Optioneering Newsletter May 29
Optioneering Newsletter May 29
We have been reviewing the Mini Dow futures chart for reference regarding
the market trend. We’re looking at the Mini Dow chart because the Mini
Dow was the first major index related chart to post a daily close over last
year’s high and reaffirm the long-term bull trend. Reaffirming the bull trend
and reaching a new all-time high are both bullish signs. One old trading
adage says to buy dips in a bull market when there are signs that the
pullback is over and the uptrend is resuming. This week’s trading suggests
that a higher low bottom is in place in the Mini Dow along most of the major
indices. A higher low bottom in a bull trend is an excellent buying
opportunity.
The first profit opportunity we will review this week is in CVX, or Chevron.
Chevron is American multinational energy corporation with operations and
retail outlets on five continents and 180 countries.
CVX Weekly
The weekly chart shows that the trend in CVX has been up since last
August.
CVX Daily
The daily chart shows that CVX has been very bullish since this year’s low.
It’s been going sideways for about a month. Sideways trading in a bull
trend usually yields to a further advance.
Traders who want a more leveraged approach could consider buying CVX
calls. CVX has options expiring every week until July 15th. After that, CVX
has options expiring in August, September, December, January 2017, and
January 2018.
Buy to Open CVX August 19th expiration 85-strike Call
Sell to Open CVX August 19th expiration 100-strike Call
We can see from the Call Option Spread Analysis Calculator that if the
CVX stock price stays where it is or increases at all when the options
expire, the spread will make a 24.5% or $295 profit. If the CVX stock price
declines by -2.5% when the options expire, the spread will have a profit of
20.1% or $242. If CVX is down -5% when the options expire, the spread
will lose -1.1% or -$13. If the CVX stock price is down -7.5% when the
options expire, the spread will lose -22.3% or -$268.
WBMD Monthly
The monthly chart shows that WBMD has been in an uptrend since 2012.
The bull move has been very strong since last summer.
WBMD Daily
The daily chart shows that WBMD has been in a steady uptrend since the
February low.
We can see from the Call Option Spread Analysis Calculator that if the
WBMD stock price stays where it is or increases at all when the options
expire, the spread will make a 39.9% or $285 profit. If the WBMD stock
price declines by -2.5% when the options expire, the spread will have a
profit of 21.5% or $154. If WBMD is down -5% when the options expire, the
spread will lose -1.3% or -$10. If the WBMD stock price is down -7.5%
when the options expire, the spread will lose -24.2% or -$173.
AMZN Monthly
The monthly chart shows that AMZN has been in a strong bull trend since
the chart started in 2009.
AMZN Daily
The daily chart shows that AMZN has been extremely strong since the
February low. When we enter bullish positions, we want to be long the
strongest stocks. Amazon could be the strongest of all.
We can see from the Call Option Spread Analysis Calculator that if the
AMZN stock price declines by -5%, stays where it is, or increases at all
when the options expire, the spread will make a 33.3%, or $750 profit. If the
AMZN price is down -7.5% when the options expire, the spread will make
28.1%, or $632.
A glance at the monthly chart will show you that CURE was in a strong bull
trend until the August decline. Trading since then suggests that the
correction is over and the uptrend is resuming. A second higher low bottom
appears to be in place at this month’s low. If the next rally is as big as the
rally from the February low, the upside target will be above 37.
CURE Daily
The daily chart shows that CURE has been bullish since the February low.
The daily chart also has a bullish pattern of higher highs and higher lows. It
looks like it’s just beginning the third leg of the advance.
CURE is a leveraged ETF. While leveraged ETFs contain more risk, they
usually possess higher premiums as a result. We suggest taking advantage
of the high premiums offered by initiating option debit spreads.
We can see from the Call Option Spread Analysis Calculator that if the
CURE ETF price increases by 2.5% or more when the options expire, the
spread will make a 26.6% or $210 profit. If the CURE price at option
expiration is the same as it is now, the position will make 25.6% or $202. If
the CURE price declines by -2.5% when the options expire, the spread will
have a profit of 15.8% or $125. If CURE is down -5% when the options
expire, the spread will make 6% or $47. If the CURE stock price is down
-7.5% when the options expire, the spread will lose -3.8% or -$30.
This newsletter includes some trading ideas following Chuck Hughes’ trading
strategies along with educational information. For a complete listing of Chuck’s
exact trades, including specific entries and exits and real time Portfolio tracking,
please call Brad at 1- 866-661-5664 or 310-647-5664