PhysicsAndMathsTutor.

com

Write your name here

Surname Other names

Pearson Edexcel Centre Number Candidate Number

International
Advanced Level

Statistics S2
Advanced/Advanced Subsidiary

Monday 22 June 2015 – Morning Paper Reference

Time: 1 hour 30 minutes WST02/01

You must have: Total Marks
Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables (Blue)

Candidates may use any calculator allowed by the regulations of the

Joint Council for Qualifications. Calculators must not have the facility
for symbolic algebra manipulation, differentiation and integration, or
have retrievable mathematical formulae stored in them.
Instructions
tt Use black ink or ball-point pen.
If pencil is used for diagrams/sketches/graphs it must be dark (HB or B).
Coloured pencils and highlighter pens must not be used.
t Fill in the boxes at the top of this page with your name,
centre number and candidate number.
t clearly labelled.
Answer all questions and ensure that your answers to parts of questions are

t Answer the questions in the spaces provided

– there may be more space than you need.
t You should show sufficient working to make your methods clear. Answers
without working may not gain full credit.
t Values from the statistical tables should be quoted in full. When a calculator is
used, the answer should be given to an appropriate degree of accuracy.
Information
tt The total mark for this paper is 75.
The marks for each question are shown in brackets
– use this as a guide as to how much time to spend on each question.
Advice
tt Read each question carefully before you start to answer it.
Try to answer every question.
t Check your answers if you have time at the end. Turn over

P44847A
©2015 Pearson Education Ltd.
*P44847A0124*
5/1/1/
 PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com
Leave
blank
1. A continuous random variable X has cumulative distribution function

⎧
⎪ 0 x<2
⎪
⎪ 1 2
⎪ ( x − 4) 2 x 4
⎪ 20
F( x ) = ⎨
⎪ 1
⎪ (2 x − 5) 4<x 5
⎪
⎪ 5
⎪ x>5
⎪⎩ 1

(a) Calculate P(X 4)

(2)

(b) Find the value of a such that P(3 X a) = 0.642

(4)

(c) Find the probability density function of X, specifying it for all values of x.
(4)
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________

2
*P44847A0224*
 PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com
Leave
blank
2. A company produces chocolate chip biscuits. The number of chocolate chips per biscuit
has a Poisson distribution with mean 8

(a) Find the probability that one of these biscuits, selected at random, does not contain 8
chocolate chips.
(2)

A small packet contains 4 of these biscuits, selected at random.

(b) Find the probability that each biscuit in the packet contains at least 8 chocolate chips.
(3)

A large packet contains 9 of these biscuits, selected at random.

(c) Use a suitable approximation to find the probability that there are more than 75
chocolate chips in the packet.
(5)

A shop sells packets of biscuits, randomly, at a rate of 1.5 packets per hour. Following an
advertising campaign, 11 packets are sold in 4 hours.

(d) Test, at the 5% level of significance, whether or not there is evidence that the rate of
sales of packets of biscuits has increased. State your hypotheses clearly.
(5)
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________

4
*P44847A0424*
 PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com
Leave
blank
Question 2 continued
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________

5
*P44847A0524* Turn over
 PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com
Leave
blank
3. A piece of spaghetti has length 2c, where c is a positive constant. It is cut into two pieces
at a random point. The continuous random variable X represents the length of the longer
piece and is uniformly distributed over the interval [c, 2c].

(a) Sketch the graph of the probability density function of X

(2)
2
c
(b) Use integration to prove that Var(X) =
12 (6)

(c) Find the probability that the longer piece is more than twice the length of the shorter
piece.
(3)

___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________

___________________________________________________________________________

8
*P44847A0824*
 PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com
Leave
blank
Question 3 continued
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________

9
*P44847A0924* Turn over
 PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com
Leave
blank
4. A single observation x is to be taken from a Poisson distribution with parameter

This observation is to be used to test, at a 5% level of significance,

H0: = k H1: k

where k is a positive integer.

Given that the critical region for this test is (X = 0) ∪ (X 9)

(a) find the value of k, justifying your answer.

(3)

(b) Find the actual significance level of this test.

(2)
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________

12
*P44847A01224*
 PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com
Leave
blank
5. A bag contains a large number of counters with 35% of the counters having a value of 6
and 65% of the counters having a value of 9

A random sample of size 2 is taken from the bag and the value of each counter is recorded
as X1 and X2 respectively.

The statistic Y is calculated using the formula

2 X1 + X 2
Y =
3
(a) List all the possible values of Y.
(2)

(b) Find the sampling distribution of Y.

(5)

(c) Find E(Y).

(2)
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________

14
*P44847A01424*
 PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com
Leave
blank
6. Past information at a computer shop shows that 40% of customers buy insurance when
they purchase a product. In a random sample of 30 customers, X buy insurance.

(a) Write down a suitable model for the distribution of X.

(1)

(b) State an assumption that has been made for the model in part (a) to be suitable.
(1)

The probability that fewer than r customers buy insurance is less than 0.05

(c) Find the largest possible value of r.

(2)

A second random sample, of 100 customers, is taken.

The probability that at least t of these customers buy insurance is 0.938, correct to 3
decimal places.

(d) Using a suitable approximation, find the value of t.

(6)

The shop now offers an extended warranty on all products. Following this, a random
sample of 25 customers is taken and 6 of them buy insurance.

(e) Test, at the 10% level of significance, whether or not there is evidence that the
proportion of customers who buy insurance has decreased. State your hypotheses
clearly.
(5)
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
16
*P44847A01624*
 PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com
Leave
blank
Question 6 continued
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________

17
*P44847A01724* Turn over
 PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com
Leave
blank
7. A random variable X has probability density function

⎧
⎪ 2x
⎪ 0 x k
⎪ 15
⎪
⎪
⎪
f ( x) = ⎨ 1
⎪ (5 − x ) k x 5
⎪ 5
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪⎩ 0 otherwise

(a) Showing your working clearly, find the value of k.

(5)

(b) Write down the mode of X.

(1)
⎛ ⎞
(c) Find P ⎜⎜ X k⎟⎟
k
X
⎟
⎝ 2 ⎠ (4)
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________

20
*P44847A02024*
 PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com
Leave
blank
Question 7 continued
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________

21
*P44847A02124* Turn over