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Chapter 1 Introduction

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23 views19 pages

Chapter 1 Introduction

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Flexiblepp
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Taibah University

College of Engineering
Industrial Engineering Department

IE-442-Engineering Reliability and Maintainability

Chapter 1: An Introduction to Reliability & Maintainability Engineering


Introduction
Term and Definition

 Reliability is defined to be the probability that a component or


system will perform a required function for a given period of time t
when used under stated operating conditions - R(t).
Term and Definition

 Maintainability is defined to be the


probability that a failed component or
system will be restored or repaired to a
specified condition within a period of
time when maintenance is performed in
accordance with prescribed
procedures- M(t).
Term and Definition

 Availability is defined as the probability that a component


or system is performing its required function at a given point
in time when used under stated operating conditions - A(t)
Study of Reliability and Maintainability

 Increased complexity and sophistication of systems,


 Public awareness and insistence on product quality,
 New laws and regulations concerning product liability
 profit considerations resulting from the high cost of
failures
Why Reliability and Maintainability ?

 Life cycle costing


 Cost-benefit analysis
 Operational capability study
 Inventory and spare parts requirement determinations
 Replacement decisions
Reliability vs Quality

 Reliability is closely associated with the quality of a


product and is often considered a subset of quality.
 Quality can be defined qualitatively as the amount by
which the product satisfies the user’s requirements.
 Product quality is in part a function of design and
conformance to design specifications.
 On the other hand, reliability is concerned with how
long the product continues to function once it becomes
operational.
Random vs Deterministic

 Deterministic is complete information or under certainty condition”

“Random is incomplete information or under uncertainty


condition”
Statistical And Mathematical Overview
Statistical And Mathematic Overview
Random Events
• Two events A and B mutually exclusive if the occurrence of one precludes
the occurrence of the other.

𝑃 (𝐴∪𝐵) =𝑃 (𝐴) +𝑃 (𝐵)


𝐴∩𝐵 =∅

• Two events A and B independent if and only if


𝑃 (𝐴∩𝐵) =𝑃 (𝐴)× 𝑃(𝐵)
• If two events are not independent, the probability of their intersection must
be defined using conditional probability.
Examples
Examples
Statistical And Mathematic Overview

Random variable
 Random variable is a variable that takes on numerical
values in accordance with some probability distribution.

 Random variable may be either continuous or discrete.

 The probability distribution that assigns a probability to


each value of a discrete random variable or assign a
probability to an interval of values of a continuous random
variable can be describe in term of PMF in discrete case
and PDF in continuous case.
S
l
i
d Discrete Random Variables
e
1
5
o
f  A random variable X is said to be discrete if it can take
4
0 on at most a countable number of values, say, x1, x2, ... .
 The probability that X is equal to xi is given by

and
where p(x) is the probability mass function.
 The distribution function F(x) is

Simulation Modeling and Analysis – Chapter 4 – Review of Basic Probability and Statistics
Continuous Random Variables

 A random variable X is said to be continuous if there exists a


nonnegative function f(x), the probability density function, such that
for any set of real numbers B, (e.g., B could be all real numbers
between 1 and 2),

(where “” means “contained in”).


f(x), denoted as the pdf of X, satisfies:
1. f ( x)  0 , for all x in R X
2.  f ( x)dx  1
Simulation Modeling and
Rx range space
AnalysisR X– Chapter 4 –
3. of
Review x)  0, if x is not in
f (Basic RX
Probability and Statistics Slide 16 of 40
Continuous Random Variables

 If x is a number and ∆x > 0, then

which is the left shaded area in Figure 4.3.

Slide 17 of 40
1
8

Continuous Random Variables

 Example: Life of an inspection device is given by X, a


continuous random variable with pdf:

1 x / 2
 e , x0
f ( x)   2
0, otherwise

 X has an exponential distribution with mean 2 years


 Probability that the device’s life is between 2 and 3 years is:
1 3 x / 2
P(2  x  3)   e dx  0.14
2 2
Questions?

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