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Sol Sample Sheet2-2023

The document discusses engineering statistics problems and concepts related to probability mass functions, cumulative distribution functions, and probability distributions. It provides examples and calculations involving events, probabilities, expectations, and variances.

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11 views

Sol Sample Sheet2-2023

The document discusses engineering statistics problems and concepts related to probability mass functions, cumulative distribution functions, and probability distributions. It provides examples and calculations involving events, probabilities, expectations, and variances.

Uploaded by

01278326701m
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Cairo university Engineering Statistics

Faculty of Engineering
Irrigation and Hydraulics Dept. Academic Year 2023-2024

Assignment (2) Model Answer

Problem 1:

i) A
0.31
B
0.01 0.12 0.08
0.09
C 0.39

ii)
(A B) =0.09+0.39+0.12+0.08=0.68
or (A)+ (B) - (A B) =0.6+0.2-0.12=0.68
(A C) =0.01+0.09+0.39+0.12=0.61
or (A)+ (C) - (A C) =0.6+0.1-0.09=0.61
(B C) =0.01+0.09+0.12+0.08=0.3
or (B)+ (C) - (B C) =0.2+0.1-0.00=0.3
(A B C)=0.01+0.09+0.39+0.12+0.08=0.69
or 1-0.31=0.69

iii) (A B C) =0.6+0.2+0.1-0.09-0.12-0+0=0.69

iv)
(A B′)=0.09+0.39=0.48 ( in A but not in B )
( A′ C)=0.01 ( in C but not in A )
( B′ C′)=0.39+0.31=0.7 ( not in B nor in A )
v)
(A B)= (A B) / (B) =0.12 / 0.2 =0.6
(A C)= (A C) / (C) =0.09 / 0.1 =0.9
(B C)= (B C) / (C) =0
vi)
- B and C are mutually exclusive
- (A) x (B) =0.6 x 0.2=0.12= (A B)
So, A and B are independent
Also, (A B) =0.6 = (A) (occurrence of B doesn’t affect probability of A )

1
Problem3:

Given P(Rain) = 0.3  P(Dry)=1 – 0.3 = 0.7

Also, given P(J|Dry) = 0.15 and P(J|Rain) = 0.45

a) P(J) = P(JDry) + P(JRain) = P(J|Dry) P(Dry) + P(J|Rain) P(Rain)


= 0.15  0.7 + 0.45  0.3 = 0.24
b)

Problem 4:

a- f(x) = 1/3 for x=0, 1, 2

1 1 1
 f ( x) = 3 + 3 + 3 = 1 and 0  f ( x)  1

f(x) is a P.M.F

f(x) Probability Mass Function F(x) Cumulative Distribution Function


0.99 0.99

0.66 0.66

0.33 0.33

b- 0 0
0 1 X 2 3 0 1 X 2 3
f(x)=x/15 for x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

1 2 3 4 5
 f ( x) = 0 + 15 + 15 + 15 + 15 + 15 = 1 and 0  f ( x)  1

f(x) is a P.M.F

f(x) Probability Mass Function F(x) Cumulative Distribution Function


1 1
0.8 0.8
0.6 0.6
0.4 0.4
0.2 0.2
0 0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7X8 9 101112131415 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7X8 9 101112131415

c- f(x) = (5-x2)/6 for x=0, 1, 2, 3

2
5 4 1 −4
 f ( x) = 6 + 6 + 6 + 6
=1 But f ( x )  0

f(x) is not a P.M.F


Problem 5:

a) f(x)=x for 0x1


f(x)=0 elsewhere

1 1
x2
  x dx = = 0.5  1 and 0  f ( x)  1
0
2 0
f(x) is not a P.D.F

b) f(x)=0.5(1-x2) 0x1
f(x)=0 elsewhere
1
x3
1 x−
1
  0.5(1 - x 2 ) dx = 3 = 1
0
2 3
0

f(x) is not a P.D.F

c) f(x)=(1.5-x) 0x2
f(x)=0 elsewhere

2 2
x2
  (1.5 - x) dx = 1.5 x − =1 and f ( x )  0 at X=2
0
2 0

f(x) is not a P.D.F

Problem 6:

i) First find PMF

D 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
F(D) 0.30 0.50 0.65 0.78 0.90 0.96 1.00
f(D) 0.30 0.20 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.06 0.04

E(x) = 00.3 + 10.2 + 20.15 + 30.13 + 40.12 + 50.06 + 60.04 = 1.91

E(x2) = 00.3 + 10.2 + 40.15 + 90.13 + 160.12 + 250.06 + 360.04 =6.83

Var(x) = E(x2) - {E(x)}2 = 6.83 – 1.912 = 3.1819

σ x= 1.784
3
ii) P(D  2 | D  0) = P(D  2  D  0)/P(D  0) = (1 − 0.65) /(1 − 0.3) = 0.5

iii) E(3D+2)= 3xE(D)+2=3x1.91+2=7.73

Problem 7:

First find F(x)

x
F ( x) =  2ax 2 dx = 2ax 3 / 3
0

for F ( x) to be a valid distribution function


3
F (8) = 1 = 2a (8 3 ) / 3  a =
1024
 F ( x) = (2 * 3 X ) /(1024 * 3) = X 3 / 512
3

i)

P( x 5) = 1 − P( x  5) = 1 − 5 3 / 512 = 0.756


P(2  x  4) = F (4) − F (2) = (4 3 − 2 3 ) / 512 = 0.109
P( x  2 x  4) = P( x  2  x  4) / P( x  4) = 0.109 /(4 3 / 512) = 0.872

ii)
8
3 3
E ( x) =  x.2ax 2 dx = X 4 /4 = * 84 / 4 − 0 = 6
0
512 512
E (2 X + 5) = 2 * E ( X ) + 5 = 2 * 6 + 5 = 17

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