d4s - Guidance For Identifying Unstable Approach With Flight Data v3
d4s - Guidance For Identifying Unstable Approach With Flight Data v3
April 2022
Rev 00
D4S is co-funded by
the European Union
1
DISCLAIMER ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The information and data presented is strictly for information The authors wish to acknowledge the contribution made by the
purposes only. It is obtained from Data4Safety (D4S) programme D4S participating members to thank them for their support in
databases comprised of data from EASA Member States and the the conduct of this work and in the preparation of this
aviation industry. It reflects knowledge that was current at the time document.
that the report was generated. Whilst every care has been taken in
preparing the content of the report to avoid errors, the
Data4Safety makes no warranty as to the accuracy, completeness
PHOTOCREDITS
or currency of the content. The D4S members, the DAP and any
other contributor shall not be liable for any kind of damages or European Union Aviation Safety Agency, 2021 Reproduction is
other claims or demands incurred as a result of incorrect, authorised provided the source is acknowledged.
insufficient or invalid data, or arising out of or in connection with
the use, copying or display of the content, to the extent permitted
by European and national laws. This document is not EASA official
recommendation or EASA official guidance material, and the
information contained should not be construed as legal advice.
2
The purpose of this document is to share the main aspects and lessons learnt
during the development of the Unstable Approach detection algorithm
Objectives of the document
3
Acronyms
FDM Flight Data Monitoring TAWS Terrain Avoidance and Warning System
4
Definitions
Approaches with
Any approach with an instability condition triggered within the analysis window as per the instability criteria.
instability
Destabilization
Height at which any approach firstly encounters an instability (instability condition is triggered).
Height
Instability condition Aircraft parameter deviations from a specific nominal thresholds and within a minimum number of seconds, considered to be
/ trigger inducing instability.
Height at which any approach with an instability is fully stabilized, meaning the lowest height at which any instability criteria is no
Stabilization Height
longer triggered.
Any approach with the minimum required instability conditions triggered within the analysis window (1000ft – 0ft) as per the
Unstable Approach
instability criteria and height band.
5
Introduction
CONTENT Unstable Approaches detection
Assumptions and lessons learnt
Conclusions
SECTION Introduction
Unstable Approaches detection
1
Assumptions and lessons learnt
Conclusions
Introduction
This document captures part of the work performed in the 2nd Directed Study
developed under the D4S programme, focused on Unstable Approaches
Data4Safety is a data collection and analysis programme that is delivering a set of Use Cases that will support the demonstration
supports the goal of ensuring the highest common level of safety of the D4S concept.
and environmental protection for the European aviation system.
To this end, the programme collects data from multiple sources Since the start of the programme, the aviation industry has
(including safety reports, flight data, surveillance data, and underwent significant change in a very short timeframe (e.g. COVID-
weather data) and utilises big data techniques to process it, 19 crisis). In order to underline the value of D4S in this rapidly
extracting insights on the location and nature of risks, and on the changing environment, the Steering Board decided to address a
performance of safety actions. safety topic of special concern through a Directed Study. This
Directed Study had the objective of providing insights to better
The programme, coordinated by EASA, is organised around safety understand the context of Unstable Approaches, the prevalence of
partners from the European Aviation Community: airlines, some associated risks as well as the impact of Go-Arounds as
manufacturers, ANSPs, NAAs, pilots, etc. As voluntary members of mitigation barriers to consequential events.
the programme they provide the necessary data and expertise for
the programme to achieve its stated goals.
8
Introduction
9
Introduction
While specific criteria might work from an organisational To that end, a multidisciplinary approach, through
perspective, a common criteria is required for the analysis of collaboration and communication between all industry
data at industry-wide level, as general as possible, to drive members participating in the D4S, was applied to develop a
conclusions that were relevant and coherent with each standardised criteria to identify Unstable Approaches based
operational environment and aircraft type. on FDM data.
Figure 1: Illustrative figures for identification of Unstable Approach analysis window and instability criteria assessed
Within the approach window (<1000ft), the following set of instability criteria
Flight path
(triggers) are evaluated:
Height
High/Low glideslope High/Low localizer
deviation deviation
Each criterion is evaluated at different height bands and thresholds in order to Evaluation of
classify it into a severity level. Two bands are differentiated above/below 500ft criteria
The presented UA detection algorithm is not to be understood as the only valid definition, but as a UA metric that has been tested on a large
number of aeroplanes and could be used as a start, as it has the advantage of not being aircraft-type specific. Therefore, operators should not
hesitate to try different threshold values when found more relevant for their fleet. Furthermore, the algorithm has been validated only with
turbojet aeroplanes with a MCTOM of over 27,000 KG, not with turboprop or business jet aeroplanes.
10
SECTION Introduction
Unstable Approaches detection
2
Assumptions and lessons learnt
Conclusions
Unstable Approaches detection
The pool of FDM and data experts within the D4S programme defined and
developed a standardised algorithm for detection of Unstable Approaches
‘4’ steps for the definition of the Unstable Approach algorithm
1
A methodology and algorithm were developed, capable of harmoniously identify Unstable
Approach events on FDM data for multiple operators and aircraft types, based on the
combination of 12 different operational criteria
Multiple iterations of refinement, validation, results discussion with experts and data quality
2
analysis were conducted to ensure that Unstable Approaches detection results were reliable.
As part of this process, conditions for the identification of instabilities during approach were
reviewed and modified when deemed necessary. The consistency of its definition was tested
by using a data sample covering around 1.4 million flights from 8 different aircraft models
3
By encountering several data quality issues throughout the analysis of FDM data in the
context of the Unstable Approaches definition, relevant insights were extracted on how to deal
with flight parameters and the criteria for instabilities detection during approaches
4
Once the Unstable Approach methodology and algorithm is thoroughly defined and validated,
the identification of those events is ready to be used on the development of specific and in-
depth analysis
12
Unstable Approaches detection
The Unstable Approach algorithm intends to identify those cases where the
approach was not stabilized or was destabilized shortly before landing
Overview of the Unstable Approach identification logic
High/Low
Fast descent Low thrust
airspeed
1.500
Unstable
Late flap or
TAWS alerts attitude (pitch,
gear extension
Approach roll)
window
Height threshold High/Low High/Low
Height
13
Unstable Approaches detection
A total of 12 criteria are set to be evaluated in parallel and for each approach,
within different height ranges and, in some cases, with multiple thresholds
Detailed ‘instability’ criteria and thresholds for Unstable Approach detection
Height Height
Instability conditions 1st threshold 2nd threshold Instability conditions 1st threshold 2nd threshold
range range
>(Vref + 20kt) >(Vref + 35kt) High pitch >10º and >15º and
High airspeed
[3s] [3s] attitude <-3º [3s] <-10º [3s]
Aircraft
1000ft
handling and
configuration to 50ft
Low <(Vref – 5kt) <(Vref – 10kt) High roll >15º and >30º and
airspeed [3s] [3s] attitude <-15º [3s] <-30º [3s]
1000ft
to 50ft
High
Energy Fast descent <-1200fpm <-1500fpm
glideslope >1 dot [5s] >2 dots [5s]
management (vertical speed) [5s] [3s]
deviation
Low thrust Fleet specific (1st percentile) Aircraft path Low glideslope 1000ft
<-1 dot [5s] <-2 dots [5s]
(N1) [10s] management deviation to 500ft
Excessive
Modes 1 (Alert & Warning), 2 >1 dot (left or >1.5 dots (left
TAWS alerts localizer
(Alert & Warning), 4 (Terrain) right) [5s] or right) [5s]
deviation
14
Unstable Approaches detection
15
SECTION Introduction
Unstable Approaches detection
3
Assumptions and lessons learnt
Conclusions
Assumptions and lessons learnt
The following pages provides some key points and findings derived from the implementation of the logic for the
detection of Unstable Approaches, detailing the rationale underlying the selection of different criteria and thresholds
17
Assumptions and lessons learnt
1 Height ranges
<(Vref – 5kt) <(Vref – 10kt) High pitch >10º and <- >15º and
Low airspeed
[3s] [3s] attitude 3º [3s] <-10º [3s]
1000ft 1000ft
to 50ft to 50ft
Fast descent <-1200fpm <-1500fpm High roll >15º and >30º and
(vertical speed) [5s] [3s] attitude <-15º [3s] <-30º [3s]
KEY POINTS
Low thrust Fleet specific (1st percentile) High glideslope
>1 dot [5s] >2 dots [5s]
(N1) [10s] dev.
The upper limit of 1,000ft above airfield elevation for instability conditions is set as a mean of the
definition of the rest of criteria and a common standard consideration
Modes 1 (Alert & Warning), 2 Low glideslope
among industry experts. 1000ft
TAWS alerts <-1 dot [5s] to
<-2 dots [5s]
(Alert & Warning), 4 (Terrain) deviation
– Findings: even though approaches may1000ft be identified above this threshold (e.g. below 2,000ft), 500ft the
to 0ft
detection of Unstable Approaches with the standardisedExcessive
criteria presented in this document is defined
Late flap Any change > 2 degrees >1 dot (left >1.5 dots (left
for a window height
extension or below
1 notch1,000ft. Otherwise, an overhaul of dev.
localizer many oforthe criteria
right) [5s] thresholds would be
or right) [5s]
necessary to adapt for the extended flight period
18
Assumptions and lessons learnt
The criteria and thresholds of airspeed conditions are generalised, but the
computing method may depend on the data available or specific aircraft types
2 Airspeed condition
<(Vref – 5kt) <(Vref – 10kt) High pitch >10º and <- >15º and
Low airspeed
[3s] [3s] attitude 3º [3s] <-10º [3s]
1000ft 1000ft
to 50ft to 50ft
Fast descent <-1200fpm <-1500fpm High roll >15º and >30º and
(vertical speed) [5s] [3s] attitude <-15º [3s] <-30º [3s]
KEY POINTS
Low thrust Fleet specific (1st percentile) High glideslope
>1 dot [5s] >2 dots [5s]
(N1) [10s] dev.
The high / low airspeed ‘instability’ condition compares the aircraft airspeed during approach against the
reference speed (Vref), plus some operational margins. Low glideslope
Modes 1 (Alert & Warning), 2
1000ft
TAWS alerts <-1 dot [5s] <-2 dots [5s] to
(Alert & Warning), 4 (Terrain) deviation
– Findings: some aircraft may not have the Vref available or not sufficiently reliable to be used in 500ft
1000ft the
to 0ft
Unstable Approach detection. In that case and considering the importance of >1.5
this dots
criteria in the
Late flap Any change > 2 degrees Excessive >1 dot (left (left
evaluation of instabilities,
extension or 1 notcha value can be estimated bylocalizer
using landing
dev. charts
or right) of
[5s]specific aircraft
or right) [5s] models,
as a function of the flap position and the Gross Weight
19
Assumptions and lessons learnt
The Vref value could be estimated by using landing charts of specific aircraft
models, as a function of the flap position and the Gross Weight
2 Airspeed condition – Three (3) potential ways of using the ‘Vref’ depending on the data available
A Use decoded Vref parameter Figure 3: Aircraft reference speed table (Vref) example
20
Assumptions and lessons learnt
<(Vref – 5kt) <(Vref – 10kt) High pitch >10º and <- >15º and
Low airspeed
[3s] [3s] attitude 3º [3s] <-10º [3s]
1000ft 1000ft
to 50ft to 50ft
Fast descent <-1200fpm <-1500fpm High roll >15º and >30º and
(vertical speed) [5s] [3s] attitude <-15º [3s] <-30º [3s]
Low
KEY thrust
POINTS Fleet specific (1st percentile) High glideslope
>1 dot [5s] >2 dots [5s]
(N1) [10s] dev.
Setting the limiting value and the duration of a fast descent exceedance, as it is proposed, is found 1000ft
essential Modes 1 (Alert & Warning), 2 Low glideslope
TAWS alertsto conclude with a valid instabilities detection criterion. <-1 dot [5s] <-2 dots [5s] to
(Alert & Warning), 4 (Terrain) deviation
1000ft 500ft
– Findings: when using lower values (e.g. <-1000fpm)
to 0ft and shorter time periods (e.g. 3 seconds) in the 1st
Latethreshold
flap forAny
thechange
fast > 2 degrees
descent Excessive
criteria, the proposed UA algorithm >1 dot (left high
captures >1.5 dots (leftof false
amounts
extension or 1 notch localizer dev. or right) [5s] or right) [5s]
positive triggers which may compromise the overall accuracy of the methodology
21
Assumptions and lessons learnt
Low thrust criterion for Unstable Approaches detection is found more accurate
and reliable when defined at a product-specific level (1/2)
22
Assumptions and lessons learnt
Low thrust criterion for Unstable Approaches detection is found more accurate
and reliable when defined at a product-specific level (2/2)
23
Assumptions and lessons learnt
Terrain Avoidance and Warning System (TAWS) criterion considers only Modes
one (1), two (2) and four (4) to prevent false UA triggers detection
5 TAWS condition
KEY POINTS
1st 2nd Height 1st 2nd Height
threshold threshold range threshold threshold range
When evaluating TAWS condition, including only
High airspeed
>(Vref + 20kt) >(Vref + 35kt) triggers over Mode 1 Any
Late gear (Alert & Warning), Mode
deployment 1000ft 2
[3s] [3s] (Alertextension or not 4
& Warning) and Mode (Terrain) is foundtoto
deployed 0ftbe
the most representative in terms of Unstable
<(Vref – 5kt) <(Vref – 10kt) High pitch
Approaches events>10º and <-
identification >15º and
Low airspeed
[3s] [3s] attitude 3º [3s] <-10º [3s]
1000ft 1000ft
– Findings: to 50ft
to 50ft
Fast descent <-1200fpm <-1500fpm High roll >15º and >30º and
(vertical speed) [5s] [3s] Mode 5 (Glideslope)
attitude <-15º [3s] is not found
<-30º [3s] appropriate
to be included due to the generation of too
Low thrust Fleet specific (1st percentile)
many false positives and the overlap made with
High glideslope
(N1) [10s] the Low/High
dev.
>1 dotGlideslope
[5s] >2 dots [5s]
criterion in the
present UA logic
1000ft
Modes 1 (Alert & Warning), 2 Low glideslope
TAWS alerts <-1 dot [5s] <-2 dots [5s] to
(Alert & Warning), 4 (Terrain) deviation
1000ft 500ft
to 0ft
Late flap Any change > 2 degrees Excessive >1 dot (left >1.5 dots (left
extension or 1 notch localizer dev. or right) [5s] or right) [5s]
24
Assumptions and lessons learnt
25
Assumptions and lessons learnt
Either a landing>(Vref
High airspeed gear deployment
+ 20kt) or a non-
>(Vref + 35kt) Late gear Any deployment 1000ft
[3s] [3s]
deployment during the 1,000ft to 0ft approach extension or not deployed to 0ft
period is considered as an Unstable Approach trigger.
Furthermore, <(Vref – 5kt) <(Vref – 10kt) High pitch >10º and <- >15º and
Low airspeeda two consecutive conditions without
[3s] attitude 3º [3s] <-10º [3s]
value changes for this[3s]
sensor parameter is included
1000ft 1000ft
to mitigate potential quality issues to 50ft to 50ft
Fast descent <-1200fpm <-1500fpm High roll >15º and >30º and
(vertical speed) [5s] [3s] attitude <-15º [3s] <-30º [3s]
1000ft
Modes 1 (Alert & Warning), 2 Low glideslope
TAWS alerts <-1 dot [5s] <-2 dots [5s] to
(Alert & Warning), 4 (Terrain) deviation
1000ft 500ft
to 0ft
Late flap Any change > 2 degrees Excessive >1 dot (left >1.5 dots (left
extension or 1 notch localizer dev. or right) [5s] or right) [5s]
26
Assumptions and lessons learnt
TheHigh
defined thresholds
airspeed
>(Vref +for glideslope
20kt) >(Vref + (high
35kt) or low) Late gear Any deployment 1000ft
deviations are [3s]
and excessive localizer [3s] set to capture a extension or not deployed to 0ft
prolonged (5 seconds) erroneous approach path,
within <(Vref – 5kt) <(Vref – 10kt) High pitch >10º and <- >15º and
Low the 1,000ft to
airspeed 500ft analysis window.
[3s] [3s] attitude 3º [3s] <-10º [3s]
1000ft 1000ft
– Findings: to 50ft
to 50ft
Fast descent <-1200fpm <-1500fpm High roll >15º and >30º and
The
(vertical trigger of[5s]
speed) this criterion [3s]
is substantially attitude <-15º [3s] <-30º [3s]
affected by the height range window,
dependent Fleet
Low thrust
on operational conditions and
specific (1st percentile) High glideslope
the actual airfield, together with potential >1 dot [5s] >2 dots [5s]
(N1) [10s] dev.
sensor data issues that may be present
1000ft
enable Modes
Toalerts 1 (Alert & Warning),
a generalisation of this2 criterion, Low glideslope
TAWS <-1 dot [5s] <-2 dots [5s] to
(Alert & Warning), 4 (Terrain) deviation
the lower end of the window range is limited 1000ft 500ft
to 500ft. Nevertheless, the height range could to 0ft
Late flap Any change > 2 degrees
be modified for specific operations and Excessive >1 dot (left >1.5 dots (left
extension or 1 notch localizer dev. or right) [5s] or right) [5s]
airfields, if deemed necessary (e.g. 200ft for
glideslope and 50ft for localizer)
27
Assumptions and lessons learnt
01. Parameters usually behave as expected up to the end of the approach (∼200ft for
glideslope, ∼50ft for localizer), where fast growth of deviation occurred, thereby
triggering unusual instabilities events
Operational-specific cases
02. Erratic parameter evolution may be observed due to late interception or non-
interception of glideslope / localizer signals, generating false positive UA events
28
Assumptions and lessons learnt
Glideslope and localizer may not behave as expected near the low height
threshold, presenting abnormal deviations and triggering false UA events
FINDINGS
Deviations usually take place near the end of the approach, but just before a theoretically reasonable
height threshold (∼200ft for glideslope, ∼50ft for localizer) for triggering the criterion
These deviations generate false UA events even when the parameters had actually behaved as expected
throughout the approach window
29
Assumptions and lessons learnt
Glideslope and localizer may show erratic behaviour due to late or non-
interception of signals when approaching specific runways
A
Intercepted glideslope / localizer with good behaviour of the parameter along the approach phase
B
Late interception of the glideslope / localizer with erratic behaviour of the parameter at the beginning of the approach
C Not intercepted glideslope / localizer, with erratic behaviour of the parameter along the approach phase (visual approach /
instrumental guidance not available)
30
Assumptions and lessons learnt
Late interceptions may capture operations that took a long period to align with
the runway, triggering glideslope / localizer conditions in the approach window
31
Assumptions and lessons learnt
Glideslope / localizer signals may not intercept at any moment during the entire
approach, due to the lack of ILS systems at specific landing runways
32
SECTION Introduction
Unstable Approaches detection
4
Assumptions and lessons learnt
Conclusions
Conclusions
As part of the work performed in the Data4Safety programme, an algorithm and a comprehensive
methodology to harmoniously identify Unstable Approach events in FDM data were developed,
which is based on the combination of 12 operational criteria and valid for multiple operators and
aircraft types
Due to the provenance of the FDM data source used in the Data4Safety programme, the Unstable
Approach logic presented in this document is accordingly generalised, enabling its applicability for
any operator or product type under analysis
Outcomes from the performed iterations, validations and results discussions over the presented
Unstable Approach criteria, provide valuable insights over how to deal with different flight
parameters to extract instability conditions during approaches
The presented UA detection algorithm is not to be understood as the only valid definition, but as a UA metric that has been tested
on a large number of aeroplanes and could be used as a start, as it has the advantage of not being aircraft-type specific. Therefore,
operators should not hesitate to try different threshold values when found more relevant for their fleet.
34
Conclusions
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D4S is co-funded by
the European Union
36