MBF ILC
MBF ILC
Investigating the use of financial derivatives for risk management and analyzing different hedging strategies in the
context of Indian markets.
By
This study examines the context of derivatives management in Indian firms and markets,
examining risk management and financing strategies. The research covers topics ranging from
currency risk hedging in multinational companies to interest rate risk management in Indian
banks, portfolio hedging strategies for investors, regulatory framework, and comparative analysis
with the world all about markets. The study uses case studies to gain valuable insights,
highlighting successful and unsuccessful hedging practices. Finally, dealing with speculative
trading, circuit breakers, and risk management techniques, it examines the potential impact of
derivatives in complex markets This comprehensive analysis provides a nuanced understanding
of how derivatives deal with their impact on the Indian economy.
Introduction
Financial hedging is a risk management strategy used by individuals, businesses and financial
institutions to protect themselves from the adverse economic effects of changes in asset prices,
interest rates, exchange rates goods, or the price of goods. In simple terms, hedging is a type of
insurance that allows companies to mitigate potential losses and maintain financial stability in a
volatile and often uncertain economic environment
The basic idea behind hedging is to lessen the burden or exposure towards financial risk, hence
protecting assets and making financial outcomes more stable. This type of risk management is
quite relevant today where the global marketplace is more connected than ever.
Financial derivatives derive their value from the underlying asset, index, reference rate, or
underlying security. These tools are used for a wide range of applications, including speculation,
investment, and risk management. Financial derivatives, often proprietary, allow traders and
investors to take ownership of a large position or exposure in exchange for a small fee.
1.1 Behavioural Aspects Of Derivative Trading in Indian Markets:
The behavior of traders and investors in the Indian derivatives market is influenced by a complex
interplay of psychological factors. Understanding these factors is important for industry and
policymakers. Many investors and traders in the Indian derivatives market are risk-averse. They
tend to be concerned with potential capital loss and may avoid high-risk outcomes. This can lead
to risk-averse and conservative trading strategies. At the other end of the spectrum, some traders
and investors exhibit overconfidence in their abilities. This can lead to excessive trading,
excessive risk-taking and poor decision-making. Herd behavior is known to affect Indian
markets. If a large number of traders or investors follow a particular trend or portfolio, it can lead
to a self-fulfilling prophecy. Herd mentality can cause market bubbles and sudden crashes.
Traders and investors generally feel the pain of loss more than the pleasure of profit. This loss
aversion enables winners to sell much faster and hold losing positions in the hope of recovery,
known as the behavioral effect.
People tend to look for information that supports their existing beliefs and ignore information
that contradicts them. In marketing, this can lead to confirmation bias, where marketers only
focus on data that supports their marketing decisions. Investors can set their expectations at a
certain price or price. This allows them to hold positions when the market moves against them, in
the hope that prices will return to baseline. Trading and investing can be interesting activities.
Decisions are often motivated by fear and greed. Emotional reactions can lead to rapid trading,
overselling, or panic selling during market volatility. Traders and investors avoid making
decisions they fear they will regret. This can lead to a reluctance to take profits or cut losses, as
they may regret selling too quickly or recognizing losses. Investors can conceptually separate
their investments into different "accounts" and treat them differently. This can lead to poor
decision-making, as they may be less careful about the return on speculative investments.
Many types of behavioral biases can affect traders and investors, including availability biases,
novelty biases, and representative biases. These biases can distort their thinking and judgment. In
today’s digital age, traders and investors can be overwhelmed by the constant flow of
information. Handling large amounts of data and information can lead to cognitive biases and
impulsive decision-making. Changes in laws and government policies can have a significant
psychological impact on traders and investors. Uncertainty about regulatory changes can lead to
caution. To better understand and manage these psychological factors, traders and investors in
the Indian derivatives market benefit from education, self-awareness and disciplined trading
strategy. Policymakers and market regulators can use various strategies to promote transparency,
convenience and investor protection (Manrai, 2015).
Price volatility has long been a concern for agriculture and industrial companies in India. These
industries are inextricably linked to the prices of essential commodities such as rice, steel and oil.
These price fluctuations create uncertainty and economic risk, affecting the livelihoods of
millions of farmers and the profitability of countless industries To navigate this turbulent
situation, Indian stakeholders has increasingly turned to a powerful economic tool: derivatives,
especially futures contracts.
Indian banks employ interest rate derivatives, such as interest rate swaps, to manage interest rate
risk in their portfolios. As per RBI guidelines, Indian banks can deal in interest rate derivatives
for hedging fixed rate, floating rate, or foreign currency assets/liabilities. Interest rate derivatives
include interest rate swaps (IRS), forward rate agreements (FRAs), interest rate futures, and
foreign currency interest rate swaps. Banks generally deal in derivatives for balance sheet
management and market making purposes, where the bank offers derivatives services to its
customers to hedge their risks. The aggregate interest rate derivatives exposure is about three
times the aggregate currency derivatives exposure. The determinants of interest rate derivatives
usage by all Indian commercial listed banks include bank size, market capitalization, and interest
rate risk.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has adopted a calibrated approach for developing the market
with particular emphasis on institutions.RBI has also permitted banks in India to offer Rupee
interest rate derivatives such as overnight indexed swaps (OIS) to non-residents.. ICICI Bank is
one of the banks that offer interest rate swaps.
The use of interest rate derivatives, such as interest rate swaps, can be effective in protecting
banks from interest rate volatility. The following points summarize the effectiveness of these
strategies:
Interest rate derivatives enable banks to reduce their exposure to systematic risk, Banks can use
interest rate derivatives to hedge or minimize potential losses that may accompany a change in
interest rates. Banks using interest rate derivatives experience greater growth in their books of
commercial and industrial loans.Banks using derivatives do not need to adjust either lending
volumes or the gap between the maturities of assets and liabilities in response to tighter monetary
policy. Interest rate derivative positions in the U.S. banking sector have grown enormously since
the birth of the market in the 1980s. The determinants of interest rate derivatives usage by all
Indian commercial listed banks include bank size, market capitalization, and interest rate risk.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has adopted a calibrated approach for developing the market
with particular emphasis on institutions. The global banking sector has been bolstered by high
levels of capital and ample liquidity buffers, but these buffers may not be enough for some banks
in the event of a sharp tightening of financial conditions causing a global recession amid high
inflation.
Overall, the use of interest rate derivatives can be an effective strategy for banks to manage
interest rate risk and protect themselves from interest rate volatility.
Derivatives, such as futures and options, can have both positive and negative impacts on the
stability of the Indian financial markets. The effects of derivatives on market stability can vary
depending on how they are used and regulated. Here are some key points to consider:
Positive Impacts:
● Enhanced Liquidity: Derivatives can increase market liquidity by providing additional
trading opportunities. This can make it easier for investors to buy or sell securities,
reducing the risk of large price fluctuations.
● Price Discovery: Derivative markets can help in the discovery of fair market prices.
Prices of derivatives are often based on the underlying assets, and the trading activity in
derivatives can provide valuable information about the future expectations and sentiments
of market participants.
● Risk Management: Derivatives offer tools for hedging and risk management. Investors
can use derivatives to protect themselves against adverse price movements, reducing
overall market risk.
● Access to Global Markets: Indian investors can use derivatives to gain exposure to
global markets and assets, allowing for diversification and reducing the impact of local
economic events on their portfolios.
Negative Impacts:
● Excessive Speculation: Derivatives can attract speculative trading, which can lead to
excessive price volatility and market instability. Speculative bubbles can form, causing
significant market disruptions.
● Herd Behaviour: Derivatives can sometimes encourage herd behaviour, where investors
follow the crowd, leading to exaggerated price movements and bubbles.
● Contagion Risk: If not properly managed and regulated, the interconnectedness of
derivative markets can lead to contagion risk, where problems in one segment of the
market can spread to others, causing systemic issues.
● Lack of Understanding: Derivatives are complex financial instruments, and if investors
do not fully understand them, they can incur significant losses. This lack of
understanding can contribute to market instability when market participants take
positions they don't fully comprehend.
● Regulatory Challenges: Ensuring proper regulation and oversight of derivatives markets
is crucial to maintaining stability. Inadequate regulation or regulatory loopholes can lead
to market abuses and instability.
To mitigate the negative impacts and enhance the positive aspects of derivatives in the Indian
market, regulators like the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) have put in place
various rules and regulations to promote transparency, monitor trading activity, and reduce
excessive speculation. Additionally, investor education and risk management practices are
essential to ensure that market participants use derivatives responsibly and effectively.
1.5 The Impact of Derivatives on Stock Market Volatility: A Study of the Sensex Index
A paper published by Saurabh Singh and Dr. L.K Tripathi examines the volatility in the Indian
stock market after the introduction of futures contracts on the SENSEX index. The results of this
study indicate that the introduction of futures leads to a significant change in the spot market
volatility of the SENSEX index and it is successful in reducing the volatility.
Examining the dynamics of volatility remains a crucial aspect of financial research, as it offers
valuable insights into the risk characteristics of investments and transactions. Numerous studies
have delved into this subject. Considering the frequent occurrence of substantial price
fluctuations in stock markets, resulting in unpredictable outcomes, it becomes essential to
analyze the patterns of volatility.
The introduction of derivatives in global equity markets in the late 1990s added complexity to
stock market volatility. Derivatives provided new ways for both hedging and speculation. The
derivatives market aimed to transfer risk and enhance liquidity, ultimately improving market
efficiency. Assessing the extent to which these objectives have been achieved holds significance
in both theoretical and practical contexts.
Many studies have revealed that the introduction of futures markets leads to a decline in the
volatility of the underlying index. They support that this is because of the increase in the market
liquidity. The investors can hedge their positions due to the improved market liquidity and thus,
reduce their risk. In contrast, many studies concluded that the underlying volatility has not
changed after the introduction of futures while other studies suggested that the volatility
increased. This study examined the effect of the introduction of the futures markets in the Indian
Stock Market on the volatility of an underlying index, the SENSEX. The data used is daily
closing prices of SENSEX for the period between 1st April, 1991 and 31st March, 2016. For the
analysis, the period of examination is separated into two sub-periods: the pre-introduction period
and the post-introduction period.
The main idea behind this analysis is to compare the volatility of the spot market volatility of the
SENSEX before and after the introduction of futures trading. For this purpose, in order to
capture the underlying volatility GARCH (1, 1) model has been used. The result from the
GARCH model showed presence of volatility in the Indian stock market. In addition, a dummy
variable was included which takes the value 0 for the pre- introduction period and the value 1 for
the period after the introduction of futures and the significance and the value of this dummy was
tested.
The results indicate that there is a great impact in the spot market volatility of the SENSEX
index after the introduction of futures contracts because of the significance of the coefficient of
the dummy with GARCH (1, 1) model. In addition, this impact is negative because the
coefficient of the dummy is negative.
Thus, it can be concluded that there is a decrease in volatility of the SENSEX after the
introduction of futures. The results of the diagnostic tests confirms that the GARCH models were
correctly specified as the values of Q statistics for the standardized residuals were insignificant
and the ARCH-LM test statistic did not exhibit additional ARCH effects remaining in the
residuals of the models. The study also indicated that the SENSEX index is non-normal and
stationary.
Derivatives, a kind of financial products, have the power to make or break businesses in the
intricate world of finance. To put it simply, derivatives act as a shield for firms against financial
storms, yet occasionally they might be the exact storm they wish to avoid. We will journey
through tales of both success and failure in the derivatives industry in this review. We'll learn
about businesses like Procter & Gamble and Southwest Airlines that have benefited from
outcomes through cautious preparation, adaptability, and open communication. We'll also look at
errors committed by organizations like Barings Bank and stress how crucial regulations and
oversight are to reducing risk.
Case Study: Using derivatives, leading US airline Southwest Airlines effectively managed the
risk associated with fuel prices. To lock in fuel prices, they employed a methodical and flexible
strategy utilizing futures and options contracts.
Lesson Learned: A variety of factors contributed to Southwest's success. Their approach was
well-defined and in line with their financial goals and risk tolerance, Because of their
adaptability and flexibility, they were able to take advantage of cost savings as fuel prices
dropped by adjusting their hedging positions as market conditions change. The stakeholders'
confidence and coherence increased when their hedging plans were clearly communicated to
them.
Case Study: Procter & Gamble, a multinational consumer goods company, used forward
contracts to efficiently manage exchange rate risk, They matched their revenue and expenses to
the same currency in order to lessen currency volatility.
Lesson Learned: Taking calculated risks was the foundation of Procter & Gamble's success. They
effectively controlled risk exposure, had a capable risk management team with experience in
currency markets, were transparent in their communication with stakeholders, and had well
defined investment goals and risk tolerance, all of which influenced their approach to risk
management.
3. Toyota (Win):
Case Study: During its global development, Toyota, a well-known automaker, employed
exchange rates to manage exchange rate risk, Because of the equalization of the money flow in
the single currency, exchange rate swings were lessened.
Takeaway: Toyota's achievements demonstrate how crucial it is to coordinate cash flows in order
to lower financial risk. They showed a thorough comprehension of how exchange rate swings
affected their finances, which guided their judgments about taking on risk. The secret to success
in risk management was to apply discipline.
Failed hedging practices:
1. JPMorgan Chase:
Case Study: The lost billions of dollars in 2012 as a result of a complicated derivatives trading
hedging technique. The deals, which were meant to lower the stock market's risk, ended up
causing enormous losses. The trade was carried out by a team of traders owned by the bank's
chief investment officer (CIO) - who attempted to protect the bank's loans from potential losses
using debt but eventually lost more than $6 billion since they were unable to execute the trade
effectively.
Lesson learned: Avoid overusing marketing tactics. Overusing marketing tactics can result in
significant losses. Instead, businesses and agencies should develop thorough risk management
strategies that include assessing counterparty risk, diversifying hedging portfolios, and clear
exits. There were several choices.
Case Study: In the 1990s, high-risk methods employing interest-bearing instruments caused
Orange County to incur large losses. On interest rates, the county treasurer staked money.
Lessons discovered The Orange County case primarily emphasizes how significant the duty of
risk management is. Capital preservation should be prioritized over speculative investment.
Best practice: Employing prudent fiscal policies and giving priority to capital savings should be
the goals of public corporations.
Case Analysis Excessive leverage and intricate derivative tactics were to blame for LTCM's
demise in 1998, The bank had a substantial exposure to Russian debt, and when the market
turned against them, they suffered sizable losses.
Lessons discovered The risks of excessive leverage and overconfidence in complicated models
are brought to light by the LTCM case.
1. Strict risk management and control: Barings Bank and LTCM's failures underscore the
significance of strict and efficient risk management. Unauthorized trading can be risky.
To stop unapproved and risky activity, it is best practice to implement and uphold strict risk
management regulations.
2. Sensible public risk management: The Orange County case emphasizes the necessity of
sensible risk management in the public sphere. The preservation of capital should come before
speculative investment.
Best practice: Employing important fiscal policies and giving priority to capital savings should
be the goals of public corporations.
4. Regular testing of risk models: The LTCM case emphasizes the value of ongoing testing and
supervision of risk models. Quality overconfidence might result in large losses.
Best practice: To make sure risk models and scenarios appropriately reflect changing market
conditions, test and update them frequently.
Firms in India use derivatives, such as options and futures contracts, as risk management
instruments. The RBI has mandated that Indian firms employ derivatives as critical risk
management instruments, such as options and futures contracts.The RBI has introduced specific
regulations governing currency futures trading, including strict criteria for severe losses ,and
calendar spread margins. These regulations are important for the stability and integrity of the
financial markets.
Companies in India have adopted extensive risk management strategies, allowing them to use
cost-effective frameworks to offset currency rate risks associated with trade transactions and
external commercial borrowings (ECBs). This proactive method safeguards their financial
standing while also promoting stability in international commercial dealings. And users are not
permitted to issue contracts on their own, currency futures have been accepted for trading.
The SEBI regulates these exchanges to guarantee market compliance,transparency and market
stability. According to analysis, Indian corporations widely use derivatives, largely for risk
management objectives. Forwards, futures, options, and swaps are among the most commonly
used derivatives. Each of these instruments are used by the firms in their own way to reduce risk
and maintain financial stability for the companies.
According to the National Stock Exchange (NSE), individual investors have emerged as
significant players in equity derivatives, accounting for over 60% of trade in October 2005. This
rise reflects the growing popularity of derivatives as financial vehicles among individual
investors looking to diversify their portfolios and capitalize on market opportunities. Even
though the financial derivatives constitute a major part of the financial landscape, there are many
loopholes in the area of actively traded derivative instruments.
Exchange-traded futures based on interest rates and currencies are underrepresented. Because
these areas have significant development potential, their absence creates chances for market
expansion and innovation. Furthermore, India is developing its regulations in regards to financial
derivatives. Regulatory agencies such as the RBI and SEBI go through and revise regulations on
a regular basis to maintain market integrity and protect investors' interests. These initiatives by
the regulatory agencies are to strike a balance between encouraging innovation and to guarantee
the financial system's stability.
Indian corporations finally use derivatives to manage the operational risk using derivatives such
as, options and future contracts. The regulatory environment, which is overseen and facilitated
by the RBI and SEBI, is crucial for overlooking and smoothen derivative trading activities for
the Indian corporations and individual investors. While derivatives are widely used, there are
numerous opportunities to broaden the range of actively traded derivative products, especially in
the interest rate and currency markets. With the dynamic nature of the market, regulatory
authorities such as SEBI and RBI and the market participants have to work together to foster a
resilient and dynamic financial landscape.
The introduction of financial derivatives into the Indian market in the year 2000, marked a
watershed moment.Since then many corporation have started the use of financial derivatives to
manage their share of risk, demonstrating their growing importance in the Indian corporate
landscape. Furthermore, the highly volatile exchange rate of the Indian rupee against the US
dollar distinguishes the Indian economy and encourages companies to use derivatives. This study
highlights the discernible influence of exchange rate volatility on corporate decision-making,
highlighting the crucial role of derivatives in the management of currency-related risks.
According to empirical research, several factors influence a company's proclivity to use
derivatives for risk management. Firm size, debt-to-equity ratio, turnover, price-earnings ratio,
and the scope of international transactions emerge as important and influential factors
influencing a company's decision to use derivatives as part of its risk management strategy.
Taken together, these factors illustrate how complex economic forces interact to influence
corporate derivatives strategies. Notably, highly leveraged businesses tend to use fewer
derivatives in the process of reducing financial risk. This finding highlights the strong
relationship between leverage and risk management and raises the possibility that highly
leveraged firms may implement alternative risk mitigation strategies or engage in practices risk
averse in the futures market. Apart from services, Indian banks are important in using financial
instruments to mitigate operational risks. To reduce the risk of credit risk, interest rate risk,
currency risk, and commodity or inventory price risk, these institutions use a variety of credit
hedging strategies, one such application is interest rate risk hedging.
Incorporating these hedging measures into a financial portfolio decreases risk exposure,
offering a safety net against adverse market movements while allowing for the prospect of
an investment return.
In conclusion, the substantial usage of derivatives by Indian firms and institutions emphasizes
their essential role in controlling and reducing a variety of financial risks. The dynamism of the
derivatives market in India is a consequence of the comprehensive laws governing the trading of
currency futures, which set rigorous criteria for preserving initial, extreme loss, and calendar
spread margins. These safeguards are critical for the financial market's stability and integrity.
Companies in India have adopted extensive risk management strategies, allowing them to use
cost-effective frameworks to offset currency rate risks associated with trade transactions and
external commercial borrowings (ECBs). This proactive method safeguards their financial
standing while also promoting stability in international commercial dealings. Although users are
not permitted to write options on their own, currency futures contracts have been accepted for
trading on recognized stock exchanges. The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI)
regulates these exchanges to guarantee market compliance and financial transaction
transparency. According to a detailed analysis, Indian corporations have widely used derivatives,
largely for risk management objectives. Forwards, futures, options, and swaps are among the
most commonly used derivatives. Each of these instruments has a specific function in
minimizing specific financial risks and enhancing the company's financial objectives. According
to the National Stock Exchange (NSE), individual investors have emerged as significant players
in equity derivatives, accounting for over 60% of trade in October 2005. This rise in retail
involvement reflects the growing popularity of derivatives as financial vehicles among individual
investors looking to diversify their portfolios and capitalize on market opportunities. Despite the
fact that derivatives constitute an important part of the Indian financial landscape, there are
substantial gaps in the spectrum of actively traded derivative instruments. Exchange-traded
futures based on interest rates and currencies are underrepresented. Because these areas have
significant development potential, their absence creates chances for market expansion and
innovation. Furthermore, India's regulatory structure is evolving in response to the changing
dynamics of the derivatives market. Regulatory bodies such as the RBI and SEBI amend and
update regulations on a regular basis to preserve market integrity and safeguard investors'
interests. These initiatives aim to strike a balance between encouraging innovation and ensuring
the financial system's stability. Finally, to efficiently control operational risk, Indian firms use a
range of derivatives, such as options and futures contracts. The regulatory framework, which is
overseen and facilitated by the RBI and SEBI, is critical to regulating and supporting derivative
trading operations.
While derivatives are extensively utilized, there are several chances to broaden the spectrum of
actively traded derivative products, especially in the interest rate and currency markets. As the
market evolves, regulatory authorities and market players will work together to promote a robust
and dynamic financial sector. Furthermore, the introduction of derivative products on the Indian
market began in 2000, marking a watershed moment. Since then, a significant number of Indian
corporations have used financial derivatives to minimize a variety of corporate risks,
demonstrating their growing prominence in the Indian corporate scene.
Conclusion
In conclusion, financial protection is an important component of the modern risk management
strategies used by people, companies and financial institutions. It acts as a hedge against the
adverse economic effects of changes in asset prices, interest rates, currency prices and
commodity prices Essentially, protection acts as a form of insurance that enables organizations to
protect their assets and provides stability to their economies in volatile and unpredictable
fluctuating economic conditions With global markets becoming increasingly interconnected,
financial security is now more important than ever. The ability to mitigate financial risks and
ensure stability has become an important strategic strategy in a world where events in one part of
the world can have profound effects elsewhere
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