Accounting Industry and Statutory
Accounting Industry and Statutory
Structure
14.1 Introduction
14.2 Comparative Statement Analysis
14.3 Common-size Analysis
14.4 Trend Analysis
14.5 Inter-firm Analysis
14.6 DuPont Analysis
14.7 Using Financial Ratios to predict Bankruptcy
14.8 Applications of Financial ratios
14.9 Summary
14.10 Test Your Understanding
14.11 Additional Readings
14.1 INTRODUCTION
In the previous chapter, we learnt about the various financial ratios –
Profitability, Leverage, Activity, Efficiency, and Investment ratios - how to
calculate them and the interpretation of these ratios. Estimating these ratios
for one year provides some insight into the functioning of a firm. We are in a
slightly better position in understanding the complexities of a business
enterprise. Calculating these ratios is the first step in this exercise. Such
financial ratios have limited usage as conclusive comments cannot be made.
Further analysis is therefore required to be made in order to reach to some
definitive conclusions.
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Financial
Statement Analysis
14.2 COMPARATIVE STATEMENT ANALYSIS
A common approach to study the changes in the financial performance of a
firm is to simply compare the financial statements for at least two years and
calculate the changes between the two years. Such an analysis is called
Comparative Statement Analysis. In this analysis, financial statements of at
least two years need to be considered. For example, consider the Balance
sheet for a hypothetical company - ABCL Limited for two years – year
ending March 31, 2020, and 2021, given in Table 14.1. Next, we calculate
the change for each line item of the balance sheet (2021 over 2020). This is
given in column „3‟ of Table 14.1. We also express this change as a
percentage over the base year, i.e. 2020, in column „4‟ of the table. For
example, the long-term borrowing in 2021 was Rs 1466.11 Crores, while in
2020; they were Rs. 1562 Crores – a decrease of Rs 95.89 crores. In
percentage terms, this is a fall of 6.14% over 2020. ((1466-1562)/1562 *100
= -6.14%). Similarly, we calculate the „change‟ and the „percentage change‟
for each line item of the balance sheet and income statement, as shown in
Table 14.1. Such an exercise helps gain insights into the financial
statements, i.e. which items of balance sheet and income statement have
increased (or decreased) significantly over the two years. Such an analysis
may be extended to include more number of years.
ABCL Limited
(Rs.
Balance Sheet Crores)
As on March 31,
%age
Particulars 2020 2021 Change Change
Liabilities:
Equity Capital 356.00 356.00 0.00 0.00%
Reserves & Surplus 1245.00 1392.67 147.67 11.86%
Net Worth 1601.00 1748.67 147.67 9.22%
Non-Current Liabilities:
Long-term borrowings 1562.00 1466.11 -95.89 -6.14%
10% Debentures 1129.00 1550.51 421.51 37.33%
Total Non-Current
Liabilities 2691.00 3016.62 325.62 12.10%
Current Liabilities:
Trade Creditors 234.00 299.00 65.00 27.78%
Short-term Borrowings 357.95 447.81 89.86 25.10%
Other Current Liabilities &
Provisions 96.00 136.76 40.76 42.46%
Total Current Liabilities 687.95 883.57 195.62 28.44%
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Comparative,
Common Size, and
Total Liabilities 4979.95 5648.86 668.91 13.43% Trend Statement
Assets:
Non-Current assets:
Plant & Equipment 1964.88 2632.35 667.47 33.97%
Less Accumulated
Depreciation 186.27 256.34 70.07 37.62%
Net Plant & Equipment 1778.61 2376.01 597.40 33.59%
Investments 129.82 205.49 75.67 58.29%
Other Non-Current Assets 57.00 178.34 121.34 212.88%
Total Non-Current Assets 1965.43 2759.84 794.41 40.42%
Current Assets:
Raw Material 589.74 728.59 138.85 23.54%
Work-in-Progress 282.50 381.75 99.25 35.13%
Finished Goods 1774.84 1312.80 -462.04 -26.03%
Total Inventories 2647.08 2423.14 -223.94 -8.46%
Trade Debtors 234.76 329.99 95.23 40.56%
Cash & Bank Balances 55.67 35.92 -19.75 -35.48%
Loan & Advances 45.23 45.76 0.53 1.17%
Other Current Assets 31.78 54.21 22.43 70.58%
Total Current Assets 367.44 465.88 98.44 26.79%
Total Assets 4979.95 5648.86 668.91 13.43%
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Financial Table 14.2 Common -Size Analysis
Statement Analysis
ABCL Limited
Balance Sheet (Rs. Crores)
As on March 31,
Particulars 2020 2021 2020 2021
Liabilities:
Equity Capital 356.00 356.00 7.15% 6.30%
Reserves & Surplus 1245.00 1392.67 25.00% 24.65%
Net Worth 1601.00 1748.67 32.15% 30.96%
Non-Current Liabilities:
Long-term borrowings 1562.00 1466.11 31.37% 25.95%
10% Debentures 1129.00 1550.51 22.67% 27.45%
Total Non-Current Liabilities 2691.00 3016.62 54.04% 53.40%
Current Liabilities:
Trade Creditors 234.00 299.00 4.70% 5.29%
Short-term Borrowings 357.95 447.81 7.19% 7.93%
Other Current Liabilities &
Provisions 96.00 136.76 1.93% 2.42%
Total Current Liabilities 687.95 883.57 13.81% 15.64%
Assets:
Non-Current assets:
Plant & Equipment 1964.88 2632.35 39.46% 46.60%
Less Accumulated Depreciation 186.27 256.34 3.74% 4.54%
Net Plant & Equipment 1778.61 2376.01 35.72% 42.06%
Investments 129.82 205.49 2.61% 3.64%
Other Non-Current Assets 57.00 178.34 1.14% 3.16%
Total Non-Current Assets 1965.43 2759.84 39.47% 48.86%
Current Assets:
Raw Material 589.74 728.59 11.84% 12.90%
Work-in-Progress 282.50 381.75 5.67% 6.76%
Finished Goods 1774.84 1312.80 35.64% 23.24%
Total Inventories 2647.08 2423.14 53.15% 42.90%
Trade Debtors 234.76 329.99 4.71% 5.84%
Cash & Bank Balances 55.67 35.92 1.12% 0.64%
Loan & Advances 45.23 45.76 0.91% 0.81%
Other Current Assets 31.78 54.21 0.64% 0.96%
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Total Current Assets 367.44 465.88 7.38% 8.25% Comparative,
Common Size, and
Total Assets 4979.95 5648.86 100.00% 100.00% Trend Statement
An important conclusion from the above is that the firm has grown rapidly in
terms of asset base since 2018 onwards, which is fuelled by long-term
borrowings, but sales and profitability have not increased at the same pace.
Table 14.4 Key Financial Indicators of Fertiliser Firms in India for the
year 2020.
Profit Net
S. after Long term Fixed Equity Retained
Company Sales tax borrowings Assets capital Earnings
N
Name
o. Rs. Rs. Rs. Rs. Rs.
Million Million Rs. Million Million Million Million
National -
1 Fertilizers Ltd. 1,28,111.3 1,710.1 6,000.0 37,244.0 4,905.8 14,303.6
Rashtriya
Chemicals &
2 Fertilizers Ltd. 94,173.6 2,081.5 6,103.5 21,239.2 5,516.9 26,345.8
Gujarat State
Fertilizers &
3 Chemicals Ltd. 76,279.7 987.0 933.3 28,950.7 797.0 67,181.3
Paradeep
4 Phosphates Ltd. 41,928.7 1,940.5 1,394.2 12,140.3 5,754.5 10,286.2
Smartchem
Technologies
5 Ltd. 31,507.0 93.8 6,475.6 28,187.4 170.5 26,155.4
Fertilisers &
Chemicals,
6 Travancore Ltd. 27,753.5 9,755.2 9,056.4 2,571.4 6,470.7 -11,384.9
Mangalore
Chemicals &
7 Fertilizers Ltd. 27,116.3 645.5 2,237.0 6,075.3 1,185.2 4,270.4
GreenstarFertili
8 sersLtd. 25,382.1 466.1 320.2 3,727.6 289.4 2,175.8
Kanpur
Fertilizers &
9 Cement Ltd. 24,768.8 8.7 1,162.7 8,174.5 2,909.6 4,734.2
Kribhco
10 Fertilizers Ltd. 24,729.2 -276.2 2,869.1 8,704.2 8,000.6 -3,501.5
Southern
Petrochemical
Inds. Corpn.
11 Ltd. 21,110.3 569.4 - 3,518.3 2,036.4 1,968.9
ZuariAgro -
12 Chemicals Ltd. 20,126.3 1,890.1 2,885.5 4,893.5 420.6 749.7
Madras -
13 Fertilizers Ltd. 12,776.9 1,348.8 512.8 1,987.2 1,611.0 -7,930.3
Nagarjuna
Fertilizers & -
14 Chemicals Ltd. 4,611.5 4,723.5 304.3 23,983.4 598.1 538.9
Rama
15 Phosphates Ltd. 4,484.4 176.7 1.0 427.6 176.7 1,484.1
Further, Table 14.5 shows a few financial ratios based on the above financial
indicators. This can also help in comparing the performance of the sample
firms. For example, although National Fertilizers Limited is the largest firm
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in terms of Sales, it is not the most profitable firm. Fertilisers & Chemicals Comparative,
Common Size, and
Travancore Ltd is the most profitable firm in the sample with a Net Profit Trend Statement
Margin of 35%. This way, the performance of firms may be compared with
each other.
Table 14.5 Financial Ratios of Fertiliser Firms in India for the year 2020.
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Financial
Statement Analysis
Net Profit margin indicates profitability; asset turnover ratio evaluates the
efficiency in the usage of the assets of the firms, while Equity Multiplier is a
proxy for financial leverage. Thus, the DuPont Analysis highlights that a firm
may increase its ROE by maintaining a high Net Profit Margin, efficient use
of total assets and optimum leverage. If the ROE falls, the firm must
investigate these three financial performance measures to identify the reasons
for such fall and take corrective steps.
X5 = Sales to Total Assets: This ratio (called the Capital Turnover ratio)
indicates the sales generating ability of the firm‟s assets.
According to the study by Altman, if the Z-score of a firm was greater than
2.99, then the firm is financially sound, while if the score is less than 1.81,
then the firm is financially not healthy and is most likely to go bankrupt.
Firms with Z-score between 1.81 and 2.99 fall in the grey zone wherein the
model could not predict business failure or otherwise.
The following illustration shows the calculation of the Z-score for two
hypothetical firms – Firm A and Firm B. Based on the financial statements,
the five ratios have been calculated as indicated below, and the Z-score for
each firm estimated. From the ratios, it appears that Firm A is a relatively
weak firm as compared to Firm B.
Weight Firm
Ratios Firm B
s A
10.50
Net Working Capital to Total Assets (X1) 1.2 45.50%
%
Retained Earnings to Total Assets (X2) 1.4 1.76% 31.50%
Earnings Before Interest & Taxes to Total
3.3 8.56% 34.50%
Assets (X3)
89.00 167.00
Market Value of Equity to Total Liabilities (X4) 0.6
% %
80.00 167.00
Sales to Total Assets (X5) 1.0
% %
Z-Score
1.77 4.80
The Z-score for Firm A works out to 1.77 while for Firm B is 4.80, which is
arrived at by multiplying the weights with the respective ratios. As the Z-
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Financial score of Firm A is less than 1.81, it is most likely to go bankrupt, while for
Statement Analysis
Firm B, the Z-score is greater than 2.99; it is a financially strong company.
The above Altman‟s model was for manufacturing and listed firms.
Subsequently, he revised the model for unlisted firms and non-manufacturing
firms. The revised model is as follows:
If the Revised Z-score is greater than 2.9, then the firm is considered
financially healthy and not likely to go bankrupt. If the Revised Z-score is
less than 1.23, the firm is considered financially weak and likely to go
bankrupt. Firms with Revised Z-score of greater than 1.23 and less than 2.9
fall in the grey zone.
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profitability and efficiency of a firm, the valuation ratios such as PE, EV- Comparative,
Common Size, and
EBITDA ratio, MV-to BV ratio are used extensively by analysts. Trend Statement
Issues in using Financial Ratios
Although ratio analysis is an important tool in the analysis and evaluation of
the performance of a firm, there are certain issues while using them. Some of
the issues in using the financial ratios are as follows:
1. The financial ratios are calculated based on the financial statements – the
Balance sheet, Income statement and Cash flow statement. These
statements, as we know, are historical in nature. They summarise the
financial transactions of the firm as they occurred in the past. Hence the
financial ratios based on these historical statements are backwards-
looking and are at best post-mortem of past events. An independent
(outside) analyst who does not have access to the future plans of the
firm, relying on the past data may not predict the future performance and
financial position of the firm.
2. No two companies are exactly similar in their asset profile, capital
structure, technology being used, markets, products etc. Further,
companies also change over a period of time. Hence, as the profile of
companies‟ changes, it becomes difficult to compare the ratios; the
comparison of ratios with other firms or over time periods might become
problematic.
3. Although the financial ratios have been defined as discussed in the
previous chapter, there exists a wide variation in the definition of certain
terms, which makes the comparison of ratios difficult. For example,
though the Debt-Equity ratio is well defined, what constitutes Equity is
subject to variation as some may include Preference capital in Equity
while others may not include it.Similarly, the term profits are also
subject to different interpretations.
4. Besides comparing the ratio over time, they are sometimes compared
with industry averages also. Such a database is maintained by the
Reserve Bank of India. “Prowess” database maintained by the Centre for
Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) is another such database of Indian
firms. Such industry average ratio is based on all the firms that constitute
that industry which may vary in size. Some firms may be very large in
terms of sales and profits, while some firms may be very small. The
industry average would give equal attention to both these types of firms.
Comparing a firm‟s ratios with such an average ratio might be
misleading.
14.9 SUMMARY
In order to understand the financial statements of a firm and make conclusive
comments on the financial performance, we need to compare the ratios over
time and compare them with other similar companies. Techniques such as
Comparative Statements Analysis, Common size analysis, Trend Analysis,
and Inter-firm analysis are popularly used. DuPont Analysis decomposes the
performance measure of Return on Equity into its three important
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Financial components that need to be investigated in depth for reasons for poor
Statement Analysis performance. Altman‟s Z-Score is used to predict the possibility of a firm
going bankrupt in the near future. Properly combined financial ratios are used
to assess corporate excellence, judge creditworthiness, predict bankruptcy,
value shares. Although financial ratios are a useful tool, there are certain
issues encountered; hence ratios should not be used blindly but with due
caution.
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