Break Even Analysis
Break Even Analysis
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Break-Even Analysis
• Variable Costs
• Fixed Costs
Variable costs are costs that change with changes in production levels or sales.
Examples include: Costs of materials used in the production of the goods.
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Break-Even Analysis
TOTAL COSTS
Total Costs is simply Fixed Costs and Variable Costs added
together.
TC = FC + VC
As Total Costs include some of the Variable Costs then
Total Costs will also change with any changes in
output/sales.
If output/sales rise then so will Total Costs.
If output/sales fall then so will Total Costs.
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Breakeven analysis examines the short run
relationship between changes in volume and changes
in total sales revenue, expenses and net profit
Also known as C-V-P analysis (Cost Volume Profit
Analysis)
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C-V-P analysis is an important tool in terms of
short-term planning and decision making.
It looks at the relationship between costs,
revenue, output levels and profit.
Short run decisions where C-V-P is used include
choice of sales mix, pricing policy etc.
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How many units must be sold to breakeven?
How many units must be sold to achieve a target
profit?
Should a special order be accepted?
How will profits be affected if we introduce a
new product or service?
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Break even point:-the point at which a company
makes neither a profit or a loss.
Contribution per unit:-the sales price minus the
variable cost per unit. It measures the
contribution made by each item of output to the
fixed costs and profit of the organisation.
Break even sales in SR = Target CM / Contribution to sales ratio
Break even in units = Target CM / Contribution margin per unit
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Margin of safety:-a measure in which the
budgeted volume of sales is compared with the
volume of sales required to break even.
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Break-Even Analysis SP = sr 6.00
VC = sr 3.00
SP – VC = Unit Contribution
Sr 6.00 – sr 3.00 = sr 3.00
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Break Even can also be used to calculate Profit (or
Loss) at a given level of output
For example:
Fuchsia sells Mamoul boxes. How much profit/loss is
made when 5000 Mamoul Boxes are sold?
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SP = sr 20.00
Firstly, calculate Unit Contribution VC = sr 10.00
SP – VC = Unit Contribution FC = sr 24,000
sr 20.00 – sr 10.00 = sr 10.00 Sales = 5,000 units
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Another Example
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Net Profit = Total Contribution – Fixed Cost
Sr 25,000 = Total Contribution – sr 30,000
If unit contribution is sr 10
then 5,500 units will have to be produced in order to
achieve a Total Contribution of sr 55,000.
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The formula used so far assumes that Unit Costs are
known ie Unit Selling Price and Unit Variable Cost
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P/V Ratio (Profit/Volume Ratio) =
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For Example
Sales sr 60,000
Variable Costs sr 24,000
Fixed Costs sr 14,000
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Sales – Variable Costs = Total Contribution
Sr 60,000 – sr 24,000 = sr 36,000
BEP
FC
Q1 Output/Sales
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The difference between budgeted or actual sales
and the breakeven point
The margin of safety may be expressed in units or
revenue terms
Shows the amount by which sales can drop before
a loss will be incurred
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Using the following data, calculate the
breakeven point and margin of safety in units:
Selling Price = sr 50
Variable Cost = sr 40
Fixed Cost = sr 70,000
Budgeted Sales = 7,500 units
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Contribution = sr 50 – sr 40 = sr 10 per unit
Breakeven point = sr 70,000/sr 10 = 7,000 units
Margin of safety = 7500 – 7000 = 500 units
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What if a firm doesn’t just want to breakeven – it
requires a target profit
Contribution per unit will need to cover profit as
well as fixed costs
Required profit is treated as an addition to Fixed
Costs
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Using the following data, calculate the level of
sales required to generate a profit of sr 10,000:
Selling Price = sr 35
Variable Cost = sr 20
Fixed Costs = sr 50,000
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Contribution = sr 35 – sr 20 = sr 15
Level of sales required to generate profit of sr
10,000:
Sr 50,000 + sr 10,000
Sr 15
=4000 units
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Costs are either fixed or variable
Fixed and variable costs are clearly discernable
over the whole range of output
Production = Sales
One product/constant sales mix
Selling price remains constant
Efficiency remains unchanged
Volume is the only factor affecting costs
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Absorption Marginal
Fixed costs included in Fixed costs not included
Product Cost in Product Cost
FC not treated as period cost –
FC treated as period cost
closing/opening stock values
Under/over absorption of No under/over
costs absorption of costs
Complies with Financial Does not comply with
Accounting standards Financial Accounting
standards
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• A business may produce a number of products but at the
same time be unable to meet total demand for all products
due to a limiting factor eg machine hours or labour hours.
• In this case the business would decide on the optimum use
of the limited resource by producing all of the demand for
the product which yields the highest contribution per the
limiting factor.
• Having produced all of the demand from that product, the
business would produce the next highest contribution per
the limiting factor and so on until full capacity is reached.
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A business can produce Products A, B and C.
A B C
Contribution per labour Sr 2 Sr 1 Sr 3
hour
Labour hours per unit 4 4 3
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Produce in the order of the highest Contribution
per Labour Hour ie C then A then B
C A
Demand 10,000 5,000
Labour hrs/unit 3 4
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If Total Labour hours available equals 60,000
and 50,000 is used producing Products C and A,
then 10,000 labour hours are left to produce as
many units as possible for Product B
Product B uses 4 labour hours per unit, therefore
only 2,500 units of Product B can be produced
within the available 60,000 labour hours
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All Fixed and Variable costs can be identified
Variable costs are assumed to vary directly with
output
Fixed costs will remain constant
Selling prices are assumed to remain constant for
all levels of output
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The sales mix of products will remain constant –
break even charts cannot handle multi-product
situations
It is assumed that all production will be sold
The volume of activity is the only relevant factor
which will affect costs
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Some costs cannot be identified as precisely
Fixed or Variable
Semi-variable costs cannot be easily
accommodated in break-even analysis
Costs and revenues tend not to be constant
With Fixed costs the assumption that they are
constant over the whole range of output from
zero to maximum capacity is unrealistic
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Price reduction may be necessary to protect
sales in the face of increased competition
The sales mix may change with changes in
tastes and fashions
Productivity may be affected by strikes and
absenteeism
The balance between Fixed and Variable
costs may be altered by new technology
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The Point at which Revenues = Costs
Revenues above the breakeven point result in profit
Revenues below the breakeven point result in loss
May be measured in units of output or revenue
dollars
Represents a “Reality Check”
Is this level of revenue reasonable?
If not, what actions would yield a reasonable breakeven
point?
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Fixed Costs - Costs that do not change in
total with the volume produced or sold
Variable Costs - Costs that change in direct
proportion with the volume produced or
sold
Mixed Costs - A combination of fixed and
variable costs
Semi-variable Cost - Costs that change with
volume produced, but not in direct
proportion
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Fixed Costs - Costs that do not change in total with
the volume produced or sold.
Variable Costs - Costs that change in direct
proportion with the volume produced or sold.
Mixed Costs - A combination of fixed and variable
costs.
Semi-variable Cost - Costs that change with volume
produced, but not in direct proportion
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Revenue –Costs = Profit
Revenue - Variable Cost - Fixed Cost = Profit
Breakeven Point is where Profit = 0
Revenue - Variable Cost - Fixed Cost = 0
Revenue = Variable Cost + Fixed Cost
Revenue = #Units Sold * Selling Price $/Unit
Variable Cost = #Units Sold * Variable Cost $/Unit
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$
Work in progress
Current students
Finished-goods inventories
(manufacturing firms) or merchandise (retail stores)
Graduating students
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To meet anticipated demand
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Inventory level
Low or high
Customer service levels
Can you deliver what customer wants?
Right goods, right place, right time, right quantity
Inventory turnover
Cost of goods sold per year / average inventory investment
Inventory costs, more will come
Costs of ordering & carrying inventories
Decisions: Order size and time
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A physical count of items in inventory
Periodic/Cycle Counting System: Physical count of
items made at periodic intervals
How much accuracy is needed?
When should cycle counting be performed?
Who should do it?
Continuous Counting System
System that keeps track of
removals from inventory
continuously, thus monitoring
current levels of each item
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Two-Bin System - Two containers of inventory;
reorder when the first is empty.
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Lead time: time interval between ordering and
receiving the order, denoted by LT
Holding (carrying) costs: cost to carry an item in
inventory for a length of time, usually a year, denoted
by H
Ordering costs: costs of ordering and receiving
inventory, denoted by S
Shortage costs: costs when demand exceeds supply
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A system to keep track of inventory
A reliable forecast of demand
Knowledge of lead times
Reasonable estimates of
Holding costs
Ordering costs
Shortage costs
A classification system
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Classifying inventory according to some measure of
importance and allocating control efforts accordingly.
Importance measure= price*annual sales
A - very important
B - mod. important
C - least important High
A
Annual
$ volume B
of items
Low C
Few Many
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Number
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Fixed Order Size - Variable Order Interval Models:
1. Economic Order Quantity, EOQ
2. Economic Production Quantity, EPQ
3. EOQ with quantity discounts
All units quantity discount
3.1. Constant holding cost
3.2. Proportional holding cost
4. Reorder point, ROP
Lead time service level
Fill rate
Fixed Order Interval - Variable Order Size Model
5. Fixed Order Interval model, FOI
Single Order Model
6. Newsboy model
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Assumptions:
Only one product is involved
Annual demand requirements known
Demand is even throughout the year
Lead time does not vary
Each order is received in a single delivery
Infinite production capacity
There are no quantity discounts
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Profile of Inventory Level Over Time
Q Usage
rate
Quantity
on hand
Reorder
point
Time
Receive Place Receive Place Receive
order order order order order
Lead time
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Length of an inventory cycle
From one order to the next = Q/D
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Annual Annual
Total cost = carrying + ordering
cost cost
Q D
TC = H + S
2 Q
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The Total-Cost Curve is U-Shaped
Q D
TC H S
Annual Cost
2 Q
Ordering Costs
Order Quantity
QO (optimal order quantity)
(Q)
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Using calculus, we take the derivative of the total
cost function and set the derivative (slope) equal
to zero and solve for Q.
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Annual Annual
carrying ordering Purchasing
TC = cost + cost + cost
Q D
TC = H + S + PD
2 Q
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Cost
TC without PD
PD
0 EOQ Quantity
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Production done in batches or lots
Capacity to produce a part exceeds the part’s
usage or demand rate
Assumptions of EPQ are similar to EOQ except
orders are received incrementally during
production
This corresponds to producing for an order with finite
production capacity
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Only one item is involved
Annual demand is known
Usage rate is constant
Usage occurs continually
Production rate p is constant
Lead time does not vary
No quantity discounts
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Production
Production
& Usage
& Usage
Usage Usage
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(Q/p)(p-D)
p-D D
Q/p Time
Q/D
Total cost=(1/2)(Q/p)(p-D)H+(D/Q)S
2 DS p
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pD
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H
Demand, D = 12,000 computers per year. p=20,000
per year. Holding cost, H = 100 per item per year.
Fixed cost, S = $4,000/order.
Find EPQ.
EPQ = EOQ*sqrt(p/(p-D))
=979.79*sqrt(20/8)=1549 computers
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Deterministic demand case
Anticipation stock
For known future demand
Cycle stock
For convenience, some operations are performed occasionally and stock
is used at other times
Why to buy eggs in boxes of 12?
Pipeline stock or Work in Process
Stock in transfer, transformation. Necessary for operations.
Students in the class
Stochastic demand case
Safety stock
Stock against demand variations
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Reorder Point - When the quantity on hand of an
item drops to this amount, the item is reordered.
We call it ROP.
Safety Stock - Stock that is held in excess of
expected demand due to variable demand rate
and/or lead time. We call it ss.
(lead time) Service Level - Probability that
demand will not exceed supply during lead time.
We call this cycle service level, CSL.
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inventory
An inventory cycle
Q
ROP
time
Lead Times
Shortage
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Quantity
Expected demand
during lead time
ROP
Safety stock
LT Time
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Cycle service level: percentage of cycles with
shortage
For example consider 10 cycles :
11 0 111 0 1 0 1
CSL Write 0 if a cycle has shortage, 1 otherwise
10
CSL 0.7
CSL 0.7 Probability that a single cycle has sufficient inventory
[Sufficient inventory] [Demand during lead time ROP]
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Service level
Risk of
a stockout
Probability of
no stockout
ROP Quantity
Expected
demand Safety
stock
0 z z-scale
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Orders are placed at fixed time intervals
Order quantity for next interval?
Suppliers might encourage fixed intervals
May require only periodic checks of inventory levels
Items from same supplier may yield savings in:
Ordering
Packing
Shipping costs
May be practical when inventories cannot be closely
monitored
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• A single order must cover the demand until the next order
arrives. Exposure to random demand during not only lead
time but also before.
• Requires higher safety stock than variable order interval
models.
• May provide savings in set up / ordering costs.
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Single period model: model for ordering of
perishables and other items with limited useful lives.
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Too much inventory
Tends to hide problems
Easier to live with problems than to eliminate them
Costly to maintain
Wise strategy
Reduce lot sizes
Reduce set ups
Reduce safety stock
Aggregate negatively correlated demands
Remember component commonality
Delayed postponement
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The economic production quantity (EPQ) model is used in
manufacturing situations where inventory is replenished at a
finite rate given by the production rate of the item under
consideration.
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Suppose
p = 50 units/day
d = 10 units/day
EPQ = 500 (production quantity, Q); Note: the optimal value
of Q is EPQ or QP
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During these ten days, we produce 50 units per day but also
use 10 units per day.
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At the end of the 10th day, we stop producing this item and
then continue to meet the demand from the inventory. The
inventory will last for 40 days (400/10) because we have 400
units in stock and the demand rate is 10 units/day.
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The maximum inventory level as explained
earlier is Imax = Q (1- d/p) = 400.
D Q d
TVC S H 1
Q 2 p 2 DS
EPQ
d
EPQ is obtained by equating the annual setup H
1
p
cost with annual holding cost and then solving
for Q. The expression for EPQ is given on the
RHS.
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Annual Demand (D) = 50,000 units, Setup Cost (S) =$25.00
per set up, Inventory Holding Cost (H) = $5.00 per unit per
year.
Imax = 548.
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Quantity discount model is used when the vendor (supplier)
offers a discount for buying in large quantities.
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The annual demand (D) for an item is 240,000 units. The ordering cost per order
(S) is $ 30.00. The inventory carrying cost per unit per year (H) is 30% of the cost
(price) of the item, that is, H = 30% of C.
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To solve this problem we will compare the total costs for both
prices. As in the EOQ model, the economic order quantity is
given by the following equation,
QO =
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Start calculations by finding EOQ at the lower price ($ 2.77).
The inventory carrying cost for this price is $0.83 (= 30% of $ 2.77) per
unit per year and the economic order quantity for this price is 4,163.
However, we cannot buy 4,163 units at the price of $ 2.77 because the
minimum quantity specified by the vendor at this price is 30,000.
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Some materials are more important than others.
Importance can be established in the following two
ways:
o Material Criticality
o Annual Dollar Volume of Materials
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There are various definitions of ‘‘critical’’ that fit different
situations. For example, a part is critical when:
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ABC categories are based on sorting materials by their annual dollar
volume.
Dollar volume is the surrogate for potential savings that can be made by
improving the inventory management of specific materials.
Accordingly, all parts, components, and other materials used by a
company should be listed and then rank ordered by their annual dollar
volume.
Start with those items that have the highest levels of dollar volume and
rank order them from the highest to the lowest levels.
o The top 25 percent of these materials are called A-type items.
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However, there is no fixed convention that A, B, and C class breaks must
occur at 25 and 50 percent.
Companies differ with respect to what percent of all items stocked
account for 75 percent of their total annual dollar volume.
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Percentage of Cumulative % of Percentage of Cumulative % of
Item Stock Annual Volume
Unit Cost Annual Dollar Volume Annual Dollar Annual Dollar Number of Number of Items Category
Number (Units)
Volume Volume Items Stocked Stocked
Total $286,314.90
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Lead time (LT) is the interval that elapses between the recognition that an
order should be placed and the delivery of that order. See Figure below.
The diminishing stock level reaches a threshold (or limen) called QRP -
the stock level of the reorder point.
The threshold triggers the order for replenishment.
The stock level at the reorder point, RP, is enough to meet orders until the
replenishment supply arrives and is ready to be used.
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Eight lead-time (LT) considerations that apply to EOQ or
EPQ or both:
The amount of time required to recognize the need to
reorder.
The interval for doing whatever clerical work is needed to
prepare the order.
Mail, e-mail, EDI, or telephone intervals to communicate
with the supplier (or suppliers) and to place the order(s).
Time that takes the supplier’s organization to react to the
placement of an order?
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Delivery time including loading, transit, and unloading.
Processing of delivered items by the receiving department.
Inspection to be sure items match specifications.
Time delays in updating records The effect of such delays on
the production schedule must be considered.
The eight lead-time components are added to get the lead time.
Lead times are usually variable.
Safety stocks may be increased to deal with variable lead times.
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Order point policies (OPP) define the stock level at which an
order will be placed. The reorder point (RP), triggers an
order for more stock.
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The interval between orders is fixed while the ordered amount varies.
The order size is determined by the amount of stock on-hand when the
record is read.
It is the date that triggers the review and the order being placed.
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Perpetual, also known as fixed quantity, inventory systems continuously record
inventory received from suppliers and withdrawn by employees.
An order is placed when reorder point is reached.
The amount ordered is same (generally EOQ or EPQ) in each cycle.
The interval between placing orders is different in each cycle because of demand
variability.
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Shortages occur whenever actual demand in the lead-time period exceeds QRP.
The likelihood of a shortage will be decreased by increasing the value of safety(
buffer) stock.
Determining safety (buffer) stock level requires an economic balancing situation
between the cost of going out of stock versus the cost of carrying more
inventory.
The large buffer stock means that the carrying cost of stock is high to make
sure that the actual cost of stock-outages is small.
The stock level of the reorder point (QRP) is equal to the expected (average)
demand during the lead time period plus the safety stock (SS) quantity.
Thus,
QRP = LT + SS
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The expected demand during lead time is a function of average demand
per day (d) and the magnitude of lead time (LT) and is determined as
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The value of SS depends on the variability of demand and the service level.
The service level is a measure of the stock-out situations allowed. For
example, a 95% service level means that there will be no out-of-stock
situation 95% of the time during lead time.
Assuming that the demand follows a normal distribution the value of SS can
be determined as
SS = zσLT
where, σLT is the standard deviation of demand during lead time and z is a
measure of the service level that we want to provide. z is called standard
normal random variable and can be found from its statistical table. For the
95% service level the value of z = 1.65.
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The two-bin system is a smart way of continuously
monitoring the order point.
It is a simple self-operating perpetual inventory system.
See the figure below.
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Thanks For Attention
&
Hope it will Help You All