Lecture 1 2024b
Lecture 1 2024b
(ES30032/ES50059)
LECTURE 1
Environmental Problems, Ethics And Economics
06.02.2024
LECTURE 1 OUTLINE
• Introductions/Organisation
• Outline of module contents
• Relationship with EANRE 1
Seminars
Two - Weeks 23 & 26 - dates to be confirmed
MODULE ASSESSMENT
•
SOME USEFUL DEFINITIONS
2. Reduce greenhouse gas emissions and increase carbon storage in the agricultural,
waste, peat and tree planting sectors to help deliver net zero.
3. Reduce the likelihood and impact of flooding and coastal erosion on people,
businesses, communities and the environment.
https://ec.europa.eu/environment/enveco/economics_policy/index.htm
• Links between production, the environment and environmental policy
• Sustainable Finance
• Beyond GDP
• Phasing out Environmentally Harmful Subsidies
• Ensuring that polluters pay - toolkit
• Green Public Procurement
• Costs of environmental legislation for selected industries over time
• Influences on consumer behaviour: Policy implications beyond nudging
POLICY APPLICATIONS: UNITED NATIONS
HISTORY OF ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS IN 1 SLIDE!
• Classical view:
• Land limited in supply
• Input to (ag) production subject to diminishing returns – Malthusian steady-
state subsistence
• JS Mill recognised
• role of technological advance
• Land as source of amenity
• Neo-classical:
• Values determined by supply & demand
• Recognition of market failures e.g. Pigouvian externalities (1920) – welfare
economics
• Production functions include natural resources from 1970s
• Ecological Economics
• Economic system seen as a subsystem of larger system, i.e. planet Earth
ETHICS, ECONOMICS AND THE ENVIRONMENT
And God said, Let us make man in our image, after our likeness: and let them have
dominion over the fish of the sea, and over the fowl of the air, and over the cattle, and
over all the earth, and over every creeping thing that creepeth upon the earth. Verse 26,
Book of Genesis, The Bible, King James Translation.
Philosophical dispute: ‘dominion over’ may be better as ‘stewardship of’?
WHY CONSIDER ETHICS?
The question ‘What will happen to petrol consumption if the tax on it is increased by
x%?’ is a question for positive economics. It does not entail any ethical considerations.
The question ‘Should the tax on petrol be increased?’ is a question for normative, or
welfare, economics. It can only be answered using ethical criteria.
Environmental and resource economics often relates to questions of the ‘should’ type –
e.g. the appropriate level of environmental protection
The ethical criteria that welfare economics uses are Utilitarian → useful to question
these criteria
NATURALIST MORAL PHILOSOPHIES
For an individual a utility function maps states of the world into a single number for
utility
U = U(X1, X2,....Xi,...XN)
Aggregation over individuals requires that U’s are cardinal numbers (e.g. weight, height,
distance, money). Cardinality makes interpersonal comparison possible.
The standard propositions of demand theory can be derived from ordinal utility
functions → difficult to assume cardinality and admit interpersonal comparisons.
Utilitarianism: individuals are the best judge of what is good/bad for them
→ individuals’ preferences indicate what is good for individuals.
But
1. is it reasonable to assume that individuals generally have enough information to assess the
implications for their utility of the alternatives open to them?
2. People are dualistic (Sen (1987))
- concerned with satisfaction of their own preferences and pursuing objectives which are not
exclusively self-interested.
Altruism as ‘sympathy’ and ‘commitment’.
- Sympathy: if a change improves the lot of relevant other(s), my utility increases.
- Commitment: my concern based on my ethical principles → I may approve of change that reduces
my utility. Individuals exist as both consumers and citizens.
EVALUATING ECONOMIC RATIONALE
B = Benefits of Policy
C = Costs of policy
r = discount rate
t = time period
n = number of years (lifetime of policy)
SOCIAL PROJECT APPRAISAL: CBA
Stages of CBA:
• Project/policy identification
• Forecasting consequences of project/policy for all affected individuals in each year of the project/policy
lifetime
• Aggregation of all discounted benefits (i.e. present value benefits (PVB)) and all discounted costs (i.e. present
value costs (-PVC))
• Add PVB and –PVC → NPV (also known as Net Benefits (NB)). If NPV is +ve then project is economically
efficient.
• Undertake sensitivity analysis – test robustness of NPV outcome by adjusting parameters that are uncertain
CLEAN AIR FOR EUROPE: COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS (CBA)
Total Cost Benefit Analysis Results (Billion Euro) – EU25 for Different
Ambition Levels
A B C MTFR
Low estimate 38 46 50 57
NET benefits
Low estimate 32 35 35 17
= Bd − Cd
Denote as NPV’.
Need to consider:
• Costs of ascertaining EC
• EC*/N, where N is the size of the relevant affected population
THE KRUTILLA - FISHER MODEL
Krutilla-Fisher (1975) argued that value of wilderness services relative to those of development outputs will increase over
time due to
substitution possibilities wrt development output
technical progress in development activities
income elasticity of demand for wilderness services, fixed in supply
Assume preservation values grow at rate a -
T T
NPV = {B − C}e − rt dt − {Pe at }e − rt dt
0 0
which with B and C for constant flows of development benefits and costs, and Peat as the growing flow of preservation benefits, can be written:
For given NPV’, a>0 reduces NPV – a development is less likely to pass the NPV test if the Krutilla-
Fisher arguments hold
For a = r means preservation benefits effectively not discounted
a>r means effective negative discounting on preservation benefits
ENVIRONMENTAL COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS - ADVANTAGES
• Can be used in both policy and project appraisal as way of allocating scarce public
money across competing resources
• Better than referenda since takes account of both direction & strength of
preferences
•
INTERNALISING EXTERNALITIES: WINNERS & LOSERS
£
• Pareto improvement if X2 → X1
Marginal benefit to polluters
A CR R
P II
I I
Cp
0 qp A’ qr B’
Environmental quality
(qs + dq)
A CR R
• Policies:
• Where benefits flow to rich & poor e.g. tax on air pollution
• Where benefits flow mainly to poor e.g. minimum standards for water quality – since
wealth may live in areas that already have high standards. But maybe reflected in rents ↑
• Where benefits flow mainly to rich e.g. founding of conservation areas, whilst poorer areas
may become more polluted as dirty industries locate there
ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY COST INCIDENCE
• Transitional Costs
• E.g. pollution abatement costs – unemployment risk if unilateral policy implementation
• Employment ↑ in e.g. clean technologies, but different skill levels?
• Continuing costs
• Abatement costs ↑ may lead to prices ↑
• Tax payment as % of
income, by income deciles
in UK
• Regressive effect
Income decile
USE OF EXPLICIT DISTRIBUTIONAL WEIGHTS IN CBA
USE OF EXPLICIT DISTRIBUTIONAL WEIGHTS IN CBA
2 48 -1131 -1083
LECTURE 1 CONCLUSIONS
• Environmental externalities and use of natural resources lead us to re-visit a
number of micro-economic principles
• Preferences – which type, for whom?
• At the same time, economics provides the analytical tools to assess the
benefits and costs of alternative policy responses
• Express non-market benefits in monetary terms
• Capture and analyse incidence of the costs and benefits of environmental and development
projects/policies