Lecture 03 - LFA - Problem Tree
Lecture 03 - LFA - Problem Tree
Previously
Fundamental Stages of LFA
Stakeholder Analysis
Interest, Importance and Influence Type of participation
Analysis Stage Stakeholder Analysis Problem Analysis Objective Analysis Strategy Analysis...
Today
Problem Analysis / Problem Tree Objective Analysis / Objective Tree
Options Analysis
Which option is most suitable to achieve the objective?
Strategy Analysis
What is a Problem?
Problem Analysis
On the basis of available information, the existing situation, in particular the major problems should be analyzed and the main cause-effect relationships between the major problems should be visualized in a problem tree. This exercise of analyzing the existing situation is referred to as a problem analysis.
Problem Analysis
The problem as identified by the problem analysis becomes the main focus of the project that you propose. In other words, the goal of your project is to mitigate the problem you have analyzed in the problem analysis.
Problem Analysis
The aim of problem analysis is not only to reveal apparent symptoms, but to identify `root causes` of a problem and design the project such that these are addressed A clear and comprehensive problem analysis, provides the basis on which to develop a set of relevant and focused objectives.
Problem Analysis
One main tool used in problem analysis is the problem tree.
Problem Tree
Effects
FOCAL PROBLEM Causes
Problem Analysis
IMPORTANT: Different stakeholders have different perspectives of what constitutes a
problem analysis
Problem Analysis
The problem tree should provide a simplified
but nevertheless robust version of reality. It should not be too complicated, otherwise it will not be used in providing direction for later steps in the analysis
2nd step: Among the problems identified in 1st step, identify a `focal problem`
the one which appear to be linked to most of the other problems
3rd step: Identify the direct causes of the focal problem (what is causing this problem? or Why?) and place them at the bottom of the focal problem 4th step: Identify direct effects of the focal problem, and place them on top of the focal problem (what does this problem lead to?)
6th step: combine the problems using arrows to clearly identify cause-effect relationships 7th step: make sure that no steps are skipped and the logical sequence is clear (direct causes of the problem should be identified) 8th step: Review the entire problem tree, verify its validity and completeness, and make necessary adjustments (are there other important problems?)
How to decide? Can the problem be addressed by an activity based solution? YES: keep it! NO: its a constraint!
Service Coverage Installed capacity of system Idle capacity Unaccounted for water
Causes
Effects
Objective Analysis
This analysis is done to:
Define the desired situation in the future where all the previously identified problems are solved Verify the hierarchy of aims Schematically represent the relationship between the things to be done and the outcomes
Similar to the problem tree, the objective tree is best prepared after a workshop with all involved parties
Objective Analysis
Objective trees should be prepared after the problem tree has been completed and parallel to a stakeholder analysis. In its simplest form, the objective tree uses exactly the same structure as the problem tree, but with the problem statements (negatives) turned into objective statements (positives). (be careful here!) However, the results of the stakeholder analysis may have helped to give better focus to priority problems and not all of the original problem statements may therefore need to be translated into objective statements.
Unrealistic objectives should be deleted!
Objective Analysis
While the problem tree shows the cause and effect relationship between problems, the objective tree shows the means - end relationship between objectives (i.e. the means by which desired ends or objectives will be achieved).
Objectives are desired conditions & situations and should not be formulated as activities The objective analysis leads directly into developing the activitys narrative description in the logical framework matrix.
Objective Analysis
Once the negative statements from the problem tree have been re-worded to positive statements, you should then check:
are the statements clear? are the links between each statement logical and reasonable? (Will the achievement of one help support the attainment of another that is above it in the hierarchy?) is there a need to add any other positive actions and/or statements? More detail may be required. (check problem tree) are the positive actions at one level sufficient to lead to the result above? do the risks to achieving the objectives and also having sustainable outcomes appear to be manageable? is the overall structure simple and clear? Simplify if possible or necessary.
Out of scope of project New objective added Can not be manipulated easily & left out because unrealistic objectives
WHAT IS NEXT
Sources of Information
Project Cycle Management Training Manual (in Turkish), Dr. Merih Keresteciolu, 2005
Improving Municipal Wastewater Management in Coastal Cities Training Manual, Version 1, February 2004, www.gpa.unep.org.tr/training AusGuideline Activity Design 3.3 The Logical Framework Approach, October 2005, www.ausaid.gov.au/ausguide/pdf/ausguideline3.3.pdf