NPV
NPV
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Table of Contents
What Is Net Present Value (NPV)?
Formula
Positive NPV vs. Negative NPV
How to Calculate NPV Using Excel
Example of Calculating NPV
Limitations
NPV vs. Payback Period
NPV vs. Internal Rate of Return
Why Is Net Present Value Important?
Is A Higher or Lower NPV Better?
Net Present Value FAQs
Is NPV or ROI More Important?
What Is the Difference Between NPV and ROI?
What Happens to NPV When Interest Rate Increases?
Why Should you Choose a Project With a Higher NPV?
CORPORATE FINANCE FINANCIAL RATIOS
Net Present Value (NPV): What It Means and Steps to Calculate It
What you need to know about differences over time
NPV is the result of calculations that find the current value of a future stream of
payments using the proper discount rate. In general, projects with a positive NPV
are worth undertaking, while those with a negative NPV are not.
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KEY TAKEAWAYS
Net present value (NPV) is used to calculate the current value of a future stream
of payments from a company, project, or investment.
To calculate NPV, you need to estimate the timing and amount of future cash flows
and pick a discount rate equal to the minimum acceptable rate of return.
The discount rate may reflect your cost of capital or the returns available on
alternative investments of comparable risk.
If the NPV of a project or investment is positive, it means its rate of return will
be above the discount rate.
Net Present Value (NPV)
Investopedia / Julie Bang
𝑁
𝑃
𝑉
=
Cash flow
(
1
+
𝑖
)
𝑡
−
initial investment
where:
𝑖
=
Required return or discount rate
𝑡
=
Number of time periods
NPV=
(1+i)
t
Cash flow
−initial investment
where:
i=Required return or discount rate
t=Number of time periods
If analyzing a longer-term project with multiple cash flows, then the formula for
the NPV of the project is as follows:
𝑁
𝑃
𝑉
=
∑
𝑡
=
0
𝑛
𝑅
𝑡
(
1
+
𝑖
)
𝑡
where:
𝑅
𝑡
=
net cash inflow-outflows during a single period
𝑡
𝑖
=
discount rate or return that could be earned in alternative investments
𝑡
=
number of time periods
NPV=
t=0
∑
n
(1+i)
t
R
t
where:
R
t
If you are unfamiliar with summation notation, here is an easier way to remember
the concept of NPV:
1
𝑁
𝑃
𝑉
=
Today’s value of the expected cash flows
−
Today’s value of invested cash
NPV=Today’s value of the expected cash flows−Today’s value of invested cash
The discount rate is central to the formula. It accounts for the fact that, as long
as interest rates are positive, a dollar today is worth more than a dollar in the
future. Inflation erodes the value of money over time. Meanwhile, today’s dollar
can be invested in a safe asset like government bonds; investments riskier than
Treasurys must offer a higher rate of return. However it’s determined, the discount
rate is simply the baseline rate of return that a project must exceed to be
worthwhile.
For example, an investor could receive $100 today or a year from now. Most
investors would not be willing to postpone receiving $100 today. However, what if
an investor could choose to receive $100 today or $105 in one year? The 5% rate of
return might be worthwhile if comparable investments of equal risk offered less
over the same period.
If, on the other hand, an investor could earn 8% with no risk over the next year,
then the offer of $105 in a year would not suffice. In this case, 8% would be the
discount rate.
An investment with a negative NPV will result in a net loss. This concept is the
basis for the net present value rule, which says that only investments with a
positive NPV should be considered.
1
NPV can be calculated using tables, spreadsheets (for example, Excel), or financial
calculators.
NPV Example
NPV Example, Excel.
In the example above, the formula entered into the gray NPV cell is:
= NPV(C3, C6:C10) + C5
Example of Calculating NPV
Imagine a company can invest in equipment that would cost $1 million and is
expected to generate $25,000 a month in revenue for five years. Alternatively, the
company could invest that money in securities with an expected annual return of 8%.
Management views the equipment and securities as comparable investment risks.
There are two key steps for calculating the NPV of the investment in equipment:
Step 1: NPV of the Initial Investment
Because the equipment is paid for up front, this is the first cash flow included in
the calculation. No elapsed time needs to be accounted for, so the immediate
expenditure of $1 million doesn’t need to be discounted.
)−1=0.64%
Assume the monthly cash flows are earned at the end of the month, with the first
payment arriving exactly one month after the equipment has been purchased. This is
a future payment, so it needs to be adjusted for the time value of money. An
investor can perform this calculation easily with a spreadsheet or calculator. To
illustrate the concept, the first five payments are displayed in the table below.
Image
Image by Sabrina Jiang © Investopedia 2020
The full calculation of the present value is equal to the present value of all 60
future cash flows, minus the $1 million investment. The calculation could be more
complicated if the equipment was expected to have any value left at the end of its
life, but in this example, it is assumed to be worthless.
𝑁
𝑃
𝑉
=
−
$
1
,
0
0
0
,
0
0
0
+
∑
𝑡
=
1
6
0
2
5
,
0
0
0
6
0
(
1
+
0
.
0
0
6
4
)
6
0
NPV=−$1,000,000+∑
t=1
60
(1+0.0064)
60
25,000
60
That formula can be simplified to the following calculation:
𝑁
𝑃
𝑉
=
−
$
1
,
0
0
0
,
0
0
0
+
$
1
,
2
4
2
,
3
2
2
.
8
2
=
$
2
4
2
,
3
2
2
.
8
2
NPV=−$1,000,000+$1,242,322.82=$242,322.82
In this case, the NPV is positive; the equipment should be purchased. If the
present value of these cash flows had been negative because the discount rate was
larger or the net cash flows were smaller, then the investment would not have made
sense.
Limitations of NPV
A notable limitation of NPV analysis is that it makes assumptions about future
events that may not prove correct. The discount rate value used is a judgment call,
while the cost of an investment and its projected returns are necessarily
estimates. The NPV calculation is only as reliable as its underlying assumptions.
5
1
The NPV formula yields a dollar result that, though easy to interpret, may not tell
the entire story. Consider the following two investment options: Option A with an
NPV of $100,000, or Option B with an NPV of $1,000.
NPV Formula
Pros
Considers the time value of money
Cons
Relies heavily on inputs, estimates, and long-term projections
May be hard to calculate manually, especially for projects with many years of cash
flow
Moreover, the payback period calculation does not concern itself with what happens
once the investment costs are nominally recouped. An investment’s rate of return
can change significantly over time. Comparisons using payback periods assume
otherwise.
3
For example, IRR could be used to compare the anticipated profitability of a three-
year project with that of a 10-year project. Although the IRR is useful for
comparing rates of return, it may obscure the fact that the rate of return on the
three-year project is only available for three years, and may not be matched once
capital is reinvested.
What Is the Difference Between NPV and Internal Rate of Return (IRR)?
NPV and internal rate of return (IRR) are closely related concepts, in that the IRR
of an investment is the discount rate that would cause that investment to have an
NPV of zero. Another way of thinking about the differences is that they are both
trying to answer two separate but related questions about an investment. For NPV,
the question is, “What is the total amount of money I will make if I proceed with
this investment, after taking into account the time value of money?” For IRR, the
question is, “If I proceed with this investment, what would be the equivalent
annual rate of return that I would receive?”
ARTICLE SOURCES
Related Terms
Internal Rate of Return (IRR): Formula and Examples
The internal rate of return (IRR) is a metric used in capital budgeting to estimate
the return of potential investments. Here is the formula for calculating it. more
Rate of Return (RoR): Meaning, Formula, and Examples
A rate of return (RoR) is the gain or loss of an investment over a specified period
of time, expressed as a percentage of the investment’s cost. more
Payback Period: Definition, Formula, and Calculation
The payback period refers to the amount of time it takes to recover the cost of an
investment or how long it takes for an investor to hit breakeven. more
Discounted Payback Period: What It Is and How to Calculate It
The discounted payback period is a capital budgeting procedure used to determine
the profitability of a project. more
Profitability Index (PI): Definition, Components, and Formula
The profitability index (PI) is a technique used to measure a proposed project's
costs and benefits by dividing the projected capital inflow by the investment. more
Capital Budgeting: Definition, Methods, and Examples
Capital budgeting is a process that businesses use to evaluate the potential
profitability of new projects or investments. Here are three widely used methods.
more
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