3 - Artificial Intelligence For Trusted Autonomous Satellite Operations
3 - Artificial Intelligence For Trusted Autonomous Satellite Operations
A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
Keywords: Recent advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) for aerospace applications have
Avionics brought about new opportunities for the fast-growing satellite industry. The progressive introduction of con
Space systems nected satellite systems and associated mission concepts is stimulating the development of intelligent CPS (iCPS)
Satellite systems
architectures, which can support high levels of flexibility and resilience in an increasingly congested near-Earth
Machine learning
Artificial intelligence
space environment. The need for higher levels of automation and autonomy in satellite operations has stimulated
Cyber-physical systems numerous research initiatives in recent years, focusing on the progressive enhancement of systemic performance
Distributed space system (e.g., addressing safety, integrity and cyber-physical security metrics) and associated monitoring/augmentation
Distributed satellite systems approaches that can support Trusted Autonomous Satellite Operations (TASO). Despite these advances, in most
Human-machine interactions contemporary satellite platforms, autonomy is restricted to a specific set of rules and cases, while the transition to
Trusted autonomous systems TASO requires a paradigm shift in the design of both space vehicles and ground-based systems. In particular, the
use of AI is seen as an essential enabler for TASO as it enhances system performance/adaptability and supports
both predictive and reactive integrity augmentation capabilities, especially in Distributed Satellite Systems
(DSS). This article provides a critical review of AI for satellite operations, with a special focus on current and
likely future DSS architectures for communication, navigation and remote sensing missions. The aim is to
identify key contemporary challenges and opportunities associated with space iCPS design methodologies to
enhance the performance and resilience of satellite systems, supporting the progressive transition to TASO. A
comprehensive review of relevant AI techniques is presented to critically assess the potential benefits and
challenges of each method for different space applications. After describing the specificities of DSS and the
opportunities offered by iCPS architectures, the co-evolution of space and control (ground and on-board) seg
ments is highlighted as an essential next step towards enabling TASO. As an integral part of this evolutionary
approach, the most important legal and regulatory challenges associated with the adoption of AI in TASO are also
discussed.
* Corresponding author. Department of Aerospace Engineering, Khalifa University of Science and Technology, PO Box 127788, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
E-mail address: [email protected] (R. Sabatini).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100960
Received 21 August 2023; Accepted 12 November 2023
Available online 27 December 2023
0376-0421/© 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
K. Thangavel et al. Progress in Aerospace Sciences 144 (2024) 100960
decision-making functions and to execute proper actions if and when parameters and configuration depend on its intended purpose. The
required. Despite the significant progress made in hardware and soft classification of spaceflight systems adopted in this article is presented
ware technologies, Trusted Autonomous Satellite Operations (TASO) are in Fig. 1. Broadly, spaceflight systems can be grouped into three cate
still largely a research topic and significant investments are needed to gories: (1) Space exploration systems [5]; (2) Earth orbital/sub-orbital
fully exploit the anticipated safety, efficiency and sustainability benefits transport system [10]; (3) Earth orbit satellite systems. Earth-orbiting
that such operations would bring, possibly leading to the progressive satellite systems can be further divided into the following categories:
removal of present-day socio-political barriers such as AI ethics, liability (i) Monolithic satellite systems, (ii) Distributed Satellite Systems (DSS)
and public trust [3]. In many applications, fully autonomous satellite which are discussed broadly in the following sections.
operations are either impractical or undesirable, mainly because a minor
error can result in the loss of millions of dollars and, in some cases, lead 2.1. Monolithic Satellite Systems
to human casualties (point-to-point suborbital space transport,
Earth-orbiting inhabited space stations, etc.). Therefore, an acceptable If a satellite system with its modules or subsystems is physically in
level of trust is required for near-Earth operations, especially consid dependent from other space assets, it is classified as a monolithic sat
ering the steady increase of Resident Space Objects (RSO) in Low-Earth ellite system. Monolithic systems are still a large fraction of spacecraft
Orbits (LEO) and Geostationary Orbits (GEO) [4,5]. Furthermore, to being deployed in missions such as deep space exploration, technology
facilitate further progress in TASO research, it is essential to address the demonstration, universities and research centres [11,12]. The need for
implications of trusted autonomy and AI in the evolution of self-contained hardware and the required redundancy increases the
Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) for space applications, including the system’s overall weight and volume, making it more expensive. A
co-evolution of system-level requirements (i.e., communication, control typical monolithic satellite system has the following modules PR: Pro
and computing) and human-autonomy interactions. Current research cessor, PL: Payload, DL: Downlink, CM: Communications Module, BUS,
trends in this area show that Cyber-Physical-Human (CPH) architectures which integrates all the modules as depicted in Fig. 2. Monolithic sat
are evolving with the widespread adoption of Machine Learning (ML) ellite systems are comprehensively reviewed in Refs. [13,14].
and hybrid AI techniques (e.g., neuro-fuzzy inference engines) and
becoming progressively more capable of modulating both the levels of 2.2. Distributed Satellite Systems
autonomation and the human command/control functions towards
achieving specific goals. In this context, we are participating to an DSS consist of multiple spacecraft working together to achieve one or
evolutionary process where human operators are progressively tran more common objectives. DSS therefore adopt a satellite architecture in
sitioning to a high-level supervisory role [6]. which the functional capabilities are shared among many space assets
Over the last few years, Distributed Satellite Systems (DSS) have that communicate via wireless networks [15]. The DSS concept is
been at the forefront of this transformation and it is now clear that the gradually migrating the physical connectivity of various components in
use of AI in DSS will play a significant role in easing the transition to conventional satellite systems into wireless connections using either
TASO. To meet the requirements of future trusted autonomous space radiofrequency or optical communication methods, i.e., Inter Satellite
vehicles and intelligent operation in highly integrated and information- Links (ISL). Therefore, DSS mission architectures shift away from
rich environments, a radical departure from conventional system design monolithic systems towards multiple spacecraft/modules of elements
and development approaches is required. Going forward, explainability that communicate, interact and cooperate with one another [16]. In
and certification of AI based systems will be critical, particularly in outer addition to these new system-wide properties, subdividing the modules
space operations where there is a need to simultaneously address safety, over many launches reduces risk, ensuring that the core system is not
security and legal requirements (e.g., liability for the damages these lost when a launch fails. This approach also offers the flexibility to
systems may cause). As a result, there is a need to understand the progressively deploy the system in orbit, thereby allowing the addition
associated technical, ethical and legal challenges that come with these of different DSS elements at successive stages. A study by the Research
evolving systems. and Development (RAND) corporation showed that distributed systems
This article starts with a high-level classification of spaceflight sys have the potential to [12]:
tems (section 1), with a focus on the various categories of Earth orbiting
satellites. Then, it moves on to discuss and compare monolithic and 1. Weigh less and be less expensive to launch.
distributed satellite configurations (section 2). After that, section 3 fo 2. Perform better during deployment and before the full DSS is
cuses on spacecraft autonomous operations, providing an overview of completely operational.
the most promising concepts applied to human and machine collabo 3. Show better tolerance to single and multiple failures, with no or
ration in space operations. Section 4 provides a critical examination of graceful degradation of performance.
the many AI techniques proposed for space system applications and 4. Be more survivable in the event of both cyber and physical attacks.
section 5 discusses how these techniques can be applied in practice to
various DSS architectures. The required evolution of spaceflight systems Due to these distinctive advantages, DSS can deliver a more
infrastructure is discussed in section 5, which highlights the most responsive and resilient solution to meet the expanding demands of the
promising applications of AI in the different system segments and the scientific community and also the defence sector, for instance by
need for a co-evolution of DSS space and ground segments. Section 6 improving the quality/quantity of measurements and associated data
discusses current and likely future applications of AI in near-Earth space analytics in EO [17], Space-Based Space Surveillance (SBSS) tasks
missions and section 7 addresses safety and security aspects associated [18–21] and Interplanetary mission [22]. Some notable examples
to the adoption of AI in DSS. Section 8 concludes the critical review include PRISMA [23], GRACE [24], TerraSAR-X and TanDEM-X mis
highlighting the open technological, ethical and legal challenges, as well sions [25].
as the ongoing efforts to overcome these challenges and to facilitate the
uptake of AI technology in next-generation satellite systems. 2.2.1. Modularity
A distinctive attribute of DSS is modularity, Within the broader scope
2. Spaceflight systems of systems engineering, modularity is a feature of systems that quantifies
the degree to which a system’s functionalities can be subdivided into
Thousands of active satellites are currently orbiting Earth and, in distinct modules or clusters which interact with each other [26,27].
recent years [7], there has been an exponential growth of RSO [8], Damage to one module can cascade to subsequent modules in a highly
especially in the LEO environment [9]. Each satellite’s size, orbital interconnected system with minimal modularity, enhancing the risk of a
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Fig. 3. A five-stage modularity with distributed architecture spectrum and four M+ operations. Adapted from Ref. [32].
development and use of proper standard interfaces. Fractionation analysis), while taking the subsequent criteria into account [32,33]:
operation by shifting one or more of its subsystems to other fractions
takes a system from M2 to M3 . Although M+ evaluation specifics a a) Technical Parameters: For instance, the probability density of a
procedural algorithm which is dependent on particular systems and its failure, the time required for an upgrade to become available, the
parameters, which acts as a decision-making evaluation engine [32]. highest number of modules allowable and the maximum trans
The M+ value is measured by comparing the system’s value prior and mission bandwidth permitted.
post its operations. Such assessment involves knowledge of the system b) Economical Parameters: For instance, the user demand in terms of
and its settings [14,26,27,30,32,33]. Fig. 4 shows the input and output number of modules at a given time, the cost of launching and oper
characteristics for evaluating M+ operators. At each level of modularity, ating a module and the rate at which distinct module types generate
the system’s value is determined using one of the common system value.
assessment methods (e.g., discounted cash flow analysis, scenario
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DSS are categorized based on the type of mission and function they
perform. Activities required to meet local objectives (i.e., those specific
to each module) or small bits of a global objective’s functioning (i.e.,
particular to the infrastructure) may be included in modules performing
activities in a distributed infrastructure, whether it be in independent
satellite systems or distributed spacecraft. As a result, the function type
is measured in terms of how dispersed the mission’s goals are, ranging
from no collaboration between modules (i.e., local functionality) to a
fully functional symbiosis (i.e., distributed functionality). As a result,
different DSS missions are characterised according to their degree of
distribution in terms of the system’s capabilities or goals and resource
interdependence between modules. A bi-dimensional classification can
be introduced by considering these two domains, as shown in Fig. 6,
with values in the range [0,1]. The x-axis shows the degree of mission Fig. 6. DSS classification. Adapted from Ref. [36].
goal distribution, which ranges from missions in which satellite modules
work together to advance a single global function to goals in which each 2.3.1. Constellation
satellite module develops its own local activity. The y-axis shows the A satellite constellation is a collection of homogeneous or hetero
degree of fractionation among scenarios where modules are totally geneous spacecraft that operate as a unified system, with the purpose of
reliant on one another and cases where nodes are completely resource providing continuous global or near-global coverage as shown in Fig. 7
self-sufficient [35,36]. Both classification axes are independent. The (a). Satellites are usually positioned among a set of orbital planes that
following are more specific classifications of DSS which will be discussed are complementary to one another and are connected directly or via
in the following subsections: other satellites to one or multiple ground stations across the world. The
literature provides wide coverage of satellite constellations [22,37–40].
• Constellations
• Fractionation 2.3.2. Fractionation
• Federated In fractionated systems, a spacecraft is divided into smaller units
• Modular collaborating to achieve a common mission objective. The satellite
• Swarms consists of co-dependent modules that require system resources to be
• Formation exchanged in order to function as shown in Fig. 7 (b) [41]. While all
• Constellation of formations fractionated systems need a common infrastructure consisting of data
• Hybrid Missions processing, power, communication link, etc., to complete the functions
calling for dedicated fractions to provide these services, two extremes
can be thought of based on task achievement. At one end of the spec
trum, distinct spacecraft tasks are carried out by its units. Though there
Fig. 5. Calculation of the decentralisation operation (M3 to M4) value. Adapted from Ref. [32].
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Fig. 7. DSS types (a) constellation (b) fractionated (c) formation (d) cluster (e) swarms (f) constellation of formation (g) federated.
is minimal cooperation between them, each unit is still highly dependent needed (i.e., not a fraction) to operate and so being completely self-
on the infrastructure. At the other end of the spectrum, fully fractionated contained. Independent satellites are built and placed in orbit for spe
systems have modules which collaborate on accomplishing the same cific objectives, allowing them to employ their resources and capabilities
task towards the global mission objectives. There is a considerable for an opportunistic distributed mission [48]. Federated satellites are
resource dependency in this scenario and functionalities of the modules simply another example of fractionated spacecraft, as they combine
[36,42–47]. some of their capabilities and resources for a global mission [48–51].
Because the transferred resources are always underutilised in a module’s
2.3.3. Federated system primary mission, the nodes are complete and form heterogeneous sys
In a federated system, a group of satellites work together to provide a tems, allowing for a new category of distributed satellite missions to be
specific service, but each satellite operates independently, with its own categorized, as shown in Fig. 8 [36].
mission and communication capabilities. A Federated Satellite System
(FSS) is a network of satellites that coordinate by exploiting the potential 2.3.4. Modular system
of their resources, with each satellite having all of the infrastructure Modular systems are more far-fetched DSS characterized by
Fig. 8. Concept of SMSRS (a) and deployment stages: (b) folded state; (c) unfolding; (d) unfolded state; and (e) working configuration. Adapted from Ref. [52].
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physically joined modules as shown in Fig. 7(d). For instance, based on maintain a predetermined relative angular separation in their orbit.
the CubeSat standard, Jiping et al. [52] presented a new type of DSS It is worth noting that the relative angular spacing in circular orbits
with a reconfigurable construction and customizable function, dubbed remains constant throughout. The relative angular spacing in elliptic
Space Modular Self-Reconfigurable Satellite (SMSRS) design concept. orbits, on the other hand, changes depending on the satellite’s
The following are some of the features of SMSRS: (1) modularity; (2) location. Normally, these angles are determined when a particular
scalability; (3) structural reconfigurability; (4) fault tolerance; and (5) satellite (denoted as primary) is at the perigee [59].
functional adjustability. Fig. 8 shows the SMSRS configuration and the • Leader-Follower formation: This arrangement occurs when one
various deployment stages from a folded state to the working state. spacecraft is designated as leader and one or multiple other space
Optical cameras, Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR), communication and craft are forced to fly in formation with the leader. It should be noted
other payloads are among the ones which can best exploit this concept: that the literature uses a variety of terms when referring to this
SMSRS arranges and reorganises these payloads in a variety of space arrangement, including: (i) chief-deputy; (ii) master-slave; (iii)
orientations through structural reconfiguration, allowing it to carry out mother-daughter ships; (iv) primary-secondary; and more [23,59,
a variety of missions [52]. 60].
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Table 1
Summary of distributed architecture classifications. Adapted from Ref. [16].
DSS architecture Mission goals Cooperation Homogeneity Operational/Functional
Independence
Constellation Mission goal shared Cooperation is required to support the In general, homogeneous components, some Autonomous
(Iridium, GPS) mission goals differences possible (GPS generations)
Formation Trains Mostly Independent, but Cooperation from optional to required Heterogeneous components Autonomous
could be shared
Clusters Mission goal shared Cooperation is required to support mission Homogeneous components From autonomous to
goals completely co-dependent
Leader- Mission goal shared Cooperation from optional to required Heterogeneous components From autonomous to
Follower completely co-dependent
Swarms Mission goals shared Cooperation required to support mission From homogeneous to heterogeneous From autonomous to
goals components completely co-dependent
Fractionated Shared mission goals From optional (service areas) to required Heterogeneous components From autonomous to
(distributed critical spacecraft functions) completely co-dependent
Federated Independent mission Ad-hoc, Optional Heterogeneous components Autonomous
goals
Modular Mission goal shared Cooperation is required to support mission From homogeneous to heterogeneous From autonomous to
goals components completely co-dependent
Hybrid Mostly Independent, but Ad-hoc, Optional Heterogeneous components From autonomous to
could be shared completely co-dependent
Constellation of Mostly shared but could Cooperation is required to support mission From homogeneous to heterogeneous From autonomous to
formations be independent goals components completely co-dependent
presented, where elements of each layer are built up to reach the desired Consequently, DSS control architectures are also evolving to include
distributed architecture. The basic units arise from the bottom layer’s dynamic management policies [64]. For instance, the Local-Global
objects and elements. At the top, there is a launch plan that shows which paradigm just discussed is a mixed management policy, which is
vehicle will launch each module [47]. DSS hardware and software ar intended to provide an adaptive planning solution to an arbitrary
chitecture is discussed in the following sections. number of autonomous heterogeneous distributed spacecraft modules (i.
e., payloads, computational capabilities, ISL, etc.) [36]. In a DSS with
2.4.1. Hardware and software elements dynamic management policy, the top-level “multiple-tasks multi
DSS hardware includes service avionics and mission-specific sys ple-modules” mission problem is translated into a “multiple-tasks sin
tems, which typically combine payload instruments and supporting gle-module” arrangement by decomposition, as depicted in Fig. 13.
infrastructure [11,12,35]. Hardware architectures are modular and Once the allocated sub-tasks are completed by the individual modules,
expandable due to the inherent characteristics of the DSS. A possible their results are combined to synthesize the final solution.
space segment hardware arrangement is shown in Fig. 10 [14], while a
modern EO DSS control segment is shown in Fig. 11. In this particular 3. Autonomous operation in space
configuration, cloud-based mission control is used for planning and
scheduling purposes. Payload schedules and task allocations can be Autonomy is generally associated to a system’s ability to function
defined by direct ISL data sharing, ground control uploads, or both [20, without direct human interference, though it is a spectrum with several
21]. levels and grey areas. Therefore, in a system’s context, autonomy can be
Historically, spacecraft implemented a centralized data-bus archi defined as the ability to make informed, reasonable, self-reliant and self-
tecture, including a single On-Board Computer (OBC), normally redun determined decisions. A system should be able to sense, think and act
dant. Modern spacecraft, on the other hand, employ a number of OBC within its surrounding environment in order to be deemed autonomous,
modules, interconnected through either distributed, federated or therefore necessitating the capacity to detect its surroundings as well as
modular data networks. Software architecture for DSS is characterized some awareness of one’s own powers and how they affect one’s envi
by integrating some level of system autonomy, where the components ronment and internal states. The autonomous inferences and conclu
interact to: sions shall be drive by its own goals and necessary actions to achieve
them [65]. Additionally, an autonomous system shall be capable of
i. Distribute tasks between modules/components of satellites; reacting to non-nominal conditions by adjusting its behaviour to fulfil its
ii. Allocate infrastructure resources; goal while remaining safe and secure. The degree of autonomy that a
iii. Perform task scheduling in a distributed manner as per system achieves can be defined by the degree of off-nominality that it
requirements. can handle and the level of abstraction of its objectives [66]. Some
autonomous systems in aerospace carry out predetermined acts that do
An exemplary DSS software architecture is shown in Fig. 12, where not alter in response to the environment (automatic). Other systems
the corresponding hardware modules are not homogenous, indicating (automated) initiate or modify their behaviour or output in response to
they have different computational capabilities and availability times (i. environmental feedback, while more advanced systems (autonomous)
e., system encapsulation). The system consists of various autonomy combine environmental feedback with the system’s own interpretation
management entities (i.e., task planners) that interact to operate each of its current situation. Due to the need for reasoning regarding own and
spacecraft in synergy with one another. The Distributed System Layer environmental states, increased autonomy is usually associated to
(DSL) provides a common communication link between global and local increased “intelligence” or even “AI” for a specific mission and equated
entities [36]. The entire architecture entails two control levels in a with greater capability to adapt to the environment.
master-slave hierarchical relationship: (1) the global control level,
which is mainly relative to the software infrastructure domain; and (2)
the local control level, which is relative to each module domain. 3.1. Sense-think-act and layered architecture
In recent times, software architectures have evolved to suit multiple
and dynamically evolving operational environments [63]. A closed-loop (“sense-think-act”) system, as illustrated in Fig. 14,
describes an autonomous (machine) device or function for a layered
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architecture where the fundamental tasks are: The conventional layered architecture involves planning, task
sequencing and reactive capabilities. Deliberative, executive and func
• Sensors (“sense”): gathering data from lower levels or hardware and tional layers are all terms used to describe these processes and con
transferring it to a representation that the software can understand; ventional thinking is that autonomy shall imbue all of these. The layers
• Control (“think”): weighing sensory data, spacecraft information and are defined by their abstraction from the real environment and the time
desired outcomes before deciding which actions should be enacted; they take to complete an iteration, with clear response-time constraints
• Actuation (“act”): execute the operation that was determined by the as a function of the time horizon that can be considered. The functional
control analysis process (without further human interference). layer has fast turnaround requirements since this must maintain pace
with hardware sensors and actuators, and each component normally
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Fig. 10. DSS architecture. PR: Processor, DL: Downlink, PL: Payload are fractionated and distributed and connected through ISL. Adapted from Ref. [14].
Fig. 11. DSS architecture entailing cloud-based control segment. Adapted from Ref. [20].
only considers one task or series of tasks. The executive layer manages a technologies can be deemed genuinely autonomous, according to the
collection of tasks at the moment and it only needs to reply fast enough criteria in Table 2, whereas levels E1 to E3 relate with human-operated
to meet task action potentials and terminations. Finally, the deliberative or automated systems. Unlike autonomous systems, automated systems
layer takes into account many tasks and multiple possibilities, as well as can only deal with scenarios that their designers have predicted. These
future repercussions. It just needs to reply quickly enough to offer the systems will react to these conditions using so-called on-board control
executive extra job sets or plans when necessary. On the other hand, the procedures, which are pre-programmed sequences of operations (i.e.,
layers do not just indicate a boost in capabilities; trade-offs do exist. The events). In order to operate the entire mission autonomously, there is a
functional layer has access to detailed data about the hardware and need for autonomy in mission data management and mission fault
frequently performs complex numerical calculations to decide responses management. ECSS defines these capability levels as in Table 3 and
or provide data to the layers above. The executive layer usually includes Table 4 [68]. Both Earth-orbiting and deep space missions require the
contingency management and control skills that the deliberative layer use of robotics and autonomy. Most spacecraft operations’ control
lacks. Each layer executes a variation of the sense-think-act cycle in an functions and procedures are transmitted for immediate execution by
autonomy system. The overarching system of autonomy has a sense-act- telecommand or, more commonly, in precisely organised sequences at
think cycle as well [67]. specified times. Almost all remote sensing satellites, for example, gather
When looking at autonomy in space, the European Cooperation for images and downlink these to Earth at predetermined geographic areas
Space Standardization (ECSS) has defined four degrees of capability, while retaining the correct attitude using on-board sensors and reaction
with level E4 being the most autonomous. Only level E4 compatible wheels. On the other hand, Astronauts operate robotic systems in space,
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Fig. 13. Task execution in a distributed system. Adapted from Ref. [36].
such as the Canada arm Remote Manipulator. Few autonomous aero making for remote sensing for both defence and civil applications, as
space systems make the decisions without human intervention in order well as future human space habitation, which could include both space
to attain high-level objectives. Variable autonomy, as defined by Proud tourism and deep space colonisation, are all plausible scenarios [66,
et al. [69] and Novaes [70], revolves around the concept of selecting 71–73].
desirable levels of autonomy while operating a space system. This allows Fig. 15 shows an evolutionary roadmap of space system capabilities
the autonomous system or the human user to alter the level of autonomy with a growing degree of autonomy over time. The four categories are
as needed by the situation. Autonomous space systems provide excellent defined as follows: (1) teleoperation (operated from Earth); (2) auto
sensing and are therefore necessary if human usage and exploration of matic operation (pre-programmed self-controls); (3) semi-autonomous
space are to expand in terms of both reach and complexity. operation (start with predefined command sequence, where machine
Trusted autonomous space systems will allow such activity to adapts to the external environment); and (4) fully autonomous opera
continue with confidence. For crucial space systems, several scenarios tion (autonomous decision making (goal-oriented)) [74]. Autonomy can
can be predicted. Some of these are already in the development and be incorporated in various segments of the satellite infrastructure. With
demonstration stages. For example, autonomous on-board data pro recent trends, TASO for space applications is becoming more popular. AI
cessing, on-orbit satellite servicing/repairing, analysis and decision- applications in the control and space segments have the potential to
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Table 3
Levels of autonomy for Mission fault management according to ECSS [68].
Level Description Functions
Table 4
Levels of autonomy for mission data management according to ECSS [68].
Level Description Functions
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Fig. 15. Evolution of autonomy in space systems. Adapted from Ref. [74].
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aspects that will be addressed in evolving safety certification standards, beneficial for space applications.
such as the evolutions of SAE and MIL-STD-822F [77,78]. When a poorly In space applications, CHMI2 functionalities can improve the oper
designed autonomous system is used in an unpredictable, uncontrolled ational effectiveness of spacecraft operation as well as improve the
environment, there is a high risk of failure with unforeseen conse overall safety and effectiveness of operations [80–82]. CHMI2 supports
quences. Nonetheless, recent technological advancements in complex human-machine teaming, whereby a system senses and adapts to the
control software, such as AI techniques, improve the adaptiveness of the mission environment and the cognitive state of the operator. The CHMI2
system and therefore increase the degree of autonomy that can be suc concept supports Trusted Autonomous Operations (TAO) in both
cessfully implemented for more complex tasks in complex mission-critical and safety-critical applications [18]. The definition of
environments. CHMI2 builds on and capitalises on significant developments in aero
Cognitive Human-Machine Interfaces and Interactions (CHMI2) is a space avionics human factors [83,84], which are detailed in Refs. [83,
new concept to human factors engineering in aerospace that in 84]. The CHMI2 framework’s primary feature is an expansion of a device
corporates adaptive functionalities into the design of the operator’s monitoring approach that assesses a HMS entire integrity by including
command, control and display capabilities [79,80]. A CHMI2 system both cognitive (human) and automated (machine) components. It
evaluates human cognitive states built on critical psycho-physiological conceived to characterise the operator’s actions that resulted in a certain
observables being measured [80]. The cognitive states have been uti mission outcome by detecting specific features that can affect cognitive
lised to estimate and improve the operator performance in the accom states (for better or worse). This closed-loop input helps to improve the
plishment of tasks to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of the HMS trustworthiness in important areas like the initial design process. It
overall human-machine teaming. Moreover, the result in the literature supports cognitive system engineering activities, such as the creation of
[80] indicates that higher levels of CHMI2 supported automation are system automation methodology based on operator policies and online
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given problem, but metaheuristics, such as design patterns, are broad • Relying on direct fitness data rather than function derivatives or
algorithmic notions that may be applied to a variety of problems. other similar details;
Importantly, all metaheuristic algorithms use some sort of randomiza • Using probabilistic, rather than deterministic, transition rules.
tion and a trade-off between local and global search. Practically every
metaheuristic algorithm strives to be appropriate for global optimiza Population-based algorithms adopt a similar approach, regardless of
tion [90]. The following features are shared by almost all metaheuristic the applied paradigm and follow from the algorithm below.
algorithms [91]:
1. Initialise the population;
• They are nature-inspired, relying on physics, biology, or ethology 2. Fitness is calculated for each individual in the population;
principles; 3. Produce a new population-based on some rules that strictly depend
• They use stochastic components (incorporating random variables); on the fitness of each individual;
• They do not use the objective function’s gradient or Hessian matrix; 4. Repeat steps 2–4 until a condition is met.
And
• They have multiple parameters that must be adapted to the nature of 4.1.2. Machine learning techniques
the problem. ML approaches are a subset of AI techniques that allows for the
creation of analytical models to be automated. It is a branch of AI based
Metaheuristic optimization algorithms can solve complex problems on the idea that computers can learn through data, identify patterns and
over several iterations. Because of their inherent versatility and make judgments with small or no human intervention. A ML process is
simplicity, metaheuristic algorithms have recently attracted a lot of shown in Fig. 20. A model that can be queried by an application is
attention. Metaheuristics can be broadly classified into four different trained based on a data or knowledge base. Regardless of suitable con
types; the first one is ancient inspired, mainly based on the Giza pyramid ditioning, data selection, or overfitting, the model improves with a
construction. Mutation, reproduction, recombination and selection are larger database and longer durations of training. If the model can learn
the fundamental processes involved in evolutionary algorithms, which in the field, the application can add data to the knowledge base during
are based on the survival fitness of candidates in a population (i.e., a set
of solutions) for a specific environment. The idea of population-based
metaheuristics is to construct a solution that combines components of
good solutions. Trajectory-based metaheuristics are based on the idea of
developing a solution and iteratively refining it (moves). The reader is
referred to Refs. [88–96] to get a complete understanding of these
concepts. A population-based metaheuristics approach, i.e.,
nature-inspired, as indicated in Ref. [97] are, distinguished by:
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runtime and train the model with it. between the training data points’ features or characteristics and the
A brief review of ML methods and an exposure to commonly used labels that were allocated to them. The model would then be put to the
domain terms are provided in the preceding s sections. Different tech test to see if it would generalise to new information points or ’incidents’.
niques for classifying ML methods have been taken in the literature. The Before being deployed to service, trained models were fine-tuned based
most prevalent taxonomy in which techniques are classified according to on the assessment findings to create a model that extrapolates well with
the type of learning system used. The main variants of ML techniques the new data. In most supervised approaches, the learning method is to
are: keep track of the difference between both the model prediction and the
Supervised learning: the algorithm is supplied with labelled label and use it as an error term to drive model updating [3,81].
training data, i.e., appropriate labels are included in the desired result. Unsupervised Learning: the training data provided to the algorithm
During the training phase, a model is constructed that specifies the link is unlabelled and the relationship model is created solely on the data
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attributes. These methods include clustering, dimensionality reduction though the concepts seem to vary. In addition, they integrate within
approaches and association rule-learning methods [3,81]. projects, as the models are structured to execute the task in the most
Semi-supervised Learning: is a technique that involves training efficient way possible, not to stick to a pure type. So, what distinguishes
using a small amount of labelled data and a large amount of unlabelled ML, DL and RL precisely is actually a difficult question to address, which
data. Semi-supervised learning is a sort of learning that falls somewhere can be addressed by following the standards shown in Fig. 22.
between unsupervised (in which there is no labelled training data) and
supervised learning (with labelled training data) [81]. 4.2. AI in space operations
Reinforcement learning: a model is trained to iteratively learn a
behavioural policy through a large number of simulations, which is The field of data-driven AI has a wealth of valuable and adaptable
called the training set. The agent learns how to attain a goal in an un tools that can be used in various applications with minimal enhance
certain and potentially complex environment through trial and error. In ments. While AI has been used successfully in space, it is still constrained
Reinforcement Learning (RL), AI is presented with a game-like scenario. to offline data processing but has not yet been utilised fully “on the
The machine uses the method of trial and error to find a solution to the edge” within spacecraft. Space Applications of AI has the potential to
problem at hand. AI gains either rewards or penalties for the acts it takes significantly affect human and robotic space exploration missions in
in persuading the system to perform the actions the programmer desires. several different ways.
Its aim is to increase the overall award. As a result, the AI agent learns to As time progresses, AI will complement the space exploration ac
do the best set of actions or rules to achieve a user-defined reward tivities in a variety of ways, as seen in Fig. 23. Some of the main ap
function. To find the optimal system settings autonomously, sophisti plications of AI and intelligent systems in the near-Earth region and
cated learning and decision-making functionalities must be adopted, for multi-planetary exploration in outer space are:
which ML algorithms offer several advantages [99].
Deep learning is a subset of ML that learns from data using artificial • Remote sensing data analytics.
neural networks. Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are based on the • Satellite trajectory planning and collision avoidance.
human brain and consist of layers of interconnected nodes. Each node in • Satellite health monitoring.
a Neural Network (NN) can learn to do something simple, like recognise • Satellite communications.
edges in an image or identify patterns in text. By combining these simple • Deep-space and multi-planetary exploration.
tasks, neural networks can learn to execute complicated tasks such as
object recognition in images and language translation. Deep learning Table 6 gives a summary of AI techniques utilised in different
(DL) is a powerful tool, but it must be used with caution. DL models are spaceflight operational tasks.
prone to bias and can be exploited to generate damaging or misleading
resources. It is critical to be aware of these hazards and to take pre 4.2.1. AI for remote sensing data analytics
cautions to mitigate them. ANN is a type of AI that tries to replicate the EO and astronomical satellites nowadays process about 150 giga
way the human brain works. The processing units are ANN that are bytes of observation data per day or more. The autonomous acquisition
composed of inputs and outputs. ANN are a kind of ML technology that is and processing of images introduces a number of opportunities where AI
inspired by biology and is supposed to work in way similar to the brain can assist greatly. Without AI, humans are largely responsible for
(loosely). Fig. 21 depicts the main types of NN types [3,81]. interpreting, comprehending and analysing imagery [86]. By the time a
There are some distinctive attributes to be considered with specific human arrives around to evaluate an image, the satellite may have
reference to the adopted neuron model network, learning method and moved back to the same place, requiring more refinement of the image
topology. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) are regularised ver analysis. The AI-enabled recognition gives the researcher a lot of power
sions of the multilayer perceptron. Such perceptron are typically fully when it comes to image analysis and reviewing the millions of images
connected networks, in which each neuron in one layer is connected to produced by satellites. On the other extreme, AI can analyse images as
all neurons in the next layer [99]. CNN are generally used for segmen they can be captured and identify whether they have any anomalies
tation, classification, image processing and other auto-correlated data [102,109,110]. The use of AI to process satellite images also eliminates
processing. They are also utilised for speech recognition. Convolution is
the process of applying a filter to an input signal as it is being played
back. When looking for specific elements in a picture, it may be more
productive to look at little sections of the image rather than the entire
image at once. Among the most common applications of CNN is image
classification, such as discriminating between satellite images that
feature roadways and those that do not. The use of CNNs for other
standard functions such as image segmentation and signal processing is
also a good fit for them. Each layer of a CNN model learns a collection of
convolutional kernels throughout the training operation, which is
essentially what happens during the training phase. During the
deployment of the model, the trained kernels extract spatial informa
tion. Each convolutional layer is made up of a collection of filters known
as convolutional kernels, which work together to create the final result.
Filtering is accomplished by applying a subset of the input pixel values
to a matrix of integers that has the same dimensions as the kernel
[100–103]. The CNN thus far seen are classic feed-forward networks, in
which activations travel from the input to output layers at a pre
determined rate. The network output is distinct from the outputs of
previous timesteps at any given timestep. Recurrent Neural Networks
(RNN), on the other hand, keep track of previous outputs at each epoch
by integrating feedback loops. RNN are better at learning temporal re
lationships in data sequences than NN, which are meant to learn spatial
patterns [81]. There is no sharp divide between these subtypes, even Fig. 22. Classification Standard [104].
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Table 7
Summary of AI techniques and their specific function in different space missions and operations.
Mission/Operation Type of AI Specific Function (performed by AI)
Earth Observation (Satellite Image Analysis) Machine Learning Object detection and classification in satellite imagery [98,175,176]
Land cover classification and mapping [177–179]
Change detection for monitoring environmental dynamics [180–182]
Anomaly detection for identifying environmental hazards [181,183–185]
Computer Vision Image segmentation, object detection [186,187]
Data Mining Detecting changes in Earth’s gravity field, studying water resources [188–190]
Neural Networks Soil moisture mapping, drought monitoring [191–193]
Deep Learning Image classification and segmentation for land cover analysis [194–196]
Change detection for monitoring environmental changes [197–200]
Object detection and tracking in satellite imagery [201,202]
Anomaly detection for identifying irregularities [203,204]
Data fusion and integration for combining heterogeneous data [205–209]
Super-resolution and image enhancement for improved analysis [202,210,211]
Automated feature extraction for object identification [212,213]
Data compression and transmission optimization [214–217]
Data quality assessment for ensuring reliable data [218,219]
Space Debris Monitoring and Mitigation Machine Learning Object tracking and prediction of space debris movement [220,221]
Collision prediction and avoidance maneuvers [222,223]
Debris removal mission planning and optimization [224,225]
Astronomy Machine Learning Image classification, data processing [226,227]
Neural Networks Exoplanet detection, data analysis [148,228–230]
Deep Learning Star classification, astrometric measurements [231–234]
Computer Vision Image processing, object detection [235,236]
Data Mining Image reconstruction, black hole imaging [227,237,238]
Pattern Recognition Galaxy classification, dark matter detection [239,240]
Satellite Operation Autonomous Navigation Machine Learning Trajectory optimization and path planning for spacecraft [241–243]
Collision avoidance and space debris detection [222,223,244]
Adaptive control systems for spacecraft maneuvering [245–247]
Spacecraft Health Monitoring Anomaly detection for identifying system failures [134,136,248,249]
Predictive maintenance for optimizing maintenance schedules [167,250,251]
Decision support for diagnosing and troubleshooting issues [134,136,167]
Mission Planning and Scheduling Optimization Algorithms Resource allocation optimization considering mission objectives [252–255]
Real-time adaptation and adjustment of mission plans [256–258]
Communication NLP Algorithms Voice command recognition and spacecraft control [259–261]
Intelligent responses and communication with astronauts [262,263]
involvement and is potentially much timelier and more effective in 4.2.5. AI for deep space and multi-planetary exploration
addressing anomalies [167]. After immediate automated mitigation and Even satellites on other planets or in interplanetary space, like the
recovery measures, human operators can still implement offline inves Curiosity rover currently on the red planet, use AI to operate. The Mars
tigation and forensics to obtain further information on newly discovered rover is using AI to assist it in navigating the planet. The computer may
issues and resolve them. Since only non-nominal situations necessitate make several modifications to the rover’s trajectory every minute. The
operator intervention, the “human-on-the-loop” concept is promoted. Mars rover’s technology is quite similar to that used by self-driving
Increased on-board autonomy would allow for more complicated sat automobiles. The key difference is that the rover should cross more
ellite applications missions, as well as reduce human operator workload difficult terrain without having to worry about other vehicles or pe
[168]. destrians. The rover’s computer vision systems analyse the difficult
terrain as it traverses. If an issue with the terrain is detected, the
4.2.4. Satellite communications using AI autonomous system adjusts the rover’s navigation or modifies its tra
It can be challenging to communicate between Earth and space, in jectory to avoid it [22,71,142–144,174]. A summary of AI techniques
addition to keeping spacecraft operational. Interference with other sig and their specific function in space missions and operations is presented
nals and the environment depends on the state of the atmosphere and on in Table 7.
neighbouring entities. A satellite may have communication difficulties
to overcome as a result of uncertainties in the environment. AI is now
being utilised to control satellite communication in order to circumvent 4.3. On-board AI
any transmission issues. These AI-enabled technologies can figure out
how much power and what frequencies are needed to send data back to Currently, AI is employed in space to improve monitoring and di
Earth or to other satellites. The satellite does this on a regular basis with agnostics, make predictions and analyse images. AI has not yet been
an on-board Al to allow signals to pass through as it travels through implemented on-board spacecraft. Image processing, instrument control
space [169–173]. In particular, AI can greatly support several commu and satellite navigation are just a few of the potential applications for AI
nication system tasks, including beam-hopping, anti-jamming, detecting on-board spacecraft. Training models on the ground and then uploading
ionospheric scintillation, network traffic forecasting, channel modelling, them to spacecraft is one method to implement AI on-board of the
telemetry mining, interference management, remote sensing, behaviour spacecraft. This would make spacecraft more autonomous and increase
modelling, space air-ground integrating and energy management. AI the value of the data they collect. Even the most computationally
should be used to produce more effective, reliable, consistent and demanding AI models can now be executed on mobile devices such as
high-quality communication systems in the future [122]. smartphones. This indicates that AI can be utilised on even the smallest
spacecraft. Table 8 provides examples of specific AI applications on on-
board of the spacecraft. Space exploration has the potential to be
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Table 8
A brief overview of AI on-board missions. Adapted from Refs. [264,265].
Mission Specific Function (performed by AI)
revolutionised by AI. By incorporating AI into spacecraft, scientists can systems are increasingly relying upon suitable forms of AI to autono
collect more data, make better judgements and conduct space explora mously check for faults, detect/isolate them and recover optimal func
tion in a safer manner [264,265]. tionality [266–269]. Concerning the control segment, various functions
are seeing an increasing adoption of AI [270–273]. Ground control
5. Space infrastructure evolution systems, in particular, is being extensively automated to reduce the
reliance on human operators and associated support personnel [268,
The benefits offered by AI algorithms will be fully achieved upon 269,274,275]. These systems can handle numerous spacecraft at the
integration in all space mission operational segments (Fig. 24): space, same time, normally requiring minimal human supervision and inter
control, user, link segments and inter-vehicle communications. vention. For example, NASA’s Near-Earth Network and Space Network
use time-sharing to manage many spacecraft connections [276,277].
5.1. Space and control segments Table 9 summarizes the applications of AI envisaged for the evolu
tionary space and ground segments.
The space segment involves a variety of specialised payloads, such as On-board control functionalities, have recently been the focus of
remote sensing, navigation and communications, to carry out the increasing levels of automation, as in the case of system health man
intended missions [21]. In addition to other more mission-specific as agement, which evolved from traditional FDIR practices. The capability
pects extensively covered in other sections of this article, spaceborne to adapt and maintain dynamic plans for individual spacecraft prompts
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the adoption of on-board autonomy for both mission planning and connect with one another. As a result, the authenticity and integrity of
execution [279]. Nowadays, most satellite operators/owners prefer these communications are critical. Space Traffic Management (STM),
on-board control due to the limitation in bandwidth and the ability to efficient and easier maintenance, are all benefits of vehicular commu
perform autonomous operations [105–108]. These on-board control nication, which ultimately lead to safer space operations. Wireless and
systems are able to process mission and link segment data such as EO optical fibre communications are the most common forms of IVC [275].
data [271], space weather data, etc. without human intervention and Different ISL topologies are the following 1) Ring, 2) Star, 3) Mesh, or 4)
employing intelligent algorithms. Table 10 summarizes the comple Hybrid, depending on the communication links between the DSS. These
mentary nature of ground and space control segment components. topologies are depicted in Fig. 25, with the ISL represented by the ar
rows. Liz Martinez et al. provides the various strategies that are suited
for DSS [211]. Technology based on RF, has traditionally been utilised
5.2. Inter-vehicle communications for inter-satellite communication; however, increasingly, modern sat
ellites are turning to technology based on lasers and optics in order to
The term Inter-Vehicular Communication (IVC) refers to data ex communicate with one another [281–283]. Fig. 26 illustrates the
change within the DSS framework which can be achieved with ISL. The different links between space and ground assets, which can support
different topologies are shown in Fig. 25. command and control functionalities such as initiate equipment di
Mission tasks, including redundancy of operations, command and agnostics, reset the state of equipment, and/or begin the vehicle’s pro
control, mission activities, tracking, networking of computing capabil pulsion systems. These commands can be transmitted to a space vehicle
ities and communications, are all performed when functioning satellites via a variety of communication mechanisms. For instance, they can be
sent by optical fibre to a remote ground station, where they are sent to
the satellite through a direct Radio Frequency (RF) or optical link.
Alternatively, a space relay system can be established, in which initial
commands are communicated from the ground through RF or optical to
a relaying satellite, which will then be transmitted via radio frequency to
the target satellite. Finally, mobile devices and technologies that are not
tied to a specific ground operation region, like IVC, can be used to send
commands to a satellite or its payload [275].
The user segment includes civil and military equipment that receives
and processes satellite signals. Specialised receivers and/or transceivers
are required in most applications such as communication, navigation,
positioning, time dissemination and research (such as measurement of
atmospheric parameters). As the term suggests, receivers have no re
striction on the number of users they may serve because the signals are
sent in the service volume to each suitable receiver, making communi
cation one-way, meaning the user does not broadcast but only receives.
The variety of transport, surveying, agricultural, industrial, defence and
recreational applications currently found for Global Navigation Satellite
Fig. 24. Example of modern satellite system operational segments. Systems (GNSS) receivers, has created a large and diverse user com
munity base. Today, most mobile and personal communication devices
Table 9 feature embedded GNSS receivers, with an increasing number of ap
AI application in space and ground segments. Adapted from Ref. [278]. plications depending on satellite navigation signals. The aviation com
Space segment Smart Payloads • Ground target analysis
munity strongly supports GNSS evolutions because they provide
application segmentation, detection and tracking dependable aircraft’s positioning and navigation [284,285]. Satellite
•Cloud segmentation communication services are also increasingly more accessible and
•Vegetation detection and health extensively used for beyond Line-of-Sight (BLOS) aeronautical commu
monitoring
nication networks, including those serving uninhabited/autonomous air
•Multispectral and Hyperspectral
information extraction and surface vehicles. Other common applications include Earth Obser
Smart Spacecraft •Automated planning and reasoning vation (EO), where service owners/users access various kind of raw,
•Adaptive on-board operations semi-processed and processed datasets including weather, agricultural,
•Event-driven and goal-driven geospatial, etc. [286–288].
autonomy
•Autonomous Moon/Mars/Asteroid
landing
Ground segment Trend Analysis •Anomaly detection on multivariate
applications time-series
•Intelligent health and mission
management Table 10
•Correlation on multivariate time- Comparison of ground and space control segment. Adapted from Ref. [279].
series
Ground Control On-board Control
•Automated root cause analysis
Augmented •Satellite automated tasking and •CPU power available, •Reactive to the environment,
Operations planning •Software flexibility, •Processing data without
•Automated debris avoidance •The testing procedure not impacting the communication delay,
•Virtual assistants for ground operators mission, •Reduced communication to ground,
Generative AI •Dataset augmentation •Interactions with operators and experts in •Human intervention is limited.
•Super-resolution imaging a short loop,
•Data quality enhancement •Lower cost of software development.
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more complexity should be handled by the ground segment. Both op working at normal levels and its trusted autonomous reconfiguration
tions are generally required; hence, autonomy must be flexibly managed capabilities allow it to redistribute workload without interference from
by either control or the space segment with variable levels of autonomy the ground. Therefore, iDSS enables real-time or near-real-time opera
and associated task redistribution. Distributed mission scenarios may tions for time-critical events such as natural disasters (in this case,
not always be adaptive to single spacecraft solutions. This is the case wildfires). In this context, ISL allows for data sharing and reactive AI
because distributed missions introduce a new level of complexity to algorithms perform on-board data processing so that the iDSS can
mission planning, such as the spacecraft coordination mechanism. This reconfigure rapidly [290,291].
is completely dependent on IVC and computing power, which are both
finite resources. Determining the right degree of responsibility between 6. Current and future applications
both the control and space parts is one of the primary difficulties for
future missions [279]. Ultimately, even goal-based operational concepts The following subsections examine relevant use cases of AI in space
alone cannot address the requirements of trusted autonomy without operations. These examples illustrate the significant potential of AI to
resorting to cognitive/adaptive forms of HMI2 such as the CHMI2 enhance a variety of real-world space operations. From autonomous
concept overviewed in satellite control to on-board data processing, AI has proved to be a
section 3.1.2. potent tool for improving the efficiency, dependability and safety of
space missions. These e demonstrate the potential for AI to revolutionise
space operations and bring us closer to understanding the complexities
5.5. Intelligent DSS operations
of the Earth and deep space.
On-board data processing (i.e., reducing data link load and relaxing
ground-based processing tasks) requires both AI algorithms (software) 6.1. PhiSat-1 mission
and suitable hardware (such as accelerators). TASO is therefore possible
only with cutting-edge AI enabled astrionics. Astrionics are generally The European satellite PhiSat-1 (φ-Sat-1) is the first to demonstrate
subdivided in two categories: (i) Service astrionics, which includes on- how on-board AI might improve the efficiency of EO data transmission
board GNC, communication, mission reconfiguration, etc.; and (ii) back to Earth. Enhanced imaging capabilities employing a hyperspectral
Mission astrionics, which deals with mission-specific satellite-related camera and HyperScout-1 imager, as well as advancements in a Feder
tasks such as fusion, analysis, georeferencing and other data-related ated Satellite System (FSSCat) mission using AI, have resulted in PhiSat-
tasks. Sharing information about the acquired data is made possible 1. The presentation of a cutting-edge AI accelerator, including the first
by iDSS, allowing for maximum scientific output to be achieved through AI algorithms for cloud screening, was the highlight of the show.
the use of opportunistic research. iDSS also offer real-time event man Applying ML algorithms to HyperScout-2 data in real-time allows for
agement i.e., disaster and rare events. The operational requirements can considerable improvements in inferring and presenting EO-based in
be lowered with iDSS autonomy, allowing for human-in-the-loop oper formation at high temporal precision and in a short amount of time.
ations to be converted into human-on-the-loop activities. Humans will Scanning data before it has been downloaded is one possible use case.
be responsible for overseeing the operations in some capacity. Despite This was the case in the first experiment, which took place in orbit as
the loss of one spacecraft, intelligent DSS (iDSS) is able to continue part of the φ-Sat-1 mission and involved AI being utilised to retrieve
Fig. 27. Concept of space and control segment co-evolution by goal-based programming. Adapted from Ref. [6].
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cloud coverage data from the gathered picture [272]. benefit of a fully trustworthy autonomous mission is lower operational
costs. This is especially relevant for small satellite missions, where costs
6.2. Disaster management of operations have been shown not to scale with spacecraft size and
constellations, where a large number of operators for each spacecraft
Climate action (SDG-13) is one of the United Nations (UN) Sustain simply cannot be afforded with hundreds of thousands of satellites. At
able Development Goals and wildfire is one of the catastrophic phe Technology Readiness Levels (TRL) 4 to 6, there are few mission man
nomena that both impact and are exacerbated by climate change. Large- agement technologies available in the industry, MIRAGE [278] and
scale wildfires have increased in frequency and size in Australia and Antelope [298] are the notable ones.
other nations in recent years. The capacity to change the spacecraft
cluster/formation and progressively add new or upgrade existing sat 6.5. Space Based Space Surveillance
ellites in the formation has surely increased mission value in recent
improvements in DSS. These qualities have intrinsic advantages such as The effectiveness of space object surveillance in the rapidly evolving
greater mission efficacy, multi-mission capability, design flexibility and space domain is challenged on multiple fronts and is particularly known
so on. The predictive and reactive integrity characteristics given by AI, to be limited in the size and optical magnitude of the objects being
including both on-board satellites and in the ground control segments, monitored. Additionally, ground-based observations are prone to
make TASO practical. The DSS must be able to reconfigure indepen disruption and disturbance by atmospheric weather effects. SBSS is
dently in order to efficiently monitor and manage time-critical events therefore widely considered as the long-term complement to ground-
such as disaster relief operations. To achieve TASO, the DSS architecture based RSO tracking as it is not affected by atmospheric weather and is
should support reconfiguration and spacecraft should communicate able to detect much smaller and fainter objects. The integration of SBSS
with one another via an ISL. Recent breakthroughs in AI, sensor and has the potential to enhance tracking accuracy, RSO predictability and
computing technologies have created new promising concepts for the weather independence, thus potentially supporting the development of
DSS’s safe and efficient functioning. Combining these technologies en an integrated Space Domain Awareness (SDA) framework for safe, sus
ables trusted autonomy in iDSS operations, providing a more responsive tainable and unrestricted LEO operations.
and resilient approach to Space Mission Management (SMM) data col iDSS characteristics offer a lot of potential for SBSS missions as the
lecting and processing, particularly when using cutting-edge optical number of observations and RSO potentially tracked make the downlink
sensors. This study investigates the potential uses of iDSS by proposing a of data and a ground-based mission planning highly impractical. Lagona
network of LEO satellites for near-real-time wildfire management. Sat et al. [299] proposed AI algorithms for autonomous planning and
ellite missions must have sizable coverage, return intervals and recon reconfiguration onboard a SBSS DSS. For on-board trajectory genera
figuration capabilities to continually monitor Areas of Interest (AOI) in a tion, the proposed approach provided a viable autonomous manoeuvre
dynamically changing environment, which iDSS can provide. Our recent planning solution employing PSO requiring common computing power.
works established the viability of AI-based data processing employing Because of the exceptional parallelization, robustness and efficiency
cutting-edge on-board astrionics hardware accelerators [292]. Based on features of PSO-based methodologies, high accuracy results were ob
these first findings, AI-based software for wildfire detection on iDSS tained within acceptable calculation timeframes for the desired SBSS
satellites has been developed in stages. To show the applicability of the mission. The suggested trajectory optimization methodology not only
proposed iDSS architecture, simulation case studies in various enables timely and responsive manoeuvring to support next-generation
geographic regions have been carried out and substantiate the viability DSS missions, but it also provides a rationale for ground control segment
of this mission concept [290,291,293–295]. progression towards trusted autonomous space operations. Despite these
obvious advantages, metaheuristic solutions are stochastic in nature,
6.3. Maritime ISR posing a barrier to the interpretability and explainability of the
computed manoeuvre from the standpoint of the human operator. The
In the twenty-first century, space based EO systems have undergone long-term goal of this research is to achieve a flexible and scalable RSO
continuous development. Their application across the world’s water detection, SDA and collision avoidance capability. A strategy to extend
ways, among others, has risen significantly with the help of space-based the concept to cooperative tracking was proposed aimed at accurately
Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA), particularly Automatic Identifi measuring and estimating the kinematic states of RSO [300–303]. These
cation Systems (AIS). This study investigates the possible utility of studies examined an intruder (debris) being monitored by multiple
Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) and DSS for MDA operations. A resilient space-based assets in this circumstance. For collision avoidance and
multi-baseline Along-Track Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar separation assurance, the effects of manoeuvring the satellite to an
(AT-InSAR) formation flying concept is developed to efficiently combine appropriate level can be achieved by either performing an orbit raising
many along-track baseline observations for single-pass interferometry. or lowering operations [299]. The ultimate goal is to introduce a Space
The simulation findings show that it is possible to implement this Traffic Management (STM) framework that complements conventional
acquisition mode with autonomous orbit control utilising low-thrust Air Traffic Management (ATM) in ensuring safe and efficient near-Earth
actuation appropriate for electric propulsion. A constellation of these space operations, including rocket launch/re-entry, satellite orbital
formation concept is also proposed to improve repeatability and incor deployment and manoeuvring, as well as new forms of point-to-point
porate the benefits of the DSS. An MDA application is a hypothetical suborbital and orbital transportation [304,305].
mission that will be solved using this integrated technique [296,297].
7. Safety and security considerations
6.4. Mission management
Since space assets provide their operators a significant strategic and
Consistently with the IHMM concept, to facilitate trusted autono technological advantage; an adversary will almost certainly aim to
mous space mission management, the operational tasks to be performed degrade, deny, or disrupt access to space system capabilities [306].
and their schedule shall be defined and updated using suitable AI Fig. 28 depicts a list of the most common hazards/threats, along with the
planning techniques that consider data collected throughout the mission severity of each. Although cyberattacks are reversible to some extent in
(telemetry payload and external data). The satellites become aware of outer space, the TASO in space requires cyber resilience against cyber
their environment, their health and the Mission Control Centre’s even threats. Cybersecurity must be considered early in the design process,
tual directives. During a mission, AI provides trusted autonomous de particularly in the context of TASO in iDSS. In the event of planetary
cisions customised to the demands of end-users. The true, long-term threats such as debris or satellites, for example, autonomous orbit
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with limited data, such biases are expected to become increasingly se neural network models, according to research, can be compacted
vere [326,334–336]. Table 12 lists the some of the foreseeable techno without significant accuracy loss [340].
logical challenges associated to different application areas. 4. Another reason that may have slowed AI adoption for on-board ap
As of now, AI in space is limited to offline data processing and has not plications is a lack of trust due to the inherent unpredictability. This
been adopted “on the edge” within the spacecraft [264]. When looking nondeterminism arises from the impossibility of de facto testing the
particularly at the most promising AI algorithms for spaceborne appli weights set due to training for all possible inputs using a finite
cations, several challenges are identified: amount of data. More predictable AI approaches are generally
preferred because the high cost of failure is a critical factor in space
1. There are several reasons for this, including the difficulty of porting applications [341].
DL networks to hardware that predates the algorithms themselves 5. AI applications could be limited to the payload level to reduce risks
and has insufficient performance to make even basic inferences. in EO missions, where object detection and classification could be
Many AI models and particularly DL require a large number of op performed locally on sensor data [342]. In this particular instance, AI
erations per second to meet the stringent real-time operational re failures would only affect the quality of data for a single payload
quirements of many on-board applications, making their inference rather than putting the satellite at risk [264].
computationally intensive [337]. 6. The final point to consider is Deep Neural Network (DNN) training.
2. In addition, quantization and pruning techniques can compress the Indeed, a significant issue is the lack of datasets for training and
model [338], potentially improving its accuracy over the original model evaluation, particularly for missions involving new equip
[339]. Different hardware can be exploited depending on the arith ment, such as novel sensors, for which no DNN training dataset ex
metic representation used. ists. DNN training will also be performed on-ground, utilising cloud-
3. By performing model compression, network selection and design based Graphics Processing Units (GPU) or more specialised training
strategies can be used to mitigate memory budget problems. Certain hardware such as Tensor Processing Unit (TPU) due to its
28
K. Thangavel et al. Progress in Aerospace Sciences 144 (2024) 100960
Table 11 Table 12
ML criticality levels for certification [323]. Technological challenges for space systems in the upcoming decades. Adapted
Criticality Impact Potential (Examples) ML Application Requirements
from Ref. [74].
Level (CL) Areas Goals AI Opportunities and
Challenges
1 There is no risk of harm to living Basic minimum requirements of
beings, no risk of loss of a competently developed ML Sensing & To provide situational •Algorithms for 3D
confidential data and no ethical application are fulfilled. perception awareness for autonomous perception, state estimation
or privacy concerns. space agents, explorers and and data fusion
2 Living beings could be harmed The ML application is assistants •On-board data processing
with limited, no permanent developed according to •Object, event or activity
damage. Temporarily industry standards and follows recognition
unavailability of non-critical best practices that are regarded Mobility To reach and operate at sites •Multi-environment and
data and services, violation of as state of the art. of scientific interest on multi-modal locomotion (e.
ethical concerns without extra-terrestrial surfaces or g., flying, walking, climbing,
identifiable harm to actual free space environments rappelling, tunnelling, swim
persons. ming, sailing)
3 Living beings could die or be The ML application is •Intelligent manipulation
restricted for life; the developed and documented systems performing
environment could be damaged. with great care. Safety & intentional changes to the
Manipulation of data with Security is ensured with environment (e.g., placing,
severe financial consequences processes and techniques that assembling, digging,
and loss of control of the system go beyond traditional best trenching, drilling, sampling,
to malicious attackers. practices and industry grappling and berthing).
standards. High-level To provide robust and safe •High-integrity GNC
4 Many living beings could die or The ML application is autonomy for autonomous navigation, algorithms
could be restricted for life; the developed and documented system and sub- rendezvous and docking •Intelligent docking and
environment could be damaged with great care. Safety & systems capabilities and enable capture algorithms
permanently. Loss of Security is ensured with extended-duration •Autonomous mission
information which endangers processes and techniques that operations without human planning, scheduling and
the existence of the go beyond traditional best interventions control
organization. Long-term practices and industry • Multi-agent coordination
unavailability of critical data or standards. All components of and cooperative control
services without which the the ML application are formally • Automated data analytics
organization cannot function. secured and validated. for autonomous decision
making
Human-machine To enable humans to • Multi-modal interaction
interactions understand the machine’s (virtual and augmented
state accurately and rapidly reality)
in collaboration and act • Remote and supervisory
effectively and efficiently control
towards the goal state • Distributed collaboration
and coordination
• Adaptive human-machine
Interfaces
• Cognitive human-
autonomy interactions
System To provide a framework for • DDT&E lifecycle
engineering understanding and evolutions
coordinating the complex • Verification and validation
interactions of space CPS of complex/adaptive AI
and to achieve the desired based systems
mission requirements • Digital threads and digital
twins
• Safety certification, trust
and cyber-security
29
K. Thangavel et al. Progress in Aerospace Sciences 144 (2024) 100960
1. Ethical purpose: AI development, deployment and use should respect 9. Conclusion and future research
fundamental rights and applicable regulations as well as core prin
ciples and values to ensure “ethical purpose"; Large and heterogeneous satellite constellations are becoming viable
2. Technical robustness: AI should be technically robust and reliable and advantageous options, eliciting an evolution of operational para
since its use can cause unintentional harm, even in the presence of digms towards higher levels of autonomation and trusted autonomy.
good intentions [344]. Despite the fact that achieving full autonomy is still a relatively distant
goal, the demand for Artificial Intelligence (AI) is on the rise, creating
AI systems use large amounts of data, causing increasing concerns as new opportunities for expanded space system capabilities. While
more data is collected and used. Such high volumes and the level of increasingly higher levels of automation have been introduced in con
dependence on such data will keep privacy at the forefront as one of the ventional satellite systems, AI-based trusted autonomy is becoming
most significant legal issues to be addressed in the future. For instance, essential in large Distributed Space Systems (DSS). Intelligent DSS
setting ethical parameters within which AI systems operate is para (iDSS) are thus an evolving paradigm, which relies on new reactive and
mount in tackling bias, considering the application of AI to data predictive functionalities, essential to accomplish Trusted Autonomous
generated in space and prospective on-board AI space sector Satellite Operations (TASO). The adoption of safe, efficient and reliable
developments. AI techniques in all DSS segments unleashes unique opportunities to
Another important issue is liability in closed-loop human-machine enhance the overall space mission lifecycle, and particularly the design,
systems: if AI is used in a Decision Support Tool (DST) and an accident development and operational phases. To support the transition to TASO,
takes place, the critical question being raised is who is responsible, the a new dedicated AI design, verification and certification framework has
operator or the designer of the AI-based DST? Based on the current legal to be established, addressing both autonomous cyber-physical systems
framework, if the human operator did not follow the DST recommen and closed-loop human-machine system architectures. The certification
dation and the DST was right, s/he will be blamed for having made the of truly intelligent and evolving space systems is a critical undertaking
wrong decision. If the operator, conversely, followed the DST and the and several aspects will have to be properly addressed to ensure the
DST was wrong, s/he will be blamed for having made the wrong deci safety and security of these systems, including: (1) integrity of both
sion. This is an obvious paradox, which will have to be properly system and data being exchanged; (2) consistency and resilience against
addressed. Since we are dealing with complex CPH systems employing adversarial threats; and (3) interpretability of the autonomous decisions.
AI (i.e., interconnected and closed-loop human-machine systems), there Based on our review, it is evident that to safely integrate AI into all
is general consensus that the liability issues must be addressed primarily aspects of space operations, further research is needed in several areas.
at the design and certification stage. This is because AI explainability First of all, AI-based functionalities are needed for: (1) Mission Planning
and trusted autonomy are design attributes of such systems and not and Scheduling (MPS); (2) on-board data collection and processing; (3)
measurable/observable parameters during operations. Clearly, this is a reconfigurable networking for optimized data exchange with other
major paradigm shift and requires radical changes in the current Design, space assets and ground terminals; and (4) autonomous detection,
Development, Test and Evaluation (DDT&E) industrial practices as well tracking and avoidance of orbital collision hazards. All these function
as the development (and uptake) of new operational standards and alities will require efficient and intelligent data analytics, interpretation
regulations. The tort of negligence, which is a common legal principle and decision-making on-board satellites, both to minimize the data
applied to liability, is concerned with whether a party owed another a throughput requirements and to maximise mission responsiveness.
duty of care, whether that duty was breached and whether the breach Ideally, the associated AI techniques should have the ability to contin
resulted in damages. In the case of negligence, reasonable foreseeability uously enhance the iDSS performance through learning and adaptation.
is a crucial concept [345]. As AI systems become less reliant on tradi In terms of on-board Mission Planning and Scheduling (MPS), the AI
tional algorithms, they will be able to exhibit behaviours that are not techniques shall consider operational uncertainties and constraints, to
only unexpected by their creators and possibly unpredictable. In a sce optimise objectives, resource allocation and trajectory planning/
nario where there is a lack of predictability, the law could replace its replanning. In relation to this, research in autonomous detection and
negligence-based approach with one based a more holistic liability avoidance of collision hazards has to explore the effectiveness of
concept, which clearly specifies the allocation of responsibility to both incorporating AI models into the Space Based Space Surveillance (SBSS)
AI/DST designers and operators. If, on the other hand, a for Space Domain Awareness (SDA). Particular emphasis should be
negligence-based approach is retained, it will be necessary to define the given to algorithms that can improve the performance of tracking debris
applicable duty of care requirements in a hybrid AI-human operational and other objects. This will, in turn, support the co-evolution of air and
context. Whichever the approach adopted, the regulation of AI will space traffic management (e.g., launch and re-entry provisions and
inevitably continue to pose significant challenges, which are exacer point-to-point suborbital operations). Concerning the resilience of AI-
bated by the inherent continuous evolution of AI algo based Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) in space, the challenge is to
rithms/applications and the associated need to develop a more flexible develop robust, fault-tolerant and secure systems that ensure TASO
and responsive legal framework to keep pace with these technologies given the specific hardware constraints, the variability of mission re
[344,345]. There are currently two main approaches to address quirements, the uncertainties in physical processes and the possibility of
lawmaking for AI [329]. The first approach stipulates that one must both cyber/physical attacks and human errors. In particular, the
solve problems only as they arise (i.e., responsive in nature). There is no development of Intelligent Health and Mission Management (IHMM)
need to introduce new regulation when there is no problem. The main functions on-board space assets, which exploit AI to provide predictive
rationale behind this approach is that early (normative) intervention can integrity which can track the state of health and operational efficiency of
prevent or even block certain innovation paths. The second approach is space systems, detect anomalies and implement timely reconfiguration
proactive and based on the premises that universal pre-emptive stan actions which minimize outages and risks of catastrophic failures. These
dards are necessary, without waiting for actual problems to occur. functions form part of the autonomous mission MPS capability. To
Whichever approach is pursued, it is important to note that the Outer achieve the full potential of iDSS for Earth observation and astronomy,
Space Treaty requires international monitoring of the application of the further research is needed into efficient AI algorithms capable of ana
rules and the establishment of an international law enforcement agency lysing and interpreting large volumes of mission data in real-time,
to carry out such monitoring [346]. Differences in national legal prompting human review only when and where needed, therefore
frameworks and in the uptake of international regulations/standards reducing the time and resources necessary in these missions. Another
may challenge this process [347]. important aspect concerns the ethics and trustworthiness of AI-based
CPS. In this respect, research should investigate the legal
30
K. Thangavel et al. Progress in Aerospace Sciences 144 (2024) 100960
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