DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS

Ronaldo O. Rogel, EnP

Adjunct Associate Professor
DCERP, College of Human Ecology
University of the Philippines Los Baños
January 14, 2017
Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro
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“For us to plan properly,
we must manage our population…”

Goodluck Jonathan
President of Nigeria 2010-2015
 WHAT IS DEMOGRAPHY?
From the Greek language, demography means
description of people.
From the Multi-Lingual demographic dictionary of
the United Nations, demography is defined as:
• scientific study of human population primarily with
respect to size, structure and development.
• concerned with current size and characteristics of
human population, how they were attainted and
how they are changing.
 Demography or population studies
represents the starting point for planning at all scales

Plans are by nature

oriented toward the
future, estimates of the
composition of a given
population at a future
date will be necessary

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 POPULATION
refers to the total number of individuals in a territory at a
specified time.

Population is the basis for

determining whether the
level of public services like
schools, health centers,
recreational facilities, power
and water supply, is
adequate/inadequate or
accessible/inaccessible.

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 Demography or population studies
represents the starting point for planning at all scales

Provides guidelines for

deciding total land
requirements and the basis of
land between various
competing land uses

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 Demography or population studies
represents the starting point for planning at all scales

Population make-up and distribution dictates the

policy for most of the human settlements needs
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Fig. 4.13

8
 Demographic analysis ANALYSIS
DEMOGRAPHIC

Generates relevant population

1 data in a specific area

Involves the determination of present trends

2 governing changes in population statistics as
well as future population shifts in a given area

Can readily be accessed from the

3 National Census conducted nationwide
at regular five-year intervals

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 DEMOGRAPHIC
Demographic analysis ANALYSIS
In undertaking demographic analysis, three aspects of the
population must be studied:

CHARACTERISTICS
SIZE

DISTRIBUTION
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Population studies
POPULATION STUDIES
DATA EXISTING TRENDS IN FUTURE
POPULATION POPULATION POPULATION

Size Current Any symptoms Prediction

population of change?

Characteristics Breakdown of Trend Prediction

population (increasing,
stable,
decreasing)
Distribution Examine Alteration in Prediction
distribution the distribution
 DEMOGRAPHIC MODELS

1 Fundamental Demographic Methods

Trend Models
Treat the population as a whole
Composition Models
without disaggregation with Treat a given population as an
respect to age, sex or other aggregate of the various
characteristics. groups, and the evolution of the
population results (in part) from
the interaction of these groups
DEMOGRAPHIC MODELS

2 Methods of Population Projection

Mathematical Method
Estimates future population
Economic Method
Projects future population based on
economic conditions
Component or Cohort-Survival
Method
Projects population by demographic
components
 -----------

-----------
- - -POPULATION CHANGE- - -
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 FERTILITY
-----------------

refers to the live births that occur within a

population.

-----------------
 Crude Birth Rate (CBR)
-----------------
refers to the number of births divided by the midyear
population, usually expressed in terms of thousands.
It is the simplest and most commonly used index of
fertility.

-----------------
 CBR = _B_ X 1000
P
Where:
B – No. of Births in a given year
P - Total Mid-year population of same year

Example:
= __297 X 1000
10000

CBR = 29.7 per 1000 population

-----------------
Total Mid-year Population (July 1)

Pt = Po (1 + r/100)t

Where:
Po = pop at an earlier period
Pt = unknown pop or to be estimated
1.0 = constant
r = annual population growth rate
t = time interval between Po and Pt

-----------------
 MORTALITY
-----------------

refers to the occurrence of deaths in a

population.

-----------------
 Crude Death Rate (CDR)
-----------------

is a rough measure of mortality. It refers to

the number of deaths per 1,000 population.

-----------------
 CDR = _D_ X 1000
P
Where:
D – No. of Deaths in a given year
P - Total Mid-year population of same year

Example:
= __70 X 1000
10000

CDR = 7 per 1000 population

-----------------
 Rate of Natural Increase (RNI)
-----------------

Rate of population increase in a given period

due to births and deaths

-----------------
 RNI = (CBR - CDR)

Example:
CBR (Philippines, 1990) = 29.7 per 1000 population
CDR (Philippines, 1990) = 7.0 per 1000 population

RNI = (CBR - CDR)

= (29.7 - 7.0)
= 22.7 or 23

-----------------
 MIGRATION
-----------------
Geographic movement of people across a
specified boundary for the purpose of
establishing a new permanent or semi-
permanent residence

-----------------
 Immigration Rate
The number of immigrants arriving at a destination
per 1,000 population at that destination in a given
year.

IR = _Number of immigrants______ x 1,000

Total population at destination
Example:
39,895_ X 1000 = 4.5 per 1,000 residents
8,844,499
 Emigration Rate
The number of emigrants departing an area of origin
per 1,000 population at that area of origin in a given
year.

ER = _Number of emigrants__ x 1,000

Total population at origin
Example:
33,884_ X 1000 = 3.8 per 1,000 residents
8,844,499
 Net migration Rate
Shows the net difference between the numbers of
persons entering a geographic area (Immigrants) and
those leaving the area (Emigrants) per 1,000
population of a an area in a given year.
ER = Number of immigrants
– Number of emigrants x 1,000
Total population
Example:
39,895 - 33,884_ X 1000 = + 0.7 per 1,000
8,844,499 population through
migration
 POPULATION DYNAMICS
The balance among fertility, mortality and
migration determines whether a population
increases, remains stationary, or decreases in
number.
The relation between births and deaths is referred to
as Natural Population Increase (Natural Population
Growth).
When the net effect of migration is added to natural
increase, this referred to as Total Natural Increase
(Total Growth).
Compute for CBR, CDR, and RNI
-----------------
Municipality of Pangarap 2015
# of Births: 672
# of Deaths: 245
Mid-year Population : 23,400
-----------------
Compute for CBR, CDR, and RNI
(Answers)
CBR= 672/23,400 x 1,000
= 28.72 or 29 per 1,000 population
CDR= 245/23,400 x 1,000
=10.47 or 10 per 1,000 population
RNI=28.72-10.47
= 18.25 or 18
-----------------
 -----------------
COMPUTING POPULATION
GROWTH RATES

-----------------
 ARITHMETIC CHANGE
-----------------

Assumes that there are linear increases or

decreases in population

-----------------
 Pt – Po
r =
* k
t (Po) *

Example:

Pt = Sept. 1, 1995 = 68,616,536

Po = May 1, 1990 = 60,703,206
t = 5.3370
r=?
r =
68,616,536 – 60,703,206 100
5.3370 (60,703,206) *

r = 2.44 percent

-----------------
 GEOMETRIC CHANGE
-----------------

Assumes that the population changes at a rate

where the increments or decreases are
compounded over a specified period

-----------------
 log Pt
Po
_______
r antilog
= -1* k
t
Example:
Pt = Population on Sept. 1, 1995 = 68,616,536
Po = Population on May 1, 1990 = 60,703,206
t = 5.3397
r=?
k = 100

Pt = Po (1 + r/100)t
-----------------
 Pt
Po
_______
r = antilog - 1* k
t

log 68,616,536
60,703,206
_____________
r = antilog -1 * 100
5.3397
0.05321716
r = antilog
5.3397
-1 * 100

r = 1.023213639 - 1 * 100
r = 2.32 percent

-----------------
 EXPONENTIAL CHANGE
-----------------

Assumes an instantaneous growth rate

-----------------
 In Pt
Po
_______
r =
* k
t
Example:
Pt = Population on Sept. 1, 1995 = 68,616,536
Po = Population on May 1, 1990 = 60,703,206
t = 5.3397
r=?
k = 100

Pn = Poert
-----------------
 In Pt
Po
_______
r = * k
t
In 68,616,536
60,703,206
__________
r =
5.3397
* 100

0.122537041
__________
r =
5.3397 * 100

r = 2.29 percent

-----------------
 DOUBLING TIME OF VARIOUS
-----------------

Refers to the length of time a particular

population would double its size under a given
growth rate

-----------------
 69.3*
__________
Doubling time =
Growth Rate (%)

Example:
69.3
_______
Doubling time =
2.35

Doubling time = 29.5 years

*It takes 69.3 years for a 1% Growth Rate to double the population
size

-----------------
 DOUBLING TIME
-----------------
Doubling Time of Various Rates of Growth
Rates of Growth (%) Doubling Time (Years)
0.5 138
1 69
2 35
3 23
-- - -4 -
------- -- - 27- -
-----------------
ADD TABLE 4.1

46
When will the Municipality of Pangarap reach the
46,800 Population?
-----------------

2015 Population: 23,400

R = 2.16

-----------------
When will the Municipality of Pangarap reach the
46,800 Population?
-----------------

Doubling time = 69.3/2.19

= 31.64 or 32 years
When? : 2013 + 32
= 2045
-----------------
 -----------------

POPULATION PROJECTIONS

-----------------
 POPULATION
PROJECTIONS

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 There are different
methods of
projecting future
population.

This guide suggests the combined use of

GEOMETRIC and PARTICIPATION RATE.
 log Pt
r = antilog Po
______ -1* k
t

GEOMETRIC METHOD

Pt = Po (1 + r/100) t

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 PARTICIPATION RATE
METHOD (PR)
This method simply uses ratio or
percent share of a particular
segment of population to total
population using actual/latest
census data.

EXAMPLE: Population per barangay

PR Working Age = Dependent population
Pop’n 15-64 years old Labor force population
Total population
Population per age group
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 City/Municipal Population Projection
Projection required is yearly for the first 5 years and 5 years
thereafter.

Participation Rate (PR) = Po ( base pop’n of City/Municipality)

Po (base pop’n of province)

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 City/Municipal Population Projection
(Planning Period 2016-2025)

Province Base Pop’n

City/ Mun. (Po1) PR2 Projected Population
(2010)
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025
Province 215,356 1 2574183 261897 266404 270666 274997 2881283 3085953
City/ Mun. 57,067 0.265 68216* (69403) (70597) (71726) (72874) 76354** 81778**
1use latest census data
2Participation Po (City/Mun.)
Rate =
Po (Province)
3given data obtained from NSO

*projected pop’n of city/mun., 2017 = PR x Projected Pop’n of province 2017

**apply same formula using data corresponding to the projection year 2020 and 2025
(xxxxx) : derived by PR method
xxxxx : computed based on growth rate (r), assumed to be constant between 5-year
interval projection for the province
• Use the Geometric formula to get the Growth Rate
(r) using the two latest census. And use it to
project the whole planning period.

• Growth Rate (r) – 2007 and 2010

• Growth Rate (r) – 2016 to 2025
 log Pt
r = antilog Po
______ -1* k
t

GEOMETRIC METHOD

Pt = Po (1 + r/100) t

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Practice computing r and projected population
using geometric formula:
-----------------
Municipality of Pangarap
2010: 21,030
2015: 23,400
r=?
2020: ?
-----------------
r and projected population using geometric
formula
r= antilog [0.209/5.3397] – 1x100
r= antilog 0.009
r= 1.020 – 1 x 100
r= 2.02 percent
2020=23,400 (1.0202) 5

= 25,861
-----------------
 Yearly Population per
Barangay

City/ Base
Municipality/ Pop’n PR2 Projected Population
Barangay (Po1) 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025
(2010)
Total 57,067 1.00 68,216 69,403 70,597 71,726 72,874 76,354 81,778

Brgy. A 2,879 0.050 3,411 3,470 3,530 3,586 3,644 3,818 4,089
Brgy. B 2,806 0.049 3,343 3,401 3,459 3,515 3,571 3,741 4,007
Brgy. C 3,554 0.044 (3,001) 3,054 3,106 3,156 3,206 3,360 3,598
Etc.

Sample computation:
xxxxx – projected population of the city/municipality previously computed
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 Yearly Population per
Barangay

Brgy. Pop’n
PR = Pop’n of city/mun.

2879
PR , Brgy. A = 57,067 = 0.05

Projected population Brgy.= PR of Brgy. x Projected Pop’n of city/mun.

Pop’n (Brgy. A):
2015 = 0.05 x 68,216 = 3,411
2016 = 0.05 x 69,403= 3,470
etc.
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 Population Projection
by Age-Group
Age- Pop’n Projected Population
Group (Po) PR1 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025
(2010)
Total 57,067 1.00 68,216 69,403 70,597 71,726 72,874 76,354 81,778

Under 1 1,666 0.0292 1,992 2,027 2,061 2,094 2,128 2,230 2,388
1-4 6, 196 0.1086 7,408 7,537 7,667 7,789 7,914 8,292 8,881
5-9 7, 384 9,281 9,430 9,880 10,582

> 80

Sample computation using PR:

xxxxx – results of previous computations
Blank – for Practice computation
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 Population Projection
by Age-Group

1. PR (age group: Under 1) = Pop’n (under 1) = 1,666

Pop’n of city/mun. 57,067
= 0.0292
Apply the same formula for all other age-groups to get PR for each age-group.

2. Projected pop’n of age Under 1 = PR x P(city/mun.)

= 0.0292 x 68,216
= 1992
Apply the same formula to project the rest of the population per age-group.
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 Projected Labor Force

Pop’n in the labor force (or economically active pop’n)

PR =
Pop’n 15 years and over

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 Projected Labor Force

Pop’n Projected Population

(Po) PR 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025
(2010)
Household 34,601 1.00 41,359 42,079 42,803 43,487 44,184 46,293 49,582
pop’n 15
yrs & over
In the labor 33,563 0.970 40,118 40,816 41,519 42,182 42,858 44,904 48,095
force
Male 16,647 (0.496) 19,899 20,245 20,593 20,476 21,258 22,272 23,855
Female 16,916 (0.504) 20,219
xxxxx – projected population by age-group

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 Projected Labor Force

33,563
Labor Force PR = 34,601 = 0.97

11,647
Male PR in the Labor Force = = 0.496
33,563

Projected Labor Force, 2015 = PR x Projected Pop’n 15 yrs & over

= 0.97 x 41,359
= 40,118

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 Projected Labor Force

Projected Male Labor Force, 2015 = PR x Projected Labor Force 2008

= 0.496 x 40,118
= 19,898

Projected Female Labor Force, 2015 = 0.504 x 40,118 = 20,219

Repeat procedure to obtain projection for the rest of the planning period.

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 Population Characteristics

• It refers to the composition of the population in

terms of age, sex, marital status and other
characteristics of the population.

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 Age Sex Composition

• Sex Ratio is simply the number of males per

100 females in a population.

SR = M * 100
F

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 Age Dependency Ratio
• The ratio of the population in the dependent ages of
0-14 years and 65 years and over to the population
in the working ages 15-64 years.

• Child Dependency Ratio = P 0-14

P 15-64 * 100
• Old-Age Dependency Ratio = P 65 over
P 15-64 *100
• Age Dependency Ratio = P 0-14 + P 65 over
P 15-64 *100

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 Municipality of Pangarap
YEAR 2015

All Male Female

• What is the
Young Dependency
Ratio,
Old Age
Dependency Ratio
and
Age Dependency
Ratio?
 Dependency Ratios
Young Dependency Ratio (below 15
years old) = 6,902/12,223 x100
= 56 per 100 working age group
Old Age Dependency Ratio (65 years old
and above)
=1,344/12,223x100
= 11per 100 working age group
 Dependency Ratios

Age Dependency Ratio (below 15 years + 65

years old and above) = 6,902 +1,344
12,223
= 67 per 100 working age group
 Labor Force

• Labor Force refers to the population 15 years old

and over who contribute to the production of goods
and services in the country.

• Labor Force Participation Rate - proportion of the

total number of persons in the labor force to the total
population 15 years old and over.

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 Unemployed (new definition)
- includes all persons who are 15 years old and over as of their
last birthday and are reported as:

i. without work, i.e., had no job or business during the basic

survey reference period; and

ii. currently available for work, i.e., were available and willing
to take up work in paid employment or self employment
during the basic survey reference period, and/or would be
available and willing to take up work in paid employment or
self employment within two weeks after the interview date;
and,

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 Unemployed (new definition)
- includes all persons who are 15 years old and over as of their
last birthday and are reported as:

iii. seeking work, i.e., had taken specific steps to look for a job
or establish a business during the basic survey reference period;
OR not seeking work due to the following reasons: (a)
tired/believe no work available, i.e, the discouraged workers who
looked for work within the last six months prior to the interview
date; (b) awaiting results of previous job applications; (c)
temporary illness/disability; (d) bad weather; and (e) waiting for
rehire/job recall.

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 • Employment Rate
- the proportion of total number of
employed persons to the total number of
persons in the labor force

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MARITAL STATUS
 Basic Terms

• Single - A person who has never

been married;
• Married - A couple living together
as husband and wife, legally or
consensually;
• Divorced - A person whose bond
of matrimony has been dissolved
legally and who therefore can
remarry;
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 Basic Terms

• Separated - A person separated

legally or not from his/her
spouse because of marital
discord or misunderstanding;
and
• Widowed - A person whose
bond of matrimony has been
dissolved by death of his/her
spouse.
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 Singulate Mean Age at Marriage
(SMAM)
The singulate mean age at marriage (SMAM) is the
average length of single life expressed in years among
those who marry before age 50.

A measure of nuptiality derived from a set of percent

singles at all ages.

It denotes the number of years that a

married individual spends in singlehood
before ultimately marrying.
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 Steps to calculate SMAM

The data requirements to calculate SMAM are:

(a) the given area’s population and
(b) the never married population aged
15-54 by age and sex.

The steps are: …

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 Steps to calculate SMAM

1. Derive the percent single or never married by age group 15-

19 to 50-54;
2. Sum up the percent single from age group15-19 to age group
50-54 and multiply the sum by 5;
3. Add 1,500.
4. Average the percentages for age groups 45-49 and 50-54;
5. Multiply the result of (4) by 50;
6. Subtract the result of (5) from (3);
7. Subtract the result of (4) from 100; and
8. Divide the result of (6) by the result of (7)

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 SMAM: Sample Database

Table 7. SINGULATE MEAN AGE AT MARRIAGE, BATANGAS CITY, 2010

Age Male Single Percent Female Single Percent (%)

Pop’n Pop’n Pop’n (%) Pop’n Pop’n

All Ages 68,254 34, 585 69,894 32,526

15-19 10,153 9,929 97.80 10,075 9,354 92.84
20-24 9,036 7,273 80.49 9,136 5,786 63.33
25-29 7,509 3,437 45.77 7,610 2,452 32.22
30-34 6,654 1,362 20.47 6,558 1,083 16.51
35-39 5,629 540 9.59 5,534 614 11.10
40-44 4,713 327 6.94 4,676 495 10.59
45-49 3,405 175 5.14 3,497 383 10.95
50-54 2,791 147 5.27 3,031 338 11.15

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 SMAM: Computation

MALE FEMALE
1) 271.47 1) 248.69
2) 271.47 x 5=1,357.35 2) 248.69 x 5 = 1,243.45
3) 1,357.35 + 1,500 = 2,857.35 3) 1,243.45 + 1,500 = 2,743.45
4) 5.14 + 5.27 = 10.41 ÷ 2 = 5.205 4) 10.95 + 11.15 = 22.1 ÷ 2 = 11.05
5) 5.205 x 50 = 260.25 5) 11.05 x 50 = 552.5
6) 2,857.35 – 260.25 = 2,597.1 6) 2,743.45 – 552.5 = 2,190.95
7) 100 – 5.205 = 94.795 7) 100 – 11.05 = 88.95
8) 2,597.1 ÷ 94.795 = 27.39 or 27 8) 2,190.95 ÷ 88.95 = 24.6 or 25

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 POPULATION PYRAMID

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 Three General Types
of Population Pyramids

1. Expansive
2. Constrictive
3. Stationary

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 The expansive pyramid has a broad base that indicates
high fertility.

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 The constrictive pyramid has a base that is narrower than
the middle of the pyramid. It indicates moderate population
growth.
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The stationary type of pyramid has a base which is
approximately equal to each subsequent age group, tapering at
older ages. It indicates a moderate proportion of the children,
a relatively large proportion of persons in the old ages and a low
population growth.
 Rapid Growth
Indicated by a pyramid with a large percentage of people in the
younger ages.
 Slow Growth
Reflected by a pyramid with a smaller proportion of the
population in the younger ages.
 Zero or Declining Growth
Populations are shown by roughly equal numbers of people in
all age ranges, tapering off gradually at the older ages.
95
 Measures of Urbanization

• Gross Population Density is expressed as the

number of persons per unit of land area, usually in
hectares or square kilometers.

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 • Net Population Density is the ratio of population to
the total area of arable land. An arable land, for
convenience, is defined as the total land area of
lands classified as “alienable and disposable

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 Urban Population Density

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 Level of Urbanization in percent

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 Tempo of urbanization in
percentage points

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 -----------------
SOCIAL SECTOR USE
OF POPULATION DATA

-----------------
 Education

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 Measurement of School-Going Age
Population (6-21 years old)

Interpolation Technique
- also used in reclassifying the NSO population groupings into
the desired school-going age population group

School-going age population:

Primary – 7 to 12 years old
Junior HS – 13 to 16 years old

Senior
 HS – 17 to 18 years old

Tertiary
 – 19 to 22 years old
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 Illustration:
a. Compute for the primary school going age (6-10) population

Ages 5-9 = 4/5 x Population age group 5-9

AgeGroup Number

= 4/5 x 41,109 = 32,887 Under1 11,285

1-4 40,303
5-9 41,109
Ages 10-14 = 1/5 x Population age group 10-14 10-14 33,317

= 1/5 x 33,317 = 6,663 15-19

20-24
28,481
23,376
25-29 18,808

Total Primary School-Going Age Population 30-34 15,584

Total 212,263
= 32,887 + 6,663 = 39,550

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SPRAGUE MULTIPLIER AGE GROUP POPULATION
 Municipality of Pangarap
YEAR 2015

All Male Female

Compute for the Junior HS
(13-16 years old) school-
going age population using
the:

a. Interpolation Technique
b. Sprague multiplier
 Measurement of School Going-Age Population
and Present Enrollment

1. Calculation of Current Enrollment Participation Ratio (EPR)

No. of Enrollees by Level

EPR =
School Going Age Population of Relevant Age Level

Short Course on Environmental Planning

DCERP & HUMEIN Phils. Inc.
 Illustration:
Given:

School going-age population in the primary level (6-10) = 10,000

No. of enrollees in the primary level = 1,500

EPR = 9,500 x 100

10,000
= 95.00%

For every 100 children aged 6-10 years, 95 are enrolled and 5
do not go to school.

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 Measurement of School Going-Age Population
and Present Enrollment

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 Measurement of Literacy Rate

Population who have completed a year in elementary

LR =
Population (10 years old and over)

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 Measurement of Adequacy of Teacher/
Classroom Facilities

1. Calculation of Student-Teacher Ratio (STR)

No. of Enrollees
STR = No. of Primary School Teachers

Illustration: 53: 1 = 12,149

231

There is one teacher available for every 53 students

(STD = 1:50)
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 Measurement of Adequacy of Teacher/
Classroom Facilities

2. Calculation of Student-Classroom Ratio (SCR)

No. of Enrollees
SCR =
No. of Classrooms

Illustration: 38:1 = 12,149

268

One room for every 38 students (STD=1:50)

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 Housing

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 Computation of Housing Need

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 Housing Need
Projected Housing need = New Household + Service
Backlog

New Housing need = New population / Average HH size

Backlog:
1. Doubled – Up (DUHH) = No. of Households (HH) – No. of Housing Units (HU)
2. Unacceptable Housing Units = 5% of HU made of mixed materials
3. Mixed Materials = HU with walls and roof made of wood, cogon/Nipa/
Anahaw, asbestos and others (NSO data on Occupied HU by construction
materials)
4. Makeshift / Salvage / Improvised HU (per NSO data)
5. Others
 Social Welfare

Short Course on Environmental Planning

DCERP & HUMEIN Phils. Inc.
 Tool 1:
Inventory and Assessment of Social Welfare Facilities

1. Day Care Center

2. Senior Citizen Care Center
3. Day Center for Street Children
4. Temporary Shelter for Women
5. Reception and Study Center
6. Family Life Resource Center
7. Early Childhood Development Resource Center

Short Course on Environmental Planning

DCERP & HUMEIN Phils. Inc.
 Tool 2:
Clientele Projection of Social Welfare

Projected Population (below poverty line) = 16,000

Current Clientele (DSWD Survey) = 2,000
Current Population (below poverty line) = 15,000

Projected Clientele = Projected x Current Clientele

Population (Current Population)
= 16,000 x 2,000/15,000
= 2,133

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 Protective Services

Short Course on Environmental Planning

DCERP & HUMEIN Phils. Inc.
 Tool 1:
Inventory and Assessment Related to
Peace and Order Condition

1. Police/Firemen

2. Type of Barangay Brigades (disaster, tanod, and traffic auxilliary)

3. Police and Fire Facilities

4. Number and Location of Police/Fire Station and Jails

5. Fire Incidence

Short Course on Environmental Planning

DCERP & HUMEIN Phils. Inc.
 Tool 2:
Determination of Police Force

Size of Police Force

Police Force =
Total Population

Policeman to Population Ratio = 40/60,000

= 1:1,500

Each Policeman in the locality serves at least 1,500 inhabitants

Ideal: 1 policeman:500 persons

Minimum Standard PPR = 1:1,000

Short Course on Environmental Planning

DCERP & HUMEIN Phils. Inc.
 Tool 3:
Determination of Fireman-Population Ratio

Fireman-
Population = No. of Fireman
Ratio Total Population

Fire Population Ration = 6/60,000

= 1:10,000

One fireman serving 10,000 people

City/Large Municipalities – 1 Fireman: 2,000 people

PNP standard – 1:500
Short Course on Environmental Planning
DCERP & HUMEIN Phils. Inc.
 Tool 4:
Determining Future Requirement

1. Population Demand for Policemen

a. Population Demand = Population X Standard Ratio

for Policemen
PDP = 60,000 X 1/500 = 120 policemen

b. Current Police = Total Population Demand -

Force Requirement Actual No. of Police Force
CPF = 120 – 20 = 100 policemen

Short Course on Environmental Planning

DCERP & HUMEIN Phils. Inc.
 Tool 4:
Determining Future Requirement

2. Population Demand for Firemen

a. Population Demand = Population X Standard Ratio

for Fireman
PDP = 60,000 X 1/500
= 120 firemen

b. Current Firemen = Total Population Demand -

Requirement Actual No. of Firemen

= 120 – 20 = 100 firemen

Short Course on Environmental Planning
DCERP & HUMEIN Phils. Inc.
 Tool 4:
Determining Future Requirement

3. Projection of Police Force Requirement

PPF = Projected Population X Standard Number of Police

Force to Population Ratio

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 THANK YOU!

Short Course on Environmental Planning 128

DCERP & HUMEIN Phils. Inc.