HANDOUT Topic5 Statistical Process Control
HANDOUT Topic5 Statistical Process Control
Statistical Process
Control
• Readings:
1. Chapter 6 (Supplement): Heizer, J., Render, B. & Munson,
C. (2020). Operations Management, 13th Edition. Upper
saddle River, New Jersey: Pearson.
2. Chapter 10: Stevenson W.J., & Chee Chuong S.C. (2014).
Operations Management, Second Edition (Asia). Mc
Graw Hill Education
Learning Objectives
When you complete this chapter you should be able to:
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 2
Quality is Conformance to
Requirements
Philip Crosby was famous for his
dozen books on management and
quality. His 1st book in 1979: “Quality
is Free”, by McGraw Hill.
The purpose
To assure that processes are performing in an acceptable
manner
Accomplished by monitoring process output using
statistical techniques SPC
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 4
Phases of Quality Assurance
Inspection and
Inspection of lots corrective Quality built
before/after action during into the
production production process
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 8
Statistical Control: Terms
Quality control
Is concerned with the quality of conformance of a process
Managers use SPC to evaluate if process output statistically
acceptable
Quality of Conformance
A product or service conforms to design specifications
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 9
Statistical Process Control
Assumption: variability is inherent in every process
Should expect it to occur thus need to
accordingly plan for it
Could be due to
a) Natural or common causes
b) Special or assignable causes
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 11
Detecting Variations via Sampling
If only natural causes of variation are present the output of a
process forms a distribution that is stable over time and
predictable
Trying to determine the shape of the sample output over time
If it remains stable the process is said to be in control no
corrective action necessary
Frequency
Prediction
Weight
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 13
Detecting Variations via Sampling
If assignable causes are present the process output is not
stable over time future output is not predicable
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Frequency
Prediction
Weight
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 15
Control Charts
Process monitoring
Each sample statistic (red dot) on a control chart is compared to the extremes of
the sampling distribution (the control limits) to judge if it is within the acceptable
(random) range
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 16
Control Charts
Setting Control Limits
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 17
Process Control
(a) In statistical control
and capable of
producing within control
Frequency limits
Size
(weight, length, speed, etc.)
Heizer et. al, 2020, Figure S6.2
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 18
Population and Sampling
Distributions
Central limit theorem is the underlying statistical
foundation
Regardless of the distribution of the population, the distribution of sample means
drawn from the population will tend to follow a normal curve as number of samples
increases
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 19
Sampling Distributions
As the sample size increases,
the sampling distribution narrows
n = 100
n = 50
n = 25
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 21
Mean and Range Charts
(a)
These (Sampling mean is
sampling shifting upward, but
distributions range is consistent)
result in the
charts below
UCL
(x-chart detects
x-chart shift in central
tendency)
LCL
UCL
(R-chart does not
R-chart detect change in
mean)
LCL
Heizer et. al, 2020, Figure S6.5
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 22
Mean and Range Charts
(b)
These
(Sampling mean
sampling
is constant, but
distributions
dispersion is
result in the
increasing)
charts below
UCL
(x-chart indicates
x-chart no change in
central tendency)
LCL
UCL
(R-chart detects
R-chart increase in
dispersion)
LCL
Heizer et. al, 2020, Figure S6.5
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 23
Setting Chart Limits:
Mean Control Chart
1. For x� − Chart when we know true σ
Applicable when the process (population) standard deviation is known
based on past data or when a reasonable estimate is available
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 24
Setting Control Limits: Example 1
The weights of boxes of Oat Flakes within a large production lot are sampled
each hour by randomly select and weigh nine (n = 9) boxes each hour.
Managers want to set control limits that include 99.73% of the sample means.
The population (process) standard deviation is known to be 1 ounce.
Average weight in
the first sample
Average mean
of 12 samples
𝜎𝜎
𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈 = 𝑥𝑥̿ + 𝑧𝑧𝜎𝜎𝑥𝑥̅ = 𝑥𝑥̿ + 𝑧𝑧
𝑛𝑛
𝜎𝜎
𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿 = 𝑥𝑥̿ − 𝑧𝑧𝜎𝜎𝑥𝑥̅ = 𝑥𝑥̿ − 𝑧𝑧
𝑛𝑛
Heizer et. al, 2020
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 26
Setting Control Limits: Example 1
Average mean
of 12 samples
Control Chart
for samples Variation due
Out of to assignable
of 9 boxes control causes
17 = UCL
Variation due to
16 = Mean natural causes
15 = LCL
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Variation due
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
to assignable
Out of causes
Sample number control
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 29
Setting Chart Limits:
Mean Control Chart
Table for Control chart factor
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 30
Setting Control Limits: Example 2
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 32
Setting Control Limits: Example 2
Overall process average = 12 ounces
Average range = 0.25 ounce
Sample size = 5
Number of sample = 10
𝑈𝑈𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝑥𝑥̅ = 𝑥𝑥̿ + 𝐴𝐴2 𝑅𝑅�
= 12 + (0.577)(0.25) UCL =
= 12 + 0.144 = 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜
Mean = 12
𝐿𝐿𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝑥𝑥̅ = 𝑥𝑥̿ − 𝐴𝐴2 𝑅𝑅�
= 12 − (0.577)(0.25) LCL =
= 12 − 0.144 = 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜
11.0 – = 10.959
UCL = 0.6943
0.4 –
= 0.2125
0.0 – | | | | | | | | | LCL = 0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17
Heizer et. al, 2020
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 34
Setting Chart Limits:
Range Control Chart
A variables control chart
Shows sample ranges over time
Difference between smallest and largest values in a sample
Monitors process variability (dispersion)
Is used as a proxy for the standard deviation
For small enough sample sizes
The LCL for the range chart will be 0
Suggesting that it is impossible to have an unusually small amount of
dispersion for samples that is small
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 35
Setting Chart Limits:
Range Control Chart
� − Chart
For R
𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙 𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿 = 𝐷𝐷3 𝑅𝑅�
𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙 𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈 = 𝐷𝐷4 𝑅𝑅�
Where
∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 𝑅𝑅𝑖𝑖
𝑅𝑅� = = average range of the samples
𝑛𝑛
𝐷𝐷3 = control chart factor Table S6.1
𝐷𝐷4 = control chart factor Table S6.1
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 36
Setting Control Limits: Example 4
�
2. Compute the overall means (𝑥𝑥̅ and 𝑅𝑅)
Set appropriate control limits; usually at 99.73% level
Calculate the preliminary UCL and LCL
A defective record
A record isn’t exactly correct because it contains >=1 defect
A bad record may have several defects
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 41
Setting Chart Limits:
p - Chart
1. When proportion of defective in the population is known
Population will be a binomial distribution, but applying the Central Limit
Theorem allows us to assume a normal distribution for the sample statistics
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 42
Setting Chart Limits:
p - Chart
2. When proportion of defective in the population is unknown
When the proportion of defective (p) in the population is unknown, it is
estimated from samples using 𝑝𝑝̅
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 43
Setting Control Limits: Example 5
Samples of the work of 20 clerks are gathered. This company fully examines
100 records entered by each clerk and counts the number of errors. They also
computes the fraction of defective in each sample and uses +/-3SD (99.73%) to
set control limits
(0.04)(1 − 0.04)
𝜎𝜎
�𝑝𝑝 = = 0.02
100
.09 –
.08 –
.07 –
.06 –
.05 –
.04 – p = 0.04
.03 –
.02 –
.01 – LCLp = 0.00
| | | | | | | | | |
.00 –
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Sample number
12 –
10 – =6−3 6
8 – =
6 – c= 6
𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈 = 𝑐𝑐̅ + 3 𝑐𝑐̅
4 –
2 – LCLc =
=6+3 6
| | | | | | | | |
0 – 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 = 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐
Day Heizer et. al, 2020
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 48
Use of p-charts vs c-charts
1. p-charts
When observations can be placed into 2 categories
Examples: Good or bad; Pass or fail; Operate or don’t operate
To count defective records in a sample
proportion of defective outputs in a sample
2. c-charts
When the number of occurrences per unit of measure can
be counted; non-occurrences cannot be counted
Scratches, chips, dents, or errors per item
Cracks or faults per unit of distance
Breaks or tears per unit of area
Bacteria or pollutants per unit of volume
Calls, complaints, failures per unit of time
To control number of defects per unit of outputs in a sample
Helpful for monitoring processes having large potential errors but
actual number of errors is relatively small
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 49
Managerial Issues and
Control Charts
1. Select points in the processes that need SPC
Critical parts? Parts with tendency to be out of control?
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 50
Which Control Charts?
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 51
Run Test
A test for randomness
Control charts test for points that are too extreme to be
considered random (s.t. SD)
Even when all points are within the control limits, the process may
not be random
Any sort of pattern in the data would also suggest a non-random
process
Runs of 5 or 6 points above or below the target or centreline suggest
assignable causes may be present
Run
A sequence of observations with a certain characteristic followed
by another with different characteristic
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 52
Nonrandom Patterns in
Control Charts
When a process is stable or in statistical control
The output generated will exhibit random variability over a
time period
Presence of patterns however indicates existence of
assignable causes of variation despite all points within
control limits
i. Trend:
ii. Cycles:
iii. Bias:
iv. Mean shift:
v. Too much dispersion:
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 55
Nonrandom Variation
Managers should have response plans to
investigate cause
May be false alarm (Type I error)
To resume the process but monitor for a while to confirm
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 56
Process Capability
Process capability
Is a measure of the relationship between the natural variation of
the process and the design specifications
Variability of a process can significantly impact quality
terms to refer to process output
a) Tolerances or specifications; output
Range of acceptable values by engineering design or
customer requirements for output to be acceptable
b) Process variability; process
Natural or inherent (random) variability in a process
Measured in terms of the process SD
c) Process capability (Control limits for sampling); output
Inherent variability of process output relative to variation
allowed by design specification
Statistical limits within which sample statistics allowed to vary
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 57
Process Capability
Concerns with the ability of a process to meet design
specifications (engineering specification limits or standards)
Process is “capable” when it is within the specifications for the
process output
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 58
Process Capability
Lower Upper
Specification Specification
A. Process variability
matches specifications
Lower Upper
Specification Specification
B. Process variability
Lower Upper
well within specifications Specification Specification
C. Process variability
exceeds specifications
Stevenson & Chuong, 2014, Figure 10.15
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 59
Measures of Process Capability
2 popular measures for quantitatively determining if a
process is capable
a) Process Capability Ratio (Cp)
b) Process Capability Index (Cpk)
A capable process
Its values must fall within upper and lower specifications
Usually within +/- 3 SDS from process mean
Process variability is the key factor in process capability
Measured in terms of the process SD
To determine if the process is capable compare +/-3SD (i.e. 6
sigma) of the process to the specifications for the process
Does not look at how well the process is centered in the
specification range
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 60
Process Capability Ratio
If the process is centered, use Cp
𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 𝑊𝑊𝑊𝑊𝑊𝑊𝑊𝑊𝑊
𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶 𝐶𝐶𝑝𝑝 =
𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃 𝑊𝑊𝑊𝑊𝑊𝑊𝑊𝑊𝑊
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 61
Process Capability Ratio
𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 − 𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿
𝐶𝐶𝑝𝑝 =
6𝜎𝜎
Process is
capable
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 63
Process Capability Index
Measures the difference between desired and
actual dimensions of goods and services produced
A proportion of variation (3𝜎𝜎) between the center of the process
and the nearest specification limit
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 64
Process Capability Index
𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼 𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳
𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺 − �
𝒙𝒙 �
𝒙𝒙 − 𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺
𝑪𝑪𝒑𝒑𝒑𝒑 = 𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴 𝒐𝒐𝒐𝒐 𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳 , 𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳
𝟑𝟑𝝈𝝈 𝟑𝟑𝝈𝝈
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 65
Process Capability Ratio: Example 8
You are the process improvement manager and have developed a new machine to
cut insoles for the company’s top-of-the-line running shoes. You are excited
because the company’s goal is no more than 3.4 defects per million, and this
machine may be the innovation you need. The insoles cannot be more than +/-
0.001 of an inch from the required thickness of 0.250”. The standard deviation for
the process is 0.0005 inches. You want to know if you should replace the existing
machine, which has a Cpk of 1.0.
WRWH/MGT6040/Chapter 6S 66
Process Capability Ratio: Example 8
New Cutting Machine
New process mean: 𝑥𝑥̅ = 0.250 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
Process standard deviation: 𝜎𝜎 = 0.0005 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
Upper Specification Limit: 𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈 = 0.251 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
Lower Specification Limit: 𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈 = 0.249 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼𝑼 𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳
�
𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺 − 𝒙𝒙 � − 𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺
𝒙𝒙
𝑪𝑪𝒑𝒑𝒑𝒑 = 𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴 𝒐𝒐𝒐𝒐 𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳 , 𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳
𝟑𝟑𝝈𝝈 𝟑𝟑𝝈𝝈
0.251 − 0.250 0.250 − 0.249
Cpk = Minimum of ,
3(0.0005) 3(0.0005)
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 70
Improving Process Capability
1. Simplify
2. Standardize
3. Mistake-proof
4. Upgrade equipment
5. Automate
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 71
Automated Inspection
Modern
technologies allow
virtually 100%
inspection at
minimal costs
Not suitable for all
situations
Laser tracking device by Faro technologies enables quality control
personnel to measure and inspect parts and tools during production.
The portable tracker can measure objects from 262 feet away and
takes up to 1000 accurate readings per second
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter 6S 72
Making Vaccine
Bottles
What are vision systems and
why are they useful OM tool?
WRWH/MGT6240/Chapter10 73