Chapter 1
Chapter 1
Chapter 1 and 2
What is a Derivative?
A derivative is an instrument whose value depends on, or is derived from, the value of
another asset.
Examples: futures, forwards, swaps, options, exotics…
Assets:
1. Equity ( stocks) Also called Variable income security. Build derivative on options.
2. Commodity (Gold) - Build derivates forwards & futures
3. Bonds/ Debts (Fixed Income Securities)
4. Exchange rate
5. Interest rate
6. Real estate
Early Evolution of Derivatives
1972 Foreign currency futures Options on currency futures
1973 Equity options and futures Options on equity-index futures
1975 T-Bill futures Interest rate caps and floors
1977 T-Bond futures 1985 Eurodollar options
1979 OTC currency options Swaptions
1980 Currency swaps 1987 Average options
1981 Equity index futures Commodity swaps
Options on T-Bond futures 1991 Banker's Trust creates the first
T-Note futures credit-default swap
Eurodollar futures
Interest rate swaps
1983 Options on T-Note futures
Derivatives Trading Before and After 1970
Before 1970
◦ Derivatives markets were small.
◦ Only futures contracts had a well-functioning market.
◦ Financial derivatives were unknown.
◦ No satisfactory option pricing model existed.
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Exchange Rate Risk: Bretton Woods
Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates (1944)
◦ Currencies were convertible to US dollar.
◦ Dollar was convertible to gold.
We will peg all the currencies to US Dollar. The exchange rate to US Dollar is Fixed. US dollar pegged to Gold. 1 ounce of Gold =$ 35. what's the
issue with this system??? Arbitrage opportunity. Firm wanted to secure their exchange rate which gave birth to the concept foreign currency
futures.
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Exchange Rate Risk (Cont’d)
In 1971: President Richard Nixon ended Bretton Woods. Need arose for
hedging currency risk.
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FIGURE 1.1: Global Derivatives Market. Derivatives
Notional Amounts (Dec 2016, in Billions of USD)
Equity-Linked Contracts
Commodity Contracts
(Global OTC), 6140, 1%
(Global OTC), 1350, 0%
Futures (Exchange-
Traded), 26172, 5%
Options (Exchange-
Traded), 41073, 7%
Forward Contracts
(6 months)
Forward contract = Over the counter not exchange traded, however if i want i can get a clearing house. Usually, OTFs are between trusted
parties.
Foreign Exchange Quotes for GBP, May 3,
2016 $/Sterling
Bid Offer
Bid = Buy
Spot 1.4542 1.4546 Offer = sell
$/GPB They will sell me GPB =$1.456. Therefore our
buying of Dollar is 1.456
In a month I can sell a 1-month forward 1.4544 1.4548
GPB at 1.4544 and I can
buy GPB at 1.4548.
Difference between Bid 3-month forward 1.4547 1.4551
and offer = spread
Profit
20
60 80 100
Price of Underlying at Axis = Market price at Delivery . this
K Maturity, ST is not the forward price
-20
-40
Profit from a Short Forward Position (K=
delivery price=forward price at time contract is entered into)
Profit
Price of Underlying
at Maturity, ST
K
Forward Contract Example
oCurrent price of soybeans is $160/ton Spot price
oLong side will buy 1,000 tons from short side at $165/ton in 3 months
When the underlying assets is crop, weather is conducive, If weather is good supply is more hence market
price on future date is going to below the forward price. If weather is bad demand of crop is more hence market
price > forward price.
Read about weather derivates. ====Assignment
Futures are ETFs not OTC. Quantity is fixed, Maturity is fixed, delivery is fixed.
Futures Contracts
oA futures contract is an exchange-traded, standardized, forward-like contract that is
marked to market daily. This contract can be used to establish a long (or short) position
in the underlying asset.
oFeatures of Futures Contracts
o Standardized contracts:
o Underlying commodity or asset
o Quantity
o Maturity
o Delivery Arrangements (place)
o Delivery Months
oExchange traded
oGuaranteed by the clearinghouse—no counter-party risk I my not know the party on the other side of the trade.
oGains/losses settled daily (marked to market) Long and short position have to put up Margins. Value of security is
decided by clearing house.
oMargin required as collateral to cover losses
Examples of Future Trade
An investor takes a long position in 2 December gold futures
contracts on June 5
◦ contract size is 100 oz Total Ounces = 200
◦ futures price is US$1,250/ounce
◦ initial margin requirement is US$6,000/contract
(US$12,000 in total)
July 5 December
◦ maintenance margin is US$4,500/contract
(US$9,000 in total)
Pay $ 1250 per
ounce on december
Big difference between forward and future = Futures have MTM and Forwards dont have
Variation Margin
A Possible Outcome
Broker Broker
Short Trader
Long Trader
Margins
A margin is cash or marketable securities deposited by an investor
with his or her broker
The balance in the margin account is adjusted to reflect daily
settlement
Margins minimize the possibility of a loss through a default on a
contract
Margins Cash Flow
A trader has to bring the balance in the margin account up to the
initial margin when it falls below the maintenance margin level
These daily margin cash flows are referred to as variation margin
A member is also required to contribute to a default fund
Options are exchange traded. That means they are standardize. Underlying asset is a stock.
Call Options
Call option = BUY a stock at a certain date at certain price.
eg: Share trading at 60 per share. I think that stock price will go up at $ 70/share
Spot price = S0 = $60
I get into a contract with you to buy the stock from you at $ 65 per share. This called as strike price. This is denoted by K. Cannot negotiate this price. The
market price is denoted as S Market price at maturity
Long position I have an option to walk away from the option contract or not exercise the option. Say after 3 motnhs the asset is selling at $ 62. The short
position cannot not exercise the option or walk away. Long position has the right to exercise the option not the obligation. The short position has only the
obligation not the right. The long position will pay some amount at the start of the option. The price paid at the beginning is the option price or call premium.
If I walk away or exercise the option the short position fellow gets to keep the call premium.
Options
Put options written in the notebook.
Google Call Option Prices from CBOE (May 8, 2013; Stock Price
is bid 871.23, offer 871.37)
Strike Jun 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 2013 Dec 2013
Price Bid Offer Bid Offer Bid Offer
Strike Jun 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Sep 2013 Dec 2013 Dec 2013
Price Bid Offer Bid Offer Bid Offer
Speculators speculation
Arbitrageurs Arbitrage
Hedging Examples
A US company will pay £10 million for imports from Britain in 3
months and decides to hedge using a long position in a forward
contract
An investor owns 1,000 Microsoft shares currently worth $28 per
share. A two-month put with a strike price of $27.50 costs $1. The
investor decides to hedge by buying 10 contracts
I anticipate that in 2 months the price is $ 25. So I will Long Put at 2 months strike price $ 27.5 Premium
Pay off = 2.5 per share
Profit = 1.5 per share
Speculation Example
An investor with $2,000 to invest feels that a stock price will
increase over the next 2 months. The current stock price is $20 and
the price of a 2-month call option with a strike of 22.50 is $1
What are the alternative strategies?
Alternative 2: Buy call option at strike price $ 22.5
Alternative 1: Buy share now at $ 20 and sell after 2 months.
S0 = $20
S0 (spot price) = $20 K = $22.5
Buy 100 Shares = $2000/20 No. of shares = 2000 shares. ($2000/$1)
Period =2months Call premium = $2000 (2000 shares * $1)
Lets say ST (Market price) = $25 then profit = $500
Lets say ST (Market price) = $15 then profit = - $500 Lets say ST = $ 25 then payoff = $5000 and profit $3000
Lets say ST = $15 then payoff = 0 Loss $ 2000