Additional Assessment Materials

Summer 2021

Pearson Edexcel GCE in Mathematics

9FM0_3B (Public release version)

Resource Set 1: Topic 4

Hyperthesis testing
Pearson: helping people progress, everywhere

Pearson aspires to be the world’s leading learning company. Our aim is to help
everyone progress in their lives through education. We believe in every kind of learning,
for all kinds of people, wherever they are in the world. We’ve been involved in education
for over 150 years, and by working across 70 countries, in 100 languages, we have built
an international reputation for our commitment to high standards and raising
achievement through innovation in education. Find out more about how we can help
you and your students at: www.pearson.com/uk

Additional Assessment Materials, Summer 2021

All the material in this publication is copyright

© Pearson Education Ltd 2021

General guidance to Additional Assessment Materials for use in 2021

Context
 Additional Assessment Materials are being produced for GCSE, AS and A
levels (with the exception of Art and Design).
 The Additional Assessment Materials presented in this booklet are
an optional part of the range of evidence teachers may use when deciding
on a candidate’s grade.
 2021 Additional Assessment Materials have been drawn from previous
examination materials, namely past papers.
 Additional Assessment Materials have come from past papers both
published (those materials available publicly) and unpublished (those
currently under padlock to our centres) presented in a different format to
allow teachers to adapt them for use with candidate.

Purpose
 The purpose of this resource to provide qualification-specific sets/groups
of questions covering the knowledge, skills and understanding relevant to
this Pearson qualification.
 This document should be used in conjunction with the mapping guidance
which will map content and/or skills covered within each set of
questions.
 These materials are only intended to support the summer 2021 series.
1. The number of customers entering Jeff’s supermarket each morning follows a Poisson
distribution.

Past information shows that customers enter at an average rate of 2 every 5 minutes.

Using this information,

(a)(i) find the probability that exactly 26 customers enter Jeff’s supermarket during a
randomly selected 1-hour period one morning,
(2)
(ii) find the probability that at least 21 customers enter Jeff’s supermarket during a
randomly selected 1-hour period one morning.
(2)

A rival supermarket is opened nearby. Following its opening, the number of customers
entering Jeff’s supermarket over a randomly selected 40-minute period is found to be 10

(b) Test, at the 5% significance level, whether or not there is evidence of a decrease in the
rate of customers entering Jeff’s supermarket. State your hypotheses clearly.
(4)

A further randomly selected 20-minute period is observed and the hypothesis test is repeated.
Given that the true rate of customers entering Jeff’s supermarket is now 1 every 5 minutes,

(c ) calculate the probability of a Type II error.

(5)
(Total for Question 1 is 13 marks)
2. Information was collected about accidents on the Seapron bypass. It was found that the
number of accidents per month could be modelled by a Poisson distribution with mean 2.5

Following some work on the bypass, the numbers of accidents during a series of 3-month
periods were recorded. The data were used to test whether or not there was a change in
the mean number of accidents per month.

(a) Stating your hypotheses clearly and using a 5% level of significance, find the
critical region for this test. You should state the probability in each tail.
(5)
(b) State P(Type I error) using this test.
(1)

Data from the series of 3-month periods are recorded for 2 years.

(c) Find the probability that at least 2 of these 3-month periods give a significant result.
(3)
Given that the number of accidents per month on the bypass, after the work is completed,
is actually 2.1 per month,

(d) find P(Type II error) for the test in part (a).

(3)
(Total for Question 2 is 12 marks)

3. A company claims that the proportion of visitors to its website who make a purchase is 0.03

Nina believes that the proportion of visitors to the website who make a purchase is less
than 0.03 and asks the company for some data to test this.

The company tells Nina, for a particular day, the number of visits to its website until a
purchase is made. Nina assumes that visits to the website are made independently and
that each visitor has the same probability of making a purchase.

(a) Using a 5% level of significance, find the critical region for this test.
State your hypotheses clearly.
(5)
(b) Find the actual level of significance for this test.
(2)
The 94th visitor to the website was the first person to make a purchase.

(c) Test, at the 5% level of significance, whether or not there is evidence that the
proportion of visitors who make a purchase is less than 0.03.
(2)
(Total for Question 3 is 9 marks)
4. The random variable X ~ Geo(p).
A test is to be carried out using the hypotheses
H0: p = 0.4 H1: p < 0.4
Given that the probability of a Type I error is to be as close as possible to 5%,
(a) find the critical region for the test. Show your working clearly.
(6)
Given that actually p = β and that the probability of a Type II error for this test is 0.5,
(b) find the value of β giving your answer to 3 significant figures.
(4)

(Total for Question 4 is 10 marks)