Response Surface Methodology Using Observational Data A 3vhm8lld
Response Surface Methodology Using Observational Data A 3vhm8lld
sciences
Systematic Review
Response Surface Methodology Using Observational Data: A
Systematic Literature Review
Mochammad Arbi Hadiyat 1,2, * , Bertha Maya Sopha 1 and Budhi Sholeh Wibowo 1
1 Industrial Engineering Program, Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, Universitas Gadjah
Mada, Yogyakarta 55281, Indonesia
2 Industrial Engineering Program, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Surabaya (Ubaya),
Surabaya 60293, Indonesia
* Correspondence: [email protected] or [email protected]
Abstract: In the response surface methodology (RSM), the designed experiment helps create in-
terfactor orthogonality and interpretable response models for the purpose of process and design
optimization. However, along with the development of data-recording technology, observational
data have emerged as an alternative to experimental data, and they contain potential information on
design/process parameters (as factors) and product characteristics that are useful for RSM analysis.
Recent studies in various fields have proposed modifications to the standard RSM procedures to
adopt observational data and attain considerable results despite some limitations. This paper aims to
explore various methods to incorporate observational data in the RSM through a systematic literature
review. More than 400 papers were retrieved from the Scopus database, and 83 were selected and
carefully reviewed. To adopt observational data, modifications to the procedures of RSM analysis
include the design of the experiment (DoE), response modeling, and design/process optimization.
The proposed approaches were then mapped to capture the sequence of the modified RSM analysis.
The findings highlight the novelty of observational-data-based RSM (RSM-OD) for generating re-
producible results involving the discussion of the treatments for observational data as an alternative
Citation: Hadiyat, M.A.; Sopha, B.M.; to the DoE, the refinement of the RSM model to fit the data, and the adaptation of the optimization
Wibowo, B.S. Response Surface technique. Future potential research, such as the improvement of factor orthogonality and RSM
Methodology Using Observational model modifications, is also discussed.
Data: A Systematic Literature Review.
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12, 10663. https:// Keywords: classic RSM; observational data; RSM-OD; RSM stages; systematic literature review
doi.org/10.3390/app122010663
and increase the number of nonconforming items, hence, resulting in high costs [2]. When
direct experimentation is not feasible, one of the alternative solutions is to use observational
data as the input to the RSM [3,4]. Some high-tech industries are often complemented with
intelligent data-acquiring systems that allow them to record real-time process/equipment
parameter changes. For prediction purposes, these real-time recorded data become the
input for a mathematical model to generate outputs, such as a forecasting system for
maintenance schedules or product quality [5]. Several pieces of research on chemical
engineering and food production [6,7] have demonstrated that observational-data-based
RSM (RSM-OD) provided a fitted mathematical model to find an optimal factor setting.
Other research used the observed data from a running process or equipment as the input
for RSM-OD, as shown in the work of [8] for steel production and [9] with pollutant
removal processes.
However, observational data and their similarities, including real-time recording data
and already conducted experiment data, limits a researcher’s control over their factor levels,
as the DoE ideally affords. There are presumptions that observational data contain a high
volume, high variability, unstructured, and serial-correlated situations [10]. Therefore,
some modifications to selecting the observations are required prior to the use of the data
in RSM analysis, including the adaptive RSM model and optimization techniques, while
still considering the ideal concept of the RSM. The authors of [3] have successfully adopted
observational data for the DoE by selecting a subset of observations and identifying stages
within the data, similarly, Refs. [2,11,12] also giving alternatives by matching the data with
certain DoE to ensure orthogonality. Moreover, the authors of [4,13] apply the RSM to
real-time data acquisition for optimization during continuous processes. It is also worth
noting that the recent development of big data has accelerated the use of observational
data. For instance, Ref. [14] demonstrated real-manufacturing-oriented big data, in which
recorded datasets provide information for process improvement and optimization. The
data-recording technology provides massive datasets in which huge datasets are recorded
along with operations [15–17]. Once the acquired dataset contains the process parameters
and product characteristics, then the RSM-OD should be considered as an optimization
methodology. However, existing pieces of literature on RSM-OD have a unique approach
to treating the observational data and modifying the RSM model or procedures; thus, the
opportunities to develop an established RSM-OD are still open.
Therefore, the paper aims to explore various approaches to develop RSM-OD through
a systematic literature review. The review was based on 82 pieces of literature which were
selected and analyzed using the PRISMA framework [18]. The paper focuses on how obser-
vational data can be considered as input for RSM for process/design optimization purposes.
According to the authors’ best knowledge, the present paper is the first comprehensive
review of the successful implementation of RSM-OD in various research fields. Other
review studies on RSM systematic literature review papers have discussed classic RSM and
DoE in advanced manufacturing optimization [19] and neural network, replacing the DoE
model [20]. Hence, the paper contributes by providing insights into the development of
new procedures in RSM-OD following three stages of analysis in standard classic RSM, i.e.,
the treatment of nondesigned experimental data, the modeling of the relationship between
factors and response, and optimization.
The rest of the paper is structured as follows. Section 2 briefly explains how the classic
and ideal RSM model works based on experimental data and the opportunity to adopt
observational data. Section 3 describes the systematic literature review (SLR) methodology.
Section 4 presents the results of descriptive and bibliometric analysis, which is followed by
synthesis and discussion in Section 5. Lastly, Section 6 concludes by highlighting the main
findings, limitations, and future research.
2.1.
2.1. Classic
ClassicRSM
RSM
As
As mentioned
mentioned above,above,classical
classicalRSMRSM works
worksby by integrating
integratingthree
threetools
tools in
in aa sequential
sequential
analysis
analysis (Figure
(Figure 1).1). In
Inthe
the first
first stage,
stage, classic
classic RSM
RSM implements
implementsthe the DoE.
DoE. In In this
this step,
step, the
the
DoE
DoEplays
plays aa role
role in
in experiment
experiment planning,
planning,datadatacollection,
collection, analysis,
analysis, and
and interpretation
interpretation and and
ensures that the experiment
ensures experiment fulfills
fulfillsits
itspurpose.
purpose.Orthogonality
Orthogonalityfulfillment
fulfillmentininthe DoE
the DoEmatrix
ma-
ensures that the predetermined process parameters can be estimated
trix ensures that the predetermined process parameters can be estimated independently independently among
others. others.
among Second,Second,
classic RSM
classicapplies a specific
RSM applies mathematical
a specific model tomodel
mathematical fit thetodata
fit obtained
the data
by the DoE.
obtained ThisDoE.
by the model captures
This the relationship
model captures between factors
the relationship between orfactors
parameters as inputs
or parameters
and
as responses
inputs as outputs.
and responses Classic RSM
as outputs. usually
Classic RSM prefers
usuallyto adoptto
prefers a adopt
linear model
a linearbecause
model
of its simple
because of itsinterpretation and formal
simple interpretation andstatistical inferenceinference
formal statistical of all its required assumptions
of all its required as-
during the modeling stage. Third, the optimization stage works
sumptions during the modeling stage. Third, the optimization stage works by finding the by finding the factor
(or parameter)
factor setting
(or parameter) to optimize
setting the response.
to optimize the response. Standard
Standardoptimization
optimization tools, such
tools, as
such
mathematical optimization and desirability functions [21], are preferred
as mathematical optimization and desirability functions [21], are preferred in classic RSM, in classic RSM,
along with
along withsome
sometheoretical
theoretical approaches.
approaches. As Asthe
therequired
requiredassumptions
assumptionsin inRSM
RSMare arefulfilled
fulfilled
foreach
for eachstage,
stage,this
thismethodology
methodologyhas hasbecome
becomethe thebest
bestchoice
choicerather
ratherthan
thananyanymodification.
modification.
1 2
Guide data collection and Express the relationships
the identification of between dependent and
factors and interactions independent variables
influencing the process mathematically
RSM as integration
of tools
RSM
3
Optimization method
Perform the maximization or
minimization of functions for
improving the process
Figure
Figure 1.
1.Overview
Overviewof
ofRSM
RSM(adopted
(adoptedfrom
from [19]).
[19]).
Figure2.2. Research
Figure Researchfields
fieldsapplying
applyingRSM.
RSM.
Many improvements
Many improvements to to classic
classic RSM
RSM have
have been
been performed,
performed, mainly
mainly when
when optimiza-
optimiza-
tion of the target
tion target by bystandard
standardRSM RSMprocedures
proceduresprovides
provides dissatisfactory
dissatisfactory results. Some
results. pa-
Some
pers on RSM improved the linear model to increase its performance in capturing the cau-
papers on RSM improved the linear model to increase its performance in capturing the
causality between
sality between factors
factors andand responses
responses by replacing
by replacing it with
it with nonlinear
nonlinear versions.
versions. For ex-
For example,
ample,
[23,24] [23,24]
appliedapplied neural networks
neural networks and support
and support vector regression
vector regression for RSMfor RSM modeling
modeling to opti-
to optimize
mize surfacesurface
roughness,roughness, respectively,
respectively, in the milling
in the milling and turningand process.
turning process. Other
Other research-
researchers [25] provided
ers [25] provided a similaraapproach
similar approach
that usesthat
the uses
RSMthe RSM
neural neural network
network model tomodel
optimize to
optimize iron extraction from food. The complexity of these modified
iron extraction from food. The complexity of these modified RSM models requires ad- RSM models requires
advanced optimization
vanced optimization techniques
techniques andand adopt
adopt a meta-heuristics
a meta-heuristics method;
method; for for example,
example, the the
au-
authors
thors of [26,27] successfully adopted a genetic algorithm for injection-molding and CNC
of [26,27] successfully adopted a genetic algorithm for injection-molding and CNC
process
processoptimization.
optimization.
Classic
Classic RSM
RSM can can be
be improved
improved by by some
some modifications
modifications in in order
order to
to enhance
enhance thethe perfor-
perfor-
mance of the process being investigated. However, all the methodological
mance of the process being investigated. However, all the methodological improvements improvements
of
of classic
classic RSM
RSM should
should consider
consider the thebasic
basic concept
concept of
of RSM,
RSM, itsits stages,
stages, and
and the
the final
finalpurpose
purpose
of the RSM, i.e., process optimization.
of the RSM, i.e., process optimization.
2.2. RSM-OD
The data-driven concept as a part of smart manufacturing has grown and has become
a recent issue in some research, as proposed in other literature reviews [28,29]. Moreover,
the rapid development of data acquisition systems supports the application of data-driven
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12, 10663 5 of 23
analysis. In the manufacturing process, a data acquisition system, especially those with au-
tomatic sensor-based data recording, will produce massive mounts of data that potentially
contain information about the characteristics of the process/equipment.
This system records data on the equipment parameters and product characteristics; as
examples of the data-acquiring process, as explained by [5,15], some smart sensor devices
can collect data from various types of equipment as a part of the data-driven technology.
Therefore, several researchers argued that data analysis should be applied to obtain useful
information. Other research successfully performed analyses based on these collected data
for industrial application purposes, such as product quality prediction [30], preventive
equipment maintenance [16], the process optimization purposes [4], similar to our topic.
For practical purposes within manufacturing or laboratory scale, with the provided dataset
or data acquiring system, the RSM-OD analysis is preferred because it does not need to
interrupt the ongoing production, nor does it require exceptional equipment parameter
adjustments for experimenting. Other papers argued that it reduces experimental costs [2].
Both sets of authors from [3,4] considered observational data as alternatives to de-
signing experiments and applied them for continuous semiconductor and tire production,
respectively. A large number of recorded data opened up opportunities to use them as a
part of the process optimization system based on the data-driven concept. Both research
papers showed how the RSM concept incorporates observational or historical data as
the basis for process optimization. Specific iterative procedures, such as the selection of
potential factors, the identification of stages in the dataset, and the search for a subset of
observations with similar characteristics to the designed experiment, were proposed to
treat the dataset to become suitable to adopt RSM.
In addition, some papers with laboratory-scope experimentation implemented RSM
based on observational or historical data with a specific approach called historical data
design (HDD), which is provided by Design Expert® v.11 software from Stat-Ease, Inc.,
1300 Godward St NE, Suite 6400, Minneapolis, MN, USA. Although it is more similar
to ordinary multiple regression analysis fitted to observational data, HDD is a type of
observational data-based DoE within the RSM analysis. For details on performing HDD,
refer to the software manual guide from [31] based on a case study by [32]. Both [6,8]
explicitly mentioned and applied HDD, where previous, un-designed, and experimental or
observational data were used as inputs for RSM analysis to optimize energy consumption
and plastic strength.
Another similar paper gave a different perspective; the authors of [33] worked on an
additive manufacturing process to predict surface roughness, and real-time data-driven
modeling techniques were applied to minimize the prediction error. A real-time approach
requires no assumptions for the data and does not need to evaluate the significance of the
factors; its main target is to obtain the minimum error in the predicted response with no
model interpretation required [34]. Meanwhile, the standard RSM proposed by [1] applies
the philosophy of three stages in its analysis (Figure 1), with several required assumptions
in the data, such as factor independence, treatment randomization, and factor significance,
to give a strong interpretation; the final target of this RSM is to obtain the optimum response
by finding the optimal factor setting/level.
The next section explains that this approach treats the dataset’s variables, features,
and responses as input and output. Some papers provided additional filtering procedures
for selecting available observations to be fitted in the RSM model by treating the dataset
so as to become similar to the designed experimental data [3,35]. Moreover, they applied
machine learning models, such as neural networks and support vector machines (SVM),
to replace ordinary linear models. However, this action will increase the risk of black-box
modeling rather than keep the concept of model interpretability.
A number of RSM modifications to accommodate observational data have been con-
ducted. Some modifications focused on data treatment before being used as input for the
RSM. Other modifications develop adaptive mathematical modeling to any data condition,
to replace ordinary linear models. However, this action will increase the risk of black-box
modeling rather than keep the concept of model interpretability.
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12, 10663 A number of RSM modifications to accommodate observational data have been6con- of 23
ducted. Some modifications focused on data treatment before being used as input for the
RSM. Other modifications develop adaptive mathematical modeling to any data condi-
tion, including
including the
the use of use of machine
machine learninglearning approaches.
approaches. The mostThe most
recent recent modifications
modifications deal with
deal with the
the ability ability of optimization
of optimization techniquestechniques to solveRSM
to solve complex complex RSM models.
models.
3. Methodology
3. Methodology
The systematic
The literature review
systematic literature review conducted
conducted in in the
the present
present study
study follows
follows systematic
systematic
literature review guidance from [36] and conforms to the PRISMA statement
literature review guidance from [36] and conforms to the PRISMA statement in in [18].
[18]. We
We
started by
started byidentifying
identifyingstudies
studiesand followed
and thisthis
followed with database
with searches,
database filtering
searches, processes,
filtering pro-
and content analyses, as shown in Figure 3.
cesses, and content analyses, as shown in Figure 3.
Figure 3. Systematic
Figure 3. Systematic literature
literature review framework based
review framework based on
on PRISMA
PRISMA [18].
[18].
A systematic literature
A systematic literature review
review gives
gives an objective synthesis
an objective synthesis as as it involves a
it involves a decent
decent
number of references based on selected keywords. It follows the identification of studies,
It follows the identification of studies,
and the
thestages
stagesinvolve
involvepaper
papersearches, filtering,
searches, andand
filtering, synthesis.
synthesis.As shown
As shownin Figure 3, iden-
in Figure 3,
tification stepssteps
identification define the problems
define in RSM,
the problems whichwhich
in RSM, are thenare formulated as research
then formulated ques-
as research
tions. By applying
questions. certain
By applying criteria
certain based
criteria on the
based research
on the questions,
research questions,thethe
collected pieces
collected piecesof
literature were
of literature screened
were screenedandand
analyzed withwith
analyzed respect to descriptive,
respect bibliometric,
to descriptive, and com-
bibliometric, and
parative
comparativeanalysis. TheThe
analysis. Scopus
Scopusdatabase
databasewas wasdeployed
deployed because
becauseititprovided
providedbetter
better article
article
searching in terms of source titles, journal impact metrics, and the number of publishers
when compared to others, as shown by by [37].
[37].
The systematic literature review methodology
methodology was was used to achieve a reproducible
result in the development and application of RSM-OD. The analysis and discussion in this
paper focused
focusedon onthose
thoseapproaches
approachesaccommodating
accommodating nondesigned
nondesigned experimental
experimental datadata
in the
in
classic RSM. Moreover, as the context of this paper discusses the development
the classic RSM. Moreover, as the context of this paper discusses the development of RSM- of RSM-OD,
the literature
OD, research
the literature questions
research (LRQs) emphasize
questions how the standard
(LRQs) emphasize how theRSM is modified
standard RSM to is
accept data.
modified to accept data.
• What are
LRQ1: What arethe
therationales
rationalesforfor using
using observational
observational data
data as alternative
as an an alternative to
to con-
ducting a real
conducting RSM
a real experiment?
RSM experiment?
• LRQ2: What condition within observational data can be adapted to RSM?
• LRQ3: How are observational data adopted to RSM?
The descriptive analysis and synthesis stages in this paper attempted to answer those
LRQs associated with the need for well-designed experimentally-based optimization in
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW 7 of 24
Figure 4.
Figure Search string
4. Search string and
and Boolean
Boolean operators.
operators.
Figure 44 shows
Figure showsthe
thesearch
searchprocess. Based
process. onon
Based thethe
research questions,
research the key
questions, the terms were
key terms
“RSM”, “non-experimental data”, and “optimization”. The search queries involved
were “RSM”, “non-experimental data”, and “optimization”. The search queries involved all of
these, along with the use of the Boolean operator “AND”. To enrich the search process,
all of these, along with the use of the Boolean operator “AND”. To enrich the search pro-
we identified some synonyms within each of the key terms based on the mentioned terms
cess, we identified some synonyms within each of the key terms based on the mentioned
in reference papers. For example, several papers used different terms when mentioning
terms in reference papers. For example, several papers used different terms when men-
the nonexperimental data but gave similar meanings, i.e., observational, historical, or
tioning the nonexperimental data but gave similar meanings, i.e., observational, historical,
retrospective data. One of these similar terms was then selected with the Boolean operator
“OR” to complete the search string.
The search result with the determined search strings and Boolean operators yielded
more than 400 papers from the SCOPUS database. However, not all of these papers
discussed RSM with regard to observational data. Some mentioned similar keywords, but
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW 8 of 24
or retrospective data. One of these similar terms was then selected with the Boolean oper-
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12, 10663
ator “OR” to complete the search string. 8 of 23
The search result with the determined search strings and Boolean operators yielded
more than 400 papers from the SCOPUS database. However, not all of these papers dis-
cussed RSM with regard to observational data. Some mentioned similar keywords, but
thethe topics were outside of this paper’s scope. The filtering process was then applied with
topics were outside of this paper’s scope. The filtering process was then applied with
the inclusion criteria in Table 1. The selected research in this paper was considered to follow
the inclusion criteria in Table 1. The selected research in this paper was considered to
the RSM concepts, consisting of different stages (Figure 1). The final 82 selected papers
follow the RSM concepts, consisting of different stages (Figure 1). The final 82 selected
led to the synthesis stages, with additional references to the standard RSM, such as those
papers led to the synthesis stages, with additional references to the standard RSM, such
within [1,19].
as those within [1,19].
Table 1. Inclusion criteria for filtering papers.
Table 1. Inclusion criteria for filtering papers.
Paper
Paper Inclusion
Inclusion Criteria
Criteria Paper Paper Exclusion
Exclusion Criteria
Criteria
Theshould
The RSM RSM should not conduct
not conduct a designed
a designed experiment
Application of observational or historical to experiment
obtain data to
(however, obtain data
some (however,
papers still some papers
referred to
Application of observational or historical
datadata
as anasalternative to the still referred to nondesigned
an alternative to DoE in RSM
the DoE in RSMnondesigned experiments/non-DoE with a rationale of
experiments/non-DoE
hard-to-control with aare
factors; the details rationale
in Figure of 8)
hard-to-control factors; the details are in Figure 8)
Involving previous experimental data for
Involving previous experimental The RSM entirely refers to the dataset without com-
data for
RSM, some papers referred to combined The RSM entirely refers to the dataset without
RSM,from
datasets some papers referred
previous to combinedpleting it, with new additional experiments.
experiments completing it, with new additional experiments.
datasets from previous experiments
Involvement of the three stages of standard
RSMInvolvement
analysis (DoE, of the three stages
modeling, of standard
and optimi- One ofOne
the of
stages of standard
the stages RSM analysis
of standard RSM analysisis missing
RSM analysis (DoE, modeling, and
zation) is missing
RSMoptimization)
analysis involves searching for influ- A direct prediction system with real-time data record-
encing factors, similar to the original RSM ing and A modeling
direct prediction
is not asystem
part of with real-time
this SLR data
because no
RSM analysis involves searching for
concept such recording
analysis of and modeling
significant is not a part
influencing of this
factors SLR
exists.
influencing factors, similar to the original
because no such analysis of significant influencing
RSM concept
factors exists.
4. Descriptive and Bibliometric Analysis
The descriptive analysis in this section explained the research trends associated with
4. Descriptive and Bibliometric Analysis
the topics in this paper, and the bibliometric analysis focused on the methods involved in
The descriptive
the RSM-OD and researchanalysis
fieldsin
to this section
which it hasexplained the research
been applied. Since thetrends associated
early 2000s with
(Figure
5), the increased number of indexed publications in the SCOPUS database with searchthe
the topics in this paper, and the bibliometric analysis focused on the methods involved in
RSM-OD
strings and 4)
(Figure research
showsfields to which
that the it has been
application applied.
of the RSM-ODSince theoccurred
has early 2000sin (Figure
various 5),
the increased number of indexed publications in the SCOPUS database
research fields. Table 2 shows some of the research fields where the method has been with search strings
(Figure
applied. 4) shows that the application of the RSM-OD has occurred in various research fields.
Table 2 shows some of the research fields where the method has been applied.
12
10
(SCOPUS indexed)
8
Number of papers
0
1970
2010
2018
2000
2001
2002
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2019
2020
2021
Year of publication
FieldThe pharmacy/chemistry/chemical
of Application of RSM-OD engineering fields commonly deal with labora-
Percentage
tory-scope experiments. They can be improved with the use of standard RSM, but they
pharmacy/chemistry/chemical engineering 22.50%
use already provided data as the input for RSM.
manufacturing process
Meanwhile, manufacturing, petroleum,
18.75%
and similar engineering fields with modern equipment
petroleum/coal/mining 11.25% mostly have a data-acquiring sys-
tem. Thus,
cleaner using the provided dataset rather 10.00%
production/waste than experimental data is more reasonable.
Furthermore, using a engineering
material & mechanical treemap (Figure 6) to categorize
7.50% the journal quartile shows that the
energy impacted journal (Q1/Q2) gives the highest
highly 6.25% percentage among other quartiles,
food
which means that the RSM-OD has supported5.00% high-quality research. For Q1 journals, the
civil engineering 3.75%
research field of (pharmacy/chemistry/chemical)
medical science
engineering (10.00%) and manufacturing
3.75%
processes
aerospace (11.25%) still dominated regarding2.50% the application of RSM-OD, followed by
other
biologyfields. A similar interpretation is also drawn
2.50% for Q2 and the others. Thus, scholars
methodological
have development
opportunities 2.50% required by various research fields
to develop RSM-OD procedures
waste processing
involving 2.50% processes at any level of the impacted
designed, experiment-based optimization
social science 1.25%
journals.
Figure6.6. Journal
Figure Journal quartile
quartile by
by research
researchfield.
field.
VOSviewer ®
VOSviewer® v.1.6.15
v.1.6.15software provided
software providedby Centre for Science
by Centre and Technology
for Science Studies
and Technology
of Leiden
Studies ofUniversity was used
Leiden University to obtain
was used tothe graphical
obtain networknetwork
the graphical in Figurein 7. In the7.figure,
Figure In the
the author’s
figure, keywords
the author’s represent
keywords variousvarious
represent terms incorporated in the RSM-OD.
terms incorporated The figure
in the RSM-OD. The
also gives
figure alsoinsights into theinto
gives insights development of the integrated
the development RSM tools/methods
of the integrated to handle
RSM tools/methods to
nonexperimental data, particularly for certain RSM-related methodological terms, although
specific research field-related keywords were still included. The bibliometric analysis
consisted of nodes and the links connecting them. Large nodes represent high keyword
occurrences, and the links indicate co-occurrences in the same papers. Table 3 shows
the results of the complete bibliometric analysis, including the total link strength, which
exhibited a high number of co-occurrences between the keywords.
handle nonexperimental data, particularly for certain RSM-related methodological terms,
although specific research field-related keywords were still included. The bibliometric
analysis consisted of nodes and the links connecting them. Large nodes represent high
keyword occurrences, and the links indicate co-occurrences in the same papers. Table 3
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12, 10663 shows the results of the complete bibliometric analysis, including the total link strength,
10 of 23
which exhibited a high number of co-occurrences between the keywords.
Figure 7.
Figure Graphical network
7. Graphical network of
of bibliometric
bibliometric analysis.
analysis.
Table 3.
Table Occurrences and
3. Occurrences and link strength of
link strength of graphical
graphical keyword
keyword networks
networks in
in Figure
Figure 8.
8.
Author’s
Author’s Selected
Selected Methodological
Methodological Keywords
Keywords Total
Total
Occurrences
Occurrences Links Links Link Strength
(Excluding Specific Research Field
(Excluding Specific Research Field Keywords)Keywords) Link Strength
RSMRSM 33 33 130130 144
144
optimization 11 42 51
optimization 11 42 51
HDD only 7 27 29
HDD only
historical data 6 7 26 27 3229
historical data
neural networks 6 6 23 26 2432
neural
DoE networks 5 6 23 23 2724
DoEgenetic algorithm 3 5 15 23 1527
observational
genetic algorithmdata 3 3 13 15 1315
Analysis of variance
observational data (ANOVA) 2 3 15 13 1613
quality of
Analysis byvariance
design (ANOVA) 2 2 14 15 1416
modeling
quality by design 2 2 9 14 1014
statistical analysis 2 9 10
modeling 2 9 10
Taguchi method 2 9 9
statistical analysis
process optimization 2
2 8
9 9
10
Taguchi method
experimental design 2 2 8 9 89
process optimization
retrospective data 2 2 6 8 109
experimental design
intelligent systems 1 2 7 8 78
retrospective data
machine learning 1 2 7 6 710
response-surface
intelligent systems designs 1 1 7 7 77
six sigma
machine learning 1 1 7 7 77
support vector machine
response-surface designs 1 1 7 7 77
industrial-scale optimization 1 6 6
six sigma 1 7 7
RSM historical data modeling 1 5 5
support vector machine 1 7 7
causality 1 5 5
industrial-scale optimization
data-driven modeling 1 1 5 6 56
RSM historical data
meta-heuristic modeling
optimization 1 1 5 5 55
causality
Note: The red highlighted portion represents common RSM terms, the 1 yellow highlighted
5 5
part denotes high
occurrences, and
data-driven the blue highlighted section denotes low occurrences 1in Figure 7. 5
modeling 5
meta-heuristic optimization 1 5 5
Note: Keywords from research
The red highlighted portionthat appliedcommon
represents the standard RSM the
RSM terms, mainly
yellowconsisted of common
highlighted part de-
termshigh
notes in the analysis stages,
occurrences, and the such as DoE andsection
blue highlighted optimization
denotes low(Table 3, with red,
occurrences highlighted
in Figure 7.
rows). By ignoring specific terms related to research fields, only methodological terms
are shown in Table 3, including those with high (yellow highlighted) and low occurrences
(blue highlighted). The largest cluster with the highest occurrences had “RSM” as the
main keyword, followed by “optimization” and “DoE”; these three keywords represent the
common terms in classic RSM analysis. Therefore, their high occurrences were expected.
The analysis also focused on other clusters supporting them and denotes the development
of RSM-OD (the yellow highlighted portion in Table 3).
Appl.
Appl.Sci. 2022,12,
Sci. 2022, 12,10663
x FOR PEER REVIEW 11
11 of
of 23
24
Figure 8.
Figure 8. Distribution
Distribution of
of the
the rationales
rationales based
based on
on data
datatypes.
types.
The keyword
Keywords from“HDD” gives
research a applied
that high linkthestrength
standard with
RSMRSM because
mainly it is a term
consisted taken
of common
from ® v.11 software by Stat-Ease Inc., and the word design is related to
termsthein Design-Expert
the analysis stages, such as DoE and optimization (Table 3, with red, highlighted
arows).
designed experiment
By ignoring based
specific on historical
terms related toorresearch
observational data.methodological
fields, only The historical word termsdata
are
with similar link strengths were also located near RSM and were
shown in Table 3, including those with high (yellow highlighted) and low occurrencesstrengthened by word
observational data, although
(blue highlighted). The largestthey showed
cluster a low
with the occurrence. Thus, thehad
highest occurrences RSM“RSM”analysisasper-
the
formed in the papers
main keyword, applied
followed observational/historical
by “optimization” and “DoE”; datathese
as thethree
input. Subsequently,
keywords the
represent
keyword
the common “neural networks”
terms in classicformed a cluster near
RSM analysis. the “genetic
Therefore, algorithm”,
their high and these
occurrences werekey-ex-
words were located alongside the RSM. These keywords corresponded
pected. The analysis also focused on other clusters supporting them and denotes the de-with the RSM model
that was replaced
velopment by neural
of RSM-OD (the networks, and the optimization
yellow highlighted techniques
portion in Table 3). adopted a genetic
algorithm.
The keyword “HDD” gives a high link strength with RSM because it is a termanaly-
Furthermore, the blue-highlighted keywords completed the bibliometric taken
sis,
from thespecific
with methodological
Design-Expert keywords
® v.11 software from various
by Stat-Ease research
Inc., and fields.
the word Theseiskeywords
design related to
still showedexperiment
a designed a relationship withonthe
based RSM stages,
historical i.e., DoE, modeling,
or observational data. The and optimization,
historical and
word data
offered insights
with similar into
link the development
strengths were also of RSM-OD.
located near RSM and were strengthened by word
observational data, although they showed a low occurrence. Thus, the RSM analysis per-
5. Synthesis and Discussion
formed in the papers applied observational/historical data as the input. Subsequently, the
The use
keyword of observational
“neural data in RSM
networks” formed is not
a cluster without
near its critics.
the “genetic This practice
algorithm”, andcontradicts
these key-
the golden standard in RSM and runs considerable risks of being used as an alternative
words were located alongside the RSM. These keywords corresponded with the RSM
to experimental data. The authors of [38] wrote that using observational data as a replace-
model that was replaced by neural networks, and the optimization techniques adopted a
ment for experimental data is risky because of the absence of controllable factors, spurious
genetic algorithm. Furthermore, the blue-highlighted keywords completed the biblio-
correlation, and the rise of potential multicollinearity or nonorthogonality. This finding
metric analysis, with specific methodological keywords from various research fields.
was similar to the problem of semiconductor production in the work of [3] and the slurry
These keywords still showed a relationship with the RSM stages, i.e., DoE, modeling, and
thickening process in [39], where observational data contained undetected and uninter-
optimization, and offered insights into the development of RSM-OD.
pretable multicollinearity, given the application of typical observational-based regression
analysis and the need for careful handling ([40]). This opinion was also strengthened by
5. Synthesis and Discussion
the authors of [19], who wrote a systematic literature review of classic RSM development
The usethat
and showed of observational
orthogonalitydata in RSM
between is not
factors without
should its critics.toThis
be reached practice
perform contra-
individual
dicts the golden standard in RSM and runs considerable risks of being
analyses of each factor. Moreover, the ideal experimentally-based RSM accommodates used as an alterna-
tiveprocedure
the to experimental data. The
of the steepest authors
ascent of [38]
for the wrote
shifting of that
factorusing
levelsobservational data as a
in a specific direction
replacement for experimental data is risky because of the absence of controllable
toward a stationary optimum response point [1,19]. The use of observational data presents factors,
a challenge in conducting this procedure, given the limited range of factor levels. This
spurious correlation, and the rise of potential multicollinearity or nonorthogonality. The
finding was similar
optimization region istoalso
the limited
problem toof semiconductor
these production
available level ranges, asinobserved
the workinofall[3]
of and
the
the slurryreferences.
RSM-OD thickening process in [39], where observational data contained undetected and
uninterpretable
The literaturemulticollinearity,
review questions given
in the
the application of typical
previous section observational-based
served as a guide for the re-
gression analysis and the need for careful handling ([40]). This opinion was also
writing order, starting with descriptive and bibliometric analyses. Later, the synthesis stage strength-
was performed in line with answering LRQ1 to LRQ3 and continued with the discussion
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12, 10663 12 of 23
section. Some treemaps used in this paper simplified the interpretation of the descriptive
and research questions answered. Treemaps are used to hierarchically graph structured
information, which uses 100% of the available graph space [41], and acted as an excellent
application for the supporting systematic literature review in [20].
LRQ1: What are the rationales for using observational data as an alternative to conducting
a real RSM experiment?
Approximately 70.51% of the papers employed observational data as the input for
RSM, 23.08% were based on previous experimental data, and the remaining 6.41% referred
to real experiment data (Figure 8). Observation-based data were obtained depending on the
kind of data-acquiring system in the process being studied, and previous-experiment-based
data were collected from associated research. The data contained the factor (or X variables)
and response (Y variables) with continuous scales, as required by the RSM analysis. The ra-
tionale with the highest percentage in Table 4 is potential information that may exist within
the observational data. The next highest percentage is the flexible factor level (or design
space), where an RSM analysis should be flexible enough to accommodate uncontrolled
factor levels within observational data. Moreover, the difficulties in fully controlling the
factor levels during a continuous process showed the limitations in conducting designed
experiments and provided data that were a better option. This rationale also revealed a
high percentage.
Several papers acquired real experiment data but used RSM-OD because of difficulties
in controlling the factor levels. They assumed the real experimental data as being observa-
tional and argued that modifying the RSM approach based on a nondesigned experiment
was easier than conducting a formal standard RSM.
LRQ2: What condition within historical data can be adapted to RSM?
Conducting the DoE experiment ensures the orthogonality between the factors, and
the ANOVA can separate each variance for the independent interpretation of their effects
([42]). On the other hand, observational data violate common assumptions in designed
experiment data, such as treatment randomization and interfactor orthogonality, as the
researcher cannot fully control each factor’s level (see an editorial by [38]). Therefore,
this section evaluated each reference paper to capture how they explain the condition of
data before treating them as the input for RSM modeling based on different approaches in
adopting data, i.e., using all observations or obtaining their subsets (Figure 9).
Table 5 shows that more than 70% of papers did not mention specific raw-data condi-
tions. Therefore, they adopted observational data directly as the input for this RSM-OD.
The mathematical model and optimization technique were previously determined without
evaluating data conditions because they forced the data to fit the model, whether linear or
nonlinear, even ignoring the absence of randomization within data. Meanwhile, 5.19% of
the papers followed the data condition as it was, which means that the RSM-OD model
and optimization techniques were adjusted to adapt to the data condition, and a linear
or nonlinear model was selected to give the best fit to the data. A total of 23.38% of the
papers explicitly mentioned other conditions, such as factor independencies, ensuring
orthogonality, and outlier removal, and considered assumptions as if they were a DoE
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12, 10663 13 of 23
022, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW 13 of 24
experiment. Some papers used orthogonality criteria for evaluating data conditions, such
before treatingasthem as inflation
variance the input for (for
factors RSMexample,
modeling based
a paper on and
by [43] different approaches
a data matrix in used
subsetting
adopting data,toi.e., usingorthogonality
achieve all observations
in [3]).or obtaining their subsets (Figure 9).
Figure 10.
Figure 10. DoE
DoE stage.
stage.
In
In the
themodeling
modelingstage
stage(Figure
(Figure11),
11),almost
almostallall
papers
papers (90.54%) applied
(90.54%) a linear
applied model;
a linear the
model;
others usedused
the others a neural network
a neural (6.76%),
network and the
(6.76%), andrestthe
usedrestother
usedmodels, such as the
other models, Taguchi
such as the
and support
Taguchi andvector model
support (2.7%).
vector modelAs (2.7%).
a commonAs linear
a common modellinear
in RSM, this in
model approach
RSM, thisworksap-
as the standard
proach works asRSM completed
the standard RSMby completed
typical statistical
by typicalanalyses, such
statistical as factorsuch
analyses, significance
as factor
and R-square.
significance ForR-square.
and the neural Fornetwork
the neuralapproach,
network most of the papers
approach, most ofimplemented it for
the papers imple-
modeling and optimization purposes. As the neural networks are
mented it for modeling and optimization purposes. As the neural networks are close to a close to a black-box
model
black-boxwithout
model any statistical
without any analysis,
statisticalthe authors
analysis, thestill performed
authors ANOVA and
still performed ANOVAR-square
and
analysis to evaluate significant factors and show an interpretable result.
R-square analysis to evaluate significant factors and show an interpretable result. Alter- Alternatively, the
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW
Taguchi 15 of 24
natively,method approach,
the Taguchi method which was proposed
approach, which was in [2,11],
proposedwas in
also applied
[2,11], wasbased on the
also applied
typical
based on signal-to-noise ratio in its analysis.
the typical signal-to-noise ratio in its analysis.
Figure 11.
Figure 11. RSM
RSM modeling
modeling stage.
stage.
For
Forthe
theoptimization
optimization stage (Figure
stage 12),12),
(Figure as the
as highest percentage
the highest showed
percentage a linearamodel,
showed linear
amodel,
standard local search
a standard local optimization algorithm
search optimization was preferred
algorithm and commonly
was preferred provided
and commonly pro-
vided in some software. Moreover, several papers with linear models adopted metaheu-
ristics algorithms to find an optimum response. Notably, the graph in Figure 13 shows
that some papers excluded the optimization process, and they only considered the first
two stages of RSM-OD for prediction or factor investigation.
Figure 11. RSM modeling stage.
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12, 10663 15 of 23
For the optimization stage (Figure 12), as the highest percentage showed a linear
model, a standard local search optimization algorithm was preferred and commonly pro-
vided in some in some software.
software. Moreover,Moreover, severalwith
several papers papers with
linear linearadopted
models models metaheu-
adopted metaheuristics
algorithms
ristics algorithms to find
to find an an optimum
optimum response.
response. Notably,
Notably, the graph
the graph in Figure
in Figure 13 shows that some
13 shows
papers excluded the optimization process, and they only considered
that some papers excluded the optimization process, and they only considered the first the first two stages of
RSM-OD for prediction or factor investigation.
two stages of RSM-OD for prediction or factor investigation.
Pre-processing Step 1: Observational data adoption to DoE Step 2: RSM model Step 3: Optimization
Data type Recorded data Adopted dataset DoE adopted
Code: A Code: B Code: C Code: D Code: E Code: F
Prediction purposes
All observations (C2) No DoE adopted (D5)
(F5)
5.1. Comparative
Comparative Analysis
Several
Several approaches
approachestotohandling
handlingobservational
observationaldatadataforfor
RSM RSMwere proposed,
were proposed,andandra-
tionales
rationaleswere provided
were provided for for
each based
each on specific
based references.
on specific Figure
references. 13 represents
Figure the com-
13 represents the
combination
bination of tools
of tools or methods
or methods applied
applied to RSM-OD,
to RSM-OD, andandthe the
mapsmaps based
based on on
thethe stages
stages in
in classic
classic RSMRSM analysis
analysis are are
shown shown in Figure
in Figure 1. By1.reading
By reading from
from the the
left lefteach
side, side,boxeach
in box
the
in the figure
figure represents
represents the tools theortools or methods
methods used inused in RSM-OD,
RSM-OD, and the and thedenote
lines lines denote the
the other
other tools/methods at each stage of the RSM analysis. Various modifications
tools/methods at each stage of the RSM analysis. Various modifications in RSM-OD in the in RSM-OD
in the reference
reference papers papers still obeyed
still obeyed the basicthe basic principles
principles of RSM,
of classical classical
andRSM,
any RSMand improve-
any RSM
improvement
ment should notshould
be muchnot be much different.
different.
The method combinations started with the identification of nondesigned-experi-
mental data (Code A). Several papers referred to observational data from this type of con-
tinuous process, and others referred to previous experimental data or conducted an actual
nondesigned experiment. Code B categorizes the recorded variables that will be the fac-
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12, 10663 16 of 23
Table 6. Cont.
The most preferred was cluster 4, with 55.42% relativity to all the selected reference
papers; it used all observations as the input to the linear RSM model and applied the
ordinary local search optimization method. It is similar to standard RSM, but risks may arise
during the analysis by selecting all observations. Cluster 1, which was similar to Cluster 4,
had the second highest value: 12.05%; the difference is that this cluster selected a subset
of observations that fulfilled a particular DoE and guaranteed interfactor orthogonality.
Next, Cluster 5 (10.84%) was similar to Cluster 4 but replaced the local optimization
method with a metaheuristic technique. A more complex RSM model with all observations
as the input became the rationale for this replacement. Cluster 6 (8,43%) applied other
optimization techniques, such as Taguchi S/N ratio, linear programming, and the Monte
Carlo method [2,44,45]. In Clusters 2 and 7, the linear model was replaced with neural
networks to handle the nonlinearity of the observational data, all observations, or the
subset data. Moreover, such a complicated black-box neural-network model applied the
metaheuristics method to find the optimum. Concerning the three stages of the RSM, a
summary of the method combinations (Figure 13 and Table 6) is rewritten in Table 7.
Advantages Disadvantage
Selecting a subset based on specific criteria A number of of observations will be
subset
increases inter-factor orthogonality excluded from the RSM analysis
Stage 1
RSM As a potential source of information, all
potential multicollinearity between factors
all observation observations will be included in the RSM
and the possibility of outlier observations
analysis
strong foundation with clear inference and
linear model strictly statistical assumptions
interpretation
Stage 2 no model interpretation and potential
RSM Neural-net model black-box model free of assumptions
garbage-in-garbage-out
Similar to neural networks, the SVM model has no required assumptions, and the Taguchi
other models
method works without a pre-specified mathematical model.
local search fast iterative algorithm potential local optimum
Stage 3 metaheuristics accommodate global optimum highly depends on initial conditions
RSM Some papers with prediction purposes exclude optimization techniques; the others involve
other technique
linear programming and Monte-Carlo.
analysis (Figure 1), and each stage also gives a clear theoretical basis. Therefore, any
development in RSM, including the fulfillment of assumptions during the analysis, should
remain within these stages. Thus, the discussion will explore the methods and combinations
used in the reference paper (Figure 13).
According to Table 7, those options that combined the methods within the three stages
of RSM raised some advantages and limitations. In stage 1 of the RSM, contradictions
existed between the selection of all observations or their subsets. One problem relates
to interfactor orthogonality and the other deals with the justification of selecting only a
subset from several potentially informative observations. In stage 2, different types of RSM
models, i.e., linear (or polynomial) or machine-learning type models, provided different
modeling approaches with each of their consequences. The powerful and interpretable
linear model works with several strict assumptions, whereas the free-assumption machine-
learning-based model contains potential over-fitting and is noninterpretable. In stage 3,
the ordinary local search algorithm works best for a single-optimum point linear model,
whereas the metaheuristics algorithm provides a larger search area with local and global
optima.
By referring to the papers needing observational data, RSM can be developed with
alternatives to conduct a real experiment. Notably, observational data will not give pieces
of information that are as perfect as within the designed experiments because of the
assumptions of violations within. However, numerous references in this paper have
shown the success of RSM-OD, although some ignored the concept behind the classic RSM.
Therefore, a new procedure must be developed for this type of RSM to fulfill all the required
assumptions of the standard classic RSM.
Development Opportunities
RSM Stages Potential Gaps in References
for Future Research
Procedure development to:
1. fulfill factor orthogonality and its
evaluation/measurement
Develop procedures to adopt observational 2. Improve orthogonality of observational data
Stage 1 3. handle non-randomized treatment within observational
data considering the concept of classic DoE
data
4. pre-process observational data
(cleaning/filtering/subsetting)
5. Dividing variation for each factor, similar to ANOVA
Model development to:
Develop an adaptive RSM mathematical 1. accommodate un-designed/unpatterned observational
Stage 2 model to adapt observational data data
concerning required assumptions 2. fulfill model-fitting assumptions, or ignore them
3. enhance of model interpretability
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12, 10663 19 of 23
Table 8. Cont.
Development Opportunities
RSM Stages Potential Gaps in References
for Future Research
Optimization technique to:
Develop an optimization algorithm referring
Stage 3 1. provide a comprehensive optimum search area
to a pre-defined RSM model
2. avoid local optimum
6. Conclusions
Using observational data within RSM is promising, particularly when data-recording
technology (big data) exists. It was found that the main rationales for adopting observa-
tional data within RSM are the existence of historical data and avoiding interruptions in
continuous production. However, due to the unstructured, highly variable, and serial-
correlated nature of the observational data, data modifications prior to use in the RSM
is necessary. Therefore, the paper aims to explore the various methods/approaches for
incorporating observational data in RSM through a systematic literature review using the
PRISMA framework, from which 83 studies were analyzed. Based on the three stages of
classic RSM, modifications can be conducted at each stage, i.e., data treatment, modeling,
and optimization. With respect to the first stage (data treatment), the modification involves
selecting an observation subset or pretreating the data to increase acceptance in the RSM
based on specific criteria, such as orthogonality and treatment randomization. In the second
stage, adaptive RSM mathematical models are selected to handle nonideal observational
data. Complex nonlinear machine learning models are common approaches for adapting
RSM models, for example, the neural network and SVM models. In the last stage, an
alternative optimization method suitable for such a complex RSM model is also highlighted.
Metaheuristic optimization techniques perform well when finding the optimal factor levels
modeled using a nonlinear RSM model. The combinations of the proposed methods for the
RSM stages reveal insights into the fact that there is an open potential for developments in
RSM-OD as an alternative to classic RSM.
Despite the deviation from standard RSM techniques, the proposed RSM-OD methods
in the literature can still achieve their design/process optimization purpose with reasonable
results. However, the methods also raised some limitations, such as data orthogonality
issues, statistical assumptions, model specifications, model interpretability, and the need
for advanced optimization methods.
This paper contributes to the RSM literature by providing the advantages or dis-
advantages of using observational data for process/design optimization, demonstrating
opportunities to further improve the proposed methods in RSM-OD, and coping with their
theoretical limitations and unexpressed assumptions. Once those issues are well addressed,
RSM-OD may be a promising alternative to classic RSM.
Author Contributions: Conceptualization, M.A.H.; methodology, M.A.H., B.M.S. and B.S.W.; formal
analysis, M.A.H., B.M.S. and B.S.W.; writing—original draft preparation, M.A.H.; writing—review
and editing, B.M.S. and B.S.W.; supervision, B.M.S. and B.S.W.; funding acquisition, M.A.H. All
authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding: This research was funded by Universitas Surabaya (Contract No. 1186/PKD-SL/SDM/IX/2020).
Institutional Review Board Statement: Not applicable.
Informed Consent Statement: Not applicable.
Data Availability Statement: Not applicable.
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12, 10663 20 of 23
Abbreviations
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