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4Q. Basic Concepts of Probability

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
91 views

4Q. Basic Concepts of Probability

Uploaded by

florinaesposoph
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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School COMMONWEALTH NHS Grade Level Grade 8

Teacher LEONEL T. MABANO Learning Area MATHEMATICS


Date/Time MARCH 7, 2019 Quarter FOURTH

I. OBJECTIVES
A. Content Standard The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of Probability.

B. Performance The learner is able to formulate and solve practical problems involving
Standard probability of simple events.
C. Learning
Competencies/ The learner illustrates an experiment, outcome, sample space and event.***
Objectives
(Write the LC code M8GE – IVh – 1
for each)
II. CONTENT PROBABILTY AND STATISTICS

A. Subject Matter BASIC CONCEPTS OF PROBABILTY


III. LEARNING
RESOURCES
A. References
1. Teacher’s Guide
607 – 612
pages
2. Learners’ Materials
514 – 519
pages
a. Next Century Mathematics 8 pp. 598 – 619
3. Textbook pages
b. Mathematics for the 21st Century pp. 355 – 377
4. Additional Materials
from Learning
Resource (LR) portal
B. Other Learning
 IM’s ( coin, die , PPT Presentation, visual aids)
Resources
IV. PROCEDURES
Preliminary Activity
 Prayer
 Checking of attendance
 Setting classroom standard

Activity 1: Answer All you Can!


Relate each illustration below with your day to day activities. Fill in the
blanks with the correct words that would make the following sentences
meaningful.

A. Reviewing previous
lesson or presenting the
new lesson.

1. To God, nothing is _________.


2. Now is your ____________ to change for the better.
3. I’m ___________ that you can do better than what is expected of you.
4. Given the chance to win in the Math Contest, I prefer the ____________.
5. You and I have ___________ chance to succeed in life.
1. Are those words familiar to you?
2. What particular topic comes to your mind when you see the
words in the illustration?
3. What qualitative terms can be used to express probable
occurrences of events in a man’s life?
4. How else can the possible occurrence or likelihood of an event
be expressed?
5. Based on the illustration, how do you define probability?

● Lesson objectives:
a. define probability
B. Establishing a purpose
b. identify the basic concepts of probability
for the lesson
c. applies basic concepts of probability in real-life situation

Activity 2: Let’s roll It!


Analyze the problem carefully. Fill in the table correctly and answer the
questions that follow.

You are holding a die. Your seatmate is holding another die. If both of you
roll the dice at the same time, how many outcomes are possible?

C. Presenting
examples/instances of the
new lesson

● QUESTIONS:

1. If you roll a die once, how many outcomes are possible? _______
2. What are those outcomes? _______
3. How do we call those outcomes? _______
4. Rolling two dice simultaneously, how many outcomes are
possible?_______
5. How did you find the answer? _______

D. Discussing new
concepts and practicing  Probability is the chance that something will happen. Events cannot be
new skills # 1 predicted with total certainty. We can say, “How likely they are to
happen.”

 Probability Experiment is a chance process that leads to a well-


defined result called an outcome.

Examples: Flipping a coin


Rolling a die
 Outcome is the result of a single trial of an experiment.

Experiment Outcome
Flipping a coin Head (H)/ Tail (T)
Rolling a die 1/2/3/4/5/6

 Sample space is the set of all the possible outcomes or sample points.

 Sample point is just one of the possible outcomes.

 Event is any set of one or more outcomes satisfying some given


conditions.

Examples:
a. Getting a TTT when flipping a coin thrice
b. Choosing a “Queen” from a deck of cards (any of the 4 Queens)
c. Getting an “odd number” (1, 3, or 5) when rolling a die

Probability Rules:
1. The probability of any event is a number (either a fraction, a decimal or
a percent) from 0 to 1.
● Example: The weather forecast shows a 70% rain.
P (rain) = 70%
2. If an event will never happen, then its probability is 0.
● Example: When a single die is rolled, find the probability of getting an 8.
Since the sample space consists of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6,...it is
impossible to get an 8. Hence, P(8) = 0/6 = 0
E. Discussing new concepts 3. If an event is sure to happen, then the probability is 1.
and practicing new skills # ● Example: When a single die is rolled, what is the probability of
2 getting
a number less than 7?
Since all the outcomes {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} are less than 7,
P (number less than 7) = 6/6 = 1
4. The sum of the probabilities of all the outcomes in the sample space is 1.
● Example: In rolling a fair die, each outcome in the sample space has
a probability of 1/6.
Hence, the sum of the probabilities of the outcomes is 1.

● If a fair coin is flipped, P(T) = 1/2


and P(H) = 1/2
Activity 3: You and I are meant to be!
Use the basic concepts of probability to identify the following. Keywords are
found in the box. (WITH THE SAME GROUP).
● Probability ● Sample space ● Outcome
● Sample point ● Experiment ● Event

1. 5/6
2. Tail
3. 50%
F. Developing mastery
4. Right, Wrong
(Leads to Formative
5. KING of Spades
Assessment 3)
6. Rolling an odd number (1, 3 or 5)
7. Flipping a 10-peso coin five times
8. Getting a head in a single toss of coin
9. The chance that something will happen
10. The result of a single trial of an experiment
11. Tossing a coin and rolling a die simultaneously
12 Set of all possible outcomes of an experiment
13. Guessing the number of marbles in a container
14. Choosing an ACE from a deck of standard cards
15. A chance process which leads to well –defined results

G. Finding practical
application of concepts and Life has a lot of uncertainties. Oftentimes, our decisions in life are done
skills in daily living under conditions of uncertainty. These are the probabilities of life.

Activity 4: Lets take an activity together!

Directions: With the same group in activity 1. Make a concept Map in the
given KEYWORDS where probability are being applied. Paste your output
in a manila paper. Assign a leader to discuss your work in front.

1. Typhoon
2. Vehicle accident
3. Winning a Lotto Draw
4. Passing in All subject areas
RUBRICS:
Content/correctness - 10 points
Cooperation - 10 points
Presentation of output - 10 points
30 points
Help the students to derived the formula in finding the probability of an
event.

Number of favorable outcomes


P (event) =
Number of all possible outcomes
Number of expected events
P (event) =
H. Making generalizations Number of all possible outcomes
and abstractions about the
lesson

Examples:
1. What is the probability of getting a HEART from a deck of cards?
P (heart) = 13/52 = 1/4
2. There are 25 marbles in a container: 4 are red, 5 are blue and 11 are
yellow. What is the probability that a blue marble will be picked?
P (blue marble) = 5/20= 1/4

Directions: In a ¼ sheet of paper, answer the following. Choose the


letter of the correct answer.
1. Suppose you toss two fair coins once, how many possible
outcomes are there?
a. 1 b. 2 c. 4 d. 8
2. The local weather forecaster said there is a 20% chance of rain
tomorrow. What is the probability that it will not rain tomorrow?
a. 0.2 b. 0.8 c. 20 d. 80
3. Which below refers to any set of one or more outcomes satisfying
some given conditions.
I. Evaluating Learning
a. Event c. Sample space
b. Outcome d. Sample point
4. Arlene Joy got coins from her pocket which accidentally rolled on
the floor. If there were 8 probable outcomes, how many coins fell
on the floor?
a. 3 b. 4 c. 8 d. 16
5. In a 500-ticket draw for an educational prize, Ana’s name was
written on 41 tickets. What is the probability that she would win?
a. 0.082 c. 0.41
b. 0.122 d. 0.82

 Assignment: (Download it from our Messenger Class Group Chat).


In a long bond paper, have a copy of the worksheet and solve it
carefully, then write the correct answer on the space provided before
each number.

_____ 1. A box contains 7 red balls, 5 orange balls, 4 yellow balls, 6 green
balls and 3 blue balls. What is the probability of drawing out an
orange ball?
J. Additional activities or
application or remediation _____ 2. Of the 45 students in a class, 25 are boys. If a student is selected
at random for a field trip, what is the probability of selecting a girl?
_____ 3. Two fair coins are tossed simultaneously, what is the probability of
showing tail (T) first and head (H) next?
_____ 4. A spinner is divided equally and numbered as follows: 1, 1, 2, 3, 3,
4, 1,1, 2, 4, 1,2, 3, 4, 1, 2. What is the probability that the pointer
will stop at an even prime?
_____ 5. What is the probability of getting an 8 from a deck of 52 cards?

V. REMARKS
VI. REFLECTION
A. No. of learners who
learned 80% in the
evaluation
B. No. of learners who
require additional
activities for
remediation who
scored below 80%
C. Did the remedial
lessons work? No. of
learners who have
cope up with the
lesson
D. No. of learners who
continue to require
remediation
E. Which of my
teaching strategies
worked well? Why
did these work?
F. What difficulties did I
encounter which my
principal or
supervisor can help
me solve?
G. What innovation or
localized materials
did I use/discover
which I wish to share
with other teachers?

Prepared by: Checked by:


LEONEL T. MABANO LIGHAYA J. ABAO
Teacher-II (Math) Master Teacher-I (Math) Date
Approved by:
DAVID B. CAPACIO
Head Teacher-I Date
Noted by:
ALFREDO A. SAPUAY
Secondary School Principal-III Date

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