Investment and Portfolio Theory Lecture 2
Investment and Portfolio Theory Lecture 2
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Call Option: Payoff and Profit
● Payoff is the value of option at expiration: compare asset price (𝑆t) and strike price (𝑋)
● Profit: option payoff at expiration adjusted for the original purchase price
Moneyness
● The option value depends on the diff between the stock price and exercise price:
○ Relevant when the option expires
○ But also at all other moments, as the current price will be the best estimate of the
price at expiration
○ Moneyness measures the ratio of the asset price (𝑆t) and strike price (𝑋)
● 3 possible states of the relation between the stock price (𝑆t) and strike price (𝑋):
○ Option is in-the-money: the exercise would produce a positive cash flow
■ Call option is in-the-money when 𝑆t > 𝑋
■ Put option is in-the-money when 𝑆t < 𝑋
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○ Option is at-the-money: the exercise price and asset price are equal
○ Option is out-of-the-money: the holder would not exercise as it does not deliver a
positive cash flow
■ Call option is out-of-the-money when 𝑆t < 𝑋
■ Put option is out-of-the-money when 𝑆t > 𝑋
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● Payoff or value of call option:
○ Stock price at expiration – exercise price = 𝑆t − 𝑋 = $175 − $170 = $5
○ Profit of call option:
■ Option value at expiration – option price = 𝑆t − 𝑋 − 𝑃 = $5 − $5.55 =
−$0.55
○ The option will be exercised to offset part of the loss caused by the premium
■ The option is still in-the-money!
■ For the option holder, this call will not be strictly profitable unless Apple’s
price exceeds $175.55 (strike + premium) by expiration
Returns on Options
● The return on our call option example:
○ 𝑅𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛 = 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡/Premium = −0.55/5.55 = −9.91%
● The return on our put option example:
○ 𝑅𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛 = 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡/Premium = 20.90/4.10 = 509.76%
● The returns on options:
○ If there are big swings in the underlying asset, at or near the money options can
offer enormous returns
○ Options provide leverage: The only money invested is the option premium, while
the exposure is the underlying asset itself. The premium is always less than the
value of the underlying asset
● Margin requirements:
○ The holder does not need to post any margin. The long position can only gain
from the option after the premium has been paid
○ The writer (short position) does have to post margin. Option markets also use
clearinghouses or similar structures; the margin calls apply in the same way as
with futures
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Why Options? Option vs. Stock Investments
● Reasons why investors use options: hedging (insurance) and speculation
○ The general reasons are similar to those of futures
○ However, with options, you can do both with more ease, flexibility and precision
– but at cost
○ Same like futures, using options also implies using leverage
● Example of three potential strategies to invest $10,000 in a stock. Suppose you think a
stock, currently selling for $100, will appreciate
○ Strategy A: Invest entirely in stock. Buy 100 shares, each selling for $100
○ Strategy B: Invest entirely in at-the-money call options. A 6-month call costs $10
(contract size is 100 shares). Buy 1,000 calls, each selling for $10. (This would
require 10 contracts, each for 100 shares)
○ Strategy C: Purchase 100 call options for $1,000. Invest your remaining $9,000 in
6-month T-bills, to earn 3% interest. The bills will be worth $9,270 at expiration
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Characteristics of Returns Delivered by Options
● Embedded leverage, which can be used to:
○ Enlarge your exposure, so one can profit more from expected price movements
○ Compare Strategy B with Strategy A – the slope of the all-option portfolio is
steeper
● Insurance: Secure the majority of your investment by putting money in safer assets
○ Compare Strategy C with Strategy A – limited downside of the portfolio with
T-Bills
● In general, options can create a payoff pattern that is tailor-made:
○ Making profits at the price-levels of the underlying we deem more likely (or
which offset existing risks)
○ Selling risk we consider unlikely to materialize or which are mispriced in the
market
○ Financial engineering (later slides) will take this to a more advanced level
● None of this is free: long positions require option premiums to be paid, short positions are
very risky: little upside, lots of downside
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Option Strategies: Protective Put
● Protective put: own the underlying stock, buy a
put to insure against drops in price
○ Value from stock: 𝑆t
○ Value from put option: 𝑋– 𝑆t
○ The protection requires paying premium
𝑃
○ If 𝑆t ≤𝑋, down side limited to 𝑋−𝑃
○ If 𝑆t > 𝑋, upside not limited, but smaller:
𝑆t − 𝑃
● Applications: Risk management and portfolio
insurance
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○ To make a profit, one of the options has to become valuable enough to
compensate both premiums
● Pay-offs:
● Short straddle is a bet on the price remaining roughly the same: sell a call and a put
option with the same exercise price and maturity
● Strips and straps are extensions that incorporate some view on the direction of expected
market movement (or asymmetric volatility) by buying either more calls or more puts
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● Payoffs of this bullish spread:
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Option Strategies Using Exotic Options
● Exotic options are a prime example of financial engineering
● Option strategies using exotic options:
○ Asian options: payoffs depend on the average price (difference) over time
○ Barrier options: payoffs that depend not only on some asset price at expiration,
but also on whether the underlying asset price has crossed through some barrier
(cheaper hedge against big moves)
○ Lookback options: payoffs depend on the maximum or minimum price in a period
○ Currency-translated options (like quanto – provides a random number of options
as the amount of foreign currency that will be translated in domestic currency
depends on the returns on the underlying)
○ Rainbow options: have two or more assets as underlying, designed to hedge risk if
correlations move strongly against you
○ Digital (binary) options: offer a fixed payoff that depends on whether a condition
is satisfied by the price of the underlying asset
○ Chooser options (can become puts or calls, you choose), etc. etc.
● Many of these exotic products are only traded OTC, so conditions can be negotiated
Financial Engineering
● Constructing exactly the right pattern of pay-offs and timings that supports a particular
hedge strategy, speculation strategy, or perhaps a kind of ‘legal arbitrage’
● Combining various derivatives, there’s hardly any limit to what is possible, but each risk
has its price. One can use derivatives to...
○ Realize profits earlier or later, with possible tax consequences, or
○ Create exposures without stringent capital requirements – i.e. for banks
● Derivatives used to be pretty much “off-balance”, so not included in the balance sheet
○ The last decade has seen substantial debate about this, as well as rule changes
○ However, many over-the-counter instruments are quite illiquid, and therefore hard
to rein in, as the value prior to expiration/settlement is often unclear
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○ Borrowers hold an implicit call option and can walk away if the collateral value
declines
● Levered equity and risky debt:
○ JC Penny: FT: JCPenney misses bond payment, considers options
○ Probabilities of defaults among department stores: CNBC: US Department Stores
Most Likely to Default
● Performance fee paid to hedge funds managers resemble call options (next lectures)
Put-call parity
● One of the basic strategies has an impact on pricing as well:
○ If we buy a call and an investment the present value of the strike price in the
risk-free rate, we get a pattern that does not decline below 𝑋, and increases with
the share value afterwards to 𝑆t − 𝑋
○ If we buy the stock, and then also buy a put option with the same exercise price,
we get an identical pattern (draw the diagram!)
● This results in the following formula:
● In this formula:
○ 𝐶 is the premium paid for the call
○ 𝑃 is the premium paid for the put
○ 𝑆0 is the current stock price
○ 𝑋 is the strike price of both options
● A cash position of 100 (the Net Present value of X), together with the call, has a value of
117. But the Stock, together with a (protective) put, is worth only 115
○ An arbitrage profit is possible, as the payoffs a year from now for both strategies
are identical!
○ As always: buy the cheap side, sell the expensive side
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Example of Put-Call Parity (2)
● Execution of the Arbitrage Strategy:
○ Buy the stock and buy the put
○ Sell the call and borrow the present value of the strike price
○ Lock in the difference of $2 regardless of the ultimate stock price
Conclusion
● Two main types of option contracts: call and put options
● Options can deliver insurance and are attractive instrument for hedging
● Options incorporate leverage and are also attractive instrument for speculation
● Option strategies: Combine many calls and puts as if they were lego bricks, and you can
get whatever pattern you want!
● Many other financial assets and contracts embody option characteristics
● The put-call parity theorem relates the prices of put and call options
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