Avocado BP - Final
Avocado BP - Final
The project is unique as it integrates Mult-Level approach for Avocado Value Chain Development in
Andrecha Wereda of Shecka Zone, SNNPR- encompassing the efficient PRODUCTION (own Farming
and using outgrowers scheme), PROCESSING (avocado oil extraction) and MARKETING (delivering
avocado oil and semi-processed fresh avocados for the local & export markets).
September 2021
Project Proposal for Avocado Production, Processing and Marketing Andrecha Wereda, 2021
Contents
0. Executive Summary ......................................................................................................................... 5
1. Background ......................................................................................................................................... 6
1.1. Avocado farming in Ethiopia ..................................................................................................... 6
1.2. Avocado Fruit and Oil Extraction ............................................................................................ 7
2. Company Summary ......................................................................................................................... 8
2.1. Vision ............................................................................................................................................. 8
2.2. Mission .......................................................................................................................................... 8
2.3. Products & Services ................................................................................................................. 9
2.4. Keys to Success ......................................................................................................................... 9
3. Purpose of the Project ..................................................................................................................... 9
4. Socio-economic Benefits .............................................................................................................. 10
5. Market Analysis................................................................................................................................ 10
5.1. Past Supply and Present Demand ........................................................................................ 11
5.2. Demand Consideration ............................................................................................................. 11
5.2.1. Population size and its growth ....................................................................................... 11
5.2.2. Economic growth and rise in disposable Income.................................................... 11
5.2.3. Urbanization Trend ............................................................................................................. 12
5.2.4. Awareness in Nutrition, Health, and Personal care factors ................................ 13
5.3. Apparent consumption method of Determining Demand ............................................ 14
5.3.1. Apparent consumption of Avocado Fruit .................................................................... 14
Table: Production of Avocado Fruit in Ethiopia (2016/17 -2019/20) .............................. 15
Table: Imports of Cosmetic products in Ethiopia .................................................................... 16
5.4. Demand Projection for Cosmetic products ........................................................................ 16
Table: Projected Demand covered by import (Birr) ............................................................... 17
5.5. Supply and Demand Gap for Avocado Oil ......................................................................... 17
5.6. Marketing Strategy ..................................................................................................................... 18
5.7. Sales strategy .............................................................................................................................. 19
6. SWOT Analysis ................................................................................................................................. 19
0. Executive Summary
This project proposal is prepared with the objective of starting up a Multi-
Level Agricultural Value Chain Development project for the Efficient
Production, Processing & Marketing of Avocados in Andrecha Wereda of
Sheka Zone, SNNPR. The project is owned and operated by Andrecha
Agricultural Activities PLC, a new Company formed by five local
entrepreneurs.
The total area of land required for the project, when it starts operating at full
capacity, is estimated to reach 1,000 Hectares. However, for this first phase
operation, a plot of 300 Hectares land shall be sufficient, serving Avocado
Farming area, Industrial area, and residential area.
In order to supply the bulk raw material needs of the Company’s Oil
Extraction Plant, which has a capacity of processing 8,640.00 tonnes of
avocados per annum, in this first phase implementation, the project shall
operate a farm with a capacity of 3,600.00 tonnes per annum and uses out
grower scheme to supply the remaining 5,040.00 tonnes per annum.
As such, the first phase operation of the project will NOT ONLY create direct
employment opportunities for 269 persons to be employed in the plantation
and processing facilities, BUT ALSO shall participate about 280 out grower
farm households, from the local communities, on a contract farming
arrangement.
1. Background
Ethiopia is predominantly an agriculture country. About 40% of the Gross
Domestic Product and 90% of the Crop sector predominates the agricultural
sector. Besides, nearly 86% of the active rural labour force is engaged in
agriculture.
Ethiopia has a fairly well distributed rainfall and moderate temperature that
allows Production of a variety of tropical and sub-tropical fruits and
vegetables. This is complimented by fairly fertile soils which support the
production of very high quality and nutritious vegetables.
The avocado fruit is a rich source in vital nutrients and oil for cosmetics as
well as culinary purposes. Avocados are primarily grown for the fresh fruit
market, either domestic or export.
The avocado varieties that dominate Ethiopian production (fuerte and hass)
are suitable for avocado oil extraction and processing. This project report
describes the process of establishing an avocado Farm and oil processing
plant in Andrecha Wereda of Sheka Zone, SNNPR.
Avocado is a fruit from a tree that has a variable growth and development,
reaching a height of 10 to 12 meters in its natural habitat Avocado trees
may grow at different altitudes. Such habitat is classified as subtropical-
tropical. The tree has a ligneous trunk that can reach up to 80 cm to 1 m in
diameter in trees that are 25 to 30 years old (raceme), that can be axillaries
or terminal.
Avocado trees can be seeded or grafted. The seeded trees produce fruit after
approximately 8 years and grafted trees, being the most common
propagation method, produce fruit after only 2 years. Besides the longer
juvenile period, the seeded trees also have a larger risk of losses in yield and
quality. The avocado trees could need irrigation during dry periods but not
during rain seasons.
The avocado fruit has many varieties differing in sizes, forms and
compositions of the fruit.
The fruit is pear-shaped and average weight range from 60g to 700g. The
pulp averages from 60% to 75% according to the cultivar. The oil is
contained in the cells of the fruit pulp. The oil content may also vary widely.
The oil content ranges from 8%-10% depending on the location of the farm
and the fruit ripening stage.
2. Company Summary
2.1. Vision
2.2. Mission
Our mission is excelling in satisfying our customers’ needs in our core areas
of competence and; add value for our stakeholders and the SOCIETY. The
strategy developed by the company on this purpose includes a series of key
directions meant to ensure world class productivity in innovation, R&D,
increased external collaboration, stronger customer orientation and
operational efficiency with a flexible cost bases.
To produce high quality avocado fruits using own farm and out-
growers scheme
To establish an avocado oil processing facility to deliver high quality
cosmetic product for local and international markets
To supply semi- processed fresh avocados to local and export market
4. Socio-economic Benefits
5. Market Analysis
This section examines the market prospect focusing on aspects of domestic
demand situations for avocado fruit and cosmetic products & existing local
supply levels, market prospect in light of the demand-supply gap and
potential prominent customers, price analysis, as well as marketing and
promotion strategies.
On the other hand, the country imports a variety of cosmetics from abroad.
Nevertheless, the quantity of canned avocado oil imported to the country
could not be known due to problem of data aggregation.
The demand for avocado fruits and personal care products in the country is
mainly influenced by the following factors:
Consumption of food items and personal care products, being the primary
consumer goods, are highly responsive to income levels, making demand
extremely elastic for the short run change in income. This makes agricultural
products like fruits and vegetables and personal care products to be
consumed relatively higher in low income countries like Ethiopia.
Ethiopia during the past decade has steadily registered a double-digit GDP
growth rate in real terms of 10.3% on average, which placed the country
among the top performing economies in Africa. This commendable economic
progress is attributed mainly to the policy measures and commitment of the
Government in creating conducive business environment for wider
participation of private investors in areas of top priority that include
investment in commercial farming and agro-processing industry products.
The increasing urbanization and emerging living pattern is evident across the
country. Ethiopia's urban population has, for instance, recently crossed the
l7 million thresholds according to national statistics.
The nutrition, health, and personal care and treatment awareness of the
general public immensely increased in recent time due mainly to the efforts
underway by the Ministry of Health and other stakeholders. These days,
emerging living patterns together with increasing self-perception concerns
are becoming more evident in Ethiopia.
Hence, as the result of the above factors, i.e trends during the past decade
in growing population size, rapid economic growth and ensuing rise in per
capita income, urbanization rate and changes in life style apparent demand
for personal care products increased markedly, presenting immense
opportunities to the existing local factories as well as new entrants.
It is thus expected that the demand for varieties in food items and personal
care products will continue to grow and this in turn will induce expansion of
the agro-processing industry justifying the establishment of the proposed
farm and processing plant in Andaricha woreda of Sheka zone.
As discussed in the above section the local demand for personal care
products is driven by various factors inclusive of population size and it
growth rate, economic growth and rise in disposable income, urbanization
trend, awareness and changes in lifestyle. The domestic demand for
personal care is apparently met through local production and imports.
Over the past decade, both local production and imported personal care
products have been markedly increasing to take advantage of the rapidly
growing lucrative market opportunity in the sub-sector.
The domestic demand for avocado fruit is apparently met through local
production minus export of avocado fruits overseas to different countries.
Production and productivity of avocado fruit has been increasing in Ethiopia
by huge amounts over time. The table below shows the land covered by
avocado fruit, total volume of production, productivity and yearly growth
rate of total production of avocado in Ethiopia during the last four years.
As revealed in the table above, land covered by avocado plant and volume of
production has steadily increased over the last four years. However, an
increment in production, 13.17% per year on average, is much higher than
the average increase in land cover by avocado fruit.
The quantity imported during the period 2017 - 2020 is shown in Table
below.
Our planned Factory on the other hand, in its first year operation, produces
70,690,909.09 Birr per annum. Therefore putting these numbers together, it
is estimated that our Factory can only substitute 13% of the total imported
cosmetic oils in the Country, implying that the Country is ready to absorb
many more Factories like ours.
From our market survey, there are currently only two medium scale
enterprises producing avocado oil products in the Country. Therefore
assuming the capacities of these Factories to be similar to ours, we can
estimate that local production, including ours equals 212,072,727.27 Birr
The Company’s marketing strategy will include the use of targeted print
media advertising and direct selling to hotels, restaurants and wholesalers.
The proposed Factory can use a similar distribution approach to its local
customers. Medium trucks shall mainly be used to distribute the products to
relatively remote markets, regional distribution agents and delivery for
shipment to the regional markets.
6. SWOT Analysis
The SWOT analysis provides us with an opportunity to examine the internal
strengths and weaknesses that the Company must address. It also allows us to
examine the opportunities presented to our company as well as potential threats.
Strength
Weakness
Time and cost factors associated with import of machineries and equipment
to be installed
Opportunities
Threat
7. Organizational Structure
Our team is our greatest ASSET. Having a strong, diverse team that we can trust
and count on is of course a guarantee that our Company will be successful!
The Company has its own Organizational Structure with the general meeting of
shareholders at the apex. The factory has different functionally related
departments. Detailed descriptions are found in the following section.
Board of Directors/Founders
Top Manager
Operation Supervisor
Marketing &
Finance Supervisor
Admin
Finance
Operators Sales
Labourers Transport
Security Guards
8. Technical Study
Though the exact figures of current Avocado productions in the region is not
available, Sheka Zone has significant productions and agro-ecologically
suitable for plantation of Avocado fruit. Considering all these factors the
farm and the plant will be located in Andaricha woreda, sheka zone of
SNNPR.
Andaricha woreda is located 1,000KMs from the capital of Hawassa, and 800
Kms from Addis Ababa while it is about l00m off the main road.
The size of land plot for the farm and Factory is 1,000 ha, which will be
obtained via lease agreement from the concerned land bureau of Sheka zone
for ninety years.
The total lease amount is Birr 65,000.00 birr and the company will be
effected an advance payment of Birr 6,500.00. The plot area is sufficient to
accommodate all the operations of the avocado farm and factory including
smooth movement of trucks and vehicles as well as green area.
While the biggest size of the leased land will be used for avocado farm
plantation, the built up area of all the building blocks within the factory
compound covers 1,510 m2. The breakdown of the floor area and purpose of
each building is as indicated in the following table.
The estimated construction cost per square meter for the main building is
taken to be birr 8,300/m2, based on location of factory site, prevailing
market situation and price quotations for major building construction
materials and other inputs, as well as professional expertise of the local
engineers. Thus the total building construction costs for the new Factory
with built-up area covering 1,510m2, is estimated to amount about Birr l2.53
million.
building and office equipment, and component two will be machinery and
equipment required for the avocado oil extraction manufacturing plant.
The machinery and equipment required by the farm can be obtained from
Reengineering and Nazareth Tractor Assembly plant, whereas planting raw
materials like fertilizers, chemicals & seedlings, etc. could be obtained from
a number of governmental and non-governmental organizations such as
horticulture development required enterprises.
The machinery and equipment required by the envisaged avocado farm and
processing project are listed in the Table below. The total cost of machinery
and equipment is estimated at Birr 4.4 million.
11 Conveyor 1
12 Balances 2
13 Seamer 2
14 Dryer 1
15 Washing machine 1
16 Vacuum pump 1
17 Boiler 1
Total Value LS 7,987,500.00
Nitrogen Gas
Generator
3 Avocado Oil Filling Set 1
Line 98,000.00 98,000.00 4,263.00
4 Total Cost of Oil Processing Machines 343,300.00 14,933.55
The types and number of motor vehicles required for the Factory have been
carefully selected by taking in to consideration the specific purposes relevant
for smooth functioning of its daily activities. The motor vehicles proposed to
be purchased include: 2 FSR Isuzu trucks, 2 mini-buses, one pick-up (double
cab 4WD), and automobile. Based on current price quotations, investment
cost of vehicles and forklift is estimated at about Birr 9.31 million. See table
below.
The main raw materials and inputs required for the avocado farm and
processing plant are fertilizers, chemicals, preservatives, seedlings and
packing materials. Most of the raw materials can be obtained from the local
agents.
The main raw materials and inputs required for the avocado oil extraction
plant is raw avocado fruit. The planned avocado oil extraction plant is using
its input of raw avocado from its own farm and local outgrowing farmers
while packing materials will be imported from abroad.
The detailed raw materials requirement and cost is shown in the Table
below.
Table: Materials and inputs requirement and cost for oil processing plant
items year1 year2 year3 year4
package pieces/year 3,534,545.45 4,123,636.36 5,007,272.73 5,890,909.09
package price/piece 6.00 6.60 7.26 7.99
total packaging
costs 21,207,272.73 27,216,000.00 36,352,800.00 47,044,800.00
cost of sales,
plantation 3,815,280.00 4,673,718.00 5,958,990.45 7,361,105.85
Cost of sales,
out growers 5,490,280.98 6,725,594.20 8,575,132.60 10,592,810.86
cost of sales, oil
processing 12,724,363.64 19,051,200.00 30,899,880.00 47,044,800.00
misc @5% 1,101,496.23 1,522,525.61 2,271,700.15 3,249,935.84
cost of sales
total 23,131,420.84 31,973,037.80 47,705,703.20 68,248,652.54
For the Company to meet the wider market demand, closely working with
smallholders is an alternative way of sourcing raw material supply.
Therefore, the Company has initiated this project to promote a contract
farming practice among a total of 228 small holder farmers in the local area,
on a Pubic Private Partnership (PPP) arrangement.
Production Perspective
To ensure the “consistent supply of raw materials” to the Industrial
Complex – access to raw material base
Agribusiness Perspective
To specialize and involve in a sustainable and comprehensive approach
which promotes supply chain and value chain mechanism
a) Land Development
Land development is the first operation of the Production process in avocado
production. It includes land surveying and design, planting site clearing and
cleaning, levelling and irrigation land, access and farm roads construction.
b) Land Preparation
Land preparation activities like ploughing, disking, harrowing and basin
formation follow the land development. Ploughing, disking and harrowing
would be carried out by tractor mounted machineries while basin formation
by casual labours.
d) Pre-Harvest Management
Pre- Harvest management starts with transplanting of sexually or asexually
propagated seedlings of avocado from nursery to the main planting site.
Cultivation for weed control and soil fertility improvement, training and
pruning seedlings, irrigation water application, fertilization and insect pest
and disease control are among the major pre - harvest management in
avocado production.
STEP 2 AVOCADO DEPULPING SYSTE: The elevator takes then the fruits
into the destoning machine, where pips and skin are separated from the
pulp. Skin separation needs to be calibrated according to the desired quality,
since the proportion of skin into the processed mash may affect the pigment
composition of avocado oil.
showed that malaxing time should not exceed 90 min(around 1h)and Temp.
should be 40°C-60°C.
In this machine, the mash coming from kneading is fed into the machine
together with about 10-20% of hot water (at the same temperature as the
mash) depending on the characteristics of product. The mash inside the
centrifuge is separated into oil, vegetation water and solids (exhausted pulp
and residual skin). The oil phase and the water phase are collected
separately under the decanter. The oil phase is pumped out to a vertical
purifier centrifuge, while the water phase is pumped out to a vertical
centrifuge separator.
STEP 7 VIRGIN AVOCADO OIL STORAGE: The oil from separator will be
pumped into sedimentation tank and stay for some time to remove the
seldom moisture and impurities. After stay some time, the oil will be
pumped into big stainless steel tank for storage, The tank should be avoid
light and heat, constant temperature and nitrogen filling if necessary.
The final oil product should adhere to the Codex standards as a minimum as
well as the KEBS standard. These standards are described below;
a) Virgin oils are obtained, without altering the nature of the oil, by
mechanical procedures, e.g. expelling or pressing, and the application of
heat only. They may have been purified by washing with water, settling,
filtering and centrifuging only.
b) Cold pressed oils are obtained, without altering the oil, by mechanical
procedures only, e.g. expelling or pressing, without the application of heat.
They may have been purified by washing with water, settling, filtering and
centrifuging only. c) Nutrition and chemical Standards
The total area to be cultivated under avocado will be 1,000 ha. At full
capacity operation, about 8,640.00 tonnes of fresh fruit will be produced
from the farm annually.
The avocado farm reaches fruition after three years from plantation.
Considering the problem in skill development and market penetration, both
the avocado farm and oil extraction plant starts operation at 60% of the
rated capacity in the first year (on the same year of fruition) and shall
progressively grow to 75% in the second year, 85% in the third year
reaching full (100%) capacity in the fourth year and thereafter.
At full capacity operation, the processing plant will have 300 working days,
operating in three shifts of 24 hours a day.
All the implementation activities of the proposed farm and factory will be
accomplished within the next 12 months duration. The main tasks include
recruitment of workers, erection of machinery and equipment, trial-run and
training of technical staff and product promotion and advertisement
activities. The Factory is thus presumed to commence initial investment by
the plantation season of 2021/22.
The environmental impact of the avocado fruit planting and Avocado oil
extraction factory appears innocuous when compared with the other
investment sectors such as tanneries that have more severe effects on the
environment and the ecology and people living in the surrounding areas. The
existing land plot in Andarecha wereda is an area with no trees or vegetation
cover to be removed. The area is already earmarked by the land bureaus
convenient and suitable for farming and manufacturing investment purpose.
Hence, there is no deforestation activity during site clearing works and no
negative impact, on surrounding ecology in this regard.
As regards the solid and liquid discharges from the Factory operations, the
Company's shareholders are well aware from the outset the need for proper
effluent disposal mechanisms. The necessary resource will thus be
committed to mitigate any adverse effects on the environment and also
enrich the eco-system of the surrounding with green area and garden
cultivation on the land plot-
Specifically, the promoters will pay due attention on the following major
aspects regarding the environment effect of the planned project:
identify the magnitude of effluent discharges from operations of the
Factory, and take plausible mitigation measures of disposal of solid
and liquid wastes;
To ensure safety and health facilities for all workers are in place; and
To strictly adhere to the governing regulatory requirements and laws
on environment protection enacted specific to the manufacturing
sector.
Table: Utilities
Table: Vehicles
Type of Vehicle Qty Unit cost Unit Cost Total
In USD In BIRR In BIRR
Isuzu Truck, Japan 2 45,000 1,957,500 3,915,000
Minivan, Toyota 2 28,000 1,218,000 2,436,000
Pickup Double Cabin, vigo 2021, 1 40,000 1,740,000 1,740,000
Toyota
Automobile, Corolla Toyota 1 22,000 957,000 957,000
Sub-Total 9,048,000
L/C Charge, incl. nbe fee 4.5% CIF 262,080
Total 6 9,310,080
Table: Depreciation
Depreciation Original value Annual Dep.
Description rate (Birr) (Birr)
Machineries 0.10 27,476,310.00 2,747,631.00
Buildings 0.10 12,533,000.00 1,253,300.00
Vehicles 0.10 9,310,080.00 931,008.00
Total Fixed Asset 49,319,390.00 4,931,939.00
Table: Revenue
revenue forecast year1 year2 year3 year4
output liter 777,600.00 907,200.00 1,101,600.00 1,296,000.00
output, ml 777,600,000.00 907,200,000.00 1,101,600,000.00 1,296,000,000.00
bottled in 220ml
pieces 3,534,545.45 4,123,636.36 5,007,272.73 5,890,909.09
price/piece 20.00 22.00 24.20 26.62
revenue 70,690,909.09 90,720,000.00 121,176,000.00 156,816,000.00
5 7,577,089 871,365 0
14.1. Profitability
According to the projected income statement, the project will start
generating profit in the first year of operation. Important ratios such as
profit to total sales, net profit to equity (Return on equity) and net profit
plus interest on total investment (return on total investment) show an
increasing trend during the life of the project. Further, the income statement
and other indicators of profitability show that the project is viable.
Fixed Cost
BE = = 44 %
Sales – Variable Cost