Diffusion and Dispersion of Pollutants
Diffusion and Dispersion of Pollutants
Pollutants
Sohani Afroja
𝑷 𝑩𝟐 = 𝑷 𝑨𝟐 ȁ𝑨𝟏 . 𝑷 𝑨𝟏 + 𝑷 𝑩𝟐 ȁ𝑩𝟏 . 𝑷 𝑩𝟏
𝟏 𝟏 𝟏 𝟏 𝟏 𝟏 𝟏
= ∗ + ∗ = + = .
𝟐 𝟐 𝟐 𝟐 𝟒 𝟒 𝟐
𝟏 𝟏 𝟏
𝑷 𝑨𝟐 = 𝑷 𝑨𝟐 ȁ𝑨𝟏 . 𝑷 𝑨𝟏 = ∗ = .
𝟐 𝟐 𝟒 𝟏 𝟏 𝟏
𝑷 𝑪𝟐 = 𝑷 𝑪𝟐 ȁ𝑩𝟏 . 𝑷 𝑩𝟏 = ∗ = .
𝟐 𝟐 𝟒
• The probability that the particle will travel down route, given that it has traveled
down route route 𝑨𝟏 can be written as: 𝑷[𝑨𝟐 ȁ𝑨𝟏 ] = 𝟏/𝟐.
• Then, the probability that a particle initially released from the source actually ends
up traveling down route 𝑨𝟐 will be 𝟏the𝟏 product 𝟏
of the probabilities at the two
wedges: 𝑷 𝑨𝟐 = 𝑷 𝑨𝟐 ȁ𝑨𝟏 . 𝑷 𝑨𝟏 = ∗ = .
𝟐 𝟐 𝟒
• If we now consider route 𝑩𝟐 , in the middle of the two wedges in row 2, we see that a
particle can reach this point by two alternative routes.
• It can travel down the left side of the top wedge or it can travel down the right side
of the top wedge. Assuming that 𝒑 = 𝒒 = 𝟏/𝟐 for all wedges in the structure, the
probability that the particle actually travels down route 𝑩𝟐 will be given by the union
of the two possible paths:
𝟏 𝟏 𝟏 𝟏 𝟏 𝟏 𝟏
• 𝑷 𝑩𝟐 = 𝑷 𝑨𝟐 ȁ𝑨𝟏 . 𝑷 𝑨𝟏 + 𝑷 𝑩𝟐 ȁ𝑩𝟏 . 𝑷 𝑩𝟏 = ∗ + ∗ = + = .
𝟐 𝟐 𝟐 𝟐 𝟒 𝟒 𝟐
Diffusion and Dispersion of Pollutants 13
Distribution with Respect to Space
• Finally, the probability that a particle travels down route 𝑪𝟐 will be
computed as the intersection of the probabilities for the two relevant
decision points:
𝟏 𝟏 𝟏
𝑷 𝑪𝟐 = 𝑷 𝑪𝟐 ȁ𝑩𝟏 . 𝑷 𝑩𝟏 = ∗ = .
𝟐 𝟐 𝟒
• As the probabilities for each row are computed in the manner described
above, it becomes evident that each row can be represented as a Bernoulli
process. The particle faces three choices in row 2: {𝑨𝟐 , 𝑩𝟐 , 𝑪𝟐 }. The
corresponding values for 𝐾 will be {0,1,2}, and the probability distribution
𝟏
for 𝐾 will be 𝑩(𝟐, ), giving the following PMF:
𝟐
𝟐
𝑷𝑲=𝒌 = 𝟏/𝟐 𝒌 𝟏/𝟐 𝟐−𝒌 ; 𝒇𝒐𝒓 𝒌 = 𝟎, 𝟏, 𝟐.
𝒌 Diffusion and Dispersion of Pollutants 14
Distribution with Respect to Space
• The probability distribution for row 3, which contains four possible
routes, will be 𝑩(𝟑, 𝒍/𝟐).
• Using similar reasoning, and considering the possible routes for each
particle, it can be seen that the probability distribution for row 4 will be
𝑩(𝟒, 𝒍/𝟐),
• Thus, if, on 5 trials, 3 “heads” and 2 “tails” occur, the object will be at
position Kd = 3d - 2d = d.
• Then the number of particles released from the source during any time period t will be
𝒏𝟎 𝒕 = 𝒓𝒕.
• If 10-minute periods are considered, the number of particles released will be n = 10 and
the expected number of arrivals in channel A during any 10-minute period will be
𝟏
E[𝑵𝑨 ] = 𝟏𝟎𝑷 𝑨 = 𝟏𝟎 = 𝟎. 𝟑𝟏𝟐𝟓 particles.
𝟑𝟐
• If 100 minutes are considered, the expected number of arrivals in channel A will be
E[𝑵𝑨 ] = 𝟏𝟎𝟎𝑷{𝑨} = 𝟏𝟎𝟎(𝟏/𝟑𝟐) = 3.125 particles.
• Finally, if 1000-minute time periods are considered, the expected number of arrivals in
channel A will be
E[𝑵𝑨 ] = 𝟏𝟎𝟎𝟎𝑷{𝑨} = 𝟏𝟎𝟎𝟎(𝟏/𝟑𝟐) = 31.25 particles.
Diffusion and Dispersion of Pollutants 22
Distribution with Respect to Time
• Suppose that the average number of particles arriving in channel A is 𝑿𝑨 given by
𝑿𝑨 = 𝑵𝑨 /𝒕.
• For 10-minute time periods, the expected value of the average will be given by the
expected number of arrivals divided by time,
E[𝑿𝑨 ] = 𝑬[𝑵𝑨 ]/𝒕 = 𝟎. 𝟑𝟏𝟐𝟓/𝟏𝟎 = 𝟎. 𝟎𝟑𝟏𝟐𝟓 particles per minute.
• The final position of the particle will be the sum of all the horizontal
displacements it has experienced since it left the source:
𝒚(𝒎) = 𝒅𝟏 + 𝒅𝟐 + ⋯ + 𝒅𝒎 .
• Assume that the particles are displaced to the left or to the right with
equal probability and that the expected value of the displacement is zero:
𝑬[𝑫] = 𝟎.
Diffusion and Dispersion of Pollutants 26
Plume Model
• Because the displacements are independent, the expected value of Y will
be the sum of the expected values of the displacements by the rules for
combining expected values:
𝑬[𝒀] = 𝑬[𝒅𝟏 ] + 𝑬[𝒅𝟐 ] + ⋯ + 𝑬[𝒅𝒎 ] = 𝑚 𝑬[𝑫] = 𝟎