WSJ 2610
WSJ 2610
Edition
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miliar with the matter said. B1 led an effort to help former spending, Johnson breezed to
President Donald Trump try to victory in one round—unlike
Meta Platforms reported
overturn the 2020 election re- McCarthy, who required 15
its largest quarterly revenue
sults, came after the House ballots back in January—
since going public more than a
GOP nominated and then bringing a measure of calm
decade ago as demand for ad-
dumped a series of leadership Please turn to page A4
vertising picked up and as it
candidates. With a speaker
continued to reap the benefits
now in place, lawmakers can Social conservative, a
of cutting costs and develop-
Louisiana Republican Mike Johnson speaks to House members after winning a 220-209 vote. finally return to work, with Trump ally, takes helm... A4
ing new AI technology. B1
Morgan Stanley said it
named Ted Pick as its next
chief executive to succeed
longtime CEO James Gorman,
ushering in a new era for the
UAW, Ford Reach Hamas Fighters Had Trained
Wall Street powerhouse. B1
The Fed proposed lowering
by about 30% fees merchants
Tentative Labor Pact In Iran Before Israel Attack
pay to many banks when con-
BY NORA ECKERT overall increase, which will be
sumers shop with debit cards,
spread out over four years, TEL AVIV—In the weeks September, which were led by ial drones to disable Israeli
setting off a fight with banks
The United Auto Workers would put the top wage for leading up to Hamas’s Oct. 7 officers of the Quds Force, the observation posts and high-
that oppose the changes. B1
secured a tentative labor deal assembly workers at around attack on Israel, hundreds of foreign-operations arm of tech surveillance equipment.
Boeing booked a $1.64 bil- with Ford Motor Wednesday $40 an hour. the Palestinian Islamist mili- Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Some used paragliders to fly
lion third-quarter loss and night, potentially ending a six- Workers will also receive tant group’s fighters received Guard Corps, the people said. into Israel. Others rode on
lowered delivery goals this week strike at one automaker cost-of-living adjustments, specialized combat training in Senior Palestinian officials motorcycles, commonly used
year for its 737 jet. B3 while negotiations continue at which were suspended in and Iranian Brig. Gen. Esmail by Iranian paramilitary groups
General Motors and Chrysler- 2009, and the right to strike By Summer Said, Qaani, the head of Quds Force, but not by Hamas until Oct. 7.
World-Wide parent Stellantis. over plant closures, Browning Dov Lieber also attended, they said. U.S. officials said Iran has
The labor agreement, said. Terms of the deal addi- and Benoit Faucon More than 1,400 people, regularly trained militants in
which is subject to a member tionally cut the time it takes mostly civilians, were killed by Iran and elsewhere, but they
The House elected Rep. vote before being ratified, for new hires to reach the top Iran, according to people fa- the Hamas fighters who have no indications of a mass
Mike Johnson of Louisiana as contains a 25% wage increase wage, to three years from miliar with intelligence re- poured across the border from Please turn to page A8
speaker with the staunch con- during the span of the con- eight in the contract that ex- lated to the assault. the Gaza Strip. Scores of oth-
servative overcoming the divi- tract, including an 11% bump pired last month, the UAW About 500 militants from ers were kidnapped and taken Hamas hostage strategy is
sions that had paralyzed the in the first year, according to said. Hamas and an allied group, back to Gaza, where they are to extract concessions... A9
chamber after Republican hard- Chuck Browning, the UAW’s “We told Ford to pony up Palestinian Islamic Jihad, par- being held hostage. Israel agrees to U.S. request
liners ousted Kevin McCarthy lead bargainer with Ford. The Please turn to page A2 ticipated in the exercises in Hamas attackers used aer- to delay Gaza invasion..... A9
three weeks ago. A1, A4
In the weeks leading up to
Hamas’s Oct. 7 attack on Israel,
hundreds of the Palestinian Is-
lamist militant group’s fighters
Nasdaq Composite
14500
July 19
Recent closing high
14358.02 Weapons Flood West Bank,
received specialized combat
training in Iran, according to
people familiar with intelligence
14000 Fueling Fears of New War Front
related to the assault. A1, A9
Israel has agreed to a re- 13500
quest from the U.S. to delay its
expected ground invasion of
Tehran and its allies operate a smuggling network that
Gaza so the Pentagon can put 13000
–10% from recent high
crosses hundreds of miles and at least four borders
air defenses in to protect U.S.
troops, according to U.S. offi- Wednesday BY SUNE ENGEL RASMUSSEN AND BENOIT FAUCON threat to Jordan, a staunch U.S. ally which
cials and people familiar with 12500 12821.22 borders Israel and the West Bank and has
the Israeli planning. A9
AMMAN, Jordan—Long before Hamas been struggling to contain a growing flow of
A shooter killed at least 16 12000 militants burst out of their Gaza stronghold drugs and arms.
people at a restaurant and a to massacre scores of civilians with hand- “Iran wants to turn Jordan into a transit
bowling alley in Lewiston, Maine, guns and assault rifles, Iran and its allies area for weapons going into Israel,” said
and police were trying to locate a 11500 had accelerated efforts to smuggle weapons Amer Al-Sabaileh, founder of Security Lan-
40-year-old person of interest. A3 May 2023 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. into a different part of the Palestinian terri- guages, a counterterrorism think tank in
The number of Anchorage tories, the West Bank. Amman. “But my fear is that the weapons
Source: FactSet Using drones, secret airline flights and a might be used in Jordan as well. Where is
residents without homes
land bridge that traverses hundreds of miles the easiest place in the Middle East to pun-
This edition of The Wall Street Journal was originally published in the United States and reprinted locally for regional distribution.
U.S. NEWS
CAPITAL ACCOUNT | By Greg Ip
N
selective. In 2020, when pan- onetheless, Powell’s Fed chair can’t tainly point early 1990s, Congress was
T
demic lockdowns tipped the outspoken support for sit by and say out that it hen, there is the risk less polarized and presidents
economy into a sharp, severe fiscal stimulus then is nothing.” would make it that if Powell has skin were more willing to make
contraction, Powell had a lot awkward now, for two rea- To be sure, the deficit is far easier to get inflation back in the fiscal game, crit- hard choices on debt. Today,
to say about fiscal policy. sons. First, given how strong from the disaster the pan- down to its 2% target. ics read ulterior motives into the parties are so polarized
After Congress passed and both the recovery and infla- demic was in 2020. But nor is And yet for all the reasons his actions. In 1990, the Fed, that they only listen to views
President Donald Trump tion turned out to be, much it some distant, hypothetical Powell might want lawmakers under Chairman Alan Green- they already agree with. Both
signed the $2.2 trillion Cares of the extra stimulus was un- threat. The gap in the fiscal to act on the deficit, he also span, cut rates after Presi- oppose cutting Social Security
Act, Powell repeatedly called needed and maybe counter- year ended Sept. 30, adjusted has reasons to keep quiet. For dent George H.W. Bush and or Medicare, the two biggest
for more stimulus. “This is productive. for student loan-related ac- starters, the implications for Congress reached a deficit spending programs, or raising
the time to use the great fis- Second, it stands in con- counting, hit $2 trillion, or monetary policy are a bit deal. Since then, the Fed has taxes on most Americans.
cal power of the United trast to his silence today—a 7.5% of gross domestic prod- counterintuitive. generally avoided so explicit For now, Powell’s advice
States to do what we can to silence some wish he would uct, a record outside war, re- Normally, a bigger deficit a link between monetary and would make little difference—
support the economy,” he break. In 2020, Powell “felt cession or national emergency, stimulates growth and causes fiscal policy. and possibly enemies.
megacap tech stocks—are and sunk deeper into the red Some businesses are feel-
Sinks Into susceptible to sharp swings
after their results.
for the year.
Cloud results at Microsoft
ing the heat from the sharp
rise in mortgage rates, which
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
(USPS 664-880) (Eastern Edition ISSN 0099-9660)
(Central Edition ISSN 1092-0935) (Western Edition ISSN 0193-2241)
U.S. NEWS
Maine Shooting
Rampage Leaves
At Least 16 Dead
A shooter killed at least 16 investigating at multiple loca-
U.S. NEWS
and unity in the party not asked how Johnson managed In a nod to his sudden rise transport a minor across state
seen since Republicans took to secure the speakership. from relative obscurity, John- lines for an abortion.
over the House in the 2022 In contrast with previous son said in his speech that his Republicans who had engi-
elections. votes, Wednesday’s was wife, Kelly, hadn’t been able to neered the ouster of McCarthy
Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer (R., drama-free. Earlier speaker make it to Washington. “We over what they called broken
Mo.) said Johnson “repre- nominees had watched closely couldn’t get a flight in time,” promises on spending and
sents all of us, not just a par- as members’ names were he said. other issues threw their sup-
ticular group within the con- called alphabetically and de- A sign with the name of Mike Johnson was installed over Johnson served in House port behind Johnson and said
ference” and called him a fections racked up, but Repub- the entrance to the speaker’s office soon after the vote. Republican leadership as a his election vindicated their
“really good manager.” licans all stuck together this deputy whip and vice chair- effort. Many colleagues had
Democrats cast Johnson as time. In the tally on the House the House. gether to find common man of the House Republican called the move led by Rep.
too conservative to lead the floor, Johnson received 220 Lawmakers will also have ground,” a White House offi- Conference. But lawmakers Matt Gaetz (R., Fla.) to vacate
chamber and said Republicans votes, to 209 for Jeffries. to grapple with the Biden ad- cial said. said Johnson benefited from the chair damaging to the
had squandered three weeks The new speaker faces a se- ministration’s $106 billion re- Johnson, a constitutional not being considered part of party and the House.
in their intraparty fighting. ries of pressing legislative is- quest to fund aid for Ukraine, lawyer, has a more stridently the core leadership team, Rep. Don Bacon (R., Neb.)
Rep. Pete Aguilar (D., Calif.) sues while managing the Re- Israel, Taiwan and manage the conservative record than whose decisions about policy said he received death threats
said Republicans were choos- publicans’ narrow 221-212 flow of migrants at the U.S. McCarthy. The new speaker issues—including the debt after voting repeatedly last
ing in Johnson a person who majority, in which any single border. Last month, 117 House served on Trump’s defense limit and spending levels— week to block Jordan’s speak-
“can pass their extreme litmus member can still force a vote GOP lawmakers, including team in his first impeachment have divided the party. Those ership bid. After Johnson’s
test” on issues such as same- to try to remove the speaker. Johnson, voted against $300 and led an effort to collect sig- disagreements culminated in election Wednesday, he said
sex marriage and abortion. Congress has a mid-November million in security assistance natures for an amicus brief in McCarthy’s removal and have the ordeal was worth it, to get
Johnson was House Repub- deadline to keep the govern- for Ukraine. support of a Texas lawsuit that hobbled efforts to find a re- past Jordan to Johnson.
licans’ fourth nominee for the ment funded. In a letter to his Senate Majority Leader sought unsuccessfully to over- placement.
post this month, chosen late colleagues, Johnson proposed Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.) said turn the 2020 presidential elec- Johnson previously led the
Tuesday just hours after oppo- advancing a temporary spend- he looked forward to talking tion results by voiding 20 mil- Republican Study Committee, Watch a Video
sition by Trump helped sink a ing measure until either Jan. to Johnson about avoiding a lion votes in four other states. a broad group of conservative Scan this code
bid by Republican Whip Tom 15 or April 15, while working government shutdown. Presi- When a reporter asked members, and serves on the for a video on
Emmer of Minnesota. Intra- to advance the eight of 12 in- dent Biden called Johnson to Johnson late Tuesday whether House Judiciary Committee, Johnson’s
party feuds also blocked previ- dividual annual appropriations congratulate him and said he he stands by his efforts to try but has less experience in election as
ous picks Steve Scalise of Lou- bills that haven’t yet cleared looks forward to “working to- to overturn the 2020 election, leadership than the previous House speaker.
him $10,000. trial. On the stand, Trump law clerks are not sitting right penalties for future violations,
The tense confrontation failed to persuade Engoron next to the judge,” Kise said. including possible imprison-
came during the second day of otherwise. He told the judge Trump, the Republican ment.
testimony by Michael Cohen, he thought the clerk was bi- front-runner for the 2024 Engoron said he was con-
Trump’s former lawyer and ased, but swore under oath presidential nomination, pre- cerned that Trump’s com-
fixer who is now a lead wit- that he wasn’t talking about viously criticized the law clerk ments could spark violence. “I
ness for Democratic New York her specifically in the hallway. on social media, prompting don’t want anyone killed,” he New York Supreme Court Justice Arthur Engoron questioned
state Attorney General Letitia “To whom were you refer- Engoron, elected as a Demo- said. ex-President Donald Trump in his civil-fraud trial Wednesday.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. **** Thursday, October 26, 2023 | A5
U.S. NEWS
U.S.WATCH
How Hospitals Improve Pediatric Readiness OBITUARY
‘Shaft’ Films Star
One emergency room
Roundtree, Age 81
in Colorado trained Richard Roundtree, the ac-
its staff and color- tion-movie hero best known
for starring in the “Shaft”
coded equipment movie franchise, has died. He
was 81 years old.
BY MELANIE EVANS As the detective John
Shaft, Roundtree became
One of the nation’s smallest known as the first Black action
hospitals is among the most star and was one of the faces
prepared to see children in an of the so-called blaxploitation
emergency. film genre in the early 1970s.
Three years ago, Grand In addition to starring in
River Health wasn’t close. The several “Shaft” films and a
25-bed hospital near the west- TV series, he acted in dozens
ern slope of the Colorado of films and TV shows, most
Rocky Mountains had scored a notably in the 1977 miniseries
low 51 on a 100-point test “Roots” and the 1974 disaster
measuring its readiness. film “Earthquake.”
The hospital turned things Roundtree’s talent agency,
ELI IMADALI FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL (2)
WASHINGTON—Supreme
Court Justice Clarence Thomas
didn’t report on required fi-
nancial disclosure forms that a
friend forgave some or all of a
$267,230 loan, according to a
report released Wednesday by
Senate Finance Committee
J. SCOTT APPLEWHITE/ASSOCIATED PRESS
To show support for Evan, please follow the latest updates at WSJ.com/Evan
and add the hashtag #IStandWithEvan across social media.
But this birthday will be unlike all the ones that came before, and, we hope,
all those that will follow: Evan will mark the day in his cell at Moscow’s
Lefortovo prison, where he remains unlawfully detained on fabricated
espionage charges, held hostage by a regime that has also jailed, exiled,
and persecuted so many of his journalistic colleagues.
From the moment Evan was detained, we, his friends from childhood,
high school, and college, have been advocating for his release. Ever since
we watched with horror and disbelief as he was first led into a Moscow
courtroom, we have kept in touch with him through letters, keeping him up
to date on our lives as best we can. But many moments—his best friends’
engagements, weddings, and birthdays—have been stolen from him. And
for us, those events have been marked by Evan’s absence: he, too, has been
stolen from us.
#IStandWithEvan
©2023 Dow Jones & Co, Inc. All rights reserved. 6DJ0088
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. **** Thursday, October 26, 2023 | A7
WORLD NEWS
Otis Slams Acapulco as Category 5 Storm
Hurricane rapidly after the hurricane hit.
“The most harrowing thing
intensified before has just happened,” she said in
hitting Mexico’s a video posted on X, formerly
known as Twitter. “I hid in the
Pacific coast closet, and literally, to pray,
and meditate and try to calm
BY ANTHONY HARRUP myself down, although I was
overtaken by panic,” she said
MEXICO CITY—Hurricane after joining other guests in a
Otis rammed into Mexico’s hotel hall used as a shelter.
popular Pacific beach resort of Video footage of the Princess
Acapulco as a powerful Cate- Hotel showed windows blown
gory 5 storm, leaving in its out and the lobby filled with
wake widespread flooding and debris. Many city streets were
devastation. flooded with muddy water.
The hurricane, the most The Papagayo River, which
WORLDWATCH
CANADA strips out volatile items such SOUTH AFRICA More than 550 mine work- RUSSIA will now be sent to Putin for
as food and energy. ers had been in the mine final approval.
Central Bank Holds Bank of Canada Gov. Tiff
Workers Held in since they went down late
Simulated Nuclear Putin has said that revok-
Main Rate Steady Macklem, whose mandate is to Mine Dispute Leave Sunday. An unknown number Strike Conducted ing Russia’s 2000 ratification
The Bank of Canada on set monetary policy to achieve Hundreds of miners who of them prevented the others Russia’s military conducted would “mirror” the stance of
Wednesday left its main in- and maintain 2% inflation, said spent three days under- from leaving as they de- a simulated nuclear strike in a the U.S., which signed but
terest rate unchanged at 5%, he would consider raising rates ground as part of a union dis- manded formal recognition of drill on Wednesday overseen didn’t ratify the nuclear-test
saying steeper borrowing again until there is “clear pute were leaving a gold their unregistered labor by President Vladimir Putin, ban.
costs are damping consump- downward momentum” in core mine in South Africa on union, the mine official said. hours after the upper house Russia’s Minister of De-
tion, and bringing supply and inflation. Wednesday, the union at the The union—the Association of parliament voted to rescind fense Sergei Shoigu said the
demand closer to balance. Canadian inflation peaked center of the standoff said. of Mineworkers and Con- the country’s ratification of a purpose of the drills was to
It warned that progress to- in June of last year at 8.1%. More than 100 miners who struction Union—said the global nuclear-test ban. practice “dealing a massive
ward hitting its 2% inflation The reading for September in- were held against their will by miners had stayed under- The bill to end ratification nuclear strike with strategic
target remains slow, with lit- dicated price increases slowed fellow employees of the mine ground willingly as a protest of the Comprehensive Nuclear offensive forces in response to
tle downward momentum to from the prior month to 3.8%. near Johannesburg escaped in support of the union. Test Ban Treaty, approved in a nuclear strike by the enemy.”
date on core prices, which —Paul Vieira earlier, a mine official said. —Associated Press the lower house last week, —Associated Press
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A8 | Thursday, October 26, 2023 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
WORLD NEWS
WORLD NEWS
Hamas’s Hostage
Strategy: Extracting
IsraeliConcessions
BY JARED MALSIN English translation provided by
AND SUMMER SAID the Israel Defense Forces of the
message it distributed in Gaza.
JERUSALEM—By setting Experts say Hamas could
free four hostages in pairs in free more civilian hostages in
recent days, Hamas is playing return for concessions like hu-
its most effective card for de- manitarian aid while holding on
laying an Israeli ground inva- to Israeli soldiers with the aim
sion of Gaza and extracting of eventually freeing a large
EVELYN HOCKSTEIN/REUTERS
pected ground “I’m very vasion of Gaza so the Penta- U.S. officials said. U.S. military
assault, even by called on Gaza afraid of any gon can put air defenses in and other officials believe that
a few more military action. the region to protect U.S. American forces will be at
weeks, Hamas residents to I’m afraid for troops, according to U.S. offi- heightened risk by various
would be able my children. cials and people familiar with Iran-backed militant forces
to better pre-
help it find the They’re still the Israeli planning. when the incursion begins.
pare to defend hostages. there in the The surge amounts to the
itself in Gaza, middle of a By Dion Nissenbaum, Friends and family on Wednesday mourned the death of a doubling of squadrons in the
ensuring the war. I’m terri- Gordon Lubold, woman and her two daughters in Israel after a Hamas attack. last two weeks, and is a sharp
group’s survival fied,” she said. Dov Lieber and reversal of U.S. disengagement
in the short term. Top Hamas officials have Omar Abdel-Baqui East, meant to deter Hezbol- demned the U.S.’s support for from the region in recent
Israel cut off all supplies of said the group doesn’t intend lah from further entering the Israel. Iran’s Supreme Leader years. It returns to the region
food, water, fuel and electric- to hold civilian hostages for The Pentagon is rushing to fight and help protect Ameri- Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said many of the military assets
ity to the Gaza Strip in re- months. Soldiers held as pris- deploy nearly a dozen air-de- can personnel and interests, Wednesday the U.S. was “or- taken out as the Pentagon
sponse to the Oct. 7 attacks by oners of war, however, would fense systems to the region, in- risks drawing Washington into chestrating” Israel’s bombing shifted its focus to China.
Hamas that killed 1,400 Israe- only be released in return for cluding for U.S. troops serving a larger regional conflict campaign in the Gaza Strip. The deployments underscore
lis. Since then, Israeli air- the release of the 6,000 Pales- in Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi against Iranian proxies. U.S. officials have kept in U.S. alarm that Israel’s planned
strikes in the Palestinian en- tinian prisoners being held in Arabia, Syria and the United U.S. troops have come under close contact with their Israeli ground operation into Gaza
clave have killed more than Israel, they said. Arab Emirates, to protect U.S. rocket and drone attack from counterparts, offering military could spark a wider war, lead-
6,500 people, according to the A senior Hamas official in- forces from missiles and rock- Iranian-backed militias in Iraq advice, sharing intelligence and ing Iranian-backed militias in
Hamas-led local health minis- volved in the negotiations said ets. U.S. officials have so far and Syria, and in the Red Sea, advising on reducing civilian the region and even Iran itself
try. The rising death toll of the militant group has already persuaded the Israelis to hold the USS Carney destroyer in- casualties. In a call on Wednes- to step up drone and missile at-
Palestinian civilians in the en- downgraded their demands off on sending tanks and foot tercepted cruise missiles, and day, Biden and Israeli Prime tacks on U.S. bases, embassies
clave also erodes some of the and are no longer demanding soldiers into Gaza to end Hamas drones the Pentagon said were Minister Benjamin Netanyahu or other key infrastructure.
international support for the exchanging foreign women and rule until those moves can be launched by Yemeni Houthi discussed efforts to locate and Israeli forces battled on
Israeli offensive, according to children for Palestinian women made, as early as this week. forces, also backed by Iran. secure the release of hostages four fronts Wednesday, hitting
Kenney-Shawa. and children held in Israel. In- “Israel is going to move Hezbollah, too, is backed by in Gaza, including American targets in Lebanon, Syria, the
Israel allowed delivery of stead, the group asked for fuel ahead with the next stage in Iran and has exchanged deadly citizens, according to the West Bank and Gaza and
humanitarian aid to Gaza on and aid for Gazans. our campaign to destroy fire with Israel since Oct. 7. White House. “We are coordi- fighting off a sea incursion, in
Saturday, a day after the first Hamas likely also wants to Hamas in response to the Oct. In addition to the U.S. pos- nating with the U.S. on a very a sign the war is expanding.
two hostages were released by rid itself of some of the large 7 massacre, as our operational ture, Israel is factoring into its strategic and very detailed Meanwhile, the humanitar-
Hamas. But it has opposed group of hostages that are a needs require,” Israeli govern- planning calls for it to allow level,” said an Israeli official. ian crisis in Gaza continued to
shipments of fuel to Gaza out drain on its fast-depleting re- ment spokesman Eylon Levy fuel and more humanitarian In addition to military aid, mount, as Israel has prevented
of concerns that Hamas would sources as the fighting drags said Wednesday. He added that aid into Gaza, efforts to gather the U.S. has dispatched three fuel from entering the enclave
use it for military purposes. out, according to analysts and “many factors that are being intelligence, a continuing air- generals to Israel with experi- since Oct. 7. Israeli officials said
Amid growing pressure to officials familiar with the ne- taken into account,” including strike campaign meant to hob- ence fighting groups such as Tuesday that there were large
secure release of the hostages, gotiations. The militant group President Biden’s urging that ble Hamas and diplomatic ef- Islamic State to advise the Is- amounts of fuel under Hamas’s
the Israeli military called on didn’t expect to capture such Israel not act out of anger. forts to free more of the raeli military, the Israeli offi- control in Gaza, and that addi-
Gaza residents to help it find a large group of people, espe- “Israel is not shooting from roughly 200 hostages held by cial said. Israel also is consult- tional fuel could be taken by
them, promising money, pro- cially civilians, according to the hip,” Levy said. “We will Hamas, Israeli officials said. ing with the U.S. generals on the group’s military wing
tection and confidentiality to Hamas and Middle East offi- use our force judiciously.” Iran hasn’t openly detailed “all the arenas” of the war, rather than being used for
anybody who provides useful cials negotiating over the re- This rapid buildup of U.S. its relationships with its prox- the official said. trucks carrying aid and to gen-
information, according to an lease of the hostages. military forces in the Middle ies in the region, but has con- The U.S. and its European erate electricity at hospitals.
WORLD NEWS
Armenia Is Seeking
Support From West
As Russian Ties Fray
BY YAROSLAV TROFIMOV conflict was until now focused
on Nagorno-Karabakh, a re-
YEREVAN, Armenia—Aban- gion that was controlled by
doned by its traditional Rus- Armenians but internationally
sian ally and squeezed be- recognized as part of Azerbai-
tween two hostile neighbors, jan, Western officials say they
Armenia is reaching out for fear that it could spread into
JUSTYNA MIELNIKIEWICZ FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
TURNING
POINTS
CLARE
ANSBERRY
B
randon Will, 41, put his
writing career on hold
to become a full-time
caregiver to his mom.
He takes her on slow
walks, trying to encour-
age her without getting frustrated.
He arranges phone calls with her
friends, cleans, cooks, and helps
her dress and bathe. When she is
thirsty, he gets her water.
His mom, Janice Will, 72, has
Parkinson’s disease and can’t walk
unaided across the room. “It’s
very humbling,” Janice says. She
feels sad to have taken him away
from the life he was building in
New York.
More sons are stepping in to
care for parents. An estimated
18.7 million men cared for adults,
up from 16 million in 2015, ac-
cording to a 2020 report by AARP
and the National Alliance for
Caregiving, and about half of care-
givers provide care for parents or
parents-in-law.
While daughters outnumber
sons as caregivers, the gender gap
is shrinking. About 47% of adults,
ages 18 to 34, who care for some-
one with dementia, are men.
Caregiving is difficult for every-
one but it can take a particular
emotional and financial toll on
Occasionally, he turned ing to a survey conducted in 2021. dance,” Janice says. Brandon also
down jobs because he “It’s very hard to plan for my joined an advocacy organization,
wasn’t sure he could future,” says Brandon, who is one Caring Across Generations, and he
meet a deadline or asked of three boys. and his mom started writing to-
for extensions when his His brother Darren Will, who gether, posting essays on a web-
mom had an emergency. lives and works in Los Angeles, site they call Our-Will-Power. Dar-
While people are gener- calls Janice daily and FaceTimes ren helped them make a video.
with her twice a week—on Sun- Brandon says he has put aside,
days to play brain-skill games and for now, aspirations to write
Darren Will, who lives on Wednesday to watch “Friday young-adult novels and is working
in California, FaceTimes Night Lights,” giving Brandon un- on a memoir about his initial hesi-
with his mom to play interrupted time to work. He flies tance to become a caregiver. He
games and watch movies. to Chicago twice a year, using va- plans to call it “See If I Care.”
D
octors, researchers and pa- than half of the people who got a The Galleri test returned a false
tient advocates are excited positive result didn’t have cancer. positive in less than 1% of all people
about a new blood test that screened, according to the final re-
promises to detect cancer early. ’Let’s wait and see’ sults of a company-funded study re-
They disagree about whether you Getting a false positive can cently published in the journal The
should actually use it yet. cause worry and lead to unneces- Lancet. Among people who got pos-
The $949 Galleri liquid biopsy sary and costly follow-up proce- itive results, 62% of them didn’t
can screen for more than 50 types dures. False negatives, which are have cancer. Grail says it is working
of cancers. It works by looking for a more likely for a test such as Gal- to improve the test’s positive pre-
shared cancer signal in DNA shed leri, could lead patients to skip rec- which really speaks to the unmet “That’s what happens when you dictive value, or the probability a
by tumors in the bloodstream. More ommended screenings. need and the urgency about this catch it early,” says Caro, 55. person with a positive result has
than 130,000 of the prescription- “If I feel good and I’m asymptom- new technology,” says Dr. Eric Klein, Galleri is one of few commer- cancer, in future versions.
only tests have been sold since Gal- atic and I have minimal risk for can- distinguished scientist at Grail. cially available tests known as mul- The NCI plans to begin a study in
leri became available in June 2021, cer, do I need to get this?” says Dr. Valerie Caro, a real-estate broker in ticancer early detection, or MCED. 2024 assessing whether MCED tests
according to the test maker Grail, a Lori Minasian, deputy director of Flagstaff, Ariz., first learned about None are Food and Drug Adminis- given to healthy patients can reduce
PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY THE WALL STREET JOURNAL, ASSOCIATED PRESS
unit of the gene-sequencing com- the National Cancer Institute’s Divi- the test in a book by motivational tration-approved or recommended cancer-related deaths. Grail won’t
pany Illumina. sion of Cancer Prevention. “Let’s speaker and life coach Tony Rob- by the U.S. Preventive Services Task participate in that study, aa company
The Galleri test is one of many wait and see. I don’t think there’s bins. She was curious enough to Force. The American Academy of spokesperson says.
products tapping into affluent and enough evidence right now.” ask a doctor about it despite having Family Physicians says it recom- Dr. LaTasha Seliby Perkins, a
health-obsessed consumers’ appe- The company and the test’s pro- no symptoms. Two practitioners de- mends against mass screenings family-medicine doctor at MedStar
tite for data on their personal ponents say the potential benefit of clined to prescribe it before she got that aren’t evidence-based, includ- Georgetown University Hospital in
health. Some longevity and con- catching cancer earlier outweighs a prescription through Grail’s tele- ing routine use of MCED tests. The Washington, D.C., says she hasn’t
cierge doctors are offering the test those concerns. The company says health service in summer 2022. test, which isn’t covered by most in- offered the test because of concern
alongside other new, experimental it believes making these tests avail- The test flagged a possible cancer surance plans, is meant to supple- about the lack of FDA approval and
health screenings including full-body able will increase cancer detection signal in her gallbladder or pancreas, ment, not replace, recommended because it is simply too expen-
MRI and biological-age testing. and improve public health. If you and after several follow-up proce- cancer screenings, Grail says. sive. “For folks who are just trying
Despite the rise in sales and get a positive test result, the com- dures including an MRI and gallblad- At the longevity physician Dr. to make sure their needs are met, it
backing from some doctors, others pany says it isn’t a diagnosis and der-removal surgery, she learned Neil Paulvin’s independent practice, is going to be a hard sell to say,
in medicine are preaching caution. you should conduct an evaluation that a stage-two 4.3-cm cancerous the Galleri test is included as part ‘Can you spend $1,000 on this test
They say there is no research that with a healthcare provider. tumor was nestled in her gallbladder. of a comprehensive physical-exam that we’re not sure of its efficacy?’ ”
shows the current test will prevent “We still lose 600,000 people a A year later, she says, she credits package that can run from $5,000 Grail says it is working with sev-
cancer deaths and warn about the year due to cancer in the U.S., the test with saving her life. up to $20,000, he says. Roughly eral insurers to offer coverage.
A12 | Thursday, October 26, 2023 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
PERSONAL JOURNAL.
This Is How to Make a Budget know are silly and trivial, you
still have this sense of, ‘but I
want it, it’s mine. I want to keep
it with me and keep engaging
with it,’” he said.
L
BY IMANI MOISE visers say the DIY budgeters are ing with new clients group Aite-Novarica. “I spent years building this. I
on to something. Though millions is make them plug Though 90% of peo- know the ins and outs of it. It
atasha Jordan’s favorite of people have created accounts all their daily ex- Those who try ple between the feels like my baby,” he said. Frank
budgeting tool is a blank on apps such as Mint and Rocket penses into a apps tend not to ages of 24 and 54 acknowledged his template won’t
sheet of paper. Money, making the time and effort spreadsheet. The said they have be a good fit for everyone. Unless
The 39-year-old to log every transaction yourself pain of typing all the stick with them, linked an account to you also live in Denver, those who
from Durham, N.C., folds can help people stay in better tune data replaces the one of these tools, download the template will need
the page into three sec- with their finances. pain of handing over
according to 20% reported using to tweak most of the formulas to
tions twice, an act of organiza- The first thing Kenneth cash, he said. Taking a 2020 survey. them within the reflect your local taxes.
tional origami she refined over the Coombs, a financial adviser in more time to con- past three months, His spreadsheet also pays divi-
past decade. The folds create London, Ontario, does when work- sider each transac- the survey found. dends for his mental health, Frank
enough boxes to fill in nine tion can counteract More people say said. He knew he was facing burn-
months of income, expenses, debt frictionless payments with the they regularly use spreadsheets out during the pandemic when he
and savings by hand. A budgeting Google searches for wave of a card or smartphone that than these budgeting services was producing four YouTube vid-
app could save her hours and ef- 'free budget template' make it easier to spend mindlessly. from banks or third-party apps. eos a month, but couldn’t shake
fort, but she insists that the 100 “Now it’s ‘I remember seeing the feeling that he couldn’t afford
drudgery of doing it herself is Popularity peaked that number,’ not ‘I’ve tapped my to slow down. After tinkering in
The benefits
PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY DAISY KORPICS/THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
what makes it actually work. in January 2023 card and bought something I don’t his spreadsheet, he realized he
80
An off-the-shelf program “is know how much it was,’” he said. of a DIY budget could halve his output and still
never going to have the oddities Expense-tracking apps that link People tend to feel more invested keep the lights on.
that might occur when I do it on 60 directly to your bank and credit in something they create them- “When you don’t have that
my own,” Jordan said of the bud- cards can help people monitor selves compared with an identical data, you can have a lot of guilt
geting apps. 40 where their money goes and how item someone else made, said Mi- or fear hanging over your head,”
When it comes to managing their spending habits change over chael Norton, a professor of busi- he said.
money, many find it pays to go low time. The apps can only help you ness administration at Harvard In addition to his spreadsheet,
20
tech—especially when inflation budget if they can keep your at- Business School. He dubbed this Frank uses a budgeting app to
makes it harder than ever to stick tention, Coombs said. Alerts from phenomenon “the IKEA effect” in manage his finances. The app fre-
to a budget. They prefer pencil, pa- 0 these apps can easily get lost in 2011 research that showed adults quently sends him emails and
per or old-fashioned spreadsheets 2014 ’16 ’18 ’20 ’22 the constant flow of notifications often become emotionally at- alerts, but he said his spreadsheet
to the free or low-cost expense- pushed to our devices each day. tached to something as simple as is better at keeping his attention.
Note: Numbers represent search interest relative to the
tracking tools offered by banks and highest point on the chart for the given region and time
Those who try the apps tend a bird made out of Legos—if they “Most of the time, I archive it
fintech companies. with 100 representing peak popularity. not to stick with them, according make it themselves. and don’t even look,” he said of
Researchers and financial ad- Source: Google Trends to a 2020 survey by research “Even with things that you the alerts.
one place for hours, will face arm- Arthur Chang came up with an later name the Soarigami, a portable field, says what really annoys him is to put your elbow there, you always
rest tension, whether 10 minutes idea about making armrests easier divider shaped like a paper plane when someone raises the armrest touch the other passenger, which I
into the flight, or later, when the to share while in school at Cornell that allows two arms to fit on a sin- between them. don’t like, and I don’t want.”
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Thursday, October 26, 2023 | A13
ARTS IN REVIEW
BY HEIDI WALESON
I
Houston
n 2000, Jake Heggie’s “Dead
Man Walking” launched a
flurry of activity in the cre-
ation and production of new
American operas. It became
one of the most produced
21st-century titles and made it to
the Metropolitan Opera last
month. On Friday, Houston Grand
Opera opened its season with the
world premiere—the company’s
75th—of Mr. Heggie’s most recent
work, “Intelligence.”
Like “Dead Man,” “Intelligence”
is based on a true story, this one
more than a century older. During
the Civil War, Elizabeth Van Lew, a
wealthy Richmond landowner, ran
a Union spy ring with the assis-
tance of Mary Jane Bowser, an en-
slaved woman in her household.
Mr. Heggie, librettist Gene Scheer
and director/choreographer Jawole
Willa Jo Zollar have blended his-
torical record and imagination to
fashion a tale centered on Mary
Jane’s journey toward finding the
truth of her traumatic past. The
path is logical, but that narrative
drive, full of heavy-handed fore-
shadowing, toward Mary Jane’s
discovery—a slave auction and the
forced separation of mother and
child 20 years earlier—feels for-
mulaic. The lengthy opera is an in-
ert, mechanical structure, its char-
acters and situations erected as
plot points rather than an authen- OPERA REVIEW
tic, developing story with dra-
ies the journal that contains her doesn’t sound all that different surrounded by the dancers of aria “Who am I?” about the hor- rection exposed the static quality
codes and other secrets. The 50- from Elizabeth’s declaration, “I Urban Bush Women, top; Jamie rors of the slave trade, they of the libretto; her explosive cho-
minute Act 2 features murder, rev- didn’t know I could hate like this.” Barton and Ms. Brugger, above formed a single line behind her, reography appeared to belong to a
elation and apotheosis. The copious text abounds with ex- representing the trafficked and ex- different show altogether.
It’s a lot of material, and Mr. pressions of rage and terror, but ploited. In Act 2, as Mary Jane
Heggie’s music tends to be blandly we never hear it in the music, and contrasted with Jamie Barton’s gleans more information about her Ms. Waleson writes on opera for
pretty, with little to distinguish Mr. Heggie’s ensembles often go powerful mezzo (Elizabeth)—sup- past, their dances become more the Journal and is the author of
one character from another. Each on long past the moment when plied some variety of tone. The sole elaborate—and elaborately cos- “Mad Scenes and Exit Arias:
gets at least one obligatory aria, they’ve made their point. character with any real edge is Tra- tumed—accompanied by African The Death of the New York City
but Mary Jane’s opening song, a Only the singing—Janai Brug- vis, sung with verve by baritone drumming from the pit. They also Opera and the Future of Opera in
minor-key lament that establishes ger’s lyrical soprano (Mary Jane) Michael Mayes. The scene in which acted out Mary Jane’s culminating America” (Metropolitan).
F
ormer American Ballet Theatre dancer Jake Roxander. With his pro- Imperial,” “The Dream”
principal dancer Susan Jaffe digious gifts for being airborne and (to Mendelssohn)—Fred-
has programmed three bills of for spinning through vertiginous, erick Ashton’s 1964 re-
one-act ballets for that company’s multiple turns that emulate gyro- duction of Shakespeare’s
fall season—the first she’s curated scopic mechanics, Mr. Roxander in- “A Midsummer Night’s
since becoming its artistic director spires audiences to react enthusias- Dream” for Britain’s
in 2022. One was designated as tically to his every appearance. Royal Ballet, first per-
“Classics Old and New,” while the In the company’s revival of Har- formed by ABT in
others feature selections of 20th- ald Lander’s “Études,” a showcase 2002—gives the season
and 21st-century creations. of dancing that upscales classroom an especially engaging
The first week’s programs in- exercises as stage spectacle, Mr. double bill. Ms. Murphy
cluded works acquired by ABT during Roxander took the more jump-filled revisited the central role
its 83-year history. Of these, Alexei of the two leading male roles and of Titania, Queen of the
Ratmansky’s “Piano Concerto No. 1” soared and spun with incomparable Fairies, excelling at play-
(to Dmitri Shostakovich) was specifi- ease and ebullience. This ballet, cre- ful yet rigorous dancing
cally created for the troupe in 2013, ated for Copenhagen’s Royal Danish with a regal hauteur. As
as a co-commission with San Fran- Ballet in 1948 and taken into ABT’s Oberon, her devious
cisco Ballet, and it received some of repertory in 1961, remains a crowd- King, Daniel Camargo,
the run’s most confi- pleaser with its audi- also returning to the
dent performances. ences reacting excit- role, rendered the part’s
Two impressive edly to its intricacies with compel-
casts, led by two This is American choreography as sphere of the cheering spectators. Jake Roxander and ABT dancers in ling strength and daring.
prominent couples, Ballet Theatre’s stunts rather than as Another ABT revival came in the Harald Lander’s 1948 ballet Making his debut in the role of
rendered Mr. Ratman- musically motivated form of George Balanchine’s “Ballet ‘Études,’ staged by Thomas Lund Puck, Mr. Roxander played the wily
sky’s stirring, often first fall season movements. Imperial” (1941, to Tchaikovsky), scamp with bounding elevation and
daringly physical ac- Knudåge Riisager’s which the company first performed ace. His costuming—soft tutus and spinning-top pirouettes that sug-
tivities. Acrobatic
programmed arrangement of Carl in 1988 and in which Ms. Jaffe formal tunics—is encrusted with icy- gested he was boring into the stage
overhead lifts and diz- by Susan Jaffe. Czerny’s methodical starred. In this new staging by for- clear sparkles. while simultaneously spiraling away
zying, dashing forays piano exercises keeps mer New York City Ballet soloist After its initial two outings, ABT from it. Elsewhere, bright of expres-
of group maneuvers the dancers fed with Colleen Neary, the company has a was still settling into the ballet’s sion and expert with pantomime,
revealed the men and accompaniment for scrupulous mounting of its demand- grandly intricate and often free-spir- Roman Zhurbin made the confused
women as fervent athletes, at times their drills at the barre and in the ing choreography, which features a ited classical paces, which ask for character of Lysander into a most
giving off a militaristic air. The dance center (as practice away from the leading and a secondary ballerina, a more sweeping than tidy executions. winning fellow.
teems with vitality, aided by George barre is known). In the central balle- prominent cavalier and an ensemble Of the featured dancers here, Isa- Three 21st-century dances will
Tsypin’s set, a riff on Soviet poster rina role, Gillian Murphy, who of 18 women and 10 men. bella Boylston proved more suited round out Ms. Jaffe’s season of
graphics, and Keso Dekker’s sleek, danced this part in previous ABT The ballet’s designs by Rouben to the commanding queenly lead. ABT’s newer and older dances.
gray-and-scarlet costumes, which stagings predating this year’s cur- Ter-Arutunian include a setting that As the central cavalier, opposite a Whether any of these will become
ROSALIE O’CONNOR
caught Jennifer Tipton’s lighting to rent revival by Thomas Lund, presents a chilly panorama of the somewhat lackluster and cautious company classics only time will tell.
create red-hot accents as if reflecting brought to the dazzle of her task a Peter and Paul fortress in St. Pe- Christine Shevchenko, Calvin Royal III
some out-of-view blast-furnace. cool gravity and sweet dignity that tersburg as if viewed through made elegant work of both his part- Mr. Greskovic writes about dance
Standing out in the first cast as helped temper the circuslike atmo- parted curtains in the Winter Pal- nered and solo dancing moments; he for the Journal.
A14 | Thursday, October 26, 2023 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
SPORTS
My friends, there is an JASON GAY ities. It isn’t like a school sits
important takeaway around and thinks, Well, we were
from the controversy
currently swirling
around the University of
Michigan football team, and it is
Much Ado About Michigan going to install a lazy river around
the weight room, but we realized
_____________ doesn’t have one, so
we just put in a tabletop Ms. Pac-
this: Jim Harbaugh has an undefeated team chasing a national title. Man.
No matter your opinion of this The most banal, predictable as-
situation—whether you believe
Allegations about against-the-rules spying threaten a dream season. pect of this controversy is that it’s
what’s being alleged (against-the- entirely avoidable. The big reason
rules spying on other teams) is seri- sign-stealing remains a thing in col-
ous, scandalous, mildly scandalous, then punting. There: I just saved formation regarding the University lege football is because they don’t
or a whole pile of nothing, even if you $1,200 in gas money.) of Michigan football program ille- use in-helmet communication sys-
you’re totally reserving judgment None of this is to diminish gally stealing signals, nor have I tems, as the NFL does. That’s why
until all facts are clear—if a contro- what’s being alleged to have hap- directed any staff member or oth- you have the sideline personnel
versy involves Jim Harbaugh and pened with Michigan, which is in- ers to participate in an off-cam- holding up crazy signs with num-
his fancy undefeated No. 2 Michigan deed serious, and may call into pus scouting assignment. I have bers and hieroglyphs and photo-
Wolverines…it is hilarious. question past results, including, im- no awareness of anyone on our graphs of platypuses and Abe Vi-
I say this not only as a lonely portantly, all of its victories against staff having done that or having goda; it’s what incentivizes
Wisconsin Badger in a Journal Wisconsin since 1892. In fact, if Ann directed that action.” personnel to spend hours probing:
newsroom thick with swaggering, Arbor would like to pre-emptively This does have the makings of a What does Abe Vigoda mean! De-
national championship-hungry Wol- surrender all of the university’s 52 Michigan classic what did they know/when ploying a common, widespread
verines, but also as a follower of wins over the Badgers (against, uh, head coach did they know it imbroglio, with the technology that allows coaches to
college football, a sport in which 17 losses) I will accept on behalf of Jim Harbaugh caveat: Sign-stealing is an abundant speak to players would drastically
glee over a rival’s difficulty is a cel- my alma mater. I’ll let them keep practice in college football, to the curtail if not eliminate the practice.
ebrated emotion. the 7-7 tie in 1921, just because I am point it’s become part of the Here’s what Nebraska’s head coach
That’s not a gallant opinion, but a reasonable person, not a hater. aura of successful teams. Matt Rhule, who recently held the
I am not alone. If you don’t feel Do these allegations undermine How could a sport that same position in the NFL, said this
Schadenfreude when your school’s the Wolverine dominance over has long embraced war week: “There should be 100% [hel-
nemesis is struggling/losing/under the past couple of seasons? I terminology (field met microphone technology]. You
siege, I dare say you don’t care can only hope so, but we generals, etc.) turn can get rid of all the stupid signs on
about college football. don’t have anywhere close away from the dark the sideline and the pictures of rock
On the specifics of the Michigan to a full set of facts. The art of spycraft? stars and all that stuff and we can
matter, what’s being alleged and in- investigation is ongoing, Game day sign-steal- just play football the way it was
vestigated—whether anyone con- and we have no official ing, reviewing side- meant to be.”
nected to Wolverines football broke confirmation of what line shots during Could the Wolverines face pun-
the rules by scouting games of ri- was allegedly done— televised game foot- ishment this season? This isn’t the
vals and filming sidelines, hoping to or not done—by an age to see if signs can first controversy to dog the team
glean information about signals, I analyst with the be corresponded with this year; Michigan sat Harbaugh
have a few thoughts: Michigan team, a plays…it happens. for the season’s first three games
Foremost, my heart goes out to Navy grad named The allegations with a self-imposed suspension
any individual or individuals who Connor Stalions, against Michigan are amid an ongoing NCAA investiga-
allegedly traveled around the heart- now suspended considered more egre- tion into alleged recruiting viola-
land, trying to stay awake and by the school. gious because it involves tions.
watch a comprehensive season of ESPN reported alleged advance scouting It’s possible the Big Ten or
Big Ten football. Riveting theater, Tuesday that on the road—a practice NCAA acts quickly here, but it’s
this is often not. If you’ve ever Stalions, who college football banned de- also possible an investigation lin-
wanted to pass three months of Sat- hasn’t made any cades ago. But as the Jour- gers long after the completion of
urdays falling asleep on your feet public comment regarding nal’s Laine Higgins wrote this season—past the Ohio State
watching failed runs, incomplete the allegations, purchased last weekend; the reason showdown, past Big Ten West divi-
screen passes, botched kicks and tickets at 12 Big Ten wasn’t morality about es- sion champ Wisconsin’s stunning
dropped interceptions, this would schools, and also for pionage; it was about win in the Big Ten championship,
be the experience for you. Ohio schools outside the confer- cost. Colleges didn’t want past the bowl games, Wisconsin’s
State vs. Michigan is one thing, and ence that were possible to create an advantage for shock victory over James Madison
yes, some Pac-12 glamour is on its championship contenders. schools rich enough to send in the college football playoff, and
way, but I would much rather watch We don’t know how—or scouts all over the beyond.
the marching bands at 2/3rds of if—this was scouting, or place, so they As someone who enjoys tweak-
these schools than the football. In how—or if—this alleged agreed to prohibit ing Michigan, and especially my
fact, if these allegations are proven scouting was accessed by in-person scouting Michigan colleagues, I’m not saying
true, a suitable punishment for ille- the team. We do know and filming. I don’t find this situation fun. It is
12
1 2 3 4
13
5 6
14
7
15
8 9 10 11 25 Professor
who oversees
Slytherin
Scrappy Diamondbacks Are Set
16 17 18
House
27 In the coming
To Make Noise in World Series
days
19 20 BY LINDSEY ADLER perception that follows an un- chance of winning the NL
28 Delivery derdog: They’re just happy to pennant, according to Fan-
21 22 23 24 25 possibility Philadelphia be here at all. Graphs. That somehow
29 Paper pieces THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS Mike Hazen, the general flipped into a shocking reality
26 27 28 30 Star are young and inexperienced. manager who built the Dia- on Tuesday night, when they
They won just 84 games dur- mondbacks, thinks his players celebrated on the field in
29 30 31 32 33 31 “___mañana” ing the regular season and have found a way to count Philadelphia.
32 Give up barely made it to the playoffs. themselves in when everyone The most familiar names
34 35 36 35 Recipient of They are one of the few else counts them out. It’s the on the Diamondbacks’ roster
Versailles championship-contending hard-to-distinguish, but im- may be veteran infielders
37 38 39 teams that can sincerely portant difference between Evan Longoria and Ketel
cheers
spout the maxim, “No one be- playing with the hope of win- Marte, and expected NL
40 41 42 43 36 Deep lieved in us.” ning and playing to win. The Rookie of the Year Corbin
depression Yet the Diamondbacks are young team’s assertiveness Carroll. Starting pitchers Zac
44 45 46 47 48 38 “Dido and heading for the World Series this October surprises Hazen, Gallen and Merrill Kelly have
Aeneas” on the back of a playoff run too. made statements this season.
49 50 51 composer that goes beyond disbelief. “If we’re just happy to be But some of the most impor-
Henry They have toppled big
52 53 54 55 names—the Milwaukee Brew-
41 Forward
ers, Los Angeles Dodgers and
56 57 58 thinker?
now the Philadelphia Phil-
42 “Wrong! All lies—with a team of players
59 60 61 wrong!” that few have heard of, out-
43 “You should side of Arizona.
not call in ___ The Diamondbacks on
UPTOWN | By Billy Ouska Tuesday beat the Phillies 4-2
to settle the
Across 35 Distrustful 52 Shelved, 7 Request for argument in Game 7 of the National
1 Tight-lipped 36 Move like so to speak more Time of two birds” League Championship Series.
55 Illustrated 8 Related to (Indian They’ll face the Texas Rang-
4 Pierre’s pal molasses
book series proverb) ers in the World Series begin-
7 Common 37 British Open egg cells
whose ning on Friday in Arlington,
thrush champ in 9 Where you 45 Samurai Tex.
2002 and characters might buy a with no
12 Fill until full Arizona had pushed the
include the screwdriver master
2012 series to seven games after
13 Eight-time triceratops
38 Gas, e.g. 10 Cards 46 “Holy cow!” the Phillies took a command-
NBA All-Star Brokenhorn
47 Of the pelvis ing 2-0 lead last week. The
Steve 39 Manhattan, 56 Swindler’s 11 Once called
Diamondbacks stymied them
15 Circumvent for one accomplice 12 Antlered 48 Prince at nearly every opportunity The Diamondbacks celebrate after winning the NLCS.
16 Nike, Mercury 40 Like some 57 Quick car animal known as thereafter, winning two
or Pandora, annoyed ride 14 Snarky “the Impaler” games in Phoenix before re- here, we get folded early in tant roles on the team have
e.g. drivers 58 Play the first laugh 50 Stats for QBs turning to Philadelphia to win the playoffs by a team that gone to guys like Kevin Gin-
18 Hardly guzzle card and RBs both remaining games in has a better edge than us,” kel, Andrew Saalfrank, Bran-
42 Pop-pop’s 17 Sommer of
front of the Phillies’ famously Hazen said before Game 7. don Pfaadt, and Gabriel Mo-
19 Sole spouse 59 Architect movies 51 Golfer’s
rowdy home crowd. The teams the Diamond- reno. The team that entered
vulnerability 44 Pizza chain Saarinen 20 Before debilitating
“We didn’t come cross- backs beat to reach this point the playoffs was a much more
21 Barely exist? founded by 60 ___-cone sunrise, say nervousness country to get our asses didn’t just seem to just have mature and prepared team
22 Finally grasps, immigrants 61 Key in the 23 Lightweight 52 Sugar suffix kicked,” said Diamondbacks one intangible advantage over than the one that was on the
with “to” Carmela and corner fliers 53 Home of the manager Torey Lovullo before the scrappy snakes. The other field just a few months prior,
Gennaro Kraken Game 6. teams—the Brewers, Dodgers, which posted a .333 winning
26 Country club Down 24 Stand in a
45 Sequel with Indeed, the Diamondbacks’ and Phillies—had a lot more percentage in July. The deci-
freebie 1 Pool call conference 54 Sundial
a climactic pitching staff held the Phillies playoff experience, many more sions that Hazen and the or-
27 Farm-based 2 Jazz fan, room numeral to just two runs in the Game notable names, and much bet- ganization made in response
bout in the
29 El cubo de dos perhaps Previous Puzzle’s Solution 7 showdown. They scored ter regular-season records to the team’s struggles set
USSR
32 Calm and 3 Would-be B A R E S T M C S C O D their four runs by being ag- than the Diamondbacks. them up for the success
49 Metaphor peacemaker A V E E N O B A H T O R E gressive on the bases and In fact, almost every World they’re seeing now.
mellow, in for America’s D A I K O N U S E R N E E moving runners around the Series team in history had a Ahead of the early August
slang standing as 4 Founder of G I N WO L F M E T E O R diamond. better record than Arizona. trade deadline, the Diamond-
33 Grp. dealing the first E L S B E E F I P A D
a beacon of B A N T A M S V I P S Arizona is riding the free- They became just the third backs acquired outfielder
with a lot of hope, and Shaker dom that accompanies a team team to win a league pennant Tommy Pham from the Mets.
B I F O L D L O T E S A U
baggage what can colony in O D O U L S O B P R O L E that plays without expecta- with 84 or fewer wins in a Additionally, Hazen acquired
34 Black literally be America M E O N H U H S U N N E D tions. The underdog doesn’t 162-game season, joining the closer Paul Sewald from the
B A L D AMU L E T S
ELSA/GETTY IMAGES
Worcester or found four 5 Imitated a take nearly as much heat 83-win 2006 St. Louis Cardi- Seattle Mariners. “Tommy
H UM S N A N O O V A
Stinking times in this goat T E A P O T T O O N P A S when they lose a critical nals and the 82-win 1973 New and Paul are literally not let-
Bishop, e.g. puzzle 6 Ideologies E R R R I C E R I V A L S game, and they tend to get York Mets. ting the young guys feel like
A I D S L U R A C C R U E more praise for pulling off a Entering the playoffs, the they should just be happy to
▶ Solve this puzzle online and discuss it at WSJ.com/Puzzles. K E Y E Y E S E S T E T
win at all. Yet there’s often a Diamondbacks had a 6.4% be here,” Hazen said.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Thursday, October 26, 2023 | A15
OPINION
Can Israel Win the Message War? BOOKSHELF | By Tunku Varadarajan
“The Palestin-
ian
have
people
been
just after the massacres that
this was no time for “false
equivalence.” It remains to be
A Continent
subjected to
56 years of
suffocating
occupation.”
seen if the Biden administra-
tion, especially the White
House, can hold the line
against false equivalence.
And Its Conceits
WONDER
—António Gu- Hamas’s release this week
LAND
terres, United of several of its some 200
Eurowhiteness
By Daniel
Nations Sec- hostages appears to be pri- By Hans Kundnani
Henninger
P
eral, Oct. 24 ercise. Hopes raised, Hamas
Political opposition has be- will negotiate for weeks as erhaps the most fatuous recent bestowal of the Nobel
come a learned reflex. What- the wind ebbs behind Israel’s Peace Prize was its award in 2012 to the European
ever you’re for, I’m against. world-opinion sails. Union for the “advancement of peace and reconcilia-
End of story. But the fact that U.N. Secretary-General Gu- tion” on the continent. The president of the EU’s executive
this same political reflex First responders in Israel search the Be’eri kibbutz, Oct. 22 terres gave a speech Tuesday body purred his acknowledgment in suitably self-satisfied
kicked in hours after Hamas’s condemning both Hamas and language. Europe shows, he said, “that it is possible for
videotaped mass slaughter of A question that persisted al-Ahli Arab Hospital in Gaza. Israel and called for “an im- peoples and nations to come together across borders,” as well
innocents on Oct. 7—the as- for days was: What did Hamas It has since been established, mediate humanitarian cease- as “to overcome the differences between ‘them’ and ‘us.’ ”
sertion that somehow Israel hope to achieve with what ob- including in a video analysis fire.” State Department Four years later, Britain left the EU, showing that it’s
drove Hamas to do it—begs viously would be seen as a by this newspaper, that Israel spokesman Matthew Miller also possible for peoples and nations to part company
for examination. coldly conceived plan to com- didn’t bomb the hospital. rightly said a cease-fire across borders. And in February 2022, less than a decade
There was a time years ago mit unspeakable atrocities— Note, though, how quickly the “would give Hamas the ability after the Nobel, a besieged Ukraine begged the EU for
when one explanation would other than the killing of blame-Israel assumption fell to rest, to refit, and to get immediate membership as a political counter to Vladimir
be that people weren’t fully Jews? into place among major news ready to continue launching Putin’s invasion. But the pooh-bahs in Brussels didn’t
aware of the scope or physical The answer has emerged outlets. It mattered that Is- terrorist attacks against Is- exactly rush to say yes. Instead, four whole months after
details of such mass killings. in the days since Oct. 7. It rael’s role in this bombing rael.” But a weather vane like Ukraine’s desperate knock on the door, they granted the
Consider the difficulties at the was in great part about the was disproved. But what mat- Mr. Guterres shows which way country something called “candidate status.” EU member-
start of World War II to con- messaging. tered to Hamas—via the in- the wind is blowing. It is up ship will come, Brussels said, once Ukraine fulfills an
vince some in the West, nota- “Messaging” has become credible Palestine Ministry of to President Biden to resist onerous raft of political and legal conditions, including the
bly in the U.S., that a plan to an everyday word normally Health—was establishing that the inevitable conventional passing of laws that protect minorities. We assume that
exterminate Jews was under associated with branding initial assumption. Israel was wisdom that both Hamas and Ukraine will rewrite its constitution to the EU’s satisfaction
way in Germany and Poland. campaigns. Messaging is an already being pushed off the Israel bear responsibility for once it’s done with fighting a war of survival. Until then, it
enormous industry whose moral high ground. any deaths that occur now. must live with the differences between “them” and “us.”
purpose is to shape public At this point, events From there we move to the Russia’s war in Ukraine, writes Hans Kundnani, was “a
The head of the U.N. opinion. Ultimately messaging quickly arrived at a familiar familiar modern policy goal strategic shock” for the EU. In “Eurowhiteness,” he tells us
is a euphemism for propa- juncture. The media and some known as “stop the killing.” that diehard “pro-Europeans” had come to believe that
is already mouthing ganda, a practice often cor- world governments were be- When that moment arrives, nasty things like invasions don’t happen in Europe. For them,
a new conventional rectly associated with the Na- ginning to “balance” the Hamas wins. the EU represents a “clean
zis’ Joseph Goebbels, the story. In the past 20 years or Also let off the hook will be break with the continent’s
wisdom about Hamas. Reich’s minister of propa- so, the U.S. press has adopted the American left—the Squad dark history” of military
ganda. Goebbels’s job was to the belief that it is obligated and the students and profes- conflict and nationalism. Pro-
manipulate the media of the to give equal space to groups sors whose reflex in the face Europeans—an ideological
Today omnipresent mass time, newspapers and film, to or movements asserting of the bloodletting was to de- group that Mr. Kundnani
media and personal video portray Nazism favorably. claims of injustice. Everyone fend or justify Hamas. That never defines in any great
make it impossible to be igno- It is clear now that a pri- in the political messaging fell outside even the elastic depth though he refers to it
rant of atrocities of the sort mary Hamas goal was to elicit business understands how norms of “balancing,” so throughout his book—also
that occurred in southern Is- an overwhelming Israeli mili- justice claims drive coverage. they’ve since evolved into a “imagine that they have
rael. There is no excuse not to tary response directed at Gaza Hamas’s massacres, while still more generic pose of concern overcome” not just war but
know the details. A striking itself, with Gazan civilian being reported, are now being for Gaza’s civilians. And a other ugly currents in Euro-
summing-up of all we have deaths expected. Hamas knew balanced—meaning diluted— pose it is. Whether protesting pean history. Such as racism.
seen and heard was given on that an Israeli reaction to the by the constant narrative of for Palestinians or any other Not true, Mr. Kundnani
Fox News by an Israeli worker atrocities, such as its current concern for the Palestinians. aggrieved group, the left sus- insists, playing moral spoilsport.
still recovering bodies. “I’m a bombing of Hamas sites inside However sincere that concern, tains the conceit that their Just as war persists in Europe,
child of Holocaust survivors,” Gaza, would in time produce a Hamas and Tehran couldn’t empathy carries greater moral so does a continental strain of
she said, “and I grew up hear- counterreaction in Europe and care less. authenticity than that of their racism, which he describes as “Eurowhiteness.” This word,
ing stories of the camps. I the U.S. That is starting to Defense Secretary Lloyd opposition. One thing we coined by a Hungarian-American sociologist who plies his
thought those were the worst happen. Austin surely saw this inevita- learned from Israel’s killing trade at Rutgers University, has been appropriated for his
stories. These stories are A pivotal messaging event ble balancing of blame coming fields is what a fraud that is. own purposes by Mr. Kundnani, a left-leaning British think
worse.” was the Oct. 17 “bombing” of when he said while in Israel Write [email protected]. tanker and policy analyst. It is an ugly word and an
unnecessary one. This book could have been written without
using it at all, especially since Mr. Kundnani deploys it as a
Biden’s Ad Blitz Is a Sign of Weakness synonym for Eurocentrism. Of course, Eurocentrism lacks
the (tawdry) allure of Eurowhiteness, which smuggles into
the European context a host of American polemics about
By Karl Rove the offense while GOP candi- bit of all four explanations. gutter Mr. Biden goes. race and the “privilege” that polemicists associate with race.
T
dates squabble. Maybe. But Then again, my hunch is The other option is for Mr. Mr. Kundnani also has the annoying—and specious—
he presidential election this looks more like fear of the ads failed and the poll are Biden to call it a day. Announce habit of conflating “ethnic” and “cultural,” rendered
may be more than a weakness. getting worse principally be- that America faces grave for- repeatedly as “ethnic/cultural,” as if there were no linguistic
year away, but Demo- Consider how all those cause we all see Mr. Biden’s eign challenges with wars in or sociological difference between the two terms. This
crats are spending historically tens of millions in ad spend- increasing frailty. The Aug. 31 Israel and Ukraine and growing allows him, glibly, to characterize cultural preferences—
early and lavishly to sway ing has worked out for Team CNN survey found only 28% of acrimony with China and big such as the importance placed by Eastern European
Americans in the battle- Biden so far. On April 1, be- respondents thought Mr. Bi- issues at home including infla- members of the EU on Christian values—as a form of racial
grounds states of Arizona, fore the ads started, Mr. Bi- den “inspires confidence,” tion, jobs, climate and a orientation. He then offers this as proof of Islamophobia.
Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, den’s job approval numbers in while 72% believed he didn’t. woman’s right to choose. These And since Islam is the religion practiced by asylum seekers
North Carolina, Pennsylvania the RealClearPolitics average When asked if Mr. Biden “has require all his energy and at- from Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan and so forth, an aversion to
and Wisconsin. were 43.2% approve, 53.9% the stamina and sharpness to tention. A re-election effort Muslim refugees on the part of Hungary and Poland—who
The first ad buy was a disapprove. As of Wednesday, serve effectively as president,” would divert him from these rebuffed German proposals to “relocate” thousands of
small Democratic National they were 41.2% approve, responsibilities, so he’s reluc- Muslims onto their territory—is perceived by Mr. Kundnani
Committee purchase in April 54.9% disapprove, a net 3- tantly ending his campaign. as a racist expression of Eurowhiteness. However
in six battleground states and point decline. Since it started in Democrats would (quietly) distasteful you may find Viktor Orbán, how can you
on cable. A $2.5 million buy of The RealClearPolitics aver- cheer in relief. Americans who disagree with his accusation of “moral imperialism” against
Biden digital ads followed age had Mr. Biden and Donald April, the polls have viewed him as a transitional Angela Merkel, who sought to foist onto Hungary the
later in the month. The Priori- Trump tied April 1 at 43% him moving in one figure would applaud. Foreign Muslim refugees she couldn’t quite cram into Germany?
ties USA PAC began running each. Wednesday, the ballot allies and adversaries would Mr. Kundnani’s unfortunate choice of leitmotif—
ads in six states in late April, was Mr. Trump 44.8%, Mr. Bi- direction: down. take it as a sign of strength. It Eurowhiteness—distracts us from the many good obser-
part of its $75 million com- den 44.1%. Worse, an Aug. 31 might encourage Republicans vations he makes in his short book (a plumped-up version of
mitment to help Joe Biden. In CNN poll had Nikki Haley at to nominate a new face. And an essay published in the New Statesman in February 2021).
May, the Biden super PAC, Cli- 49% to Mr. Biden’s 43%. Vot- only 26% replied yes while being ex-president at 82 isn’t These include discussions of Europe’s postwar superiority
mate Power and Way to Win ers are just getting to know 74% said no. That’s compared a bad gig. complex, which he ties artfully to the continent’s self-image
Action Fund spent more than her, and she’s already beating with 67% who said no in Mr. Biden’s national secu- as a “post-authoritarian” union of states, one that traces its
$20 million in a joint venture the president. Then last Fri- March and 51% last fall. The rity adviser, Jake Sullivan, history from the ancient Greeks and Romans to the present-
emphasizing the president’s day a Morning Consult poll core reason Mr. Biden’s num- wrote recently that the world day EU via the Renaissance and the Enlightenment.
plans for green energy jobs, showed Mr. Biden trailing Mr. bers aren’t getting better is needs a “sustained sense of
lower drug prices and a mid- Trump in five of seven states that no amount of advertising confidence in our capacity to
dle-class-centered economy. where Democrats ran ads dur- will change public opinion outcompete any country.” A The term ‘Eurowhiteness’ smuggles into
In August, the Biden cam- ing August. Mr. Biden was about his fitness for the Oval clean break by Mr. Biden the European context a host of American
paign began spending $25 ahead only in Nevada and tied Office. He won’t get better, would help create that sense
million on ads aimed at swing in Michigan. Brutal. only older. by allowing a new generation polemics about privilege and race.
voters in seven battlegrounds, Maybe Team Biden’s ads What are the president’s of mainstream Democrats to
including national cable spots didn’t work because events options? One is to go thermo- rise. It’d be a decision for the
aimed at Hispanic and black overshadowed them. Maybe nuclear on Mr. Trump, hoping history books. And much “Supporters of the EU,” Mr. Kundnani writes, “see it as
voters. Then, in early Septem- swing voters don’t pay atten- the mother of all negative cheaper than more useless inheriting the good in European history while rejecting the
ber, Biden’s super PAC an- tion to advertising until close campaigns beats him. That’s ads. bad.” He scoffs at this self-serving whitewash while also
nounced it was joining Cli- to the election. Maybe the dicey. The former president pricking the pomposity of European leaders who imagine
mate Power in a $13 million messages weren’t believable. has held his own in polls while Mr. Rove helped organize that the EU is a “normative” power in the world, a force for
ad blitz starting this month. Maybe they flopped because under four indictments. And if the political-action committee good that works to civilize international relations and
Supporters say this early voters trust Republicans more the GOP candidate isn’t Mr. American Crossroads and is global affairs, in contrast to the U.S. and China.
advertising is exploiting “an than Democrats on the econ- Trump, Republicans will have author of “The Triumph of The EU’s sense of moral loftiness is also expressed in its
inherent advantage” of Mr. Bi- omy, national security, crime a clear shot at the presidency William McKinley” (Simon & belief that Europe’s socioeconomic welfare model is a
den as incumbent by going on and immigration. Maybe it’s a no matter how far down in the Schuster, 2015). “humane alternative” (as Mr. Kundnani puts it) to a “more
brutal American form of capitalism.” Yet economic uniformity
has been achieved in the EU at the expense of political
How the Saudis Can Help debate, with monetary and fiscal policy uprooted from “the
space of democratic contestation” and entrusted entirely to
technocrats. Given the suffocation of all democratic debate
By Michael Segal that view is correct. Jews are to the current conflict, but ger ruled by Hamas, preferably on economic policy, Mr. Kundnani argues, it’s no surprise
T
indigenous to Israel, as shown there is a role for the Saudis. before Israel reduces Gaza to that the outlet for popular political expression has shifted
he core claim that by evidence from history, ar- Crown Prince Mohammed bin rubble. to cultural and social issues: burqas, immigrants and the
Hamas and its sympa- chaeology, linguistics and ge- Salman hopes to reshape the These are big steps, but the like. And it’s no surprise, either, that Euroskepticism is
thizers have used to jus- netics. Jews are closely related Middle East by building on the bold leader of the wealthy soaring, even in placid countries like the Netherlands.
tify attacks on Israel is that genetically to the Palestinian Abraham Accords. His ap- country that serves as the cus- The most eye-catching displays of so-called Euro-
the Jews are colonialists any- proach is to welcome Israel todian of Islam’s two holiest whiteness occur in the EU nations that were formerly in
where they live in Israel, in- and advance the rights of Pal- sites can take them. The the Soviet bloc. But to describe their chafing against
cluding the communities near MBS should endorse estinian Arabs. He shouldn’t be Hamas attack on Israel is likely Brussels’s rules on asylum and refugees as a sort of ethnic
Gaza that terrorists attacked expected to issue a statement to have been motivated in part insurrection is to mischaracterize their motives. These
this month. That, however, Israel’s right to exist of empathy for Israel in the by a desire to derail the Israel- countries—Poland and Hungary foremost—resent having
isn’t the only view in the Arab and assemble a force current environment, but there Saudi peace initiative. If MBS curbs placed on the precious national sovereignty they
world. A more congenial posi- are two things he should do to has the courage, he can use the recovered only after the Cold War. Did we, they ask, free
tion was stated in the lead-up to govern Gaza. advance his vision and salvage widely condemned actions of ourselves from the Soviets only to be told what to do by
to the Abraham Accords, when the current grim situation. Hamas and its backer Iran to hyper-progressive politicians in Western Europe who
Khalid bin Ahmed Al Khalifa, First, echo Khalid bin Ah- undercut them both and estab- believe they are on a civilizing mission?
Bahrain’s then foreign minis- Arabs, many of whom descend med’s statement and make lish the Saudis as visionaries Mr. Kundnani could have written a fine little book on the
ter, said that “Israel is part of from Jews who converted to clear that Jews are indigenous in the Middle East. warts and pretensions of the EU. If only he’d resisted the
the heritage of this whole re- Islam, and also to the Saudis. to the Middle East and that Is- Time is short, and the alter- siren call of race.
gion, historically,” and “the Those of us who work with ge- rael is part of the heritage of native is the abyss.
Jewish people have a place netic diseases see evidence of the Middle East. Mr. Varadarajan, a Journal contributor, is a fellow at
amongst us.” this kinship all the time. Second, offer to lead a force Dr. Segal is a neurologist the American Enterprise Institute and at NYU Law School’s
There is ample evidence There are no easy solutions to ensure that Gaza is no lon- and neuroscientist. Classical Liberal Institute.
A16 | Thursday, October 26, 2023 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
OPINION
REVIEW & OUTLOOK LETTERS TO THE EDITOR
Can Speaker Mike Johnson Govern? Israeli Victory, Gazan Surrender and Memory
A
fter three weeks of pointless but embar- U.S. interest in deterring Vladimir Putin’s Rus- Jerome Marcus argues that Israel’s day are deeply reminiscent of the Ho-
rassing intrigue, House Republicans fi- sian imperialism. Most of Mr. Johnson’s GOP col- goals with regard to Hamas should locaust and should be treated as
echo the Allies’ strategy toward Nazi such. Mr. Marcus reminds us that
nally hit on a consensus nominee for leagues see that, and his broader role as Speaker
Germany (“Israel Needs Uncondi- “history teaches us what Israel needs
Speaker. Congratulations to should take this into account, tional Surrender From Hamas,” op- to do,” and, by extension, what Israel
51-year-old Louisiana Rep. GOP agitators will have even if mounting evidence of a ed, Oct. 24). One wonders how the Bi- needs to commemorate.
Mike Johnson, who with a to give him leeway they Russia-Iran axis hasn’t den administration would respond if SARAH WAPNER
220-209 vote Wednesday won changed his mind. that principle were applied to the New York
the unenviable job of herding denied Kevin McCarthy. Another part of Mr. John- question of civilian casualties.
the cats, snakes and peacocks son’s job will be below the sur- Neither the U.S. nor Great Britain Unlike Nazi Germany, Hamas isn’t
in the GOP menagerie. face, and that’s where his pre- had a policy of refraining from neces- a state, even if it nominally has gov-
The question is whether the Republican mal- decessor did some of his best work. Mr. sary military action because of the erned Gaza. It is more like a partisan
contents will let him govern in a way they re- McCarthy had a record of recruiting Republicans risk of inadvertently harming enemy formation, with ideological links
fused his deposed predecessor, Kevin McCarthy. with diverse backgrounds to become candidates civilians. The British bombed Gestapo throughout the region that will re-
headquarters in the Danish city of main in place even after its suppres-
It won’t take long to find out. Government fund- for office, which is pivotal for winning and keep-
Aarhus, even though it was flanked sion. There is the further difficulty of
ing expires Nov. 17, and America’s friends in Is- ing a majority. Mr. Johnson lacks a record as a by civilian hospitals, and also in the getting a defeated Hamas to sign arti-
rael, Ukraine and Taiwan need military help to major fundraiser, which was another McCarthy middle of Copenhagen (125 Danes in a cles of surrender, much less expecting
defend themselves. strength. nearby school were killed). The U.S. it to abide by them. Israel won’t be
Mr. Johnson was first elected in 2016, repre- Democrats are already branding Mr. Johnson bombed the V-2 rocket factory in Bu- able to destroy Hamas ideologically
senting a district that voted for Donald Trump a MAGA ideologue, which is unfair. But he will chenwald in broad daylight, when it or even politically. It should limit its
by double digits. The optimistic case is that he have to explain his view of the 2020 election, could be assumed that Jewish prison- war aim to destroying Hamas’s capac-
might have the credibility on the right to get the given that he pushed an implausible lawsuit at ers would be in the factory, and hun- ity ever to wage war, and then create
GOP’s narrow majority to accept the modest the time asking the Supreme Court to decertify dreds were killed. American bombers some of the security arrangements
wins of divided government. Maybe it will take results in four swing states. When a reporter struck the industrial zone of that Mr. Marcus describes.
Auschwitz in August 1944, even EM. PROF. ALBION M. URDANK
a Speaker like Mr. Johnson to convince the dis- Tuesday tried to ask him a question on that, Re-
though 600 British POWs were University of California, Los Angeles
ruptive Republican rump that accepting partial publicans hooted it down, which isn’t a great housed there—and 38 were killed.
victory is better than a government shutdown start for retaking the suburbs. RAFAEL MEDOFF, PH.D. In 1945, households throughout
or an eventual spending omnibus. On the other hand, Mr. Johnson wrote a Wyman Institute for Holocaust Studies Germany hung white sheets from
Mr. McCarthy did the GOP a favor by averting “Commitment to Civility” that was signed in Washington their windows as a signal of acquies-
a shutdown that would have backfired on Repub- 2017 by dozens of his fellow freshmen. In a brief cence to the advancing Allied armies.
licans, but he needed Democratic votes to pass House speech Wednesday, he came off as gra- Mr. Marcus calls for the eradica- Soviet soldiers raped as many as two
a 45-day spending bill. That was the excuse used cious, funny and smart, and if he continues in tion of Hamas from Palestinian soci- million German women. This was the
to justify the revolt against him, though personal this tenor, he will be an asset for the GOP. ety, similar to the “de-Nazification” heartbreaking price that Germany
animus was the real driver. In a letter this week, Whatever the McCarthy mutineers might say, of Germany by the Allies after World paid for the choices of its elected
Mr. Johnson proposed a roadmap for passing the three weeks of turmoil have hurt the GOP’s War II. Let’s not forget another effort leaders and quiescent citizenry.
of the Allies after the war: the cre- Because Israel is the Jewish state,
spending bills, with a potential stopgap exten- image as a party that can competently govern
ation of Holocaust museums to docu- there will be no rape of the Palestin-
sion through early next year to gain the time to while acting as a political check on Mr. Biden. A ment Nazi atrocities and honor the ians. But bad choices, even demo-
do it. Good luck and Godspeed. big part of Mr. Johnson’s job is to bring order to survivors. cratic ones, have consequences. The
A second priority is rebuilding military deter- this Republican chaos. In the aftermath of the Oct. 7 po- necessary corrective of fire and lead
rence, including arms for Israel, Ukraine and Tai- The hard reality is that the GOP’s narrow ma- grom, the worst mass murder of Jews that will presently descend on Gaza
wan. Mr. Johnson was an early opponent of as- jority puts him in the same precarious position since the Holocaust, Israel’s Yad can properly end only with white
sistance to Kyiv. After voting against a $40 as his predecessor. If the agitators want Speaker Vashem holocaust museum should sheets and the destruction of Hamas.
billion package last year, he offered a litany of Johnson to succeed, and voters to keep them in consider creating a permanent exhibit Only then will the stage be set for a
red herrings, such as that “our own border is in power, they will spend the coming days working documenting the brutalization, muti- Palestinian Konrad Adenauer, who can
chaos,” and “mothers are struggling to find baby to fund the government and pocketing incre- lation, rape, burning and beheading lead his people to the peaceful pros-
formula.” mental conservative wins. If they don’t, they de- of Israeli men, women and children at perity that Israel has offered unflag-
the hands of Hamas and the Palestin- gingly since the day of its founding.
Such problems have nothing to do with the serve to lose, and they probably will.
ian civilians who joined it in that JED ARKIN
orgy of violence. The events of that Tel Aviv
I
ones. It is essential to repeat these
llinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker says he wants his the renewal if they read the polls because it’s pop- obvious truths today because they’ve Extremism, California-Style
state to continue its Invest in Kids scholar- ular. A recent survey from the Illinois Policy Insti- evidently become controversial to a
ship program, but only if he doesn’t have to tute shows 59% of Democrats support Invest in Regarding your editorial “Glenn
swath of our intelligentsia.
spend political capital to pass it. Kids with 28% opposed. Sup- Youngkin’s Plan to Save Gas Cars”
The Illinois Governor port is 65% among black Illi- (Oct. 19): 35% of new cars sold in Cal-
That’s the message between the
ifornia must be electric by 2026.
lines of his statement last week can save a scholarship ics. noisans and 61% among Hispan- An Answer to Alan Blinder: What do auto makers do if people
that he wouldn’t block the pro- The program has a waiting People Vote Their Wallets don’t buy them? Do they reduce the
gram, which gives scholarships program. Will he? list of 30,000 students. cost of electric cars and increase the
to more than 9,000 low-income The political obstacle as I am perplexed by Alan Blinder’s
cost of gas cars? What happens when
inability to understand why the pub-
students, if someone else in ever is the teachers unions that Californians go to Nevada to buy
lic is unhappy with the economy
Springfield can make it happen. don’t want competition for the failing public (“The Economy is Great. Why Do
cars? Does California ban cars not
“I will support it if it comes to my desk to ex- schools they control. In 2022, 32% of Illinois 8th sold in California?
Americans Blame Biden?” op-ed, Oct.
tend the program in whatever form,” Mr. Pritz- graders were proficient in reading and 29% could MARK MITCHELL
19), and not for the first time. The
ker said. “I mean, I can’t imagine it would show not read at the “basic” level for their grade. Only Santa Rosa Beach, Fla.
answer is easy: The average standard
up in some form that I would be unwilling to. 26% were proficient in math and 38% were below of living for earners is down since
But again, the reality is that the legislature basic, according to the National Assessment of President Biden took office.
needs to go through this process.” Educational Progress. Between January 2021 and Sep- Pepper ...
Illinoisans don’t need the refresher on how A joint statement from Illinois Federation of tember 2023, average weekly earn-
ings rose 11%, while the consumer-
And Salt
a bill becomes a law, but they do need the Gover- Teachers President Dan Montgomery and Illinois
nor to do more than duck and cover. He could Education Association President Al Llorens said price index increased 18%. Both THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
figures are from the U.S. Bureau of
start by asking Democrats in Springfield to re- “Illinois cannot afford to support two school sys-
Labor Statistics.
new the program during their six-day veto ses- tems” and that Mr. Pritzker is “going against the Presidents always receive credit for
sion that begins this week. values of the Democratic Party, which clearly good times and blame for bad times
Under amended legislation filed Tuesday, the stands opposed to vouchers.” on their watch, whether it is wholly
program would be cut back to reduce the overall Unions claim the program is draining money fair or not. My recommendation to
tax credit available to $50 million from $75 mil- from public schools, but that isn’t true. Since the Prof. Blinder is to watch people’s wal-
lion. Contributions up to $5,000 would qualify program began in 2017 under former Gov. Bruce lets and what they can buy with
for a 100% tax credit. Contributions over $5,000 Rauner, Illinois public school funding has in- what’s in them. It’s as simple as that.
would have their tax credit reduced to 55% from creased $1.98 billion, even as student test scores EM. PROF. MICHAEL L. WALDEN
75%. Donations over $5,000 earmarked for chil- have remained stagnant. North Carolina State University
dren in areas designated as “underserved” by Mr. Pritzker, Illinois Senate President Don Raleigh, N.C.
the Illinois Department of Commerce and Eco- Harmon, House Speaker Emanuel Chris Welch
Letters intended for publication should
nomic Opportunity would qualify for a 65% tax and Chicago Teachers Union President Stacy Da- be emailed to [email protected]. Please
credit. Those areas have 35% of children living vis Gates chose private schools for their chil- include your city, state and telephone
below 130% of the poverty line. dren. Invest in Kids families may have lower in- number. All letters are subject to
The tax credit adjustments are painful reduc- comes than the politicians, but they deserve the editing, and unpublished letters cannot
be acknowledged.
tions, but Democrats in Springfield will support same opportunity. “Apparently I’m replaceable.”
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Thursday, October 26, 2023 | A17
OPINION
A
Liberation Army Navy, both forces America’s regional allies, imposed se-
s Team Biden contemplates are currently active in the Persian vere constraints on China’s access to
the ruins of its Middle East Gulf, making Beijing, temporarily, the cutting-edge technologies, and pres-
diplomacy and scrambles leading naval presence in the strate- sured European allies to stiffen their
T
sectors. The tax bite on middle- and who locked in mortgages at rates be- aggressive rate increases have slowed tion expenditure index, which in-
he Federal Reserve is relieved high-income earners is further reduc- low 3% between 2020 and 2021 are demand and begun to reduce infla- cludes Medicare and Medicaid and
inflation is receding and hopes ing their after-tax real wages. now unwilling to sell. The result is a tion. But even excluding food and en- other components financed by the
it will fall to 2%. Meantime, Yet lower-income households have shortage of homes on the market and ergy, core inflation remains double government and third parties.
households and businesses are stuck been harmed the most. They spend a higher prices. Combined with ele- the central bank’s 2% target. A broad The bigger concern is dysfunc-
with high prices and costs and braced higher share on food, shelter and en- vated mortgage rates, that has driven reacceleration of growth in the third tional fiscal policy. The cumulative
for further increases. The consumer- ergy, whose price indexes have risen the housing-affordability index to its quarter underlines the need for the effects of the inflation-indexed enti-
price index, which measures out-of- 24.9%, 20.2% and 32.6%, respectively, lowest level since the mid-1980s and Fed to maintain restrictive monetary tlement programs—Social Security,
pocket household expenses, is 18.9% from their pre-pandemic levels in De- put homeownership out of reach for policy. This is particularly true amid Medicare, Medicaid and others—are
higher than its pre-pandemic level, cember 2019. Food inflation has de- many. That in turn has impaired la- the fiscal stimulus provided by the the primary sources of persistent
and prices of some essentials have celerated sharply from its double- bor mobility, historically an impor- 2021 bipartisan infrastructure bill, deficits, yet they’re considered off
risen higher. Businesses face steep op- digit peak, and agricultural prices are tant factor for production and labor- the Chips Act and the Inflation Re- the table even during the most ran-
erating and borrowing costs to boot. receding, but the costs of production market efficiencies. duction Act’s array of tax credits, corous debt-ceiling skirmishes. In
Despite some policy makers’ rosy and distribution continue to rise. The which are generating measurable in- 2021 a single Democrat, West Vir-
outlook, the public isn’t pleased. The nearly one-third rise in retail energy creases in government and private- ginia’s Sen. Joe Manchin, stopped
unemployment rate is near record costs is hard to avoid. Ditto the 30% Inflation has come down, sector investment and jobs. Congress from passing the Build Back
lows, but consumer confidence and increases in car insurance and re- Presumably chastened by its mon- Better Act, which promised an extra
President Biden’s approval ratings pairs. Surprisingly, medical-care cost but prices are still high, etary-policy and bank-supervisory $5 trillion in spending and $1.5 tril-
are depressed. The bill for the Fed’s increases have lagged, up only 7.2% and Congress is spending blunders, the Fed seems to have lion in taxes. Never mind the neces-
lower-for-longer interest-rate strat- over the same period. learned its lessons and has shifted its sity to normalize rates and confront
egy and excessive deficit spending is Rental costs continue to rise in at an unsustainable rate. forward guidance to higher rates for a sharply mounting debt.
coming due. lagged response to the 46.1% surge in longer. Chairman Jay Powell has re- Another fiscal year has com-
The changes in relative prices and home prices. Renters are paying the jected the idea of raising the inflation menced without Congress passing a
the distributional effects of the surge price while predominantly higher-in- President Biden isn’t alone. British target above 2%, but even reaching budget. Where is this heading, and at
in prices are revealing. Increases in come homeowners have benefited Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and Ger- that level allows “letting bygones be what costs to economic perfor-
wage and salaries in the employment from appreciating home values fueled man Chancellor Olaf Scholz are both bygones” with prices continuing to mance? Whatever the answers, Fed
cost index, the broadest measure of by the Fed’s extended monetary eas- lagging in opinion polls because of rise far above their pre-pandemic members should be more circum-
compensation, haven’t kept pace with ing. Their household net worth has economic woes. Yet their nations’ in- path. spect about the consequences of their
the CPI and have resulted in a decline risen sharply as the S&P 500 has ap- flation has been attributable primar- More corrective actions are policies and fiscal-policy makers
in real wages. According to the Bureau preciated 34%. Retirees are largely ily to higher energy prices and supply needed. The Fed must revamp its should develop a sustainable strate-
of Labor Statistics, increases in aver- protected by inflation-indexed pen- disruptions. The dynamic is different strategic framework that prioritizes gic plan.
age hourly earnings of lower-income sions and government-subsidized in the U.S., where excessive deficit employment it can’t control and bi-
earners have outpaced those of mid- medical care. spending, zero rates and the Fed’s as- ases its policy toward inflation above Mr. Levy is a visiting scholar at the
dle- and high-income earners, reflect- The Fed’s lower-for-longer strat- set purchases, along with supply con- 2%. It should also broaden its infla- Hoover Institution and member of the
ing labor shortages and faster rising egy has had other unintended side ef- straints, are to blame. tion target to include the CPI rather Shadow Open Market Committee.
‘U
Moscow always mattered most. With Mr. Kyl estimated total new costs for and policy of not directly targeting improvements, such as potentially
nanimous” and “bipartisan” China now forming a tripolar nuclear such a project to be 5% of the Penta- civilian populations.” and swiftly reconverting B-52s ren-
outcomes are rare in to- world, bipolar deterrence calcula- gon and Energy Department budgets, Naive isolationist elements in dered incapable of carrying nuclear
day’s Washington. “Amer- tions, strategy and nuclear hardware in large part because of political both parties will argue that the U.S. weapons under the New Start Treaty,
ica’s Strategic Posture,” the recent are simply inapposite. leaders’ sustained failure to modern- can address the new nuclear environ- to sustain the deterrent force during
report from the congressional com- Days after the paper’s release, the ize nuclear capabilities. ment through arms-control agree- this vulnerable transition. We must
mission on U.S. nuclear capabilities Pentagon published its own finding “America’s Strategic Posture” re- ments. That is a distant dream. Fur- hedge against delays due to unpre-
and defense strategies, merits those that a tripolar nuclear scenario effec- affirms the logic of maintaining the ther strategic-arms treaties are dictable, incrementally funded ap-
laurels. Led by Madelyn Creedon, a tively exists, well ahead of our pre- nuclear triad of delivery systems: propriations, particularly the com-
senior Clinton and Obama adminis- dictions. This reality raises questions ground-based missiles, long-range mon—and harmful—practice of using
tration official, and former Sen. Jon that demand strategic responses. bombers and ballistic-missile subma- To deter threats from continuing resolutions.
Kyl, a Republican, the commissioners Will the U.S. face entirely separate rines. The triad undergirds deter- America’s aging nuclear weapons
prepared a 145-page report that war- Chinese and Russian threats, or will rence by “presenting an intractable China and Russia, the U.S. and inadequate life-extension pro-
rants urgent review by anyone seek- Moscow and Beijing act in coordina- targeting problem for adversaries.” needs to modernize and grams cast doubt on the stockpile’s
ing a safe future for America. tion? What do two peer nuclear foes Nuclear-force resilience is more reliability and safety. To be credible,
The bottom line is that the U.S. mean for U.S. pre-emptive or second- crucial when facing threats from recapitalize its arsenal. a deterrent must satisfy the “always/
faces “two nuclear peer adversaries strike capabilities? How many new two adversaries, not one. To help never rule”: “Nuclear weapons must
for the first time” in a rapidly ex- targets in China—or elsewhere— fashion the structure and size of the always work when they are supposed
panding threat environment. Main- must we now put at risk? future nuclear force, the report essentially irrelevant and dangerous to, and never detonate when they are
taining and improving our nuclear- Precise estimates of force require- identifies strategic principles from unless and until the U.S. has “a strat- not supposed to.” At some point
deterrence force against China and ments and budget levels are cur- which to derive military require- egy to address the two-nuclear-peer within a few years, the U.S. will need
Russia will require significant effort. rently impracticable, although signif- ments. That includes maintaining an threat environment” and its “related to conduct underground nuclear
Since the nuclear era began, Wash- icant growth in nuclear weapons and assured second-strike capability and force requirements are established,” tests. Even highly sophisticated sim-
ington’s thinking, strategizing and delivery systems is inevitable. Our directing nuclear strategy at what the commission says. Without know- ulations aren’t enough.
budgeting have assumed only one capabilities and the entire nuclear- Moscow and Beijing prize most: ing what we need, we can hardly Finally, the commissioners empha-
significant nuclear threat. Rogue- enterprise infrastructure needs mod- their leaders and the security insti- start negotiating it away. size nonnuclear capabilities, particu-
state capabilities weren’t insignifi- ernization, upgrading and recapital- tutions keeping them in power. The While the U.S. modernizes, up- larly “integrated air-and-missile de-
cant, and nuclear-capable allies were ization to meet the Sino-Russian commission emphasizes that Amer- grades and enlarges its capabilities, fense systems” for homeland and
theater-focused protection. The re-
port may at last end the debate on
Portfolio Strategies 3
4
10,000
5,000
man, who said in May he would
step down from the CEO role
he has held since 2010.
Please turn to page B2
Most
BY SPENCER JAKAB stering bond funds. A classic expensive
BY BENOÎT MORENNE biggest oil finds in the South Exxon Mobil, which this ments are complicated by the
American country of Guyana month acquired Pioneer Natu- threat of expanding regional
As the world becomes more and allows it to double down on ral Resources in a $60 billion conflicts, from Ukraine to the
dangerous, the two largest shale by expanding its presence merger that anchors its future Middle East.
BUSINESS NEWS CRYPTOCURRENCY Western crude producers are to North Dakota. Both regions to the prolific Permian Basin of In a call with analysts to
Boeing cuts its 737 FTX founder focusing their investments are established oil producers West Texas and New Mexico. discuss the Pioneer deal earlier
closer to home. with limited geopolitical ten- The back-to-back acquisi- this month, Exxon Chief Execu-
delivery goal for year Sam Bankman-Fried Chevron on Monday said sions, affording Chevron new tions signal that the oil majors tive Darren Woods said that
and posts a loss for to take the stand in that it was acquiring Hess in a reserves with fewer risks. are increasingly turning their diversification allowed the
the quarter. B3 fraud trial. B10 $53 billion deal that gives it ac- The deal follows a megadeal attention to the Western Hemi- company to manage geopoliti-
cess to one of this century’s in the U.S. shale patch by sphere as international invest- Please turn to page B2
B2 | Thursday, October 26, 2023 **** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
LIZ HAMPTON/REUTERS
D M
Unilever...........................................B6 terranean as the war between
Deutsche Bank...............A2,B11 Mastercard.................................B11 Israel and Hamas escalated.
E Mattel...............................................B3 V
The order was a reminder
Endeavor........................................B4 Mercedes-Benz.........................B2 Verizon Communications of the risks oil majors face in a
Enphase Energy.....................B11 Meta Platforms........................B1 ............................................................... B4 region marred by violence that
Exxon Mobil.................................B1 Microsoft.....................A2,B5,B12 Vestas Wind Systems......B11
has previously jeopardized am- A Colorado Chevron site. Global conflicts are leading U.S. oil majors to invest closer to home.
F-G Morgan Stanley........................B1 Visa...................................................B11
bitious energy projects.
First Solar...................................B11 N W The companies also face in- worth of assets as it shrinks its Both Exxon and Chevron sive Willow oil-and-gas project
Ford Motor............................A1,B1 Netflix..............................................B4 Walt Disney................................B4 vestors’ demands that they fo- global footprint and focuses on said their recent shale acquisi- in the U.S. Arctic. The decision
cus on returns and steer away its more valuable assets. It has tions would strengthen U.S. angered environmentalists but
from the potentially profitable sold out of projects in Chad and energy security, reflecting con- sent a signal to producers that
INDEX TO PEOPLE but costly and risky frontier
exploration of untested regions
Cameroon and made progress
on its goal to shed additional
cerns that oil supplies may be-
come harder to come by as war
the administration likely
wouldn’t skewer them for
that vaulted them to their holdings in Iraq and Nigeria. rages in Ukraine and diplomats making fossil fuel investments
A Katz, Mike....................................B4 Sewing, Christian.................B10 global status. The company pulled out of rush to the Middle East to try close to home.
Adam, Larry................................A2 Kreiz, Ynon...................................B3 Shapiro, Mark............................B4 “The age of frontier basin, Russia, where it had spent to prevent a regional confla- Chevron and Exxon have
Allen, Todd...................................B6 L Siddiqui, Raheel.......................A2 breakthrough basin exploration years establishing a foothold, gration involving Israel and played down concerns that U.S.
B LeBlanc, Raoul..........................B2 Sievert, Mike..............................B4 may be done,” said Raoul Le- once cultivating ties with Rus- Iran-backed forces. antitrust regulators would
Simkowitz, Dan........................B2 Blanc, an analyst at S&P Global sian President Vladimir Putin. Guyana’s proximity to the block either deal, saying the
Bankman-Fried, Sam........B10 M
Simmons, Caroline...............B11 Commodity Insights. The Kremlin wiped out Exxon’s U.S. and relatively stable poli- tie-ups will benefit consumers
Belknap, Geoff..........................B5 Marks, Howard.......................B11 Soros, George.........................B10 Exxon and Chevron built stake in a major oil-and-gas tics are similarly appealing to by ensuring domestic energy
Bracey, Esi Eggleston.........B6 Musk, Elon............................B1,B4 Stock, Marty...............................B6 their businesses for decades by project there after the com- the oil companies. The country supplies.
Braams, Conny.........................B6 P T scouring the globe for explora- pany tried to exit from the has exhibited respect for con- Exxon and its partners,
C Phillips, Neil..............................B10 tion opportunities as investors venture following Russia’s in- tracts for oil concessions there, Hess and China’s Cnooc, have
Toyoda, Akio................................B1
Calhoun, Dave...........................B3 Pichai, Sundar.........................B12 pressured the companies to vasion of Ukraine. allowing Exxon and Chevron to revved up Guyana’s oil produc-
Pick, Ted..........................................B1
W add to their booked reserves, a Meanwhile, Chevron since tout their investments as low- tion from nothing in 2019 to
Cartwright, Christopher..B12
Pruzan, Jonathan...................B2 Webber, Simon.......................B11 key metric used by sharehold- 2019 has unloaded assets in risk projects that will deliver 400,000 barrels a day. The
E White, Dana................................B6 ers to value the producers. Azerbaijan, Denmark, the U.K. new oil barrels to the U.S., po- partners expect to be pumping
R
Emanuel, Ari...............................B4 Woods, Darren..........................B1 As a result, oil giants oper- and Brazil, among other tentially lowering gasoline 1.2 million barrels a day by
Ramjee, Shaniel.....................B11
G Y ated in far-flung locales rife places. prices, analysts said. 2027, making it one of the
S with what is known in industry As the companies have re- “This gives you, as majors, world’s fastest-ever oil devel-
Gorman, James.........................B1 Yaccarino, Linda.......................B2
Saperstein, Andy....................B2 parlance as aboveground risk. treated, their overall produc- an important foothold in re- opments.
J-K Sato, Koji.......................................B2 Z The emergence of U.S. shale tion volumes have shrunk. gions that are also of strategic Hess owns a share of nearly
Jope, Alan.....................................B6 Schumacher, Hein..................B6 Zuckerberg, Mark....................B1 eased some of the pressure as Exxon produced about 3.7 mil- importance for the U.S.,” Caro- one-third in the estimated 11
companies were able to drill in lion barrels of oil equivalent a lyn Kissane, a clinical profes- billion barrels of oil and gas
their own backyards, where day last year, down about 17% sor at New York University’s found off the shores of Guyana.
Reality of
EVs Sets In
For Industry
Continued from page B1
Wednesday they are ditching a
partnership aimed at develop-
ing lower-priced EVs. The auto-
YOSHIO TSUNODA/AFLO/ZUMA PRESS
BUSINESS NEWS
40
YOU LIKE
600
The movie boosted sales of 30
dolls, accessories and Dream-
3Q 2023
houses, fueling a 9% increase 400
20
+9%
in third-quarter sales that
topped Wall Street’s estimates. 3Q 2023 10
The El Segundo, Calif., com- 200 $146M
pany said Wednesday that bet- 0
ter toy sales lifted its adjusted
-10
profit for the quarter, and it 0
anticipates the momentum -20
from “Barbie” to continue into
the crucial holiday season. -200 -30
“The movie opened the ap- 2021 '22 '23 2021 '22 '23
erture for Barbie. Barbie now
appeals for more fans, a Sources: S&P Capital IQ; the company
broader demographic,” Chief
Executive Ynon Kreiz said. building sets and games. or 41 cents a share, compared
“The success of the movie will Mattel is expecting strong with $290 million, or 80 cents a
be an important contributor” demand for its toys in the holi- share, a year earlier. The results
to holiday results. day season, despite forecasting include a noncash charge estab-
“Barbie” raked in over $1.4 a downturn in the toy industry. lishing a valuation allowance on
billion at the box office since The company has an- foreign deferred tax assets.
its July debut, according to nounced development of a Adjusting for certain one-
Box Office Mojo. slate of other movies based on time items, such as restruc-
The film’s distinct pink color its toy brands, including proj- turing costs and product re-
palette and viral marketing ects based on Barney, Hot calls, Mattel logged a profit of
campaign made it one of the Wheels, Magic 8 Ball and Polly $1.08 a share, more than the
biggest films of the year, as the Pocket. Kreiz is confident 86 cents expected by analysts,
movie industry struggled to re- Mattel can replicate the according to FactSet.
turn to its prepandemic allure. brand-boosting success of Sales came in at $1.92 bil-
Mattel’s third-quarter results Barbie. lion, topping analyst estimates
provided the first sign that its “We see this as a showcase, of $1.84 billion.
movie invest- as a template,” Despite the revenue beat,
ment was flow- Kreiz said. Mattel maintained its top-line
TECHNOLOGY WSJ.com/Tech
TECHNOLOGY WSJ.com/Tech
SPENCER SELVIDGE/REUTERS
tentially cut- “Security has to be a busi- the chatbot is released, more challenging things,
ting wait times for business ness differentiator, security LinkedIn plans to track how Belknap said. But for now, em-
deals or decisions to imple- has to be part of your strate- many of its interactions with ployees need to oversee how it
ment new tools. gic plan to grow your busi- employees require little to no works to make sure it doesn’t
The Microsoft-owned pro- ness,” he said. human engagement, according create problems like giving
fessional networking platform Belknap said he is looking to the spokeswoman for the out wrong information.
has developed a chatbot that into other ways generative AI LinkedIn’s Geoff Belknap says the chatbot makes it more company. “The risks are still high,”
responds to employees’ ques- could help his cybersecurity likely that employees won’t skip required security steps. About a dozen LinkedIn cy- he said. “I don’t want my AI
tions on cybersecurity. team defend the company bersecurity workers interpret that’s talking to customers to
LinkedIn’s security team spent against hackers, such as by nies have banned or restricted AI need to double down on internal policies and make give out racist answers or
around four months this year detecting malware. employees’ use of generative making sure employees review sure colleagues in other de- wrong answers.”
building a first version of the Cybersecurity leaders at AI because of security risks. any outcomes and are pro- partments implement them
WSJ PRO
chatbot using OpenAI’s large other big companies have Samsung temporarily vided with training on the properly. The chatbot helps
language models and, recently, been dabbling with generative banned employees from using risks, said Ari Lightman, pro- ensure that staff get consis-
the company started experi- AI since it emerged last year. OpenAI’s ChatGPT after it fessor of digital media and tent answers to their inqui-
menting with it. Toy maker Mattel is experi- found that staff had leaked marketing at Carnegie Mellon ries, Belknap said.
LinkedIn is testing a similar
tool with suppliers, said Geoff
menting with using generative
AI to help cybersecurity staff
sensitive information to the
platform in April.
University. “CISOs need to
keep their guard up,” he said.
LinkedIn uses a similar AI
tool to help suppliers and
CYBERSECURITY
Belknap, chief information se- do tedious tasks like parse Cybersecurity leaders that LinkedIn employees outside business partners get faster wsj.com/pro/cybersecurity
curity officer. large data sets. Some compa- do experiment with generative the cyber and tech groups and more consistent security
CYBERTHREATS S
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Cyberthreats are evolving faster than you can
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BUSINESS NEWS
distributors of children’s creating an environment that stories. marketing efforts under former
books, had said the decision to could deny any child access to Jonathan Friedman, direc- CEO Alan Jope but attracted
create the new collection books, or that teachers could tor of PEN America’s Free Ex- criticism from some prominent
came after several states be penalized for creating ac- pression and Education pro- investors. Bracey has champi-
passed legislation that prohib- cess to all stories for their gram, welcomed the oned Dove’s efforts to promote
its certain kinds of books from students.” company’s decision to reverse the Crown Act, a proposed fed-
being in schools—mostly titles Scholastic, whose most-fa- course. eral ban on discrimination
that feature LGBT individuals mous titles include the “Harry “Scholastic recognized that, against people in the workplace
or engage with the presence Potter” novels in the U.S. as as difficult a bind as this per- based on their hairstyle or tex-
of racism in the U.S. well as the “Magic School fairs are conducted by school Scholastic faced a backlash nicious legislation created, the ture. The act was passed by the
“Because Scholastic Book Bus” series, has operated book personnel, volunteers and par- when it created the new col- right answer was not to be- House of Representatives last
Fairs are invited into schools, fairs for decades, making ent-teacher organizations, lection, which it had called come an accessory to censor- year. She co-founded the Mele
where books can be purchased them an institution for par- with schools sharing in the “Share Every Story, Celebrate ship,” Friedman said on Tues- skin-care brand after noticing a
by kids on their own, these ents and children alike. Those proceeds. Every Voice.” day. gap in the market for products
designed for people of color.
Under Bracey’s leadership in
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MARKETPLACE A marketing partnership
with the transgender influ-
committed to showing up “ev-
erywhere that NFL fans are”
This week’s UFC deal is an-
other partnership comeback:
Bud Light’s deal is unlikely
to derail Modelo’s marketing
457-8269 or by mail addressed to 575-B Riverside Avenue,
Westport, CT 06880. Disclaimer. The Trustee is authorized ADVERTISE TODAY encer Dylan Mulvaney in April with a campaign that aims to Bud Light sponsored the league strategy, according to Marty
at such sale, if the Trustee deems it advisable or is required by and a subsequent consumer showcase the beer’s place for the better part of a decade Stock, who worked with Mod-
applicable law to do so: (i) to restrict the prospective bidders
on or purchasers of any of the above identified securities (the boycott dented Bud Light’s for- among American traditions, until 2017, when Modelo took elo from 2018 until 2021 as
“Collateral”) to be sold to those who will represent and agree
that they are purchasing for their own account for investment (800) 366-3975 tunes, while Modelo’s consis- Todd Allen, Bud Light’s vice on the title of its official beer. CEO of advertising agency Cav-
and not with a view to the distribution or resale of any of such tent marketing efforts helped it president of marketing, said in “There are many reasons alry.
assets, (ii) to verify that each certificate for each security to For more information visit: climb above the Anheuser- August. why I chose to go with An- “From sponsorship deals to
be sold that has not been registered under the Securities Act
of 1933 bears a legend substantially to the effect that such wsj.com/classifieds Busch beer for the first time The beer brand spent an es- heuser-Busch and Bud Light, creative execution, Modelo
security has not been registered under the Securities Act of
1933, as amended, and may not be disposed of in violation of months later. Sales of Modelo timated $31.3 million on na- most importantly because I isn’t flashy,” Stock said. “They
the provisions of said Act, (iii) to disclaim and to refuse to give
any warranty (other than as to title), and (iv) to impose such
continued to accelerate into tional TV advertising between feel we are very aligned when care that it works and they’ll
other limitations or conditions in connection with any such sale © 2023 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. the year’s final quarter, Con- Aug. 24 and Oct. 23, 56% more it comes to our core values and commit 100% once they choose
astheTrusteedeemsnecessaryoradvisable. All Rights Reserved.
stellation’s chief executive said than the estimated $20 million what the UFC brand stands a direction.”
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Thursday, October 26, 2023 | B7
MARKETS DIGEST
EQUITIES
Dow Jones Industrial Average S&P 500 Index Nasdaq Composite Index
Last Year ago Last Year ago Last Year ago
33035.93 t 105.45, or 0.32% Trailing P/E ratio 23.72 19.90 4186.77 t 60.91, or 1.43% Trailing P/E ratio * 20.14 18.27 12821.22 t 318.65, or 2.43% Trailing P/E ratio *† 29.89 23.07
High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 18.47 16.77 High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 19.48 16.57 High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate *† 26.52 20.97
trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield 2.19 2.24 trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield * 1.68 1.79 trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield *† 0.87 0.99
All-time high 36799.65, 01/04/22 All-time high 4796.56, 01/03/22 All-time high: 16057.44, 11/19/21
Session low
34600 4400 13700
65-day
moving average 33600 4200 13100
COMMODITIES wsj.com/market-data/commodities
jet fuel 1,726 ... 1,469 1,682 1,599 1,492 for each week 1250
Distillates 4,069 ... 4,416 3,878 3,993 4,064 …And spreads that widened the most
Residual fuel oil 264 ... 341 170 300 262 250 Duke Energy DUK 5.000 5.81 Dec. 8, ’25 68 114 72
Propane/propylene 826 ... 1,493 720 908 ... N D J F M A M J J A S O Bank of Nova Scotia BNS 5.250 6.31 June 12, ’28 146 74 144
Other oils 4,355 ... 5,235 5,208 4,807 ... 2022 2023 JPMorgan Chase JPM 5.625 6.49 Aug. 16, ’43 128 70 n.a.
Note: Expected changes are provided by Dow Jones Newswires' survey of analysts. Previous and average inventory data are in millions. 64
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial SUMIBK 6.184 6.80 July 13, ’43 157 163
Sources: FactSet; Dow Jones Market Data; U.S. Energy Information Administration; Dow Jones Newswires
Morgan Stanley MS 4.350 6.59 Sept. 8, ’26 162 12 146
Pfizer 4.300 6.20 June 15, ’43 92 11 77
Exchange-Traded Portfolios | WSJ.com/ETFresearch
PFE
John Deere Capital … 5.150 5.42 Sept. 8, ’26 45 5 39
Closing Chg YTD American Honda Finance … 4.600 5.92 April 17, ’30 98 5 n.a.
Largest 100 exchange-traded funds, latest session ETF Symbol Price (%) (%)
Wednesday, October 25, 2023 Closing Chg YTD SPDR S&PMdCpTr MDY 428.79 –1.54 –3.2 High-yield issues with the biggest price increases…
ETF Symbol Price (%) (%) SPDR S&P Div SDY 111.46 –0.35 –10.9 Bond Price as % of face value
Closing Chg YTD TechSelectSector XLK 163.31 –1.18 31.2 Issuer Symbol Coupon (%) Yield (%) Maturity Current One-day change Last week
ETF Symbol Price (%) (%) iSh1-5YIGCorpBd IGSB 49.59 –0.12 –0.5 VangdInfoTech VGT 406.76 –1.65 27.3
CnsmrDiscSelSector XLY 150.39 –2.02 16.4 iSh1-3YTreaBd SHY 80.88 –0.11 –0.4 VangdSC Val VBR 150.07 –1.18 –5.5 Navient NAVI 5.875 7.74 Oct. 25, ’24 98.251 0.42 98.000
CnsStapleSelSector XLP 67.94 0.34 –8.9 iShRussMC IWR 65.54 –1.65 –2.8 VangdExtMkt VXF 133.48 –2.16 0.5
iShRuss1000 IWB 228.89 –1.46 8.7 VangdDivApp VIG 153.06 –0.33 0.8 Prime Security Services Borrower PRSESE 5.750 7.21 April 15, ’26 96.760 0.26 96.250
DimenUSCoreEq2 DFAC 25.27 –1.25 4.1
EnSelSectorSPDR XLE 87.39 –0.18 –0.1 iShRuss1000Grw IWF 262.03 –2.08 22.3 VangdFTSEAWxUS VEU 50.01 –0.89 –0.3 OneMain Finance OMF 6.875 7.75 March 15, ’25 98.860 0.24 98.500
iShRuss1000Val IWD 145.88 –0.86 –3.8 VangdFTSEDevMk VEA 42.02 –0.87 0.1
FinSelSectorSPDR XLF 32.10 –0.37 –6.1 0.22
iShRussell2000 IWM 163.72 –1.65 –6.1 VangdFTSE EM VWO 37.88 –1.07 –2.8 Howmet Aerospace HWM 5.950 7.21 Feb. 1, ’37 89.319 89.341
HealthCareSelSect XLV 126.51 –0.89 –6.9
iShS&P500Grw IVW 67.07 –1.71 14.6 VangdFTSE Europe VGK 55.81 –0.89 0.7
IndSelSectorSPDR XLI 97.71 –1.28 –0.5
iShS&P500Value IVE 149.64 –1.08 3.2 VangdGrowth VUG 266.78 –2.26 25.2 Graphic Packaging GPK 3.500 7.03 March 15, ’28 86.872 0.20 86.527
InvscNasd100 QQQM 144.13 –2.44 31.6
iShSelectDiv DVY 104.49 –0.36 –13.4 VangdHlthCr VHT 229.08 –1.06 –7.6 ZF North America Capital ZFFNGR 4.750 7.32 April 29, ’25 96.402 0.18 95.900
InvscQQQI QQQ 350.34 –2.45 31.6
iSh7-10YTreaBd IEF 89.26 –0.88 –6.8 VangdHiDiv VYM 100.55 –0.51 –7.1
InvscS&P500EW RSP 135.50 –1.10 –4.1 Ford Motor Credit … 4.134 7.27 Aug. 4, ’25 94.875 0.13 94.760
iShShortTreaBd SHV 110.40 ... 0.4 VangdIntermBd BIV 70.80 –0.66 –4.7
iShCoreDivGrowth DGRO 48.31 –0.35 –3.4
iShTIPSBondETF TIP 102.52 –0.42 –3.7 VangdIntrCorpBd VCIT 74.26 –0.66 –4.2 United States Cellular USM 6.700 7.60 Dec. 15, ’33 93.712 0.11 94.375
iShCoreMSCIEAFE IEFA 61.85 –0.88 0.3
iSh20+YTreaBd TLT 83.45 –2.23 –16.2 VangdIntermTrea VGIT 56.30 –0.51 –3.7
iShCoreMSCIEM IEMG 46.03 –1.29 –1.4
–0.62 –4.6
iShUSTreasuryBd GOVT 21.67 VangdLC VV 191.20 –1.47 9.8
iShCoreMSCITotInt IXUS 57.68 –0.91 –0.3 iSh0-3MTreaBd SGOV 100.60 ... 0.5 VangdMC VO 198.04 –1.42 –2.8 …And with the biggest price decreases
iShCoreS&P500 IVV 419.51 –1.42 9.2 JPMEquityPrem JEPI 52.35 –0.96 –3.9 VangdMC Val VOE 125.19 –0.84 –7.4
iShCoreS&P MC IJH 234.05 –1.50 –3.2 JPM UltShIncm JPST 50.16 –0.04 0.1 VangdMBS VMBS 42.34 –0.96 –7.0 Bath & Body Works BBWI 6.875 8.64 Nov. 1, ’35 86.994 –1.51 88.688
iShCoreS&P SC IJR 88.29 –1.21 –6.7 –0.68 –2.15 –13.9
iShCoreS&PTotUS ITOT 91.44 –1.54 7.8
PacerUSCashCows100 COWZ 47.91 3.6 VangdRealEst VNQ 71.05 Dish DBS … 7.750 24.94 July 1, ’26 67.750 –1.00 67.970
ProShUltPrQQQ TQQQ 32.77 –7.32 89.4 VangdS&P500ETF VOO 383.71 –1.41 9.2
iShCoreTotalUSDBd IUSB 42.78 –0.67 –4.8 SPDRBbg1-3MTB BIL 91.74 0.01 0.3 VangdST Bond BSV 74.84 –0.17 –0.6 Occidental Petroleum OXY 6.200 6.97 March 15, ’40 92.561 –0.99 93.090
iShCoreUSAggBd AGG 92.00 –0.74 –5.1 SPDR DJIA Tr DIA 330.35 –0.33 –0.3 VangdSTCpBd VCSH 74.75 –0.15 –0.6
iShEdgeMSCIMinUSA USMV 71.69 –0.22 –0.6 American Airlines AAL 11.750 7.91 July 15, ’25 106.028 –0.47 106.256
SPDR Gold GLD 183.72 0.42 8.3 VangdShtTmInfltn VTIP 47.01 –0.09 0.6
iShEdgeMSCIUSAQual QUAL 130.27 –1.58 14.3 –0.73 –0.10 –0.5 –0.47
iShGoldTr IAU 37.51 0.46 8.4
SPDRPtfDevxUS SPDW 29.79 0.3 VangdShortTrea VGSH 57.51 Transocean RIG 6.800 10.69 March 15, ’38 71.722 73.000
SPDRS&P500Value SPYV 40.14 –1.11 3.2 VangdSC VB 176.81 –1.79 –3.7
iShiBoxx$HYCpBd HYG 72.20 –0.54 –1.9 SPDRPtfS&P500 SPLG 49.10 –1.46 9.2 VangdTaxExemptBd VTEB 47.36 –0.34 –4.3 Ford Motor Credit … 4.389 7.39 Jan. 8, ’26 94.000 –0.37 93.426
iShiBoxx$IGCpBd LQD 99.09 –0.91 –6.0 SPDRS&P500Growth SPYG 58.13 –1.67 14.7 VangdTotalBd BND 68.26 –0.76 –5.0 Advance Auto Parts AAP 5.900 7.37 March 9, ’26 96.856 –0.27 96.920
iShMBS MBB 85.92 –0.93 –7.4 SPDR S&P 500 SPY 417.55 –1.44 9.2 VangdTotIntlBd BNDX 47.44 –0.59 0.0
iShMSCIACWI ACWI 89.83 –1.27 5.8 SchwabIntEquity SCHF 32.73 –0.79 1.6 VangdTotIntlStk VXUS 51.49 –0.94 –0.4 Navient NAVI 6.750 8.57 June 15, ’26 95.776 –0.27 96.440
iShMSCI EAFE EFA 66.52 –0.72 1.3 SchwabUS BrdMkt SCHB 48.38 –1.53 8.0 VangdTotalStk VTI 206.36 –1.48 7.9
iSh MSCI EM EEM 36.74 –1.32 –3.1 SchwabUS Div SCHD 68.54 –1.07 –9.3 VangdTotWrldStk VT 90.12 –1.30 4.6 *Estimated spread over 2-year, 3-year, 5-year, 10-year or 30-year hot-run Treasury; 100 basis points=one percentage pt.; change in spread shown is for Z-spread.
iShMSCIEAFEValue EFV 47.09 –0.32 2.6 SchwabUS LC SCHX 49.29 –1.48 9.2 VangdValue VTV 134.13 –0.52 –4.4 Note: Data are for the most active issue of bonds with maturities of two years or more
iShNatlMuniBd MUB 100.97 –0.43 –4.3 SchwabUS LC Grw SCHG 71.55 –2.17 28.8 WisdTrFRTrea USFR 50.27 0.01 ... Source: MarketAxess
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. * Thursday, October 26, 2023 | B9
MARKETS
Applications
Accepted bids
17-WEEK BILLS
$165,951,426,600
$56,367,869,100
Diversity
next four decades, along with a
general disgust with stocks
that had left them at their
pricey just as
inflation began
to take off.
vestors
concerned the
huge pile of
are perhaps not with the same as-
sets. With much less volatile
short-term Treasury bills
" noncompetitively
" foreign noncompetitively
Auction price (rate)
$666,255,800
$1,816,000,000
98.236486
(5.335%)
Rules Fight
cheapest in half a century,
were the wind in markets’
sails.
An investor who put $1,000
The result: A
family setting
aside $1,000 for
their toddler’s
16
Number of years
federal
combined with
debt
rapidly rising
rates could pro-
yielding more than long-term
bonds at the moment, inves-
tors can snag a decent return
without being blindsided by a
Coupon equivalent
Bids at clearing yield accepted
Cusip number
5.521%
52.69%
912797JF5
The bills, dated Oct. 31, 2023, mature on Feb. 27, 2024.
BY ALEXANDER OSIPOVICH
40
Google Cloud 30
20
Microsoft
pany said Tuesday that more than
one million users are paying to use
its AI-enabled CoPilot feature. That
Shun Gucci
phabet saw improvements to their may jump significantly as the tool
core businesses during the Sep- 30 10 becomes generally available to us- After a three-year free-for-all,
tember quarter according to re- Alphabet ers of its Microsoft 365 suite of shoppers are getting choosy about
sults posted by the companies late 20 0 software next month. which luxury brands they will buy.
Tuesday. Google’s ad revenue grew Google’s Bard chatbot was de- Shares in Paris-listed Kering,
9% year over year to $59.6 billion 10 –10 scribed by Chief Executive Sundar which owns Gucci and Bottega
during the quarter, beating Wall Pichai on Tuesday as “an early ex- Veneta, fell around 5% after the
Street’s expectations and up from 0 –20 periment and complementary ex- company reported a 9% drop in
the 3% growth reported for the 2021 ’22 ’23 Jan. 2023 Oct. perience” to the search engine third-quarter sales compared with
June period. That was helped by Note: Microsoft’s fiscal year ends in June 30. that is the company’s dominant a year earlier.
YouTube’s ad revenue, which rose Sources: the companies (revenue); FactSet (performance) business. Shoppers in Europe have grown
12% for its quickest pace in nearly Still, a long race awaits both and cautious about spending and sales
two years. It probably isn’t a coin- strength in other areas. The sharp having lost 6% since the com- an expensive one at that. Microsoft in the company’s North America
cidence that this was during a pe- drop in PC sales seen earlier this pany’s last report. The stock of had a record $9.9 billion in capital region dropped 21%. Kering’s stock
riod in which Hollywood’s strikes year moderated, giving a strong Google’s parent slid more than 6% expenditures during the quarter, has lost almost one-fifth of its
resulted in fewer new TV shows boost to the operating earnings for after having jumped 14% since its while Google’s capex bill topped $8 value since January.
and movies. Microsoft’s segment that includes last report. The results will likely billion, which the company noted It is another sign that demand
But it was different for Google’s its Windows operating system. The reignite the debate from earlier was “somewhat muted” due to the in the luxury-goods industry is pe-
cloud business, where revenue segment, which contains the com- this year about which company is timing of supplier payments. Both tering out after a record year in
grew 22% year over year to $8.4 pany’s suite of business software, in a better position to capitalize are expecting to see those bills rise 2022.
billion. That was 3% below Wall delivered its highest operating on the growing interest around in the months ahead. Both name- Kering’s larger competitor
Street’s forecasts and contrasted margin in at least a decade. Micro- generative AI. Microsoft’s aggres- checked Nvidia’s H100 chips—the LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuit-
sharply with the trend for Micro- soft projected better-than-expected sive adoption of ChatGPT’s tech- expensive and much-in-demand ton released a disappointing set of
soft’s much larger cloud business, revenue and operating income for nology drove its stock to outper- processors powering GenAI capa- results earlier this month, which
where its Azure public cloud ser- the December quarter, boosted by form Alphabet’s for the first half bilities in data centers. Wall Street knocked the value of luxury
vice saw revenue jump 29% to an its acquisition of Activision Bliz- of this year. But Google has long sees capital expenditures for the stocks.
estimated $16.7 billion during the zard. Google, per its longstanding been using AI to power its inter- tech duo topping $30 billion during Kering is trying to revive its top
same quarter. Azure’s growth was practice, refrained from giving any net-search business and has been this year, more than four times the label, Gucci, just as the environ-
up 3 percentage points from the financial forecast. moving quickly to catch up. average of the 100 largest spenders ment gets tough. Last month, the
June quarter, while Google Cloud The differing results caused a Microsoft has an advantage on the S&P 500. brand’s new designer showed his
lost six points of growth in the sharp reversal for both stocks. Mi- given that the majority of its exist- In the AI world, you have to first collection, but it’s too early
same period. crosoft’s share price rose nearly ing business comes from selling spend an awful lot of money to to say whether it has been a suc-
Microsoft’s results showed 4% in after-hours trading after software and cloud services to make money. —Dan Gallagher cess.
In an unflattering comparison,
Kering reported on the same day
as Birkin handbag maker Hermès,
Credit Bureaus Feel Hit From Fewer Consumer Loans which grew sales by 16% over the
same period. The emerging trend
this reporting season is that clas-
sic and very expensive brands
When banks lend less, borrow- that business—especially via re- down in banks’ consumer lending. ing even as “demand for credit re- seem to be doing fine. Sales at
ers feel it. So do the companies gional banks, many of which are “When you look at the perfor- mains strong despite elevated Italian label Brunello Cucinelli
that help banks make loans. deliberately making fewer con- mance of mid-market banks and costs.” grew 21% in the latest quarter.
Shares of TransUnion, one of sumer loans as part of their asset smaller banks, the pinch on new It said lenders have noted Trendier brands like Saint Laurent
the three major credit-reporting “diets.” credit origination is quite pro- “cracks have appeared across con- and Alexander McQueen, both
agencies, fell 23% Tuesday after TransUnion undershot its quar- nounced,” TransUnion Chief Exec- sumer lending, especially in the owned by Kering, aren’t faring as
its earnings report—and dropped terly revenue guidance, cut its ex- utive Christopher Cartwright told lower credit tiers.” TransUnion well.
further Wednesday. pectations for the full year and analysts Tuesday. “And so it’s re- also pointed to dwindling pan- Kering’s stock is one of the
TransUnion helps provide credit withdrew its 2025 financial tar- ally this macro retreat that we’ve demic-era savings and a view the cheapest in the luxury goods in-
scoring and related information gets. Executives cited lower U.S. seen in the lending that’s impact- labor market is deteriorating dustry, trading at just 13 times
and tools to lenders as they make mortgage activity, including a ing the business fundamentals.” somewhat. projected earnings.
underwriting decisions. So its rev- more than 30% decline in inquiries More broadly, this signals ac- The news hit shares of Experian But as shoppers grow selective,
enues are partly driven by loan in- in 2023, which is unsurprising cess to credit for many consumers and Equifax, TransUnion’s peers. that may not be the bargain it ap-
quiries and volumes. given the surge in mortgage rates. is shrinking. TransUnion said When banks sneeze, credit bureaus pears.
The company expects less of But they flagged a broader slow- tighter loan conditions were com- can catch a cold. —Telis Demos —Carol Ryan*