0% found this document useful (0 votes)
16 views

Making CO2 Capture Projects Happen

Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
16 views

Making CO2 Capture Projects Happen

Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 23

MAKING CO2 CAPTURE PROJECTS HAPPEN

Nick Flinn Myrian Schenk


Isabel Conradus Julie Cranga
Devin Shaw Technip Energies
Laurent Thomas
Shell Catalysts & Technologies
Definitions & cautionary note

The companies in which Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate legal entities. In this presentation “Shell”, “Shell Group” and “Group” are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Shell plc and its
subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These terms are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the
particular entity or entities. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this presentation refer to entities over which Shell plc either directly or indirectly has control. Entities and unincorporated arrangements over which
Shell has joint control are generally referred to as “joint ventures” and “joint operations”, respectively. “Joint ventures” and “joint operations” are collectively referred to as “joint arrangements”. Entities over which Shell has significant influence
but neither control nor joint control are referred to as “associates”. The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect ownership interest held by Shell in an entity or unincorporated joint arrangement, after
exclusion of all third-party interest.

This presentation contains forward-looking statements (within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995) concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Shell. All statements other than
statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known
and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning
the potential exposure of Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases
such as “aim”, “ambition”, ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, “milestones”, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘risks’’, “schedule”, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘should’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘will’’
and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this presentation,
including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry
competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in
developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, judicial, fiscal and regulatory developments including regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various
countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared
costs; (m) risks associated with the impact of pandemics, such as the COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak; and (n) changes in trading conditions. No assurance is provided that future dividend payments will match or exceed previous dividend
payments. All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking
statements. Additional risk factors that may affect future results are contained in Shell plc’s Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2022 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov). These risk factors also expressly qualify all
forward-looking statements contained in this presentation and should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 21 February 2023. Neither Shell plc nor any of its subsidiaries
undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from
the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.

Also, in this presentation we may refer to Shell’s “Net Carbon Footprint” or “Net Carbon Intensity”, which include Shell’s carbon emissions from the production of our energy products, our suppliers’ carbon emissions in supplying energy for that
production and our customers’ carbon emissions associated with their use of the energy products we sell. Shell only controls its own emissions. The use of the term Shell’s “Net Carbon Footprint” or “Net Carbon Intensity” are for convenience
only and not intended to suggest these emissions are those of Shell plc or its subsidiaries.

Shell’s operating plan, outlook and budgets are forecasted for a ten-year period and are updated every year. They reflect the current economic environment and what we can reasonably expect to see over the next ten years. Accordingly, they
reflect our Scope 1, Scope 2 and Net Carbon Footprint (NCF) targets over the next ten years. However, Shell’s operating plans cannot reflect our 2050 net-zero emissions target and 2035 NCF target, as these targets are currently outside our
planning period. In the future, as society moves towards net-zero emissions, we expect Shell’s operating plans to reflect this movement. However, if society is not net zero in 2050, as of today, there would be significant risk that Shell may not
meet this target.

The contents of websites referred to in this presentation do not form part of this presentation.

We may have used certain terms, such as resources, in this presentation that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) strictly prohibits us from including in our filings with the SEC. Investors are urged to consider closely the
disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov.

3
Speakers

Presenter Moderator

Nick Flinn Justin Swain


VP Decarbonisation Technologies Strategic Marketing Manager
Shell Catalysts & Technologies Shell Catalysts & Technologies

4
Agenda

PART 1 PART 2 PART 3


The outlook for CCS Panel session Live Q&A
CANSOLV* CO2 Capture
System overview
Regional overview
Sector overview
The outlook for costs
Shell’s activities in CCS
*CANSOLV is a Shell trademark

5
The outlook for CCS has never been more positive, with dozens of
projects moving into development over the past 12 months...

44% increase in CO2 190+ facilities in the project pipeline


capture capacity of all CCS
facilities under development
Dozens of blue hydrogen
61 facilities added to projects in development
the project pipeline
(30 in operation, 11 under
construction, 153 in Unprecedented interest
CCS is becoming
development) and engagement in
increasingly commercial
DAC with CCS
and competitive in many
countries…more strategic
partnerships and
collaboration are expected Rise of clusters

Source: Global CCS Institute 6


…however, investment in CCS is still “grossly inadequate”

2021 2050

40 Mtpa

5600
CCS capacity required to limit
global warming to 2°C, according
to the Global CCS Institute
Mtpa

7
Or, to put it another way, the number of facilities needs to grow

from 27 in 2021

8
Or, to put it another way, the number of facilities needs to grow

from 27 in 2021 to some 2732 (or more) by 2050

Source: Global CCS Institute 9


The CANSOLV CO2 Capture System is a simple amine unit

1400 plants use our gas processing technologies Low energy consumption
High loading efficiency
(up to 99% capture Low degradation rate
Over 50 years of gas processing efficiency)
licensing experience Low emissions

Based on proprietary amine for


post combustion capture

10
For technical details about the Shell pre- and post-capture solutions,
please refer to our previous webcasts and white papers

11
Recognising (some of) the 2022 CCS pioneers 1 Humber Zero – VPI Immingham

Humber Zero – Phillips 66 Limited’s


2
Humber refinery
2
8 3 Net Zero Teesside Power (NZT Power)
11
3 4 (Confidential Client)
7

1 5 Calpine Deer Park Energy Center

6 Shell Chemical Deer Park

7 Shell Polaris

Hafslund Celsio CCS Oslo (formally


8
Fortum Oslo Varmes)

9 (Confidential Client)
5
(Confidential Clients) 10 (Confidential Client)
6
4 9 10
11 Calpine Baytown Energy Center

H2

Power and WtE Oil Gas Heavy industry Hydrogen


12
Strong policy on CCS is having a positive impact
on project development

USA Canada UK Northern Europe

POLICY, LEGAL AND Infrastructure Proposed federal Post-Brexit plan for Innovation fund
REGULATORY Investment and Jobs investment tax credit energy transition EU Emissions Trading
Act for CCS CCUS Innovation Scheme (EU ETS)
Inflation Reduction 2022 Federal Budget Programme Policy initiatives from
Act/45Q tax credit strongly supports CCS Infrastructure individual member
scheme CCUS via an Fund states
CCS-specific legislation investment tax credit

NEW PROJECTS 34 19 13 Norway: 8


LAUNCHED SINCE 2021 The Netherlands: 6

Rest of the world: Ramp-up of policy and legislation by national governments; Policy is advancing in Asia Pacific region, and
there has been notable progress over the last 12 months

Source: Global CCS Institute 13


Most of the existing CCS capacity is concentrated in natural
gas processing plants, but now other sectors are growing

2022 analysis: Power is the biggest sector and there is a trend towards clusters and smaller-scale projects

2023 analysis: The majority of CANSOLV deals did not make major progress and it’s difficult to predict which ones will

26%
Europe and Clusters have a Power and
of projects have
North America (marginally) better hydrogen are
progressed
progressing equally chance of progressing advantaged

Source: Shell Catalysts & Technologies analysis 14


Costs are falling – and will
likely fall further
According to the IEA:
Experience indicates that CCUS should become
cheaper as:
the market grows
the technology develops
finance costs fall
economies of scale are reached
experience of building and operating CCUS
facilities accumulates.
This pattern has already been seen for renewable
energy technologies over recent decades.
https://www.iea.org/commentaries/is-carbon-capture-too-expensive
15
We have continued to drive down costs – but may be
approaching a limit

2021

5–20%
lower capex*

15–30%
lower opex*
*Versus 2020 cost
16
We have continued to drive down costs – but may be
approaching a limit

2021 2022

5–20% Further
lower capex*
15–20%
15–30% cost reduction
achieved*
lower opex*
*Versus 2020 cost
17
We have continued to drive down costs – but may be
approaching a limit

2021 2022 2023

5–20% Further
lower capex*
15–20% Further15%
15–30% cost reduction
achieved* cost reduction
lower opex* targeted*

*Versus 2020 cost


18
We have continued to drive down costs – but may be
approaching a limit

2021 2022 2023 2025

5–20% Further
lower capex*
15–20% Further15%
15–30% cost reduction
achieved* cost reduction
Further10%
lower opex* targeted*
cost reduction
*Versus 2020 cost targeted*
19
We have continued to drive down costs – but may be
approaching a limit

2021 2022 2023 2025

5–20% Further
lower capex*
15–20% Further15%
15–30% cost reduction
achieved* cost reduction
Further10% + another wave of
lower opex* targeted* improvements is
cost reduction likely when units are
targeted* operational
*Versus 2020 cost
20
Selecting the right capture technology is important, but there are
numerous other dimensions to a successful CCS project

EXPORT
TECHNOLOGY SELECTION
Transportation
Duty/rating CANSOLV Storage
Plot space Utilisation
Type

MANAGEMENT

Project execution
Construction
De-risking
INTEGRATION

Pre-treatment
FINANCING
Power & utilities
Tie-Ins Funding support
Lay-out Optimisation Approvals
Conditioning Risk

21
CCUS IN SHELL: PROJECTS
SHELL’S 2022 CCUS PROJECT PORTFOLIO 1 Quest

2 Polaris/Atlas*

3 Gorgon

4 Southeast Asia Hub


9
7 5 Louisiana Hub*
1 2
8 11
10
11
6 Ohio River Valley*
6
5 7 Acorn*
12
8 South Wales Industrial Cluster*
4 9 Northern Lights

10 Aramis*
13
3

Projects in operation 11 Porthos*


Projects in development
12 Daya Bay*
CCUS Hubs
CCUS study agreements 13 Angel*

* Pre-FID
Shell | December, 2022 22
From SO2 to CO2: This isn’t the first time the world
has faced a major emissions issue
1970s 2020s

The challenge: Acid rain caused by SO2 emissions from various The challenge: Climate change caused by CO2 and other
sources, including power generation and natural gas production greenhouse gases

One of the solutions: The Shell Claus Off-gas Treating One of the solutions: The CANSOLV CO2 Capture System
(SCOT) process

We’ve done it before – and we can do it again


23

You might also like