Economics 'A' Level - Grant, Susan, 1953 - Young, Richard, 1955 - Young, Richard, - 1996 - London - Macmillan - 9780333625736 - Anna's Archive
Economics 'A' Level - Grant, Susan, 1953 - Young, Richard, 1955 - Young, Richard, - 1996 - London - Macmillan - 9780333625736 - Anna's Archive
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MACMILLAN
To our families
| ORDER
Board; Joint Matriculation Board; Northern
No. — palo Ireland Council for the Curriculum, Examinations
and Assessment; Scottish Examinations Board;
Southern Universities’ Joint Board; University of
Cambridge Local Examinations Syndicate;
University of London Examinations and
© Sue Grant and Richard Young 1989, 1991, 1996 Assessment Council; University of Oxford
Delegacy of Local Examinations; Welsh Joint
Education Committee. All examining groups
All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or
wish to point out that worked examples
transmission of this publication may be made without included in the text are entirely the
written permission. responsibility of the authors and have neither
been provided nor approved by the board. They
No paragraph of this publication may be reproduced, may not constitute the only possible solutions.
The University of London Examinations and
copied or transmitted save with written permission or in
Assessment Council accepts no responsibility
accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, whatsoever for the accuracy or method of
Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any working in the answers given.
licence permitting limited copying issued by the
The authors are most grateful to the following
Copyright Licensing Agency, 90 Tottenham Court Road,
Heads of Economics for their careful reading and
London W1P 9HE. correction of some or all of the original
typescript: Clarrie Haynes, Marlborough School,
Any person who does any unauthorised act in relation to Woodstock, Oxfordshire; Danny Myers, New
this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution College, Swindon, Wiltshire; Brian Sangster,
Burford School, Oxfordshire; Jonathan Townsend,
and civil claims for damages.
Abingdon School, Oxfordshire; Laurence
Whitehouse, Farnborough Sixth Form College,
First edition 1989 Hampshire. A particular thanks should be given
Revised 1991 to Robert Ackrill for the long hours of invaluable
Reprinted 3 times assistance given freely in shaping the initial
stages of the book. Past students of West
Second edition 1996
Oxfordshire Technical College, Corrina Boreham,
Angela Frost, Clare Guy and Robert Prior-
Published by Wandesforde, and Sally Trego, formerly of
MACMILLAN PRESS LTD Matthew Arnold School, corrected many early
Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS errors. We also owe a huge debt to the many
other students who have painstakingly worked
and London
through the examples. Robert Sulley of
Companies and representatives Macmillan has given the most helpful support.
throughout the world
Since this is a joint venture, both authors
ISBN 0-333-62573-0 thank their families for their sacrifices, patience
and understanding throughout.
A catalogue record for this book is available Any failings which remain are entirely our own.
from the British Library.
Every effort has been made to trace all the
copyright-holders, but if any have been
LO): ah eee, SOD eC Sa 4 eee. l inadvertently overlooked the publishers will be
05 04 03 02 O1 00 99 98 97 96 pleased to make the necessary arrangement at
Millet me)Sslaculiaa
Printed in Hong Kong
Syllabus analysis Start and completion
atte la-t mele melal mele column Keeps tabs on
dale cole)(a- Mele mal--10 your progress — see ata
—no more, no less glance which areas still
need to be worked
idalcelerelal
Investigative study
Data response
— scaly Self-assessement
v Essays
ie) mecelOm com arele-maleluy
Chapter breakdown
well you've done or
Shows you in detal
areas which to to be
what is covered in the
revised again
chapters
Introduction IV THE NATIONAL ECONOMY
17 Measures of Living Standards
| THE ECONOMIC PROBLEM AND 18 Aggregate Demand
DEMAND AND SUPPLY 19 Aggregate Supply and Income
1 The Economic Problem Determination
2 Demand 20 Changes in Economic Activity
3 Supply 21 Money, Banking and Monetary
4 Price Determination Policy
5 Elasticity 22 Unemployment
6 Costs of Production 23 Inflation
an argument. Avoid simply drawing diagrams and on the verge of running out. Data response questions
then ignoring them in your answer. Any graph should are especially good at testing your ability to apply
be an integral part of the essay. Draw the examiners’ economics and to quantify. There are two types of
attention to a diagram by stating, say, ‘in Figure | the data response questions: statistical data, displayed as
firm sets output at Q’. Write in clear, simple short graphs, tables, charts or diagrams, and literary prose
sentences. Often arguments are best developed by extracts from newspapers, journals, etc. Each
stating a point, explaining that point and then giving a examining board tends to have its own ‘house’ style
real-world example. For instance, suppose part of a of data response question. Make sure you have
question asked, “Explain the meaning of ad valorem familiarised yourself with examples drawn from
taxes’. You might write: previous papers. In the actual exam, allocate sufficient
time for a careful study of the entire question. Here is
An ad valorem tax means value added tax
a check-list of points to consider when tackling
[statement]. A given percentage is added to the
statistical data response questions:
selling price of a good and the resulting tax is passed
on to the government by the seller [explanation]. For (1) Ask yourself what key economic concepts are
example, 17.5% VAT on the sale of a £200 camera being tested by the question.
would increase its market price to £235 and raise (2) Look at how the data have been obtained:
£35 of tax for the government [example]. (a) Are there any hidden assumptions or
unsupported statements?
Once a point has been fully developed, start a new
(b) Is the evidence used selective or biased?
paragraph. Try to relate your theory to the real world.
(c) Is the survey complete (i.e. all the appropriate
Examiners are always impressed if a candidate can
display an understanding of how economics population have been included) or a sample
influences the world around us. Remember, too, that (i.e. only some of the population have been
included)?
good candidates avoid narrow interpretations and
(3 —— Identify major variables in the data:
recognise that there is more than one valid approach.
(a) Are the figures shown as absolute values,
Do not use unacceptable abbreviations, for example,
percentages, index numbers, billions of £s,
‘gov’ instead of government. When using acceptable
abbreviations, first write out the word or phrase in full thousands of people etc.?
(b) Which is the largest item?
with the abbreviation following in brackets. For
(c) How do other items compare?
instance, ‘International Monetary Fund (IMF)’.
(d) Which variables are stock values (i.e. an
Thereafter you may use the abbreviation.
It is absolutely essential that you complete the amount at a given moment in time) or flow
values (i.e. an amount per time period)?
required number of questions. If you are running out
(4 Observe any trends (patterns) in the data:
of time and cannot complete an answer, do a full —
you give reasons for relationships, trends or on topics where economists are agreed that there is a
cycles observed? single correct answer.
(7) Always look for relevant data to explain your These multiple-choice questions contain a stem and
assertions. a number of possible answers, of which only one is
correct.
Gain confidence in handling and interpreting
statistical data by familiarising yourself with typical Example 1
examples. Much of the data used by economists is
presented as time series, which show the value of a STEM Industrial inertia occurs when:
particular variable such as national income at different A the share of
points in time. Great use is made of official statistics manufacturing in
issued by the Central Statistical Office (CSO). Try to national output
find time to look at CSO publications such as the declines
‘Blue Book’ (UK National Accounts) or the ‘Pink DISTRACTORS 4 B firms fail to exploit eOPTIONS
Book’ (Balance of Payments Statistics), which are economies of scale
kept in the reference section of most public libraries. C industry gains no
Literary data response questions present an extract cost advantage
and sometimes supporting tables for analysis. Spend from any one site
time reading the section of prose carefully. Many of KEY D the initial reasons
the check-list of points given above for use with for location have
statistical data can equally be applied to prose. You disappeared
are almost certainly going to be asked to identify and
express in your own words the main features of the The stem sets the question and candidates have to
data. Try to avoid making sweeping or vague choose between a number of incorrect distractors and
statements that are unsupported by evidence. Instead, the correct option, called the key. Some questions can
explain the essential features of the extract, quoting be answered quickly. Look at the options and see
relevant phrases from the text only to support a point where there are any that can be immediately
made in your own words. Always indicate such eliminated or accepted. If not, it is important not to be
phrases by ‘quotation marks’. delayed by those questions requiring deep thought or
Many literary data response questions ask lengthy calculations. Remember: each question,
candidates to apply economic concepts. You are whether easy or difficult, carries the same number of
expected to relate relevant theories such as supply- marks. Make a note of such questions for later
and-demand or theory of the firm to the extract consideration and carry on working through the paper.
presented. Remember that a variety of approaches A range of strategies can be used when tackling the
may be required. Diagrams should be used if objective question paper. Only one rule must be
appropriate. followed: answer all the questions. Some candidates
You may be asked to evaluate the data and then prefer to work through the paper, answering each
predict future trends or outcomes. Look back at the question in turn, irrespective of the amount of time or
extract and identify key variables, relationships and degree of difficulty involved. However we have
economic concepts. Use these as the basis of your already suggested that it may be better to delay
predictions. Avoid making a series of random answering time-consuming questions until you have
predictions unsupported by information contained in worked through all other questions. Be sure to treat
the data provided. each question carefully and not to give a wrong
answer through carelessly misreading the stem or
options. Questions with ‘not’ in the stem are
(c) Objective questions particularly dangerous! For this type of question, the
For this paper you are going to need a pencil, rubber, option to which you can answer ‘no’ is the correct
ruler, watch and calculator. Objective questions are solution.
well suited to testing your knowledge and If you begin to run out of time, work through the
understanding of theories, and deal with ‘certainty’ remaining questions allowing yourself a maximum of,
areas of economics. Hence, objective questions are set say, 20 seconds per question. If time is about to run
Erk out economics ¢ introduction
out completely, make sure you scribble down some ¢ Greater emphasis on examining the strengths and
answer and hope that at least one or two will be right. weaknesses of the market economy.
In any case, DON’T PANIC. Both authors wish you ¢* Reduced assessment weightings for knowledge
all the best and good luck in the final exams! and understanding, with most marks now being
awarded for achievement of ‘higher order’ skills.
¢ Greater focus on the application of economics to
The new A Level syllabuses
contemporary issues.
AlL thenew approved syllabuses have the following
There are also significant differences between the new
characteristics incommon:
syllabuses and these are illustrated in the following
¢ Less emphasis on some traditional areas of
table.
content, e.g. Keynesian 45° approaches.
Changed
assessment Multiple
weightings' choice
ULEAC
(Nuffield) yes partial’
ULEAC
(Traditional)
UCLES
Linear
UCLES
Modular
WJEC
Notes:
" Choice between business studies and economics routes.
* Extended study of a particular economic issue/context.
Source: The Economics & Business Education Association.
The Economic
Fact sheets a ae
a Data response te
Objective questions Jb in
J Essays
Tei yiilte
em
Good X
(1) LM is a PPC
(i) Free market economy
(2) Points under the PPC (e.g. A) imply resource
underutilisation. Resources are owned by households.
(3) Points along the PPC (e.g. B) indicate a full Markets allocate resources through the price
employment of resources. mechanism. An increase in demand raises price.
(4) Points outside the PPC (e.g. C) are beyond the The higher price encourages firms to switch
current productive capacity of the economy. additional resources into the production of that
(5) The opportunity cost of producing OE amount of good.
good X is LF of good Y. Income depends on the market value of a resource.
(6) The opportunity cost of reallocating resources Factors in scarce supply and high demand are best
from B to D is FH of good Y. rewarded.
* Some resources are owned by the private sector (c) On what grounds might expenditure on treatment
(i.e. households). that has little chance of success be justified?
(4 marks)
(g) Move from a command (d) In what sense are all economic decisions ‘the
economy judgment of Solomon’? (5 marks)
Distinen; 3
In the transition from a command towards a market be) pg Leusaniah between how the, danas os
resources to be allocated to health care is
economy a number of problems may be encountered: ; ;
determined in a command and in a market
(1) Structural change as resources are reallocated to economy. (6 marks)
reflect the choices of households rather than the
government. Example 1.2
(2) Inflation resulting from the removal of
government price controls. Dying girl in court fight
(3) Redistribution of income leaving some people
for treatment
unable to afford basic necessities.
(4) Lack of regulation of firms as it will take time to
Sally Weale Other figures quoted by Mr Mcln-
tyre suggested the chances were slight-
establish new regulatory bodies. ly higher. “Even if it’s only in the
High Court judge will today order of 5 or 6 per cent, she has a sig-
(5) Industrial unrest as workers and employers rule on an application by the
father of a 10-year old girl
nificant chance of being cured.”
According to Mr Pitt the treatment
establish new wage rates, new working conditions with leukaemia who is seeking could not be justified on therapeutic
to overturn a decision by his local grounds. The only basis on which it
and new terms of tenure. health authority to refuse funding for could be justified was for experimental
further treatment which could save her or research reasons.
life. Mr Justice Laws asked: “‘How can it
The court heard yesterday that the not be justified on therapeutic grounds
See also chapter 13. girl, who in January was given six to when the alternative is certain death?
eight weeks to live, would die without It's what a betting man calls a risk
the £75,000 treatment. It would involve against certainty. Every man who want-
intensive chemotherapy followed by a ed to live would take that risk.”
second bone marrow transplant. Mr Pitt described the balancing act
Cambridge Health Authority argues performed by health authorities in
that her chances of survival are so deciding how to allocate limited
slight and the treatment so distressing resources. It was not the first desperate-
that its limited resources might be bet- ly needed operation not to have
ter spent. received NHS funding, he said “It’s the
The judge, Mr Justice Laws, sitting judgment of Solomon.”
e macroeconomic performance of in London’s Law Courts on the open- “If the health authority were to
ing day of the hearing yesterday, said spend all its money on treatments
two formerly planned economies, e.g. the Czech the case centred on the most precious which doctors had advised were
right of all, “namely the right to life” extremely unlikely to succeed and then
Republic and Russia. Nigel Pitt, counsel for the health had no money left to treat hundreds of
authority, said it was not a straightfor- other patients who might have been
ward question of life and death. The effectively treated, what would the
girl’s case was particularly difficult and public have to say about that?”
the treatment proposed was debilitating He asked whether any particular
with severe side effects, which “‘in all patient had any more fundamental right
probability” she would not survive. to life from NHS money than any
The alternative was to adopt a pallia- other.
tive approach, enabling B to enjoy a The judge responded: ‘Well possi-
few weeks or months of normal life.
(hat would be the opportunity cost of treating Mr Pitt claimed the chances of suc-
bly a child close to death may be said
to have a more pressing claim.”
cess, using statistics provided by Peter Mr Justice Laws will give his judg-
the 10-year-old girl? (6 marks) Gravett, the consultant haematologist ment today.
at the London Clinic, who would carry
(b) What would be the opportunity cost of not out the treatment, were in the region of Source: Extract from the Guardian,
2.25 per cent. 10 March 1995
treating the 10-year-old girl? (4 marks)
work out economics ¢ the economic problem 5
Example 1.3
ge NE
Example 1.8
A worker is currently earning £400 for a 40 hour
week. The management offer a 12% wage increase or The figure overleaf illustrates the production
a basic wage of £410 and a reduction in the working possibility curve of a country.
6 work out economics ¢ the economic problem and demand and supply
Example 1.11
|
What is the essential characteristic of a market
| economy?
A Full employment
0 : V is
Good X B_ Producer surplus
C Public corporations
What is the opportunity cost of producing OT amount D Consumer sovereignty
of good X?
A OR amount of good Y
B_ RS amount of good Y Example 1.12
C TV amount of good X Only in a pure command economy does production
D OV amount of good X A respond to prices
B_ respond to directives
Example 1.9 C reflect the preferences of firms
D reflect the preferences of households
What does a straight-line production possibility curve
illustrate?
A A constant rate of opportunity cost in the
production of both goods 1.5 Solutions to objective
B A decreasing rate of opportunity cost in the questions
production of both goods
C An increasing rate of opportunity cost in the Solution 1.3. Answer: C
production of both goods A 12% wage increase on a 40 hour week would give a
D A decreasing rate of opportunity cost in the pay increase of £400 X 12/100 = £48. So a worker
production of one of the goods and an increasing
opting for a 40 hour week would earn
rate of opportunity cost in the production of the £400 + £48 = £448. Therefore if the worker elects to
other good. work 38 hours and earn £410 he/she will be forgoing
£38.
Example 1.10
The figure below shows the production possibility Solution 1.4 Answer: C
frontier for a country currently producing at point K.
Opportunity cost is cost in terms of the best
Consumer alternative forgone. By keeping her own car the
goods
woman is forgoing the opportunity to obtain £5900.
H
may prove that some market economies actually have is also producing OR amount of good Y. If it did not
a higher rate of economic growth than some command produce OT amount of good X and devoted all its
economies. resources to good Y, it would be able to produce OS
amount of good Y. So by producing OT amount of
Solution 1.6 Answer: A good X it is forgoing RS amount of good Y.
Good Y 10
ol
devote to consumer and producer’ goods. It then sets achieved by massive overmanning. Productivity and
production targets and arranges for the supply of standards of living could be raised following a
necessary inputs. Firms aim not to make a profit but to reallocation of resources. Modern economies are
meet production targets. highly specialised, interdependent and complex. In the
It can be seen that the decision-making process in absence of market prices, planners have insufficient
command economies is collectivist and centralised. information upon which to base welfare-maximising
The government is the single most important decisions. Distorted information prevents planners
economic institution. On the other hand, decision from taking full account of production and
making in market economies is highly individualistic consumption externalities.
and decentralised. The role of the state is limited to It used to be thought that there would be little
collecting taxes to pay for public goods such as pollution in command economies as state planners
defence, and enforcing property rights. would take into account social costs and benefits.
The method of motivating economic agents varies However recent evidence has shown that pollution
between the two systems. In market economies, jobs levels were very high in a number of former planned
in high demand but short supply command high economies, including East Germany, Romania and
wages. Successful entrepreneurs receive profits for Poland. In these cases the state was more concerned to
taking on the risk and responsibility of organising increase output than to improve the quality of the
production. Hence income and wealth distributions environment.
are unequal. In command economies, limited wage In conclusion, it can be seen that comparing market
differentials do exist to reward extra effort. However, and command economies is difficult and complex.
it is the sense of ‘shared purpose’ springing from the The final judgement depends on the importance
common ownership of resources that is meant to act placed on a particular measure. For example, in terms
as the prime ‘moral’ incentive to work. of productivity, evidence suggests that market
economies are superior to command economies; in
(b) The success of an economic system lies in its terms of unemployment levels, evidence suggests that
ability to use resources to satisfy as many wants as command economies are superior to market
possible. Welfare economics supplies a number of economies.
tests that can be used to judge the absolute efficiency
of an economic system. There are two main tests:
(1) Is it possible to reallocate resources and increase Example 1.14
output? (a) What fundamental economic principles are
(2) Is it possible to reallocate resources and make a illustrated by a production possibility frontier?
consumer better off without making anyone else Explain the usual shape of a production
worse off? possibility frontier. (10 marks)
The system that best meets these conditions will be (b) How does a production possiblity frontier
superior. Before considering empirical evidence, it is illustrate ‘economic inefficiency’? (5 marks)
important to note that real-world examples such as the (c) What can cause a movement of a production
USA and Cuba only approximate to theoretical possibility frontier? (5 marks)
market and command models. (d) What may enable an economy to consume a
Economic theory suggest that a competitive market combination of goods outside its production
economy automatically brings about an optimal possibility frontier? (5 marks)
resource allocation. However market failure occurs
when some private-sector firms in the USA do not ¢ Devote most attention to part (a) as it carries the
take full account of the spill-over effects of production highest number of marks.
such as pollution. Frictions in factor markets have e In part (a):
resulted in mass unemployment and a general (1) discuss scarcity, choice, opportunity cost and
depression. Moreover efficiency criteria make no efficiency, but efficiency only briefly as it
statement about the ‘fairness’ of an uneven comes into part (b);
distribution of income and wealth in the USA. (2) explain, using an example, the usual shape of
Data suggest that there is hardly any unemployment the production possibility frontier.
in Cuba. However critics argue that this has only been ¢ In part (b) explain, by using a point inside a
10 work out economics ¢ the economic problem and demand and supply
production possibility frontier, the meaning of resources from producing consumer goods to
economic inefficiency. producing capital goods. A decision to increase the
¢ In part (c) consider factors that can cause a output of capital goods from 23 to 30 will involve
rightward shift in the production possibility forgoing 25 consumer goods.
frontier and illustrate these.
Consumer
¢ In part (d) consider the significance of goods
international trade.
200
Solution 1.14
Consumer
goods 0 10 20 23: «30 40 47 50
Capital
goods
200
Figure 2
e Unattainable
position Production possibility frontiers are usually drawn
150 as curves concave to the origin as it is thought that, in
most cases, the opportunity cost of producing one
category of good will increase as its output rises. In
100
Figure 2 when the output of capital goods rises from
40 to 47 the opportunity cost rises from 25 to 48
consumer goods. Increasing opportunity cost occurs
50
because resources are not equally good at producing
both products. When the output of capital goods
initially starts to rise, resources that are good at
0 10 20 30 40 50 Capita producing capital goods will be used. Then, as the
goods output of capital goods increases, further resources
Figure 1
that are better at producing consumer goods will have
to be used. So more resources will have to switch
A production possibility frontier illustrates the
from making consumer goods to achieve any given
principles of scarcity. Society may like to produce,
rise in output of capital goods, and hence the output of
say, 180 consumer goods and 40 capital goods, but
consumer goods will fall further.
Figure | shows that this is not possible (it is an
Whilst any point outside the curve illustrates an
unattainable position). Society’s wants exceed
unattainable position, any point on the curve
resources. At any one time output potential is limited
represents full and efficient use of resources.
by the resources available.
A production possibility frontier also illustrates (b) Economic inefficiency can be illustrated by a
choice and opportunity cost. Figure 2 shows that point inside a production possibility frontier. Figure 3
society could choose to produce 150 consumer goods shows a society producing at point A, making 100
and 23 capital goods. If it decides to produce more consumer goods and 20 capital goods. This isan
capital goods it will have to produce fewer consumer inefficient position that can result from unemployment
goods. Society will be choosing to switch some or inefficient use of resources.
work out economics ¢ the economic problem 11
Consumer Consumer
goods a
200
230
200
150
150 |
100
+n
50
ze
0 10 20 30 40 50
Capital goods ns — >
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Figure3 Capital goods
Figure 2.2 illustrates the effect of a decrease in substitution effect. In the case of a Veblen good
demand. the income and substitution effects also work in
opposite directions, but this time it is the
‘perverse’ substitution effect that outweighs the
income effect.
(f) Utility
Utils are used to measure satisfaction.
Total utility is the amount of satisfaction obtained
by consuming units of a good.
Marginal utility (MU) is the extra satisfaction
obtained from consuming one more unit of a good.
The law of diminishing marginal utility states that
the more a consumer has of a given commodity,
0 Quantity demanded the smaller the satisfaction gained from
Figure 2.2 A decrease in demand consuming each extra unit.
Rational consumers spend their income in order to
maximise satisfaction. Consumers compare:
Causes (a) the utils per extra pound spent on X, using the
A decrease in real income. equation MV,P,, with
An increase in the price of a complement. (b) the utils per extra pound spent on Y, using the
A decrease in the price of a substitute. equation MV,P,.
An adverse movement in consumer taste. If the number of utils per pound spent on X is
A reduction in advertising for this good. greater than the number of utils per pound spent
Reduced expectations about the economy. on Y, consumers can increase their satisfaction by
A decrease in the population. increasing their consumption of X.
Satisfaction is maximised by arranging
expenditure among commodities so as to achieve
Effect equi-marginal returns. This occurs when:
The demand curve shifts to the right. marginal utility of X marginal utility of Y
price of X price of Y
(e) Income and substitution effects Utility theory requires consumers to be able to
The income effect occurs when the price of a good measure satisfaction.
falls and the consumer can maintain current
consumption for less expenditure. Provided that (g) Indifference curves
the good is normal, some of the resulting increase
in real income is used to buy more of this product. An indifference curve shows the combinations of
If the good is inferior, an increase in income is two goods whose consumption yields equal total
used to buy more of a superior substitute and less satisfaction to the consumer.
A budget line or income line shows all the
of this product.
The substitution effect occurs when the price of a combinations of two goods the consumer can buy,
given a fixed income and constant prices.
good falls and the consumer substitutes more of
this product for others. A rational consumer maximises satisfaction by
The demand curve of a Giffen good (a low-quality adjusting his or her expenditure between two
product) and of a Veblen good (a good purchased goods so as to be at the point on the budget line
to show one’s wealth) slope up from left to right. tangential to (just touching) an indifference curve
In the case of a Giffen good this is because the furthest from the origin — i.e. point A in Figure
income and substitution effects work in opposite 2.3. In Figure 2.3, JK is the budget line of the
directions and the income effect outweighs the consumer, and /, and /, are indifference curves. /,
14 Awork owteconomics e the economic problem and demand and supply
is further from the origin and yields a higher level 2.2 Investigative study
of satisfaction that does /;. To maximise
satisfaction, the consumer will select point A and Example 2.1
buy A amount of good X, and C amount of good
An assessment of the effectiveness, over a period of
¥
time, of the measures producers can take to raise
e An increase in income would result in a parallel
demand for their products, e.g. ice cream.
shift to the right in the budget line JK.
e An increase in price of good X would pivot the
budget line around point J towards the origin. 2.3 Data response
Good Y
Example 2.2
Consumer expenditure at 1990 market prices (£
million). Examples of commodities:
Furniture and
Year floor coverings Food Tobacco Total
Solution 2.2
% change
Example 2.3
in furniture 9% change % change Which of the following is not held constant when a
Year and fittings in food in tobacco Total demand curve is drawn?
1.8 =(51 3.20 A Households’ real income
OS See |
oa ON! 0.60 B_ The price of the good itself
1990 —4.8 es |
C The price of competing goods
1991 —4.8 0.1 2 oe
D The price of complementary goods
1992 3.1 2 —4.5 —0.02
eet
16 Awork out €condihics ¢ the economic problem and demand and supply
Example 2.7
A 20p 6 10
B 30p 2 ?
A 3 B 5 Cano D 15
Example 2.11
Example 2.8
The law of diminishing marginal utility states that the
A consumer has the following demand schedule for more a consumer has of a given commodity the:
chocolate: lower the total level of satisfaction enjoyed
lower the price of each extra unit consumed
Number of bars 2 3 4 5
lower the usefulness of each extra unit consumed
Price 60p SOp 40p 30p 20p
lower the satisfaction from each extra unit
—~om--ia
If the price of chocolate is 40p and the consumer buys consumed
three bars, what is his or her consumer surplus?
A 30p B 40p C 50p D 60p
Example 2.12
What is a Giffen good?
Example 2.9
A A good whose demand rises with income
The diagram shows a demand curve for journeys over B_ A good whose demand rises with a rise in its price
a toll bridge. C A good whose demand rises with a rise in the price
of a complement
Toll (£) D A good whose income and substitution effects
work in the same direction
If the toll is reduced from £6 to £5, by how much When drawing a demand curve, all the factors
will consumer surplus increase? influencing demand are held constant except one.
A £1100 B £1500 C £6000 D £7500 Options A, C and D are incorrect because they are all
examples of conditions of demand held fixed when a
demand curve is drawn.
Example 2.10
The diagram shows a consumer’s indifference map. RS
Solution 2.4 Answer: B
is the consumer’s budget line, and points J, K, L, M
and N show different combinations of goods Y and X. If the prices of complementary goods increase, the
It can be seen that the consumer would prefer demand for this good decreases, resulting in the
A combination M to combination N demand curve shifting to the left. Other options are
B_ combination N to combination J incorrect because: :
C combination L to all others A => causes a movement (contraction) along the
D combination K to all others demand curve.
: -
In allocating their incomes it is assumed that rational Consumer surplus on first bar = 60p — 40p = 20p
consumers seek to maximise their total utility or Consumer surplus on second
satisfaction. D is incorrect because consumers bar = 50p — 40p = 10p
maximise their total utility by ensuring that the Consumer surplus on third
marginal utility per penny or pound spend for each bar = 40p — 40p = Op
good is equal. Total consumer surplus = 20p + 10p = 30p
x Me vs
Units
of good TU MU TU MU TU MU
2000 Journeys
40 ZN(sed fv teaa!Ds agedLV bai a 1000
B = Point J is further from the origin than is point ¢ Distinguish between movements and shifts in
N. demand curves.
C = While combination L is the consumer’s point ¢ Make a careful distinction between the cause and
of equilibrium, the question asks which combination effect of an increase in (1) demand and (2) price.
the consumer prefers. ¢ Include demand and supply graphs.
Diminishing marginal utility means that the (a) Demand refers to the amount of a good
satisfaction gained from consuming extra units consumers are willing and able to buy at a given price.
declines as consumption increases. Other options are For most products, price and demand are inversely
incorrect because: related. A rise in price will cause a fall in the quantity
A = Total satisfaction (utility) usually rises as demanded. This is shown in Figure 1, where a rise in
consumption increases. price from P to P, causes a contraction in demand
B => The individual consumer is unable to from Q to Q).
influence the price at which the product is bought.
C = In economics, utility is concerned with Price
satisfaction rather than usefulness.
D
Example 2.14
Quantity of apples
(a) Explain the difference between marginal and
Figure 2 total utility. (5 marks)
(b) How does marginal utility explain the shape of
such as oranges, encourages consumers to switch to the demand curve? (12 marks)
alternative commodities, such as apples. Hence the (c) Why is the price of diamonds higher than the
demand for apples increases at all prices. The increase price of water? (8 marks)
in demand has the effect of shifting the demand curve
to the right, to D,. The price of apples rises from P to ¢ First define utility.
P,, causing an expansion along the supply (S) curve ¢ Use a numerical example to explain the difference
from A to B. Initial analysis suggests that an increase between marginal and total utility.
in demand raises the price of a particular good. ¢ Use a diagram and a numerical example to explain
An increase in the price of a good also affects the the shape of the demand curve.
amount demanded by consumers. However, unlike an ¢ In examining the relative price of diamonds and
water, distinguish between total and marginal utility.
increase in demand, an increase in price does not shift
the demand curve for the good. Again using apples as
an example, an increase in price results in a fall in the Solution 2.14
quantity demanded, causing a contraction along the
demand curve from A to B in Figure 3. (a) Utility is the satisfaction a person gains from
consuming a good. Total utility is the total satisfaction
gained from consuming a given quantity of a good.
Marginal utility is the satisfaction gained from
consuming an extra unit of a good. The table below
shows that as more biscuits are consumed in a given
period, total utility rises but at a diminishing rate. This
is because the marginal utility declines.
| 20 20
As 38 18
Q Quantity of apples 3 53 15
4 63 10
Figure 3 5 68 5
6 70 a
In fact the fall in the quantity demanded in Figure 3
can only have been caused by a decrease in supply
causing the supply curve to shift to the left and the (b) Most demand curves slope downwards from left
price to rise. In these circumstances, an increase in to right. This can be explained by considering the
price reduces the demand for that good. marginal utility a person gains the more of a good she
Analysis has so far supported both statements given or he consumes and by examining what happens to
in the question. By itself, an increase in demand does demand when the price changes.
eee.
cite ‘a
One way of assessing marginal utility is to ask Initially this may be:
people how much they would be prepared to pay for a
good. This information can then be plotted on a graph.
As marginal utility declines the more a person
consumes, the amount she or he is prepared to pay for If the price of biscuits rises to 10p the consumer will
extra units will decline. The diagram below shows the maximise total utility by buying fewer biscuits and
marginal utility gained from biscuits. more apples, or more of another good. As fewer
biscuits are bought, marginal utility will rise, and as
Price/MU
more apples are bought, marginal utility will fall.
20. 30
10p —-15p
Price
Quantity
_ » ce
pai
work out economi€s ©
supply
oe
Sms
ot
Solution 3.2 : (d) Coal mining and nuclear fuel are extractive
industries and are therefore placed in the primary
(a) sector.
—
% share of
coal mines
3.4 Objective questions
% change in output of and nuclear
coal mines fuel in total
Example 3.3
and nuclear output of production
Year fuel industries Why does a normal supply curve for corn slope
upwards from left to right?
1988 2.4 A Farmers’ profits increase as price increases
1989 —-15.8 1.9 B Farmers increase supply following increases in
1990 —-—13.8 1.6 demand
1991 17.4 1.9 C Farmers charge more to cover a rise in the price of
1992 -6.1 eg seed
[9925 =30.3 igh D Farmers are willing to produce more corn as price
increases
Over the whole period there was a sharp decline in the
actual output of coal and nuclear fuel, and this Example 3.4
industry’s share of the total output of all production The supply of a good is represented by the equation
industries. There was one exception to this: 1991 P =10+0.8 Q,, where P refers to the price in pounds
witnessed an increase in both output and the share of (£) and Q, is the quantity of the good sold. At what
the total of all production industries. The most marked price will the producer sell 20 units?
decline came in 1993, when output fell by more than a A £10 B £16 Cerz0. D £26
third. This reflected the large-scale closure of pits by
the government. Example 3.5
(b) The formula for measuring elasticity of supply 1s: Which of the following would cause a shift of the
supply curve to the right?
PES % change in quantity supplied A A decrease in VAT
* % change in price B A decrease in specific subsidies
C An increase in production costs
Whether at any particular time the supply of coal is
D An increase in the price of the product
elastic or inelastic is determined by two key factors:
the level of stocks held and the extent of spare
Example 3.6
capacity. If stocks are high and mines are not being
fully worked, a rise in price could bring about a Goods X and Y are in competitive supply. Other
significant rise in supply. However if stocks are low things being equal, what will be the effect of a
and mines are being worked to full capacity, it will be decrease in demand for good Y?
difficult to adjust supply to a rise in price and supply A An increase in the supply and price of good X
will be inelastic. B A decrease in the supply and price of good X
C An increase in the supply and a decrease in the
(c) A number of factors could cause supply of coal to price of good X
increase and thereby shift the supply curve to the D A decrease in the supply and in increase in the
right. New deposits of coal could be discovered away price of good X
from existing coal mines or new seams could be found
at mines currently being operated. The government Example 3.7
could subsidise coal production. Improvements in
technology may enable new seams to be tapped. Which of the following will cause the supply curve
for peaches to shift to the left?
These factors are also likely to reduce production
A Arise in the price of apples
costs, as will a fall in unit labour costs, perhaps
because of an improvement in productivity. B A successful advertising campaign for cream
ics ¢ the economic problem and demand and supply
Example 3.12
Solution 3.9 Answer: C (a) What is the relationship between supply and
price? (10 marks)
Goods in joint supply are produced together. An (b) What factors could cause an increase in supply?
example is beef and leather. (15 marks)
A => Any types of good may be sold together.
¢ Use a diagram to illustrate the usual relationship
B = Goods consumed together are complements.
between supply and price.
C = Goods produced by the same firm are not
¢ Refer to extensions and contractions in supply.
necessarily in joint supply. Indeed they may be in
competitive supply. ¢ Briefly acknowledge that there are exceptions to
the expected relationship.
¢ Illustrate an increase in supply.
Solution 3.10 Answer: B ¢ Distinguish between a movement along and a shift
in the supply curve.
An expansion in supply is a movement along an
* Discuss the main causes of an increase in supply
existing supply curve and can only be caused by a
and give examples.
change in the price of the good concerned, in this case
chicken. A higher price will encourage chicken
farmers to sell more chicken. Solution 3.13
A = A fall in the price of beef may encourage
(a) Supply is the quantity of a good that producers are
some people to switch from consuming chicken to
willing and able to offer for sale at a given price. In
consuming beef. This will decrease the demand for
AES sggeteenseee
Pe. a cond
Omics ¢ the economic problem and demand and supply
eas hii
Price
0 Quantity
Figure 2
¢ Distinguish between individual and market supply In the short run firms will stay in the industry
curves. provided that at least their variable costs can be
covered. So in the short run the supply curve is based
on the MC curve from X to Y (i.e. at and above
Example 3.14 average variable cost).
The supply curve of a firm shows the amount the firm In the long run all costs have to be covered and the
is willing and able to sell at different prices. When supply curve is based on the marginal cost curve at
plotting a supply curve the only influence that is being and above the average cost curve (i.e. from Y to Z).
changed is price. (b) An individual supply curve shows the quantity
The supply curve of a firm operating under that one firm will supply at different prices. A market
conditions of perfect competition is based on its
marginal cost curve. It is assumed that firms in this A
market structure are profit maximisers and will Cost/
MC
therefore produce an output where MC = MR. As revenue
Fd,
perfectly competitive firms are price takers, marginal
Average cost
revenue will equal average revenue (and hence price),
so these firms will produce where MC = P. Figure | Average
variable
shows the marginal cost curve for a perfectly Y cost
competitive firm. At a price of P, Q will be supplied,
at a price of P,, Q, will be supplied, at a price of P,, x
Costs/
revenue
ee
0 Output
MR, = AR, = P,
supply curve is the total amount that will be supplied
MR, = AR, =P, by all the firms in the industry at different prices. It is
MR=AR=P
found by the horizontal summation of all the
individual supply curves (and hence MC curves). This
means the amount that each individual firm would
supply at each price is added together and then plotted
on a supply graph. For example Figure 3 shows the
supply curve of three firms (this is obviously a
a ae
Output
simplification because a perfectly competitive
industry would contain far more firms).
Figure 1
Ata price of £1 the market supply is 20(7+7+6),
Therefore the amount that will be supplied can be at £2 it is 30 (11 + 10 + 9) and at £3 it is £42
(15+ 144 13).
found from the marginal cost curve.
Price Price
(£) (£)
S S
3 3
2 a
1 1
Price
(£)
0 5 10 15 20 30 40 42 Quantity
Market supply
Figure 3
only one market price where the amount that
producers want to sell equals the amount that
consumers want to buy. The forces of demand and
supply ensure that P is the equilibrium market
¢ In Figure 4.1, excess supply occurs at prices above price.
P, because producers are prepared to sell more
than consumers are willing to buy. Attempts to
maintain a minimum price above the market price
(b) Changes in equilibrium price
(e.g. the Common Agricultural Policy) results in
structural surpluses. ¢ An increase in demand will cause price to rise and
¢ Excess demand occurs at prices below P, because supply to expand.
consumers want to buy more than producers are ¢ A decrease in demand will cause price to fall and
prepared to sell. Attempts to maintain a maximum supply to contract.
price below the market price (e.g. by rationing) ¢ An increase in supply will cause price to fall and
results in artificial shortages. demand to expand.
¢ Equilibrium is a state of balance — i.e. a situation ¢ A decrease in supply will cause price to rise and
where there is no tendency for change. There is demand to contract.
Price
0 Q, Q Quantity
1 Quantity
Figure 4.1 Equilibrium and non-equilibrium prices Figure 4.2 The effect of a decrease in supply
cer zy
30 work out economics ¢ the economic problem and demand and supply
Subsidy
received by
the producer
Quantity
Figure 4.4 A specific subsidy. Area P1PJK equals the total amount
of subsidy paid
PFA, egg
a trey
ProductA » Product B
Price Price
P,
D,
—_——_
0 Q, Q Quantity 0 Q Q, Quantity
Figure 4.5 The effect of a decrease in the supply of product A on the market for product A and on the market for product B, a substitute.
4.2 Investigative study (c) What pricing policies for corn might a
government adopt for the period shown?
2)
oa
(10 marks)
FS ve
150 x Pos gt
Price per Amount bought
Year tonne (£) and sold (tonnes)
125 |
1990 150.0 3000
1991 200.0 1000
100
1992 125.0 4000
1993 162.5 2500
75
1994 145.0 3250
1995 150.0 3000
50
1996 150.0 3000
25
(a) Describe the annual variations in the price of
corn. (5 marks)
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995
(b) Given that demand conditions are unchanged,
Year
how would you explain the annual variations in
the price of corn shown in the table? (10 marks) Figure 1
in 1991 and the lowest, £125 per tonne, in the intervene to stabilise price. Price intervention in the
following year. Note that the magnitude of the corn market requires the government to keep a buffer
oscillation diminishes. stock. For instance Figure 3 shows that the effect of
the poor harvest of 1991 on price could have been
(b) Market prices are determined by the interaction of
overcome by the government selling 2000 tonnes
supply and demand. Market equilibrium occurs when
from stock at the prevailing price of £150. Such price
there is a stable, long-run market price from which
intervention would have allowed avoidance of the
there is no tendency to move. A change in any of the
subsequent ‘cobweb’ shown in Figure 2.
conditions of supply or demand would affect
equilibrium by causing a shift in a supply or demand
curve, hence a change in price.
Agricultural goods such as corn are particularly
prone to unforeseen weather conditions, which affect
supply from one year to another. The fact that the
200
price of corn stood at £150 in three separate years
would tend to suggest that this is the long-run
equilibrium price for corn. The initial change in price
150 + -—-t—-—---— Excess demand
in 1991 is likely to have been the result of an
unexpectedly poor harvest brought about by, say, frost
damage. The resultant fall in supply shown in Figure
3 raised the price to £200, with only 1000 tonnes
bought and sold.
Quantity
Figure 2 shows the path the market might have
followed in moving back to equilibrium. Long-run Figure 3
disequilibrium occurred between 1991 and 1995,
because farmers were unable accurately to predict
next year’s price. In 1992 they produced too much,
and the price fell to remove the excess supply. In 1993
farmers produced too little and the price rose to 4.4 Objective questions
remove excess demand. By 1995 the amount
Examples 4.3 to 4.6 refer to the following diagram,
producers wanted to sell at £150 equalled the amount
which shows the supply of and demand for British-
consumers wanted to buy, and the price remained
made lawnmowers. The market is initially in
stable into 1996.
equilibrium at point X. Starting from point X each
(c) Pricing policy refers to the government’s ability to time, indicate the new equilibrium position — A, B, C
leave markets free to set their own price or to or D — after each of the events described.
Price
per
tonne (£)
Quantity
Figure 2
work out economics ¢ pricedet natiot
Quantity 0 Q, Q Q, Quantity
Price Ss
Example 4.7 At
(c)
Demand Price Supply
Price
of A Increase Increase Expand
mustard S
B Expand Decrease Increase
C Contract Increase Decrease
D Decrease Decrease Contract
D,
Example 4.12
D
The original demand curve for wheat is FGH. The
government then introduces a guaranteed minimum
price of OP,, maintaining this price for intervention
0 Q, Q Quantity
of mustard buying for stockpile. What is the new effective
demand curve?
A FGM B P.GM C PGH D JKL
Price
of
mustard
Quantity of wheat
0 Q; Q Quantity
of mustard
sale of lawnmowers shifts the supply curve to the left manipulating equations that whatever is done to one
to S,. The equilibrium position is A. side of the equation must also be done to the other
side. The market price is found as follows:
ad
Q Q, Quantity sae
ie
Solution 4.7. Answer: B
D
At the minimum price producers want to sell more D,
(Q,) than consumers want to buy (Q,). So there is an 0 >
0, Quantity
excess supply of wheat of Q, — Q,. The other options
are incorrect because:
A = A minimum price would have no effect if it A decrease in the price of a substitute product
was set below the equilibrium price. would cause an expansion in demand for that product
C = Above point L the market demand curve is and a decrease in demand for this product.
unaffected by government action; beyond point L the A = An increase in consumers’ incomes would
government is prepared to intervene and buy up any increase demand for the product, which would increase
amount of wheat necessary to maintain the price at P, both the price of the product and the quantity traded.
— the demand curve becomes perfectly elastic at L and B and D = would cause the cost of production to
extends to M — it becomes KLM. rise, which in turn would result in a decrease in
D = To maintain the minimum price would require supply, a fall in price and an increase in the quantity
intervention buying of Q, — Q, amount of wheat. traded.
In equilibrium, the two equations given in the An increase in the productivity of car workers would
question must equal each other. Remember when lower the cost of production. This would increase
supply, which in turn would lower price and result in * Consider in each case which curve — demand or
an expansion in demand, as shown below. supply — is likely to shift.
* Apply your understanding of general demand and
Price
of S
supply analysis.
cars ¢ Make assumptions about the price elasticity of
supply and demand for coffee and then draw flat
or steep curves to match.
Solution 4.13
|
|
0 Q No. of
Quantity of jars each
wheat month
Figure 1
Price
per jar
Example 4.130 P,
The more severe the frost the greater the decrease The final effect on the legal price is indeterminate.
in supply, and the greater the resulting increase in The government may decide to offer the good above,
price. The more price inelastic the demand the greater at or below the price prevailing before the
the increase in price for a given fall in supply. introduction of rationing. However the existence of
excess demand at prices below P, encourages the
(2) VAT is an ad valorem (according to value)
development of an illegal black market, where the
indirect tax on the sale of goods and services. In
price is likely to be higher than that set by the
Figure 3, the effect of VAT on coffee is found by
government.
adding the amount of the tax to the original supply
curve at each level of output. A fall in VAT rates
reduces the amount of tax received at each level of Example 4.14
output and the supply curve moves to the right, to
S+T,. The assumption of inelastic demand means a Explain why the prices of some goods change more
than those of other goods. (25 marks)
significant fall in price, to P).
¢ Explain why unstable conditions of supply and
demand result in price changes.
¢ Explain why price inelasticity amplifies the effect
on price of changes in supply and demand.
¢ Introduce time lags and apply the cobweb theory.
¢ Make use of graphs and relevant examples.
Solution 4.14
price elasticity of demand (PED) because they are only prepared to pay P, to buy up Q,. Farmers then
inexpensive and consumers tend to buy much the expect the next market price to be P, and so produce
same amount regardless of price. Q,. Because supply is more inelastic than demand, the
cobweb converges and the long-run equilibrium price
Supply given of P is eventually restored. Had demand been more
poor
inelastic the resulting divergent cobweb would have
caused even greater price variations over time.
Range of
price Supply given
ee
fluctuations good Price
weather
P,
Quantity
Figure 1
P P P
D.
D; D, 4
Q Q Q
(a) (b) (c)
P P
Sige D,
D;
Q Q
(d) (e)
Figure 5.2 Demand curves with different price elasticities. In (a) the demand curve is a vertical line; demand is perfectly inelastic; the
PED coefficient is equal to 0; and a price rise means no decrease in Q,. In (b) the demand curve is a steep line; demand is relatively
inelastic; the PED coefficient is greater than O but less than 1; and a price rise means a smaller percentage decrease in Q,. In (c) the
demand curve is a rectangular hyperbola; demand is unitary elastic; the PED coefficient is equal to 1; and a price rise means an equal
percentage decrease in Qp. In (d) the demand curve is a shallow line; demand is relatively elastic; the PED coefficient is greater than 1
but less than ~; and a price rise means a greater percentage decrease in Q,. In (e) the demand curve is a horizontal line; demand is
perfectly elastic; the PED coefficient is equal to ~; and a price rise means consumers buying perfect substitutes.
Number of substitutes If there are few substitutes for a good, consumers are
unlikely to switch products
Consumer loyalty If consumers are in the habit of buying a good, they
are unwilling to use substitutes
Absolute price of the If a good is inexpensive, a large percentage change in
good price represents only a few pence
Proportion of income If the good takes up only a small proportion of income,
consumers will not react significantly
Number of complements If the good has many complements, the product is
needed if the other items are used.
Consumer adjustment If consumers are slow to react to a change in price,
the amount bought is largely unaffected
Width of definition If the good is broadly defined, there will be few
substitutes for it.
(5) A demand curve shifting to the left becomes more ¢ If PED is elastic, a fall in price increases revenue.
elastic. ¢ If PED is inelastic, a rise in price increases
revenue.
If PED is unitary, a price change leaves revenue
(c) Price elasticity of demand and
unchanged.
revenue
The relationship between PED and marginal revenue
The e effect
effect of of aaprice
price chchange on revenue depends on ge toe a
the elasticity of demand. Figure 5.3 shows how a
change in price can increase or decrease revenue.
work Out CCONGMUGS€l
Fig 5.3 (a) Elastic demand and revenue. Since the price decrease results in a proportionately larger increase in quantity demanded,
quantity
revenue rises. (b) Inelastic demand and revenue. Since the price increase results in a proportionately smaller decrease in
demanded, revenue rises.
include minus signs when applicable. ¢ Since XED can be negative, it is important to
* If YED is negative, the product is an inferior good. include minus signs when applicable.
¢ If YED is positive, the product is a normal good. ¢ If XED is positive, the two goods are in
¢ If YED is positive and greater than 1, the product competitive demand — i.e. are substitutes.
is a superior good. ¢ If XED is negative, the two goods are in joint
An Engel curve shows the amount of a good demand — i.e. are complements.
demanded at different levels of income. Figure 5.4 ¢ If XED is zero, the two products are unrelated —
shows that the slope of an Engel curve reflects its YED. i.e. are independent goods.
Quantity
demanded (Q,)
Income (Y)
Normal good Inferior good
N Substitutes Complements
Price of Price of
eoed B D goodB | D
P, Fe
D D
0 OQ Q, 0 Q, Q
Quantity of good A demanded Quantity of good A demanded
Independent goods
Price of D
good B
Figure 5.5 illustrates the three possible types of cross- Figure 5.6 shows that the gradient of a supply curve
elasticity of demand. generally reflects its PES.
(f) Price elasti city of supply | eaeaseen to remember that for linear supply
oe See
Qs; AP
* The PES coefficient can be between zero and
infinity (co)
* If PES is less than 1, supply is inelastic.
* If PES is greater than 1, supply is elastic.
si
S;
Both S, and S, are
unitary elastic at
all points
S,
Q Q Q
(a) (b) (c)
P P
S,
S;
Q tO)
(d) (e)
Figure 5.6 Supply curves with different price elasticities. In (a) supply is perfectly inelastic, the PED coefficient is equal to 0; and a
price fall means no decrease in Qs. In (b) supply is relatively inelastic; the PED coefficient is greater than 0 but less than 1; and a price
fall means a smaller percentage decrease in Qs. In (c) supply is unitary elastic; the PED coefficient is equal to 1; and a price fall means
an equal percentage decrease in Qs. In (d) supply is relatively elastic; the PED coefficient is greater than I but less than %; and a price
fall means a greater percentage decrease in Qs. In (e) supply is perfectly elastic; the PED coefficient is equal to ~; and a price fall
means that suppliers halt production.
Time In the long run, firms can adjust all factor inputs to
change supply easily
Production time If a good is manufactured quickly, supplies can be changed
easily
Stocks If a firm has a large amount of stocks, supplies can be
changed easily
Capacity lf labour and capital are underused, supplies can be
changed easily
Factor mobility If resources can move in and out of the industry, supplies
can be changed easily
nnn LEE
A study of the effect of a change in the rate of tax — Products X, Y and Z are produced in goods and
direct or indirect — on the market for a particular labour markets that operate under conditions of
product. perfect competition. Product X has an income
elasticity of demand of —0.2, product Y an income
elasticity of demand of 0.6 and product Z an income
elasticity of demand of 1.5.
omics * the economic problem and demand and supply
Firms produce X, Y or Z, and at the start of the 1 shows the effect on the good market (a) and the
period all the firms in each industry are in long-run product market (b).
equilibrium. In the next year there is a rise of 5% in
average real consumer disposable income. 4
Price
good.
(2) A good with positive income elasticity of
demand is known as a normal good. An increase in
income results in an increase in demand for this type
of good.
(3) A good with positive income elasticity of
demand greater than one is known as a superior good.
In this case an increase in income results not only in
an increase in demand but a greater percentage
increase than the rise in income. It has income elastic
demand.
0 Q,OQ No. of
(b) Income elasticity of demand (YED) is calculated workers
from the equation: (b) Factor market
Price
0 Q Q, Quantity 0 Q Q, No. of
workers
Figure 2
Price Wage
rate
P,
P ==
0 Q Q, Quantity 0 Q Q, No. of
Figure 3
The increase in payments for factors of production elasticity of demand) and a decrease in demand for
in the case of Y and Z will attract redundant factors of complements (negative cross-elasticity of demand). If
production from X. The reallocation of resources is supply is inelastic a rise in price will result in a
achieved through a change in the relative price of smaller percentage extension in supply.
products and factors of production between the
product and factor markets.
Example 5.7
Price (£) l PR ane oesRae a
Quantity demanded (kilos) 40 35 30 25 20 Which one of the following graphs refers to a good
that exhibits a negative income elasticity of demand at
all levels of income?
In which range does the price elasticity of demand
(expressed as a positive number) lie for a rise in price A B
from £3 to £4?
Income D Income
A 0.0-0.3 B 0.4-0.7 C 0.8-1.1 D 1.2-1.5
Example 5.4
If the demand curve for a normal good is linear, the
price elasticity of demand for the good: Bee
0 0
D
Quantity Quantity
decreases as the amount bought increases
increases as the amount bought increases SC D
is always less than |
Saneis unity Income D Income
Example 5.5
Which of the following diagrams illustrates the
relationship between two normal goods that are in
joint demand? Quantity Quantity
A B
Example 5.8
Price Price
of of B The following table gives an individual’s demand for
x x three goods at two different income levels:
Income (£000)
D 20 24
= rT lee
Example 5.12
If the price of a product rises by 10% and total
revenue remains constant, price elasticity of demand
is:
A unity
10 Quantity
B elastic
ics ¢ the economic problem and demand and supply
As you move down a demand curve, you are Solution 5.7. Answer: B
dividing a smaller percentage change in quantity
A good with a negative income elasticity of demand
demanded (%)AQ,) by a larger percentage change in
(YED) is an inferior good — i.e. as income rises, the
price (% AP). For example:
quantity demanded falls. As you move up the y-axis,
AtoB income rises but the quantity demanded continues to
hange in 2 decline. Other options are incorrect because:
%AOp =ene Bo y 199 =22 x 100 =100%
original Q, A => shows zero YED as the same amount is
change in P l demanded no matter what the level of income.
WAP =e eo os LE aa 5G C = shows positive YED throughout.
original P 3
D = shows a positive YED up to a certain level of
PED A toB income, then YED becomes zero and finally negative.
%AQ, _ 100
= Se ee ( Pls Glastic)
%AP $3.3 Solution 5.8 Answer: A
js
J to K 2AQ, = ra X 100 = 33.3% The question requires the calculation of (a) the
percentage change in income, and (b) the resulting
| percentage change in the amount of each good
%AP’ (== *'100='50%
2 demanded.
33.3 “if The percentage change (%A) of income (Y) is
Be ed1 Co 50 = ().67 (i.e. PED is inelastic)
calculated by using the equation:
5% fall P,
Solution 5.9 Answer: A
Option B is incorrect since, if the demand for mid- ¢ Apply your general understanding of demand
week tickets is inelastic, price and total revenue will elasticity.
move in the same direction. More information would ¢ Analyse each type of demand elasticity in separate
be needed to conclude whether the demand for mid- paragraphs.
week tickets is more elastic or more inelastic than the ¢ Use diagrams and relevant formulae.
demand for weekend tickets. * Be careful to ensure that arguments are supported
with worked examples relevant to a travel firm.
* <A detailed knowledge of the travel and tourism
Solution 5.10 Answer: C industry is not expected.
‘Price elasticity will be smaller’ means ‘supply
becomes more inelastic’. Firms will not be able to Solution 5.13
adjust supply quickly if they are unable to increase or (a) Elasticity of demand measures the responsiveness
reduce the quantity of factors of production they of demand to changes in other variables. There are
employ easily. Options A, B and D would all make it three types of elasticity of demand.
easier to adjust supply and hence would make supply (1) Price elasticity of demand (PED) measures the
elastic. responsiveness of quantity demanded to a given
change in price:
Solution 5.11 Answer: D = % change in quantity demanded
eeea
% change in price
Any straight-line supply curve that passes through the
origin has unit elasticity of supply. Most goods have either elastic or inelastic demand.
Elastic demand means that a change in price causes a
Solution 5.12 Answer: A greater percentage change in demand, whereas
inelastic demand means that a change in price causes
For total revenue to remain constant as price changes, a smaller percentage change in demand.
the quantity demanded must change by the same In most cases price elasticity of demand is negative,
percentage but in the opposite direction. This occurs so that price and demand will move in opposite
when elasticity of demand is unity. If demand is directions. Indeed so common is negative price
elastic (option B) a rise in price will cause a fall in elasticity of demand that usually the sign is omitted.
total revenue, whereas if demand is inelastic (option (2) Cross-elasticity of demand (XED) measures the
C) arise in price will cause a rise in total revenue. responsiveness of demand for one good to a given
When demand is perfectly inelastic a rise in price will change in the price of a second good:
cause a proportionate rise in total revenue — demand
change in quantity demanded of good B
will remain constant but consumers will pay more for XED = %
% change in price of good A
the same number of goods. For instance if demand
was originally 90 and price £10, total revenue would
be £900. A 10% rise in price to £11 would have no Price
effect on demand, which would stay at 90, but would of
cause total revenue to rise to 90 X £11 = £990, which good A
50. work oult economics e the economic problem and demand and supply
The XED value indicates which pair of products are offer’ campaign where price is reduced by 20%
substitutes (+XED coefficient), complements (—XED affects revenue according to the PED for trips. Given
coefficient) or independent goods (XED = 0). Figure | d,, total revenue becomes £8 X 110 = £880. Given D,,
illustrates negative cross-elasticity of demand. A rise total revenue is £8 X 150 = £1200. Therefore the
in the price of good A causes a decrease in the special offer only increases the revenue of the firm if
demand for its complement, good B. PED is elastic.
(3) Income elasticity of demand (YED) measures
the responsiveness of demand to a given change in
Price of
income: day coach
trips
% change in quantity demanded
a Sg ee 10
% change in income
Income D Figure 3
market. If the survey finds that the YED for luxury in response to price changes. If output is adjusted
tours is positive and greater than 1, then demand will easily in response to price changes, then PES is elastic
rise proportionately faster over time than income and and hence greater than one. Figure | illustrates elastic
the market will expand. The sales director may also supply.
try to change the image of trips and holidays that have Products whose output cannot be varied easily
negative income elasticity of demand from inferior to possess low PES. Figure 2 shows inelastic supply.
normal goods, e.g. by advertising, improving the
A
service etc. Price S
Example 5.14
(a) Explain what is meant by price elasticity of
supply. (7 marks)
(b) Why is the price elasticity of margarine likely to
vary over time? (18 marks)
Figure 2
Solution 5.14
(a) Price elasticity of supply (PES) measures the Analysis of the factors determining elasticity of
responsiveness'of quantity supplied to a given change supply requires a careful analysis of the factors
in price. PES is calculated by comparing the determining the ability of a firm to vary output.
proportionate change in price and quantity supplied (b) The short run is defined as the period of time in
by use of the equation: which a firm is unable to alter the amount of at least
percentage change in quantity supplied one factor of production, such as capital used in
PES = ameiel production.
percentage change in price
There are a number of reasons for believing that, in
Within a given time period, the elasticity of supply the short run, margarine output can be readily
depends largely on the ability of a firm to vary output adjusted and the PES of margarine is elastic. For
instance margarine is a relatively simple manufactured
good that requires little time for mass production.
Price
Output can be expanded rapidly by operating overtime
S
or by working night shifts. Margarine can be
refrigerated and stored for long periods. Stocks can
P, then be used to effect changes in the quantity
P
supplied.
On the other hand there are several factors that
would make the short-run PES of margarine inelastic.
The impact of diminishing returns and the difficulty of
substituting one factor of production for another raises
short-run unit costs and makes supply inelastic. If
0 Q Q, Quantity margarine factories are operating at or near full
supplied
capacity, output cannot be expanded rapidly in
Figure 1
response to a price rise. Again, if the labour used to
) on Cian, wie ”
52 work out,ecoric
SESE remem
mics ¢ the economic problem and demand and supply
operate machinery requires specialist training, it is used to produce similar products such as cheese
also difficult to expand production rapidly. spreads can be switched into our out of the production
The long run is defined as the period of time when of margarine. The industry can adjust production
the firm is able to vary the amount of any factor of capacity by installing or removing machines. If the
production. In the long run PES is more elastic than in firm decides on a very large adjustment in capacity, a
the short run, for a variety of reasons. In the long run new factory can be built or an existing plant can be
firms have an opportunity to overcome diminishing closed down. Moreover, provided that there are no
returns (which can occur in the short run) by adjusting barriers to entry, new firms can enter the industry.
the mix of labour and capital. The difficulties of factor Alternatively, existing firms can switch into the
immobility can be overcome through training. production of another good. It is also likely that
Supply is elastic in the long run because firms have supply will be affected by the development of new
longer to plan their production decisions and more technologies that improve production techniques and
time to manufacture the good. For example machinery increase PES.
¢ The addition to output made by each extra worker
is called marginal product of labour (MPL).
f production ¢ Output per worker is called average product of
labour (APL).
Output is produced with factors of production The concept of returns compares the percentage
(inputs). These are: change in favour of production, e.g. labour (%AL)
(1) Land — all natural resources, e.g. fishing grounds, with the resulting percentage change in output (%AQ
farm land, — Table 6.1).
(2) Capital — man-made goods used in the production ¢ The law of diminishing returns states that, as extra
of goods and services, e.g. factories and units of a variable factor are combined with a given
machines. amount of a fixed factor, the marginal products of
(3) Labour — mental and physical effort expended in the variable factor will eventually fall (Figure 6.1).
the production of goods and services. ¢ If only diminishing returns are referred to, this is
(4) Entrepreneurship — entrepreneurs bear the taken to mean diminishing marginal returns.
uncertain and uninsurable risks of production.
Output (Q) A
¢ A production function shows the relationship
between the amount of factors of production used
and the amount of output produced.
Specialisation Large firms have more scope for the division of labour
than have small firms
Indivisibilities Some machines are of a minimum size that can only
be kept fully occupied by large firms
Increased dimension The cost of capital does not increase in proportion with
the output of each machine
Principle of multiples Large firms use a machine combination that eliminates
bottlenecks caused by different machines working at
different speeds
Linked processes Bringing together different stages of production in one
factory reduces costs
Managerial Big firms can spread the cost of employing the best
managers over a large level of output. Managerial costs
do not increase in proportion with output
Financial Large firms offer more security and pay a lower rate of
interest on loans than do small firms. Large firms can
raise capital cheaply through a rights issue
Commercial Large firms buy raw materials and components in bulk
and are therefore given a discount
Marketing Transportation and advertising costs do not increase in
proportion with output
Research and development Large firms can spread the cost of improving products
over a large level of output
EE
0
(f) Diseconomies of scale (c) workers feel isolated and out of touch with
managers, and industrial relations decline.
Diseconomies of scale (DOS) are increases in long- (2) External DOS occur outside the firm when the
run costs that occur from an increase in production. long-run costs of all local firms rise when:
(1) Internal DOS occur within the firm when (a) local road congestion causes transportation
The concept of returns to scale compares the (a) State which of the above costs are fixed costs
percentage change in inputs (%A inputs) with the and which are variable. Explain your choice.
resulting percentage in output (%AQ). Table 6.5 (5 marks)
explains the relationship between returns to scale and (b) (1) If the maximum number of passengers per
economies of scale that usually exists. flight is 500, what is the minimum price per
seat that the airline must charge on this flight
to operate it in the short run? (6 marks)
Costs
(2) What is the minimum price that would have
to be charged to make the flight viable in the
long run? (6 marks)
(c) Explain the factors that are likely to determine
|
|
the actual price charged. (8 marks)
|
Economies of ! Constant-scale | Diseconomies
ee
Output (tonnes) 0 10 20 30
is fixed above the likely market price. With each
Total costs (£) 120 180 200 210
airline charging the same price, non-price competition i
Example 6.11
AFC
Figure 1 0 1 2 Output
work out economics ¢ costs of pra C
increasing returns. It then rises due,to diminishing ¢ The question tests your understanding of returns
returns. As with AVC, it is cut at its lowest point by and returns to scale.
MC. Figure 3 illustrates ATC, AVC and MC. The ¢ Make good use of accurate graphs.
vertical distance between ATC and AVC is AFC, and ¢ Use examples to develop important points.
so this distance declines as output rises since AFC
falls with output.
Solution 6.14
MC (a) A firm is a unit that organises the production of
Costs ATC
goods and services. Traditional new classical theory
assumes that firms use only two factors to produce
output: labour and capital. Furthermore it assumes
that firms can only increase output in the short run by
adding extra units of labour to a fixed number of
AVC
machines.
Marginal cost (MC) refers to the cost of producing
an extra unit. Extra units are manufactured by
employing additional workers. Assume that each
0 Output worker receives the same wage. Initially each extra
worker is able to produce more than the previous
Figure 3 worker because, at first, marginal workers have easy
access to a fixed number of machines and the division
Table 2 shows how ATC and AVC fall and then rise of labour principle can be applied. Since the firm is
with output. It also illustrates, as does Figure 3, that
initially obtaining an increasing return for a constant
average cost is above marginal cost when average cost outlay on wages, marginal costs are falling and the
is falling and average cost is below marginal cost
MC curve in Figure | slopes downwards. Beyond Q,,
when average cost is rising.
the law of diminishing returns operates and the firm
receives a decreasing return for a constant outlay on
Table 2
SLUUSES EE wages. Workers experience delayed access to
Average Average machines and the opportunities for the division of
Total Variable total variable Marginal labour have been fully exploited.
Output cost cost cost cost cost
0 100 — — — _
Costs MC
1 180 80 0.0 80.0 80
SAC
2 250 150 23.0" 7.0 70
3 300 200 100.0 66.7 50
4 320 220 20.0 4 55.0 20
5 360 260 eos S210 40
6 420 320 70.0 ef pe 60
7 500 400 Tis Sel 80
Quantity
8 600 500 (Li PRS 100
9 720 620 80.0 68.9 120
Figure |
So AFC will fall with output and AVC and ATC Average cost is the unit cost of producing a given
will fall and then rise. level of output. The shape of the short-run average
cost curve (SAC) in Figure 1 depends critically on the
behaviour of marginal costs. SAC slopes downwards
Example 6.14
until Q, because marginal cost is less than unit cost.
How is a firm’s average cost curve determined in: Beyond Q, marginal cost exceeds average cost and the
(13 marks) SAC curve begins to rise.
(a) the short run?
(b) the long run? (12 marks) It has been established that the shape of the short-
“WORrk out, economics * the economic problem and demand and supply
Se epee a EDO SEARO
Figure 3
Date Date Self-
AEB NEAB | OCSEB | UCLES ULE UODLE begun completed assessment
Fact sheets
Investigative study
Data response a
Essays
ze of Firms
7.2 1 ve study
* Defined as legal units, which includes companies, partnerships, sole proprietors, general government and
non-profit-making bodies.
Source: Britain 1995: An Official Handbook (London: HMSO).
(a) How many people do most UK manufacturing (b) The typically sized business, i.e. the small
businesses employ? (3 marks) business, employed only 6.59% of the total number of
(b) What percentage of manufacturing workers did manufacturing workers employed
the typically sized business employ in 1991? (5 (280805/4258318 x 100).
marks)
(c) Annual turnover is the total sales of a business
(c) What is meant by annual turnover? (2 marks)
during the period of a calendar year.
(d) What is meant by a sole proprietor? (4 marks)
(e) Which form of business entity — public limited (d) A small proprietorship is a business owned by a
companies, private limited companies, single person. This type of business is typically small.
partnerships or sole proprietorships — do you It has a number of advantages, including flexibility,
think has the highest annual turnover? (3 marks) speed of decision making and the provision of a
(f) How can a small business increase its annual personal service. However it also has disadvantages,
turnover? (6 marks) including lack of capital and limited liability.
(g) Identify one other measure of business size.
(2 marks) (e) Public limited companies, which are typically
large companies, have the highest annual turnover. For
instance the annual turnover of British
Solution 7.2
Telecommunications was £13.2 billion in 1992.
(a) Most UK manufacturing businesses are small.
The table shows that most businesses — 90 672 out of (f) A small business can increase its annual turnover
a total of 131 122 — employ between one and nine by internal or external growth. Internal growth
workers. involves a firm increasing its production by, for
Omics © market structure
Solution 7.12 Answer: B more than double increase in output. The principle of
multiples suggests that large firms can avoid the
A sole trader can make use of retained profits and can
bottlenecks that occur when machines operate at
borrow from banks in the form of loans or overdrafts.
different speeds, by installing a ratio of machines that
However sole traders do not issue shares.
keeps each fully utilised.
Financial economies allow large enterprises to raise
capital on advantageous terms. Large firms are
considered to be reliable and are therefore charged a
Example 7.13 low rate of interest. In particular, large firms have
access to capital markets such as the stock exchange.
Why, despite the technical and financial advantages of
Selling shares is a relatively inexpensive method of
large firms, are there so many small firms?
raising large amounts of capital.
(25 marks)
Despite the cost advantage to large firms of
e The questions tests your understanding of the producing in bulk, small businesses continue to
technical and financial economies of scale that are survive for a variety of reasons. Limited opportunities
open to large firms. for economies of scale allow them to find a niche by
¢ Describe the circumstances in which small firms providing specialised products for small markets. For
thrive. instance specialised design is non-uniform and cannot
¢ Where possible, use real-world examples. be manufactured in bulk. Service sectors such as
hairdressing cannot easily achieve a large scale of
operation, and therefore tend to be dominated by
Solution 7.13
small firms. An irregular or limited demand for a
It is important to distinguish between large and small product prevents mass production.
firms. The Bolton Committee Report (1971) suggests Small firms have the flexibility and low overheads
that small businesses are firms that are managed by needed to undertake ‘one-off’ projects, e.g. building
their owner(s) and have a relatively small share of the construction. Often small firms survive by accepting
market. Small manufacturing firms employ fewer than subcontracting work from large companies. In
200 people. Large firms are typically incorporated industries such as printing, where fixed costs form
(limited companies), where ownership and only a small percentage of total costs, low set-up costs
management are separated. Large companies that encourage the development of small firms. Where the
exploit economies of scale enjoy a cost advantage market for a good is restricted and highly localised,
over small firms in the same industry. In particular, small firms survive, e.g. village shops.
large firms have access to the following technical and In an attempt to stimulate the supply side of the
financial economies. economy the government has introduced a number of
Technical economies occur in the production of a schemes to help small firms to survive. For instance
good. As the firm expands, there is greater scope for the Enterprise Allowance is a weekly sum paid to the
specialisation and the division of labour. For example unemployed while they are setting up their own
large factories can employ specialist skilled workers businesses. The Business Expansion Scheme provides
to do the same job all day with no time lost in relief against income tax to investors in unquoted
changing tools or doing unfamiliar tasks. The companies.
indivisibility of certain types of capital means that
many production processes, including that of Example 7.14
chemicals, are impossible on a small scale. Mass
Glaxo bought out Wellcome, another drug company,
production allows large firms to keep specialist capital
in 1995.
fully utilised. Large firms can benefit by linking
production processes that would otherwise be carried (a) What type of merger was this? (5 marks)
out in separate factories. For example a large (b) What are the main motives behind this type of
manufacturer of shirts can reduce transport costs by merger? (10 marks)
combining the weaving and cutting of cotton under (c) What are the potential advantages and
the same roof. Economies of increased dimensions disadvantages of this type of merger for society?
mean that doubling the size of a machine results in a (10 marks)
work out economics *size OF fi
¢ Distinguish briefly between horizontal, vertical advertise at competitive rates. In the drugs industry,
and conglomerate mergers. research and development economies of scale are
* Consider the main motives behind a horizontal particularly significant. Drug firms spend a
merger. considerable amount of time and money developing
¢ Relate at least some of the advantages and new medicines and bringing them to the market. A
disadvantages of a horizontal merger to the drug merger between two drug companies researching into
industry — although detailed knowledge of the different areas of illnesses or using different
drug industry is not required. ingredients will enable risks to be spread.
There may be a number of other possible motives
Solution 7.14 behind a horizontal merger at a secondary stage,
including increased ability to counterbalance the
(a) There are three main types of merger: horizontal,
power of purchasing companies.
vertical and conglomerate. A horizontal merger occurs
when two firms in the same industry and at the same
(c) A merger between any two drug companies will
stage of production merge. A vertical merger is when
benefit consumers if it results in lower costs, higher
two firms in the same industry but at a different stage
product quality and better service. If the merged
of production combine. Finally, a conglomerate
company passes on the benefit of lower costs achieved
merger is when two firms in different industries
through economies of scale, and possibly
merge. rationalisation, in the form of lower prices consumers
The merger between Glaxo and Wellcome was a
will gain. The increased research and development
horizontal merger as both firms were in the same
capacity may result in the development of new drugs
industry and at the same stage of production. The
that improve welfare by curing or alleviating illness.
industry is the drug (or pharmaceutical) industry and
For instance development of a cure for AIDS would
the stage of production is the secondary stage as both
be a significant benefit. If a new merged company is a
firms are manufacturing companies.
more efficient company it will be able to compete
(b) There are a number of possible motives behind a more effectively in the world drug market. This
horizontal merger, although the two main motives are should improve the country’s balance of payments
increased market share and increased opportunity to position.
take advantage of economies of scale. Merging with However there is no guarantee that a merger will
another company in the same industry is a direct way increase efficiency or benefit consumers. The new
of removing a rival and a quick way of increasing its company may be too large and may experience
size relative to other firms. This in turn will reduce the internal diseconomies of scale, thereby raising
chance of the new company being taken over as its average costs and prices. The reduced competition
larger size will mean that there will be fewer firms may also result in a reduction in the range of drugs
with access to sufficient financial resources to acquire and a fall in quality, perhaps including a failure to test
it. drugs adequately before they are put on the market.
A larger firm will also be able to take greater The move towards greater market power will reduce
advantage of internal economies of scale, thereby consumer surplus and increase producer surplus. A
lowering average (unit) costs and increasing merger is often accompanied, at least initially, by a
profitability. A larger company will, for example, fall in employment as the new company seeks to
probably be able to gain easier and cheaper access to rationalise production. This will have an adverse
finance, employ specialist staff, make use of larger effect on redundant workers if they are unable to
and more cost-effective machinery, buy in bulk and move to other, equally well-paid employment.
(b) Revenue
The money received from the sale of output is
called revenue.
¢ A market exists where buyers and sellers negotiate
the exchange of a product. (c) Profit
e An industry is made up of firms producing similar Accountancy and economic definitions of profit
products. are different.
¢ Market structure refers to the number and type of —_* Economists regard normal profits as a cost of
firms in a particular industry. production.
¢ Concentration ratios measure the proportion of an ° Revenue minus production costs equals abnormal
industry’s output or employment accounted for by, profit T:
say, the five largest firms. ~=IR — TC=(AR — AC).X Q
¢ New classical theory assumes that firms aim to In Figure 8.1 the representative firm has to decide
maximise profits. However, where ownership and whether or not to produce extra units. The firm
control of a company are in separate hands, compares the cost of the marginal unit (i.e. MC) with
managers may have a different aim, such as sales the revenue received from its sale (i.e. MR). An extra
maximisation. unit is only worth producing if MR exceeds
MC. Since MC includes an amount of normal profit,
the firm maximises its profits by increasing
(d) Perfect competition production up to and including Q.
Industry t Firm
Price Price
MC
4s D=AR=MR
=P
[ete eet
0 Q Q (thousands) 0 Q Q (tens)
( Industry Firm
Price
D,
P,
0 Q Q, Q, Q (thousands) 0 Q Q, Q (tens)
¢ The long-run supply curve (LS) shows the amount ¢ There is spare capacity in the industry.
of a good supplied by the industry at different ¢ Each firm is a price maker, so AR > MR and both
prices, allowing the number of firms and size of fall the more the firms sells.
plant to vary. ¢ There are no barriers to entry and exit.
e The firms are assumed to be profit maximisers and
will produce where MC = MR.
(f) Abnormal losses in perfect
¢ There will be non-price competition and possibly
competition some price competition.
e The absence of barriers to entry and exit is likely
to mean that normal profits will be earned in the
long run, as shown in Figure 8.5.
Cost/
revenue
MC
AC
P/C
Q
Figure 8.3 Revenue covers variable costs: losses are minimised by
carrying on production because total revenue covers all variable
costs and some (BC) of the fixed costs AR
2 Q MR Output
(h) Oligopoly
¢ An oligopolistic market is one dominated by a few
Q
firms so there is a high concentration of sales.
Figure 8.4 Variable costs exceed revenue: losses are minimised by ¢ The firms may produce identical products (perfect
ceasing production because total revenue fails to cover any
variable costs and none of the fixed costs
oligopoly) or differentiated products (imperfect
oligopoly).
¢ A loss-making firm carries on production in the ¢ Each firm is a price maker, so AR > MR and both
short run, provided that: fall with output.
(a) it believes the situation will improve in the ¢ There are barriers to entry and exit.
future; e Firms are interdependent. The behaviour of one
(b) it can cover its variable costs. firm will be influenced by the behaviour of its
¢ In the long run, some firms making abnormal losses rivals.
leave the industry, supply decreases and price rises. e Firms may seek to maximise profits or adopt other
The total revenue curves in Figures 8.3 and 8.4 will pricing strategies — see Chapter 9.
shift upwards until normal profits are restored. ¢ Supernormal profits are likely to be earned in the
long run.
¢ Prices are likely to be stable because:
-(g) Monopolistic competition
(a) firms may believe that changing price will gain
¢ Monopolistic competition is a market structure them no advantage — this is explained by the
with a large number of firms producing kinked demand curve, as shown in Figure 8.6;
differentiated products. (b) firms may engage in collusion.
work out economics * marketa 's!
Costs/
revenue MC
AC
7
P
c Lo
AR
0
Output in terms of
0 Q MR Output number of copies (000s)
Solution 8.2
0 4
Output in terms of
MR number of copies (000s)
Revenue
Figure 3
Example 8.4
One difference between a firm operating in a perfectly MR
competitive market and one operating in a
0 Q Output
monopolistically competitive market is that, for the
latter only:
A some producers advertise
Example 8.8
B average revenue equals price
C._ the number of producers is small The diagram below shows the total revenue (TR) and
D all firms produce an identical product total cost (TC curves of a firm. Under which of the
following market conditions is the firm operating?
Te
Example 8.5 Costs/ TR
revenue
Example 8.6
0 Output
The following table shows the cost and revenue
conditions facing a firm. At what level of output A Perfect competition in the short run
would the firm be making maximum profit? B Monopolistic competition in the short run
i
C Perfect competition in the long run
Weekly Total Total D Monopolistic competition in the long run
output cost revenue
A 1 30 24 Example 8.9
B 2 4] 48 A firm will continue production in the short run,
Cc 3 65 72 provided that revenue covers:
D 4 90 96 A total cost
B average cost
C fixed cost
D variable cost
Example 8.7
The diagram shows a marginal revenue curve (MR). Example 8.10
From the diagram it can be seen that as output
increases from 0 to Q, total revenue is: Oligopolistic industries are usually characterised by:
A increasing A price stability
B_ decreasing B firms being price takers
C ata maximum C firms’ long-run average cost curves sloping
D ata minimum upwards
MUST EDGE S53
oe gS ETF
D firms’ average revenue equalling their marginal C = A condition of perfect competition is that
revenue firms are free to enter or leave the industry at will.
D = In perfect competition, no one buyer is
sufficiently large enough to be able to negotiate a
Example 8.11
discount on purchases.
A monopolist seeks to earn maximum profits. Will he
or she produce output A, B, C or D?
Solution 8.4 Answer: A
the first unit as it is not known what the cost of usually significant in what are often capital-intensive
producing zero output was (i.e. the fixed cost). Note industries, may be L shaped or downward sloping.
that the firm must be producing under conditions of
perfect competition since AR = MR and both are
Solution 8.11 Answer: A
constant.
A monopolist seeking to maximise profits will produce
where MC = MR. Option B shows the productively
Solution 8.7. Answer: A
efficient output, option C the allocatively efficient
Total revenue increases when marginal revenue is output and option D the sales maximisation output.
positive and is maximised when marginal is zero. It
falls when marginal revenue is negative. Since Q is to
Solution 8.12 Answer: D
the left of the point where the marginal revenue curve
intersects the x-axis (and TR is maximised), total If the price elasticity of demand in each market is
revenue is rising. identical, then the gradient of each demand curve is
the same and the firm is unable to charge different
prices for the same product.
Solution 8.8 Answer: A
A = Seepage between the markets would mean
It can be ascertained that the firm is producing under that consumers will buy in the cheaper markets and
conditions of perfect competition as the total revenue sell in the more expensive markets, which will equal
curve increases at a constant rate. Under conditions of out the prices in the two markets.
monopolistic competition and other forms of B => To set price in different markets, the firm
imperfect competition, total revenue rises and then would have to be a price maker.
falls. C = Price discrimination occurs when different
The firm is producing in the short run because it prices are charged for goods or services that cost the
has fixed costs, as shown by the fact that at zero same to produce.
output there are costs. In the long run all costs will be
variable.
8.6 Essays
Solution 8.9 Answer: D Example 8.13
If variable costs are covered then the direct costs of (a) What are the characteristics of a perfectly
production can be met and the loss from continuing to competitive industry? (7 marks)
manufacture is less than the total fixed costs that (b) What type of profits do perfectly competitive
would have to be paid out if the firm halted firms seek to earn? (5 marks)
production. (c) What type of profits do perfectly competitive
firms earn? (13 marks)
differentiation, the products are homogeneous and shows a firm producing where marginal cost (MC)
there is no attachment between consumers and equals marginal revenue (MR), but also where
producers. There are no barriers to entry and exit so average revenue (AR) exceeds average cost (AC) and
that firms can enter the industry from outside and hence supernormal profits are earned.
firms in the industry can switch production to other
goods. There is perfect knowledge with consumers Costs/
revenue MC AC
and producers being fully informed about, for
example, price and profit levels. In addition there is
perfect mobility of factors of production, so if a firm
P,
wishes to expand its output it will have no difficulty
C, ho
Price
Output
Figure 3
0 Q Output Costs/
revenue
Figure 4
Costs/
revenue
MC AC Px
C,
P,
Le YL
— MR, =AR, = P;
MR
Output
Figure 1
Q,
Figure 9.1 Revenue curves and price elasticity of demand (PED)
(b) Degrees of competition
¢ The most competitive market structure is perfect * The MR curve bisects the origin and the AR
competition. curve.
¢ Imperfect competition covers market structures ¢ To sell more output, the firm has to reduce price
between perfect competition and monopoly, i.e. on the extra unit and all preceding units.
monopolistic competition and oligopoly. Therefore, MR is always less than price.
-e The least competitive market structure is pure * Upto Q, MR iis positive, TR is rising and PED is
monopoly. elastic.
e2 work out.ecohomics ¢ market structure
¢ Beyond Q, MR is negative, TR is falling and PED ¢ Given favourable market conditions, monopolists
is inelastic. and oligopolists can earn supernormal profits in
¢ At A, PED is unitary. the long run due to barriers to entry.
¢ Total revenue is maximised at Q. ¢ The absence of barriers to entry and exit means
¢ Oligopolies have relatively inelastic demand and that firms producing under conditions of
monopolies even more inelastic demand. monopolistic competition and perfect competition
¢ Firms producing under conditions of monopolistic earn normal profits in the long run.
competition have relatively elastic demand. ¢ A state-run monopoly may seek to achieve
¢ A perfectly competitive firm has perfectly elastic allocative efficiency rather than profit
demand and hence a total revenue curve that maximisation.
increases at a constant rate. This is shown in
Figure 9.2.
(e) Efficiency
Revenue
Total ¢ Allocative efficiency is achieved when a firm
revenue produces where MC = AR (marginal cost pricing).
¢ Productive efficiency exists when a firm produces
at the lowest unit cost, i.e. where MC = AC.
¢ Technical efficiency is achieved when a firm
produces a given quantity of output with the
minimum number of inputs.
¢ X-inefficiency arises when a firm fails to produce
on the lowest possible average and marginal cost
curves.
0 Output e Perfectly competitive firms are always allocatively
Figure 9.2 The total revenue curve of a perfectly competitive firm efficient and achieve productive and technical
efficiency in the long run.
(d) Profit levels ¢ Imperfectly competitive firms and monopolies are
usually allocatively, productively and technically
The level of profits a firm earns depends on:
inefficient.
(a) market conditions
¢ Monopolies often experience organisation slack
(b) market structure
and so are X-inefficient.
(c) the firm’s objectives
Above
Market No. of Nature of Price Barriers to normal
structure firms products Substitutes taker/maker entry profits
MC
MR, at MR,
Qs Q, Q
9.3 Data response shop. Once in, it is hoped that they will buy a range of
other products.
Example 9.2 (c) Supermarkets have attracted customers by
copying the personal approach of family bakeries.
Food/Cut Throat Bread and related items are frequently sold in a
separate section of the shop by people dressed as
Competition bakers. The supermarkets also offer a greater range of
Supermarket ‘real bread’ ruins loaves, including more exotic items. In addition they
advertise on a large and national scale.
the small bakers
THE SMELL of fresh bread, once The National Association of (d) Supermarkets have significant advantages over
on every British high street, is Master Bakers is alarmed by the small bakeries. They spread their overheads over a
now more common in the super- speed of closures. It fears that
market as scores of local bakeries supermarkets may be trying to large number of items and they can take advantage of
— unable to compete with mass- drive bakeries out of business and a number of forms of internal economies of scale,
produced loaves — close each has asked the Office of Fair Trad-
month. ing to intervene. including financial, risk bearing, technical and staff
There are now only 3,500 fami- “Bakers haven’t been able to
ly bakeries left in Britain. In the keep up with competition,’ said
facilities. As well as offering staff canteen facilities,
past five years, 1,500 have closed. Mary Rance, Director of the for example, they offer higher pay and greater
Fifty years ago, small bakeries NAMB. “They have tried vigor-
produced 83 per cent of British ously, but supermarkets have been promotion prospects. They can sell bread at a loss, if
bread. Today, with the advent of selling bread below its market they so choose, because they can cross-subsidise it
the sliced loaf and the supermar- price as a loss leader for some
ket bakery, they sell only 8 per years. The family bakeries are with other items on sale. They also have a national
really fighting against very
cent. reputation and so attract passing as well as local
adverse trading conditions. They
Over the past 10 years, super-
are closing every day.” trade.
markets such as Tesco, Sainsbury
But the OFT, although it said it
and Safeway have sought to repro-
sympathised with the small bak-
duce the ambience of the high-
eries’ plight, concluded _ that (e) The closure of more bakeries will reduce
street bakery to attract customers.
supermarkets were not trying to consumer choice and competition. Family bakeries
Most loaves are baked overnight drive them out of the market and
and the assistants wear bakers’ refused to act. may be conveniently situated and may provide a
hats and aprons. The choice of
bread is wider than in a local bak- Source: Extract from an article by personal service as the baker will have a small enough
ery, ranging from ordinary white Marie Woolf, Independent on
customer base to get to know them all. The baker may
sliced loaves to Italian ciabatta. Sunday, 19 March 1995.
also be willing to meet any specific requirements they
(a) Under what market structure do family bakeries have. Shopping in a family bakery is a more leisurely
produce? Explain your answer. (5 marks) and less pressurised experience than shopping in some
(b) Explain what is meant by a loss leader.(3 marks) supermarkets. With fewer family bakeries,
(c) Apart from loss leaders, how else have supermarkets will be faced with less competition and
supermarkets attracted customers away from may be tempted to reduce choice and raise price.
family bakeries? (5 marks)
(d) What advantages do supermarkets have over
family bakeries in the sale of bread? (6 marks)
9.4 Objective questions
(e) What disadvantages would consumers
experience as a result of more bakeries closing? Example 9.3
(6 marks) The following details are known about the long-run
cost and revenue position of a firm:
Solution 9.2
¢ Marginal cost = £5
(a) Family bakeries operate under conditions of e Average cost = £8
monopolistic competition. Although declining, ¢ Marginal revenue = £5
there is still a large number of them. They produce e Average revenue = £8
- a slightly differentiated product, do not make
Which of the following markets cannot be consistent
high profits and it is relatively easy to enter the
with this information?
market.
A monopoly B_ oligopoly
(b) A loss leader is a product sold at cost or below C perfect competition D monopolistic
cost with the aim of attracting consumers into the competition
work out economics * comparison of m ctures
Example 9.4 ;
Two firms are making supernormal profits. One is TR
monopoly and the other is operating under conditions
of perfect competition. Only in the former case will:
average revenue be equal to average cost
marginal revenue be equal to marginal cost
average revenue be greater than marginal revenue
Samemarginal revenue be greater than marginal cost
Example 9.5
Which of the following diagrams illustrates the total Example 9.6
revenue curve of a firm operating under conditions of
The diagram below shows the short-run costs and
imperfect competition?
revenue of a profit-maximising monopolist. This
A monopolist is worried about potential competition and
believes that engaging in limit pricing and setting a
TR price of Py will prevent the entry of new competitors.
Price
0 OQ
TR
Which level of output will ensure that the
monopolist achieves maximum profit compatible with
preventing the entry of new competitors?
A 0Q, B 0Q, C 00; D 0Q,
Example 9.7
Cc
Costs/
revenue
TR MC
AC
AR
Output
86 work out économics e market structure
Example 9.8
A firm operating under conditions of perfect
competition will achieve allocative efficiency when it
earns: AR
In monopolistic competition there are a large In monopolistic competition, new firms are free to
number of small producers selling to a large number enter and leave the industry. However there are
of buyers. In oligopolistic industries a small number barriers to entry into oligopolistic markets. This
of large producers dominate the market. difference affects the types of profit that firms in
The large number of firms in monopolistic the different market structures can earn in the long
competition means that the actions of one firm have run. Figure 2 shows a representative firm in
little effect on competitors. In an oligopoly the actions monopolistic competition. Supernormal profits
of one of the dominant firms can have a significant attract new firms into the industry, reducing market
effect on its competitors. share and thereby reducing demand for the
The independence of monopolistically competitive individual firm. In Figure 3 the demand curve shifts to
firms means that pricing policy is influenced only by the left until price equals average cost.
cost and revenue considerations. Interdependence Monopolistically competitive firms earn only normal
means that oligopolistic pricing decisions take into profits in the long run.
account the likely response of other firms. The theory
behind the kinked demand curve (Figure |) argues
Costs/
that if an oligopolistic firm increases its price, other revenue
firms will not raise theirs and customers are lost.
Reducing price has no effect on market share, because
other firms will follow suit. Oligopolies therefore tend P
Price
0 Q Quantity
MR
Figure 2
Costs/
0 Quantity
revenue
The kinked demand curve
Figure 1 MC
AC
Economies of scale are more significant in an
oligopoly than in monopolistic competition. When
FG
economies of scale are available, those firms able to
increase their plant size acquire a cost advantage over
smaller competitors. Small firms are uncompetitive,
and the industry becomes oligopolistic. In industries
offering little or no scope for scale economies, firms AR
are unable to reduce unit costs or are unable to reduce
them significantly by increasing their size. Such 0 Q Output
MR
industries tend to be perfectly or monopolistically
competitive. Figure 3
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Market Failure
Date
‘a eae assessment
Privatisation covers: (a) Explain the thinking behind the statement ‘the
(1) Denationalisation. best thing is to let businessmen, not bureaucrats,
run it’. (5 marks)
(2) The sale of government shares in private sector
companies. (b) Why does competition keep prices and costs
low? (4 marks)
(3) The sale of council houses to sitting tenants.
mics © market failure and government intervention
Px
Solution 10.2
Example 10.12
Example 10.7
A merger will qualify for possible investigation by the
A firm controls the supply of a raw material used in Monopolies and Mergers Commission in terms of
the production of a good. It is also involved in all assets if it has total gross assets over:
stages of the productive process of the product. It sells A £30 million B_ £50 million
the raw materia] to competitors at such a high price C £70 million D £100 million
that its competitors are unable to compete with it in
selling the finished product. This action is known as:
10.5 Solutions to objective
A price discrimination
B predatory pricing questions
C selective distribution
Solution 10.3. Answer: A
D vertical price squeezing
Asset stripping is when a company buys another
company (usually one which it believes is
Example 10.8
undervalued), breaks it up, sells the parts to other
When may price discrimination be beneficial for companies and usually closes down the remainder.
consumers? If it: The aim is profit, and whilst the asset stripper will
A reduces consumer surplus benefit, consumers are likely to suffer from the fall in
B increases industrial concentration output and choice and the workers made redundant
C enables a foreign firm to eliminate domestic will obviously suffer.
producers B => Consumers are likely to benefit if the costs of
D turns a loss-making monopoly into a profitable one production fall since this may result in lower prices.
The economy will also benefit from the firm
becoming more internationally competitive.
Example 10.9 C and D => The Monopolies and Mergers
Which government body decides if a monopoly Commission judges each proposed merger on its own
should be referred to the Monopolies and Mergers merits or otherwise. A vertical nature and control of
Commission? more than 40% of the market do not in themselves
A OFT imply that the proposed merger will be against the
B OFTEL public interest.
vy mics ¢ market failure and government intervention
—
Solution 10.13 companies that were sold off in 1990 quickly rose,
indicating that the initial share prices could have been
Privatisation is a broad term. It includes the sale of
higher. The sale of profitable industries, for example
nationalised industries, the sale of part of nationalised
gas and electricity, also results in a long-term loss of
industries, the sale of government shares in public
government revenue and could cause a long-term rise
limited companies and the contracting out of work by
in the PSBR.
local authorities.
The sale may also divert funds from other
Since 1979 the UK government has privatised a
organisations, including banks and building societies.
significant proportion of the public sector. This policy
A private sector firm may be less concerned with
has been adopted by many other countries, including
externalities and base its pricing and output decisions
France, Italy, New Zealand and former command
on private costs and benefits. For this reason the
economies. government has established a number of regulatory
The sale of nationalised industries in whole or part bodies, including OFFER (electricity) and OFGAS
and the sale of government shares in public limited (gas), to monitor price and output decisions.
companies raises revenue and reduces the PSBR. This Privatisation can also make it more difficult to
was a significant consideration in the early 1980s, implement government policy. With fewer industries
when the government was keen to reduce the under direct government control a prices and incomes
PSBR. Revenue, in the form of corporation tax, will policy or a new training initiative may have less
also be increased if privatisation results in a rise in chance of success.
efficiency and profitability. This may occur because
private sector industries may be more subject to
market discipline in both the goods and the financial Example 10.14
market — if they are not efficient they will go out of
How may the government promote competition?
business due to their inability to sell their products
(25 marks)
and raise revenue. Depending on how the privatisation
is organised, the new private sector firms may become * Recognise that competition can take various
subject to greater.competition, e.g. British Telecom is forms.
now facing increasing competition from Mercury. * Comment on UK competition policy.
Those in favour of privatisation also argue that
private sector firms are more responsive to changes in
Solution 10.14
consumer demand, as reduced government
intervention results in greater flexibility and speed of Competition may be in the form of price or non-price
response. This may in turn bring about the more competition. Non-price competition includes
efficient allocation of resources. advertising, free gifts, brand names, competitions,
Privatisation can promote shareholding among the after sales service, guarantees,
population, and indeed shareholding is now higher Government competition policy mainly seeks to
than in 1979. However many of the new shareholders promote price competition. This can be achieved in a
have shares in only one privatised company and these number of ways. To discourage monopolists from
are often purchased with the intention of selling them charging high prices a tax can be placed on
quickly in the hope of making a capital gain. supernormal profits. This occurred in the mid 1980s in
Privatisation may provide increased opportunities the UK when the government placed a windfall tax on
for raising investment finance as nationalised the high profits earned by retail banks.
industries can have limits placed on their external A government could also nationalise the industry to
funds. ensure that the monopolist charges a price equal to
Whilst privatisation has been a major movement, marginal cost. However in the 1980s and 1990s the
there are nevertheless a number of arguments against UK government used privatisation rather than
it. One concerns the process of privatisation. It has nationalisation to promote competition. The thinking
been claimed that a number of industries have been behind this approach is that private sector firms are
sold off at artificially low prices, thereby involving a more subject to market forces. If they do not supply
loss of potential income for the government. For what consumers want they will go out of business —
example share prices in the regional electricity they will not be ‘bailed out’ by the government.
,
DO Ios e
A government could also break up a monopoly into output and production process have to be registered
separate competing units. This approach has been with the Office of Fair Trading. To be allowed to
followed in the USA but the main thrust of UK policy continue they have to be able to prove that the benefits
is to regulate monopolies. This is achieved through outweigh the disadvantages of such agreements, and
the Monopolies and Mergers Commission, which they have to satisfy at least one of a number of
investigates existing and potential monopoly ‘gateways’, e.g. to protect the public against injury.
situations. The MMC and the Office of Fair Trading The primary aim of the 1980 Competition Act was
act on the assumption that possession of market power to promote greater competition. It identified a number
is not in itself harmful, but that how it is used may be of anticompetitive practices, including predatory
— so a case-by-case approach is followed. pricing and price discrimination. The OFT can
The privatisation of public utilities resulted in a investigate such anticompetitive practices if the firms
number of specialised regulators being set up to concerned are monopolies (as defined in terms of a
regulate industries. These include OFTEL (which market share of 25% or more).
regulates the telecommunications industry), OFGAS Competition may also be promoted by reducing
(the gas industry), OFFER (electricity), OFWAT barriers to entry into industries and occupations.
(water) and OFLOT (the lottery). The regulator Deregulation has been used in the 1980s and 1990s to
checks the output and price decisions of the industry increase the role of market forces. For example bus
and can, if it thinks it appropriate, refer to the services were deregulated in 1986 and a number of
MMC. routes were opened up to greater competition from
Competition can also be promoted via merger different bus companies.
policy. A government can investigate proposed The government has also sought to promote
mergers and prevent those which act against the competition in the National Health Service by
public interest from going ahead. The MMC can developing an internal market, and in a range of other
investigate mergers that will result in the new areas by contracting out services to the most
company controlling 25% or more of the market or competitive bidder. These areas include schools career
has assets of £30 million or above. services, schools canteen services and refuse
Restrictive practice agreements concerning prices, collection.
¢ Industrial inertia occurs when a firm remains in
its original location even after the initial
advantages have disappeared.
(2) Net migration from the area reduces: * Government measures have been mainly geared
(a) the local demand for products; towards moving jobs to workers rather than
(b) the local supply of skilled labour. workers to jobs.
(3) Local authorities have insufficient income to ¢ The European Regional Development Fund is
provide an adequate infrastructure and services. used to provide financial assistance to declining
(4) A contracting industrial base reduces the external regions.
economies of scale of an area.
Advantages of MNCs for the host Disadvantages of MNCs for the host
country country
MNCs provide domestic employment MNCs may force competing local firms
opportunities out of business
Investment improves the current account Returned profits worsens future balance
of the balance of payments of payments
Investment increases the domestic MNCs may exploit monopsony (sole
growth rate buyer) power in wage negotiations
Imports replaced by home-produced MNCs may deplete local natural
MNC-made goods resources too quickly
Technology and production techniques Transfer pricing may be used to
are transferred. minimise tax payments.
offering rate and tax rebates, and exemption from (c) The regions of the UK are sometimes classified
many planning restrictions. in terms of North and South. Four regions are
(3) Encouraging investment in declining areas by grouped as the South, i.e. the East Midlands,
allowing ‘free ports’, where goods can be East Anglia, the South East and the South West.
processed for re-exportation without incurring Do the data support the view that living
customs duties. standards are higher in the South? (9 marks)
(4) Establishing urban development corporations (d) Name three other indicators of living standards
(UDCs) to buy up and improve derelict land with that could be used to make a comparison
the involvement of local private sector firms. between regions. (6 marks)
(e) Give three reasons why unemployed workers do
not move from regions of low income and high
(i) Multinationals
unemployment to regions of high income and
A multinational corporation (MNC) is a company low unemployment? (6 marks)
that produces in more than one country.
Example 11.2
The largest MNCs have turnovers in excess of the
GNP of most countries, and account for the bulk
1993
of world trade in manufactures.
GDP
MNCs reduce unit costs by locating different
(index Unemployment
production processes in different countries.
per head) (per cent)
Region (UK = 100) (UK average = 10.4)
11.2 I
North 89 12.0
Yorkshire & 91 10.4
Humberside
A study of what influences local firms to base East Midlands 96 9.6
themselves in the area, or a study of the performance East Anglia 102 8.2
of a multinational company and the influences on and South East 116 10.2
results of its locational decision. South West 97 9.5
West Midlands 93 10.9
North West 9] 10.8
Wales 85 10.4
Scotland 98 9.9
ny regions had below-average GDP per Northern Ireland 82 14.1]
ead? Z (2 marks)
(b) How many regions had above-average Sources: CSO, Social Trends, 1995; Monthly Digest of
unemployment? (2 marks) Statistics, March 1995
éfket failure and government intervention
Which of the following is an external economy? A multinational corporation is a firm with production
A Increased bureaucracy capacity located in two or more countries.
B Employment of specialist staff
C Bulk buying of raw materials
Solution 11.7. Answer: B
D The development of ancillary industries
Direction of labour has been used in the UK only
under conditions of war and then its aim was not to
Example 11.12
solve the regional problem.
A host country that allows a multinational company to A, C and D = are currently being used to reduce
undertake direct foreign investment generally benefits regional unemployment.
from:
transfer pricing
technology transfer Solution 11.8 Answer: C
rapid depletion of natural resources Infrastructure includes roads, bridges, sewers etc. It
on the multinational company gaining a monopsony particularly covers transportation and communications
position — the services that support industry.
Solution 11.12 Answer: B younger members of the local workforce have moved
to areas of high employment. The negative regional
A host country may be able to pick up information
multiplier reduces the size of the market, thereby
about developments in technology from multinational
reducing the area’s external economies of scale. Firms
companies setting up plants in the country.
that suffer industrial inertia expand at their current site
A, C and D = are potential disadvantages.
and their location decision is unaffected by regional
policy.
11.6 Essays — Regional policy is likely to be more successful in a
period of economic expansion. During a recession
Example 11.13 firms will not open up new factories and offices
and may be more concerned about the risks of
To what extent is the location of industry determined
relocating.
by government regional policy? (25 marks)
Firms where government financial incentives make
e Avoid simply describing the theory of location and up a large proportion of locations costs are most likely
the regional problem. to take account of regional policy. For example
e Explain how government industrial policy affects capital-intensive firms such as ICI have been attracted
industrial location decisions. into assisted areas. Multinational enterprises
¢ Consider the likely impact of other factors on considering direct foreign investment in UK
location. greenfield sites have accepted grants and located in
development areas. The Nissan plant at Washington in
Tyne and Wear is an example. However other
Solution 11.13
multinationals have emphasised different location
The UK is divided into eleven standard economic factors, such as proximity to markets and transport
regions. Income per capita tends to be higher and networks, in their location decision. Honda have sited
unemployment lower in the south than in the north. In their engine plant in Swindon without any government
theory, market forces should eliminate regional assistance.
disparities over time. The low wages and rents of Microtechnology is a footloose industry where no
depressed areas influence location decisions and one site offers a cost advantage. Transport costs are
attract new firms. However, capital and labour can be only a small proportion of total costs. Despite the
geographically immobile. allowances on offer elsewhere, many ‘sunrise’
To offset these market imperfections, a number of information technology firms have decided to locate
controls and incentives have operated since 1945 to along the M4 corridor between London and Bristol.
influence the location decisions of firms. Currently However government assistance has helped to create a
firms that locate in assisted areas may be able to gain high concentration of silicon chip firms in Scotland’s
regional selective assistance and, in the case of small glens.
firms, regional enterprise grants. In conclusion, it has been demonstrated that the
Firms, then, have to compare the cost advantage of financial assistance given by postwar regional policy
sites in development and non-development areas. is an important but not overriding consideration in the
Companies take into account the natural advantages of location decision of the firm.
an area, including the physical features and climate of
a region. The acquired advantages of an area, such as
transport network, labour force and proximity to Example 11.14
markets, are also important factors.
(a) What has caused the economic decline of inner-
However it is difficult to isolate the impact of
city areas of the UK? (15 marks)
government regional policy on location decisions
(b) Discuss possible remedies for this decline.
since 1945. Detailed regional statistics have only
(10 marks)
recently become available, and the areas actually
qualifying for assistance have been changed ¢ Explain what is meant by inner-city decline.
frequently. Let us consider the evidence. * Include examples of recent government policies
New firms may ignore offers of assistance and be and their effects.
reluctant to locate in declining regions because the (1) Discuss the negative multiplier effect.
work out economics egior
The demand for a factor of production is based on Figure 12.1 An increase in marginal revenue productivity
Ww Ww 5
w
Economic D
rent Transfer D Transfer D
earnings earnings
Figure 12.2 Economic rent and elasticity of supply: (a) perfectly inelastic supply; (b) elastic supply; (c) perfectly elastic supply
be earned in the factor’s next-best-paid occupation °¢ The loanable funds (classical) theory states that
(opportunity cost): the rate of interest is determined by the demand
present earnings less transfer earnings = economic for loanable funds (largely for investment) and the
rent. supply of loanable funds (savings) (Figure 12.3).
(lawyers pay £40 000) less (teacher’s pay ° Keynesian theory states that the rate of interest is
£22 000) = £18 000. determined by the demand for and supply of
¢ Quasi-rent is short-term economic rent arising money. For simplification, the supply of money is
from a temporary inelasticity of supply. presumed to be largely government-determined
e Pure economic rent is the reward to any factor that and to be perfectly interest-inelastic. Keynes
is in completely inelastic supply. identified three motives for demanding money
¢ The proportion of a factor’s earnings made up of (liquidity preference) — that is, for holding wealth
economic rent increases as supply becomes more in the form of money:
inelastic. (a) the transactions motive is the desire to keep
money to make everyday purchases.
(b) The precautionary motive is the desire to hold
(e) Interest money to meet unexpected expenses and take
¢ Interest is the reward for forgoing liquidity, and is advantage of bargains.
an amount paid to a lender over and above the (c) The speculative motive is the desire to hold
original sum borrowed. idle balances to take advantage of changes in
the price of bonds.
In Figure 12.4 the liquidity trap occurs after point
fob Supply A, when the rate of interest is so low (and the
caeatee? ae bhie price of bonds is so high) that everyone anticipates
funds a future fall in the price of bonds. If the money
Rate
of
interest
R
Demand for
loanable funds
0 Q Quantity of
loanable funds 0 Q Quantity of money
Figure 12.3 The determination of the rate of interest according to Figure 12.4 Determination of the rate of interest according to the
the loanable funds theory liquidity preference theory and the liquidity trap
108 Perko nomics r cet failure and government intervention
Source: Adapted from Blue Book, 1994 edition, UK National Accounts (CSO)
(f) Wages
Wages are a payment to labour. A number of factors
help determine wage rates:
Most wealthy 1% 18 29
Most wealthy 5% 37 53
Most wealthy 10% 49 65
Most wealthy 25% V2 82
Most wealthy 50% 92 94
Solution 12.2
Example 12.7
Which of the following is an example of quasi-
rent?
A Normal profits earned under conditions of perfect
competition
B_ Supernormal profits earned under conditions of
perfect competition
C Normal profits earned under conditions of
monopoly
Output
MR D Monopoly profits
work out ey fee” /woah
Example 12.8
Number of workers Total output
If the market rate of interest is 12%, what will a bond
2 560
paying £18 interest sell for now?
3 640
A £88 B £112 C £150 D £168
4 740
a 810
6 850
Example 12.9
The liquidity trap is said to occur when: The price of the product is £4 and the wage rate is
A achange in the rate of interest has no effect on the £280. How many workers should the firm employ to
price of bonds maximise profits?
B_ achange in the price of bonds has no effect on the A 3 B 4 Gigs) D 6
rate of interest
C demand for money becomes perfectly elastic as
people expect the rate of interest to rise in the 12.5 Solutions to objective
future questions —
D demand for money becomes perfectly inelastic at
high rates of interest as people expect the rate of Solution 12.3. Answer: D
interest to fall in the future. Normal profit 1s the supply price of entrepreneurship
—i.e. the minimum that needs to be paid to
entrepreneurs for them to supply their services and
Example 12.10 keep their firms in the industry. This can also be
referred to as transfer earnings.
Year 1 Year 2
A => refers to supernormal profit.
Hourly wage rate £6 a1 B = A firm that produces where MC = MR is
Price index 120 150 producing at the equilibrium output, and this may be
where normal profits are earned. However it may also
be where supernormal profits or losses are earned.
The above table shows that between years | and 2 the C = In the short run, under any market structure
hourly wage rate in real terms changed by the average level of profit may be supernormal,
approximately: normal or subnormal. In the long run, under
A 126% B 83% C 47% D 333% conditions of perfect competition and monopolistic
competition the average level of profit will be normal
profit but under conditions of oliopoly and monopoly
Example 12.11 it may be supernormal profit.
Demand for a factor of production will be more
elastic: Solution 12.4 Answer: B
A the less elastic the demand for the final product
OYBZ represents the cost of producing OZ quantity.
B the greater the level of employment of factors in
Normal profits are included in costs of production, so
the economy
costs of production include the return to all the factors
C the greater the ease with which the factor input can
of production — i.e. wages, interest, rent and normal
be substituted by other inputs
profit. In this case the firm is producing at the point
D the lower the proportion of the cost of the factor in
where total revenue is greater than total cost, and
the total cost of production
hence it is earning more than normal profits. The area
of supernormal profits is shown by YXAB.
Example 12.12
Solution 12.5 Answer: D
A firm operating under conditions of perfect
competition in both the labour and product markets is If an acre of land can earn £5000 in its least
faced with the following output schedule: remunerative occupation, the word ‘least’ implies that
pa out ed6r arket failure and government intervention
the land has more than two uses. Economic rent is a of interest is very low (and hence the price of bonds is
surplus above what can be earned in its next best paid very high), everyone might expect that the price of
occupation — i.e. above transfer earnings. In this case bonds will fall and the rate of interest will rise in the
it is not known what can be earned in the next best future. They will hold any increase in the money
paid occupation — just what can be earned in the least supply, since they will not want to buy bonds now for
most profitable use. So it is not possible to calculate fear of making a capital loss if and when their price
economic rent or transfer earnings. falls.
Transfer
earnings
pricing policy of the monopolist. Figure 2 shows the bonds, shares, antiques etc. It is referred to as
total revenue and total cost curves of a monopolist. liquidity preference.
Prior to the imposition of a tax, maximum profits are There are thought to be three main reasons why
earned at 0Q output. The imposition of a tax causes economic agents hold their wealth in a money form.
the total cost curve to shift from TC, to TC,, but the One is the transactions motive. People hold money in
maximum profit output remains at 0Q. Some order to buy goods and services. Influences on how
economists argue that at least part of monopoly profits much they hold include income levels, price levels
should be taxed away on grounds of equity. and how frequently they are paid. Another motive is
The economic rent on land can also be taxed the precautionary motive. This refers to money held to
without affecting the allocation of resources. If all meet unexpected expenses and take advantage of
land, irrespective of use, is taxed at the same rate, the unexpected bargains and opportunities.
relative profitability of different uses will be It is thought that both the transactions and
unaffected. As supply will be unaffected, prices will precautionary motives are interest inelastic as a
not change and the burden of the tax will fall entirely change in the interest rate will not have a significant
on landlords. In addition, some economists argue that effect on the amount of money held.
the economic rent earned on land should be taxed,
because a high return from land may result partially
Rate
from public spending on the infrastructure. of
However, 1n practice it is not always easy to interest
identify economic rent, particularly as it may be
difficult to ascertain what a factor’s transfer earnings
are. For instance, at any particular time few workers
will know with certainty what employment they
would be able to gain if they left their present jobs.
Liquidity preference
So economic rent is a payment in excess of transfer (transactions and
earnings that may be earned by any factor of precautionary motives)
production that is not in perfectly elastic supply. It has 0 Quantity of money
been suggested that economic rent could be taxed Figure 1
without affecting the allocation of resources, but in
practice it can be difficult to isolate that part of a The speculative demand for money is much more
factor’s payment which represents economic rent. sensitive to interest rate changes. This motive is
concerned with money held, mainly by those who
deal in financial markets, to take advantage of changes
Example 12.14 in the price of bonds. If the price of bonds is low and
(a) What determines the demand for money? hence the rate of interest is high (since the price of
(15 marks) bonds and the rate of interest move in opposite
(b) What effect will an increase in the supply of directions), people will wish to buy bonds. This is
money have on the rate of interest? (10 marks) because they will expect the price of bonds to rise in
the future, when they will make a capital gain, and
* Explain what is meant by the demand for money. because meanwhile they will be enjoying a high rate
* Cover the transactions, precautionary and of interest. Figure 2 shows the speculative demand for
speculative motives. money.
* Include diagrams. Some economists include a fourth motive. This is
* Bring out the difference between Keynesian and the assets motive, which sees money being held as
monetarist view points. one of a range of assets, including shares. The amount
of each type of asset held will depend on the
significance of their returns to the holder. Shares
Solution 12.14
provide dividends, bonds provide interest and money
(a) The demand for money means the demand to hold liquidity.
wealth in the form of notes, coins and sight deposits The overall shape of the liquidity preference curve
rather than in the form of, for example, government will depend on which motive is dominant. Keynesians
work out scbacitiagtocorl yf wealt
MS;
Interest
rate
Liquidity preference
(speculative motive)
0 Quantity of money R
Liquidity
Figure 2 preference
R;,
0 Quantity of money
(a)
Interest
Interest rate rate MS MSi
0 Q Q,
0 Quantity of money
Quantity of money
(b)
Figure 5
Figure 3
Boy & out foriceap failure and government intervention
become completely interest elastic. In this case When the interest rate is very low, and hence the
(often referred to as the liquidity trap) an increase in price of bonds is very high, people may believe that
the money supply will have no effect on the demand the price of bonds will fall in the future and therefore
for money. will hold on to any extra money balances.
¢ Pareto efficiency criteria cannot be used in
resource decisions where someone gains and
al resource allocation someone loses as this requires the use of equity
criteria.
Economic systems have to choose between alternative ¢ Equity judgements can be made by using the Kaldor—
allocations (uses) of land, labour and capital. Welfare Hicks test. A change in production or distribution
economics provides a framework for deciding on the is desirable only if those who gain can compensate
optimal (best) use of scarce resources. A particular those who lose, and still be better off. Note that
resource allocation is assessed by using: compensation does not necessarily take place.
¢ Using Pareto criteria, a reallocation of resources Externalities can also be negative (e.g. pollution from
is desirable only if someone gains and no one a power station may damage the health of local
loses. residents).
* A Pareto optimal allocation of resources exists
when no one can be made better off without Social cost = private cost + negative externalities
(cost to the individual) + (costs to
someone else being made worse off, following a
reorganisation of production or distribution. third parties)
ny out Horie: failure and government intervention
Figures 13.1 and 13.2 show the effect of externalities In Figure 13.4, Q is the socially efficient level of
on social cost and social benefit. output where SMC = SMB. Only Q, is supplied by
Where social marginal cost exceeds private the industry. The resulting underproduction results in
marginal cost there is an external marginal cost. a welfare loss triangle of JKL.
Where social marginal benefit exceeds private
marginal benefit there is an external marginal benefit.
Price
SMC
Price
PMC
EMC
0 Q Q; Output
Price
EMB
SMB
D=PMB 0 Q; Q Output
firms underproduce public and merit goods and people affected by air pollution can sue.
overproduce demerit goods. (3) Subsidising goods that create positive
externalities.
(4) Taxing or banning demerit goods.
(e) Market failure through (5) Providing information about merit goods and
imperfect competition demerit goods.
Assuming no externalities, marginal cost (MC) equals (6 Producing the goods itself or contracting private
—
social marginal cost (SMC) and price (P) accurately sector companies to produce the goods.
measures social marginal benefit (SMB). Figure 13.5 (7) Redistributing income by means of direct taxes
and Table 13.1 indicate that, unless a firm sets output and benefits.
at the point where the cost of making the last unit
equals its price (marginal cost pricing), market failure (g) Cost-benefit analysis
results.
Cost—benefit analysis (CBA) is a method of assessing
the social costs and benefits of an investment project.
This involves comparing the private costs and
negative externalities of a scheme with its private
benefits and positive externalities, using money as a
measure of value. Problems involved in CBA occur
because:
(f) Measures to correct market in two year’s time, discounted at 10% per annum,
failure is £500.
There are a number of measures a government can ¢ A scheme is worth undertaking only if the present
take to correct market failure. These include: value of net social benefits is positive.
(h) Green economics (c) The extract mentions four government measures.
One is fining those who leave litter in a public place
Green economics, which can also be called
or who dump it away from designated areas, e.g.
environmental economics, is the study of
council rubbish tips. It will also take legal action,
environmental issues, including the depletion of non-
including fining local authorities that fail to keep
renewable resources, the recycling of paper and other
public places as litter-free as practically possible. It
materials, and pollution.
gives financial support to the Tidy Britain Group and
° Green taxes are taxes imposed with the objective
runs anti-litter advertising campaigns.
of improving the environment.
In addition to these measures outlined in the
extract, the government promotes the recycling of
gative study
RO” Eh Siseasiee
waste materials by requiring local authorities to make
plans for the recycling of waste.
Feeae SS am (d) Many people might think that the optimum level
A cost-benefit analysis carried out on a local issue, of pollution would be zero. However to achieve an
e.g. assessing the costs and benefits of widening a entirely and permanently litter free environment
local road. would require the use of a vast number of resources.
For instance, even in a small town 600 workers and 60
machines may be needed. Society would view the
13.3 Opportunity cost as too high as the quantity of other
goods and services produced would have to fall to
release the resources for eliminating pollution. Figure
1 illustrates the optimum level of pollution which is
‘It is a criminal offence to leave totalling £2.9 million in 1994-95
litter in any public place in the — is given to the Tidy Britain 0Q.
open air or to dump rubbish Group, which is recognised as the
except in designated places. The national agency for litter abate-
Cost per
maximum penalty was raised in ment. It provides a comprehensive Marginal social
pollution
1992 to £2,500. The Act also litter abatement programme in unit cost of pollution
introduced new duties on local collaboration with local authori-
authorities to keep their public ties and the private sector. The
land as free of litter and refuse Group secures sponsorship from
(including dog faeces) as practi- industry to undertake litter abate-
cable and new powers for the ment promotions and programmes
public to take action against those such as its Neighbourhood Care
who fail to comply with their Scheme.’
responsibilities.
(Britain 1995: An Official
To help counteract the problem Marginal
Handbook, London: HMSO)
of litter, financial support — social cost
cost of
pollution
(a) Explain why litter is a negative externality. abatement
(4 marks)
(b) Identify two other forms of pollution. (2 marks)
(c) Discuss the ways in which the government seeks Quantity of
pollution
to reduce the problem of litter. (6 marks)
(d) Explain why the optimum level of pollution is Figure 1
not zero. (13 marks)
Reducing pollution to 0Q, would involve a welfare
Solution 13.2 loss. This is because the marginal social cost of
reducing pollution would exceed the benefit people
(a) A negative externality is a cost on third parties would receive. The resources that would have to be
resulting from the activity of others. A person who employed to reduce the quantity of pollution from 0Q
drops litter reduces the quality of the environment for to 0Q,, could be used to greater benefit producing
others. Some forms of litter may, in addition, pose a other products.
health threat, e.g. broken bottles and dog faeces.
Example 13.4
The following data refer to a cost—benefit analysis of
The : Example 13.7
three possible investment projects
The data below refer to a chemical factory that creates
a spillover effect in the form of river pollution:
Project Project Project
J K L Output (units) Lui 2290354 Fon Ges G
: Average revenue (£) 14120 106s Sola Om 2
Marginal private cost(£) 2 4 6 8 10 14
Private benefits
125 140 50 Marginal external cost(£) 2 3 4 5 6 8
(£000s)
Private costs
(£000s) 115 150 90 Assuming no external benefits, the socially efficient
External benefits level of output is:
(£000s) 75 50 200 A 2 B 3 Gx4 D 5
External costs
(£000s) 100 10 150
Example 13.8
It can be deduced that economic welfare would be Goods that could be provided by the market
improved by undertaking: mechanism, that have positive externalities and are
A project J only often supplied by the government are known as:
B projects J and K A merit goods B_ public goods
C projects K and L C Veblen goods D inferior goods
D projects J, K and L
Example 13.9
Which of the following comes closest to being a pure Adding together private and external benefits gives
public good? social benefits. Adding together private and external
A Education B_ Flood control costs gives social costs. Subtracting social costs from
C Medical care D Postal services social benefits gives net social benefits. If net social
benefits are positive, general welfare can be increased
by undertaking the project.
Example 13.11
The most common use of cost-benefit analysis has
Project Project Project
been for planning:
ai K rh
A the budget position
B_ public sector investment schemes Social benefit
C the pricing policy of private sector firms (£) 200 190 250
D the level of government Social cost
(£) 215 160 240
Example 13.12 Net social benefit
(£) = by 30 10
Demerit goods are products that:
create positive externalities
can only be bought in a black market
are likely to be overconsumed in a market economy
Solution 13.5 Answer: D
— involve no external costs in production or
lo
--
consumption Welfare is improved by fitting an extra filter, provided
that the social benefit from the extra filter is greater
than or equal to the social cost of installation.
13.5 Solutions to objective
A and B = ignore the social costs of installation.
ques 7 C = The decision to install extra filters requires a
marginal and not total method of analysis.
Solution 13.3. Answer: A
Market failure occurs when a free market economy
fails to reach a Pareto optimal allocation of resources. Solution 13.6 Answer: B
If the price of a good exceeds its marginal cost,
underproduction occurs. In the Figure below, the If a firm has costs that do not pass through the market
area BAC illustrates market failure from setting (e.g. pollution), then the government should tax the
output below the point where marginal cost equals enterprise so that the firm internalises the externality
price. and incurs its true total costs.
A = If social costs are less than private costs the
Costs/ firm’s production must be providing external benefits
revenue to third parties. In this case the output of the firm
should be encouraged.
C = A subsidy would only encourage the firm to
produce more, and hence increase negative
externalities.
D = Net social benefits are positive and
therefore the firm should be allowed to carry on
producing.
Output
MR
work out conf ee ae
Adding together private marginal cost (PMC) and Demerit goods, such as cigarettes, harm consumers
external marginal cost (EMC) gives social marginal and impose costs on society in general, for example
cost (SMC). The price consumers are willing to pay the cost of treating lung cancer caused by smoking.
for an extra unit of a good is given by average revenue Demerit goods are consumed in quantities above that
(AR) — remember that average revenue always equals which is socially desirable.
price. The socially efficient level of output occurs A => Demerit goods create negative rather than
when SMC = AR. At output level 3, positive externalities.
SMC = PMC + EMC = 6+4=10=AR. B => Some demerit goods, such as alcohol, are not
illegal and are readily available in the market.
D => Demerit goods do create external costs in
Solution 13.8 Answer: A
their consumption.
Merit goods are goods that can be provided by the
market mechanism but would be underproduced when
left to market forces. This is because market forces
only take into account private costs and benefits. The
social benefit of merit goods exceeds the private Example 13.13,
benefit as merit goods have positive externalities. A large chemical company decides to reduce its costs
B => Public goods are non-rival and non- by discharging waste products into rivers and lakes.
excludable. They will not be provided by the market (a) Explain why such discharges may constitute a
mechanism negative externality. (5 marks)
C = Veblen goods are goods with ‘snob value’ and (b) On what grounds may the level of output of the
positive price elasticity of demand chemical company be regarded as excessive?
D = Inferior goods are goods with negative income (10 marks)
elasticity of demand (c) What government policy could be implemented
to achieve a socially more efficient level of
Solution 13.9 Answer: D chemical production. (10 marks)
The tax will internalise the external costs and will ¢ This question focuses on a particular example of
mean that the firm will produce at the point where market failure through negative externalities.
marginal revenue (reflecting marginal benefit) equals ¢ Use social cost and benefit curves to illustrate the
marginal social cost, since marginal social cost will welfare loss of overproducing chemicals that
now equal marginal private cost. cause negative externalities.
¢ Becareful to concentrate your analysis on the
specific example of a chemical firm.
Solution 13.10 Answer: B
rk out,eeo' omicsi@
SE ce fay
(b) The diagram illustrates the amount of welfare loss legislation banning the discharge of waste products
from the overproduction of chemicals. into the environment. Firms would then have to
include waste treatment as a private cost. However the
PMC of chemicals, including treatment might then
Price exceed SMC, excluding treatment, so legislation
would only achieve a socially efficient level of
production if combined with a subsidy to chemical
firms.
Finally, the government may consider a policy of
banning chemical production altogether. This would
result in a loss of welfare. Even after taking into
account the pollution chemicals cause, consumers still
value extra units up to Q,, more than the social cost of
Quantity manufacture. Government policy would be more
successful if a quota restricting output to Q, were
Figure 1
introduced.
Public bodies have to undertake a more detailed bypass affects local residents, a sum is deducted in the
and involved cost-benefit analysis. For instance a cost-benefit analysis that represents that damage. The
local authority considering building a bypass around a authority must be particularly careful not to include
town has first to identify and then value the likely irrelevant changes. For example reduced travel time
social costs and benefits that arise in each year of the may increase the value of local houses but this is not a
project. Private costs and benefits from building the true benefit of the scheme.
bypass are included at their market price. However, if All investment decisions have to calculate the
market prices are distorted and do not accurately present value of future net benefits. Benefits received
reflect true opportunity cost, alternative ‘shadow’ in the future are worth less than the same benefit
prices will have to be calculated. received now. Firms resolve this problem by
Money is also used as a unit of account for valuing discounting future benefits at a given rate of interest.
external costs and benefits. For instance the bypass is For example, at an interest rate of 10% per annum,
likely to benefit motorists by reducing travel time. £550 in one year’s time is worth only £500 now.
Multiplying the number of minutes saved by the Private firms use the current market rate of interest in
average wage rate gives an estimated value of the their calculations. Public bodies have to calculate a
resulting social benefit. If the scheme reduces the social rate of discount that states the true opportunity
number of road accidents, reduced expenditure on cost of future benefits.
medical treatment is included in the calculations. The Finally, private investment decisions typically
benefit the bypass brings to new travellers is another involve schemes with only a short life. Machines are
positive externality, which is included by estimating expected to last only a few years before being
the increase in consumer surplus. replaced by an improved model. Public projects
The wages of anyone unemployed before working have a lifespan measured in decades. Estimates
on the bridge should not be included as a social cost, of future supply and demand patterns, and
because they would not otherwise have produced demographic trends over a period of 20 years, make
anything. On the other hand a monetary value is public sector investment decision peculiarly difficult
placed on the loss of landscape. If noise from the and complex.
14.1 Fact sheet The activity (or participation) rate is the
percentage of the population of working age in the
(a) Population structure labour force.
An ageing population occurs when the average
Demography is the study of population. Population age of the population is rising.
size is a stock value (an amount at a given moment in Malthus argued that, since population has a
time). Population size is affected by inflows (births tendency to grow geometrically (i.e. as the series
and immigration) and outflows (deaths and 1, 2, 4, 8, 16) while agricultural output rises
emigration) over time. arithmetically (i.e. as the series 1, 2, 3, 4, 5),
¢ The birth rate is the number of live births per economies may eventually operate at a subsistence
thousand of the population in a year. level. Unless people raise small families, famine,
¢ The death rate is the number of deaths per war and disease would be the only checks on
thousand of the population in a year. population growth.
¢ The natural change in population is the difference Agricultural innovations, international trade and a
between the number of births and deaths in a low birth rate have enabled the UK to avoid
year. Malthus’s prediction.
¢ Net migration is the difference between Optimum population occurs when productivity
immigration and emigration in a year. (output per person) is highest.
People able and willing to work People unable and unwilling to work
¢ Population pyramids show the age and gender (e) Wage differentials
distribution of a country at a particular moment in
Wage differentials are the difference in wages between
time.
workers in different occupations, age groups,
industrials, areas etc. Wage differentials arise through:
(b) Supply of labour
(1) occupational immobility due to non-monetary
The total supply of labour depends on: advantages and disadvantages of jobs;
(1) the size and age structure of the population; (2) occupational immobility because of age, physical
skills and qualifications;
(2) the activity rate;
(3) geographical immobility due to family ties,
(3) social acceptance of women working;
housing shortages etc.;
(4) wage levels;
(5) the level of income tax and of the job seekers’ (4) economic rent arising from high demand for
special talents;
allowance;
(6) the length of the working week and of holidays; (5) differences in the strengths of trade unions and
professional organisations;
(7) industrial relations record.
(6) social convention and public opinion influencing
wage claims and settlements.
(c) Demand for labour
The total demand for labour depends on:
Table 14.1 shows that there has been a relative decline Source: Adapted from CSO Social Trends 1995
in the share of agricultural and manufacturing (a) Explain what is meant by real gross weekly
employment in total employment. The service sector earnings (2 marks)
of the economy has expanded. (b) Calculate and comment on the percentage
increase in earnings experienced by the three
Table 14.1 Distribution of employment in the UK occupations shown. (7 marks)
(%) (c) Give three reasons why cleaners receive
1964 1984 1994 relatively low pay. (6 marks)
ji |) = practitioner s
(d) Give three reasons why medical
Primary sector 5 5) 1 (6 marks)
receive relatively high pay.
Secondary sector 47 32 28 wage differential why do
(e) Given the size of the
Tertiary sector 48 65 71 (4 marks)
Cee
bricklayers not become solicitors?
market failure and government intervention
Example14.
Bricklayer 12.0
Medical practitioner 35.6
Nurse 68.1 Optimum population occurs when, with current
Secondary teacher 36.0 resources:
Solicitor 55.0 A. productivity is rising
B_ productivity is constant
C productivity is highest
All the occupational groups received an increase in
D the largest population possible is supported
real gross weekly earnings but at markedly different
rates. The earnings of cleaners and bricklayers rose
relatively slowly. It was nurses and solicitors who Example 14.4
experienced the most rapid rise in earnings. Nurses
An ageing population will be most likely to result in:
have been required to carry out more highly skilled
A an increase in labour mobility
tasks and the qualifications necessary to become a
B_ areduction in transfer payments
nurse have risen. There are now a number of graduate
C aconstant pattern of consumption
entrants to the nursing profession. There is also a high
D increase in the dependent population
proportion of male nurses now than in the 1980s and
this has tended to raise the status of nursing as a
profession. Increased recourse to law, both criminal Example 14.5
and civil, and the increase in fees that can be charged
Which of the following factors will increase the
for the services of solicitors, has increased the
average age of the population?
marginal revenue product of solicitors.
A Arise in the birth rate
(c) Cleaners receive low pay because their supply is B Arise in net immigration
relatively high. It takes no or few qualifications to C A decline in the death rate
become a cleaner. Demand is relatively low and | D A decline in the infant mortality rate
elastic, as with improved cleaning machines fewer
cleaners are needed. They can also be replaced easily
Example 14.6
by currently unemployed workers. Cleaners are not
highly unionised and many are part-timers. Which of the following may cause an increase in the
(d) Medical practitioners are highly paid because they labour force in the short run and a decline in the long
run?
are in short supply and high demand. It takes a high
A Net emigration
level of education and training to become a doctor. It
B_ A fall in the birth rate
is also difficult to replace a doctor by machinery.
C A fall in the retirement age
Doctors belong to a powerful professional body, the
D A fall in the school leaving age
British Medical Association (BMA), and are held in
high social esteem.
Example 14.7
(e) Bricklayers do not become solicitors, primarily
because they lack the necessary qualifications. This The next diagram shows the offer curve (S) for labour:
work out o oge shee Prarh
For Examples 14.8—14.10 use the diagram below, 14.5 Solutions to objective
where DD is the original demand curve for
bricklayers and SS the original supply curve. S is the
initial equilibrium position. “Solution 14.3. Answer: C
Optimum population occurs when productivity
Wage rate (output per person) from a given amount of resources
is highest.
A fall in the birth rate will reduce the number who A decline in labour mobility will mean that
leave the labour force to raise children. However in differences in wages for different jobs are likely to
the long run a fall in the birth rate will result in fewer increase as workers become less able to move from
people entering the labour force. low-paying jobs to high-paying jobs.
A and C => would decrease the labour force — net B, C and D = will reduce occupational
emigration for as long as it continues as most differentials.
emigrants are aged between 20 and 40 — and a fall in
the retirement age for as long as the legislation
remains in place.
D = would increase the labour force as people will
become potential workers earlier.
Why are pilots paid more than shop assistants?
person needs to have both relatively high academic increased the number of airlines that can operate on
qualifications and good health. This limits the number routes. This has increased the demand for pilots,
of people who can become pilots. whereas the requirement for health checks has
Figure 1 shows the demand and supply of pilots (a) reduced the supply of pilots. Social convention also
and the demand and supply of shop assistants (b). favours pilots. Most are white, middle-class men, and
society tends to value work undertaken by this group
more highly than that done by working-class women.
Wage Ss
rate Most shop assistants are in fact women. Views on the
value of different jobs will influence the wage claims
WwW workers advance and the offers employers make.
Example 14.14
(a) Explain what is meant by the elasticity of
demand for labour. (4 marks)
(b) What may cause the demand for bank clerks to
D become more elastic? (14 marks)
(c) What effect would an increase in the elasticity of
0 Q Number of workers demand for bank clerks have on the power of any
(a) trade union representing them to raise their wage
rate? (17 marks)
Wage
rate ¢ Give the formula for elasticity of demand for
labour.
¢ Explain elastic demand for labour.
Ss ¢ Bring out the main determinants of elasticity of
demand for labour.
WwW ¢ Although given below, it is not necessary to know
the name of the union representing bank clerks.
D
¢ Consider more than one way of raising the wage
rate.
0 Q Number of workers
Solution 14.14
(b)
(a) Elasticity of demand for labour measures the
Figure 1 responsiveness of demand for labour to a change in
the wage rate. The formula is:
The British Air Line Pilots Association is a
powerful trade union. It supports limited entry into the % change in quantity of labour demanded
profession by requiring artificially high qualifications. % change in wage rate
This has the effect of reducing supply and thereby
Demand for labour is elastic when a given change in
raising wages.
the wage rate, e.g. a 10% rise, causes a greater
In contrast shop assistants have weak bargaining
percentage change in demand for labour, e.g. a fall of
power. The union that represents shop assistants is 12% (giving an elasticity of 1.2).
USDAW (The Union of Shop, Distributive and Allied
Workers). However not all shop assistants are in the (b) A number of factors could cause demand for bank
union and those who are, are widely dispersed clerks to become more elastic. If the required period
throughout the country and employed by different of training is shortened, demand will become more
employers. They are therefore difficult to get together elastic. This is because if the existing trained workers
and organise. press for a wage rise, their employers will be more
A variety of government policies have contributed willing to make them redundant as it will take less
to high wages for pilots. For instance deregulation has time to train new workers. Employers will also find it
et failure and government intervention
easier to attract new staff in periods of high and will become more reluctant to see their total wage
unemployment and will find it cheaper when the costs bill rise.
of recruiting new staff (e.g. advertising, interviewing The longer the time period under consideration the
time) fall. more elastic demand will be, as it will be possible to
A rise in the wage rate will have a more significant reorganise production to make less use of labour and
impact if it becomes easier to substitute capital for more of other factors of production if wages rise.
labour or if the relative prices of capital and labour There will also be time to give workers legally
change to favour capital. This has been a significant adequate periods of notice.
factor in the case of bank clerks. The introduction of
modern technology, including the electronic transfer (c) The main union representing bank clerks is the
of funds, has considerably reduced the demand for Banking Insurance and Finance Union (BIFU). An
bank clerks. increase in the elasticity of demand for bank clerks
A related influence is the proportion of labour costs would make it more difficult for BIFU to push the wage
in total costs. The greater the proportion the more rate above the equilibrium level. Figure 1 shows that
significant any wage rise would be on firms’ total when demand is elastic this action will cause a greater
costs, and so the more elastic demand will be. fall in employment than when demand is inelastic.
Whether the cost of labour in banks’ total costs A union is unlikely to be prepared to accept a large
increases or falls will depend not just on the number fall in the employment of its members. However the
of workers and machines employed but also on their increase in elasticity of demand does not prevent the
relative costs. union employing other approaches to raise wages. It
Over time, with increasing competition in the may support measures to raise the marginal revenue
financial sector, the demand for bank services may productivity of bank clerks. Indeed bank clerks do, on
become more price elastic. Consumers may be more occasion, appear in television advertisements to
willing and able to switch away from those banks that promote banking services. The BIFU can also support
charge relatively high interest rates on loans and pay measures to restrict the supply of bank clerks, e.g. by
relatively low interest rates on saving deposits. This pressing for an increase in the qualifications or
will mean that banks will have to keep their costs low training needed.
Wage iS Wage S
rate rate
W, Ww
W WwW
¢ Workers may be prevented from changing jobs Negative discrimination will result in a group
(occupational immobility of labour), e.g. due to: having lower pay and lower employment and
(a) unwillingness, lack of opportunity or inability promotion opportunities than other groups. Figure
to retrain; 15.1 shows the effects of demand for black
(b) employment barriers placed by unions and workers being below the MRP. The wage rate
professional bodies. (OW) and the number employed (OL) are below the
¢ Workers may experience difficulty in moving efficient levels of OW, and OLy.
between jobs requiring the same skills (industrial
immobility). Workers in declining industries tend
(d) Concentrated market power
to be industrially immobile.
¢ Workers may be prevented from moving to A monopoly trade union may cause
different regions (geographical immobility), €.g. unemployment by using its bargaining power to
due to: push the wage rate above the market equilibrium
rk out eco i failure and government intervention
Wage
rate Supply of
paid labour
to
black
workers
Wx
W
MRP Demand
for
Demand with labour
discrimination
0 Lee Number of workers
0 IL Lx Number of black
workers Figure 15.3 The effect of union action in restricting the supply of
labour
Figure 15.1 The effects of discrimination
Marginal
level. This is shown in Figure 15.2, where union Wage cost of
rate labour
action raises the wage rate to OW but lowers the
number of workers employed to OL;. A monopoly
trade union may also seek to raise the wage rate Average cost
by restricting the supply of labour, e.g. by insisting of labour
(supply of labour)
on artificially high qualifications (Figure 15.3).
Supply of
labour
Demand
for
labour
0 iL Lx Number of workers
Demand
for labour
Figure 15.4 A monopsonist employer. With a monopsonist
employer, wage rate = OW, number of workers employed = OL. In
a competitive labour market wage rate = OWy, number of workers
employed = OLy.
0 Ly L Number of workers
have incorrect information about pay, promotion
Figure 15.2 The effect of union action in raising the wage rate structure and working conditions in alternative
jobs, industries and areas.
¢ A monopsonist employer is a sole buyer of labour ¢ Employers may not employ the most skilled
and one that is likely to pay a wage below the workers at the most cost-effective wage rates
MRP and below that which would operate in a because they lack information or have incorrect
competitive labour market (Figure 15.4). information about the number of people
willing and able to work for them, the skills of
potential workers, the cost and quality of training
(e) Lack of information
courses and the wage rates rival companies are
Participants in labour markets do not have perfect paying.
knowledge. This often results in suboptimal decisions
being made.
the trade unions that belong to it, to improve the C An increase in the cost of an alternative,
economic and social conditions of working people automated manufacturing process
and to campaign for higher employment and job D An increase in the proportion of labour costs in
security. total costs of production.
What would be the level of employment if this labour Economic rent: Transfer earnings:
market had been perfectly competitive? A increase leave unchanged
A Q, B Q, C Q, D Q, B leave unchanged increase
C leave unchanged leave unchanged
D increase increase
Example 15.5
What will be the wage rate paid by the monopsonist?
A W, B W, Example 15.10
C W, D W,
It has been suggested that a cut in money wages
Example 15.6 would stimulate economic activity. However this may
not occur if:
Which of the following would increase the ability of a A the aggregate level of demand falls
trade union to increase the wages of its members B the fall in wages reduces firms’ costs of production
without significantly affecting employment? C the lower prices increase spending by higher
A A reduction in demand for the finished income groups
product D the lower prices reduce the transactions demand ~
B_ A reduction in the national level of employment for money and thereby reduce the rate of interest
work out economics Pow iS tailyy 7
Example 15.11 from the average cost of labour (supply curve). The
marginal cost curve shows the change in the total cost
In a particular area workers can gain employment in of employing labour and not the wage rate paid. This
one of two firms, X and Y. If firm X starts to is illustrated in the example below.
discriminate, in terms of pay and employment
opportunities, against women workers, what effect
will this have on the wage rate paid to women workers Wage rate Total cost Marginal
by firm X and firm Y? No. of workers (ACL) of labour — cost
If the labour market had been perfectly competitive Solution 15.7 Answer: C
the employer would not have altered the wage rate
Higher pay for women will encourage more women to
when employing more workers. So the average cost of
participate in the labour force, resulting in an
labour (the supply of labour) would have equalled the
expansion in the supply of women workers.
marginal cost of labour. The firm would have
employed the number of workers where the average
cost of labour (the supply of labour) equalled demand, Solution 15.8 Answer: C
Le Ox
An oligopsonistic market is one in which there are a
few dominant buyers. In the case of a labour market
Solution 15.5 Answer: B there will be a few dominant buyers of labour, i.e. a
As determined in Solution 15.3, the monopsonist will few dominant employers.
employ Q; number of workers. The wage rate is found B = is a monopsonist.
138 rkout economi t failure and government intervention
Solution 15.9 Answer: A labour. The low wage will encourage women to
seek employment with firm Y. The increase in the
People already employed as teachers will receive a
supply of women workers to firm Y will lower the
wage rate that is above, or even well above, what is
wage rate. These effects are shown in the diagram at
required to keep them working as teachers. Hence
the bottom of the previous column.
their economic rent will rise.
Transfer earnings are what workers can earn in
their next paid jobs, and therefore the minimum Solution 15.12 Answer: C
necessary to keep them in their present job. Transfer
If the entry qualifications to an occupation are
earnings will be influenced by the rate of pay in
reduced, the supply of potential workers will increase,
alternative occupations.
which will lower the wage rate. Supply will also
become more elastic, which will reduce economic
Solution 15.10 Answer: A rent.
Number of workers
Example 15.13
Firm Y
The effects of introducing a national minimum wage
Wage
rate S (ACL) will depend mainly on the level at which it is set and
how workers and employers respond. The main
S,(ACL1)
motive is likely to be to reduce poverty, while the
main argument against the introduction of a minimum
WwW wage is that it may result in a rise in unemployment.
Ww, If a minimum wage is set below the existing level,
then there will be little or no effect. For instance, if an
employer is paying a wage rate of £150 and
MRP legislation is introduced stating that workers have to
be paid at least £180, it is unlikely that there will be a
Number of workers change in the wage paid to existing workers. However
there is a possibility, particularly during times of high
unemployment, that new workers may be recruited at
Solution 15.11 Answer: A lower wages, although existing workers are likely to
resist any cut in money wages.
If firm X discriminates against women it will pay However it is more likely that the minimum wage
them a wage rate below the point where their true will be set above the existing wage level in some
marginal revenue product equals the supply of industries. The introduction of a national minimum
work out economics Pow mar fai
be helped by the legislation, including those past or professional organisation. In the UK people who
retirement age, the unemployed and some single parents. wish to become actors first have to gain an equity card.
A person may have the qualifications and other
requirements for a better paid job, indeed it may be
Example 15.14
the same occupation as she is currently working in,
(a) Why may a worker stay in a less well paid job but she may be unable to take it because it is ina
when there is a vacancy in a better paid job? different part of the country. Geographical immobility
(15 marks) arises mainly because of family ties and differences in
(b) How may a government promote labour the availability and cost of housing in different parts
mobility? (10 marks) of the country.
For workers to be able to move easily from one job
¢ Discuss both monetary and non-monetary
to another there would have to be perfect competition
advantages and disadvantages of jobs.
in the labour market. This obviously is not the case.
¢ Mention some relevant labour market
Labour is not homogeneous. In practice there are a
imperfections.
number of separate labour markets that have barriers
* Cover both occupational and geographical mobility.
to entry, including qualifications. Some of these
labour markets are closer than others. For example it
is easier for a teacher to become a civil servant than it
Solution 15.14
is for a bricklayer to become a brain surgeon.
(a) A worker may stay in a less well paid job because One example of labour market imperfection is
she believes its overall benefits outweigh those in imperfect knowledge — people may be unaware of job
other, albeit better paid, jobs, because she is unaware vacancies for which they are suitable.
of suitable better paid vacancies or because she is
unable to change jobs. (b) A government can seek to promote labour
A less well paid job may be more attractive because mobility in a number of ways. If successful this will
it may offer better promotion chances, greater job mean that workers will find it easier to switch jobs
security, better working hours and conditions, so a and the labour market will become more flexible,
person may not be tempted by higher wages if the job allowing successful firms to expand and declining
on offer is, for example, dangerous, involves working firms to contract.
unsocial hours or working in a noisy, unpleasant One measure is to increase information about job
environment. vacancies. At present the government does this
People do take into account both monetary and primarily through job centres.
non-monetary advantages. However, in practice many The government can promote geographical mobility
jobs with pleasant working conditions and good by giving grants to workers transferring from one part
promotion chances are well paid and those with of the country, making it easier for people to change
unpleasant working conditions and poor promotion council and housing association accommodation and
chances are badly paid. This is because the supply of encouraging the development of the private rented
workers for the less pleasant jobs is higher than those sector. Improvements in infrastructure and social
for pleasant jobs because fewer qualifications are capital in depressed areas of the country may also
needed. make workers more prepared to move.
Lack of qualifications, training or skills are Occupational mobility can be improved by more
significant reasons why a worker may be unable to and higher quality education and training and by
transfer into better paid jobs. Many people might be removing unnecessary entry barriers to particular
attracted by the wages paid to barristers, but few have occupations. The government may itself provide this
the necessary training and qualifications. A number of education and training, or it may encourage private
people would also like the pay and life style achieved sector provision of education and training, e.g. by
by top film stars, but again few have the talent giving tax incentives to firms that spend a given
required. A person may also be too old, too young or amount on training. The government may also remove
lack a physical requirement to gain entry into the job. artificial restrictions on entry to occupations, e.g. by
For example pilots need to have good eyesight! breaking down the distinction between barristers and-
Another requirement may be the need to join a union solicitors.
arkets
(b) Health
(c) Housing
Health care is a merit good, some people
underestimate its private benefits and it confers Housing used to be seen as both a consumption
benefits on third parties, e.g. people will benefit and an investment good. It provides
from others being inoculated. ‘accommodation and it used to rise in value by
Health care is both a consumption and an more than the rate of inflation. However the recent
investment good. It improves the quality of falls in house prices have resulted in housing
people’s lives and increases earning potential by being perceived more as a consumption good.
reducing the number of days sickness and Negative equity occurs when a house is worth less
increasing average lifespan. than the loan (mortgage) on it.
sae AAS
(b) Currently, demand for road use exceeds supply. (e) Demand for road space could be reduced by
With no price for the use of most roads, demand is increasing fuel tax. This would increase the cost of
greater than supply. Figure | shows the resulting using a car but would not discriminate between use on
shortage of OQy. congested and uncongested roads. The government
could also use direct regulation, limiting the use of
vehicles at particular times or banning them from, for
Price
of S example, city centres.
road
space (f) Road use imposes a number of costs on third
parties, i.e. negative externalities. The extract mentions
air pollution, but cars, lorries and buses also cause
noise pollution, damage to buildings and accidents, and
prevent children from playing in the streets.
repaid by the students from their future incomes. The A Reduced operating costs of public transport
most likely outcome is: B A saving in the time experienced by
A an increase in government expenditure on higher commuters
education C A reduction in the running costs incurred by
Ban increase in the number of students applying for private motorists
higher education D An increase in the quality of the environment near
C an increase in the private rate of return on the motorway
investment in higher education
D aswitch in demand by students towards job-
Example 16.10
related courses
A government introduces a grant of £5000 for people
wishing to buy a house costing less than £80 000. The
Example 16.6
effect of this will be to:
What is the most likely effect of a fall in mortgage A. benefit first-time borrowers only
interest rates on house prices and house building? B_ increase the demand for houses across the price
range
House prices: House building: C increase the demand for houses costing less than
A decrease decrease £80 000 only
B decrease increase D result in a reduction in the resources committed to
C increase increase house building
D increase decrease
Example 16.11
Example 16.7
If the government decides to provide free higher
A government decides to introduce an urban road tax. education to students, it follows that higher
If this is set at the socially efficient level this will: education:
A maximise road use is available to all
B_ eliminate road congestion has no opportunity cost
C maximise government revenue cannot be provided by the private sector
D reduce congestion to an optimal level i
—oe is likely to be allocated by some form of direct
rationing
Example 16.8
Example 16.12
Which of the following arguments provides support
for a government policy of subsidising higher Which of the following is an external benefit of rail
education? transport?
A Higher education is a public good A The revenue from rail fares
B_ The social benefit of higher education exceeds the B_ Reduced road congestion
private benefit C The comfort of rail travel
C The provision of higher education helps to D The sale of refreshments on trains
increase the size of the labour force
D Higher education helps to redistribute income as
the poor participate in higher education to a
16.5 Solutions to objective
greater extent than middle- and high-income
groups
oP yihe An SM tan ee $48) ey
Solution 16.4 Answer: B consumption choices people take into account private
benefit rather than social benefit. Left to market
The price of houses can rise as a result of an increase
forces, higher education is likely to be underprovided.
in demand or a decrease in supply. Higher disposable
A => Higher education is a merit rather than a
income will result in an increase in the demand for
public good.
houses, which have positive income elasticity of demand.
C => The provision of a higher education reduces
A => Arise in the rate of interest will increase the
the size of the labour force but raises its quality.
mortgage interest rate, which will in turn reduce the D = The middle- and high-income groups
demand for houses participate in higher education to a greater extent than
C and D = will increase the supply of houses and
the poor.
reduce price.
A fall in mortgage interest rates will increase the Unless unlimited resources are devoted to higher
demand for houses, thereby raising their price and education (a very unlikely event!) demand for free
leading to an expansion in house building. higher education will exceed supply and will therefore
have to be rationed in some way. In practice this is
likely to be by requiring students to gain a certain
Solution 16.7 Answer: D
level of qualifications.
A socially efficient urban road tax would ensure that A => This does not necessarily follow and is an
the level of road congestion is reduced to the point unlikely proposition.
where the marginal benefit of congestion reduction B = Higher education has an opportunity cost as
equals the marginal cost of congestion reduction. The the resources used to provide it could be put to
benefit that people are likely to derive from using a alternative uses.
large number of resources to eliminate all road C = Higher education can, and is, provided by the
congestion is likely to be less than if some of these private sector. Students can be excluded from
resources are put to alternative uses. enjoying higher education unless they pay.
Education has positive externalities. It is not only the An external benefit is a benefit from the production or
students themselves who benefit from education. consumption of a good or service experienced by
Society also benefits from having a better informed people who are not involved in the production of the
and skilled population. When making their good and are not consumers of it, i.e. third parties.
gerry
ey
Road users can benefit from other people travelling by requiring car manufacturers to fit, and drivers and
rail. their passengers to use, seat belts. Other examples of
A, C and D = are private benefits. merit goods include training and inoculation.
first-time buyers and some people,who had been Houses are normal goods with positive income
seeking to sell their existing property and to purchase elasticity of demand. So income and demand move in
more expensive accommodation. The demand for the same direction. Demand for houses is relatively
mortgage loans would decrease. Mortgage loans and income elastic. A rise in real income means that
houses are in effect, complements. The decrease in people’s purchasing power also rises. They are able to
demand for mortgage loans would cause a decrease in borrow more and purchase more expensive houses.
the demand for houses, which in turn would cause Higher incomes also promote house purchase via
prices to fall and supply to contract. expectations and the ‘feel good factor’. When
incomes are rising and the economy is expanding
people feel optimistic and may be more confident that
Price &
of
they will be able to pay off a larger loan. Changes in
houses income and economic activity can have a significant
effect on the housing market.
P
(c) An increase in the wage rates of building workers
P, that is not offset by an equal rise in productivity will
cause building costs to rise. This in turn will cause
supply to decrease, prices to rise and demand to
contract.
D, D
Price S;
0 Q, Q Quantity of houses of iS
houses
Figure 1
P,
A change in demand could have a significant effect
on price as both demand for and supply of houses are P
Price Ss
A rise in wage rates may cause a relatively large
of decrease in supply as house building is still a labour-
houses
intensive industry where wage costs make up a
significant proportion of total costs. The rise in wage
P, rates may stimulate the building industry to become
P
more capital-intensive.
D,
D
0 Q Q, Quantity of houses
Figure 2
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Za Fact sheets -
er Investigative study
Objective questions ee
Essays
17.1 Fact sheet (i) The income method
First calculate total domestic income by adding up all
(a) Indicators of living standards the money earned by people and firms in producing
this year’s output. Include:
A number of indicators of living standards are used,
including: (1) income from employment;
(2) income from self-employment;
(1) national income figures; rent;
(3)
(2) measurable economic welfare (MEW); gross trading profits of companies;
(4)
(3) the human development index (HDI); gross trading surpluses of nationalised industries;
(5)
(4) consumer durables per head; an imputed charge for the consumption of non-
(6)
(5) mortality rates; traded capital.
(6) the amount of time taken to earn sufficient money
Then proceed as in Figure 17.1
to buy given products.
GDP refers to gross domestic product and is a
See also Section 27.1 (a).
measure of economic activity within a country.
GNP refers to gross national product and is a
(b) Uses of national income figures measure of the activity of the country’s citizens all
National income figures have a number of functions. over the world.
They provide data for: NNFP refers to net national product and is the
technical term for national income.
(1) showing the current allocation of resources; NDP refers to Net Domestic Product and is NNP
(2) government economic planning; minus property income from abroad.
(3) calculating trends within the economy; Stock appreciation is the increase in the value of
(4) measuring a country’s standard of living; inventories brought about by inflation.
(5) comparing standards of living between different
Statistical discrepancy occurs because income and
countries.
expenditure data are collected from different
sources. The two statistical discrepancies used in
(c) Calculating national income the income and expenditure methods are jointly
National income is the money value of the goods and known as the residual error. They are amounts
services produced by a country in one year. There are used to balance up the difference between the two
three methods of calculating national income. estimates.
Net
— Stock
Total property GNP at
appreciation _ Capital
domestic income =| factor ;
consumption
= factor
+ statistical
income
discrepancy
from cost cost
abroad
Net
NNP at property
factor income =
cost from
abroad
(ii) The expenditure method ¢ Adding up each sector’s value added, and
including an imputed (estimated) value for the
First calculate total domestic expenditure by adding ownership of dwellings, gives GDP at factor cost.
up all the money spent buying up this year’s output.
The relationship between the different measures of
Include:
national income is shown in Table 17.1.
(1) consumer expenditure (C);
(2) general government final consumption (G); (d) Problems in calculating
(3) investment expenditure (/) on: national income figures
(a) gross domestic fixed capital formation (e.g.
Difficulties arise in the calculation of national income
machinery, vehicles);
figures because of:
(b) physical increase in stocks and work in
progress. (1) double counting if transfer payments (e.g.
pensions), intermediate expenditures or outputs
Then proceed as in Figure 17.2. (e.g. components) and stock appreciation are
included;
|
(e) Real and money national (3) additional output is on non-consumer items such
—
¢ Money (or nominal) national income (MNY) is of work or reduced leisure time;
the value of this year’s output at current prices. (5 quality of output declines
—
Example 17.3
1996 450000 120 50
1997 480000 120 Si
Which one of the following is not a reason for a
country collecting national income statistics? From the data, it can be deducted that real GDP per
A To calculate changes in the cost of living Capita:
B_ To estimate the rate of economic growth A has increased in all three years
C To calculate changes in the standard of living B_ has decreased in all three years
D To compare standards of living between countries C increased in 1995 and 1996 only
D decreased in 1995 and 1996 only
Example 17.4
On reaching 65, a builder earning £30 000 per year
sells his firm for £200 000 but stays on as a consultant Example 17.8
for a fee of £8000 per year. He receives an annual If, over the last twelve months, prices have gone up by
occupational pension of £9000. One of two assistants, 6%, the population has increased by 2% and nominal
each earning £12 000, loses his job and is not eligible national income has risen by 6%, then:
for state benefits. As a result national income: real national income has increased
A rises by £175 000 real national income has decreased
B rises by £166 000 real income per capita has increased
C falls by £25 000 —om real income per capita has decreased
D falls by £34 000
Gross national product is a measure of incomes The question states all other things being equal, so it
earned by UK residents in whichever countries they can be assumed that there has been no change in the
earn them, whereas gross domestic product isa general price level. So when it states in option A that
national product has remained constant, it can be e« Material welfare is the satisfaction derived from
taken that real national product is unchanged. The the consumption of wealth.
same real national product to be shared among a ¢ National income is a narrow measure of a nation’s
smaller population will mean a rise in real national wealth creation in a given time period.
income per capita. ¢ Include a discussion of the circumstances in which
B, C and D = would all result in a fall in the an increase in national income does and does not
average standard of living of a country. improve welfare.
¢ A detailed discussion of how national income
accounts are calculated is not required.
Solution 17.10 Answer: B
population. Material well-being, then, increases only * Detailed knowledge of other countries’ economic
if per capita real national income increases. systems is not required.
It can be argued that per capita real national income * Place the emphasis of the essay on the problems of
is a restrictive, narrow welfare indicator. Official comparing the living standards of different
statistics only count final products sold in markets and countries.
ignore the value of non-market activities such as the
output of unpaid housekeepers. The value of leisure
Solution 17.14
time finds no place in national income accounts.
Official statistics fail to take into account the impact Standards of living can be compared in a number of
of intangibles such as the quality of the environment ways, however they are often defined in terms of real
on overall social welfare. The presence of negative per capita income. Hence international comparisons
externalities may cause the material and social are usually made by referring to national income
welfare of a nation to diverge. statistics. However great care should be taken when
William Nordhaus and James Tobin (1972) have using raw national income figures. Money national
devised an alternative measure of social welfare: income states the value of this year’s final marketed
measurable economic welfare. Here real national output at current prices. An increase in one country’s
income is adjusted to include an allowance for non- nominal national income may be the result of inflation
marketed output and leisure time, while expenditure rather than an increase in total output. Therefore
on ‘regrettable necessities’, including defence, and the national income divided by an index of all prices —
effects of negative externalities such as pollution are e.g. the GDP deflator — provides a better basis for
deducted. An improvement in measurable economic comparison. Even then, real GDP alone is not an
welfare indicates an improvement in social welfare. accurate guide to a country’s standard of living. The
Similarly an increase in human development index, real GDP of China is obviously higher than the real
which takes into account income levels, years of GDP of Luxembourg. So it is necessary to divide
schooling and average lifespan, would indicate an GDP by total population. This will show that the real
improvement in welfare over time. The United GDP per capita of Luxembourg is higher than that of
Nations publishes data on the infant mortality rates, China.
suicides and road accidents of various countries. A A further adjustment is also often made to convert
fall in these figures implies an improvement in a the figures of each country to the same currency. This
nation’s quality of life. Similarly an increase in the can cause problems if the market rate of exchange of
proportion of the population owning various types of one country does not reflect different costs of living.
consumer durable such as video recorders, or a For example the amount of roubles exchanged for £1
reduction in the time taken to earn sufficient money to at the official rate may buy fewer goods in Russia than
buy given products, implies improved social welfare. can be bought with £1 in the UK. Converting Russian
In conclusion, it has been shown that a country’s national income into sterling at the official exchange
stock of wealth helps to determine the quantity of rate would result in an overvaluation. Moreover a
goods available for the satisfaction of material wants number of countries have floating exchange rates, and
and needs. Increases in real per capita national income the resulting continual changes in the relative value of
are a suitable indication of improvements in material currencies make a direct comparison difficult. It is for
welfare. However a simultaneous and larger increase these reasons that increasing use is being made in
in negative externalities or reduced leisure would international comparisons of GDP and other national
lower overall social welfare. income figures of purchasing power parities. This
involves converting the GDP figures not in terms of
the official exchange rate, but in terms of how much
Example 17.14 of the domestic currency is needed in each country to
buy a given basket of goods. For instance if it takes
Discuss the difficulties involved in comparing the
270 roubles and £90 to buy the basket the GDP of
standards of living of different countries.
Russia would be converted on the basis of 3 roubles =
(25 marks)
£1, even if the official exchange rate was 2 roubles =
¢ Discuss various methods of measuring living £1.
standards. Countries vary in terms of what proportion of
a 2 j
« he
a
are
fia tional economy
) eal
economic activities are recorded. Intensive of Brazil is not. Thus the national income of Finland
specialisation means that most UK citizens use includes expenditure on heating, which Brazil does
markets to buy the goods and services they do not not have to undertake to the same extent, and the
have time to make or carry out themselves. Hence UK value of the resources used to heat buildings is
national income figures include most of the economic included in Finland’s national income.
activity that took place in the previous year. Working conditions, working hours, the distribution
Unmarketed and undeclared activity (the black of income and the quality of goods produced will
economy) is only likely to account for a small differ between countries. The extent of negative
percentage of total output. For example the tax returns externalities, e.g. pollution, and the proportion of
of a UK farmer are usually an accurate indicator for national income spent on ‘regrettable necessities’ also
national income accountants of the value added by a vary between countries. For example defence
farmer in any one year. By way of contrast, markets spending in the UK accounts for a larger percentage
are less developed in, for example, Mali because of GDP than in Switzerland. Measurable economic
communities are more self-sufficient and practice less welfare, developed by Nordhaus and Tobin, adjusts
specialisation and exchange. The output of a Mali GDP figures by deducting expenditure on ‘regrettable
farmer will not be officially recorded if a crop is either necessities’, negative externalities and expenditure on
consumed by the farmer or exchanged for other consumer durables and adding services given by
goods, or if the income from it is not declared to the consumer durables, the value of non-marketed work,
authorities. including DIY, and the value of leisure time.
Problems arise when different countries use A number of other measures of welfare are used to
different statistical procedures when calculating make international comparisons of standards of living.
national income figures. For instance Cuba is a The country where least time is taken by a worker to
planned economy where resources are allocated by earn sufficient income to buy a given basket of goods
the state. Official prices are used to value output, but is likely to enjoy the highest standard of living. Low
these may not reflect the relative value of goods and suicide rates and low infant mortality rates also
services consumed in Cuba. indicate a good quality of life. The human
Physical conditions vary widely between countries. development index takes into account not only income
The climate of Finland is severe in winter; the climate levels but also access to education and average life span.
Price
level
AD=C+1+G+(X
— M) Aggregate
demand
The aggregate demand curve slopes down from
left to right because:
(a) the lower the price level the lower the interest 0 National output
rate and hence the greater the demand for Figure 18.1 Aggregate demand
interest-sensitive investment and consumer
goods;
(b) as prices fall, people’s wealth buys more
products;
(c) as UK prices fall, UK and overseas consumers Price
level
substitute UK goods for goods produced
overseas.
(c) Consumption
Consumption is expenditure by households on goods
and services that satisfy current wants.
C=a+byYy
Influences on consumption include level of
where C = consumption, a = autonomous disposable income, credit facilities, distribution of
consumption (what is spent when income is zero income, the population’s age structure, quality and
and does not vary with income), b = the marginal availability of consumer goods, amount and
propensity to consume and Y = disposable income. distribution of wealth and expectations of inflation.
bY is income-induced consumption. It is important to remember that there is more than
¢ As disposable income rises the amount spent rises, one theory of consumption. Most economists agree
depending on the value of the marginal propensity that the main influence on consumption is income.
to consume. As disposable income rises, the However there are three main theories as to which
proportion spent usually declines. particular form of consumption is most important:
¢ The average propensity to consume (APC) is the
proportion of disposable income spent: (1) Absolute income hypothesis: this is the Keynesian
APC OY. view that consumption depends on current
¢ The marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is the disposable income.
proportion of each extra pound of disposable (2) Relative income hypothesis: this is the theory put
income spent by households and is the change in forward by Duesenberry that people’s
consumption resulting from a change in consumption is influenced by the spending
disposable income: MPC = AC/AY. pattern of others.
(3) Permanent income hypothesis: this is the view put
forward by Milton Friedman that spending is
based on average lifetime income.
(d) Saving
Saving is that part of disposable income (income less
direct taxes plus state benefits) not spent on goods and
services.
=—at+SY
0 H ts
Figure 18.3 Autonomous and induced consumption: OA or where S = saving; —a = autonomous dissaving
HF = autonomous consumption = a; DH/BH = APC (the amount of S when Y = 0); s = the marginal
work out cconomighheaa Geeppmanfhs:
Savings
leaving the domestic economy and aggregate demand
falling.
Dissavings ¢ The marginal propensity to import (MPM) is the
proportion of each extra pound of disposable
income spent on foreign-made goods and is the
Figure 18.5 The savings function change in expenditure on imports resulting from a
change in disposable income: AM/AY.
Influences on saving include level of income, rate of
interest, rate of inflation, quality of financial
institutions, general attitudes to the virtue of saving,
government policies (e.g. tax concessions), ey
(d)
Solution 18.2 %A gross
(a)(1) GDP at factor cost is gross domestic product at domestic fixed %A treasury
factor cost. It is a measure of output, income and Year capital formation bill rate
expenditure generated in a country in the period of 1989 6.0 16.3
one year. It is net of indirect taxes and subsidies. 1990 305 =10A
(2) Gross domestic fixed capital formation is total 199] 1212 seal
ky |
spending on fixed capital goods, e.g. plant and 1992 2.0 —38.4
machines, in the UK. 1993 0.3 ess |
(3) The treasury bill rate is the rate of interest paid
on treasury bills, which are short-term loans to the
government. It influences other interest rates in the The treasury bill rate fell from 1990 to 1993, whereas
economy. investment fell from 1990 to 1991 and then rose from
1991 to 1993. In 1989 both investment and the
(b) treasury bill rate rose. In three of the five years the
%A GDP %A gross variables moved in the same direction.
at factor domestic fixed
(e) It would be expected that investment and the
Year cost capital formation
interest rate would move in opposite directions. A fall
1989 Did 6.0 in the interest rate might increase investment as it will
1990 0.6 3D become cheaper to borrow to finance investment, and
1991 =2:1 2.2 if — as in most cases — retained profits are used,
1992 =5 2.0 marginal investment projects become viable. Figure 1
1993 2.0 0.3 shows a fall in the interest rate, causing planned
investment to rise.
The data do not bear out this expected relationship.
The data shows that in three of the five years GDP and
At the start of the period investment rose despite a
investment change in the same direction and that in
large increase in the interest rate. In 1990 and 1991
tour of the five years the change in investment
falls in the interest rate did not cause investment to
exceeded the change in GDP in percentage terms.
rise. In 1992 and 1993 large falls in the interest rate
(c) The accelerator theory states that variations in the only caused small rises in investment.
rate of change in income cause greater percentage It would be useful to know the real interest rate, i.e.
work out economia GeePprnattS
Example 18.5
Rate
of
interest An economy has a saving function (S$), which is
given by the equation S = — £500 + 0.2Y (where Y
is national income). If the level of national income
is £5000m, what is the average propensity to
R
save?
A 0.1 B 0.2 C 0.8 D 0.9
R,
questions
£15000 m £17000 m_ NY
Example 18.9
C is consumption and Y is national income. Which
of the following represents the consumption According to Keynesian analysis, consumption is a
function: function of:
A C=-—£60m + 0.3Y A permanent income
B C=£60m + 0.3Y B_ current income
C C=£60m + 0.7Y C estimated lifetime income
D C=£130m + 0.7Y D previous income
fational economy
Which of the following is concerned with how capital When income rises by £2000m, savings rise by
expenditure responds to a change in consumer £800m, so MPS = £800m/£2000m = 0.4. So MPC is
expenditure? l— 0.4=.0.6,
A The multiplier
B_ The accelerator Solution 18.7. Answer: C
C The consumption function
D The savings function Each machine makes 10 000/2 = 500 goods, and the
firm originally buys two machines. To produce an
extra output of 2000 it will need additional machines
Example 18.11 of 2000/500 = 4. So the firm will purchase a total of
The largest component of UK aggregate demand is: six machines — two replacement and four to expand
net exports output (net investment). Thus gross investment
investment (depreciation + net investment) rises from 2 to 6 —i.e.
consumption an increase of 4/2 X 100 = 200%.
Se
SQWgovernment expenditure
Solution 18.8 Answer: C
Example 18.12 Realised investment is actual investment and includes
Which of the following would cause a movement both planned investment and changes in stock.
along an aggregate demand curve? A change in: C=£50m + 0.75 X £800m = £650m. So
A_ business expectations savings = Y — £650m = £150m. Since actual
B_ the money supply investment = actual savings, actual investment will be
C the exchange rate £150m. This consists of £80m (planned
investment) + £70m unsold stock (£720m consumer
D the general price level
goods made but only £650m sold).
Example 18.14
——$—$
AD,
AD,
AD
0 Q Q, Q, Output
Figure 3
Determination
19. 1Fact prert (b) Short-run aggregate supply
curve
(a) ‘Aggregate supply ¢ The short-run aggregate supply curve (SRAS)
ee supply is the total of all planned production slopes up from left to right because, whilst it is
in a period at each price level. A change in the price assumed that the prices of all factors of production
level will cause a movement along the existing are fixed, an increase in output will raise unit
aggregate supply curve, whereas any other influence costs. This is because to raise output in the short
on aggregate supply will cause a shift. run a less efficient combination of resources may
have to be used and overtime paid.
¢ The SRAS is relatively elastic because, whilst
unit costs rise with output, they rise by small
amounts.
0 ;
National output 0
National output
Figure 19.1 Short run aggregate supply curve Figure 19.2 A decrease in short-run aggregate supply
work out economics * aggregate supply and ightme
(b)
(a)
Price LRAS_ LRAS,
Price
level LRAS LRAS, level
Figure 19.5 New classical view (a) and Keynesian view (b) of an increase in aggregate supply
170 rk out Fieve Prone economy
Price
level
National output
(b)
LRAS
Price Price
level level
Figure 19.7 New classical view (a) that long-run equilibrium output will be at the full employment level of OQy. Keynesian view (b) that
long-run equilibrium output may be at less than the full employment level of OQ, — in this case at 0Q;.
(b)
Price LRAS Price LRAS —_LRAS,
level level
P,
P
iz P,
AD
(a) (b)
Price Price
LRAS LRAS,
level level LRAS
AD,
AD
Figure 19.9 Keynesian view of an increase in aggregate demand (a) and an increase in aggregate supply (b)
Example 19.1.
An investigation into the causes of changes in GDP.
Example 19.2
0 Output
Solution 19.2 Pigureil
(a) Spare capacity occurs when a firm is not making
full use of its plant, equipment and workers. When Figure | shows that when demand increases from AD
there is spare capacity a firm is able to produce more to AD, both output and prices rise. The economy is —
with its existing resources. capable of producing more but it is beginning to
work out economics * aggregate supply and ” SedaghinatiS } a7
Example 19.6
Example 19.7
19.4 Objective questions Which of the following represents a leakage from the
circular flow?
A Exports
B Investment
According to supply-side economics, which of the
C Interest paid on bank loans
following could have caused the short-run aggregate
supply curve to shift to the right? D National insurance contributions
A An increase in demand for consumer goods
B A reduction in marginal tax rates Example 19.8
C An increase in government spending
D A reduction in the differential between earnings C=40 + bY, 1 = 30, X = 50, M = 60 and b = 0.8
from employment and job seekers’ allowance (where C = consumption, Y = income, / = investment,
174 ek out frictions economy
Example 19.9
The table below refers to a closed economy: to objective
Example 19.11 If MPS is 0.3 and MPT is 0.1 the multiplier is:
1/(MPS + MPT) = 1/0.4 = 2.5. The gap between
An increase in government spending is likely to have
present and desired NY is £10m. To achieve this the
a large impact on the level of employment when there
government will have to increase its spending by
£10m/2.5 = £4m.
a high marginal propensity to save
a high marginal propensity to import
a high marginal propensity to consume
Solution 19.6 Answer: D
SOm>s
a high marginal rate of taxation
The long-run aggregate supply curve shows the
full employment level of output and productive
Example 19.12 capacity. A fall in potential output is shown by
a leftward shift in the long-run aggregate supply
If the long-run aggregate supply curve is vertical, curve.
what will be the effect, in the long run, of an increase A and C = would increase aggregate supply.
in aggregate demand on unemployment and the price B => would cause a shift in the short-term
level? aggregate supply curve to the left.
work out economics * aggregate supply and ightmeday inaller >:
National insurance contributions are a tax and If the long-run aggregate supply curve is vertical an
therefore reduce the amount of income passed round increase in aggregate demand will cause inflation but
the economy. will not alter the level of output and employment.
A and B => Exports and investment are injections This is shown in the diagram below.
into the circular flow.
LRAS
C = Interest is an income earned within the Price
economy and forms part of the circular flow. level
0.2Y = 40 + 30 — 10 0 Real NY
Y = 300
The equilibrium level NY is where planned injections (a) What could cause:
equal planned withdrawals. In a closed economy this (1) the short-run aggregate supply curve to shift
will be where: investment + government to the right;
spending = savings + taxation, i.e. 90 + 10 = 20 + 80, (2) the long-run aggregate supply curve to shift
which occurs when NY is £400m. to the right? (10 marks)
(b) What effect will an increase in long-run
aggregate supply have on output and
Solution 19.10 Answer: C employment? (15 marks)
According to the balanced budget multiplier theorem, e Distinguish between short- and long-run aggregate
if the MPCs of taxpayers and recipients of supply.
government spending are equal then a rise in ¢ Compare Keynesian and new classical views on
government spending and taxation of equal amounts the effects of a shift in the LRAS.
will cause NY to rise by the amount of the change. ¢ Include diagrams.
For instance, if MPC is 0.8, a rise in taxation of
£5000m will cause private spending to fall by
Solution 19.13
£5000m X 0.8 = £4000m. Public spending increases
by £5000m, so the net injection of spending is (a)(1) The short-run aggregate supply curve shows
£5000m — £4000m = £1000m. MPS is 0.2, so the how much all firms in the economy wish, and are
multiplier is 1/0.2 = 5. Thus NY will rise by able, to supply at each price level. In the short run it is
£1000m X 5 = £5000m.
Price
level SRAS
SRAS,
Solution 19.11 Answer: C i
high MRT will all reduce the size of the multiplier. Figure 1
2 Hational economy
assumed that the prices of all factors of production are increasing the LRAS has a good effect on the
fixed, e.g. money wage rates, as output changes. economy, they think an increase in aggregate demand
A shift to the right of the short-run aggregate will raise the price level but fail to have any impact on
supply curve (SRAS) means that more is being output and employment in the long run. They
supplied at each price level. therefore favour supply-side policies to promote
The SRAS will move to the right and supply will increases in output.
increase if firms’ costs of production fall. This could Keynesians agree that, if the economy is operating
be caused by, for example, a fall in wage costs per at full employment, an increase in the LRAS will raise
unit, a decline in raw material costs or a fall in taxes output and lower prices. However they believe that the
on firms. economy can operate at any level of employment as
(2) The long-run aggregate supply curve is drawn labour markets may not clear. They think that there
on the assumption that costs of production have can be disequilibrium unemployment with supply of
adjusted to changing market conditions. A shift to the labour exceeding demand and with actual output
right of the long-run aggregate supply curve (LRAS) being below potential output. This leads them to
means that the potential output of the economy has conclude that the LRAS will have a different shape
increased. This can be caused by anything that from that envisaged by new classical economists.
increases the quantity and/or quality of factors of Keynesians believe that the LRAS is horizontal at low
production in the economy, e.g. an increase in the levels of output (and hence high unemployment),
labour force and/or an increase in training. More slopes up as supply constraints are experienced and
investment and improvements in technology would only becomes vertical at the full employment level of
increase productive capacity. It is also likely, but not output.
certain, that increased incentives for entrepreneurs and The shape of the LRAS implies that an increase in
workers would increase long-run aggregate supply. the LRAS will increase potential output, but not
actual output when output is low. Figure 3 shows an
(b) New classical economists believe that an increase
increase in the LRAS occurring when output and
in long-run aggregate supply will have a beneficial
employment are low, leaving output and the price
effect on the economy, raising output and employment
level unchanged.
and lowering, or at least putting downward pressure
on prices. They believe that the LRAS is vertical, as in
Price
the long run the economy will operate at full level LRAS LRAS,
employment defined in terms of NAIRU (the non-
accelerating inflation rate of unemployment).
LRAS_ LRAS,
level P
AD
P,
0 Q Output
AD
Figure 3
AD,
AD
P
P, 0 Q Q, Output
Figure 2
AD
with the large number of workers now no longer encourage conservation of scarce gifts of nature by
needed in the manufacturing process and who require offering subsidies to firms that recycle waste products.
training in the use of free time. Schumacher argues that For example some local authorities convert refuse
the major problem facing rich nations is the over-rapid collected from households into electricity by burning
consumption of irreplaceable natural resources such as waste at plants.
metals and minerals. Hence economic growth is only Finally, government energy policy can be adjusted.
achieved by running down our ‘capital’ — that is, our One man-made source of energy is nuclear power, the
stock of finite natural resource. use of which avoids the depletion of finite resources
Poor countries, it is argued, do not have sufficient such as oil, coal and gas. The government might want
infrastructure to allow for capital accumulation to achieve economic growth in the energy sector by
through net investment, either because there is no building more nuclear power stations. However this in
surplus after output has been used to satisfy basic itself creates more problems because of the high,
needs or because the nation lacks the technology to long-term economic and social costs of disposing of
generate such surpluses. A transfer of ‘production radioactive waste.
know-how’ from rich to poor nations would overcome
this last problem.
20.4 Objective questions
(c) Economic growth is typically taken to mean an
increase in a country’s output of goods and services,
Example 20.3.
and occurs through either an increase in the amount of The most common measure of economic growth is
resources available or the better use of existing changes in:
resources. Measures that encourage increases in real GDP
production have been advanced by successive the output of consumer goods
governments because output increases allow more the productivity of labour
wants and needs to be satisfied. Measures to Se the share of capital goods in total output
Same
encourage economic growth through net investment
include subsidies to firms building new factories,
Example 20.4
particularly in depressed areas, and tax incentives to
firms buying new machinery. Which of the following is an advantage of economic
The passage highlights the concern of some growth?
economists for what they see as an unpleasant side- A An increase in negative externalities
effect of economic growth: the unacceptably high B_ An increase in the standard of living
level of consumption of resources that are gifts of C A decline in non-renewable resources
nature and that, once used, cannot be replaced. D A reduction in the capital stock
Sustained economic growth implies an accelerating
rate of consumption for non-renewable natural
Example 20.5
resources. Governments may be concerned to ensure
that the system of resource allocation used takes full If GDP has risen by 4%, population by 2% and prices
account of such negative externalities, as well as any by 3%, then:
pollution generated by high growth. A real and nominal GDP per capita have risen
For instance the price mechanism does not B_ real and nominal GDP per capita have fallen
immediately take account of the depletion of finite C real GDP per capita has risen but nominal GDP
resources such as oil. As the world’s resources begin per capita has fallen
to reach exhaustion, restricted supply will result in D real GDP per capita has fallen but nominal GDP
higher prices. But in the immediate term governments per capita has risen
might want consumers and producers to pay some
penalty for using irreplaceable resources, e.g. by Example 20.6
imposing an indirect tax on their consumption. For
example substantially taxing petrol reduces How would an increase in the productive capacity of
consumption and encourages conservation. the economy be illustrated on a production possibility
Alternatively the government might want to diagram?
@&.,
182 Avork owtEconGmics_s ational economy
Example 20.12
Example 20.7
i ldb Fes a A recession is:
Which government policy would be most likely to ‘medlauhiemeatoloimenaat
stimulate‘ economic growth? “nei : Pygeky
ay. B arise in unemployment accompanied by a rise in
A An increase in income tax
ee eine A Raa inflation
n increase in education and trainin Fae te ! “
; ; : s C adecline in real GDP for two or more successive
C An increase in the rate of interest
quarters
D* Am increase if the exchange. tate D aperiod of rapidly declining inventories and
increasing capital utilisation
Example 20.8
What is the main, short-run opportunity cost of
to objective
economic growth?
A A reduction in capital goods
B_ A reduction in consumer goods
lution 20.3. Answer: A
C A reduction in non-renewable economic
resources Economic growth is usually measured in terms of a
D A reduction in the government’s ability to alleviate change in real GNP or, more commonly, a change in
poverty real GDP.
Solution 20.6 Answer: C economic activity declines. Demand falls, so not all
the goods produced are sold and stocks rise.
An increase in the productive capacity of the economy
A => Falling demand and declining wage claims
will mean that the country will be able to produce
reduce inflationary pressure.
more goods and services. This is illustrated by a shift
C = Rising unemployment will increase
to the right of the production possibility curve.
government expenditure on unemployment-related
A => This is a change in the combination of goods
benefits.
produced with productive capacity remaining
D => More companies will go into liquidation.
unchanged.
B => This would illustrate a decrease in the
productive capacity of the economy. Solution 20.11 Answer: C
D => This would result in an increase in production.
A lagging indicator is one that reacts after the change
However the maximum potential output of the in the business cycle. If there is a downturn in
economy has not changed. When the economy was
economic activity firms will not immediately lay off
producing inside the curve it was not making as much workers — they will wait to see whether the fall in
as it was capable of, now it is. demand will last, just as when the economy is coming
out of recession firms will not immediately take on
Solution 20.7 Answer: B more workers — they have to be certain that the rise in
demand will last. Thus many changes in
Increases in education and training will raise the unemployment occur after changes in output.
productivity levels of workers, thereby raising the A and D = are leading indicators, i.e. indicators
productive capacity of the economy. that point to changes in economic activity.
A => An increase in income tax is likely to reduce B = is a coincident indicator as it forms the basis
aggregate demand, may discourage entrepreneurial of the business cycle itself.
effort and dissuade some people from entering the
labour force.
C = This may lower investment. Solution 20.12 Answer: C
D = An increase in the exchange rate will raise the A recession is usually defined as a fall in real gross
price of exports and lower the price of imports. This domestic product (GDP) over two or more successive
may reduce domestic output. quarters.
A = A slowdown in economic growth still implies
positive growth, although it may indicate that the
Solution 20.8 Answer: B
economy is moving towards a recession.
If a country is producing at or near full capacity it B = This is a definition of stagflation.
may have to reduce the output of consumer goods in D = This indicates increasing economic activity.
the short run, so that the freed resources can be Declining inventories means that stocks of goods are
switched to producing capital goods. The extra capital falling and increasing capital utilisation means that firms
goods made will, in the longer run, produce more are making more use of their machines and factories.
capital and consumer goods.
20.6 Essays
Solution 20.9 Answer: D
Example 20.14
Planned EX= Y
expenditure
(a) What may cause a consumer boom? (12 marks)
(EX)
(b) What are the advantages and disadvantages of a
consumer boom? (13 marks) Ci
+ l+ G+ (X-M)
— =
Solution 20.14
0 \data National income (Y)
(a) A consumer boom is a rise in economic activity Figure |
generated by extra consumer spending. It is
consumption-led growth. However a consumer boom may not be self-
A rise in GDP stimulated by a rise in consumer sustaining and may involve a number of
spending implies that autonomous consumption (i.e. disadvantages. Higher consumer spending may cause
spending independent of changes in income) has demand-pull inflation if aggregate demand rises at a
increased. faster rate than aggregate supply. This will occur if
There are a number of reasons why people may supply constraints are experienced and when full
choose to spend a higher proportion of their income. employment is reached,
One is expectation. If people feel more optimistic Higher consumer spending may result in the use of
about economic prospects in terms not just of future previously idle resources, However at least part of the
income levels but also of job security, they may spend extra consumer goods are likely to be produced by
more now. resources that have been switched from producing
An increase in the availability of credit and a capital goods. If more consumer goods are produced
reduction in its cost, via a fall in the real interest rate, at the expense of capital goods this will reduce future
may increase spending, particularly on consumer growth potential,
durables and housing. More people will be able to A rise in consumer spending may lead to a
borrow and each person who does borrow is likely to deterioration in the country’s balance of payments.
borrow and spend more. The higher demand in the home market will result in
A rise in wealth is another reason for higher more goods and services being purchased, some of
consumer spending. The main asset of many people is which will be imports and some of which may have
their own home. If house prices rise more than the been originally intended for the export market. So a
retail price index, people will experience a rise in the consumer boom tends to increase imports and divert
real value of this asset and this may encourage them goods from the export to the home market,
to spend more. The effect of a change in real wealth If the rise in consumer spending is based on
on consumer spending is known as the wealth effect. borrowing, people will experience difficulties if real
A change in social attitudes may also result in a interest rates rise above what is anticipated or if incomes
and job prospects improve less than anticipated.
consumer boom. If people value thrift less highly they
21.1 Fact sheet (b) Measures of the money supply
Two of the most important measures of the money
(a) Functions and characteristics of supply in the UK are:
money
(1) MO, which consists of notes, coins and retail
* Money is any item that is widely accepted as banks’ balances at the Bank of England. It is a
payment for products. Money has the following narrow measure, which means it concentrates on
functions: money that is used mainly as a medium of
(a) Medium of exchange: money is used to buy exchange.
goods. (2) M4, which consists of notes, coins and all
(b) Measure of value (unit of account): money is deposits with banks and building societies
used to compare the value of goods, services and denominated in sterling. It is a broad
factor rewards. measure, which means it concentrates on
(c) Store of value: money is used to hold wealth money kept as a store of value and on which
(savings). interest is paid.
(d) Standard for deferred payments: money is used
to enable people to borrow and lend agreed
amounts. (c) Financial intermediaries
* The most important characteristic of money is
general acceptability. If a commodity ceases to be Financial intermediaries are institutions that channel
acceptable, it will cease to act as money. funds from people and institutions wishing to lend to
* Other characteristics include portability, those wishing to borrow.
_ divisibility, durability, homogeneity and limited
supply.
(d) The Bank of England
The Bank of England (BoE) is the central bank. Its -
functions include:
AURA LS:FS
+
Institution Functions
Retail banks Also called commercial banks, high street banks and
clearing banks. They provide customers with three
traditional services — accepting deposits, acting as agents
for payment, and lending — plus a wide range of other services.
Building societies Accept deposits, lend to house buyers and, since the
1986 Building Societies Act, offer a wide range
of banking services.
Discount houses Borrow from the retail banks and other institutions at
short notice and use this money to buy treasury bills,
commercial bills and other financial assets.
Merchant banks Accept bills of exchange, arrange and underwrite the
issuing of new shares, provide credit and advice to
companies.
(1) Issuing bank notes. The BoE has sole The liquid asset ratio is the proportion of overall
responsibility in England and Wales for the deposits held in liquid form.
printing, issuing and distribution of notes. ¢ The bank, money or credit multiplier shows by
(2) Issuing and managing the national debt. how much total liabilities (deposits or low-
(3) Acting as the government’s bank. Tax revenues powered money) can increase as a result of a rise
and current government expenditure are recorded in liquid assets (high-powered money) deposited
in the Exchequer’s account. in the bank system.
(4) Acting as banker to the monetary sector. ¢ Using the equation D = 100/liquidity ratio X R, it
(5) Acting as leader of last resort. The BoE will is possible to calculate the change in deposits (D)
always lend to the banking sector, thereby following a change in liquid assets (R). Assume
ensuring sufficient liquidity in the monetary that the liquidity ratio is 12.5% and a bank’s liquid
sector to maintain confidence. assets increase by £2m:
(6 Supervising the monetary sector, checking that
—
D = 100/liquidity ratio X R= 100/12.5 x £2m=8
banks follow prudent policies and maintain
(the bank multiplier) x £2m = £16m
adequate liquidity ratios.
(7) Carrying out monetary policy. ¢ The change in bank lending (i.e. the credit
(8) Managing the Exchange Equalisation Account, created) is D —- R=£l6m — £2m=£14m.
which is a Treasury account operated by the BoE
to buy and sell sterling to influence the exchange (f) Monetary policy
rate.
Monetary policy covers measures that seek to change
the supply of money or the price of money (the
(e) Credit creation interest rate). Among monetary policy targets are:
¢ Liabilities are the money owed by retail banks and (1) growth of the money supply;
consist mainly of deposits (accounts). Assets are (2) the level and structure of interest rates;
the various resources owned by the bank. The (3) the exchange rate;
profitability of assets tends to increase as their (4) the inflation rate.
liquidity is reduced. Banks seek to maximise the
amount of profitable but illiquid assets held, while (g) Control of credit creation
maintaining sufficient liquid assets to meet their
customers’ demand for cash. The Bank of England can use a number of measures
Items (4)-(8) of the balance sheet are the liquid or to restrict the ability of banks to create credit,
reserve assets of the bank. although some have not been used recently:
Table 21.2 Balance sheet of a retail bank
(1) Open market operations, where the BoE sells (7) Quantitative controls on lending involve the
short-term government securities and bills, BoE setting an upper limit on the volume of
thereby reducing retail banks’ liquid assets and bank lending.
raising interest rates. (8) Qualitative lending guidelines involve
(2) Funding, where the BoE issues more long-term requesting banks to direct lending to particular
securities and fewer short-term securities, groups and/or restrict lending to other
thereby reducing the banks’ liquid assets. groups.
(3) The minimum lending rate (MLR) is the rate, (9) Moral (suasion). The BoE can informally try to
announced in advance, at which the BoE lends persuade retail banks to change their lending
to the discount houses. The MLR influences policy.
other market interest rates. (10) Monetary base control involves the BoE
(4) Interest rate policy. The BoE may operate a regulating base money.
number of undisclosed interest rate bands at
which it will discount bills, raising or lowering
these bands to influence the structure of interest (h) Effects of interest rate
rates in the money market. changes
(5) Special deposits are the compulsory loans that
A rise in interest rates is likely to:
the BoE can demand from the retail banks,
thereby reducing their liquid assets. (1) reduce bank lending;
(6) An increase in the liquid asset ratio (2) increase the savings ratio;
requirement reduces the amount of liabilities a (3) reduce consumer spending;
retail bank can have from a given volume of (4) reduce investment; -
liquid assets. (5) increase the external value of the pound sterling.
“>
work out economics * money, bankinggnd monetary po
(i) The public-sector borrowing (b) What does the MO measure of the money supply
requirement include? (3 marks)
(c) What are the advantages of a government
The public sector borrowing requirement (PSBR) is announcing a target for the change in MO?
the positive difference between the total income and (6 marks)
expenditure of the public sector. This borrowing can (d) Why is MO seen as ‘a good indication of the
be financed by: level of retail sales’? (4 marks)
(1) Borrowing from the BoE, which is likely to (e) How may arise in interest rate reduce
increase the money supply via a rise in the high- inflationary pressure? (6 marks)
powered monetary base.
(2) Borrowing from the banking sector by selling Solution 21.2
treasury bills, which is likely to increase the
money supply via a rise in banks’ liquid assets. (a) Narrow money measures include assets that
represent immediate purchasing power, 1.e. assets
(3) Borrowing from the non-bank private sector by
selling government securities, which some argue used mainly as a medium of exchange. Broad money
may crowd out private investment. measures include not only assets used as a medium of
exchange, but also those used as a temporary store of
(4) Borrowing from overseas residents, which results
in a rise in interest payments on national debt value, i.e. immediate and potential purchasing power.
going abroad. (b) The MO measure of the money supply includes
¢ A negative PSBR means that the income of the banks’ operational balances at the Bank of England,
public sector exceeds its expenditure and there is a notes and coins. It is a narrow measure of the money
public sector debt repayment (PSDR). supply and focuses on the monetary base.
Pressure for a rise in interest This is still outside the govern- (d) If MO rises the monetary base increases. This
rates eased slightly yesterday ment’s target range for MO of enables bank lending to rise. More money in
after the Bank of England said zero to 4 per cent. However, Janu-
MO, the narrowest measure of ary was the third month in which circulation and increased bank lending is likely to
money supply, fell back in Janu- the annual growth rate of MO fell
after growing 7.3 per cent in
result in an increase in spending, so shops are likely to
MO fell a seasonally adjusted October. experience increased sales. Similarly a fall in MO is
0.3 per cent in January compared MO has _ traditionally been
likely to reduce retail sales.
with the previous month, the regarded as a good indication of
Bank said. the level of retail sales, and some
Measured without the volatile economists yesterday suggested (e) Arise in the interest rate, specifically the real
bankers’ deposits, the level of that the drop may indicate that interest rate, may reduce demand-pull inflation. This is
notes and coins in circulation — high street sales had fallen
which account for 99 per cent of sharply in January. because it will reduce demand for consumer durables
MO — fell 0.1 per cent in the Source: Extract from an article by purchased with borrowed money since borrowing will
month. Gillian Tett, Financial Times, 31
In the year to January, MO grew January 1995. become more expensive. A rise in the mortgage
a seasonally adjusted 6.4 per cent.
interest rate will reduce people’s discretionary income,
thereby lowering their ability to buy goods and
(a) What is the difference between narrow and broad services. A rise in the interest rate may also reduce
measures of the money supply? (6 marks) spending by encouraging people to save more.
190 Work out atoriomicé ¢ the national economy
21.4 Objective questions holdings of liquid assets was previously just meeting
its liquidity ratio, the withdrawal of cash will cause a
Example 21.3 total decrease of liabilities of:
A £11.25m B £90m C £720m D £1125m
The essential condition for an item to act as money is
that:
A itis homogeneous Example 21.10
B it is legal tender The Bank of England sells government securities to
C it is backed by gold the non-bank general public. This will tend to:
D it is generally acceptable A reduce the money supply and raise interest rates
B_ reduce the money supply and lower interest rates
Example 21.4 C increase the money supply and raise interest rates
D increase the money supply and lower interest
Which financial institution underwrites the weekly rates
treasury bill tender?
A Discount houses
B_ Market banks Example 21.11
C Retail banks If government’s prime objective is to reduce
D_ The Bank of England unemployment by increasing demand, the monetary
Examples 21.5—21.7 refer to three assets and one policy it is most likely to adopt is to:
liability of a retail bank: A call in special deposits
A Operational balances at the Bank of England B_ lower the interest rate
B_ Treasury bills C sell government securities to the non-bank private
C Advances to customers sector
D Customers’ sight deposits D sell fewer treasury bills and more long-term
government securities
Example 21.5
Example 21.12
Which of the items A to D constitutes the largest figure
on the assets side of a retail bank’s balance sheet? Which of the following means of financing
government spending is likely to lead to the greatest
increase in the money supply?
Example 21.6 A An increase in direct taxation
Which of A to D is a liability of a retail bank? B_ An increase in indirect taxation
C The sale of treasury bills to the banking sector
D The sale of national savings certificates to the
Example 21.7
general public
Which of the assets in A to D is the most liquid?
21.5 Solutions to objective
Example 21.8 questions
A bank keeping a liquidity ratio of 10% receives a
Solution 21.3 Answer: D
cash deposit of £240m. On the basis of this additional
cash, the maximum additional deposits it could create An item may possess many of the desirable
would be: characteristics of money, but if it ceases to be
A £1200m B £2160m C £2400m D £2640m generally acceptable, it will cease to act as money and
people will use another item.
A => is regarded as an important quality for money
Example 21.9
to possess but is not as significant as acceptability.
A bank that keeps a 12.5% liquidity ratio experiences B = The main form of money in the UK is bank
a reduction in liquid assets of £90m. If the bank’s deposits, which are not legal tender.
C => The vast majority of money — i.e. all bank and 100/12.5 = 8. Thus a reduction in liquid assets of
building society deposits and cash — is not backed by £90m will cause a fall in total liabilities of
gold and therefore is fiduciary issue £90m X 8 = £720m.
A number of financial institutions and individuals buy The sale of government securities will reduce the
treasury bills. However it is only the discount houses money supply. The increase in the supply of
that are committed to purchasing any treasury bills not government securities will also reduce their price. The
taken up through the competitive bidding process. In price of government securities and interest rates vary
return for carrying out this function, the discount inversely. Thus a fall in the price of government
houses are able to use the Bank of England’s ‘lender securities will be accompanied by a rise in interest
of last resort’ facility. rates.
Retail banks hold a range of current and fixed assets. Lowering the interest rate is likely to stimulate
However their most profitable activity is lending, and borrowing and spending.
advances account for the largest single item in their A, C and D = are all likely to reduce bank lending
assets, usually in excess of 60%. and demand.
Customers’ sight deposits are liabilities, as a retail The sale of treasury bills to the banking sector
bank has an obligation to pay these out to its will increase banks’ supply of liquid assets,
customers on demand. which will enable an increase in bank lending to
A, B and C = are all assets, items that the bank occur.
possesses. A, B and D = are likely to have a neutral effect on
the money supply. This is because the increase in
bank deposits resulting from the injection to
Solution 21.7. Answer: A
government spending is likely to be offset by a fall in
A retail bank can draw out money from its operational bank deposits arising from increased taxation or the
balances at very short notice. Operational balances are purchase of government securities.
regarded as very liquid assets, usually the next most
liquid after cash in till.
21.6 Essays
Solution 21.8 Answer: B
Example 21.13
A bank with a liquidity ratio of 10% has a bank What effect will an increase in the real UK interest
multiplier of 100/10 = 10. A cash deposit of £240m rate have on the level of:
will enable total liabilities to increase by (a) consumer spending; (8 marks)
£240m X 10 = £2400m. This includes the deposit (b) capital investment; (8 marks)
given to the customer who deposited the £240m. As a (c) the sterling exchange rate? (9 marks)
result, additional loans of £2400m minus the initial
deposit could be created, i.e. ¢ Distinguish between nominal and real interest
£2400m — £240m = £2160m. rates.
¢ Consider the effects on both spending and saving.
¢ Cover MEC.
Solution 21.9 Answer: C * Consider the effects under both a fixed and a
The bank multiplier works in reverse. A liquidity floating exchange rate system.
ratio of 12.5% will mean a bank multiplier of ¢ Include a diagram in parts (b) and (c).
rk out ics @ ational economy
(a) (b)
Wage ; Wage
AS of labour
rate AS of labour rate
Aggregate
labour
force
WwW
AD for labour
AD for labour
Ex
(e) The costs of unemployment
The costs are influenced by the numbers unemployed
and the length of time they are unemployed. They
include:
Deflationary gap
C+1+G+(X-M) (1) Cost to the economy from lost production that
can never be regained.
(2) Cost to the government in the form of:
(a) lost revenue from, for example, income tax,
National Insurance contributions, VAT;
(b) increased expenditure on the job seekers’
allowance and other benefits, special
0 Y Yio ¥ employment schemes, redundancy payments
in the public sector.
Figure 22.2 A deflationary gap (3) Cost to the individual, usually in the form of:
(a) decreased income;
(b) loss of status, alienation and frustration;
(c) reduced chance of regaining employment the
(d) The non-accelerating inflation longer unemployed.
rate of unemployment (NAIRU)
(f) Remedies for unemployment
NAIRU can also be called the natural rate of
unemployment. It is the level of unemployment that is
associated with a constant rate of inflation. At NAIRU
22.2 Investigative study
the demand for labour is equal to the number of
people prepared to supply their labour for the Example 22.1
prevailing wage rate. Any unemployment is A study of the impact of changes in the rate of, or
equilibrium unemployment and arises from labour conditions needed to be fulfilled to receive, job
market imperfections. seekers’ allowance.
Sources: Employment Gazette, March 1995; CSO Economic Trends, Annual Trends, annual supplement, 1995.
It is estimated that only about one third of all The figures do support the relationship suggested
vacancies are notified to job centres and that by the Phillips curve. From 1988 to 1990 inflation
approximately one quarter of all appointments are rose and unemployment fell. From 1990 to 1993
made through job centres. inflation fell and unemployment rose. Then from 1993
In any period, some of the vacancies may be in inflation rose and unemployment fell. So throughout
different areas of the country from the areas in which the period inflation and unemployment moved in the
the unemployed live, may require different skills and directions predicted by the Phillips curve.
qualifications from those possessed by the
(b) A fall in the inflation rate could make UK goods
unemployed, or may be for jobs that the unemployed
are unwilling to do. more competitive at home and abroad. If the UK
inflation rate were to fall below that of the UK’s main
(a) Do the figures support the relationship between competitors, then the demand for exports would rise,
inflation and unemployment indicated by the while the demand for imports would fall. The extent
Phillips curve? (6 marks) to which unemployment will fall will depend on the
(b) Explain how a fall in the inflation rate can reduce original level of unemployment, how much output
unemployment. (6 marks) rises, the relative costs of labour and capital and
(c) Discuss the relationships between vacancies and changes in technology.
unemployment from 1988 to 1994. (5 marks)
(d) Why might the proportion of vacancies notified (c) Between 1988 and 1990 both unemployment and
to job centres (i) increase or (ii) decrease during vacancies fell, but at different rates. Unemployment
times of high unemployment? (5 marks)
(e) ‘... some of the vacancies ... may be for jobs that Year Number of unemployed
the unemployed are unwilling to do’: what types per unfilled vacancy
of unemployment may this describe? (3 marks)
1988 9.6
1989 8.2
Solution 22.2 1990 9.6
199] 19.7
(a) The Phillips curve suggests that high inflation will 1992 24.0
be associated with low unemployment, and vice versa. 1993 2h |
It implies a trade-off relationship between inflation 1994 15.0
and unemployment.
rose between 1990 and 1993 and then fell in 1994. Example 22.6
Vacancies fell from 1990 to 1992 and then rose. The
The government attempts to reduce cyclical
number of unemployed per unfilled vacancy
unemployment by means of an expansionary fiscal
fluctuated throughout the period.
policy. The impact of the policy in lowering
(d) During times of high unemployment, employers unemployment would be reduced by:
may be keener to notify vacancies to job centres as a low interest rate
they believe that people possessing higher skills and a high marginal propensity to import
qualifications will be registered there. However it is a low marginal propensity to save
possible that a smaller proportion of vacancies may be omita high marginal propensity to consume
notified, since employers may be able to fill vacancies
relatively easily and quickly through, for example,
word of mouth, ‘in-house’ publications and
Example 22.7
newspaper advertisements. Which of the following would increase a deflationary
gap?
(e) A situation where jobs are available but the
A An increase in savings
unemployed do not take them up may describe
B_ An increase in investment
voluntary or search unemployment. The former occurs
C An increase in export revenue
when people are unwilling to work, and the latter
D An increase in government spending
occurs when people do not accept the first job offered
but remain unemployed while seeking a better job.
Example 22.8
22.4 Objective questions Which of the following conditions will ensure full
employment in an economy?
Example 22.3 2 A A balanced budget
Which group of workers is most likely to experience B_ Planned savings equalling planned investment
casual unemployment? C Total leakages from the circular flow of income
A Accountants equalling total injections
B_ Actors D None of the above
C Chiropodists
D Undertakers
Example 22.9
Search unemployment is a form of:
Example 22.4
frictional unemployment
As aresult of a decrease in the demand for blankets, structural unemployment
several blanket mills are closed down and the workers regional unemployment
are made redundant. This is a result of: —ot cyclical unemployment
demand deficiency unemployment
seasonal unemployment
Example 22.10
residual unemployment
— structural unemployment
ot An increase in which of the following would reduce
the NAIRU?
A Income tax
Example 22.5
B_ Labour mobility
The natural rate of unemployment is the rate: C Government expenditure
at which unemployment is zero D Job seekers’ allowance
at which inflation is constant
at which all unemployment is involuntary
Example 22.11
SARS
below which it is impossible to lower
unemployment, in both the short and the long Which of the following groups is included in the
term, by increasing aggregate demand government’s official unemployment figures?
work out Cie ° Gg Breas
A Unemployed men aged 60-plus prepared to work at that wage rate and people in
B People on government training schemes for the between jobs.
unemployed C => Monetarists argue that unemployment above
C Students looking for jobs in vacation periods the natural rate is voluntary and not involuntary.
D People who are claiming the job seekers’ D => Monetarists believe that, while it is not
allowance while working in the “black economy’ possible to reduce unemployment below the natural
rate in the long term by increasing demand, it is
possible to do so in the short term but only at the
Example 22.12
expense of accelerating inflation.
What will be the effect, certeris paribus, of an
increase in unemployment?
Solution 22.6 Answer: B
Government expenditure: Taxation revenue:
A increase increase Cyclical unemployment arises from a lack of
B increase decrease aggregate demand. Expansionary fiscal policy will
C_ decrease decrease increase demand. However a high MPM will mean
D_ decrease increase that a significant proportion of the extra demand will
create increased employment abroad rather than at
home.
ns to objective A, C and D = are all likely to mean that a high
proportion of the extra demand will be spent, much of
it on domestic output.
olution
Casual unemployment occurs when workers who are Solution 22.7 Answer: A
usually employed on a short-term basis are laid off.
Actors are frequently ‘resting’, i.e. are unemployed A deflationary gap exists when aggregate monetary
between roles. Accountants, chiropodists and demand is below the level required to ensure full
undertakers are usually employed on a more regular employment —people demand fewer goods and
and long-term basis than actors. services than the labour force can produce. An
increase in savings would reduce demand and hence
increase the gap.
Solution 22.4 Answer: D B, C and D = would all tend to increase the
This is an example of unemployment arising from an demand for domestic goods and services and hence
industry experiencing a decline in demand for its reduce the gap.
products.
A = Demand deficiency unemployment arises as a Solution 22.8 Answer: D
result of a lack of aggregate demand.
B = Seasonal unemployment results from changes None of the conditions will ensure full employment.
A and B = consider only some of the potential
in demand occurring in particular times of the year
injections and leakages and neither condition will
and when weather conditions prevent production.
C = Residual unemployment refers to those people guarantee full employment.
C => will mean that the economy is in equilibrium,
who would be likely to be unemployed even when
but Keynes argued that an economy can be in
demand is high.
equilibrium at any level of employment and not
necessarily at the full-employment level. Indeed,
Solution 22.5 Answer: B without planning it would be very unlikely to be at
According to monetarists the natural rate of this level.
unemployment (which can also be referred to as the
non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) is Solution 22.9 Answer: A
when inflation is stable but not necessarily zero.
A = At the natural rate there is likely to be some Search unemployment arises when unemployed
unemployment in the form of those who are not workers do not accept the first jobs on offer but seek
4 O cach Cre QRionaieconomy
1@ national economy
economy is capable of producing, for example, OB standards. Being unemployed can lower a person’s
consumer goods and OD capital goods, or any other self-esteem and can lead to depression, suicide and
combination on the production possibility curve. divorce. In addition, when people are out of work they
However with unemployed workers it only produces lose out on promotion and training, and experiencing
OA of consumer goods and OC of capital goods, and the routine of work. The longer people are out of
produces at point X inside the production possibility work, the harder it is for them to find another job.
curve. Some employers are reluctant to interview, for
example, anyone who has been out of work for more
Consumer than a year. The costs of unemployment are not
goods
evenly spread as certain groups are more likely to
experience unemployment. These include the
disabled, the young and those from ethnic minorities.
fuelling inflation.
MV
= PT
(8) Money illusion may occur when people confuse
where M is the money supply; V is the velocity of changes in nominal balances with changes in real
circulation (i.e. the number of times one unity of balances.
currency changes hands): P is average prices; and T is (9) Arbitrary redistribution of income and wealth
the number of transactions (goods bought). may occur, as shown in Table 23.1.
work ond (soi ation
From To
% rate of change
(h) Remedies for inflation of money wages
W,
(i) Cost-push inflation remedies
(1) Imposing prices and incomes policies in order to
freeze price and income increases breaks the
wage-price and wage—wage spirals.
(2) Subsidising production in order to reduce costs. % unemployment
(3) Reducing indirect taxes in order to reduce the cost
of imported materials and components and to
force domestic producers and exporters to remain Figure 23.3 The Phillips curve
competitive with foreign producers.
¢ The expectations-augmented Phillips curve reflects
the monetarist view that there is no long-term
(ii) Demand-pull inflation remedies inflation—unemployment trade-off. Any attempt to
reduce unemployment below the natural rate will
(1) Deflationary fiscal policy, where increased taxes
only succeed in accelerating the rate of inflation.
and/or reduced government spending lowers
Money wage
aggregate demand. inflation
(i) Inflation and unemployment Figure 23.4 An expectations-augmented Phillips curve. SPC, and
SPC, are short-term Phillips curves. LPC is the long-term Phillips
¢ The Phillips curve implies a trade-off relationship curve at the NRU. Economy initially on SPC, curve at Uy at point
A. Government reduces unemployment to U, by increasing
between inflation and unemployment. For instance demand. This causes prices and wages to rise. Move to point
in Figure 23.2 the percentage change in money B. Higher wages and costs result in a rise in unemployment to Uy
wages is high when unemployment is low. but at a higher expected rate of inflation on SPC,. Move to point C.
me a
¢
{* the Hational economy
The rational expectations hypothesis suggests that (Cc) What evidence is there in the passage of:
there is no long-term or short-term trade-off. Supporters (1) cost-push inflationary pressures? (2 marks)
argue that people base their actions on past experiences (2) demand pull inflationary pressures?
of inflation and their expectations of current and future (3 marks)
government policies. On average, they correctly forecast (d) Why would Mr Clarke have taken comfort in the
the results of current economic events and policies, and November 1994 average earnings figure?
do not suffer from money illusion. (3 marks)
(e) How could arise in interest rates curb inflation?
(4 marks)
23.2 Investigative study (f) Discuss other policies that might be adopted to
cure inflation. (7 marks)
Example 23.1
An investigation into what influences people’s
expectations of inflation and how those expectations Solution 23.2
affect their behaviour.
(a) Retail prices, as measured both in terms of
headline and underlying inflation, rose throughout the
23.3 Data response period but at varying rates.
The headline rate of inflation peaked at
‘Example 23.2 approximately 11% in spring 1990. Then prices rose
more slowly until autumn 1992, when inflation
A warning reached its lowest point of approximately 1%.
The underlying rate of inflation followed a similar
““DISAPPOINT- mortgage-interest payments) mea- pattern to the headline rate in the first part of the
ING” was Kenneth sures. The annual headline rate of
inflation was 2.9%, and the under-
Clarke’s verdict on period. It peaked at approximately 9% in late spring
lying rate 2.5%. Firms may finally
December’s _ infla- 1990 and then the inflation rate fell (as retail prices
tion be passing on to customers the
figures,
much-discussed increases in fac-
released on January rose more slowly). Unlike the headline rate, the
tory-gate prices.
18th. This was an
understatement. The chancellor’s That December’s inflationary
underlying rate continued a downward trend
hope that he might avoid, at least
rise is unlikely to prove a blip is throughout the period after early 1990. It started and
underlined by that month’s sur-
until the spring, the next inflation-
prisingly buoyant retail-sales fig-
curbing rise in interest rates have finished below the headline rate, but for most of the
been dashed. Mr Clarke next ures, released on January 19th. period was above it.
meets Eddie George, the governor These showed a monthly rise of
of the Bank of England, on Febru-0.5%, in volume terms, and a
ary 2nd to discuss interest-rate yearly one of 3.8%. (b) The headline rate of inflation is a measure of
policy. Another rise may not be Inflationary fears were further changes in the retail price index, RPI. It includes
far behind. fuelled by December’s unemploy-
The inflation numbers were ment statistics, also released this mortgage interest payments.
well above expectations. Retail week. These revealed an unex-
prices jumped by 0.5% in Decem- pectedly large fall of almost (c) (1) The extract mentions increases in factory-gate
ber, on both the headline and 55,000 in the jobless total, com-
underlying (excluding changes in pared with November, to just over prices, which implies that costs of production had
2.4m. In this economic recovery,
changes in unemployment have
risen.
coincided with changes in output; (2) The extract mentions buoyant retail sales,
on that basis, December’s jobless
numbers suggest that the economy which increased — in volume terms — by 3.8% ona
is still growing rapidly. yearly basis. This suggests that consumer demand was
Mr Clarke will take comfort
that, amidst so many worrying increasing. The extract also mentions falling
numbers, November’s growth in
average earnings was the same as
unemployment, which would have increased
October’s, at 3.75% year-on-year. consumer demand. People would have experienced
The consensus forecast was for it
to edge up to 4%. higher incomes and increased confidence, leading
Source: The Economist, them to spend more.
21 January 1995, p. 30.
In conditions of full employment, which of the Which of the following must occur as a result of
following would be most likely to lead to inflation? inflation?
A An increase in income tax Fiscal drag will take place
B An increase in the demand for exports Debtors will gain and creditors will lose
C An increase in labour productivity The volume of exports will decline
D An increase in expenditure on imports oi The domestic purchasing power of the currency
will decline
Example 23.9
If a government believes that inflation is the result of ms to objective
cost-push factors and it wishes to reduce inflation,
which of the following measures is it likely to adopt?
A Arise in interest rates
“solution 23.3 Answer: C
B_ An increase in income tax
C The imposition of a prices and incomes policy The index of retail prices is a weighted price index.
D A reduction in the growth of the money supply This means that the price changes of different
categories of goods and services are multiplied by
weights. These weights indicate what proportion of
Example 23.10 consumer expenditure is devoted to the different
In year 1, an economy has a money supply of £400 categories. For instance if, out of a total expenditure
and a velocity of circulation of 6, and it produces 800 of £100m, £30m is spent on food, then food will
goods. In year 2 the velocity of circulation and the receive a weighting of 3/10.
level of output remain constant, but the money supply
increases to £600. According to the quantity theory,
Solution 23.4 Answer: D
this will cause the price level to rise by:
A £1.5 B £3 Ce 243 D £6 To determine the change in the general price level it is
necessary to multiply the price change of each
commodity by its weighting. The total of the weighted
Example 23.11
price changes gives the answer.
In the diagram below Uy, is the natural rate of
Commodity Weight Price change Weighted
unemployment, SPC,, SPC, SPC;, and SPC, are
price change
short-run Phillips curves associated with successively
higher levels of inflationary expectations, and LPC is W (3/10) X 20% = =e
the long-run, vertical Phillips curve. If inflationary xX (2/10) X 10% = 2%
expectations are at 6% and a government wishes to i (1/10) X 20% = 2%
eliminate wage inflation, it would have to permit Zz (4/10) X 50% = 20%
unemployment in the short run to change to: 18%
A U, B U, GiU, D U,
with inflation.
P,
There are costs involved in living with inflation.
P
Firms will incur menu costs and will have to adjust
prices regularly, and time and effort may have to be
taken to estimate future inflation. Firms and
Aggregate
individuals may also experience shoe leather costs. demand
Government measures to reduce inflation may have
an adverse effect on other economic objectives, 0 O@0 Output
a _- us aw eS
pibbmte) At) pe a
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International
J Fact sheets
/ Investigative study
J Data response
J Essays
24.1 Fact sheet (c) Absolute and comparative
advantage
(a) Problems of international trade The main advantage claimed from international trade
International trade is the exchange of goods and is higher world output. The theories of absolute
services between countries. Problems arise over: advantage and comparative advantage explain how
output may be increased by specialisation and trade.
(1) currencies;
(2) language; ¢ Absolute advantage exists when a country can
(3) distance; produce more of a product per resource unit than
(4) customs/tastes; another country.
(5) foreign competition; * Comparative advantage exists when a country can
(6) import restrictions; produce a product at a lower opportunity cost than
(7) legal and technical regulations; its trading partners.
(8) possible delays in payment.
Table 24.1 An example of comparative advantage
(b) Benefits of international trade Country Daily output per resource unit
with competition from foreign companies with form of restriction. In addition to protecting
lower costs due to greater economies of scale. domestic industries, tariffs may be imposed to
(2) Declining industries (also called sunset raise revenue.
industries) may decline rapidly, causing a (2 —
Quotas are limits on the quantity of a commodity
significant rise in unemployment. that is allowed to enter the country.
(3) Foreign producers may engage in dumping (i.e. (3) Exchange control occurs when a government
selling surplus output at a low price, even controls the availability of foreign currency. This
sometimes below average cost) in the home often involves a limit on the foreign exchange
market. available to importers.
(4) A country may become dependent on other (4) Physical control (embargo) occurs when a ban is
nations for products — e.g. weapons, food — which placed on the export or import of a certain good
may be cut off during periods of dispute or war. or on trade with a particular country or countries.
(5) A country may experience the disadvantage of (5) Purchasing policy is when a government places
overspecialisation, including diseconomies of orders with domestic producers in preference to
scale, vulnerability to sudden changes in demand more competitive importers.
and unemployment. (6) Administrative restrictions may cover lengthy
paperwork to be completed by importers in
(e) Pattern of UK international connection with artificially high health and safety
trade regulations.
(7) Import deposit schemes require importers to
The UK is a major trading country, importing and
deposit a sum of money before they can bring in
exporting mainly manufactured goods from and to
goods from abroad.
mainly developing countries. Voluntary export restraint is an agreement
(8)
between two countries where the exporter agrees
(f) Protectionism to limit the volume of its exports.
Protectionism is the restriction of international trade Subsidies are an indirect measure designed to
by means of tariffs, quotas and non-tariff barriers. The reduce imports by making domestic products
main forms of restriction are: more price competitive.
(1) Tariffs (also called customs duties), which are a ¢ A government may seek to protect particular
tax on imported goods. This is the most common industries or industries in general.
Some countries, including the UK, have a high 24.4 Objective questions
marginal propensity to import. This means that a
significant proportion of extra income is spent on Example 24.3
imports. Most imports purchased are finished
manufactured goods, but imported raw materials are A country is said to have a comparative advantage in
also purchased and these are likely to be brought in the production of a good when:
larger quantities as domestic firms increase their A it can produce more of it than any other country
output. However exports may rise more slowly Bit can produce it at a lower opportunity cost than
because the buoyant home market may cause goods to its trading partners
be diverted from the export to the home market. C it has captured a larger percentage share of the
world market than any other country
(e) A fall in the value of sterling relative to other 0 it accounts for a greater percentage of total world
currencies lowers the price of exports in terms of sales in the product than in any other product it
foreign currencies. For example, if initially £1 = $2, a produces
UK good priced £10 would sell in America for $20. If
the value of the pound were to fall to £1 = $1.5 the
same good would sell for $15. The lower price abroad Example 24.4
should enable a large share of the overseas market to
With respect to the table below, which of the
be captured. If demand is elastic the rise in quantity
following statements is correct?
demanded will be of a higher percentage than the fall
in price, and total revenue will rise. Units of resources required to Country A Country B
(f) There are three main immediate measures that can Produce one TV 30 60
be taken to reduce a trade deficit. One is to devalue Produce one radio 10 40
the currency, which will not only lower the price of
A Country B has an absolute advantage in the
exports in terms of foreign currency but also raise the
production of both products
price of imports in terms of the home currency. For
B_ Country B has a comparative advantage in the
devaluation to be successful a number of conditions
production of radios
have to be met, including elastic demand for exports
Q Country A has a comparative advantage in the
and imports.
production of TVs
The government could also deflate the economy in
D None of the above statements is correct
the hope that the resulting lower demand will reduce
expenditure on imports and divert some goods from Examples 24.5 and 24.6 are based on the following
the home to the export market. However deflation information
may have an adverse effect on domestic output and
Cuba USA
employment.
Another possible measure is to impose or increase Output of cigar units per factor input 30 10
import restrictions. For example a quota could be Output of sugar units per factor input 90 50
placed on the number of cars allowed into the country
from overseas. However membership of international
organisations may restrict a country’s ability to Example 24.5
impose import restrictions.
In the longer run a government may seek to reduce Which of the following is true of the situation above?
a long-lasting trade deficit by introducing measures to A Cuba has a comparative advantage in the
increase the quality and price competitiveness of production of sugar
domestic goods, e.g. by increasing expenditure on B Cuba has an absolute advantage in the production
training. of both sugar and cigars
Q The USA has an absolute advantage in the
production of both sugar and cigars
— The USA has an absolute advantage in the
production of sugar and Cuba has an absolute
advantage in the production of cigars
ms out fori GOB rtionsatrade and government policy
UK Nigeria
Example 24.10
Units of iron 240 48
Units of steel 80 16 Before the imposition of a tariff, the domestic price of
good T is Py and domestic producers supply
If there are no trade barriers and no transport costs,
DS. Domestic demand is represented by DD. When
which of the following is most likely to occur?
the country engages in free international trade, the
A Nigeria will import iron and steel from the UK
world supply is represented by WS and the price is Py.
B_ The UK will export iron to Nigeria and import
The imposition of a tariff on the product causes price
steel from Nigeria
to rise to Pz. The tariff will result in domestic
C Nigeria will export iron to the UK and import steel
producers increasing their output by:
from the UK
A 0C B CD CDF D FG
D There will be no trade between the two countries
in the products concerned
Price
°f
Example 24.8 good T
Wheat Wheat
216
18 Tractors 0 54 Tractors
work out econo ternational tr
output of two commodities a country can produce trade areas allow member countries to decide their
with its resources. Country Y has absolute advantage own external tariff policies.
in producing both tractors and wheat and comparative
advantage in producing wheat. It can produce three
Solution 24.12 Answer: B
times more tractors than country X but four times
more wheat. So country Y will specialise in wheat Sunset industries are declining industries. If these are
and will export to country X in exchange for tractors. given protection, which is gradually removed, they
Country X will concentrate on producing tractors and can be allowed to go out of business gradually and
will export these to country Y. As there are employment can be reduced by means of ‘natural
differences in the relative efficiencies with which the wastage’.
countries can produce the goods, there is a potential A => is an argument for protecting sunrise industries.
for them to benefit from specialisation and trade. C = Dumping may affect any industry and not just
sunset industries.
D => is an argument for protecting strategic industries
Solution 24.9 Answer: D
prevent dumping, where foreign companies sell ¢ Explain comparative advantage and then consider
products at or below cost price. Predatory pricing the assumptions underlying the theory.
benefits domestic customers in the short term. In the ¢ Keep the numerical example simple. It should be
longer term, artificially low prices may eliminate designed to illustrate economic theory and not to
domestic firms. Foreign producers can then use their prove elaborate mathematical skill.
monopoly position to raise prices.
General import controls may improve the terms of
trade so that each export can be exchanged for more Solution 24.14
imports. This will occur if the imposition of tariffs or
(a) The theory of comparative advantage states that,
other forms of import control forces foreign producers
provided that their opportunity cost ratios differ, even
to reduce their prices in order to remain competitive.
a more efficient country and a less efficient country
Import restrictions may also enable a country to
will benefit from specialisation and trade with each
diversify and avoid overspecialisation. If a country is
other. However the simplicity and unreality of some
highly specialised there is a danger that it will suffer if
of the assumptions upon which the theory is based
there is a fall in world demand or if there are supply
have led to reservations about its applicability to the
problems, Protection of strategic industries guarantees
real world.
a domestic supply of essential goods, for example
It is relatively straightforward to ascertain that
weapons and food.
countries with absolute advantages in different
In some developing countries import controls are
products will benefit from specialisation and trade.
used to raise revenue, and both developing and
However David Ricardo, in developing the theory
developed countries may use import controls to gain a
of comparative advantage, went further. He stated that
strong bargaining position or to retaliate against other
both countries will benefit from specialisation and
countries’ trade restrictions. However the danger is
trade, even if one country is more efficient at making
that a trade war may develop.
both products concerned, provided that it is even
Countries may also use import controls to correct
better at making one of the two. It is relative and not
or prevent a balance of payments deficit. However
absolute efficiency that is crucial.
import controls are usually only used as a last resort,
and are likely to be combined with other measures to
UK USA
reduce the underlying tendency to purchase a high
level of imports. Units of output per factor: cars 10 50
Some economists, including the Cambridge Units of output per factor: wheat 20 200
Economic Policy Group, urge the adoption of a
system of general import controls in order to In the example given above, the USA has absolute
restructure the UK economy. They do not wish to advantage in producing both cars and wheat since it
reduce imports, merely to control their growth and to can produce more of both. However it has
prevent an injection of government spending — comparative advantage in producing wheat since it is
designed to stimulate the UK economy — being largely even better at growing this product, being able to
spent on imports. Their main ideas is that a protective produce ten times more wheat but only five times
wall will enable UK industry to regain its efficiency more cars than the UK. In contrast the UK has
and growth, creating a situation of full employment. comparative advantage or lesser disadvantage in
making cars since it is not so bad at making this
product, producing one fifth of the quantity of cars but
Example 24.14 only one tenth of the quantity of wheat produced in
the USA.
(a) Explain the theory of comparative advantage.
Another way of determining which product a
(10 marks)
country has a comparative advantage in is to examine
the internal opportunity cost ratios. A country has
(b) To what extent is it a satisfactory explanation of
comparative advantage in a product when producing it
the basis of international trade? (15 marks)
involves a lower opportunity cost than in another
¢ Distinguish between absolute and comparative country.
advantage. Output will be increased by specialisation, and both
ate inational trade and government policy
countries should be able to enjoy more goods than specialisation. Also, there is not perfect knowledge, so
previously if the exchange rate lies between the it may be difficult to calculate comparative advantage.
internal opportunity cost ratios — in this case, | car: There may also be imperfect competition in the
2-4 wheat. domestic markets. This is likely to mean that at least
some prices do not accurately reflect domestic
(b) However the applicability of the theory to opportunity cost ratios. Countries also have different
international trade has been questioned on a number of degrees of economic power, and in practice exchange
grounds. It is often stated in terms of a few countries rates are more likely to favour developed than
and a few products, whereas the real world is more developing nations.
complex. It also ignores transport costs. These will The theory concentrates on the supply side. A
reduce the advantages of specialisation and trade — country may specialise in making a product and yet
particularly in the case of low-price bulky goods. still import it if home demand exceeds its output
The theory assumes constant opportunity costs as potential.
resources are moved from one industry to another, A country may also experience significant
whereas in practice economies or diseconomies of scale unemployment, and it maybe considered better to
may arise. The shifting of resources from one use to employ factors relatively inefficiently rather than not
another also presumes perfect factor mobility, whereas to employ them at all.
some factors — particularly labour — may be immobile. The theory of comparative advantage indicates that
Indeed the theory presumes that perfect output will be increased by specialisation and trade,
competition exists in the international and domestic but the simplicity and unreality of some of the
markets. In practice completely free trade does not assumptions means that it does not fully explain the
exist, and the presence of import restrictions reduces actual pattern of world trade.
(c) Results of a favourable
movement
| of the terms of trade (1) In the short term, higher export prices and lower
The terms of trade (ToT) is the ratio comparing export import prices are likely to improve the current
and import prices: account balance before demand has had time to
adjust.
index of export prices Y (2) In the longer term:
ToT 100
~ Index of import prices (a) if demand for exports is elastic, export
revenue will fall;
A favourable movement means that the ToT get larger.
(b) if demand for imports is elastic, expenditure
Favourable movements are caused by:
on imports will rise;
(1) arise in export prices; (c) if demand for imports is inelastic, foreigners
(2) a fall in import prices; may experience a fall in income and reduce
(3) arise in export prices and a fall in import prices; demand for UK exports;
(4) export prices rising faster than import prices; (d) UK subsidiaries abroad may suffer a decline
(5) import prices falling faster than export prices. in revenue.
(1) The visible balance (also called the balance of balances, in the sense that the current account balance
trade), which shows exports and imports of plus net transactions in external assets and liabilities
tangible goods — e.g. cars, radios. A trade gap plus the balancing item must equal zero.
occurs when the value of visible imports exceeds
Table 25.1 The 1993 UK balance of payments
the value of visible exports.
(2) The invisible balance, which shows the net total £ millions
of:
Current account
(a) services, including sea transport, civil
Visibles —13 209
aviation, travel, banking and insurance,
Invisibles 2 029
expenditure on embassies abroad and staff
—11 180
stationed abroad;
UK external assets and liabilities
(b interest, profits and dividends (investment
—
transactions in assets — 156 303
income is included, whether it is remitted or
transactions in liabilities 164 724
retained for investment);
Net transactions 8 421
(c) transfers, including government grants
Balancing item 2759
overseas, subscriptions to international
organisations (including the EU) and private Source: Monthly Digest of Statistics, February 1995
transfers in the form of payments to overseas (CSO).
dependents and charitable donations.
(h) Current account surplus
Visible balance + invisible balance = current account
balance (i) Consequences
(2) A country will eventually be unable to cover a states that a devaluation improves the current account
current account deficit by drawing on reserves. balance if the combined price elasticities of demand
(3) A leakage in domestic demand. for exports and imports are greater than 1. The J effect
(4) A decrease in the money supply. in Figure 25.1 shows that a devaluation initially
causes a deterioration in the current account balance
(A to B) before demand and supply adjust to the new
(ii) Measures to correct a current account
prices of exports and imports (B to C)
deficit
Sources: Economic Trends, Annual Supplement, 1995, CSO; The Pink Book 1994; Monthly Digest of Statistics, February
1995
rK OU micg #intefpational trade and government policy
(a) Inthe context of the balance of payments, what The table does not show a consistent pattern. In three
is meant by investment income? (3 marks) years GDP and the current account position move in
(b) Calculate: opposite directions and in two years they move in the
(1) the visible balance; same direction.
(2) the invisible balance;
(d) Economic theory would suggest that GDP and the
(3) the current account balance. (6 marks)
current account balance are likely to move in opposite
(c) What do the data show about the relationship
directions, so that a rise in GDP would be
between changes in economic activity, as
accompanied by a deterioration in the current account
indicated by changes in GDP at constant cost,
of the balance of payments. This is because an
and the current account balance? (6 marks)
increase in economic activity, unless generated by an
(d) Are your findings in (c) in accord with what the
increase in exports (export-led growth), is likely to
relationship economic theory would lead you to
suck in imports and divert goods from the export to
expect? (6 marks)
the home market. However a fall in economic activity
(e) What effect would a rise in economic activity
would tend to reduce the demand for imports and
abroad be likely to have on the current account
divert goods from the home to the overseas market.
position of the UK balance of payments?
The data is not entirely consistent with this view.
(4 marks)
Although the deficit did decline markedly at the start
Solution 25.2 of the recession it is surprising that relatively large
deficits were experienced in both years of the
(a) Investment income refers to profits, interest and
recession. Part of the answer for the not entirely
dividends. It is the amount UK citizens earn on their
consistent pattern may be found by examining the rate
overseas financial and physical assets minus the
of change in GDP. In 1990 GDP rose and the current
amount overseas citizens earn on UK assets. Included
account position improved. However what was
in this category are, for example, dividends earned by a
occurring in 1990 was a slowdown in economic
UK citizen on shares in a French company, interest paid
growth from 2.2% in 1989 to 0.6%. In 1992 GDP fell
on a loan made by a UK bank to a Canadian company
and the current account position deteriorated.
and profits earned by a UK company based in Spain.
However the fall in GDP declined from 2.1% in 1991
(b) to 0.5% in 1992.
(£ millions) (e) A rise in economic activity abroad, unless export
Visible Invisible Current account
led, is likely to improve the UK balance of payments.
Year balance balance balance
With higher incomes overseas consumers are likely to
1988 —21 480 4 863 =—16617
purchase more UK goods and services. In addition,
1989 —24 683 ZA — D212
1990 —18 809 —226 —19 035 with buoyant home markets, overseas producers may
199] —10 284 2 108 —8 176 compete less rigorously abroad. This may enable UK
1992 —13 104 BINS: —9 831 producers to sell more in the UK and overseas.
1993 —13 209 2 898 — 10311
(Cc)
GDP at Direction Current Direction
questions
constant of change account of change
factor cost balance
index (£ million)
Year (1990 = A favourable movement in the terms of trade occurs
100) when:
1988 97.3 —16617 A the price of exports rises relative to the price of
1989 99.4 T —22512 J imports
1990 —-100.0 i -19035 T B. the ratio of export to import earnings increases
1991 97.9 Jt ~8 176 ‘4
1992 97.4 L —9 831 L C_ the volume of exports rises relative to the volume
1993 99.4 . —10311 L of imports £
Note: Direction of change on current account: J = deficit getting D the current account of the balance of payments
larger: T = deficit getting smaller. moves into surplus
work out ee ee 27
The income elasticities of demand for imports and The terms of trade in year 1 were:
exports in four countries are given below. Which index of export prices 100
country’s balance of payments position will benefit
Index of import prices ;
most from a world recession?
20.000
Income elasticity of Income elasticity of x 100
= 80
Me 5 000
Country demand for imports demand for exports
and in year 2:
A 1.8 0.8
B es 1.2 40 000
x 100 = 100
C 1.0 1.6 40 000
D 0.8 2.0
Thus there has been an improvement in the terms of
trade in the period shown.
The balance of trade in year 1 was value of exports
to objective (price X value) — value of imports (price X volume)
in £000s:
<¥ Ta
400(20 x 20) — 200(25 X 8) = 200
Solution
25.3 Answer: A
and in year 2:
A favourable movement in the terms of trade occurs
when the index rises. This situation occurs when the 480(40 x 12) — 240(40 X 6) = 240
price of exports rises in relation to the price of The balance of trade has improved with an increase
imports. This may result from, for example, a rise in in the surplus of £40 000.
the price of exports and/or a fall in the price of
imports or even export prices falling by a lesser extent Solution 25.7 Answer: C
than import prices.
The current account balance is the visible balance
plus the invisible balance, i.e. —£60m (visible exports
Solution 25.4 Answer: B minus visible imports) plus £210m (net transfers + net
The figures in the table show a favourable movement interest, profits and dividends + net
in the terms of trade, i.e. the number has become services) = £150m.
higher. A favourable movement occurs when the price
Solution 25.8 Answer: A
of exports rises in relation to the price of imports.
A, C and D = In each case there would be an A devaluation is most likely to improve the balance of
unfavourable movement in the terms of trade. trade position when demand for both exports and
work out economi anc yme
imports is price elastic — the Marshall—Lerner A, C and D => would all appear in the invisible
condition. balance section of the balance of payments.
The country will have a deficit on the balance of trade In a world recession, incomes are likely to fall. To
when its total demand (consumer gain the most benefit from a world recession, the
spending + government spending + investment) demand for a country’s exports should be income
exceeds its output (NY). inelastic. Thus a fall in income results in a smaller
percentage fall in the demand for its exports. In
¢ In year | output is 600 but demand is 660, so there
contrast its imports should be income elastic, so that a
will be a deficit of 60.
fall in domestic income results in a greater percentage
¢ In year 2 output is 660 and so is demand.
fall in the demand for imports. If income elasticity of
Therefore there will be equilibrium.
demand for imports is 1.8 — i.e. elastic — and income
¢ In year 3 output is 720 and demand is 690, so
elasticity of demand for exports in 0.8 — i.e. inelastic —
there will be a surplus of 30.
a fall in income will result in a greater reduction in
import expenditure than in export earnings. Thus a
Solution 25.10 Answer: B current account deficit would be reduced or a surplus
increased.
Expenditure-reducing measures seek to improve a
country’s current account position by reducing the
demand for all goods and services, both domestic and
foreign. The fall in demand for imports will reduce Cp eke
import expenditure and the fall in demand for home- Example 25.13
produced goods may encourage forms to switch
production from the home to the foreign market. Assess the measures a government may use to correct
In contrast expenditure-switching measures aim to a deficit on the current account of the balance of
improve the current account balance by switching payments. (25 marks)
from foreign to the home country’s goods and ¢ Briefly explain what is meant by a deficit on the
services, i.e. from imports to domestic goods and current account of the balance of payments.
from another country’s exports to the home country’s * Concentrate on three main measures of improving
exports. the current account balance.
A credit squeeze is a measure designed to reduce * Examine both the internal and external effects of
the demand for all goods bought by the home the measures.
country’s residents.
A => is an expenditure-switching measure
encouraging residents of the country to switch from Solution 25.13
buying imports to buying domestically produced The current account section of the balance of
goods and foreigners to switch from buying their own payments covers visible and invisible exports and
products or other countries’ products to buying the imports. A deficit on the current account balance
devaluing country’s products. means that the country’s population is spending more
on goods and services from abroad than it is earning
from the sale of goods and services abroad.
Solution 25.11 Answer: B
The measures a government will adopt to correct a
The external assets and liabilities section of the deficit will be aimed at increasing income earned
balance of payments includes investment into and out and/or reducing expenditure abroad. In considering
of the UK, lending to and borrowing abroad, which policies to adopt, a government will consider
intergovernmental lending and borrowing, drawing on the cause of the deficit and the advantages and
and additions to the reserves. Lending to Nigerian disadvantages of the measures.
companies by British banks would appear as a One possible measure, provided the government is
transaction in external assets. not committed to keeping the currency within set
rk out econor National trade and government policy
margins, is devaluation. This will mean lowering the Import controls may provoke retaliation from other
price of exports in terms of foreign currencies and countries and their use may be restricted by
raising the price of imports in terms of the home membership of trade blocs, e.g. the European Union
currency. It is essentially an expenditure-switching and international organisations such as the World
measure, changing relative prices. Trade Organisation.
However, whether the policy will be successful in Among other measures a country may employ are
terms of improving the current account position will encouraging exports by, for instance, giving
depend on whether there is elastic demand for favourable loans to exporters and encouraging other
imports, elastic demand for exports, elastic supply of countries to remove some of their import restrictions.
exports, lack of import restrictions abroad and a low
domestic marginal propensity to import, among other
Example 25.14
factors.
Lowering the value of the currency will affect not (a) Explain what is meant by a surplus on the
only a country’s external trade position, but also its current account of the balance of payments and
internal position. If exports rise and imports decline briefly discuss how it might arise. (7 marks)
there will be a net injection into the circular flow of (b) Why may a government seek to eliminate such a
income, and national income should rise by a multiple surplus? (6 marks)
amount. This should stimulate output and (c) What measures could a government implement
employment. However there may be inflationary to achieve such an objective? (12 marks)
effects arising from the increase in import prices and
e Define a surplus on current account.
the net injection. While devaluation is associated with
¢ Discuss the main motives for eliminating a
an increase in domestic economic activity, deflation is
surplus.
associated, in the short term at least, with a reduction
¢ Discuss revaluation, reflation and other measures
in economic activity. Deflation involves reducing
to eliminate a surplus.
demand by restrictive fiscal and/or monetary policy.
For instance a government may increase taxation in
the expectation that, if people’s disposable income Solution 25.14
declines, they will buy fewer imports. The higher the
(a) A surplus on its current account means that a
income elasticity of demand for imports the greater
country is earning more abroad than it is spending.
the effect will be. It will also be expected that demand
This could arise as a result of a surplus on its visible
for the home country’s products will decline, so home
balance and invisible balance, a visible balance
producers will be forced to try to export more of their
surplus exceeding an invisible deficit or an invisible
output. The interest rate may also be pushed up to
surplus exceeding a visible deficit.
deflate the economy. If deflation also reduces inflation
A country may be earning more from the sale of its
the current account position will be further improved
visible and invisible exports than it is spending on
by the increase in price competitiveness. However
visible and invisible imports, for a number of reasons.
deflation may, even if only in the short term, have an
The country’s goods and services may be price
adverse effect on employment and growth.
competitive. They may be marketed very effectively,
An alternative to deflation is the imposition of
be of a high quality and provide, for example, good
import controls, either a general system or on selected
after sales service. Incomes abroad may be rising,
industries. Import controls may prevent dumping,
which will increase demand. Incomes at home may be
assist infant (sunrise) industries, allow sunset
relatively low, which would keep down the demand
industries to decline gradually, improve the terms of
for imports whilst forcing domestic producers to sell
trade and, of course, correct a current account deficit.
more abroad. The removal of import restrictions
However import controls may prove to be
abroad would also enable the country to sell more
inflationary. This is because imports are included in
exports.
the retail price index, costs of production will rise if
imported raw materials continue to be used and if (b) A country may wish to eliminate a surplus in
unions press for wage rises to compensate for higher order to improve the standard of living of its
prices. UK firms may also be able to raise prices and inhabitants. If a country has been experiencing a large
remain competitive with more expensive imports. current account surplus over a number of years, then
work out economi ance o ments 231
the opportunity cost involved is the goods and imports are cheaper and these count in the retail price
services it could have bought with the currency it has index. There may also be a reduction in the costs of
been earning. production for home producers, as imported raw
If a country has been experiencing large current materials and components will be cheaper. The rise in
account surpluses there may be pressure on it from the price of exports may force domestic exporters to
other countries to reduce or eliminate the surplus. cut their costs in order to remain competitive.
Measures a government may take to achieve this may Domestic producers selling in the home market will
not only restore its current account equilibrium, but also have to keep their prices low in order to compete
also help deficit countries achieve current account with cheaper imports. However there is the possibility
equilibrium. A country trying to reduce a surplus is that foreigners may raise the price of their goods in
likely to buy more abroad and sell less. Considerable the knowledge that they may still be competitive.
pressure has, in the past, been put on Germany and Reflationary fiscal and/or monetary measures
Japan to reduce their surpluses. will increase the demand for all products. For
A country may also eliminate a surplus to reduce instance an increase in government spending will
inflationary pressures. A surplus can result in an result in a multiple rise in national income and, hence,
injection of demand into the domestic economy and demand. More imports will be purchased and the
an increase in the money supply. increase in domestic demand for home-produced
goods may divert goods from the export to the home
(c) One possible measure to eliminate a surplus may be market.
implemented with the prime objective of reducing A country may also seek to increase expenditure on
inflationary pressures. A revaluation of the currency imports by removing or reducing import restrictions.
upwards will mean that more foreign currency will be For instance lowering tariffs will reduce the price of
obtained for the same value of the home currency. The imports on the home market and will result in an
home country’s exports will be more expensive in terms increase in expenditure on imports. Subsidies on
of foreign currency, while its imports will be cheaper in domestic products could also be removed.
terms of the domestic currency. The revaluation is likely In addition, encouragement for exporters could be
to result in an increase in import expenditure and a fall reduced or removed. For instance banks may no
in export revenue, assuming elastic demand for exports longer be directed to give preference to exporters
and elastic demand for imports. when lending, and indirect taxation may be imposed
An increase in the value of the currency means that or increased on exports.
26.1 Fact sheet one fixed rate to another. Depreciation means that
the value has fallen because of market forces. In
(a) The foreign exchange rate both cases £1 would buy fewer units of another
currency.
The exchange rateisthe price of one currency in
¢ <A revaluation of sterling occurs when the UK
terms of another currency. An exchange rate can be
bilateral (£/$) or multilateral (a basket of currencies
government raises the value of the pound from one
fixed rate to another. Appreciation means that the
such as the trade weighted sterling index.
value has risen because of market forces. In both
¢ A devaluation of sterling occurs when the UK cases £1 would buy more units of another
government lowers the value of the pound from currency.
Table 26.1 The demand for and supply of the pound sterling
Governments wishing to add sterling to their Governments wishing to replace the sterling in
reserves their reserves with other assets
¢ A Eurocurrency is any currency deposited in a buying and selling currencies when necessary.
financial institution outside its country of origin, (2) Adjustable peg is when the exchange rate is
e.g. French francs deposited in a bank in maintained within agreed margins around a
Singapore. central parity but with the possibility that the
¢ The London Foreign Exchange Market consists of central parity may be changed.
all those who deal in foreign exchange but have no (3) Crawling peg is a form of adjustable peg where
formal meeting place. the central parity can be changed regularly on the
¢ The spot market is that part of the foreign basis of the previous trend in the exchange rate.
exchange market concerned with the buying and (4) Managed floating is when the government
selling of currencies for immediate use. occasionally intervenes in the exchange market to
¢ The forward market is concerned with agreeing stabilise the exchange rate or move it in a desired
the price of a currency now to buy or sell in the direction.
future. (5) Free floating occurs when the exchange rate is
¢ Arbitrage is movements of funds to take determined by demand and supply, without
advantage of differences in exchange or interest government intervention.
rates, and this quickly eliminates any such
differences.
¢ The purchasing power parity theory suggests that
(c) The exchange rate mechanism
the prices of goods in countries will tend to equate
(ERM)
under floating exchange rates so that people will
be able to purchase the same quantity of goods in The ERM is an adjustable peg system that involves
any country for a given sum of money. EU countries maintaining the value of their currencies
within limited margins but being allowed to float their
currencies against non-member currencies. If a
(b) Exchange rate systems currency within the ERM begins to move outside its
(1) A fixed exchange rate is one that is maintained at margins, its government is expected to bring it back
a certain level (parity or par) by the government into line by:
Value of Value of
Value of
currency currency
currency
0 Tim e 0 Time
(a) (b) (c)
Value of Value of
currency currency
0 Time 0 Time
(d) (e)
peg
Figure 26.1 Exchange rate systems: (a) fixed; (b) floating; (c) managed floating; (d) crawling peg; (e) adjustable
nelfstiona trade and government policy
ut out econ@n
(1) buying or selling its currency; (b) the Bundesbank president stating that the
(2) changing its interest rate; value of the pound was too high;
(3) seeking to realign its central parity with the (c) concern over whether France would sign the
agreement of the other members. Maastricht Treaty;
(d) speculation.
(d) Advantages of the ERM The UK government has stated it will only rejoin the
ERM if there is:
Membership of the ERM can confer a number of
advantages on a country. It: (1) greater convergence of monetary policy in the
EL,
(1) provides greater discipline to reduce inflation as a
(2) a stronger mechanism for helping currencies that
fall in the exchange rate cannot be used to restore
come under pressure;
international competitiveness;
(3) ahealthy UK economy.
(2) gives the country a greater say in EU matters;
(3) helps to provide greater predictability of
exchange rates within the EU, which in turn (g) International liquidity
should promote trade in the EU; International liquidity is an asset that is acceptable in
(4) makes monetary union easier to achieve; settling international debts. Internationally acceptable
(5) discourages destabilising speculation; assets are kept in countries’ reserves. Forms of
(6) increases the chance of inflation rates converging. international liquidity are:
(1) Gold.
(e) Disadvantages of the ERM (2) Foreign currencies
The disadvantages of membership include: (3) Reserve positions at the IMF, i.e. the ability to
borrow from the IMF.
(1) less opportunity to use the exchange rate as a (4) Special drawing rights (SDRs), which are issued
policy tool, e.g. it cannot be reduced to increase by the IMF and have been specifically created to
employment; act as international liquid assets. They are
(2) reduced independence of monetary policy, e.g. a allocated to member countries on the basis of
government may have to raise its interest rate to their quotas, and their value is expressed in terms
prevent the value of its currency falling below the of a weighted basket of five leading currencies.
lower margin, even if this conflicts with domestic
objectives;
(3) some currencies are more volatile than others and
(h) Problems of international
therefore are subject to more and wider
liquidity
fluctuations in demand and supply — this makes The two current major problems are:
them harder to maintain within the agreed
(1) Shortage of international liquidity.
margins.
(2) Which form international liquidity should take.
Some economists have suggested the following:
(f) UK membership of the ERM (a) Increased use of gold. This view overlooks
the opportunity cost of using gold, and its
The UK joined the ERM in October 1990 at a central
inelastic supply. Some economists suggest the
parity of 2.95 Deutschmarks. It left on 16 September
demonetarisation of gold, i.e. ceasing to use
1992 ‘Black Wednesday’ because:
gold as a form of government money.
(1) the value of the pound had been set too high and (b) Increased reliance on foreign currencies.
hence was difficult to maintain; However this would mean that the growth of
(2) the government wanted to be free to lower the world reserves would depend on national
interest rate to reflate the domestic economy; policies. There may be a risk of
(3) the value of the pound had come under downward destabilisation via movements from
pressure due to: weakening to strengthening currencies.
(a) arise in German interest rates; (c) Adoption of completely freely floating
work out eco s*° exc rates
(e) What may cause a country to import more from the sale of visible and invisible exports than is
goods? (4 marks) spent on visible and invisible imports. Export revenue
(f) What may enable companies to make exceeds import expenditure.
‘useful’ profits despite a rise in the exchange
(e) There are a number of factors that could cause a
rate? (5 marks)
country to import more goods. Domestic output may
be increasing so more raw materials may be
Solution 26.2 purchased from abroad. Higher incomes are likely to
result in increased demand for overseas finished
(a) A rise in the value of the Japanese yen will
manufactured goods and services. The price
increase the price of Japanese exports in terms of
competitiveness of overseas products may rise, their
foreign currency, and reduce the price of Japanese
quality improve or they may be marketed more
imports in terms of yen. This is likely to reduce the
effectively.
sales of Japanese goods both at home and abroad,
More imports may be purchased if import
which in turn is likely to reduce output and
restrictions are reduced or removed. A rise in the
employment. So a rise in the value of a currency can
value of the currency is also likely to result in more
reduce the level of economic activity in a country.
imports being purchased.
(b) To purchase dollars the Bank of Japan will sell
(f) A rise in the exchange rate will reduce the price
yen. This will increase the supply of yen, lower its
competitiveness of domestic goods at home and
price and increase the quantity trade on foreign
abroad. However a domestic company may still
exchange markets.
continue to make normal or even supernormal profits
in a number of circumstances. It may be able to cut its
Price of 2 s costs and hence lower its prices to keep its market
yen in 4
dollars
share and maintain profit levels. It may also be able to
improve its marketing or the quality of its products, so
they will still be demanded even at a higher relative
P
price. In overseas and home markets the company
P, may not experience a significant change in its profit
margin if the demand for its products is inelastic.
Example 26.9
Which of the following is a possible disadvantage of a
fixed exchange rate?
A Reserves will have to be held
Quantity of £s B_ There will be frequent changes in the value of the
currency
C Trade may be diminished because of exchange rate
Example 26.5 uncertainty
Under a freely floating exchange rate system, which D There will be an absence of external pressure to
of the following will cause an appreciation of the control inflationary pressures
pound sterling?
A Arise in French interest rates Example 26.10
B_ An increase in Japanese tourist expenditure in The exchange rate between country X and country Y
London is £1 = £2.0. To be as well off in country Y, a citizen
C An increase in speculative sales of sterling of country X earning £24 000 per annum would need
D The purchase by a British company of a to earn £72 000. What is the purchasing power parity
controlling interest in a company in Germany between the $ and £?
A 5:1 B 4:1 ,ele Ee D 2:1
Example 26.6
Example 26.11
A British shirt manufacturer sells 60 shirts per week
in the USA when the price is £10 per shirt and the The diagram below shows the market for the pound
exchange rate is £1 = $1.5. The US market has a unit sterling.
elasticity of demand for these shirts. If the sterling
price is unchanged, what is the maximum number of
Price of
shirts the manufacturer can sell in the USA if the fs in $s
exchange rate changes to £1 = $2?
A 40 B 45 C 60 D 80
Example 26.7
Which of the following will impose downward
pressure on the pound sterling? +
Example 26.8
Example 26.12
Which of the following would be likely to cause a
decrease in the UK’s reserves under a fixed exchange If a UK company keeps the German price of its
rate? exports unchanged after a fall in the value of the
A The issue of SDRs by the IMF pound the result will be:
sate outErica npational trade and government policy
A a decrease in the value of German sales valued in is 60 X $15 = $900. The change in the exchange rate
sterling will cause the US price to rise to $20. As elasticity of
B an increase in the value of German sales valued in demand for the shirt is unity, a rise in price will cause
sterling an equal percentage change in demand and total
C a decrease in the demand for its products in revenue will remain constant. Thus, as total revenue is
Germany $900 and each shirt sells for $20, the number of shirts
D an increase in the demand for its products in sold is $900/$20 = 45.
Germany
frequent changes in the exchange rate are claimed by ¢ Make use of the concept of price elasticity of
some economists to be disadvantages of a floating demand.
exchange rate.
Solution 26.13
Solution 26.10 Answer: C
Depreciation means a fall in the value of a currency in
The purchasing power parity theory states that the terms of another currency or currencies under a
exchange rate between currencies will be such that the floating exchange rate system. It is caused by an
purchasing power of the money will be the same in increase in the supply of the currency and/or a fall in
both countries, i.e. the amount that can be purchased demand for the currency.
with the money concerned. If, in order to be as well A depreciation will mean that exports, in terms of
off in country Y, a citizen earning £24 000 needs to foreign currency, will be cheaper, while imports, in
earn £72 000, the value of the currencies is $3 to £1 in terms of pounds, will be more expensive. A
terms of what the currencies will buy. Thus the depreciation not only makes exports more price-
official exchange rate is not reflecting the purchasing competitive, but also increases the competitiveness of
power of the respective currencies. those UK products sold on the home market that
compete against imports.
In the short term the demand for both imports and
Solution 26.11 Answer: C
exports will be inelastic, as there will not be time for
An increase in overseas investment by UK companies the pattern of demand to change. However if the
will mean that more sterling will be exchanged into demand for exports is elastic, then total revenue
foreign currencies to invest abroad. The supply of earned from exports should rise, as the fall in price
sterling will increase, causing price to fall and will cause a greater percentage rise in demand. Also,
demand to expand. The supply curve shifts to the expenditure on imports should decrease, since a rise
right, intersecting the original demand curve at C. in their price will cause a greater percentage fall in
demand. The Marshall Lerner condition states that if
depreciation of a currency is to improve the balance of
Solution 26.12 Answer: B payments position, the elasticity for exports and
A company can take advantage of a fall in the value of imports must be greater than one.
the currency either by allowing the foreign price of its Exporters may take advantage of the fall in the
product to fall, thereby raising demand for it, or by currency either by allowing the price of their goods to
leaving the foreign price constant. The latter option fall in foreign markets or by keeping their prices
will result in an increase in its revenue measured in its constant, raising their sterling profit margins.
own currency. For example, if initially £1 = 10 marks, If the depreciation results in a rise in export revenue
then a £6 good would sell in Germany for 60 marks. and a fall in expenditure on imports, there will be a
If, when the exchange rate falls to £1 = 5 marks, the net injection in the circular flow of income. This will
company keeps the price in Germany at 60 marks, it cause national income to rise by a multiple amount.
will receive £12 per good when it changes its earnings If more exports are sold, fewer imports are
from marks into pounds. purchased and NY is rising, then employment is also
likely to rise. This will occur unless there is already
full employment or underemployment or unless a rise
in output results entirely from increased capital or
changes in technology.
While it is believed that the demand for UK exports
is elastic, it is more doubtful whether some of the
Discuss the effects on the UK economy of a other conditions required for a depreciation to
depreciation in the sterling exchange rate. (25 improve the balance of payments position will be met.
marks)
If the demand for exports and imports is inelastic,
¢ Explain the meaning of depreciation. then a fall in the value of the pound will result in more
¢ Examine the internal and external effects of a being spent on imports and less being earned from
depreciation. exports. This will cause a deterioration in the balance
ational trade and government policy
export markets they will have to kéep price rises the government was unable to hold the value of the
down. pound and the UK left the ERM.
Membership of the ERM became a central part of More fundamental reasons for the UK’s departure
the government’s anti-inflation policy. However this were the government’s desire to gain more control
may itself have contributed to the UK’s departure over its monetary policy and concerns over the
from the ERM. A number of economists argued that operation of the ERM. The government had wanted to
the UK entered the ERM with an overvalued pound. cut the rate of interest to stimulate economic activity
The advantage of a high pound value is that it puts and reduce unemployment. However its ability to do
downward pressure on inflation. However an this was constrained by its membership of the
artificially high pound value is difficult to sustain and ERM. A cut in UK interest rates would have tended to
this is what the UK found in 1992. cause an outflow of money from UK financial
The UK left the ERM on ‘Black Wednesday’, 16 institutions to financial institutions in, for example,
September 1992. The immediate reason for the Germany. This would have caused the supply of
departure was the significant increase in the sale of sterling to increase, thereby putting downward
sterling on foreign exchange markets throughout the pressure on the pound.
world caused by the relatively high German interest There was also increasing awareness of the fact
rate, fears that France would not sign the Maastricht that, if the ERM was to work, the economies of the
Treaty, and a growing belief that the pound was member countries would have to converge. This was
overvalued. The Bank of England tried to prevent the not occurring in the early 1990s, when some member
downward fall in the value of the pound by large-scale governments were seeking to reduce inflation and
purchases of sterling and raising the interest rate by 5 others were seeking to promote output and
percentage points in two days. As speculation built up employment.
following:
Developing countries usually share most of the (1) Promoting export-led growth.
following characteristics: (2) Developing infant manufacturing industries.
(1) Low real income per capita. (3) Improving productivity in the primary sector.
(2) Low capital to labour ratio. (4) Using overseas aid to improve infrastructure,
(3) Low level of literacy. education and health systems.
(4) High birth rate.
(5) High infant mortality.
(6) Low productivity. (e) Overseas aid
(7) Poor industrial and social infrastructure. ¢ Bilateral aid is assistance from one government to
(8) High proportion of the population employed in another.
agriculture. ¢ Multilateral aid is channelled through
international organisations and charities to a
(c) Constrains of development number of countries. ;
A developing country may experience problems * Tied aid is given on condition that the funds are
increasing its output and productivity because of the used to purchase goods made in the donor country.
work out economics ¢ p mic
Countries give aid for the following reasons: 27.3 Data response
(1) Commercial: tied aid increases the exports of the
donor country. As the assisted country becomes BOSE: MESRie vie
27.2 study
(g) Which areas of the world do you think are Western European countries, the United States, Japan
included in ‘rich industrial areas’? (3 marks) and the countries of Australasia, but this could change
in the future.
Solution 27.2
(d) Both Portugal and Greece had GDP per capita Example 27.5
figures below the OECD average.
In the poorest countries of the world most of the
(e) Singapore and China share a number of economic population is employed in:
characteristics. They both have relatively high A the primary sector
population densities but they also have high annual B_ the secondary sector
growth rates. They both draw on ideas from outside C the tertiary sector
and are experiencing inward investment from D the quaternary sector
overseas. In addition both have relatively high
expenditure on secondary education and both are
Example 27.6
making advances in high-tech industries, albeit with
China a later comer onto the scene, but a later comer Exports from developing countries traditionally have:
with tremendous potential. A price elasticity of demand greater than one
B price elasticity of supply greater than one
(f) There are a number of ways in which a
C income elasticity of demand less than one
developing country could develop, but none of these
D cross-elasticity of demand of zero
are easy to achieve. The country could devote more of
its resources to education and training in an attempt to
improve long-term growth. It could encourage inward Example 27.7
investment from overseas to raise domestic
Middle-income economies that are developing rapidly
employment and to learn new methods and ideas. It
and gaining an increasing share of export markets are
could also seek overseas assistance and possibly
known as:
impose import restrictions. All these methods have
A lesser developed countries
their advantages and their costs.
B_ newly industrialised countries
(g) Currently ‘rich industrial countries’ include the C Third World countries
work out economics A MS
D Fourth World countries ‘ A Encouraging domestic firms to use the best raw
materials irrespective of the country they come
Examples 27.8 and 27.9 refer to the following
from
diagrams, which show the age distribution of the
B_ Replacing imports from high-cost countries with
populations of four countries.
imports from low-cost countries
A B C Using exports to buy manufactured imports rather
Age Age than agricultural products
D Using tariffs and other forms of trade restriction to
replace imports with domestic goods
Example 27.12
Which international organisation makes loans to poor
countries at concessionary rates?
Male Female Male Female
A IDA B_ IFC C IMF D WTO
Cc D
Age Age
will compete with other countries’ exports, cross- infant industry argument. The intention is to replace
elasticity of demand will not be zero. imported manufactured goods with home-produced
manufactured goods.
Example 27.14
(a) Explain what is meant by net emigration.
(3 marks)
(b) Why do most developing countries experienc e
Quantity net emigration? (7 marks)
0
4 ono g i tions trade and government policy
(c) What are the effects of net emigration on on the size of the net emigration. The country may
developing countries? (15 marks) move nearer to its optimum population size. However
the size of the labour force is likely to be reduced as
¢ Keep the definition brief.
most of the emigrants will tend to be of working age.
¢ Consider both the advantages and disadvantages
This may place a greater burden of dependency on
of net emigration.
remaining workers. Those who leave may be the more
able and enterprising workers, which would reduce
the overall quality of the remaining workforce. Also, a
Solution 27.14
shortage of particular skills, e.g. medicine, may be
(a) Net emigration means that more people are created if it is mainly workers from particular
leaving a country than entering it. It arises when categories who emigrate.
emigration exceeds immigration and results in a net The sex distribution of the population is likely to be
loss of people from the country. affected as it is usually men who emigrate. Those who
emigrate often send money home to relatives and, in
(b) Most developing countries experience net
the case of a number of developing countries,
emigration because of their relatively low income
transfers of money from people who have emigrated
levels, low job opportunities and low educational
abroad form a significant credit item in their balance
prospects. Some emigrants will initially go abroad to
of payments.
attend educational courses and then stay on. Others,
John Kenneth Galbraith has suggested that
unable to find jobs at home or dissatisfied with the
emigration from developing countries can be a
wages on offer, will leave the country to gain
significant force in economic development. He argues
employment abroad. For example a number of people
that in addition to sending back money to relatives,
from India and Pakistan are working in Gulf State
emigrants send back ideas about the methods of
countries. Related to higher incomes abroad,
production used abroad and the quality of life enjoyed
obviously, are higher living standards and, in some
there. People in the developing countries can copy
cases, better welfare provisions. Some emigrants will
these methods and can start to demand the goods,
leave in search of asylum from political or religious
education, health provisions etc. enjoyed by those in
persecution.
developed countries. Dissatisfaction with the quality
The number of people who emigrate will be
of their living standards may induce people to place
influenced not only by their willingness to leave but
greater pressure on their governments to adopt
also by the willingness of other countries to grant
appropriate development strategies. Galbraith believes
them entry.
that emigration will break the acceptance of poverty
(c) There are a number of possible economic effects in developing countries and relieve the pressure of
of net emigration, although of course they will depend overpopulation.
¢ Governments may have a number of other macro
objectives, such as a more equitable distribution of
income. This requires state intervention through
progressive taxation, income-related benefits etc.
There are three stages of government policy: ¢ Governments may also have a number of micro
(1) Objectives: The aims of government policies.
objectives, such as protection of the environment
or efficiency in the allocation of resources.
(2) Targets: variables through which the government
attempts to achieve its objectives.
(3) Instruments: policy tools over which the (c) Macroeconomic policies
government has control and are implemented to A central issue in macroeconomics is whether or not
influence target variables. markets automatically bring about equilibrium. If the
free operation of market forces automatically results
in a full employment level of national income with
(b) Economic objectives stable prices and economic growth, there is no need
Governments have four main macroeconomic aims: for government intervention to achieve equilibrium.
However, if the economy is unstable or slow to reach
(1) High employment.
satisfactory equilibrium, government economic
(2) Price stability. policies will be required. These include:
(3) Balance of payments equilibrium.
(4) Economic growth. (1) Monetary policy: the two main instruments are
changes in the money supply and interest rates. achieving objectives. New classical economists
(2) Fiscal policy: the two main instruments are favour measures such as reductions in tax rates or
changes in government spending and taxation. policies that reduce market distortions. These
(3) Prices and incomes policy usually involves a limit include:
on price rises and rises in incomes, particularly (a) increasing the gap between earnings from
wages. employment and the job seekers’ allowance
(4) Regional policy, where government measures to reduce voluntary and search
help influence the location of industry and people. unemployment;
(5) Exchange rate policy, which involves the (b) increasing, through training, the quality and
government managing the exchange rate to flexibility of the labour force;
achieve its aims — it may also be regarded as a (c) privatising nationalised industries to make
form of monetary policy. them subject to market forces;
(6) Import controls, where, for example, tariffs are (d) removing government restrictions to increase
used to reduce or stabilise imports. the efficiency of markets (deregulation);
(e) reducing the monopsony power of unions.
reducing taxation, only to find that demand is (f) From which sources can the government
rising anyway, this policy reinforces the cycle borrow? (4 marks)
rather than acting countercyclically.
(7) The economy may not respond in the way
Solution 28.2
anticipated. For example entrepreneurs may react
to rises in demand by increasing prices rather (a) The main form of government tax revenue is
than output. income tax, which in 1993—94 accounted for 21% of
(8) Some target variables are difficult to define. For total revenue.
example it is difficult to know which assets to
(b) Direct taxes are taxes on the income of
include in a measure of the money supply.
individuals and firms. Income tax, national insurance
(9) External shocks, e.g. a world recession, may
contributions and corporation tax are all examples of
undermine government policies.
direct taxes.
jative study (c) VAT revenue could increase if the rate of VAT
increased, the number of goods subject to VAT was
widened or if consumer expenditure rose.
An investigation into alternatives to state pensions as (d) Expenditure on law, order, protective services and
a way of providing for the elderly. defence are forms of ‘regrettable’ expenditure. They
do not cause living standards to rise. Increased
expenditure on these items is usually undertaken to
keep up with rising crime and perceived increases in
threats to national security.
(a) What is the main source of government tax (e) Social security expenditure is likely to fall with
revenue (2 marks) increased economic activity. With higher output
(b) Identify three direct taxes. (3 marks) unemployment is likely to fall and this would reduce
(c) What could cause, overtime, VAT revenue to government expenditure on the job seekers’
increase? (4 marks) allowance, income support and housing benefit. This
(d) Identify one form of government may have a significant impact on the level of
expenditure that could be classified as government expenditure as total social security
‘regrettable’. (2 marks) expenditure accounts for nearly a third of all
(e) Which forms of government expenditure are government spending.
likely to fall with an increase in economic Increased economic activity is likely not only to
activity? (10 marks) reduce government spending on, for example, social
Transport
National 4%
insurance
Corporation contributions
tax 14%
Law, order —
5% and protective Health
services 13%
Excise 5%
duties Defence
9% Business rates, 8% Education
council tax and 14% 12%
community charge
8%
security but also to raise tax revenue as more people C Increasing labour retraining schemes
will be in work and incomes will rise. This is likely to D Increasing government payments to the
reduce any PSBR the government is running, and may unemployed
even turn it into a PSDR. Hence debt interest
payments may fall.
It is also possible that increased economic activity Example 28.6
will reduce crime levels, thereby enabling expenditure Which of the following is an example of an automatic
on law, order and protective services to decline. stabiliser?
(f) The government can borrow from the Bank of A Child benefit
England. This is often referred to as resorting to the B_ Defence expenditure
printing press. It can also borrow from the retail C Education expenditure
banking sector. In both cases the borrowing will lead D The job seekers’ allowance
to an increase in the money supply. It can borrow
from overseas, either in sterling or in a foreign
Example 28.7
currency. However most government borrowing is
from the non-bank private sector. A government is faced with both demand-pull
inflation and a deficit in the current account of the
balance of payments. Which of the following policy
28.4 Objectiv measures might simultaneously reduce both
problems?
-Examp
eee
Re
A Devaluation B_ Revaluation C Reflation
D Deflation
Which of the following policies would a government
adopt to reduce both a surplus in the current account
of the balance of payments and inflation? Example 28.8
A Revalue the currency
B_ Increase income tax An example of a restrictionist monetary instrument is:
C Raise interest rates A an increase in direct taxation
D Impose import controls B_ a tight prices and incomes policy
C the conversion of long-term government debt into
short-term government debt
Example 28.4 D aswitch of government borrowing from the
Which combination of events might cause a banking sector to the non-bank private sector
government to lower interest rates and reduce direct
Examples 28.9 and 28.10 are based on the following
taxation? information. A country has a progressive income tax
A A deficit in the current account of the balance of system. The first £6000 earned is tax-free. Thereafter
payments and inflation
the next £18 000 of earned income is taxed at 25%
B_ A surplus in the current account of the balance of
and all taxable income above that is taxed at 50%.
payments and inflation
C A surplus in the current account of the balance of
payments and unemployment Example 28.9
D A deficit in the current account of the balance of
A person earns £20 000. What proportion of this
payments and unemployment
income is paid in tax?
A 50% B 25% C 175% D j5o%
Example 28.5
According to a supporter of supply-side economics,
Example 28.10
which of the following measures is most likely to
reduce unemployment? What is the marginal rate of tax paid when a person’s
A Increasing the money supply income rises from £24 000 to £24 001?
B_ Increasing public sector investment A 0.8 B 0.5 £03 D 0.1
work out economics eggaetiing Mee
Bonof 3
Which of the following is an example of fiscal policy? Lowering interest rates and reducing direct taxation
A Changes in interest rates will increase demand in the home economy. This is
B Changes in employees’ National Insurance likely to stimulate domestic output and employment.
contributions The increase in demand is also likely to increase
C A change from expansionary to restrictionist open- imports and possibly reduce exports (as home
market operations producers switch from foreign markets to the home
D Achange from a floating to a managed exchange market). This will reduce a current account surplus
rate and enable the home country to enjoy more goods and
services.
Example 28.12
Solution 28.5 Answer: C
The diagram below shows government spending to be
autonomous at a level of G. The initial tax structure is Supporters of supply-side economics urge the use of
T and the initial level of National Income is OY. The microeconomic incentives to raise output and
full employment level of national income is OY;,. A employment. They believe that, if the quantity and
new tax structure of 7, is introduced. quality of factors of production are improved and
markets operate more efficiently, growth and increases
Tax in employment will follow. Retraining schemes
revenue/
government should increase the productivity of labour.
spending
A = Supply-side economists believe that increases
in the money supply, if greater than the increase in
output, lead to higher prices but not to higher
employment in the long term.
B = Increasing public sector investment will
increase demand. Supply-side economists argue that
governments should concentrate on increasing
aggregate supply.
D = Increasing government payments to the
0 ¥ Ye
unemployed would narrow the gap between
National income
unemployment income and income from employment.
The change in taxes shows: Supply-side economists favour the opposite course of
A deflationary fiscal policy at OY action — ensuring that workers are better off in work.
B_ an expansionary fiscal policy at OY They believe that this will make people seek
C an increase in the budget deficit at OY employment more quickly and settle for lower wages.
D an increase in the budget surplus at OY;,
Solution 28.6 Answer: D
reduce demand-pull inflation. It should also reduce a taxed at 50%, i.e. £0.5 will be taken in tax. So the
current account deficit by reducing expenditure on marginal rate of tax is 0.5.
imports and possibly stimulating exports as a result of
the fall in domestic demand.
Solution 28.11 Answer: B
A => Devaluation should assist the current account
position, but may increase inflationary pressures as a Fiscal policy involves changes in the amount, timing
result of the rise in export earnings and a rise in and/or composition of government spending and
import prices. taxation. National Insurance contributions are a form
B = Revaluation should reduce inflation by of direct taxation.
lowering import prices, but it is likely to have an A and C = are examples of monetary policy.
adverse effect on the current account balance as a D = is an example of exchange rate policy, which
result of the fall in import prices and the rise in export can also be regarded as a form of monetary policy.
prices.
C = Reflation means increasing demand, and this
Solution 28.12 Answer: A
is likely to have an adverse effect on both the current
account position and inflation. The new tax structure will result in a smaller budget
deficit at OY than tax structure 7. This will reduce
demand.
Solution 28.8 Answer: D
B = An expansionary fiscal policy at OY would
When the government borrows from the retail banks, have been shown by arise in the gap between
e.g. by selling treasury bills, it increases their liquid government expenditure and taxation.
assets and hence their ability to lend. In contrast, C = The budget deficit has fallen rather than risen
when the government borrows from members of the at OY.
non-bank private sector it merely makes use of D = At OY,, the budget surplus is smaller than with
existing money. Switching borrowing from the taxation structure 7. There has been a decrease in the
banking to the non-bank private sector will tend to budget surplus.
reduce bank lending and hence reduce monetary
expansion.
A => An increase in direct taxation is a deflationary
fiscal policy.
B = A prices and incomes policy is a direct 28.6 Essays
government policy influencing incomes.
C = Issuing more short-term government debt is Example 28.13
an expansionary policy, since this will increase the
Should there be a shift from direct towards indirect
supply of liquid assets
taxation? (25 marks)
taxes and the advantages of indirect taxes. certain goods by reducing the amount of tax levied on
It is claimed by some economists that direct them. When indirect taxes are placed on goods for
taxation, particularly at a high level, acts as a which the private costs of production are below the
disincentive to effort. However studies have shown social costs, resources may be reallocated in a way
that few people (less than 10%) change the hours they that increases total economic welfare.
work when income tax rates are altered and that as However increasing the percentage of tax revenue
many work fewer hours as work more hours. accounted for by indirect taxation may give rise to a
A high level of corporation tax may discourage risk number of disadvantages. Indirect taxes are
taking and may discourage investment, since most regressive, since they take a higher percentage of the
investment is financed by retained profits. Direct income of the poor than of the rich. This is thought to
taxation may also reduce the savings of individuals, be one of the main disadvantages of indirect taxation,
since the rich save more than the poor and savings and although certain categories of goods may be zero-
may effectively be taxed twice: once when the income rated, the poor are less well protected than under
is earned and then when interest is received on the direct taxation.
part of income that is saved. Indirect taxes may be inflationary as a rise in
In addition to reducing the disadvantages arising indirect taxes will cause a rise in prices. They may
from direct taxation, a country would gain more of the also distort consumers’ patterns of expenditure and
advantages of indirect taxation by shifting the tax the allocation of resources. If, prior to the imposition
base. Indirect taxes are relatively cheap to administer of an indirect tax consumers were maximising their
and collect. For instance manufacturers and traders do total utility, then the tax would reduce consumer
most of the administrative work involved in VAT. satisfaction.
Indirect taxes can also be adjusted more quickly Some economists would also argue against shifting
than direct taxes. While direct taxes can be changed at the tax base, on the grounds that the advantages of
budget time and may involve complex revision of, for direct taxes are greater than those of indirect taxes.
example, PAYE codings, indirect taxes can be Direct taxes provide a high yield, and they are certain
changed relatively quickly. and convenient since most are deducted at source.
Indirect taxes are difficult to evade as they are They also have a stabilising effect, since during times
included in the price of the good. They may provide of recession tax revenue will fall, while during periods
more freedom of choice in terms of payment, of rising incomes tax revenue will rise. Direct taxes
although if a wide range of goods are taxed, this may also have the advantage of equity as most are
not be a significant advantage. Nevertheless it is progressive, so those who are most able to pay bear
thought that many people are unaware of the amount the greater burden.
of tax they are paying when they buy goods, and this The main arguments advanced for moving towards
may reduce the resentment they feel about paying a greater reliance on indirect taxation are a reduction
taxes. in the disincentive effect and economy of collection.
Some economists argue that indirect taxes do not However, because of the relative merits and demerits
discourage effort, since the taxes are linked to of each, the government will continue to rely on both
spending rather than earning. However if certain forms of taxation.
goods, e.g. cars and colour TVs, are highly taxed, this
may place them out of the reach of people who would Example 28.14
have been prepared to work longer hours to buy them. (a) Explain what is meant by discretionary fiscal
Indirect taxation can help to regulate the economy. policy. (4 marks)
At times of high demand, spending on goods will go (b) How may discretionary fiscal policy influence
up, which will cause the revenue from indirect aggregate demand? (5 marks)
taxation to go up, which in turn will reduce demand, (c) What problems may be experienced in the
although in real terms the burden of specific taxes will conduct of fiscal policy? (16 marks)
fall with inflation.
Indirect taxes can also be used for specific aims. * Define discretionary fiscal policy and distinguish
Particular goods may be taxed in order to discourage between it and automatic stabilisers.
the consumption of those goods, to protect domestic ¢ Consider the effect of expansionary and
industries and even to encourage the production of contractionary fiscal policy.
rK out econ icg@intermational trade and government policy
e Cover major areas of government failure, e.g. time standard rate of income tax, designed to raise
lags, and relate them to fiscal policy. spending. This may take two to three months to come
into or take effect, by which time gross pay and
demand may be rising anyway. So the policy will be
Solution 28.14
contributing to the cycle rather than acting
(a) Discretionary or active fiscal policy is when the countercyclically.
government takes a positive decision to alter The use of fiscal policy may have different effects
government spending or taxation to alter demand. on different government objectives. A contractionary
This contrasts with automatic stabilisers, which come fiscal policy may reduce inflation and a deficit in the
into effect when tax revenue and government current account of the balance of payments, but may
spending change independently of any deliberate have an adverse effect on employment and grants.
government action. There is the possibility that the economy may not
respond as anticipated to discretionary fiscal policy.
(b) The level of aggregate demand could be raised by
For instance a government may raise income tax in
an expansionary policy. This could involve an
order to reduce spending. However spending may not
increase in government spending and/or a reduction in
fall, or may not fall significantly if, for example,
taxation. An expansionary or reflationary fiscal policy
people choose and are able to work overtime to
would represent a net injection into the circular flow
maintain their current spending patterns and/or if
and would cause NY to rise by a multiple amount. It
people choose to reduce saving rather than spending.
may be used to reduce a deflationary gap.
A fiscal policy measure may also have undesirable
A deflationary or contractionary fiscal policy will
effects on other policy instruments and variables, or
result in a multiple fall in NY and will involve a fall in
may itself be constrained by these. A rise in
government expenditure and/or a rise in taxation. This
government spending, that is not financed by taxation
may be introduced in order to reduce or eliminate an
may increase the money supply and/or raise interest
inflationary gap.
rates. The latter may reduce private sector investment,
(c) There are a number of problems that may be which may, at least in part, offset the expansionary
encountered with fiscal policy. Some forms of effect of the increase in government spending. The
government spending may not be easy to change. For former may contribute, according to monetarist
instance a government committed to improving analysis, to inflation.
educational standards may find it difficult to reduce When past governments increased government
spending on education. Also, it will be difficult to spending to increase demand they encountered
reduce spending on a long-term investment project difficulties with the current account position of the
once it is underway. balance of payments. This resulted in ‘stop—go’ cycles
— i.e. governments adopted expansionary policies,
Tax revenues may be difficult to predict. When the whereupon NY and expenditure on imports rose, so
government alters indirect taxation it has to estimate deflationary fiscal policies were adopted to restore
the price elasticity of demand. An even more difficult current account equilibrium.
calculation may prove to be the multiplier. If the Monetarists claim that an expansionary fiscal policy
government gets this wrong, it may inject too much or aimed at increasing employment and growth will have
too little spending into the economy. an impact on prices rather than output if it is based on
There is also likely to be a time lag involved with increasing aggregate demand. They also consider that
fiscal policy, which means that the government has to fiscal policy may have very uncertain effects, as it is
be able to forecast accurately future changes in difficult to predict future changes in economic
economic variables. For instance a government may variables. They believe that monetary policy is more
announce in a November budget a reduction in the important and effective.
A B
Abnormal Balance of payments 223-4
losses 72 Balance of trade 224
profits 70 Balancing items 224
Absolute Bank multiplier 187
advantage 214 Birth rate 126
income hypotheses 160 Black
Activity rate 126 economy 151, 153
Ad valorem 30 markets 153
tax 30 Broad money 189
Adjustable peg 233 Business cycle 179
Ageing population 126
Aggregate demand 159, 166, 176-7 Cc
Aggregate Capacity 172
monetary demand 166 Causal unemployment 196
supply 166, 168-9, 176-7 Ceteris paribus 1,21
Aid 243 Cobweb theory 30, 37, 247
Allocative Command economy 3-4, 7-8
efficiency 82,117 Common Agricultural Policy 29, 216
inefficiency 79 Common market 215
Appreciation of sterling 232 Comparative advantage 214
Arbitrage 233 Competition policy 92, 97-8
Autonomous consumption 160, Competitive supply 22
185 Concentration ratios 70
Average Conditions of demand 12
cost pricing 61 Conditions of supply 22
costs 27, 61-2 Consumer
product of labour 53 expenditure 13-14
propensity toconsume 160 surplus 13
propensity tosave 161 Consumption 160
rate of tax 161 function 160
ZT
258ework out economicsi Index,
I M
Immobility of labour 133 MO 186
Imperfect competition 88 M4 186
Import Maastricht Treaty 216
controls 220 Macroeconomic
penetration 220 aims 249
prices 220 objectives 249
restrictions 220 policies 249
Imports 220 Macroeconomics 249
Income 108 Marginal cost curve 27,79
effects’ 13 Marginal cost pricing 27,79
elasticity of demand 41, 44, 50 Marginal
method 150 costs 27
Indirect taxation 30, 37, 254 efficiency of capital 161
Induced consumption 185 product of labour 53
Industrial inertia 99 propensity toconsume 160
Infant industries 215 propensity toimport 161
Inflation 203 propensity to save 161
Inflationary gap 204 propensity totax 161
Injections 171 rate of tax 161
Instruments 249 utility 13,17, 19
Integration 64 Market
Interest 107 concentration 70
rates 188 economy 3-4,7
Internal growth 64 failure 118, 122
International Bank for Reconstruction and penetration pricing 83
Development 235 structure 70
International Monetary Fund 235 supply curve 21
International trade 11,214 Marshall—Lerner condition 225
Investment 161, 165 Measurable economic welfare 152,
Invisible balance 224 156-7
Involuntary unemployment 195 Measure of value 186
Medium of exchange 186
J Mergers 64, 69
Jeffect 225 Merit goods 118, 123
Joint supply 22 Microeconomics 1
Minimum lending rate 188
K Minimum wage 138
Kaldor-Hicks test 118 Mixed economy 3-4,7
Keynesians 114 Model 1
Monetary
L aggregates 188
Labour market failure 133 base control 188
Law of diminishing marginal utility 13 policy 188, 250
Leakages 171 policy instruments 188
Lender of last resort 187 policy targets 188
Liabilities 187 Money 186
Limit pricing 83 illusion 204
Liquid asset ratio 188 measures 189
Liquidity 115 multiplier 187
preference 115 national income 152
trap 108 supply 193
Loanable funds (classical) 107 Monopolies 94
260=work outEconomics *Index
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