Cattle Fattening New
Cattle Fattening New
on the establishment
of
Cattle Fattening
At
Tigray regional state,
H/Wajirat woreda
1
TABLES ............................................................................................................................................................3
2. INTRODUCTION ..........................................................................................................................................7
7. FINANCIAL PLAN....................................................................................................................................... 25
9. ANNEXES ............................................................................................................................................... 30
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TABLES
Table 1: Summary of initial investment cost ............................................................................... 4
Table 2: Annual beef consumption (published in 1998 by CSA) .............................................. 10
Table 3: Annual Beef Consumption (2018) ............................................................................... 11
Table 4: Presents export of meat and meat products ................................................................ 12
Table 5 Demand projection in tons ............................................................................................ 13
Table 6: Local market price of meat .......................................................................................... 14
Table 7: Export market price of meat and live weight............................................................... 15
Table 8: The Selling capacity of the farm per annum ................................................................ 16
Table 9: Building and civil work ............................................................................................... 17
Table 10: List of machinery and equipment for fattening farm. ................................................ 18
Table 11 Cost of beef cattle per year ......................................................................................... 18
Table 12: Feed cost .................................................................................................................... 19
Table 13: Annual utilities (supplies) requirement at full capacity operation............................. 20
Table 14: Man-power and cost .................................................................................................. 23
Table 15: Initial investment ....................................................................................................... 26
Table 16 IRR .............................................................................................................................. 27
Table 17 payback ....................................................................................................................... 27
Annex
Annex 1: Bank repayment Schedule .......................................................................................... 30
Annex 2: Present value and internal rate of return .................................................................... 31
Annex 3: Depreciation and Amortization ‘birr’......................................................................... 32
Annex 4: Schedules cost of production ..................................................................................... 33
Annex 5:- Profit/loss statement .................................................................................................. 34
Annex 6:- Balance sheet statement ............................................................................................ 34
Annex 7: Cash flow statement ................................................................................................... 35
Annex 8: Action Plan for the First year (Farming) .................................................................... 36
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1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The necessary constructions such as cattle barn, workers house, office, store, toilet &
shower, and other necessary structures will be constructed. (See table -9).
The project will generate a profit throughout its operation life. Annual net profit after tax
will be Birr 2.33 million in the first year and Birr 1.5 million during the life of the project.
Moreover, at the end of the project life the accumulated net cash flow amounts to Birr
15.23 million. Based on the projected cash flow it is estimated that the project's initial
investment will be fully recovered within 3.68 years. The IRR of this project is computed
to be 20.01%. the project will have also a profitable index of PI= 1.18.
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1.8. ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL BENEFITS
The economic impact of the project can be viewed in a number of ways. It can be viewed
through its specific impact such as employment generation, transfer technology,
contribute to food self-sufficiency, increasing government revenue. It’s a production of
exportable items that contribute in earning foreign exchange. Moreover, other benefits
such as the creation of conducive environment for the development of the country should
also be taken into consideration.
1.9. CONCLUSIONS
The project is worth undertaking from the following viewpoints:
• Payback period: Only three years and four months are required to recover the
original investment cost.
• The Net Present Value (NPV) is positive.
• The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is greater than the bank interest.
• The project has positive impact on the national economy.
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2. INTRODUCTION
The present project for Modern commercial farm at H/wajrat woreda is one of the
important components envisaged by the investors toward selecting its long-term vision
of playing active role in the Livestock sector.
Sansoucyet al, (1995) aptly put it; livestock are closely linked to the social and cultural
lives of millions of resource-poor farmers for whom animal ownership ensures varying
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degrees of sustainable farming and economic stability. Livestock help improve food and
nutritional security by providing nutrient-rich food products, generate income and
employment and act as a cushion against crop failure, provide drought power and manure
inputs to the crop sub-sector, and contribute to foreign exchange through exports.
A first, rough approach to assess the economic significance of the livestock sector is to
estimate its contribution to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). As in most developing
countries, the share of agriculture from the national GDP is important in Ethiopia, whose
average for most years is 50 -55% (Befekadu and Berhanu 2000). Livestock wealth
provides food through milk, meat and eggs and industrial raw materials such as fibre,
skin, hides and farmyard manure. Accordingly, the value of output from livestock in
Ethiopia was estimated at around Birr 12 billion in 2000 and accounted for about 45% of
the value of all agricultural output excluding the contribution of animal draft power
(FAO, 2003). The samesources note that, at constant prices (1995 US$) the value of
output from livestock grew nearlyby22%, in the two decades between 1980 and 2000,
the increase (1.1% pa) compares well with the growth of the value of agricultural output.
Once cattle have eaten to their appetite and remain full, the chances of negative upsets
are reduced considerably. In this regard, additional libitum feeding would result in
increased daily weight gains of up to 700 gm per day.
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2.3. OBJECTIVE OF THE PROJECT
2.5. STRATEGIES
To achieve any objective, different strategies should be designed. Therefore, to
effectively deliver its intended purpose by efficiently competing in the market, it aims to
have the following strategies.
To establish the present local demand for beef meat an end-user’s approach is used. For
this estimation " The 1995/1996 Revised Report on Household Income, Consumption
and Expenditure Survey", published in 1998 by CSA is used as a base. The per capita
consumption is thus estimated to be 2.14kg, given the total Ethiopian population of
52,689,067 at the time the survey carried out, which total consumption of meat was
112,789tons.
19999
>20,000 993,008 12,156 12,071
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national demand estimated based on the above indicated survey is given in Table 3.
As can be seen from Table 3, the total national annual beef meat consumption in the year
According to the External Trade Statistics, Customs Authority Meat export has
tremendously increased in the past years. Accordingly, from the year 1993 to 1998,
export grew from 40 tons to 2,508 tons (i.e-40, 209, 580, 1268, 1823, 2508). The notable
reason for this substantial growth in these five years is the devaluation of the local
currency (Birr) which stimulated export, thus the average export of meat and meat
products in this period i.e., 1,286 tons. This value is assumed to indicate the current
On the other hand, according to Economic Commission for Africa’s (ECA) "Economic
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Report on Africa (2002)", the average growth rate of Ethiopian export over the period
1991-2000 were 4.8% per annum. Accordingly, the future export market demand for the
The total population growth rate in Ethiopia is 2.9% per annum, while that of the urban
population growth rate is 4% per annum. The consumption of meat by the rural
population is expected to increase as a result of higher income. Hence, in order to
estimate the probable level of future demand, present demand is assumed to increase by
a slightly higher rate than the urban population growth rate, i.e.5% per annum.
(2002)", the average growth rate of Ethiopian export over the period 1991-2000 were
4.8% per annum. Accordingly, the future export market demand for the product is
12
assumed to grow by 5% per annum. The demand projected on the basis of the above
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Figure 1 Average per capita milk and meat consumption in Ethiopia, Sub-Saharan Africa and developed countries, 1997-
1999 (Source: FAO, 2001).
The domestic market price is determined by the market force of demand and supply.
13
Whenever more cattle are driven to the market places the price would decline and vice
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versa. Generally, the domestic market price for meat has shown a continuous increase
over the past five years. The domestic market prices are indicated in : 7below.
Farmers bring their cattle to their nearby cattle market, where they are bought by small
cattle traders. The small cattle traders drive the cattle to the terminal market from which
they are taken finally either to slaughter house after they are sold to meat shops
(lukandas) or to other big towns for resale to meat shops in big towns. Dansha, Humera,
Alamata Mehoni and Yechila towns are the terminal markets. These cattle markets are
Foreign market prices are determined by either through negotiation with the importers
abroad or by the international market prices. The former approach is mostly commonly
applicable in setting prices at the export market. There was in general price increase in
the export market which contributed to the increase in the quantity of meat export. The
The sharp increase in the export prices of meat during the early 2000s’ was attributed to
Birr devaluation. The live weight price of cattle in the year 2018 is assumed to be the
finished product price of cattle for the envisaged fattening farm i.e Birr 120 per kg of
meat and 140 per live weight. The envisaged farm is recommended to directly export its
product and for the local market use commissioned agents at strategic locations.
The fattening project will have a capacity of 165 heads of cattle per batch in the first year
and the objective is to produce four batches per year with 90 days feeding period per
batch. Stock mobilization can be arranged on yearly basis with 740 cattle in the first year
and to continue by 5.5% increase in each year up to the third year which is 822 cattle
(full capacity of the project). This level of production is considered to be more realistic
as it will enable proper management and efficient utilization of resources and assets. An
average weight of each animal after fattening is assumed to be about 350 kg.
The selling capacity of the farm will be 740 beef cattle for local and export market in the
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first year.
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Table 8: The Selling capacity of the farm per annum
Product Qty Sales @85% Qty @ Sales @95% Qty @ Sales @
S/N description unit price @85% Birr 95% Birr 100% 100% Birr
1 Cattle No 32,000 740 23,679,744 781 24,991,602 822 26,308,196
Total 23,679,744 24,991,602 26,308,196
Vat
Net sales 23,679,744 24,991,602 26,308,196
Since the proposed farm is very new venture for the investor, it needs some period of
time to get work experiences, establishment of the farm and penetrate market for pure
local breeds before getting full capacity utilization. Based on this fact, the under-study
project will begin its operation at 85% capacity in its first year of operation, 95% in the
second year and reaches full capacity in 3rd year and then after.
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4. TECHNICAL STUDY
In view of this, the envisaged plant will be established in Tigray regional state, South
eastern zone, H/wajrat Woreda. The proposed site has the following advantages
The required equipment and tools are listed in Table 10. Total cost is estimated at Birr
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283400.
Table 10: List of machinery and equipment for fattening farm.
The number of fattening cycles carried out will be 4 cycles per year. For the 1st year 740
cattle’s (four cycles) will be purchased mostly from southern part of the region: Alamata,
Mekoni, Chercher etc. and surroundings. A total of about Birr 23,679,744 investments
is required for the first year. The beef cattle would be sold and replaced every four
months. The cattle with its corresponding estimated cost at full capacity is indicated in
Table 11.
Beef cattle will feed on protein sources (concentrate) along with plenty of roughage. The
feed is given for body maintenance and for production. 60% maintenance feed contain
roughages and 40% contain concentrate feed. Whereas production feed contains 40%
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roughages and 60% concentrate feed. The feed is determined according to body weight
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of the cattle (by converting cattle to TLU value) and the feed type available in the
country. Feed cost for proposed project at full capacity is given in Table 12.
iii. Inputs
On farm activities’ taking health care for fattening animals is very important. There are
a number of activities, which are under taken to keep animals’ health. The best for the
prevention of diseases is good hygiene and disinfection. Besides vaccination and using
antibiotic is crucial. The cost of vet drag will be birr 100 per Tropical Livestock unit and
Accordingly, the organizational structure of the envisaged project shall have two sections
and all report to the farm manager. The sections are
❖ fattening
❖ Commercial and finance section
The manager of the farm will be a responsible for all the activities which undertaken by
the firm such as planning, organizing, controlling etc. The animal production technician is
responsible for all technical and production operations including management of herd,
breeding, feeding, and etc of the project.
The commercial and finance section head will be in charge of sales and distribution,
purchases and stocks, accounting records etc.
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PROPOSED ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURED
Farm
manager
Commercial
fattening &
Section Finance
Section
animal
Feeders & Casher/acco
production
cleaners untant
technician
5.2. MANPOWER
The estimation of manpower requirement for the under-consideration project, particularly
for the productive workers is mainly depends upon the selected technology of the project.
Accordingly, the project under study is expected to create job opportunities about 36
workers (26 permanent and 10 daily laborer’s) All the required manpower of the project
will be recruited from the local market.
The total annual labor cost of the project would thus reach about birr 945,750. The required
number, job description and total annual labor cost of the proposed project is indicated here
on table.
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Table 14: Man-power and cost
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6. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT
The Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) study is intended to ensure that the
project will be economically feasible, socially acceptable and environmentally
sustainable. It primarily includes the description of the baseline condition of the
project area, identification of the Potential impacts of the proposed project and
development of feasible measures that will help to avoid or minimize the existing
and/or potential negative impacts associated with implementation of the proposed
project. Or else, it is also intended to enhance the positive impacts those could
develop. The ultimate objective of this environmental study is to obviate any
deterioration in the ecological stability and achieve improvement in it along with
environmental quality. Hence the EIA is an integral part of the business plan of
this proposed project.
With this background as an integral part of the project the environmental study is
aimed at assessment of major environmental issues of proposed project and
recommendation for mitigation measures and thereby minimizes risk of un sustain
ability.
The EIA study of the Project is performed immediate after acquisition of the
project. Because its site specific. However, this project is environmentally
friendly project.
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7. FINANCIAL PLAN
The financial analysis of the under-study project has been worked out under the following Basic
assumption.
The cost and benefits of the project is evaluated/ estimated for ten years. But the project’s
life span could be more than 10years. A pre-production or implementation period of 1 year
is considered.
Replacement of fixed assets is not assumed during the estimated 10 years’ life span of the
project. Therefore, at the end of the 10th year of operation the scrap value of fixed assets
would be their book-value.
The total initial investment requirement cost of the project is estimated to be birr
10.04 million of which birr 5.4 million will be allocated for fixed investment. The
summary of the cost breaks down of the initial fixed investment cost including
The working capital consists of the cost of feed, salary and wage and sundry
expense. In this case, the working capital requirement is taken for three months.
25
Accordingly, the total working capital requirement for the smooth run of the
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project is estimated at birr 4.64 million. The working capital break- down of the
The total initial cost of the project is estimated birr 10,043,525. This required
capital of the proposed project will be financed both by bank lone (70%) = birr
Table 17 payback
Cummulative
Year Investment out lays Net cash inflows cash inflows
0 10,043,525 - -
1 - 6,379,177 6,379,177
2 - 1,239,856 7,619,033
3 - 1,235,743 8,854,776
4 - 752,895 9,607,670
5 - 638,527 10,246,198
6 - 483,952 10,730,150
7 - 396,788 11,126,938
8 - 320,553 11,447,492
9 - 254,002 11,701,493
10 - 196,025 11,897,518
Total - 11,897,518 -
PBP (payback period) Year 3.68
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8. ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL BENEFITS
The economic impact of the project can be viewed in a number of ways. It can be viewed
through its specific impact such as employment generation, transfer technology, contribute
to food self-sufficiency, increasing government revenue. It’s a production of exportable
items that contribute in earning foreign exchange. Moreover, other benefits such as the
creation of conducive environment for the development of the country should also be taken
into consideration.
Therefore, from the above discussion it can be concluded that the project creates significant
socio-economic benefits directly or indirectly and will substantially contribute to the
development of the country
8.5. CONCLUSIONS
The project is worth undertaking from the following viewpoints:
• Payback period: Only three years and five months are required to recover the original
investment cost.
• The Net Present Value (NPV) is positive.
• The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is greater than the bank interest.
• The project has positive impact on the national economy.
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9. ANNEXES
Annex 1: Bank repayment Schedule
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Annex 2: Present value and internal rate of return
31
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Annex 3: Depreciation and Amortization ‘birr’
Depr.Expense
Projected years
Description 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Cnstruction & installation
Initial cost 1,621,000 1,621,000 1,621,000 1,621,000 1,621,000 1,621,000 1,621,000 1,621,000 1,621,000 1,621,000
Depr.Expense 81,050 81,050 81,050 81,050 81,050 81,050 81,050 81,050 81,050 81,050
Acc.depr.Expense 81,050 162,100 243,150 324,200 405,250 486,300 567,350 648,400 729,450 810,500
Book value 1,539,950 1,458,900 1,377,850 1,296,800 1,215,750 1,134,700 1,053,650 972,600 891,550 810,500
Machinery, equipment and furniture
Initial cost 361,508 361,508 361,508 361,508 361,508 361,508 361,508 361,508 361,508 361,508
Depr.Expense 36,151 36,151 36,151 36,151 36,151 36,151 36,151 36,151 36,151 36,151
Acc.depr.Expense 36,151 72,302 108,452 144,603 180,754 216,905 253,056 289,206 325,357 361,508
Book value 325,357 289,206 253,056 216,905 180,754 144,603 108,452 72,302 36,151 -
Vehicles
Initial cost 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000
Depr.Expense 240,000 240,000 240,000 240,000 240,000
Acc.depr.Expense 240,000 480,000 720,000 960,000 1,200,000
Book value 960,000 720,000 480,000 240,000 -
Pre-production expense
Initial cost 1,103,047 1,103,047 1,103,047 1,103,047 1,103,047
Depr.Expense 220,609 220,609 220,609 220,609 220,609
Acc.depr.Expense 220,609 441,219 661,828 882,438 1,103,047
Book value 882,438 661,828 441,219 220,609 -
Land lease
Initial cost 1,115,625 1,115,625 1,115,625 1,115,625 1,115,625 1,115,625 1,115,625 1,115,625 1,115,625 1,115,625
Depr.Expense 37,188 37,188 37,188 37,188 37,188 37,188 37,188 37,188 37,188 37,188
Acc.depr.Expense 37,188 74,375 111,563 148,750 185,938 223,125 260,313 297,500 334,688 371,875
Book value 1,078,438 1,041,250 1,004,063 966,875 929,688 892,500 855,313 818,125 780,938 743,750
Total FA initial cost 5,401,180 5,401,180 5,401,180 5,401,180 5,401,180 3,098,133 3,098,133 3,098,133 3,098,133 3,098,133
Total Depr.Expense 614,998 614,998 614,998 614,998 614,998 154,388 154,388 154,388 154,388 154,388
Total Acc.depr.Expense 614,998 1,229,995 1,844,993 2,459,991 3,074,989 926,330 1,080,718 1,235,106 1,389,495 1,543,883
Total Book value 4,786,182 4,171,185 3,556,187 2,941,189 2,326,192 2,171,803 2,017,415 1,863,027 1,708,638 1,554,250
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Annex 4: Schedules cost of production
Projected Years
Description 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Raw material/feed 6,682,384 7,468,547 7,861,629 7,861,629 7,861,629 7,861,629 7,861,629 7,861,629 7,861,629 7,861,629
Fattening Animal cost 10,063,891 11,247,878 11,839,872 11,839,872 11,839,872 11,839,872 11,839,872 11,839,872 11,839,872 11,839,872
Salary and wage 803,888 898,463 945,750 1,002,495 1,062,645 1,126,403 1,193,988 1,265,627 1,341,564 1,422,058
Vet drug and chemicals 62,899 70,299 73,999 78,439 83,146 88,134 93,422 99,028 104,969 111,267
Utility 85,000 95,000 100,000 105,000 110,250 115,763 121,551 127,628 134,010 140,710
Repaire and M aintenance 135,030 119,655 104,280 88,905 73,530 58,155 54,295 50,435 46,576 42,716
Stationery and Safety 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000
Sales and promotion 118,399 124,958 131,541 131,541 131,541 131,541 131,541 131,541 131,541 131,541
Fuel and lubricant 78,719 87,980 92,610 97,241 102,103 107,208 112,568 118,196 124,106 130,312
Depreciation 614,998 614,998 614,998 614,998 614,998 154,388 154,388 154,388 154,388 154,388
Insurance - - - - - - - - - -
M anagerial and acct
consultation 50,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 25,000
Bank interest 703,047 658,934 610,410 557,033 498,319 433,733 362,688 284,540 198,576 104,016
Total production cost 19,410,254 21,423,711 22,412,088 22,414,152 22,415,030 21,953,825 21,962,942 21,969,884 21,974,231 21,975,509
Other (10%) 1,941,025 2,142,371 2,241,209 2,241,415 2,241,503 2,195,383 2,196,294 2,196,988 2,197,423 2,197,551
Grand total 21,351,279 23,566,082 24,653,297 24,655,567 24,656,533 24,149,208 24,159,236 24,166,873 24,171,654 24,173,060
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Annex 5:- Profit/loss statement
Description 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Gross sales 23,679,744 24,991,602 26,308,196 26,308,196 26,308,196 26,308,196 26,308,196 26,308,196 26,308,196 26,308,196
Total cost of
production 21,351,279 23,566,082 24,653,297 24,655,567 24,656,533 24,149,208 24,159,236 24,166,873 24,171,654 24,173,060
profit before tax 2,328,465 1,425,520 1,654,899 1,652,629 1,651,662 2,158,988 2,148,959 2,141,323 2,136,541 2,135,135
profit tax - - - 495,789 495,499 647,696 644,688 642,397 640,962 640,541
Net profit 2,328,465 1,425,520 1,654,899 1,156,840 1,156,163 1,511,291 1,504,271 1,498,926 1,495,579 1,494,595
Liablity and
capital
Bank loan
payment 6,589,338 6,104,096 5,570,329 4,983,186 4,337,328 3,626,885 2,845,397 1,985,760 1,040,160 -
Owner's capital 3,013,057 5,341,522 6,767,042 8,421,941 9,578,781 10,734,945 12,246,236 13,750,508 15,249,434 16,745,013
Net increase/
decrease 2,328,465 1,425,520 1,654,899 1,156,840 1,156,163 1,511,291 1,504,271 1,498,926 1,495,579 1,494,595
Total Liablity
34
and capital 11,930,860 12,871,138 13,992,270 14,561,967 15,072,273 15,873,121 16,595,904 17,235,194 17,785,173 18,239,607
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Annex 7: Cash flow statement
Description 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Cash In flows
Equity contribution - - - - - - - - - -
Bank loan 9,933,072 - - - - - - - - -
Gross sales 23,177,167 - - - - - - - - -
Total cash inflows 27,704,348 33,245,217 36,939,130 36,939,130 36,939,130 36,939,130 36,939,130 36,939,130 36,939,130 36,939,130
Cash out flows 60,814,587 33,245,217 36,939,130 36,939,130 36,939,130 36,939,130 36,939,130 36,939,130 36,939,130 36,939,130
Fixed capital - - - - - - - - - -
Working capital 27,525,565 - - - - - - - - -
production cost 5,584,674 - - - - - - - - -
Loan repayment 12,574,479 20,808,597 22,468,735 22,401,901 22,327,387 22,075,197 22,017,836 21,948,588 21,865,700 21,767,207
Profit tax 1,454,261 1,599,687 1,759,655 1,935,621 2,129,183 2,342,101 2,576,311 2,833,942 3,117,337 3,429,070
Total cash out flows - - - 3,587,541 3,609,896 4,082,616 4,099,824 4,120,598 4,145,465 4,175,013
Net increase/decrease47,138,978 22,408,284 24,228,391 27,925,063 28,066,465 28,499,914 28,693,971 28,903,129 29,128,501 29,371,290
Cumulative Net cash
Increase/decrease 13,675,608 10,836,933 12,710,740 9,014,067 8,872,665 8,439,217 8,245,159 8,036,002 7,810,629 7,567,841
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Annex 8: Action Plan for the First year (Farming)
september
september
november
november
december
december
february
february
january
january
Activities
october
october
march
march
august
august
april
april
may
may
june
june
july
july
Land acquisition & excavation
Purchasing Construction material
Construction
Installation
Commissioning and others
Start giving service
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