EC004-OLG Model
EC004-OLG Model
Mausumi Das
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 1 / 27
OLG Model: Basic Set Up (A Recap)
Yt = wt Nt + rt Kt . (1)
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 2 / 27
OLG Model: Basic Set Up (Contd.)
The current old generation consumes not only the interest earnings
but the left over capital stock as well such that
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 3 / 27
OLG Model: Basic Set Up (Contd.)
u 0 (ct,t
1 )
2
= β(1 + rt +1 δ ). (4)
u 0 (ct,t +1 )
From the FOC and the life-time budget constraint, we can derive the
optimal solutions as:
1
ct,t = ψ(wt , rt +1 );
2
ct,t +1 = η (wt , rt +1 ).
st = wt ψ(wt , rt +1 ) φ(wt , rt +1 ).
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 4 / 27
OLG Model: Basic Set Up (Contd.)
In order to characterise the savings function of the young agents, we
analysed the signs of the partial derivatives sw and sr .
The signs of these partial derivatives would tell us how savings respond
to a change in the current wage rate (wt ) and a change in the future
interest rate (rt +1 ).
Under a generic utility function where both c 1 and c 2 are normal
goods, we found that
(1) The sign of sw is unambiguous:
0 < sw < 1.
(2) The sign of sr however is ambiguous: it depends on the relative
strength of the income e¤ect vis-a-vis the substitution e¤ect of a
price change. In particular,
sr R 0
according as, substitution e¤ect R income e¤ect.
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 5 / 27
OLG Model: Basic Set Up (Contd.)
Apriori we have no reason to rule out the case where sr < 0, even
though it is counter-intuitive.
However, henceforth we assume that the utility function of the
agents is such that the substitution e¤ect of a price change is at least
as strong as the corresponding income e¤ect, so that
sr = 0 (Assumption 1)
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 6 / 27
OLG model: Dynamics of Capital-Labour Ratio:
The path of capital accumulation for the economy was obtained by
aggregating the savings (st ) over the entire population of young
generation today (Nt ). Thus Kt +1 = st Nt .
Since labour force (i.e., young generation in every successive period)
is growing at the rate n, i.e., Nt +1 = (1 + n )Nt , the dynamic
equation for the capital-labour ratio (kt ) for this OLG economy was
obtained as:
Kt +1 st φ(wt , rt +1 )
kt +1 = = . (5)
Nt +1 (1 + n ) (1 + n )
Noting that wt = f (kt ) kt f 0 (kt ) and rt +1 = f 0 (kt +1 ), we rewrote
(5) as:
φ(wt (kt ), rt +1 (kt +1 ))
kt +1 = Φ(kt , kt +1 ). (6)
(1 + n )
Equation (6) is the basic dynamic equation of the OLG model, which
implicitly de…nes kt +1 as a function of kt . Given k0 , we should be able
to trace the evolution of the capital-labour ratio over time.
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 7 / 27
Existence of a Unique Perfect Foresight Path:
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 8 / 27
Existence of a Unique Perfect Foresight Path: (Contd.)
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 9 / 27
Existence of a Unique Perfect Foresight Path: (Contd.)
Mathematically, the problem boils down to the following question:
Consider a given value of kt = k̄ > 0.
Does the following equation generates a unique non-negative solution
for kt +1 ?
φ(wt (k̄ ), rt +1 (kt +1 ))
kt + 1 = Φ(k̄, kt +1 ) (7)
(1 + n )
Given k̄, both the LHS and RHS of (7) become functions of kt +1
alone. For a unique solution, we need a unique intersection point
between the LHS and the RHS.
Obviously, in order to ensure that we have to impose conditions on
the Φ(k̄, kt +1 ) function so that it is "well-behaved".
Note that the LHS of (7) maps kt +1 unto itself and therefore will be
represented by a 45o line.
The RHS is a related to kt +1 through the young agent’s savings
function: st = φ(wt , rt +1 ). Hence it’s slope and curvature will depend
on how the savings function responds to changes in kt +1 .
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 10 / 27
Existence of a Unique Perfect Foresight Path (Contd.):
Indeed, given kt = k̄, from (7) we shall have a unique non-negative
solution for kt +1 if and only if the curve representing Φ(k̄, kt +1 ) has a
unique point of intersection with the 45o line in the positive quadrant.
A su¢ cient condition for this to happen is Φ(k̄, kt +1 ) is either a ‡at
line or is downward sloping with respect to kt +1 , i.e.,
∂Φ(k̄, kt +1 )
5 0 for any given k̄.
∂kt +1
This case is depicted in the diagram below:
Recall that there were indeed multiple dynamic paths - all consistent
with the two dynamic equations which are derived based of rational
expectation/perfect foresight!
However we could rule out all but one - by applying the ini…nite
horizon transversality condition!
In the OLG model, there is no such ‘ini…nite horizon’transversality
condition! Indeed there is nothing to bind their expectations - and
therefore their savings behaviour - to a speci…c "well-behaved" long
run path!
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 15 / 27
OLG Model: Dynamics of Capital-Labour Ratio Revisited
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 16 / 27
OLG Model: Dynamics of Capital-Labour Ratio (Contd.)
Recall the dynamic equation of the OLG model:
φ(wt (kt ), rt +1 (kt +1 ))
kt +1 = Φ(kt , kt +1 ).
(1 + n )
Since Φ(kt , kt +1 ) is a nonlinear function of kt and kt +1 , we shall
have to use the phase diagram technique to qualitatively characterise
the dynamics.
In drawing the phase diagram, …rst note that the slope of the phase
line can be determined by total di¤entiating both sides:
dwt drt +1
(1 + n)dkt +1 = sw dkt + sr dkt +1
dkt dkt +1
dkt +1 sw [ kt f 00 (kt )]
i.e., = .
dkt (1 + n) sr f 00 (kt +1 )
Under the assumption that sr = 0, the slope of the phase line is
necessarily positive. But what about it’s curvature?
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 17 / 27
Dynamics of Capital-Labour Ratio (Contd.):
Even when the slope of the phase line is positive, the curvature is not
necessarily concave - since it would involve the third derivative of the
utility function and the f (k ) function - whose signs are not known.
Hence anything is possible: we may have situations of no steady
state; unique stable steady state; unique unstable steady state;
multiple steady states (some stable, some unstable):
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 18 / 27
Uniqueness and Stability of Steady State in the OLG
Model:
In other words, the nice result of the Solow & R-C-K model of a
unique and stable steady state is no longer gauranteed - despite the
production function satifying all the standard neoclassical
properties - including diminishing returns and the Inada
conditions!
Indeed the OLG model opens up possibilities of non-convegence and
poverty traps:
Two economies starting with di¤erent initial capital-labour ratios may
end up at two completely di¤erent steady state levels of per capita
income in the long run- despite having identical parameters.
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 19 / 27
Dynamic E¢ ciency in the OLG Model:
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 20 / 27
Golden Rule & Dynamic E¢ ciency in the OLG Model:
kg : f 0 (k ) = (n + δ)
where Nt = (1 + n )Nt 1.
Indeed the per capita consumption is an weighted average of the
consumption level of the young and the consumption level of the old.
Given this de…nition, what would be the steady state value of per
capita (average) consumption?
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 22 / 27
Golden Rule & Dynamic E¢ ciency in the OLG Model:
(Contd.)
The basic dynamic equation is the OLG model is given by:
st φ(w (kt ), r (kt +1 ))
kt +1 = =
(1 + n ) (1 + n )
Accordingly, the steady state(s) of the OLG model is de…ned as:
s φ(w (k ), r (k ))
k = =
(1 + n ) (1 + n )
) s = (1 + n )k (8)
Hence, from the optimality conditions of c 1 and c 2 , we know that at
steady state:
c1 = ψ(w (k ), r (k )) = w (k ) s ; (9)
2
c = η (w (k ), r (k )) = [1 + r (k ) δ] s (10)
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 23 / 27
Golden Rule & Dynamic E¢ ciency in the OLG Model:
(Contd.)
Hence from (8), (9) & (10), the steady state per capita consumption
in the OLG model is given by:
(1 + n ) c 1 + c 2
c =
(2 + n )
(1 + n) [w (k ) s ] + [(1 + r (k ) δ)] s
=
(2 + n )
(1 + n)w (k ) + [r (k ) δ n)] s
=
(2 + n )
(1 + n) [fw (k ) + r (k )k g (n + δ)k ]
=
1 + (1 + n )
1+n
= [f (k ) (n + δ )k ]
(2 + n )
Maximizing c with respect to k , we would get the same golden rule
condition as before: kg : f 0 (k ) = (n + δ).
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 24 / 27
Golden Rule & Dynamic E¢ ciency in the OLG Model:
(Contd.)
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 25 / 27
Dynamic Ine¢ ciency in the OLG Model: Example with
Speci…c Functional Form
We now provide a counter-example to show that even dynamic
e¢ eciency is no longer guranteed in the OLG model.
For this purpose, we consider some speci…c functional forms. Let
1 2
U (ct,t , ct,t +1 ) log ct1 + β log ct2+1 ;
f (kt ) = (kt )α ; 0 < α < 1.
Also let the rate of depreciation be 100%, i.e., δ = 1.
Homework for you:
(i) Solve for the optimal consumption and savings of the young
generation for this speci…c utility function.
(ii) Derive the correspnding dyamic equation for kt and verify that the
su¢ cient condition for existence of unique perfect foresight path
exists.
(iii) Derive the steady non-trivial state and verify that it is unique and
stable. Show that it may still not be dynamically e¢ cient!
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 26 / 27
References:
Das (Lecture 13, EC004, DSE) Heterogenous Agents: Solow to R-C-K to OLG April 10, 2024 27 / 27