ICICI Prudential Energy Opportunities Fund - NFO
ICICI Prudential Energy Opportunities Fund - NFO
Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.
A WORLD WITHOUT ‘ENERGY’ WOULD BE DARK
1 2 3 4
You are working on your
You fret and fume as The air-conditioner You step into your car to
laptop, when the electricity
your mobile battery is low and electric bulbs stop visit the nearest café
gets cut off abruptly
functioning
Besides, you can’t even You feel relieved to see
use electrical appliances The room is filled with the fuel tank full – At least,
like the microwave and darkness; leaving you you can use this form of
television in despair ENERGY!
2
ENERGY – ESSENTIAL PART OF OUR LIFE !!!
CONSIDERING THE EXAMPLE OF HOUSEHOLDS: But now, different electrical appliances, such
as refrigerator, air conditioner, induction stove,
Earlier, necessities of every house were
microwave, cars, two-wheelers, etc.
electric lights, a gas stove and a television
have become a necessity for most households
Lifestyle Change
Increase in Energy Demand
The above example is only for illustration purpose. The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in these stock(s)/sector(s).
3
UNFOLDING THE BROAD COVERAGE OF ENERGY
Energy is NOT restricted to only Households – It plays a key role in diverse segments
ENERGY
Provides Power to houses Fuels our Transportation Key Driver for Industrial Growth Supports Communication Networks
• Cooking • Cars • Healthcare • Telecommunication
• Electrical Appliances, • Two-wheelers • FMCG • Broadcasting Stations
such as Washing • Cargo engines • Textiles • Internet Services
Machines, Television,
Refrigerator, etc. • Trains • Chemicals • Data Transmission
• Airplanes • Agriculture
• Financial Services
• Metals
• Oil & Gas
• Consumer Durables
• Information Technology
• Automobile
FMCG: Fast Moving Consumer Goods, The above list of sectors is not exhaustive. The same is for illustration purpose. The stock/sectors mentioned above are not indicative and not to be construed as the portfolio of the Schemes. The sector(s) /stock(s)
mentioned in this presentation do not constitute any recommendation of the same and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in these sector(s)/stock(s). The portfolio of the scheme is subject to changes within the
provisions of the Scheme Information Document of the Scheme.
4
OIL & GAS VALUE CHAIN
The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in these stock(s)/sector(s).
5
POWER VALUE CHAIN
Companies involved in the generation Companies involved in the Companies involved in the final
of Power through Thermal, Gas, movement of electrical energy process of transmission of
Hydro, Nuclear or any other non- from a generating site to an electricity from the sub-station
conventional sources electrical sub-station to individual consumers
The above list is inclusive and not exhaustive. The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in these
stock(s)/sector(s). Source: Company websites.
6
ENERGY TRANSITION VALUE CHAIN – SOLAR & WIND
SOLAR – WIND –
VALUE CHAIN VALUE CHAIN
Ancillary equipment
Blade
EPC
Developer Tower
EPC: Engineering, Procurement and Construction. A nacelle is a cover housing that houses all of the generating components in a wind turbine. The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation
and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in these stock(s)/sector(s).
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ENERGY ANCILLARY COMPANIES
The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in these stock(s)/sector(s).
8
INDIA & ENERGY FUTURE IS INTERTWINED
• India Transition
9
INDIA & ENERGY
2002
2013
2001
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
10
GLOBAL CONTEXT:
COMPARISON OF PER CAPITA POWER CONSUMPTION
India’s per capita energy consumption is 1/3rd of global average. China’s consumption is 4.4x of India and Korea is 9.5x of India. With India
expected to be the third largest economy in the world, its per capita energy consumption could also witness significant rise
Per Capita Consumption (KWhr) = (Gross Electrical Energy Availability/ Midyear Population).
18,000
16,000 15,438
14,000 13,098
12,000 11,082
9,906
10,000
8,010
8,000 7,141 6,917 6,848
6,000 5,220 4,906 4,906
3,957
4,000 3,260
2,570
2,000 1,181
0
Canada USA Korea Australia Japan France Russia Germany Italy UK China South Brazil India World
Africa
Data as on Dec 31, 2023, Avendus Spark Research. KWhr: Kilowatt hour. UK: United Kingdom. USA: United States
11
INDIA ENERGY – DEMAND & SUPPLY GAP
Power demand expected to grow strongly in future and expected shortages maybe observed mainly during non-solar hours. This may
warrant continued focus towards the sector by the Government to reduce the deficit gap
India Peak Demand, GW India - Peak Demand during Non-Solar Hours
400 (without storage)
354 350 18%
350 332 325 17%
310 16%
305 300
300 289 285
269 265 14% 14%
252 247 250 13%
250 231 12% 12% 12%
11% 11%
200 11%
200 10% 10%
9% 9%
150 8%
150
6% 6%
100 100
4%5% 4%
3% 3%
50 50 3%
2%2% 2% 2%
1%1%0%1%
0 0 0% 0%
FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E FY30E
FY06
FY08
FY10
FY12
FY14
FY16
FY18
FY20
FY22
FY24E
FY26E
FY28E
FY30E
India - Peak Demand during Solar Hours
India - Peak Demand during Non-Solar Hours (without storage)
Peak Demand, GW Peak Demand Met, GW Deficit, %
Source: CEA, Govt. of India, Avendus Spark Research, FY: Financial year, Gw: Gigawatt
12
INDIA’S GROWTH STORY
India is the largest EM after China and is expected to become 3rd largest economy by 2027 as per IMF estimate
16.9
5.1
4.2 5.4 5.2
3.2 3.1 4.9 4.4
2.9 3.3
2.1 2.0 1.6 2.7 2.6 2.3 2.2 1.9
0.7
Indonesia
US
UK
Vietnam
Germany
France
Canada
Russia
China
India
Brazil
Italy
Japan
China
United
Germany
France
Canada
Federation
Italy
India
Kingdom
Japan
States
United
Russian
Source: IMF (International Monetary Fund), Spark Capital Research, EM: Emerging Market, UK: United Kingdom, US: United States, GDP: Gross Domestic Product
13
INDIA’S GROWTH STORY DEPENDENT ON ENERGY:
EXAMPLE CHINA
China’s shift from Agriculture to Manufacturing during 2000-10 period created massive demand for Power and now the same is
normalized due to their focus on service oriented industries. India’s journey was different, wherein we moved from Agri to services and now
shifting towards Manufacturing, which may warrants for higher demand for energy
14% 13%
12% 12%
12% 11%
10%
8%
6% 7%
6% 6%
4% 4%
2%
0%
Agriculture Major industrial sectors Services Total power demand
2000-10 2010-19
Source: Bernstein Research, Agri : Agriculture
14
PREMIUMIZATION
Higher penetration of electricity coupled with growth in per capita income would result in higher demand for energy
% population with access to electricity Per Capita GDP 2022 (USD, Current Prices)
100%
80,000 76,330
90%
80% 60,000
India and Indonesia
only recently reached
70% close to the 100% mark
on % population
40,000
having access to
electricity
60% 12,720
20,000
12,688
50% 2,411
-
UK
Vietnam
US
Indonesia
India
France
Brazil
Russia
World
South Africa
Germany
South Korea
Japan
China
Hongkong
Singapore
40%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Source: IEA, Bernstein analysis Source: Data Source: World Bank (https://www.worldbank.org/en/home). UK: United Kingdom, US: United
States, GDP: Gross Domestic Product, USD: US Dollar
15
INCREASING PREMIUMIZATION
With rising income levels and room for higher penetration, energy consumption may go higher
25
Auto 4% 15% 81%
20
Outbound
6% 9% 42% 17.5
Trips
15
Air 60% 90%
8%
Conditioners 10
2.0
Smartphone 0
37% 54% 83%
Users
CY18
CY19
CY20
CY21
CY22
CY23
Internet Users 58% 60% 95% China Europe US India Others Global EV
Source: Avendus Spark and Elara capital Research. USA: United States, EV: Electric Vehicle, CY: Calendar Year
16
ENERGY DEMAND FOR UPCOMING SEGMENTS
150 3% 3%
110
100
100 2% • By 2028, AI tasks could be using more power than the
entire country of Iceland
50
50 27 1%
0
0 0%
• Data centres which are used by organization for
Green Hydrogen EVs Data Centers
storage & processing of data at present uses 1-2% of
global power and by this decade end would use 3-4%
of global power
Bernstein Estimate CEA Estimate* Bernstein estimate as a
% of Total consumption Source : Goldman Sachs - AI is poised to drive 160% increase in data center power demand (goldmansachs.com),
Forbes - ChatGPT And Generative AI Innovations Are Creating Sustainability Havoc (forbes.com). AI: Artificial
Source : CEA, Bernstein analysis and estimates Intelligence
17
CLIMATE CHANGE
Hot tropical country like India, the power demand is strongly co-related by weather conditions. The World Meteorological Organization
predicts “The annual mean global near-surface temperature for each year between 2023 and 2027 is predicted to be between 1.1°C and
1.8°C higher than the 1850-1900 average.
18
GOVT. REFORMS IN THE ENERGY SECTOR –
OIL & GAS SECTOR
• Remunerative realisation for domestic Oil and Gas along with favourable exploration and production policy
• Gas pricing reforms – KP committee report on gas realization linked to crude, ensured better gas
realization than the past.
• Windfall taxes – Abolition of auto fuel subsidy, capping of upstream oil realization instead of adhoc
subsidy when oil prices spike ensured policy stability.
• Unified tariff – one nation one grid so that gas consumption can be improved for far off places
• GoI target to increase share of gas from 6.5% currently to 15% by 2030
• Sizable capex towards gas transmission lines, LNG terminals and city gas distribution network
Source: Citi Research. GOI: Govt. of India. LNG: Liquefied Natural Gas, OMC: Oil Marketing Companies, Capex: Capital Expenditure. The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in
this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in these stock(s)/sector(s)
19
GOVT. REFORMS IN THE ENERGY SECTOR - POWER
• Govt. selling stake in PSUs has moderated over the last decade
• Receivables from DISCOMs has come down due to Late Payment Surcharge
rules (Jun 2022) an Revamped Distribution Scheme enabling DISCOMs to
borrow from Power financing companies and to fast-tract implementation
of Smart Metering.
• Discom privatization
Source: Citi Research. Discom: Distribution Companies, PSU: Public Sector Undertaking, The stock(s)/sector(s)
mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have
any future position in these stock(s)/sector(s)
20
GOVT. REFORMS : ‘NET ZERO’ BY 2070
• Increasing carbon sink coverage by 2.5 -3.bn tonnes of CO2 equivalent, by 2030.
Green Hydrogen
• Reducing projected emissions by 1 billion tonnes from 2021 till 2030.
Biofuel
Key initiative specific targets
500 5000 5
20% GW CBG MMTP
Carbon Capture
& Storage
ethanol blending renewables plants with Green H2
target by 2025 targeted by 2030 production target production target
Carbon Credit
of 15MMTPA by by 2030
Trading
2023-24
Source: Citi Research. GW: Gigawatt, GDP: Gross Domestic Product, CB: Compressed Biogas, MMTPA: Million Metric Tonne Per Year, Bn: Billion. The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI
Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in these stock(s)/sector(s).
21
INDIA TRANSITION
India target of Net Zero by 2070, would require massive push for renewables which is likely open up opportunity for
existing and new players in Energy Value chain. Plus Govt. has awarded higher capacity addition for renewals
FY 26E
FY 27E
FY 28E
FY 29E
FY 30E
FY 31E
FY 32E
FY 33E
FY 34E
FY 35E
FY 21
FY 22
FY 23
FY 24
5
2 2
0 0
0
FY22
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY23
FY24
YTD FY25
Share of Coal / Lignite / Gas Share of Hydro
Share of Nuclear Share of renweable capacity Solar Wind Hybrid Storage
Source: Avendus Spark Research. Data is on Financial Year (FY) basis. E: Estimates. YTD: Year Till Date
22
VALUATION UPDATE
Theme Marketcap of
Valuations Energy Theme
23
ENERGY SECTOR REPRESENTATION IN THE
BROADER MARKET INDICES
Energy Theme’s Marketcap exposure is lower in the broader market indices compared to their profit pool
Share of Energy companies (Ex- RIL) as per Share of Energy companies (Ex- RIL) as
Market Cap (Crs.) as on 31st May’24 per Profit (Crs.) as on 31st May’24
8% 19%
81%
92%
24
NIFTY ENERGY INDEX VALUATION V/S BROADER MARKET
Even after the theme outperforming the broader market, valuation remain reasonable. Nifty Energy Index Trailing PE is at
13.5x compared to Nifty 50 Index Trailing PE at 21.4x
Nifty Energy Index P/E Discount to Nifty 50 Index Nifty Energy Index P/B Discount to Nifty 50 Index
-25%
-25%
-30%
-30%
-35%
Average: -35%
-40%
-46% -35%
-45% -40%
-38% Average:
-50% -45%
-50%
-55% -50%
-60% -55%
-65%
-60%
-70%
-65%
Jun-14
Feb-15
Jun-16
Jun-18
Jun-20
Jun-22
Jun-24
Oct-15
Oct-17
Oct-19
Oct-21
Oct-23
Feb-17
Feb-19
Feb-21
Feb-23
Jun-17
Jun-14
Jun-15
Jun-16
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jun-23
Dec-23
Jun-24
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Dec-21
Dec-22
Data as on June 14,2024. Source: NSE. P/E: Price to Earnings, P/B: Price to Book Value
25
WHAT WE BRING
TO THE TABLE?
26
WHAT WE BRING TO THE TABLE?
27
TEAM OF INVESTMENT ANALYSTS
Hotels &
Education Pharmaceuticals Capital Goods IT
Leisure
The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in these stock(s)/sector(s)
28
OUR EXPERIENCE IN IDENTIFYING IDEAS
30
INVESTMENT UNIVERSE
POWER ANCILLARIES
Energy EPC, Power T&D value, Heavy Electrical Equipment, Energy efficiency plays (manufacturing electrical equipment's for
production, transmission & distribution of energy)
The above list is inclusive and not exhaustive. The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in these stock(s)/sector(s).LNG: Liquefied
Natural Gas, CNG: Compressed Natural Gas, PNG: Piped Natural Gas. EPC: Engineering , Procurement and Construction. T&D: Transmission & Distribution.
31
PROPOSED PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCT –
THOUGHTS & PHILOSOPHY
• Conventional sources of energy companies - like Oil & • Allied Sectors like manufacturing of pipelines for
Gas, Coal or Thermal or Gas generation companies energy, bio-energy value chain, manufacturing of
electrical equipment, energy automation &
• Strong FCF & Balance Sheet Strength
consultancy services etc
• Focus towards companies which are also venturing
• Innovative companies
into green energy space
• Companies with re-rating potential • Strong execution
PROPOSED
ENERGY PORTFOLIO OPPORTUNITIES
CONSTRUCT Investing in companies which are supporting the energy
Predominantly taking exposure in companies involved in the
traditional & new energy sectors companies (allied business activities)
32
BENCHMARK CONSTITUENTS: NIFTY ENERGY TRI
33
SUMMARY
• India’s structural story remains strong and expected to grow at a robust pace
• Energy remains major catalyst for India to realize its growth target
• Energy demand is expected to grow over the decade and would remain a key theme for long-term
• Various factors like Climate change, premiumization, India’s focus on manufacturing, Growth in per capita income etc.
remains factors that propel growth in India’s energy demand
• There are various companies involved in the value chain of Energy, this would help in creating a diversified portfolio
• Decadal theme with Long-term bias and hence, investors with long-term horizon should invest in the scheme
34
PORTFOLIO FEATURES
*IDCW – Income Distribution cum Capital Withdrawal Option. Payment of dividend is subject to availability of distributable surplus and Trustee approval. Pursuant to payment of IDCW, the NAV of the scheme falls
to the extent of dividend payout. When units are sold and sale price (NAV) is higher than face value of the unit, a portion of sale price that represents realized gains is credited to an Equalization Reserve Account and
which can be used to pay dividend. Dividend can be distributed out of investors capital (Equalization Reserve), which is part of sale price that represents realized gains. In case the unit holder has opted for dividend
payout option, the minimum amount for dividend payout shall be 100 (net of dividend distribution tax and other statutory levy, if any), else the dividend would be mandatorily reinvested
35
RISKOMETER & DISCLAIMER
ICICI Prudential Energy Opportunities Fund (An open-ended equity scheme following the energy theme.) is
suitable for investors who are seeking*:
Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.
All figures and other data given in this document are dated. The same may or may not be relevant at a future date. The AMC takes no responsibility of updating any data/information in this material
from time to time. The information shall not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without
prior written consent of ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Limited. Prospective investors are advised to consult their own legal, tax and financial advisors to determine possible tax, legal
and other financial implication or consequence of subscribing to the units of ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund.
Disclaimer: In the preparation of the material contained in this document, ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Ltd. (the AMC) has used information that is publicly available, including infor-
ma- tion developed in-house. Some of the material used in the document may have been obtained from members/persons other than the AMC and/or its affiliates and which may have been made
available to the AMC and/or to its affiliates. Information gathered and material used in this document is believed to be from reliable sources. The AMC however does not warrant the accuracy,
reasonableness and / or completeness of any information. We have included statements / opinions / recommendations in this document, which contain words, or phrases such as “will”, “expect”,
“should”, “believe” and similar expressions or variations of such expressions, that are “forward looking statements”. Actual results may differ materially from those suggested by the forward looking
statements due to risk or uncertainties associated with our expectations with respect to, but not limited to, exposure to market risks, general economic and political conditions in India and other coun-
tries globally, which have an impact on our services and / or investments, the monetary and interest policies of India, inflation, deflation, unanticipated turbulence in interest rates, foreign exchange
rates, equity prices or other rates or prices etc. ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Limited (including its affiliates), the Mutual Fund, The Trust and any of its officers, directors, personnel
and employees, shall not liable for any loss, damage of any nature, including but not limited to direct, indirect, punitive, special, exemplary, consequential, as also any loss of profit in any way arising
from the use of this material in any manner. Further, the information contained herein should not be construed as forecast or promise. The recipient alone shall be fully responsible/are liable for any
decision taken on this material.
It may be noted that the scheme risk-o-meter specified above is based on the internal assessment of the scheme characteristics and may vary post NFO when the actual investments are made.
The same shall be updated on ongoing basis in accordance with clause 17.4 of the Master Circular.
36
THANK YOU
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