Strategyand Re Inventing Pharma With Artificial Intelligence
Strategyand Re Inventing Pharma With Artificial Intelligence
Pharma with
Artificial
Intelligence
Three steps for
pharmaceutical
companies to
seize the $250bn
AI value potential
in the future
of health
Contacts
Austria Dr. Thomas Solbach Thalita Marinho
Matthias Schlemmer Partner, Strategy& Germany Partner, Strategy& UK
Partner, Strategy& Austria +49-170-2238-477 +44-7900-163-439
+43-664-5152-939 [email protected] [email protected]
[email protected]
Switzerland United States
Germany Matthias Leybold Ronald Chopoorian
Dr. Christian Kaspar Partner, PwC Switzerland Partner, PwC United States
Partner, Strategy& Germany +41-58-792-1396 +1-973-449-6042
+49-170-9362-692 [email protected] [email protected]
[email protected]
United Kingdom Philip Sclafani
Dr. Jens Neumann Colin Light Partner, PwC United States
Partner, Strategy& Germany Partner, Strategy& UK +1-631-767-2540
+49-172-2337/689 +44-7782-329-322 [email protected]
[email protected] [email protected]
In the last year, most pharmaceutical companies focused on understanding the impact on their
business from AI and prioritized specific use cases that would help them stay ahead. As such,
we based our research on an analysis of more than 200 AI use cases with 25 experts and
thought leaders from healthcare, pharma, and technology with the following results:
• Pharma companies that industrialize AI use cases across their organizations have the
potential to double their operating profit in 2030
• AI use cases in operations account for 39% of the impact by boosting efficiency on the
production, material, and supply chain costs
• R&D accounts for 26% of the impact, followed by commercial at 24%, with AI increasing
efficiencies in developing new medicines and opening up new ways of interaction
• Pharma’s enabling functions contribute 11%, with AI increasing the speed and efficiency
of supporting processes such as IT, finance, HR, and legal and compliance
• In total, pharma companies could gain an additional $254bn in annual operating profits
worldwide by 2030, assuming a high degree of industrialization of AI use cases; the
additional AI value would include $155bn in the US and $33bn in Europe (EEA, Switzerland,
and the UK)
• We expect that AI will exceed this impact in research beyond 2030 by far, leading to an
even higher divide between AI leaders and followers in terms of revenues and value
chain efficiencies
1
Pharmaceutical companies need to assess and build
organizational structures to execute their priorities fast.
So far, hybrid delivery models with cloud hyperscalers
and an implementation partner are delivering faster
than internal, IT-led or vendor-led constructs.
Organize for
delivery
2
The creation of processes for incubating innovation
and the setup of dedicated teams to experiment
with the rapidly evolving models and adjacent
technologies (e.g., LLM Ops platforms) is separating
leaders from followers.
Establish
incubators
3
As AI products are delivered, the way that business
is executed will fundamentally change with great
impact on the workforce. Products only capture value
if they are used with responsibility and impact.
Top-down programs are required to address concerns
ROI follows and drive adoption.
adoption
EXHIBIT 1
AI value realization for pharmaceutical companies
Indirect AI value inside the pharmaceutical company Direct AI value in the pharmaceutical ecosystem
AI-based enhancement of existing business model Monetization of AI-centered products and/or services
by enhancing pharmaceutical value chain including new business model
2.3
+20.2
100%
AI-driven performance
improvement potential
4.9
7.8
5.2
20.0
For this study, we investigated over 200 use cases that leverage AI from our industry experience
and past client projects. The use cases were evaluated for their indirect value contribution
to a typical innovative pharmaceutical company with an operating margin of 20%. Each use
case was connected to baseline elements of a pharma profit and loss (P&L) baseline. We
interviewed 25 experts and thought leaders from healthcare, pharma, and technology who
estimated the range of impact that each use case would have on the P&L elements when fully
implemented. Some steps in the pharmaceutical value chain had more use case possibilities
than others. We therefore added a marginal utility function to model the decreasing benefits of
additional use cases for each process. In addition, the interviewees evaluated the degree to
which the cases will disrupt existing business and operating models and the cases’ feasibility
of implementation.
Overall, pharma companies that industrialize AI use cases completely across their organizations
have the potential to double today’s operating profits by boosting revenues and reducing costs.
We expect that this industrialization process will begin to be fully realized by companies
prioritizing AI by 2030. Our model also takes into account different speeds of AI adoption, with
the US leading the way, followed by emerging markets, and Europe.
In total, pharma companies could gain an additional $254bn in operating profits worldwide
by 2030, assuming a high degree of industrialization of AI use cases. This additional AI value
would include $155bn in the US, $52bn in emerging markets, $33bn in Europe and $14bn
in remaining countries. This extrapolation is based on a 5.7% CAGR of the pharmaceutical
industry without the effects of AI.
EXHIBIT 3
Global distribution of the AI value potential
33 bn USD
AI EU
52 bn USD
AI Emerging Markets
155 bn USD
AI US
254 bn USD
AI Global
For pharma development, AI use cases can both accelerate the trial process and inform critical
trial design and gate decisions, such as in- or outsourcing and, if relevant, principal investigator
(PI) and site selection. So far, pharma companies mainly use AI to drive operational excellence
in within trials, like Amgen applying their Analytical Trial Optimization Module (ATOMIC).3
However, other use cases also take a quite prominent rank in our analysis, e.g., the usage of
synthetic data to create entirely simulated patient populations (3-6% of overall value potential)
and the enhancement of patient experience during trials with AI-based automation and
personalization (2-4%), or the orchestration of multiple and decentralized trials. Overarchingly,
AI will act as a support for any repetitive task in R&D such as automated document and text
creation for lab notebooks, health records, and regulatory submissions whilst increasing speed
and output of affected teams.
Pharmaceutical companies can leverage these use cases by enhancing their processes with
AI-based R&D software such as Schrödinger or Verge Genomics, sourcing the necessary data
und upskilling their R&D departments. In other cases, such innovative AI companies build their
own drug pipeline around their algorithms such as Exscientia or Insilico Medicine, which have
then facilitated new partnerships and investments by big pharmaceutical companies.
Nonetheless, the overall complexity of AI-powered R&D and the level of disruption that it
brings for internal processes remains high.
AI value in operations
When looking at pharmaceutical operations we typically consider the domains of procurement,
production, quality and supply chain management. Operations plan and execute the supply
and distribution of high-quality products based on forecast demand. AI is a key driver of
more data-driven, measurable, and transparent decisions, especially once high portfolio and
manufacturing complexity and pressure from drug shortages is added to the mix.
Operations has the highest AI potential in the pharmaceutical value chain (39% of overall AI
potential) because related use cases can affect a large part of the costs of pharma companies.
Currently, adoption of AI in operations across industries remains relatively low, as many
applications require more data collection and changes to the manufacturing infrastructure.
Our analysis shows that many use cases can also be applied to existing facilities while only
requiring process or decision framework changes.
Production has been an attractive area for AI application for years. For example, Sanofi
has partnered with Aily Labs to develop plai, an AI platform that supports manufacturing,
among other processes. The platform is helping Sanofi to optimize its use of raw materials,
contributing to the company’s environmental objectives and supporting improved cost
efficiency.4 In addition, optimization of manufacturing scheduling and output based on
AI sensing demand and supply needs is expected to deliver outstanding value, reducing
production costs by up to 10%, representing 5-11% of the overall value potential from AI.
Another case is the application of digital twins and predictive maintenance for facilities
(2-7%) that, for example, indicate when machine parts need replacing by analyzing vibrations
or voltage patterns and predicts stoppage.
The quality function has to deal with challenges in transparency on product quality,
cumbersome manual quality processes, and the difficulty of understanding the root causes
for issues. AI helps with multiple use cases such as predictive quality management (5-13%),
where deviations can be identified in time and occurred problems can be reviewed for root
causes automatically. AI generating quality documents, such as incident reports, adds 4-11%
to the overall AI value potential.
The most impactful AI use case for the supply chain is enhanced demand forecasts (5-12%
of the overall AI potential). As AI in the supply chain has to be applied to complex worldwide
production footprints, many examples are focused on specific subsets of the supply network.
Pfizer leverages AI in collaboration with Controlant to optimize inventory prediction, employing
a data tracking system that is compatible with GPRS signals for real-time monitoring of
vaccine and component deliveries.5
On a strategic level, enhanced accuracy from commercial analytics and market trend analysis
is a major driver for increased revenue (2-6% of overall AI potential). Scientific information
platforms that enable commercial users to navigate complex medical and regulatory
frameworks for market access strategies account for 2-5% of the AI value potential. For
example, large language models can be used here to let users query regulatory bodies while
other models can predict the success of submissions to the authorities.
In pricing, AI applicability is largely dependent on each market’s data availability and regulative
environment. Such differences are the main reasons for the different levels of value from
AI that pharmaceutical companies will see in different regions. AI can perform simulations
of reimbursement and pricing models to evaluate the impact of different scenarios on the
profitability of market access for pharmaceutical products. It can combine real world data on
patient populations with the data from clinical trials to deliver parameters for pricing models
that are optimized to appeal to payers. Payer contract terms and conditions can be generated
automatically, and pricing committee negotiations can be supported by AI assistants, leading
to optimized rebate agreements. Our analysis shows that different pricing use cases in total
make up for 4-9% of the AI potential until 2030.
For the sales and commercial function, AI can add value via both revenue and efficiency
levers: Virtual sales representatives streamline account management (2-5%), as well as
patient segmentation and identification (2-7%). Combined with patient advisory and treatment
adherence services (also 2-7%) and automated medical info response generation, revenues
can be boosted while saving capacity.
AI supports the sales force significantly: For example, AstraZeneca is showing how AI can be
deployed to improve customer service coaching for sales representatives. The AI model builds
on AstraZeneca’s existing field data to enhance customer interactions.6 Veeva‘s AI-powered
CRM platform is used by many pharma companies already – it enables them to deliver auto-
personalized marketing and promotional content to healthcare professionals (HCP) efficiently
and at scale.7 Realizing the AI value potential in commercial will be challenging, not only
AI also plays a pivotal role in reshaping marketing strategies through enhanced customer
targeting, personalization and automated content generation, optimized marketing strategies
and competitor monitoring, as well as insightful predictive analysis and faster research.
The use cases for business development score better in terms of feasibility and are expected
to require fewer internal and external changes. Accordingly, these use cases should be
regarded as a priority if relevant. Overall, the AI re-invention of the pharmaceutical commercial
domain is quite comparable to other industries’ sales functions.
Information Technology (IT): IT has a dual role in the AI reinvention. On the one hand, it is the
main enabler for the organization to use AI technology in the first place by providing tools,
talent, and training. On the other hand, IT capabilities and processes themselves are subject
to AI optimization. Two major fields of AI application in IT in our analysis were software
development and data engineering. Both are types of expressed, systematic language, that AI
can naturally take over at impressive quality and speed. AI as a “copilot” for developers and
data engineers can achieve efficiency gains between 10-30% on IT labor costs, enabling IT
departments to deliver more output and speed at the same cost.
At the same time, the overall process excellence of IT can be enhanced, for example for
bottleneck prediction at operations centers or with highly advanced chatbots for IT service.
Mundane tasks like data cataloging or IT asset inventory maintenance can be automated
to a large extent. Overall, we expect a share of over 3% of the overall AI potential to come
from IT use cases. AI can thus support the CIO in enabling AI success across the organization,
especially in times of increased cyber attacks and pressure on IT resilience due to a severe
shortage of talent.
Human Resources (HR): AI holds a high potential for HR in almost all areas of the employee
lifecycle, especially recruiting, workforce and talent management, and training. The biggest
challenge is harnessing this immense power to make processes more efficient and less
biased, while preserving the interpersonal element.
In the future, AI will support recruiters to create better job requirements, personalize their
reach-outs to candidates based on their preferences, and offer productive and efficient ways
to navigate all the incoming profiles. In recruitment, HR staff will be able to invest more time in
interpersonal communication, as AI takes over the mundane tagging of skills and experiences
from the unstructured data of candidates and other transactional volume drivers. Internally, AI
can support with unbiased candidate selection and the onboarding and training of new hires.
While this seems low at first sight, the enhanced output, speed, and quality HR can gain has a
strategic and transformative importance. AI opens up another hard-to-fill talent gap for
pharmaceutical companies, and the existing workforce needs to be trained for AI skills – all of
that has to be realized with a next level employee experience to stay competitive. Thus, AI is
not only an opportunity for HR to be enhanced, but also a main field to act as an enabler.
Finance: Just like the other corporate functions, finance is both an enabler and profiteer of AI.
As an enabler, the CFO has to understand the impact of this technology on the value chain
and allocate resources to the most promising projects – including overarching initiatives such
as AI copilots. Within the finance organization, AI lets teams automate repetitive tasks, lets
them generate complex reports from only a short prompt, as well as it aggregates and analyzes
data for them. There are many use cases for the different finance capabilities that are worth
considering in this context.
Our experts identified three use cases in particular as especially impactful: Cashflow and
liquidity forecasting powered by AI reduces the time spent on manual analysis and optimizes
the working capital of the company (3-7% of overall AI potential). Forecasting accuracy is
improved by regularly retraining the prediction model from historic patterns. Identification
and ranking of critical value drivers can be automated and enhanced with AI. Finance teams
can leverage algorithms to swiftly analyze data, identify patterns, and determine which factors
influence business outcomes with the highest impact (3-7%). AI chatbots can answer
questions about datasets and document libraries, combining and processing data from
different sources. Currently, data search and analysis in treasury, accounting and controlling
is a largely manual and mundane task. We estimate that using AI chatbots for data searches
and analysis in finance can deliver 1-2% of the overall AI potential for pharma companies.
Indeed, we recommend treating the finance function as a focus area for AI among the enabling
functions, given that it accounts for 6% of the total AI value potential across the company.
Legal, compliance and ethics, and the internal audit function: More than 20 AI use cases were
analyzed in these areas, with significant benefits identified, especially from legal AI use cases
that reduced costs and optimized outputs. In total, these remaining AI-enabled functions
contribute 0.3% of the overall value potential. One compelling example for many pharmaceutical
companies is the generation, validation, and comparison of complex contracts with AI models.
• Rapidly evolving technology and lagging regulatory environments for its application
to health- and pharma-related challenges. The recently passed European AI Act is one
example of regulation that classifies health-related AI applications as “high risk” and
thus raises the bar for realizing value in terms of AI explainability and accountability.
These challenges slowed down adoption in the past – newer and more forward-looking studies
suggest that health and pharma are closing the AI value gap in an accelerated way.9 Our
forthcoming study “Embracing the GenAI Opportunity” highlights how Generative AI gives even
inexperienced users access to advanced AI capabilities at scale.10 As a result, the introduction
and adoption of AI across the pharmaceutical value chain will accelerate even stronger.
The overall race to generate value from AI is a marathon stretching over the next decade.
Pharmaceutical companies that embark on the AI journey, need to get going and make their
AI strategies actionable, overcome data challenges, and seek functional partnerships to deliver
first use cases. However, we observe that a major share of the industry has started prioritizing
AI use cases. For them, there is a sprint ahead to deliver on the value promise of AI and invest
into speed. We identified three critical steps that the most successful pharma AI leaders are
executing this year in order to realize the full AI potential:
Beyond the indirect value potential for pharma companies outlined above, AI has the
potential to transform each health industry sector with new AI services for consumers,
patients, and healthcare professionals and new market entrants (see Exhibit 4, next page):
• AI-powered consumer health solutions enable personal health tracking, virtual clinical
trials, and patient monitoring and education through apps, platforms, and devices
such as Whoop.12 AI underpins new types of remote health monitoring and support
such as Sense.ly which offers the virtual AI nurse Molly to support patients with
chronic conditions.
• AI can outperform humans in pattern recognition for diagnosis and treatment. For
example, PREDICTioN2020 is a clinical decision support tool that lets doctors
compare stroke patients’ data with simulations.14 However, our collaboration with the
Osypka cardiovascular center showed that AI in diagnosis can be subject to bias
that needs to be addressed in the future15.
AI accelerators
Consumer health Health monitoring Healthcare process Diagnosis and Drug discovery
solutions and support efficiency treatment and development
Manufacturing
and operations
Commercial and
go-to-market
Convergence of industries
Direct: Potential for standalone AI solutions Indirect: Potential to improve existing processes
• Unlocking value through more digitized, aggregated and analyzed health data: Generative
AI like BioGPT16 can turn unstructured HCP notes into structured datasets, and Ultivue with
Aignostics uses AI to help scientists in navigating proteomics data from genome sequencing.
• Accelerating convergence of industries: Google and Amazon have invested in the health
space for a long time, creating their own care and payor services along the way. Additional
to this direct participation their role as technology partners is critical for AI value17.
• Creating many new partnerships and revenue opportunities: One striking example is
OPTIMA, a European consortium of university hospitals, research institutes and pharma
companies. OPTIMA develops clinical AI-based decision support tools in oncology and
explores business models for oncology data processing and analysis.18 More examples
can be found in our blog article, “Data and Insights as a Service”19.
• Improving privacy and anonymizing sensitive data: Software such as Duality20 or PwC-
backed Statice21 helps to anonymize health data more rigorously or make it unnecessary
to share personal information at all with innovative concepts like federated training.
Equipped with access to data and stakeholders at several points as well as the more advanced
analytical and technical capabilities within this ecosystem, pharmaceutical companies are
uniquely suited to extend their role within the AI-driven LIFEcare system of the future. The
momentum of AI innovation in direct healthcare products and services by pharmaceutical
companies is immense. Patent filings involving AI almost doubled in 2023, with Takeda being
the most prolific applicant since 2020.22 To find out more on how to realize direct AI value, we
recommend our “Decode Digital Health” series.23
The AI race is not only a sprint but also marathon. Both quick wins and long-term AI value
realization are possible with precise priorities and bold investments. Pharmaceutical companies
should recognize the responsibility they hold both for the competitiveness of their offerings
and the immense potential that AI can unleash for human health. The integration of AI
technologies into all parts of the pharmaceutical value chain, products, and services can
re-invent healthcare and its surrounding ecosystem – pharmaceutical companies have the
unprecedented opportunity to lead the way.
1. https://www.prnewswire.com/in/news-releases/merck-launches-first-ever-ai-solution-to-
integrate-drug-discovery-and-synthesis-302003351.html
2. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06887-8
3. https://www.amgen.com/stories/2022/10/follow-the-data
4. https://www.sanofi.com/en/media-room/press-releas
es/2023/2023-06-13-12-00-00-2687072
5. https://emerj.com/ai-sector-overviews/artificial-intelligence-at-pfizer/
6. https://www.fiercepharma.com/marketing/astrazeneca-enlists-artificial-intelligence-for-
sales-rep-coaching-boost-effectiveness
7. https://www.veeva.com/resources/veeva-unveils-vault-crm-next-generation-of-crm-for-
life-sciences/
8. https://www.strategyand.pwc.com/uk/en/insights/genai.html
9. https://doi.org/10.1111/jems.12576
10. https://www.strategyand.pwc.com/de/de/presse/2024/generative-ki-kann-bip-heben.html
11. https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/issues/transformation/insights/transforming-precision-
health.html#data-fuels-precision-health-opportunities
12. https://www.whoop.com/de/en/thelocker/introducing-whoop-coach-powered-by-openai/
13. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25626223/
15. https://www.pwc.de/de/pressemitteilungen/2023/startschuss-fuer-ki-pilotprojekt-zur-
frueherkennung-von-herzinfarkten-bei-frauen.html
16. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/36156661/
17. https://www.umb.edu/news/2020/hey-google-alexa-am-i-at-risk-for-alzheimers/
18. https://www.optima-oncology.eu/
19. https://www.strategyand.pwc.com/de/en/industries/pharma-life-science/daas.html
21. https://www.statice.ai/industries/healthcare
22. https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/dashboards/patents/patent-activity-
artificialintelligence-pharmaceutical-industry/?cf-view; https://www.globaldata.com/
marketplace/dataset/globaldata-patents/
23. https://www.strategyand.pwc.com/de/en/industries/pharma-life-science/a-practical-
experience-based-guide.html
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