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Introduction
Rapid growth Commerce on the Internet, or e-commerce, has experienced rapid growth
during its infant years. The pace is not expected to slacken. Forrester
Research estimates that online sales in the USA amounted to $7.8 billion in
1998, and forecasts that this form of electronic commerce will reach $108
billion by 2003. While this would still amount to under 5 percent of all retail
sales in 2003, it would represent a dramatic increase in Internet retailing.
Investors seem to believe that the volume of e-commerce will grow
considerably. For example, Amazon.com, a leader in electronic retailing,
now has a market capitalization of $22 billion, greater than either Sear's or
all of America's bookstores put together.
Variety of choices Online shoppers appear to be attracted to the ease with which they can find
products on the Internet, the detailed product information available and the
variety of choices offered. Because of the relative ease of vendors setting up
shop, myriads of smaller retailers have embraced the Internet. However, with
the proliferation of online retailers, sellers are having difficulty
distinguishing their products or services from their competitors', especially
those of unscrupulous fly-by-night companies. Consumers often bypass these
problems by relying on branded products. Ernst & Young recently reported
that 69 percent of those surveyed stated that brand names play a significant
role in their online buying decisions. As a result, marketing through
established brands may be required on the Internet, even though consumers'
cost of information gathering seems quite low.
We investigate the ability of brand names to convey product information to
potential buyers as a substitute for consumer's own information-gathering
activities. It has long been debated whether advertising is used solely to
promote brand loyalty (Dixit and Norman, 1978) and thus tends to be
anticompetitive (Comanor and Wilson, 1974) or if it conveys information
more efficiently than alternative mechanisms (Nelson, 1970, 1974). We find
The current issue and full text archive of this journal is available at
http://www.emerald-library.com
6 JOURNAL OF PRODUCT & BRAND MANAGEMENT, VOL. 9 NO. 1 2000, pp. 6-20, # MCB UNIVERSITY PRESS, 1061-0421
evidence that suggests that consumers with more years of Internet experience
are more efficient at gathering product information on their own and that
they also tend to rely less on brand names when purchasing. We infer that
brand names are substitutes for consumers' direct information gathering ± at
least on the Internet ± and thus may contribute to market efficiency.
Our findings are based on data from Georgia Institute of Technology's
Graphics, Visualization and Usability (GVU) center Eighth Survey of
Internet Usage. The GVU has conducted semiannual surveys of Internet
usage since 1994. GVU's Eighth Survey, conducted in October 1997,
includes information about respondents' product search behavior, brand
reliance and a measure of their Internet experience. We use these differences
in Internet experience to track a natural progression from a relatively naive
consumer who relies on brand information to a relatively savvy consumer
who has less need of brand information. Unlike the near ubiquitous
experiences and understanding consumers have with traditional retailing,
knowledge of the Internet and how to shop using it varies widely. The
newness of the Internet and the relationship between Internet experience and
shopping proficiency allow us to identify effects that may not be apparent for
other forms of retailing.
Q: How important is each of the following when you consider ordering a product/
service over the Web (even if you have never done so). (Please check all that apply.)
That the company and/or products have a well-known brand name:
Possible answer: Coded as:
Site must have this Require
I prefer sites that have this Prefer
Doesn't matter to me Don't care
Depends on what I'm ordering Depends
Depends on how much I'm spending Depends
Depends on how well I know the company Depends
Depends on what information is being collected Depends
Don't know Dropped from sample
Q: When you are intentionally searching for product/service information, what
percentage of the time do you find what you are looking for?
Possible answers are: All (close to 100 percent), Most (close to 75 percent), Half
(close to 50 percent), Few (close to 25 percent), None (close to 0 percent), Not
applicable
Q: On average, how many minutes do you spend searching before you find the first
piece of useful product/service information?
Possible answers are: Less than five minutes, five to 15 minutes, 15-30 minutes,
30-60 minutes, More than 60 minutes, Don't know, Not applicable
Q: How many minutes on average does it take you to give up a search if you cannot
find the product/service information you were looking for?
Possible answers are: Less than five minutes, five to 15 minutes, 15-30 minutes,
30-60 minutes, More than 60 minutes, Don't know, Not applicable
Internet experience
Under 6 6-12 1-3 4-6 Over 7
Success rate months months years years years Total
None 5 2 4 1 2 14
(0% of the time) 1.07% 0.39% 0.41% 0.17% 0.82% 0.50%
Few 56 50 75 43 13 237
(25% of the time) 11.94% 9.67% 7.61% 7.52% 5.35% 8.50%
Half 122 120 222 134 54 652
(50% of the time) 26.01% 23.21% 22.52% 23.43% 22.22% 23.39%
Most 222 261 548 300 125 1,456
(75% of the time) 47.33% 50.48% 55.58% 52.45% 51.44% 52.24%
All 64 84 137 94 49 428
(100% of the time) 13.65% 16.25% 13.89% 16.43% 20.16% 15.36%
Total 469 517 986 572 243 2,787
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Note: Each cell contains both the count of respondents and the column percentage.
The 2 value for differences across columns is 29.9 which, with 16 degrees of
freedom, is significant at the 2 percent level
Table IV. The relationship between Internet experience and online shopping
success rate
Table V. The relationship between Internet experience and time spent searching
for products online
2 percent level in Table IV and the 1 percent level in Table V. These results
suggest that search proficiency increases with experience.
Ambiguous applications Table VI reports the cross-tabulation for the time before one gives up
product search and Internet experience. The theory previously outlined has
more ambiguous implications for this table. More proficient searchers may
be willing to search longer if they are more confident of eventual success,
but may give up sooner if they expect results more quickly. It is not clear a
priori which effect should dominate. Nonetheless, the table indicates
statistically significant differences across individuals with different levels of
experience. For example, the percentage of people giving up within 30
minutes (the top three categories) falls from 77 percent for those with under
six months of Internet experience to 68 percent for those with over seven
Internet experience
Under 6 6-12 1-3 4-6 Over 7
Time to give up months months years years years Total
Less than five 41 30 53 26 17 167
minutes 8.91% 5.92% 5.53% 4.63% 7.17% 6.13%
5-15 minutes 138 174 256 157 72 797
30.00% 34.32% 26.69% 27.99% 30.38% 29.26%
15-30 minutes 172 186 340 205 72 975
37.39% 36.69% 35.45% 36.54% 30.38% 35.79%
30-60 minutes 77 88 235 139 46 585
16.74% 17.36% 24.50% 24.78% 19.41% 21.48%
More than 32 29 75 34 30 200
60 minutes 6.96% 5.72% 7.82% 6.06% 12.66% 7.34%
Total 460 507 959 561 237 2,724
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Notes: Each cell contains both the count of respondents and the column percentage.
The 2 value for differences across columns is 47.3 which, with 16 degrees of
freedom, is significant at the 1% level.
Table VI. The relationship between Internet experience and time until online
search given up
Internet experience
Under 6 6-12 1-3 4-6 Over 7
Brand reliance months months years years years Total
``Don't care'' 49 54 156 93 60 412
16.01% 16.56% 23.46% 21.28% 27.27% 21.08%
Between ``Don't 5 3 22 10 7 47
care'' and 1.63% 0.92% 3.31% 2.29% 3.18% 2.41%
``Depends''
``Depends'' 64 76 171 117 55 483
20.92% 23.31% 25.71% 26.77% 25.00% 24.72%
Between ``Depends'' 40 33 69 63 24 229
and ``Prefer'' 13.07% 10.12% 10.38% 14.42% 10.91% 11.72%
``Prefer'' 107 127 195 127 63 619
34.97% 38.96% 29.32% 29.06% 28.64% 31.68%
Between ``Prefer'' 6 7 2 2 1 18
and ``Require'' 1.96% 2.15% 0.30% 0.46% 0.45% 0.92%
``Require'' 35 26 50 25 10 146
11.44% 7.98% 7.52% 5.72% 4.55% 7.47%
Total 306 326 665 437 220 1,954
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Notes: Each cell contains both the count of respondents and the column percentage.
The 2 value for differences across columns is 60.7 which, with 24 degrees of
freedom, is significant at the 1% level.
Table VII. The relationship between Internet experience and reliance on brand
names
Conclusion
Our results indicate that as individuals gain more experience using the
Internet, they are more likely to search for alternative sources for information
and be less reliant on product branding. This finding is consistent with the
substitutability of brand advertising for search, especially for consumers with
relatively high search costs. We infer that this supports for the notion that
branding does not merely promote product loyalty. It also conveys useful
product information that tends to make markets more efficient. Our results
suggest a number of possible hypotheses for further study.
First, we conjecture that as the Internet population matures, brand reliance to
assure product quality may give way to reliance on direct product
information, more easily found because of the decreasing costs of search.
Our findings could have implications for the future of branding and the level
of advertising on both the Internet and in general. As more consumers obtain
access to the Internet and gain proficiency at searching for product
information, producers may find that they need not advertise as heavily to
signal their products' features. The advertising that producers do purchase is
likely to be directed toward consumers with higher search costs, or those
without Internet access. If so, advertising on the Internet, where consumers
have relatively low search costs, may not reach levels comparable to other
media, e.g. television, newspapers, magazines.
Increase in level of quality Second, the Internet may lead to a general increase in the level of quality of
consumer products[6]. Brands are an imperfect mechanism for assuring
product quality. In particular, we found evidence that direct product search
may be a more efficient mechanism, at least for experienced Internet users. If
so, the total cost of assuring product quality may fall due to the Internet,
making firms' investment in quality more lucrative.
Third, we might expect that markets for consumer goods will become more
efficient because of the commercialization of the Internet. Our results also
suggest that consumers are more informed about the products they search for
on the Internet than if they had to rely information gathered through
traditional means. Otherwise, they would not be willing to forego reliance on
information conveyed through brand advertising. Models of product search
(e.g. Carlson and McAfee, 1983) suggest that inefficient firms are viable
only because consumers lack information about more efficient and less
expensive alternatives. Lower search costs due to the Internet may lead to a
weeding out of these inefficient firms.
Notes
1. For a brief and fascinating look at the early history of the Internet, read pages 3-13 of the
Internet System Handbook by Daniel Lynch and Marshall Rose. For a good (and probably
the most authentic) history of the World Wide Web, visit the birthplace of the Web ±
CERN ± at www.w3.org
2. See Nichols, 1998, for a particularly robust test of this theory.
3. There are obviously many non-economic reasons for creating brand equity. A recent
paper argues that brands are instrumental in creating personality-specific relationships
between a firm and its customers (Fournier, 1998).
4. We limited our sample to those over 17-years of age because we expected more
respondent error among those who claim to be 17 years or under. Had we included these
respondents, 1,756 of the 3,144 shopping survey respondents would be among the 2,107
individuals who answered the Internet commerce survey.
5. Only 311 out of a sample of 2,072 selected more than one category for this question.
6. But see Lynch and Ariely (1998) for the view that increased availability of price
information may not make demand more price sensitive if information about quality is
more important.
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