
Middle East
Turkey 0.45 0.56 0.44 0.44 1,839 1,922 1,732 1,732 3.80 4.90 3.50 3.50 0.00 0.00 -1.40 -28.57
Syria 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1,132 1,132 1,132 1,132 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Iran 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 871 871 762 762 0.40 0.40 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -12.50
Australia 0.64 0.65 0.52 0.47 2,006 1,943 2,283 2,388 5.85 5.80 5.40 5.10 -0.30 -5.56 -0.70 -12.07
Mexico 0.15 0.20 0.15 0.15 1,725 1,720 1,597 1,597 1.22 1.58 1.10 1.10 0.00 0.00 -0.48 -30.38
Burma 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.16 660 653 660 660 0.48 0.45 0.47 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.02 4.44
Others 1.77 1.66 1.67 1.66 561 583 542 529 4.56 4.46 4.15 4.03 -0.12 -2.89 -0.43 -9.58

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 40 October 2023

Global Market Analysis
 TABLE 18
The table below presents a record of the October projection and the final Estimate. Using world wheat production as an
example, the "root mean square error" means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current forecast will not be above or
below the final estimate by more than 1.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90% confidence level) that the difference will
not exceed 2.7 percent. The average difference between the October projection and the final estimate is 7.0 million tons,
ranging from 0.1 million to 26.7 million tons. The October projection has been below the estimate 30 times and above 11
times.
RELIABILITY OF PRODUCTION PROJECTIONS 1/
Difference between forecast and final estimate
90 percent
COMMODITY AND Root mean
confidence Years
REGION square error
interval Below Above
Average Smallest Largest final final

Percent ---Million metric tons---

WHEAT
World 1.6 2.7 7.0 0.1 26.7 30 11

U.S. 0.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.2 12 17

Foreign 1.8 3.0 7.0 0.1 26.8 30 11

COARSE GRAINS 2/
World 1.9 3.2 15.8 0.8 51.9 31 10

U.S. 2.6 4.4 4.8 0.1 17.9 23 18

Foreign 2.4 4.1 14.9 0.6 61.4 32 9

RICE (Milled)
World 2.2 3.7 6.2 0.0 20.9 32 8

3.2 5.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 23 18

U.S.
Foreign 2.2 3.8 6.2 0.1 21.0 32 9

SOYBEANS
World 4.5 7.6 7.5 0.1 31.9 19 22

U.S. 2.8 4.7 1.5 0.0 4.0 17 24

Foreign 7.2 12.2 7.3 0.0 31.5 18 23

COTTON ---Million 480-lb. bales---

World 4.4 7.4 2.9 0.0 10.9 21 19

U.S. 5.4 9.0 0.7 0.0 2.4 23 18

Foreign 5.0 8.4 2.6 0.0 10.5 19 21

UNITED STATES -------Million bushels-------

CORN 2.8 4.7 187 5 618 22 19

SORGHUM 6.7 11.2 19 0 71 22 18

BARLEY 1.4 2.4 3 0 24 9 16

OATS 2.4 4.0 2 0 18 6 12

1/ Marketing years 1981/82 through 2022/23 for grains, soybeans, and cotton. Final for grains, soybeans, and
cotton is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year for 1981/82 through 2021/22,
and for 2022/23 the last month’s estimate.
2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain
October 2023 Global Market Analysis, FAS, USDA

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 41 October 2023

Global Market Analysis