0% found this document useful (0 votes)
13 views

Topic 04 Time Value of Money Calculations

Uploaded by

jacky054321
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
13 views

Topic 04 Time Value of Money Calculations

Uploaded by

jacky054321
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 38

FIN1001 PERSONAL FINANCE AND THE SOCIETY

1
• Be able to compute the future value of an investment
made today
• Be able to compute the present value of cash to be
received at some future date
• Be able to compute the return and length of an
investment
• Be able to find the future and present value for
different compounding periods

2
Time Value of Money
• A dollar received today worth more than a dollar
received five years from now
• Because today’s dollar can be saved or invested
and earn some kind of returns, such as interest
• The time value of money involves two
components: future value and present value

3
Time Value of Money
• Present Value
– the current value of an asset (or stream of
assets) that will be received in the future.
– Value at t=0 on a timeline
• Future Value
– the value of an asset at the end of a particular
time period in the future
– “Later” money on a timeline

4
Time Value of Money
• Interest rate – “exchange rate” between
earlier money and later money
– Discount rate for finding the present value of
some future amounts
– Rate of return of your savings or investment
– Cost of borrowing loans

5
6
4.1a Simple vs Compound Interest
• Simple interest – interest is earned only on the
original principal
• Compound interest – interest is earned on BOTH
principal and interest previously received
• Example 1:
You put $10,000 into your savings account in a bank
that gives you 10% interest per year. What is the
value of the savings after 2 years?

7
4.1a Simple vs Compound Interest –
Example 1
With simple interest calculation:
• In the 1st year, interest earned on principal
=
• In the 2nd year, interest earned on principal
=
• Value of savings after two years
= Principal + total interest earned
=

8
4.1a Simple vs Compound Interest –
Example 1
With compound interest calculation:
• In the 1st year: interest earned on principal
=
• In the 2nd year, interest earned on both principal &
interest received previously
=

• Value of savings after two years


= Principal + total interest earned
=
9
4.1a Effects of Compounding
• Effects of compounding:
▪ The extra _____ comes from the interest of
______ earned in the first year.
▪ The effect of compounding is small for a small
number of periods, but it increases as the
number of periods increases.
▪ Compounding is the basis of ALL time value of
money considerations
▪ Most people leave the interest earned in the
account so that it will earn additional interest
on it.
▪ Compound interest is always assumed in time
value of money calculations.
10
4.1b Future Values: General Formula

• 𝑭𝑽 = 𝑷𝑽 𝟏 + 𝒓 𝒕

▪ FV = future value
▪ PV = present value
▪ r = periodic interest rate, expressed as a decimal
▪ t = number of periods
• Future value interest factor = (1 + r)t

11
4.1b Future Values – Example 2
• Suppose your grandpa’s grandpa deposited $100 at
5% interest 200 years ago. How much would the
investment be worth today?
▪ 𝐹𝑉 =
• What is the effect of compounding?
▪ By simple interest:
FV =
▪ Compounding added $ to the value of
the investment!!

12
4.1b Future Values:
Two Important Relationships
1. For a given interest rate:
 The longer the time period, the higher the
future value
 For a given r, as t increases, FV increases
2. For a given time period:
 The higher the interest rate, the larger the
future value
 For a given t, as r increases, FV increases

FV = PV(1 + r)t
14
4.1c Compounding Frequency
• The effect of compounding depends on the frequency with
which interest is paid and the periodic interest rate that is
applied.
• The table shows some common compounding periods and
how many times per year interest is paid for them.
Compounding Periods Times per year (n)
Annually 1
Semi-annually 2
Quarterly 4
Monthly 12
Daily 365
15
4.1c Compounding Frequency – Example 3
• Suppose you have $5,000 to invest for 15 years.
There are 3 options for your investment:
– Bank A: 8.8% interest compounded annually
– Bank B: 8.7% interest compounded semiannually
– Bank C: 8.6% interest compounded monthly
• Which bank should you choose?
Step 1: Find the periodic interest rate (r)
Step 2: Find the number of periods (t)
Step 3: Compute the future value (FV)

16
4.1c Compounding Frequency – Example 3
Bank A: 8.8% interest compounded annually
• The annual interest rate
r=
• The total number of years
t=
• Future value of your investment
FV =

17
4.1c Compounding Frequency – Example 3
Bank B: 8.7% interest compounded semiannually
• The semiannual interest rate
r=
• The total number of semiannual periods
r=
• Future value of your investment
=

18
4.1c Compounding Frequency – Example 3
Bank C: 8.6% interest compounded monthly
• The monthly interest rate
=
• The total number of months
=
• Future value of your investment
=
Decision:
The future value of the investment in Bank___ is
the greatest ➔ Choose Bank ___
19
20
4.2 Present Values
• How much do I have to invest today to have some
amount in the future?
▪ 𝑭𝑽 = 𝑷𝑽 𝟏 + 𝒓 𝒕

𝑭𝑽
▪ Rearrange to solve for 𝑷𝑽 = 𝒕
𝟏+𝒓
• When we talk about discounting, we mean finding
the present value of some future amount.
• When we talk about the “value” of something, we
are talking about the present value unless we
specifically indicate that we want the future value.

21
4.2 Present Values – Example 4a

• Suppose you need $30,000 in one year for the down


payment on a new car. If you can earn 6.5% annually,
how much do you need to invest today?

22
Example 4b: What if you buy the new car
three years later?

Finding PVs is discounting, and it’s the reverse of


compounding.
0 1 2 3
6.5%

PV = ? 30,000

PV = FV(1+r)-t =

23
4.2 Present Values – Example 5
• You want to begin saving for your graduation trip in
Europe and you estimate that it will need $50,000 in
3 years. If you feel confident that you can earn 1%
per month, how much do you need to invest today?

24
4.2 Present Values – Example 6
• Your parents set up an education fund for you 15
years ago that is now worth $364,248.246. If the
fund earned 9% per year, how much did your
parents invest?

25
4.2 Present Values:
Two Important Relationships
1. For a given interest rate:
 The longer the time period, the lower the
present value
 For a given r, as t increases, PV decreases
2. For a given time period:
 The higher the interest rate, the lower the
present value
 For a given t, as r increases, PV decreases
FV
PV =
(1 + r ) t
4.2 Present Values:
Two Important Relationships

27
28
4.3 The Basic PV Equation - Refresher
𝑭𝑽
𝑷𝑽 = 𝒕
𝟏 + 𝒓

• There are four parts to this equation


– PV, FV, r, and t
– If we know any three, we can solve for the
fourth

29
4.3 Discount Rate
• Often, we will want to know what the implied rate
of return is in an investment
• Rearrange the basic PV equation and solve for r

𝑭𝑽 = 𝑷𝑽 𝟏 + 𝒓 𝒕
𝟏
𝑭𝑽 𝒕
𝒓= –𝟏
𝑷𝑽

30
4.3 Discount Rate – Example 7
• You are looking at an investment that will pay
$50,000 in 3 years if you invest $40,000 today.
What is the implied rate of return?

31
4.3 Discount Rate – Example 8

• Suppose you are offered an investment that will


allow you to double your money in 5 years. You
have $5,000 to invest. What is the implied rate of
return?

32
33
4.4 Finding the Number of Periods
• Start with basic equation and solve for t
(remember your logs?!)

𝑭𝑽 = 𝑷𝑽 𝟏 + 𝒓 𝒕

𝑭𝑽
ln
𝒕= 𝑷𝑽
ln 𝟏 + 𝒓

34
4.4 Number of Periods – Example 9

• You want to purchase a new car and you are willing


to pay $180,000. If you can invest at 8% per year
and you currently have $100,000, how long will it
be before you have enough money to pay cash for
the car?

35
4.4 Number of Periods – Example 10

• How long does it need to take to double your


investment which gives 10% rate of returns
annually?

36
Rule of 72
• For a given rate of return, the approximate time it
takes to double your money is given by 72/r%.
• For example, $1 invested at 10% would take
approximately 7.2 years to turn into $2. In reality, it
will take 7.2725 years to double.
• Q: You have been an investment that promises to
double your money every 15 years. What is the
approximate rate of return on the investment?
• A: From the rule of 72, the rate of return is given
approximately by 72/r% = 15, so the rate is
approximately ____%. Verify that the exact answer is
_____________________. 37
Table 4.4

38

You might also like