4Q. Basic Concepts of Probability
4Q. Basic Concepts of Probability
I. OBJECTIVES
A. Content Standard The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of Probability.
B. Performance The learner is able to formulate and solve practical problems involving
Standard probability of simple events.
C. Learning
Competencies/ The learner illustrates an experiment, outcome, sample space and event.***
Objectives
(Write the LC code M8GE – IVh – 1
for each)
II. CONTENT PROBABILTY AND STATISTICS
A. Reviewing previous
lesson or presenting the
new lesson.
● Lesson objectives:
a. define probability
B. Establishing a purpose
b. identify the basic concepts of probability
for the lesson
c. applies basic concepts of probability in real-life situation
You are holding a die. Your seatmate is holding another die. If both of you
roll the dice at the same time, how many outcomes are possible?
C. Presenting
examples/instances of the
new lesson
● QUESTIONS:
1. If you roll a die once, how many outcomes are possible? _______
2. What are those outcomes? _______
3. How do we call those outcomes? _______
4. Rolling two dice simultaneously, how many outcomes are
possible?_______
5. How did you find the answer? _______
D. Discussing new
concepts and practicing Probability is the chance that something will happen. Events cannot be
new skills # 1 predicted with total certainty. We can say, “How likely they are to
happen.”
Experiment Outcome
Flipping a coin Head (H)/ Tail (T)
Rolling a die 1/2/3/4/5/6
Sample space is the set of all the possible outcomes or sample points.
Examples:
a. Getting a TTT when flipping a coin thrice
b. Choosing a “Queen” from a deck of cards (any of the 4 Queens)
c. Getting an “odd number” (1, 3, or 5) when rolling a die
Probability Rules:
1. The probability of any event is a number (either a fraction, a decimal or
a percent) from 0 to 1.
● Example: The weather forecast shows a 70% rain.
P (rain) = 70%
2. If an event will never happen, then its probability is 0.
● Example: When a single die is rolled, find the probability of getting an 8.
Since the sample space consists of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6,...it is
impossible to get an 8. Hence, P(8) = 0/6 = 0
E. Discussing new concepts 3. If an event is sure to happen, then the probability is 1.
and practicing new skills # ● Example: When a single die is rolled, what is the probability of
2 getting
a number less than 7?
Since all the outcomes {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} are less than 7,
P (number less than 7) = 6/6 = 1
4. The sum of the probabilities of all the outcomes in the sample space is 1.
● Example: In rolling a fair die, each outcome in the sample space has
a probability of 1/6.
Hence, the sum of the probabilities of the outcomes is 1.
1. 5/6
2. Tail
3. 50%
F. Developing mastery
4. Right, Wrong
(Leads to Formative
5. KING of Spades
Assessment 3)
6. Rolling an odd number (1, 3 or 5)
7. Flipping a 10-peso coin five times
8. Getting a head in a single toss of coin
9. The chance that something will happen
10. The result of a single trial of an experiment
11. Tossing a coin and rolling a die simultaneously
12 Set of all possible outcomes of an experiment
13. Guessing the number of marbles in a container
14. Choosing an ACE from a deck of standard cards
15. A chance process which leads to well –defined results
G. Finding practical
application of concepts and Life has a lot of uncertainties. Oftentimes, our decisions in life are done
skills in daily living under conditions of uncertainty. These are the probabilities of life.
Directions: With the same group in activity 1. Make a concept Map in the
given KEYWORDS where probability are being applied. Paste your output
in a manila paper. Assign a leader to discuss your work in front.
1. Typhoon
2. Vehicle accident
3. Winning a Lotto Draw
4. Passing in All subject areas
RUBRICS:
Content/correctness - 10 points
Cooperation - 10 points
Presentation of output - 10 points
30 points
Help the students to derived the formula in finding the probability of an
event.
Examples:
1. What is the probability of getting a HEART from a deck of cards?
P (heart) = 13/52 = 1/4
2. There are 25 marbles in a container: 4 are red, 5 are blue and 11 are
yellow. What is the probability that a blue marble will be picked?
P (blue marble) = 5/20= 1/4
_____ 1. A box contains 7 red balls, 5 orange balls, 4 yellow balls, 6 green
balls and 3 blue balls. What is the probability of drawing out an
orange ball?
J. Additional activities or
application or remediation _____ 2. Of the 45 students in a class, 25 are boys. If a student is selected
at random for a field trip, what is the probability of selecting a girl?
_____ 3. Two fair coins are tossed simultaneously, what is the probability of
showing tail (T) first and head (H) next?
_____ 4. A spinner is divided equally and numbered as follows: 1, 1, 2, 3, 3,
4, 1,1, 2, 4, 1,2, 3, 4, 1, 2. What is the probability that the pointer
will stop at an even prime?
_____ 5. What is the probability of getting an 8 from a deck of 52 cards?
V. REMARKS
VI. REFLECTION
A. No. of learners who
learned 80% in the
evaluation
B. No. of learners who
require additional
activities for
remediation who
scored below 80%
C. Did the remedial
lessons work? No. of
learners who have
cope up with the
lesson
D. No. of learners who
continue to require
remediation
E. Which of my
teaching strategies
worked well? Why
did these work?
F. What difficulties did I
encounter which my
principal or
supervisor can help
me solve?
G. What innovation or
localized materials
did I use/discover
which I wish to share
with other teachers?