PRopagieiry Chance oF somemmre Hnpreninsé ) ae ea Possi6 LE Z— ceammin NON - NUMERWAL — PROBABILIHy / LIKELIHOOD we SE cay & One eet EVEN CHAE eke Noe: EVEN GANKE «Does NOT men me SAME THING As cqmey LIKELY | que prooneiLny of Gertie 9 “MEAD Fron THE Ts OF A Com en New omce . (oe 9/0) Ber THE PROBABILINY = OF- A QE LOM on A DB 13 BOT EVEN GAN = VEN THONG IT IS EQUALLY Likeny wr awe on 4 3S AS Ay Tet Number , © lnresae) we MEAIRE PROBABILITY ot ON SALE FROM 7S os aactines 1 Comm) Cet CESS | © mae ea | << ee t + ' IMPosS (BLE even cermin CHAE Tv muse BE BETWEEN PRoBAB\Lrry ts NUMERICAL. o om: |. We USVALLY «WRITE PROBABILITY waren 45 as of FRACMON (er irs PRTEN AOE CIM AL Tos) Hs Is TE : NOMEN OF DESIRABLE _OITEDMES Nomaer momauer = ene prTeomes | Wht qOML NOMBen OF BIBLE OUTCOMES Rare, WHATEVER WE'RE CALCULATH THe fPosABILITY 4 PRopABILIT? OF — SELECTING 1D w— Number oF HEART A HERA PRK A DKK = TOTAL, NUMER OF AR oF ARDS SL <— “ ° (08 Mone on “ouTComes «SEE NOTES ont counting / peamonano ns)KeLaTe FREQUENCY peso KHOU AS EXPERIMENTAL PROBARILINY —_——— » BASEO ON ofsenuRTIONS [tems of ACTUAL EVENTS (ea ROLLING A DEE [ soane A Penny eke) ROMbeR OF TIMES Hr EVENT HAPPENS Ketanye Feeuency = umber oF TRIALS «CARRIED OUT, eq. 1 poe AE loo TES AND Ger OA wea pO TMS, cn THE RELATIVE FeeCue Ney OF 20 100 tem SK OS (we say 20 ‘our oF* too) \afdarneT THE moRe Times we CARRY tur THE exper iment TRIALS, THE = MORE REL(AALE ane RELATIVE = FREQUENCY = GECOMES . : So rt qs A Com Five TIMES ND CET Fok TAILS, 1r(Doesn'r MEAN IT'S A BIASED COIN, Bor oF | os2 wr Sono Tes AND CT 4,000 TAILS, «WE CAN PROBABLY soccer THe cow sorr oe ames | Expecree FREQUENCY Mow a TIMES WONED WE ———— exccr n CERTAN. «EVENT. HAPPENS AN swek muenecy THE NUMBER OF TRIALS BY JHE PRoBaABiLiwy OR THE rerar\wE FRERVENCY , ea Ie A Snwee tANOs ON een PR otims or oF TS sews wom many Timed Setoue® IT nn REO ef NT 22 THES Game \ FREVELT, 5° _ Exe ed FREQUENCY = 200 6 FsSmie EVENTS Gano Joe) yO, Wears Pte PeebA BILLY of GETING =A ING OR A queens Prom Ac OF canos? = A Where Ae be Kines. And & Queens. So THe PeOBABLITY IS Z SL =) BE CAREFUL; You «= MusT = SusMAcT THE PROGABIL ITY of GoM «= bUTOMES OR euie + AOD THE raosaascines « | (ons = ~, — Is THe PeogAguITy OF = GETHIN ke RA LU B 4 Aen an +t i t . waves anes pes CL Kiwe or 08> MUTUALLY = EXCLUSIVE Have NO OUTCOMES = IN COMMOWy EVENTS ey © FroBABuiry OF cere A KWE 0 @ QUEEN 4 ene 15 NO CARD WHI «IS BOTA Kine AyD QUEEN, wm we au Mae even | Motu my EXcLusivé © Peobasuiry OF GETING AKING o@ & cLvB . THese ARE NOT MUTUALLY eKcLUSIVE | & yo can cer me [ete or cond] x THere ARE eotomes IN COMMONS .“AND — events ey a wnt (THE PROBABILI-Y «OF GETTING A kane AND eM? 8. pow MANY CARDS AREA HERES AND A Kine 7 Hee yor 1, THE Kine 8 Henan s> THE ROBAB LITT OF GETING A 1 Kime and A Hemmer 1S VENN — DiACRAMS (sets) 2 THese CAN Be very «= EFUL FoR AC COL ATI faoersnities SUCH AS ano / 08 We crampce ABOVE % 2 TAL NUMbeR OF x 4 ell eae ge Ke Numeen OF ICING) BH © nner OF KERRTS. ab 4 ) O.waar's THE pRognBiiry oF GETTNG a Bet te eh, Gernne 8 KING ADD PROBABILITY OF A Here Wy Q. Wuer's me x (me “wrenserion” )COMBINED = Events (more THAN one event Happens) __—— \) USING ee Ditogan | TYO- WAY TABLE [sesremanic Castine , WRITE Down AL ME COMBINED OUTCOMO WHI = ARE BD fossieue. 2) USE SAME RES or PROBA RILIFY AS BEFORE. i e HOW MANY — COMBINED DuTcoMES «= MATEH WHAT We'@e LooKine FoR 7 _= INDEPENDENT MULTIPLE = EVENTS Sot oerenoenr AND => *X qt Yu Mus be ABLE TO OR > + vse THRE Aves. A wie dee AND A BLACK Dice = ARE. THROWN % Find THe PRogABILINY OF GETTING 1 ow THE wenre AND ON THE GLACE wy 2 oN THe | WHITE AND any NuMBER on A 2 on one Due NO A % on HE OTHR... ww @ el2 mee) awa pt eurce) \ a 6 x 6 . " (Any BLACK) rs) pe mere) Ax °@ ) ‘ eft ¢ Ue “3 6 a di’) sys coud &—(2 wtire ant te uae) oR (write Mo Lerndh yo i = ss ( vo a *, tox po it) & 6 \ 4 on = * 7 36 36ROLY ST ME SAME AS vents , eur WHERE Poss iE — CUTE ONES , Berwoous trims THIS 15 Los oF MULTIPLE Mee ARE omy fsucess} oa. WES iS SU fey PHAN 8 cons uaens Q whar's THe PeoBAeiTy = Mar You Ger HE Fase “TALS oN tHe Teo Fue? fA. TO Dd THIS, «YOU: NEED TP WORK vt War 15 THE = PRO Ba Bitty = OF GETTING a 4d, THES ANOTHER HEAD, THEY 4 THE. So plu) x pl) x eG) 4 4 aoe De Ze 2 8 Haroer EXAMPLE A SPINNER «WITH EQUAL SECTORS = NUMAERED LHS as SPUN. War (THE PROGABLIDY «THAT if LAWOS ON AN "DDD mums FORME Fs TIME | ON THE Gi) Secone Sew Gi) PURO SPIN. & FiRsr SP 3 © ele) + = jiy— pleven) wo me lose) 2 3 - + x oS "3EXPECTED VALUE some AVERAGE” OuTwME OF a fer exeerimarr | Game .. JO CALE ATE THE ePecTeD VALUE MULTIALY «ERK. «Ss UTROME BMOUNT = BY THE = PROBABIL HT or THAT OUrcome, AND AOD ALL YoU ANSwOS DETER Eyrecnen VALVE “¥PecreD Nae ADP ALL OUT COME % PROBABILITY Q A De IS OLED e A sie ts Sscogen, | WIN tle 9) : iF A Five 1s scoReD, fw €3 NOTHING, IPoparTHinG ese, } IN WHAT 1S THE EXPECTED «VALUE OFTHIS GAME “ AL ovTeome PROBABILITY mive 7 £10 x - . |.67 > és re = 0:50 \oy €o x + io oO _—__ ExPecteo vane = € 217 [oo IF Tus Game = COST €2 TD PAy, | rm WIN We or AveRACE WOULD exrecr