Carvana Auto Receivables Trust 2021-P2 New Issue Report
Carvana Auto Receivables Trust 2021-P2 New Issue Report
Analytical Contacts
Rated Notes
Initial Credit
Initial Amount Interest Legal Final
Class Enhancement KBRA Rating
($) Rate Maturity Date
(%)
Class A-1 $112,000,000 0.12908% Jul 11, 2022 9.70% K1+ (sf)
Class A-2 $231,850,000 0.30% Jul 10, 2024 9.70% AAA (sf)
Class A-3 $235,810,000 0.49% Mar 10, 2026 9.70% AAA (sf)
Class A-4 $124,040,000 0.80% Jan 11, 2027 9.70% AAA (sf)
Class B $25,580,000 1.27% Mar 10, 2027 6.40% AA+ (sf)
Class C $29,060,000 1.60% Jun 10, 2027 2.65% A+ (sf)
Class D $16,660,000 2.02% May 10, 2028 0.50% BBB+ (sf)
Class N* $27,430,000 1.88% May 10, 2028 0.05% BB+ (sf)
Total $802,430,000
*Net Interest Margin Security; Derives C ashflow from Excess Spread
Carvana, LLC (“Carvana” or the “Company”) was founded in 2012 as an eCommerce platform for buying used vehicles.
Carvana, through its website (www.Carvana.com), offers a unique used vehicle buying experience that enables
customers to purchase vehicles online through an efficient and transparent process. Carvana’s target customer
demographic is not specific to credit and is geared to attract a broader credit spectrum and income classification than
that of DriveTime Automotive Group Inc. (“DriveTime”). Initially launched in Atlanta, Georgia, Carvana has expanded
nationally and is now operating in 298 markets. Carvana’s business and operations fully integrate all steps of the vehicle
purchase process including vehicle acquisition, trade-in, financing, and delivery. The Company is led by founder and
CEO Ernie Garcia III who currently owns approximately 10%. The Company completed its IPO in April 2017, and the
stock trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “CVNA”.
This transaction, CRVNA 2021-P2, represents the fourth term ABS securitization for the Company in 2021, the third
under its prime shelf, and the tenth overall. CRVNA 2021-P2 will issue eight classes of notes rated ‘K1+ (sf)’ though
‘BB+ (sf)’ totaling $802.43 million. The transaction is collateralized by approximately $775 million of automobile loans
to primarily prime obligors as defined by the Company (obligors with Deal Scores ranging from 50 to 100). The
automobile loans are fixed rate installment loans with a weighted average non-zero FICO score of 706. In addition, as
of the cutoff date, the loans have an average current principal balance of $21,650, weighted average interest rate of
7.97%, and weighted average original term and remaining term of 71 and 69 months, respectively. The collateral is
comprised solely of used vehicles. Carvana will use the net proceeds from the issuance of the notes to pay down existing
debt and for general operating purposes.
The transaction has initial credit enhancement levels of 9.70% for the Class A Notes, 6.40% for the Class B Notes,
2.65% for the Class C Notes, and 0.50% for the Class D Notes. Initial credit enhancement consists of excess spread,
subordination (except for the Class D Notes) and a reserve account funded at closing. The transaction includes a Class
N reserve account equal to 0.05% of the initial collateral pool balance which can be used to pay any Class N interest
shortfalls. Bridgecrest Credit Company (“Bridgecrest”), is an affiliate of DriveTime and will be the primary servicer of
the securitization.
Transaction Parties
Issuer Carvana Auto Receivables Trust 2021-P2 (“CRVNA 2021-P2”)
Sponsor, Originator and Administrator Carvana, LLC
Depositor Carvana Receivables Depositor LLC
Grantor Trust Carvana Auto Receivables Grantor Trust 2021-P2
Servicer Bridgecrest Credit Company, LLC
Indenture Trustee and Custodian Wells Fargo Bank, National Association
Owner Trustee and Grantor Trust Trustee BNY Mellon Trust of Delaware
Backup Servicer Vervent Inc.
Asset Representations Reviewer Clayton Fixed Income Services, LLC
Cash Flow Priority: CRVNA 2021-P2 utilizes a sequential pay structure where the Class A-1 notes
receive principal payments prior to all subordinate notes. Once each of the Class A notes are paid
in full, Class B receives principal payments until paid in full followed by Class C, and then Class D.
Interest is paid sequentially prior to principal payments; however, the Class A-1 through Class A-4
notes receive interest payments pro rata. Any excess spread after paying fees, interest and principal
on the notes in order to maintain the overcollateralization requirement is used to pay interest and
principal payments to the Class N until it is paid in full.
Overcollateralization: Initial OC is 0.00% but will build to 1.40% of the initial collateral pool balance.
+
Subordination: Subordination is 9.20%, 5.90%, and 2.15% for the Class A, Class B, and Class C
notes respectively.
Cash Reserve Account: A cash reserve account for the Class A through Class D notes will be funded at
closing and will equal approximately 0.50% of the initial collateral pool balance. The Class N has a
reserve account funded at 0.05% of the initial collateral pool balance and can be used to pay interest
while the overcollateralization is building to its target or to cover any interest shortfalls on the Class N.
Excess Spread: Excess spread is approximately 6.16%, based on a weighted average interest rate
of 7.97% less 1.03% fees and 0.78% estimated bond coupon.
The credit enhancement levels for each class are sufficient to cover Kroll Bond Rating Agency’s
corresponding stressed cash flow scenarios for each rated note class.
Unpredictability of Class N Payments
The Class N is a NIM security where the noteholder has claim on the transaction’s residual cashflow. As
a result, principal and interest payments on the NIM are derived from excess spread that the transaction -
generates. If there is significantly less excess spread due to higher losses or faster prepayments on the
underlying loans than projected, the Class N noteholders may experience losses.
The transaction includes a Class N reserve account which can be used to cover interest shortfalls
on the Class N Notes in periods where there is no excess spread. Uncapped transaction party fees
are paid after interest and principal payments to Class N noteholders. If the servicer utilizes the 2%
clean-up call option and the Class N is still outstanding, the issuer must pay the Class N in full
before the clean-up call can occur.
Underwriting and Risk Analytics
Carvana has developed multiple proprietary risk models to support various aspects of their vertically
integrated business. The Company uses market-based pricing methods, loan structuring algorithms
and external data sources to underwrite loans and predict loan performance. Over the past several
years, the Company has introduced and continued to develop their proprietary credit risk models,
CarvanaScore, Deal Score and Fraud Score.
All proprietary risk models are regularly monitored, tested and updated from time to time to adjust
for new performance data, changes in customer and economic trends, and additional sources of
third-party data. +
Additionally, Carvana has partnered with Ally Bank as a forward flow party purchasing loans. Ally
performs periodic reviews, quality control, and quality assurance tests on loan-level underwriting
procedures. The Company has leveraged Ally’s experience in underwriting auto loans and is
continuously improving their credit philosophy from Ally’s feedback and learnings.
For more information on Carvana’s underwriting process, please read the Underwriting & Risk
Management section of this report.
Experienced Third-Party Servicer
Carvana loans are serviced by Bridgecrest, an affiliate of DriveTime, which services a $10.0+ billion
portfolio consisting of loans originated by Carvana and DriveTime. Bridgecrest services Carvana and
DriveTime loans on behalf of Ally Financial, Ally Bank, and a number of other public and private
securitization trusts and financing facilities. Bridgecrest has a dedicated team of employees devoted +
to servicing Carvana accounts and maintains redundant call center facilities located in Mesa, AZ and
Dallas, TX. Bridgecrest is equipped for the unique needs of Carvana’s technology-focused customer
base, with integration into Carvana’s smartphone app, a Bridgecrest online account services portal,
and ability for agents to engage with customers via text message.
Relationship with DriveTime
Carvana maintains several business relationships with DriveTime that provide the benefits of a
larger-scale organization, including ability to access a broad range of industry expertise. Carvana
has a shared services agreement with DriveTime where DriveTime provides certain information
technology and telecommunications services.
Separate from the shared services, Carvana has separate contracts for services with DriveTime and
its affiliates, including subleases of office space in DriveTime’s buildings for certain market hubs
and leases for four of Carvana’s 12 inspection and reconditioning centers. Carvana engages +
Bridgecrest, an affiliate of DriveTime, to service loans that Carvana holds on its balance sheet.
Carvana may also sell and receive commission on vehicle service contracts (“VSCs”) and GAP waiver
agreements sold to customers purchasing a vehicle from the Company. Some ancillary products are
underwritten and/or administered by SilverRock, another DriveTime affiliate. Carvana pays
DriveTime market rates for all services provided by DriveTime and reports all operating costs in
their financial statements.
Limited Historical Performance Data
Carvana was formed in 2012 and although the Company began originating loans in February 2013,
they did not originate sizable volumes for KBRA to perform representative static pool analysis until -
2016. KBRA reviewed static pool gross and net loss data, aggregated into quarterly vintages and
Historical data is considered the best indicator of future performance; therefore, the limited
performance history and reliance on proxy data is a key risk relating to this transaction; however,
KBRA has noted improvements in Carvana’s static pool loss performance as further data is collected
and Carvana’s credit models are refined.
Financial Condition and Liquidity
Carvana is a public company focused on growth. As a result, the Company has incurred significant
operating losses and negative cash flow since inception; however, the Company had its first quarter
of positive EBITDA in Q3 2020. For FY 2019, FY 2020 and Q1 2021, the company reported net losses
of $365 million, $462 million, and $82 million, respectively. Carvana expects to incur additional
losses in the future as the Company expands into new markets and develops their presence in
existing markets, invests in their infrastructure (website, inspection centers, and distribution
channels, among others) and builds additional car vending machines (locations customers can pick-
up their vehicle).
-/+
Carvana currently has multiple sources of liquidity including senior unsecured notes, the ability to
issue common stock, and multiple revolving credit facilities with certain lenders that have an
aggregate commitment of $1.5 billion. In addition, Ally Bank and Ally Financial currently provide
Carvana with (i) a $4.0 billion forward flow commitment and (ii) a $1.25 billion floor plan for the
purchase of vehicles.
For more details on Carvana’s financial position, please read the Financial Condition & Liquidity
section of this report.
Integrated Business Model
Since Carvana does not have many of the fixed overhead costs that traditional retail dealers do,
Carvana is generally able to benefit from the integration of its retail, delivery and finance business
that helps lower their cost structure and better control all critical aspects of the transaction process.
Carvana controls the algorithms that help determine the vehicles they make available to customers,
the prices of those vehicles, the financing terms, GAP waiver coverage and VSC options available
to their customers and the trade-in values they offer. Additionally, the Company controls the
logistics infrastructure that enables fast, specific, and reliable delivery times.
▪ Carvana provides financing for the used vehicles it sells through their eCommerce platform.
Carvana’s website allows borrowers to select an exact down payment, monthly payment and
loan term and quickly obtain a financing decision. Financing decisions and terms are determined
by the Company’s proprietary scoring and loan structuring model. +
▪ Carvana acquires their used vehicle inventory through the national used-car market and purchasing
directly from their retail customers. Carvana assesses vehicles based on quality, inventory fit,
consumer desirability, relative value, expected reconditioning costs and vehicle location. Vehicle
prices are determined by a centralized pricing model and the Company does not negotiate the
vehicle sales price with its customers. The performance of Carvana’s loans also benefit from a
detailed vehicle inspection and reconditioning process prior to sale which helps to minimize
mechanical break-down (a common reason for delinquencies and charge-offs).
▪ Carvana’s credit scoring model determines each customer’s loan offer, which includes the
minimum down payment, maximum loan term, and monthly payment.
▪ Carvana maintains a team of in-house customer advocates that are available to answer
customer questions and assist in loan verification to establish proof of identity, income, and
insurance coverage.
Geographic Diversity
The Company opened its first market in Atlanta, Georgia as a way to utilize one of DriveTime’s large
inspection and reconditioning centers with excess capacity. This allowed the Company to recondition
vehicles, sell them over the internet and deliver them in the region. Carvana later opened a +
reconditioning facility in Blue Mound, TX. These two regions are Carvana’s largest and most mature
markets. As a result, these two states make up some of the larger concentrations in the pool;
however, the pool is geographically diversified. As of the cutoff date, the three largest state
Carvana has continuously expanded their geographic footprint by opening new markets since 2014.
Markets are defined as cities where Carvana delivers vehicles. When the Company opens a new
market, it focuses on advertising spend in proportion to the market’s population and has allowed
increased market penetration over time following the opening of a new market. As the Company
continues to grow, it has increased its national television advertising spend as well. The Company
is operating in 298 total markets nationwide.
Low LTV and Higher Recovery Values
Carvana’s online sales channels and low cost “vending machine” distribution method provides lower
operating costs compared to traditional retail auto finance companies. As a result, Carvana is
generally able to sell vehicles below Kelley Blue Book value. Coupled with required customer down
payments, this has resulted in relatively lower loan-to-value (“LTV”) and higher recovery amounts.
The weighted average LTV of the CRVNA 2021-P2 pool is 89.06%. Given the lower LTV of the pool +
and historic recovery rates, KBRA assumed a 45% recovery rate for the transaction.
The LTV for Carvana’s prime pool has trended lower recently primarily due to higher down payments
and higher trade-in activity. Generally, customers who trade-in their prior vehicle to purchase a
new vehicle will make higher down payments, resulting in a lower LTV.
Vehicle Return Policy
Customers in Carvana’s local delivery markets have the option to return their vehicle within seven
days of delivery, and all amounts paid are refunded. The period starts on the day the customer
receives the vehicle and ends at 5 p.m. EST on the seventh calendar day after receiving the vehicle.
The vehicle can be driven up to 400 miles during the seven-day period, however every additional +
mile driven after the 400-mile limit is charged a fee of $1.00 per mile. Cars that are modified or
damaged cannot be returned. Each of the receivables in the CRVNA 2021-P2 pool have passed this
seven-day return period.
Internet Fraud Risk
Carvana’s unique business model is largely predicated on delivering vehicles to a customer’s home and
much of the vehicle purchasing and financing process is conducted virtually. Internet-based lending is
inherently riskier than in-person lending as there is a greater potential for falsification of information
and borrower fraud. For all financing requests, Carvana runs an identity questionnaire from Experian for
identity authentication and fraud prevention. Interactive challenge-response questions are used to
authenticate the applicant’s identity. The questionnaire complies with both the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act
and the Fair Credit Reporting Act and is used for non-face-to-face transactions, such as internet and call -/+
center applications. Additionally, each application is designated a FraudScore which is used to identify
loans with a high potential for fraud. Most sales are fulfilled by a Carvana employee who checks the
customer’s driver’s license to confirm identity at delivery.
KBRA believes Carvana has established adequate procedures for information verification and fraud
detection.
Backup Servicer
Bridgecrest, as the primary Servicer, is responsible for all collections and payment processing
activities as well as repossession and remarketing of vehicles. If Bridgecrest is terminated as
Servicer, loan performance may be negatively impacted while servicing responsibilities are
transferred to the Back-Up Servicer (as defined below). This may result in a disruption in collections
and modifications in how loans are serviced, and payments are processed.
Vervent Inc. (“Vervent” or “Back-up Servicer”) is obligated to become the successor servicer if +
Bridgecrest is terminated as Servicer. Vervent will perform the following functions: i) on a monthly
basis receive data files from Bridgecrest and perform a reconciliation to carry out the servicing
related activities, ii) store the file in a secure location until superseded by the next monthly file, iii)
and confirm certain data on the monthly servicer reports.
Vervent’s ongoing involvement and preparedness as the Back-up Servicer should minimize the
impact of a servicing disruption in the event servicing must be transferred.
In response to COVID-19, Carvana took steps to manage their business including: -/+
▪ adjusting and tightening underwriting criteria for certain subsets of borrowers, particularly for
subprime consumers who have been impacted by lost wages and employment,
▪ offering one-month hardship extensions with a maximum of six one-month extensions allowed
for the life of the loan, and a maximum of three one-month extensions allowed within a 12-
month period,
▪ adjusting their operations to offer a “touchless” delivery experience for consumers, which is
preferable for customers complying with social distancing recommendations.
Extension rates for Carvana’s managed portfolio peaked in April 2020 at approximately 5% of the
managed portfolio and have been steadily declining since. The CRVNA 2021-P2 collateral pool has
a weighted average seasoning of one month and approximately 0.02% of the collateral pool has
ever received an extension.
Deal Name Carvana Auto Receviables Trust 2021-P2 Carvana Auto Receviables Trust 2021-P1 Carvana Auto Receviables Trust 2020-P1
Collateral
CRVNA 2021-P2 is the third ABS transaction under Carvana’s prime shelf, which consists of
Carvana loans with Deal Scores ranging from 50 to 100. Below is a chart that shows the pool
distribution of CRVNA 2021-P2 and CRVNA 2021-P1, segmented by Deal Score. KBRA determined
a loss expectation for each deal score cohort and used these assumptions, as well as the collateral
pool mix, to determine a base case loss expectation.
25.00%
Pool Composition
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
50-59 60-69 70-79 80-89 90-100
LTV for CRVNA 2021-P2 is 89.06%, 6.39% lower than the 95.45% LTV for CRVNA 2021-P1. The
lower LTV is due to higher down payments and higher trade-in activity. Generally, customers who
Lower LTV
trade-in their prior vehicle to purchase a new vehicle will make higher down payments, resulting
in a lower LTV.
KBRA completed a portfolio review of its CRVNA rated transactions in June 2021. To view the report, click here.
Most
Initial Current KBRA Last
Month Delinquency Extension Current Senior Initial Class Current Class Current
Deal Pool Factor Target OC KBRA Base Case Loss Reviewed
Seasoned Rate % Rate % CNL Class Enhancement Enhancement OC
Base Case Range(1) Date
Remaining
CRVNA 2019-1 25 43.51% 6.46% 0.53% 4.36% B 35.40% 86.99% 5.65% 5.65% 10.90% 9.00% June-21
CRVNA 2019-2 22 49.35% 7.21% 0.53% 3.77% B 33.80% 74.07% 5.50% 5.50% 11.00% 9.00% June-21
CRVNA 2019-3 19 54.59% 6.24% 0.36% 3.16% A-3 48.70% 94.15% 5.50% 5.50% 10.80% 10.00% June-21
CRVNA 2019-4 16 61.25% 5.36% 0.35% 2.38% A-3 48.85% 84.24% 5.20% 5.20% 10.25% 9.75% June-21
CRVNA 2020-N1 13 69.23% 7.63% 0.57% 2.97% A 56.10% 86.80% 10.10% 10.10% 17.00% 16.00% June-21
CRVNA 2020-P1 5 83.93% 0.29% 0.06% 0.16% A-2 9.90% 69.76% 1.50% 1.50% 2.10% 2.10% --
CRVNA 2021-P1 2 93.05% 0.17% 0.02% 0.00% A-1 9.42% 11.31% 1.10% 1.10% 2.15% 2.15% --
CRVNA 2021-N1 1 96.20% 1.70% 0.11% 0.11% A 54.90% 59.27% 4.00% 2.20% 15.50% 15.50% --
(1)
KBRA's base case loss range is +/- 1.00%
4.00% 10.00%
3.50%
8.00%
3.00%
2.50% 6.00%
2.00%
1.50% 4.00%
1.00%
2.00%
0.50%
0.00% 0.00%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
CRVNA 2019-1 CRVNA 2019-2 CRVNA 2019-3 CRVNA 2019-1 CRVNA 2019-2 CRVNA 2019-3
CRVNA 2019-4 CRVNA 2020-N1 CRVNA 2020-P1 CRVNA 2019-4 CRVNA 2020-N1 CRVNA 2020-P1
KBRA Process
KBRA analyzed the transaction using the Auto Loan ABS Global Rating Methodology and Global Structured Finance
Counterparty Methodology. KBRA’s auto loan methodology incorporates an analysis of: (1) the underlying collateral
pool, (2) the originator’s historical static pool data, segmented by characteristics including credit quality and product
type, (3) the proposed capital structure for the transaction, (4) KBRA’s operational assessment of the originator and
servicer and (5) the legal structure, transaction documents, and legal opinions.
In applying the methodologies, KBRA analyzed Carvana’s static pool data, the underlying collateral pool and static pool
loss data for comparable automobile finance companies using stressed cash flow assumptions. KBRA considered its
operational review of Carvana, which was conducted at its Tempe, AZ headquarters in February 2019, as well several
updates with the Company since that time. Operative agreements and legal opinions will be reviewed prior to closing.
In 2012, DriveTime Automotive Group Inc. (“DriveTime”) launched Carvana LLC (“Carvana”), a concept that developed
into a leading eCommerce platform for buying used cars. Carvana’s website (www.Carvana.com) offers a used car
buying experience that enables customers to purchase used vehicles online through an efficient and transparent process.
The Company can sell and finance a car online in as little as 10 minutes. Carvana's target customer demographic is not
specific to credit and is geared to attract a broader credit spectrum and income classification than that of DriveTime.
Initially launched in Georgia, Carvana has expanded nationally and is now operating in 298 markets. Carvana’s business
and operations fully integrate all steps of the vehicle purchase process, including:
(i) Vehicle Search: Cars are inspected, reconditioned and photographed at one of Carvana’s 12 inspections centers.
Carvana’s high quality website offers transparency and simple filtering capabilities for customers to find vehicles
that meet their specifications.
(ii) Vehicle Tour and Detail: High resolution photos allow customers to inspect vehicles. Vehicle tours highlight the
vehicle features and any imperfections.
(iii) Credit scoring: CarvanaScore was built on Experian and TransUnion credit data and alternative data from
LexisNexis and validated on Carvana originated loans. CarvanaScore is used in underwriting and deal structuring.
Carvana also utilizes their Deal Score and FraudScore in its origination process. Deal Score combines a customer’s
CarvanaScore with deal-specific attributes, such as down payment and monthly payment amounts, to further
enhance their predictive loan performance. The proprietary FraudScore combines credit data, alternative data,
and other proprietary data to score orders based on the risk of fraud.
(iv) Customer financing: Carvana.com has interactive dials that allow fast and transparent payment options based
on APR, down payment, monthly payment and term. APR is set to competitive market rates. Customers have the
ability to trade in their vehicle during the purchase process.
(v) E-Contracting: All contracts are completed electronically through E-Original and DocuSign. These companies
capture legally binding electronic signatures and store the electronic contract.
(vi) Verification of customer data: Carvana’s underwriting process includes verification of identification, income,
down payment as well as authentication metrics to minimize fraud risk.
(vii) Electronic down payment: Down payments are made electronically through ACH payments, cashier’s checks or wire.
(viii) Vehicle delivery: Vehicles can either be picked up at a Carvana “vending machine” or delivered to the customer’s
home. The customer has the option to return the vehicle within seven days of delivery for a full refund of all
amounts paid. Each of the loans in the pool have passed this seven day mark.
▪ Inspection and reconditioning centers: The Company operates “regions” that are centered around inspection
centers (e.g. Atlanta or Blue Mound, TX).
▪ Hubs: Within a region, the Company operates markets (e.g. Atlanta, Charlotte or Dallas).
▪ Vending Machines/Delivery: Vehicles are delivered through Carvana Vending Machines or delivered directly to
the customer. Carvana allows their customers to pick up their vehicle using a confirmation code generated during
the sales process.
▪ Acquire, inspect, recondition, and photograph pre-owned cars: Inventory sourced through auctions and
customer trade-ins is available on-line and photographed in high quality rotating images.
▪ Merchandise, sell, and finance car buying 100% online: Entire process can be completed in as little as 10 minutes.
▪ Cost savings/car vs. dealerships: Cost savings are achieved by having the lower cost infrastructures compared
to other competitors operating physical dealerships. They use this advantage to drive market share and improve
customer satisfaction which translates into better loan fundamentals. Carvana sells vehicles at lower prices which
translates to lower PTIs and better affordability for customers as well as lower LTVs which result in higher recoveries.
The Company’s cash has increased from $301 million to $370 million from 12/31/2020 to 3/31/2021. Vehicle inventory
has also increased from $1.0 billion to $1.4 billion.
Carvana currently has multiple sources of liquidity including $1.7 billion of senior unsecured notes, the ability to issue
common stock, and multiple revolving credit facilities with certain lenders that have an aggregate commitment of $1.5
billion. Ally Bank and Ally Financial currently provide Carvana with (i) a $4.0 billion forward flow commitment and (ii) a
$1.25 billion floorplan facility for the purchase of vehicles.
Assets
Cash and cash equivalents 370 301
Restricted cash 45 28
Accounts Receivable, net 118 79
Finance Reivables held for sale, net 384 275
Vehicle Inventory 1,439 1,036
Beneficial Interests in Securitizations 177 131
Other Current Assets 95 73
Total Current Assets 2,628 1,923
PP&E, net 982 909
Operating Lease Right-Of-Use Assets 156 156
Intangible Assets, net 5 6
Goodwill 9 9
Other Asses 39 32
Total Assets 3,819 3,035
Liabilities & Stockholders' Equity
Accounts Payable & Accrued Liabilites 484 342
Short-term revolving facilities 122 40
Current portion of long-term debt 69 65
Other Current Liabilities 21 20
Total Current Liabilities 696 467
Long-term Debt 2,254 1,617
Operating Lease Liabilities 147 148
Other Liabilities 1 1
Total Liabilities 3,098 2,233
Total Stockholder's Equity 721 802
Total Liabilities & Stockholders' Equity 3,819 3,035
Revenues
Used Vehicle Sales, net 1,800 964
Wholesale Vehicle Sales 240 80
Other Revenues 205 54
Total Revenues 2,245 1,098
Cost of Sales 1,907 960
Gross Profit 338 138
Selling, General & Admin. Expenses 397 276
Interest Expense 30 29
Other Expense (7) 17
Net Loss before Tax (82) (184)
Income Tax Provision - -
Net Loss (82) (184)
▪ Shared Services Agreement: In November 2014, Carvana and DriveTime entered into a shared services
agreement where DriveTime provides certain information technology and telecommunications services to facilitate
the transition of these services to the Company on a standalone basis (the “Shared Services Agreement”). Carvana’s
reliance on DriveTime under the shared services agreements has lessened since the Company first began operations.
▪ Ancillary Products: In December 2016, the Company entered into a master dealer agreement with DriveTime’s
affiliate SilverRock Automotive (the "Master Dealer Agreement"), pursuant to which the Company may sell vehicle
service contracts ("VSCs") and GAP waiver coverage to customers purchasing a vehicle from the Company.
▪ Carvana sells and receives a commission on VSCs under a master dealer agreement with DriveTime.
DriveTime administers and is the obligor under the VSC. The Company recognizes commission revenue at
the time of sale, net of a reserve for estimated contract cancellations.
▪ In November 2018, the Company amended the Master Dealer Agreement to allow Carvana to receive
payments for excess reserves based on VSC performance.
▪ Lease Agreement: The Company and DriveTime (and a DriveTime affiliate) entered several lease agreements,
that govern the Company’s utilization of temporary storage, reconditioning, offices and parking space at various
DriveTime inspection and reconditioning centers ("IRCs") and retail facilities. Lease duration varies by location, with
initial terms expiring between 2021 and 2024. The Company has the ability to renew at up to 10 of the locations
and most recently amended the lease agreements in December 2018. Under the DriveTime Lease Agreements, the
Company pays a monthly rental fee related to its pro rata utilization of space at each facility plus a pro rata share
of each facility’s actual insurance costs and real estate taxes.
Carvana Auto Receivables Trust 2021-P2 14 June 24, 2021
Originations
Carvana’s credit application volume consists exclusively of customers seeking financing for the purchase of a vehicle
from Carvana’s website. Approximately 80% of Carvana’s retail unit sales are directly financed by Carvana. The other
20% of customers purchase the vehicle with cash or self-arranged third-party financing.
At any time during the shopping experience, customers may submit a pre-qualification application in order
to receive conditionally approved financing offers on all vehicles in available inventory. The application
captures basic customer identity, contact, and income information which enables the Company to obtain data about the customer
from credit data partners such as, Experian and LexisNexis. Within seconds of application submission, data partners provide
Carvana with “off-the-shelf” scores, such as FICO, as well as the raw credit data needed to calculate the proprietary
CarvanaScore credit risk model. The Company’s technology quickly iterates through each vehicle in inventory to calculate
personalized financing offers for the customer based on customer-specific attributes, such as CarvanaScore, income, and state
of residence, as well as vehicle-specific attributes, such as price, mileage, and model year.
After selecting a vehicle, customers begin a series of steps on Carvana’s website. During the Purchase Process, the customer will:
▪ Review and select ancillary product options, including VSCs and GAP Waiver.
▪ Decide whether to add a trade-in to the purchase.
▪ Upload images of his or her driver’s license.
▪ Provide bank account information for making the down payment and, if desired, enroll in auto-pay for the loan.
▪ Schedule the date, time, and location of the delivery of the purchased vehicle, including whether the vehicle is to
be picked-up at one of the Vending Machine locations or delivered to the customer’s home.
The Purchase Process culminates in the customer confirming his or her order and financing application.
Order confirmation triggers the generation of electronic contracts, that the customer can sign immediately and must
sign in advance of delivery, and also marks the beginning of Carvana’s Verification Process.
The charts below illustrate Carvana’s total originations of both prime and near-prime collateral since 2014. Total
originations in 2020 increased to $3.6 billion, up 36.7% from the prior year.
Total Originations
$4,000,000,000
$3,500,000,000
$3,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$500,000,000
$0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Q1
The chart below shows originations segmented by Deal Score with higher Deal Score indicating higher credit quality. In
2020 Carvana increased the percent of originations with higher quality deal scores (60-100) and decreased the proportion
of lower quality deal scores (20-59).
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Q1
▪ CarvanaScore: CarvanaScore, currently in its fifth generation, was built from Experian and TransUnion credit data,
and alternative data from LexisNexis. CarvanaScore was developed and validated exclusively on Carvana loans.
CarvanaScore is used for setting minimum down payments and other deal constraints, and to determine pricing on
each loan.
▪ Deal Score: Deal Score combines a customer’s CarvanaScore with deal-specific attributes, such as down payment
and monthly payment amounts, to further enhance their predictive loan performance. The Deal Scores range from
0 to 100, with higher numbers predicting lower risk. Deal Score has been developed exclusively on Carvana loan
performance data. The Company is currently utilizing the third generation model which incorporates third-party
credit scores, deal structure characteristics, and financed vehicle attributes to determine an appropriate Deal Score
assignment for each loan. KBRA developed its loss assumptions based on Deal Score.
▪ FraudScore: The proprietary FraudScore combines credit data, alternative data, and other proprietary data to score
orders based on the risk of fraud. FraudScore highlights orders for additional review and diligence by specially-
trained members of the verifications team.
All proprietary risk models are regularly monitored and tested. They are updated from time to time to adjust for new
performance data, changes in customer and economic trends, and additional sources of third-party data.
Verifications
Carvana has established a centralized verifications process in which every order placed is verified by a team of
specialized employees at the Company’s headquarters in Tempe, Arizona. All orders must successfully pass verification
of identity, income, employment, insurance, and residency prior to delivery of the vehicle and origination of the loan.
Carvana verifies identity by checking a driver’s license against the DMV to ensure it is active and not suspended. The
verification process utilizes both manual and technology-enabled processes. Certain customers with lower perceived
credit risk may be eligible to pass income and employment verification based on information available from data partners
while other customers may be asked to provide paystubs, bank statements, or other information for manual verification.
The final piece of the Carvana purchase process is to validate that the customer has funds available to make the
minimum down payment. Available funds are verified based on the applicant’s credit and size of the down payment.
For all financing requests, Carvana runs an identity questionnaire from Experian for identity authentication and fraud
prevention. Interactive challenge-response questionnaires are used to authenticate the applicant’s identity. The
questionnaire complies with both the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act and the Fair Credit Reporting Act and is used for non-
face-to-face transactions, such as internet and call center applications. Additionally, each application is designated a
FraudScore which is used to identify potential fraud.
Cars are photographed in a state of the art photo booth that has a 360 degree high-resolution camera. The Company’s
proprietary annotation software allows the Company to showcase the cars’ best features, as well as every imperfection. Each
vehicle goes through a 150-point inspection to ensure the quality and safety of each vehicle. Carvana does not sell cars that
have been in a reported accident, have frame or structural damage, or possess any sign of collision or metal work.
Vending Machines/Delivery
Customers have the choice to pick-up vehicles from any of the 28 Vending Machine
locations. Vending machines, which are multi-story glass towers that store purchased
vehicles, provide an attractive and unique experience for customers and develop brand
awareness while lowering vehicle fulfillment expenses. In its 298 markets, Carvana delivers
vehicles with a Carvana-uniformed employee in a branded, custom single-car hauler.
During the delivery, additional images of the customer’s driver’s license and proof of
insurance are captured and reviewed by a Carvana employee. The customer and delivery
advocate complete any outstanding paperwork, including execution of a title application
and other documents needed to perfect Carvana’s security interest in the vehicle, which
are then sent to Carvana’s headquarters for processing. If the customer has decided to
keep the vehicle, a team of Carvana employees initiate the title and registration process.
Details and documents pertaining to the loan are sent to the servicer for onboarding.
Servicing
Carvana loans are serviced by Bridgecrest, an affiliate of DriveTime, which services a $10.0
billion portfolio consisting of loans originated by Carvana and DriveTime. Bridgecrest
services Carvana and DriveTime loans on behalf of Ally Financial, Ally Bank, and a number other public and private
securitization trusts and financing facilities. Bridgecrest has a dedicated team of employees devoted to servicing Carvana
accounts. Redundant call center facilities are located in Mesa, AZ and Dallas, TX. Bridgecrest is equipped for unique
needs of Carvana’s customer base, with integration into Carvana’s smartphone app, a Bridgecrest online account
services portal, and ability for agents to engage with customers via text message.
The servicer maintains a website where obligors can access current and historical information about their accounts.
Payments may be made by check mailed to a third party lockbox, by “Paymentus” a comprehensive payment system
for processing credit or debit card transactions through the Bridgecrest.com portal, by a recurring or onetime ACH
payment processed by Wells Fargo, or by “CheckFree” or “Moneygram” services offered at many retailers allowing
obligors to make payments for a nominal fee.
Servicing Policies
Extensions may be granted to a current or delinquent borrower to cure a short-term cash flow
problem. Key components of the extension guidelines generally include:
▪ Accounts > 45 days past due with a qualifying hardship and adequate recent payment history
Extension Policy
are eligible
▪ Cannot extend final payment more than 6 months past the original final payment date
▪ Maximum of 6 months of extensions during the life of the loan
▪ Maximum of 3 months of extensions within a 12-month period
The servicing policy generally requires that a receivable be charged-off at the earlier of:
Charge-off Policy
▪ The liquidation date of the vehicle; or
▪ The receivable is more than 120 days past due at the end of a month
The servicer may make modifications that are ministerial in nature. Due date changes are
permitted so long as:
Due Date Changes
▪ The due date is not extended beyond 28 days from the existing due date; and
▪ No more than two due date extensions are granted over the life of the loan
Historic Recoveries
70.00%
60.00%
Recovery Rate Net Liq.Exp.
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66
Months Since Chargeoff
Backup Servicer
The transaction includes Vervent Inc. (“Vervent”) as a backup servicer. Pursuant to the Servicing Agreement, Vervent
will receive monthly pool data and confirm certain data on the monthly servicer reports. In the event of a servicer
termination event, Vervent would become the successor servicer; however, Vervent, may, if it is unwilling to act, or
will, if it is legally unable to act as successor servicer, appoint, or, at the expense of the Issuer, petition a court of
competent jurisdiction to appoint, an eligible servicer as the successor to the terminated Servicer under the Servicing
Agreement. Vervent will not be relieved of its duties as successor servicer until a newly appointed servicer shall have
assumed the obligations and duties of the terminated Servicer under the Servicing Agreement. KBRA views the inclusion
of Vervent as backup servicer as a positive element to this transaction.
Vervent is a Delaware limited liability company, with locations in San Diego, California and Tijuana, Mexico. The company
has been in business for 30 years. Vervent began servicing auto loans 8 years ago. Its backup servicing, primary
servicing, customer service and collections teams are staffed by dedicated personnel located primarily in its two main
locations. In July 2019, First Associates closed an investment with Stonepoint Capital. As a result, Portfolio Financial
Servicing Company (“PFSC”), an existing Stonepoint Capital portfolio company, combined their operations with those of
First Associates. In October 2019, the combination of First Associates and PFSC was rebranded as Vervent Inc.
Historical Performance
The chart below shows the cumulative net loss since origination of receivables originated by Carvana with a Deal Score
between 50 to 100 from 2015 through 2020. The three older vintages have lower loss levels at earlier points in time
when compared to new vintages; however, the older vintages also have much lower origination sizes. As the origination
sizes grew, the cumulative net loss has stabilized.
Collateral Analysis
The collateral in the CRVNA 2021-P2 transaction includes 35,797 loans with an aggregate outstanding balance of $775 million
as of the June 3, 2021 cutoff date. The weighted average FICO score is 706 and the weighted average Deal Score is 75.
Stratification by FICO
Number of Current Balance % of Current W.A. Original W.A. Remaining
FICO W.A. APR W.A. FICO W.A. LTV W.A. PTI W.A. Deal Score
Loans ('000s) Balance Term Term
No FICO 387 5,246 0.68% 17.39% 69 67 0 74.70% 10.75% 58
551 to 600 992 19,886 2.57% 14.30% 71 70 596 92.54% 9.37% 62
601 to 650 8,145 174,107 22.47% 11.42% 71 70 628 93.89% 9.29% 65
651 to 700 9,404 207,645 26.79% 8.29% 71 70 674 92.79% 8.88% 71
701 to 750 7,163 157,357 20.30% 6.55% 71 70 724 88.84% 8.23% 78
751 to 800 5,330 116,957 15.09% 5.37% 70 69 775 83.99% 7.38% 83
801 or greater 4,376 93,801 12.10% 4.59% 68 67 828 78.59% 6.60% 88
Total: 35,797 775,000 100.00% 7.97% 71 69 706 89.06% 8.37% 75
Approximately 93% of the pool consists of loans with a remaining term over 60 months. The collateral pool is
approximately 1 month seasoned.
The three largest state concentrations in the pool are California (9.1%), Texas (9.0%), and Florida (7.1%).
Approximately 46% of the pool consists of borrowers with a current loan balance between $15,000 to $25,000. The
average loan balance is roughly $21,650.
Loans with a Deal Score between 80 to 89 and 70 to 79 make up the two largest subgroup. Higher Deal Scores generally
have higher FICO, lower LTV, lower PTI and lower APR.
Deal Name Carvana Auto Receviables Trust 2021-P2 CarMax Auto Owner Trust 2021-1 Ally Auto Receivables Trust 2019-4
Transaction Date 6/24/2021* 1/20/2021 12/11/2019
Collateral Stratification
Pool Balance (as of cutoff date) $775,000,002 $1,505,270,561 $1,050,522,784
Avg Loan Balance $21,650 $16,746 $15,830
Wtd Avg Coupon 7.97% 8.25% 6.63%
Wtd Avg FICO 706 711 741
Wtd Avg Loan-To-Value 89.06% 92.22% 94.28%
Wtd Avg Original Term (mths) 71 67 67
Wtd Avg Remaining Term (mths) 69 62 53
Wtd Avg Seasoning (mths) 1 5 14
% New Vehicles 0.00% 0.26% 70.00%
% Used Vehicles 100.00% 99.74% 30.00%
FICO Distribution
No FICO 0.68% 1.26% 12.00%
500 and lower 0.00% -- 0.00%
501-550 0.00% -- 0.00%
551-600 2.57% 600 and lower: 5.59% 0.00%
601-650 22.47% 20.80% 0.00%
651-700 26.79% 22.07% 27.70%
701-750 20.30% 18.75% 24.64%
751 and higher 27.19% 31.53% 35.65%
Geographic Concentration
State 1 CA: 9.07% CA: 17.63% TX: 13.51%
State 2 TX: 8.97% TX: 10.59% CA: 9.50%
State 3 FL: 7.08% FL: 8.23% FL: 8.31%
Note Balance
K1+ Class $112,000,000 $255,000,000 $252,000,000
AAA Class $591,700,000 $1,150,950,000 $739,690,000
AA+ Class $25,580,000 $45,100,000 $22,060,000
AA Class -- -- $18,380,000
AA- Class -- -- $13,660,000
A+ Class $29,060,000 $28,600,000 --
BBB+ Class $16,660,000 $20,350,000 --
BB+ Class** $27,430,000 -- --
Total $802,430,000 $1,500,000,000 $1,045,790,000
% Credit Enhancement
Initial O/C 0.00% 0.35% 0.45%
Target O/C 1.40%*** 0.35% 1.30%
Reserve Account 0.50% 0.50% 0.25%
Total Initial Credit Enhancement
K1+ Class 9.70% 7.10% 6.70%
AAA Class 9.70% 7.10% 6.70%
AA+ Class 6.40% 4.10% 3.75%
AA Class -- -- 2.00%
AA- Class -- -- 0.70%
A+ Class 2.65% 2.20% --
BBB+ Class 0.50% 0.85% --
BB+ Class** 0.05% -- --
KBRA Base Case Cumulative Net Loss Expectation
KBRA Base Case Loss Range 1.05% - 3.05% Not Rated by KBRA Not Rated by KBRA
Source: KBRA, transaction documents.
*C ollateral stratification is based on June 3, 2021 data.
**The C lass N is not supported by each respective collateral pool but receives payments through excess spread.
***% of Original Balance
The table below summarizes the characteristics of the loan pool broken out by Deal Score along with KBRA’s base case
expected gross loss percentage for each subgroup. KBRA’s weighted average base case cumulative gross loss range is
2.70%-4.70% with a mid-point of approximately 3.70% based on loans included as of the June 3, 2021 cutoff date.
Using a 45% recovery rate, KBRA’s base case CNL range is 1.05%-3.05% with a mid-point of approximately 2.05%.
The CRVNA 2021-P2 transaction is able to withstand a 9.25x multiple for the Class A notes, a 7.84x multiple for the
Class B notes, a 6.15multiple for the Class C notes, a 4.83x multiple for the Class D notes, and a 4.05x multiple for the
Class N notes based upon the base case loss timing curve.
The table below illustrates the potential for downgrade of each rated class if the expected cumulative net loss levels exceed
initial expectations based upon the leverage in the transaction currently. KBRA notes that this transaction is structured to
delever which may result in more stability in the ratings. ‘Stable’ means a downgrade is unlikely. ‘Moderate’ means a potential
downgrade of up to one rating category is possible. ‘Severe’ indicates a multi-category downgrade is possible.
In addition to providing insight into the risk of rating migration, the table also indicates which scenarios may cause
particular classes to default. Any scenario that indicates ‘Default’ for a class means that our cash flow projection indicated
a default in the payment of principal under that scenario.
It should be noted that many factors, including economic stress, market conditions and servicing operations can impact
the performance of the loan pool and influence rating decisions, both positively and negatively.
Environmental Factors
Geographic Risk
High state concentration leaves the collateral pool susceptible to adverse economic conditions, regional recessions and
natural disasters which may negatively affect loan performance or collections. Certain states are vulnerable to natural
disasters such as earthquakes, wildfires, and hurricanes. The occurrence of such an event may cause increased voluntary
or involuntary delinquencies for loans in the transaction. The collateral pool as of the initial cutoff is geographically
diverse and should mitigate this risk as described in the Geographic Diversity Key Credit Consideration.
Social Factors
Demographic Trends
Demographic trends drive consumer preferences and the overall direction of the economy, which influences the demand
for products and the performance of financial assets. Changes in demographic trends and consumer preferences impact
the long-term viability of the product and Company. KBRA considers changes in demographic trends, consumer
preferences and the long-term viability of the product and Company in its rating assessment. Products with low
customer satisfaction, that are inefficient or have not embraced technological developments have a greater likelihood
of being disintermediated or replaced by newer products that address these factors. Demand for financial products are
also affected by population growth and consumer age, demographic changes, employment rates, consumer behavior
and other secular trends.
Governance Factors
The Company has an experienced and stable management team. The Company operates a traditional business model with
transparent business processes as further discussed in Experienced Originator Management Team Key Credit Consideration.
Carvana, LLC
Sponsor
Underwriters
Receivables
Cash Purchase Receivables
Agreement
Underwriting
Agreement
Carvana Receivables
Depositor LLC
Depositor Cash Notes
Receivables
Notes Transfer Receivables
Agreement Investors
Grantor Receivables
Trust Contribution Receivables
Certificate Agreement
Credit The credit enhancement provides protection for the notes against losses and delays in payment on
Enhancement the receivables or other shortfalls of cash flow. The initial credit enhancement for the notes will
consist of the reserve account, excess interest on the receivables and, subordination of certain
payments (except for the Class D notes), as described below. The Class N has a reserve account
equal to 0.05% of the initial collateral pool balance and will be used to pay any Class N interest
shortfalls. If the credit enhancement is not sufficient to cover all amounts payable on the notes,
notes having a later final scheduled payment date generally will bear a greater risk of loss than
notes having an earlier final scheduled payment date.
Rated Notes
Initial Amount % of Total Reserve Initial Hard Interest Legal Final WAL
Class O/C Subordination
('000s) Collateral Account CE Rate Maturity Date (1.30 ABS)
Class A-1 $112,000 14.45% 0.00% 9.20% 0.50% 9.70% 0.12908% Jul 11, 2022 0.22
Class A-2 $231,850 29.92% 0.00% 9.20% 0.50% 9.70% 0.30% Jul 10, 2024 1.01
Class A-3 $235,810 30.43% 0.00% 9.20% 0.50% 9.70% 0.49% Mar 10, 2026 2.30
Class A-4 $124,040 16.01% 0.00% 9.20% 0.50% 9.70% 0.80% Jan 11, 2027 3.61
Class B $25,580 3.30% 0.00% 5.90% 0.50% 6.40% 1.27% Mar 10, 2027 4.37
Class C $29,060 3.75% 0.00% 2.15% 0.50% 2.65% 1.60% Jun 10, 2027 4.75
Class D $16,660 2.15% 0.00% 0.00% 0.50% 0.50% 2.02% May 10, 2028 5.17
Class N* $27,430 N/A 0.00% 0.00% 0.05% 0.05% 1.88% May 10, 2028 0.61
O/C 0 0.00%
Total $802,430 100.00%
*Net Interest Margin Security; Derives C ashflow from Excess Spread
Notes:
▪ The target overcollateralization in the transaction will be 1.40% of the original collateral principal
balance. The overcollateralization floor will be 1.40% of the original collateral principal balance.
▪ The reserve account will be 0.50% of the pool balance as of the initial cutoff date.
▪ The Class N reserve account equals 0.05% of the initial collateral pool balance and will be used
to pay any Class N interest shortfalls.
▪ Projected duration weighted excess spread per annum is estimated to be approximately 6.16%
based on the average collateral interest rate of 7.97% less 1.03% per annum fees and a WAL
weighted note rate of 0.78%.
Priority of On each payment date, available funds will be applied in the following order of priority:
Payments Pre-
Acceleration 1. Servicing Strip Amount;
2. Fees to the Transaction Parties, pro rata, if not previously paid expenses and indemnified
amounts, subject to annual caps;
3. To the Backup Servicer, the Backup Servicing Fee
4. Class A note interest;
5. Principal in the amount equal to the First Priority PDA;
6. Class B note interest;
7. Principal in the amount equal to the Second Priority PDA;
8. Class C note interest;
9. Principal in the amount equal to the Third Priority PDA;
10. Class D note interest;
11. Principal in the amount equal to the Fourth Priority PDA;
12. to the reserve account, an amount to fill the account to its requirement;
13. Principal in the amount equal to the Regular PDA;
14. Class N note interest;
15. to the Class N reserve account, any amount to fill the account to its requirement
16. Principal of the Class N notes, until fully paid
17. to pay the Transaction Parties, pro rata, any fees, expenses and indemnities not previously
paid and in excess of the related cap;
18. any funds remaining, to the certificateholders.
Principal Principal Payments on the Notes (other than the Class N Notes) will be made in the following order
Payments on of priority:
Notes
1. Principal on the Class A-1 notes until paid in full;
2. Principal on the Class A-2 notes until paid in full;
3. Principal on the Class A-3 notes until paid in full;
4. Principal on the Class A-4 notes until paid in full;
5. Principal on the Class B notes until paid in full;
6. Principal on the Class C notes until paid in full;
7. Principal on the Class D notes until paid in full.