The Wealth Matrix - Predicting Profits With Chart Patterns - Compressed
The Wealth Matrix - Predicting Profits With Chart Patterns - Compressed
MATRIX
Predicting Profits
Setting Expectations
will dive deeper and understand these assumptions
CANDLESTICK CLOSE
HIGH
Upper shadow - Connects the open to the high point
Lower shadow - Connects the close to the low.
HIGH
Bullish candle components OPEN
The central real body - Rectangular in shape, it
connects the opening and closing prices
Upper shadow - Connects the high point to the close
CLOSE
Lower shadow - Connects the low point to the open. LOW
Bearish Candle
2.2. Time Frames
Monthly Chart
Weekly Chart
Daily Chart
4 Hour/Hourly Chart
Let’s say we’re looking at the Daily chart for a trade. What
highest traded price, the lowest traded price and the close
will need to select a time frame that would suit you the best.
SINGLE CANDLESTICK
This caused the asset to close near its high point for the almost every price point during the day. This led the
day. It does not matter what the prior trend has been, the asset price to close at the low point for the day. Like the
price action on the marubozu suggests that the sentiment case of the bullish marubozu, the prior trend doesn’t
PATTERNS has changed, and the prospects are now bullish. matter and the price action on the marubozu time frame
suggests that the sentiment is bearish.
3.1. The Marubozu: Strong Bullish/Bearish Bullish & Bearish Marubozu Candlesticks
Sentiment
With this sudden change in market sentiment, the
expectation is that the bullishness will continue over the
The Bullish Marubozu:
downtrend or starting a reversal. A doji that appears after and when appearing at the top of an uptrend, it is called
Dojis don’t have a real body at all. This means that the a healthy uptrend could indicate a trend reversal. The The Hanging Man.
open and close prices are (almost) equal. The upper and next time you see a standalone doji or a spinning top, or
lower shadows can be of any length and the color of the both of them in a cluster, you’ll need to build a stance
than not, dojis and spinning tops appear in clusters event of a doji.
The paper umbrella is a single candlestick pattern that The Price Action & Thought Process behind a Hammer
Every day, the asset opens lower than the previous A hanging man signals a market high, and the color
day’s close and forms lower highs and lower lows doesn’t matter if it fulfils the shadow to real body ratio
On the day of the hammer formation, the market The market is in an uptrend, and the bulls are in
A hammer at the bottom of a downtrend
trades lower as expected and makes a new low absolute control
At the low point, buying interest emerges and pushes The market is characterized by new highs and higher
the prices higher, to the extent that the asset closes lows.
near the high point of the day
The day of the hanging man formation, the bears
The price action on the hammer formation day have managed to influence the market, which is
suggests that the bulls attempted to stop the price emphasized by a long lower shadow of the formation
from falling further and were reasonably successful
The selling pressure at the top of an uptrend with the
This buying interest at the bottom of a downtrend has formation of The Hanging Man suggests a short
the potential to change the market sentiment, and trade.
traders should look at buying opportunities.
Shooting Stars
The Day 1 candle should be a red one, confirming In the Bearish Engulfing pattern, the exact opposite of its
In a typical engulfing pattern, we find a small candle on
the bearish sentiment in the market bullish counterpart plays out over the course of two
Day 1 and a relatively long candle on Day 2. The Day 2
trading sessions and one needs to think about the asset
candle appears to engulf the Day 1 candle.
The price action on Day suggests that the bulls from a shorting perspective.
The Bullish Engulfing pattern is a two-candlestick pattern
made a strong attempt to break the bearish
which appears at the bottom of a downtrend. This is a
momentum and did so quite successfully
prompt for the trader to go long.
prices
Doji
for the bulls but they are not shaken yet. On Day 3,
Doji on Day 3 of the Bearish Engulfing Pattern Doji, which indicates uncertainty in the market
The prolonged uptrend confirms that the bulls are in candle following the Doji. Whenever a Doji follows a
created is bigger.
the bulls’ dominance. In this scenario, shorting the asset would prove to be very
of an uptrend.
4.2 Piercing Line and Dark Cloud Cover: Hints
of Changing Dynamics
The harami is a two candlestick pattern where the first The market gains strength on Day 2 and manages to
candle is usually long at the second candle has a small close on a bullish note, forming a green candle. The
body. The second candle is typically opposite in color to close of Day 2 is just below the open of Day 1.
closes—like a favorable earnings report or a new market closes, such as a disappointing earnings report,
The morning and evening stars are the last two patterns product launch—buyers may scramble to purchase regulatory issues, or a leadership change, sellers may
we will be looking at in this category. They are called shares when the market opens again. This rush of buying rush to offload their shares when the market opens. This
“star patterns”, and before we understand these patterns, activity can cause the stock's opening price to be surge of selling activity can cause the stock's opening
we will need to understand two common price behaviours significantly higher than its previous closing price, price to be significantly lower than its previous closing
After regular market hours, trading still occurs during If a significant number of investors decide to sell a stock
after-market hours. If a significant number of investors during after-market hours due to some negative
A gap on a daily chart happens when the asset closes at
buy a stock during this period, it could cause the price to sentiment, it could cause the price to drop. When the
one price but opens the following day at a different price.
rise. When the market officially opens the next day, it market officially opens the next day, it could open at this
could open at this higher price, again creating a gap up. lower price, again resulting in a gap down.
Morning Star
The Morning Star is a bullish candlestick pattern that On Day 3, the market opens with a gap up followed
evolves over a three day period. This pattern typically by a green candle which manages to close above
appears at the bottom of a downtrend. Day 1’s red candle opening. Ignoring the Day 2 Doji/
Spinning Top, it would appear as though Day 1 and
The Thought Process behind the Morning Star Day 3 have formed a bullish engulfing pattern
Morning Star
The market is in a downtrend, placing the bears in
Day 3 is where all the action unfolds. The gap up
control. The market makes successive new lows
opening sets fear in the bears and buying persists
during this period
throughout the day, so much so that it manages to
recover all the losses of Day 1
On Day 1, the market makes a new low and forms a
long red candle. The large red candle confirms the
The expectation is that the bullishness on Day 3 is
bearishness
likely to continue over the next few trading sessions
and hence one should look at buying opportunities.
On Day 2, the bears show dominance with a gap
down opening. After the gap down, nothing much
happens, resulting in a Doji or a Spinning Top, which
hint at indecision in the market.
Evening Star
On Day 3, the market opens with a gap down and
The Evening Star is the bearish equivalent of the Morning progresses into a red candle. The long red candle
Star and appears at the top end of an uptrend. indicates that the sellers are taking control
The Thought Process behind shorting the Evening The expectation is that the bearishness will continue
Star over the next few trading sessions, therefore one
should look at shorting opportunities.
The market is in an uptrend placing the bulls in
control
4.6 Tweezer Tops and Bottoms: Reversal low, with bears controlling the trading session. The
Tweezer Top
before. This time, the candlestick may be red, The market is in a downtrend, putting the bears in
indicating a selling pressure at this level control. The asset is making consistent lower lows and
lower highs.
Dow Theory and confirmed according to the Dow Theory from hours to a few weeks. It's the fluctuation within
fluctuations
Formations
downtrend). In an uptrend, the market hits
successively higher peaks and higher troughs. In a Trend Confirmation: According to Dow Theory, the
downtrend, it forms successively lower peaks and trends are confirmed by volume. The volume should
lower troughs. The primary trend is analogous to the increase in the direction of the primary trend. For
The Dow Theory was derived from Charles H. Dow’s
tide in the sea, it's the main direction where the example, in an uptrend, the volume should increase
writings in The Wall Street Journal and later refined by
market is heading over the long term (usually a year when the prices rise and decrease when the market
William Hamilton and Robert Rhea. The Theory is based
or more) pulls back
on six basic tenets, which we will dive into greater detail
in this chapter.
Secondary Trend: This trend acts as a correction Trend Reversals: The theory suggests that a primary
phase to the primary trend and can last from three trend remains intact until it gives definite signals that it
The Dow Theory's fundamental concept is that the market has reversed. This is often seen as a series of higher
weeks to as long as several months. It's a move
moves in a series of measurable trends, and these trends peaks and higher troughs for an uptrend, and a series
against the primary trend where the market retraces a
are indicators of the health of economic cycles. The Dow of lower peaks and lower troughs for a downtrend
part of the previous move. Think of it as waves in the
Theory lays out principles for understanding market
sea, moving against the tide (primary trend). In an
trends, their classifications, and phases. These principles Trendlines: Though not explicitly stated, trendlines and
uptrend, a secondary trend would be a pullback or a
are often used in conjunction with patterns recognized in channels drawn based on peaks and troughs are
correction, while in a downtrend, it would be a rally
broader technical analysis to gain better trading insights. often used in conjunction with Dow Theory principles
or a bounce.
for more precise entries and exits.
Some chart patterns that integrate with the tenets of The Dow Theory:
Symmetrical Triangle
Conclusion
2. Accurate Trade Signals: Gain an edge in the market
signals.
6.1 Continued Learning and Practice Congratulations on unlocking the secrets of chart
Altoeing able to spot these patterns can provide a traders and investors who share a common goal of
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