Lecture 6 - 2024
Lecture 6 - 2024
Game Theory
Session 6
Nishant Ravi
Main idea:
I Non-strategic decisions: Your payoff depends on your action only
Strategic vs Non-strategic Decision Making
Main idea:
I Non-strategic decisions: Your payoff depends on your action only
I Strategic decisions: Your payoff depends on your action and the actions of
other participants in the relevant environment.
Strategic vs Non-strategic Decision Making
Main idea:
I Non-strategic decisions: Your payoff depends on your action only
I Strategic decisions: Your payoff depends on your action and the actions of
other participants in the relevant environment.
Game theory is the tool that we use to understand and predict decision making
by individuals in a strategic environment.
Constructing a Game
I A description of players
Constructing a Game
I A description of players
I A description of players
I The payoff of each player under all possible outcomes of the game.
Types of Games
I Simultaneous games:
I Sequential games:
Examples:
Examples:
Important note:
I Timing is irrelevant.
I Only information matters.
Simultaneous Games
Examples:
Important note:
I Timing is irrelevant.
I Only information matters.
PC = 6 PC = 4
PH = 6 16,16 4,20
Heineken
PH = 4 20,4 12,12
Carlsberg
Cooperate Defect
Cooperate Defect
Cooperate Defect
Cooperate Defect
Cooperate Defect
Cooperate Defect
Cooperate Defect
Cooperate Defect
Cooperate Defect
Dominated Strategy
A strategy for a player that is worse than some other strategy, regardless of
what other players play.
Dominant Strategy
A strategy for a player that is better than all their other strategies, regardless
of what other players play.
Dominated Strategy
A strategy for a player that is worse than some other strategy, regardless of
what other players play.
Lesson 2
Never play a dominated Strategy
Why do we call this game Prisoners’ Dilemma?
Why do we call this game Prisoners’ Dilemma?
I Arms Race
I Voluntary contribution to Public Good
I Tragedy of the commons
I Climate Agreement
I Collusion under Cournot Competition
I Ad war
I Why hire expensive Lawyers to settle dispute?
I Voluntary contribution to building a public facility e.g. park
Some examples of Prisoners’ Dilemma?
I Arms Race
I Voluntary contribution to Public Good
I Tragedy of the commons
I Climate Agreement
I Collusion under Cournot Competition
I Ad war
I Why hire expensive Lawyers to settle dispute?
I Voluntary contribution to building a public facility e.g. park
I Try this - Let’s not study, the Mean GPA for MGEC will be 3.3 anyway.
Classroom game: Voluntary contributions to a public park
I Reward
I Your reward = Money you have left over + 0.5×(Your benefit from the
park)
I That is, the reward is (50 − X ) + 0.5 × Y
For example, if there are n groups and if the i th group contributes Xi , Group 1 chooses
X1 to maximize
50 − X1 + 0.5(X1 + X2 + . . . + Xn )
Classroom game: Voluntary contributions to a public park
Let’s say there are 3 groups and suppose every group contributes Rs. 50.
Classroom game: Voluntary contributions to a public park
Let’s say there are 3 groups and suppose every group contributes Rs. 50.
Let’s say there are 3 groups and suppose every group contributes Rs. 50.
Let’s say there are 3 groups and suppose every group contributes Rs. 50.
Under voluntary provision, it’s rational for every group to not contribute anything.
Dominant vs Dominated strategies
Two situations:
I You found a dominant strategy for all players.
I You found a dominated strategy for all player.
Recall that the objective is to predict what will players play. Which one would
help you more?
Dominant vs Dominated strategies
Two situations:
I You found a dominant strategy for all players.
I You found a dominated strategy for all player.
Recall that the objective is to predict what will players play. Which one would
help you more?
Dominant vs Dominated strategies
Two situations:
I You found a dominant strategy for all players.
I You found a dominated strategy for all player.
Recall that the objective is to predict what will players play. Which one would
help you more?
Reasoning
I The objective is to predict what will players play.
I Finding a dominant strategy is the answer to that!
Dominant vs Dominated strategies
Two situations:
I You found a dominant strategy for all players.
I You found a dominated strategy for all player.
Recall that the objective is to predict what will players play. Which one would
help you more?
Reasoning
I The objective is to predict what will players play.
I Finding a dominant strategy is the answer to that!
I Finding dominated strategies allows us to eliminate some possibilities. But
the prediction is not as sharp.
Dominant vs Dominated strategies
Two situations:
I You found a dominant strategy for all players.
I You found a dominated strategy for all player.
Recall that the objective is to predict what will players play. Which one would
help you more?
Reasoning
I The objective is to predict what will players play.
I Finding a dominant strategy is the answer to that!
I Finding dominated strategies allows us to eliminate some possibilities. But
the prediction is not as sharp.
I However as we will see, sometimes elimination can be very useful.
Iterated Elimination
of Dominated Strategies
Suppose that in a game, all players have a dominant strategy.
I What do we do then?
I Payoffs?...
Toyota
I After eliminating the dominated strategy "Build Large", it turns out that "Do
not build" is dominated by "Build small"
I Again eliminate the dominated strategies
I After iterated elimination of dominated strategies, we can say that Honda
and Toyota will "Build small"
Nash Equilibrium
I In general, a game may not be dominance solvable
I Even after iteratively eliminating the dominated strategies, we may be left
with many possible strategies.
I Or for example, in the following game we cannot eliminate any strategy for
any player.
Jill
Bowling Pool
Bowling 2,1 0,0
Jack Pool 0,0 1,2
I So, we cannot predict what outcomes may arise
I In general, a game may not be dominance solvable
I Even after iteratively eliminating the dominated strategies, we may be left
with many possible strategies.
I Or for example, in the following game we cannot eliminate any strategy for
any player.
Jill
Bowling Pool
Bowling 2,1 0,0
Jack Pool 0,0 1,2
I So, we cannot predict what outcomes may arise
Jill
Bowling Pool
Bowling 2,1 0,0
Jack Pool 0,0 1,2
If Jack plays "Bowling" what is Jill’s best response to that?
I If Jill plays Bowling she gets 1. She gets 0 if she plays Pool. Therefore her
best response is Bowling
If Jill plays "Pool" what is Jack’s best response to that?
I If Jack plays Bowling he gets 0. He gets 1 if he plays Pool. Therefore his
best response is Pool.
Best Response
I Imagine that your boss asks you - "why have you played the specific
strategy?"
I The idea of Best Response is that you can justify your action. You can say
- "because I thought other players will play..."
Strategy Profile
A strategy profile is a collection that comprises of one strategy for each player.
Jill
Bowling Pool
Bowling 2,1 0,0
Jack Pool 0,0 1,2
In this game, (Bowling, Bowling) is strategy profile.
Nash Equilibrium
A strategy profile is a Nash Equilibrium if no player has any incentive to
unilaterally deviate from it.
I Why is Nash Equilibrium an important Solution concept?
I Why is Nash Equilibrium an important Solution concept?
I Because it has the following two properties
I Why is Nash Equilibrium an important Solution concept?
I Because it has the following two properties
No Regret
Each player is doing her best, given what others are doing.
Self fulfilling
Each player is best responding based on their beliefs about others, and these
beliefs are correct.
Player 2
l c r
l c r
l c r
l c r
l c r
l c r
The order in which these are listed above is also the order of their hierarchy, i.e.
I If a strategy profile is DS then it also survives IEDS and is also a NE
I If a strategy profile survives IEDS then it is a NE
Jill
Left Right
Left 10 , 10 -100 , -100
Jack Right -100 , -100 10 , 10
Nash Equilibrium: Multiple Equilibria
Jill
Left Right
Left 10 , 10 -100 , -100
Jack Right -100 , -100 10 , 10
Driver
Drive Carefully Drive Fast
Jaywalk 5,0 -10 , -10
Pedestrian Dont Jaywalk 0,0 0 , 10
Nash Equilibrium: Multiple Equilibria
Driver
Drive Carefully Drive Fast
Jaywalk 5,0 -10 , -10
Pedestrian Dont Jaywalk 0,0 0 , 10
Flipkart
High Low
High 10 , 10 0 , 20
Amazon Low 20 , 0 2,2
Nash Equilibrium: Multiple Equilibria
Flipkart
High Low
High 10 , 10 0 , 20
Amazon Low 20 , 0 2,2
There is one Nash Equilibrium (Low,Low)
Now suppose both firms introduce price match guarantee... New game?
Nash Equilibrium: Multiple Equilibria
Flipkart
High Low
High 10 , 10 0 , 20
Amazon Low 20 , 0 2,2
There is one Nash Equilibrium (Low,Low)
Now suppose both firms introduce price match guarantee... New game?
Flipkart
High Low
High 10 , 10 2 , 2
Amazon Low 2,2 2,2
There are two Nash Equilibria! (Low,Low) and (High, High).
Are consumers better off? Probably not.
Nash Equilibrium: Multiple Equilibria
Bank Runs: How do banks work and why are there runs on Banks?
Nash Equilibrium: Multiple Equilibria
Bank Runs: How do banks work and why are there runs on Banks?
Jill
Withdraw Not Withdraw
Withdraw 45% loss , 45% loss 10% loss , 100% loss
Jack Not Withdraw 100% loss, 10% loss 10% gain , 10% gain
Nash Equilibrium: Multiple Equilibria
Bank Runs: How do banks work and why are there runs on Banks?
Jill
Withdraw Not Withdraw
Withdraw 45% loss , 45% loss 10% loss , 100% loss
Jack Not Withdraw 100% loss, 10% loss 10% gain , 10% gain
Vendor 1 Vendor 2
0 1
Figure: Model of Spatial Competition between two ice-cream vendors
Nash Equilibrium: Model of spatial competition
Imagine there are two Amul ice-cream vendors selling only orange bars (each of
price 10 rupees) who have to decide where to place their cart in a long street
with continuous houses. The vendors want to get more customers, but the
customers choose the nearest cart. If carts are at the same location, they split
the business equally.
Vendor 1 Vendor 2
0 1
Figure: Model of Spatial Competition between two ice-cream vendors
Nash Equilibrium
Vendor 1 Vendor 2
0 1
Figure: Nash Equilibrium in the above Model
The unique pure-strategy Nash equilibrium is both the vendors placing their
cart at the mid-point of the street.
Take-Aways
I Always play a dominant strategy.
I Always play a dominant strategy.
I Nash Equilibrium
References
I Allen et al. Managerial Economics, Chapter 11 (Game Theory)
I Kreps Microeconomics for Managers, Chapter 21 (Noncooperative Game
Theory)
I Pindyck and Rubinfeld Microeconomics, Chapter 12 (Game Theory and
Competitive Strategy)
Practice Problems
Practice Problem 1
Two players are playing the Prisoner’s Dilemma (as you have seen in class). But the two players
are Indignant Angels in the sense that they do not like when the other cheats, but if they cheat
themselves, they cannot sleep at night because of their guilt. The payoff matrix is as follows.
Player 2
Cooperate Defect
a. Assume that T > R > T − G > P > S. What are the Nash Equilibria?
b. Assume player 1 is an Indignant Angel, but player 2 is evil as usual, i.e., G = 0 for player 2. What
will be the equilibrium outcome?
Practice Problem 2
Two soap producers, the Froth Company and the Maison Company, can stress either newspapers
or magazines in their forthcoming advertising campaigns. The payoff matrix is as follows, with
each cell representing (Froth’s profits, Maison’s profits).
Maison Company
Newspapers Magazines
The Ulysses Corp and the Xenophon Company are the only producers of a very sophisticated type
of camera. They each can engage in either a high or low level of advertising in trade journals.
The payoff matrix is as follows:
Xenophon Co.
Two firms are in the chocolate market. each can choose to go for High end market or the Low
end market. The payoff matrix is as follows.
Firm 2
High-end Low-end
Two rival bookstores are trying to locate in one of two locations. The locations are near to each
other. Each would like to avoid a bidding war against one another since that will drive up each of
their rents. Payoffs are given in the following table:
Borders
Does either player have a dominant strategy to bid high for a location?
Practice Problem 6
Two major networks are competing for viewers ratings in in the 8-9 pm and 9-10 pm slots on a
given weekend. Each has two shows to fill this time and juggling its lineup. Each can choose to
put its "bigger" show first (8-9) or second (9-10). Payoffs are given in the following table:
Network 2
First second
Watch the following scene from the movie Princess Bride (Video). Formulate the problem as
articulated by Vizzini (the Sicilian). Disregard the switch made by Vizzini. Then solve for the
Nash equilibrium.
Note: The wine is from the “Bottle of Wits”.
Practice Problem 8
There are 100 players. Each player needs choose a number between 0 and 100. The player who
chooses a number closest to half of the average of the numbers that all of the players have chosen
wins the game and gets a prize of 100. Rest of the players get nothing. If it is commonly known
that all the agents are perfectly rational, then what number will they choose? Assume that if
there is more than one winner then the prize is equally divided among the winners.