Cognitive Jurisprudence
Cognitive Jurisprudence
ADAM J. H IRSCH*
I. INTRODUCTION
Our law has no mind of its own. In times past, we have fancied law a
product of the Deity, and we are still apt to depict it as something
transcendent, or even broodingly omnipresent, if not divine. Some of our
lawmakers maintain a tradition of donning garments befitting oracles when
they utter their pronouncements.1 Needless to say, the reality is that rules
flow out of the pens of mortal persons beneath the impressive robes, persons
who must bend their mental efforts to many complex problems and tasks, all
competing for their attention.
Half a century ago, the late Herbert Simon developed the theory of
“bounded rationality” in connection with human decisionmaking. His insight
was that the cognitive resources (like other resources) of human beings are
finite and, accordingly, must be rationed. Whether consciously or
unconsciously, we all have to make hard choices about how to allocate our
intellectual energies.2 We cope with cognitive deficits, Simon and his
students elaborated, in a variety of ways—for example, by searching
selectively through the exponential ramifications of our analysis; by settling
* David M. Hoffman Professor of Law, Florida State University. M.A. 1979, J.D. 1982, Ph.D.
1987 Yale University. Thanks to Matt Adler, Steve Bank, George Fisher, Greg Mitchell, and Richard
Posner, together with audit ors at a faculty colloquium at the University of California, Hastings College
of the Law, for helpful comments. Research for this Article was supported by a grant from the COFRS
fund of Florida State University, which the author gratefully acknowledges.
1. For an eighteenth century assertion of the divine inspiration for English law, see, for example,
1 WILLIAM BLACKSTONE, COMMENTARIES ON THE LAWS OF ENGLAND *42 (1765–69). For a secular
encomium, see, for example, Foster v. State, 596 So.2d 1099, 1105 n.12 (Fla. Dist. Ct. App. 1992). For a
discussion, and criticism, of judges’ tradition of “priestly trappings,” “clothing [their] wearer with the dignity
that befits the augur,” see JEROME FRANK , COURTS ON TRIAL : MYTH & REALITY IN AMERICAN JUSTICE
254–61 (2d prtg 1950).
2. Simon’s theories are encapsulated in HERBERT A. SIMON , REASON IN HUMAN AFFAIRS (1983).
Neurophysiologists have recently taken up the problem. See generally WALTER J. FREEMAN, HOW BRAINS
MAKE UP THEIR MINDS (2000).
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on decisions that we find sufficiently good, even if not necessarily best; and
by developing mental short-cuts (dubbed heuristics) to simplify cognitive
tasks, thereby allowing us to arrive at decisions in a more frugal manner.
All of this seems rather obvious—although, as the sociologists are wont
to remind us, we frequently remain oblivious to the obvious until someone
points it out to us.3 At any rate, Simon’s vision contradicted the assumptions
of orthodox economics, which presuppose limitless cognitive capacities and
hence global rationality on the part of economic decisionmakers. Died-in-the-
wool traditionalists continue to defend the usefulness of this paradigm, 4 even
as it shifts within the work of a younger generation of behavioral economists.5
In a parallel development, the adherents of law and economics—who
imported the economic model of rational choice—now confront a growing
body of scholarship that applies behavioral psychology to the analysis of rules
regulating decisionmaking by legal actors, often to justify paternalistic
intervention (disfavored by the economists) shielding citizens from the poor
choices they might lean toward if left to their own mental devices.6
3. E.g., ANTHONY GIDDENS, IN DEFENSE OF SOCIOLOGY 3–4 (1996). In fact, this sensation reflects
still another cognitive phenomenon known as the “hindsight bias,” which leads us to overestimate the
predictability of events in retrospect. This psychological disposition has also been found to extend to
scientific results, and hence makes all our scholarship appear more trivial. Paul Slovic & Baruch Fischhoff,
On the Psychology of Experimental Surprises, 3 J. EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOL. 544, 544 (1977).
4. E.g., Gary S. Becker, Nobel Lecture: The Economic Way of Looking at Behavior, 101 J. POL.
ECON. 385, 402 (1993) (“[N]o approach of comparable generality has yet been developed that offers serious
competition to rational choice theory.”). This is hardly the only assumption of orthodox economics under
attack today as bad psychology. Preference exogeniety is another. See generally Samuel Bowles,
Endogenous Preferences: The Cultural Consequences of Markets and Other Economic Institutions, 36 J.
ECON. L IT. 75 (1998).
5. E.g., RICHARD H. THALER, QUASI RATIONAL ECONOMICS (1994). Bounded rationality has to
some degree been reflected in orthodox economics via the subterfuge of misrepresenting costly cognition as
costly information-gathering. John Conlisk, Why Bounded Rationality, 34 J. ECON . LIT. 669, 690–91 (1996)
(“It is curious that such similar . . . issues . . . have been treated so differently in standard economics, one
avoided and the other embraced.”). See also GARY S. BECKER, THE ECONOMIC APPROACH TO HUMAN
BEHAVIOR 6–7 (1976). At least one law and economics scholar has conceived lawmaking as an
“information product.” Louis Kaplow, Rules Versus Standards: An Economic Analysis, 42 DUKE L.J. 557,
585–86, 623 (1992).
6. For example, in connection with the discharge in bankruptcy, see THOMAS H. JACKSON, THE
LOGIC AND LIMITS OF BANKRUPTCY LAW 228–43 (1986); and Charles G. Hallinan, The “Fresh Start”
Policy in Consumer Bankruptcy: A Historical Inventory and an Interpretive Theory, 21 U. RICH. L. REV. 49,
109–18 (1986). For theoretical discussions of the paternalistic implications of behavioral analysis of law, see
Adam J. Hirsch, Spendthrift Trusts and Public Policy: Economic and Cognitive Perspectives, 73 WASH . U.
L.Q. 1, 17–22 (1995); Christine Jolls, Cass R. Sunstein & Richard Thaler, A Behavioral Approach to Law
and Economics, 50 STAN. L. REV . 1471, 1541–45 (1998); and Eyal Zamir, The Efficiency of Paternalism, 84
VA. L. REV . 229, 254–75 (1998). Cf. Richard A. Posner, Rational Choice, Behavioral Economics, and the
Law, 50 STAN . L. REV. 1151, 1575 (1998). For recent survey articles, see generally Russell B. Korobkin &
Thomas S. Ulen, Law and Behavioral Science: Removing the Rationality Assumption from Law and
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Economics, 88 CAL. L. REV. 1051 (2000); and Cass R. Sunstein, Behavioral Law and Economics: A
Progress Report, 1 AM. L. & ECON. REV. 115 (1999).
7. For recent skeptical critiques, see generally Robert A. Hillman, The Limits of Behavioral Decision
Theory in Legal Analysis: The Case of Liquidated Damages, 85 CORNELL L. REV. 717 (2000); Gregory
Mitchell, Taking Behavioralism Too Seriously? The Unwarranted Pessimism of the New Behavioral
Analysis of Law, 43 WM. & MARY L . REV . 1907 (2002); and Tanina Rostain, Educating Homo
Economicus: Cautionary Notes on the New Behavioral Law and Economics Movement, 34 LAW & SOC’Y
REV . 973 (2000). For a response to the first of these critiques, see Jeffrey J. Rachlinski, The “New” Law and
Psychology: A Reply to Critics, Skeptics, and Cautious Supporters, 85 CORNELL L. REV . 739 (2000).
Finally, for an argument that, taken alone, cognitive theory provides an impoverished perspective on human
psychology, see Anne C. Dailey, The Hidden Economy of the Unconscious, 74 CHI.-KENT L. REV. 1599
(2000).
8. JEROME FRANK, LAW AND THE MODERN MIND 105–06 (2d prtg. 1931); Jerome Frank, Are
Judges Human? Part One: The Effect on Legal Thinking of the Assumptions that Judges Behave like Human
Beings, 80 U. P A . L. REV . 17 (1931); Jerome Frank, Are Judges Human? Part Two: As Through a Class
Darkly, 80 U. P A. L. REV. 233 (1931).
9. See In re J.P. Linahan, 138 F.2d 650, 652–54 (2d Cir. 1943) (Frank, J.); FRANK , supra note 1, at
255–56. Frank donned his robe in 1941. For a discussion of his judging, see ROBERT J. GLENNON , THE
ICONOCLAST AS REFORMER 102–92 (1985).
10. Among them is William H. Rehnquist, the current Chief Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court:
“Judges, so long as they are relatively normal human beings, can no more escape being influenced by public
opinion in the long run than can people working at other jobs.” Quotes, A.B.A. J., Aug. 1989, at 30. See
also BENJAMIN N . CARDOZO, THE NATURE OF THE JUDICIAL PROCESS 167 (1921) (“Deep below
consciousness are other forces, the likes and the dislikes, the predilections and the prejudices, the complex of
instincts and emotions and habits and convictions, which make the man, whether he be litigant or judge.”);
RICHARD A. P OSNER, THE FEDERAL COURTS 366 (rev. ed. 1996) (“Judges are not that different from people
of the same class in the society from which they come. The unruliness of American judiciaries is the
unruliness of American culture.”).
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11. For recent discussions, citing in turn to earlier ones, see generally Frank B. Cross, In Praise of
Irrational Plaintiffs, 86 CORNELL L. REV. 1 (2000); Chris Guthrie, Better Settle Than Sorry: The Regret
Aversion Th eory of Litigation Behavior, 1999 U. ILL. L. REV. 43; Chris Guthrie, Framing Frivolous
Litigation: A Psychological Theory, 67 U. CHI. L. REV. 163 (2000); and Samuel Issacharoff, The Content of
Our Casebooks: Why Do Cases Get Litigated?, 29 FLA. ST . U. L. REV . 1265 (2002).
12. See generally Lynn M. LoPucki, Legal Culture, Legal Strategy, and the Law in Lawyers’ Heads,
90 NW . U. L. REV. 1498 (1996).
13. See Phoebe C. Ellsworth & Robert Mauro, Psychology and Law, in 2 THE HANDBOOK OF SOCIAL
PSYCHOLOGY 684, 702–17 (Daniel T. Gilbert et al. eds., 1998) (surveying the literature). For other recent
discussions, see Elizabeth F. Loftus, Leading Questions and the Eyewitness Report, in JUDGMENT AND
DECISION MAKING 199 (Terry Connolly et al. eds., 2d ed. 2000); and William Meadow & Cass R. Sunstein,
Statistics, Not Experts, 51 DUKE L.J. 629 (2001).
14. E.g., Gretchen B. Chapman & Brian H. Bornstein, The More You Ask the More You Get:
Anchoring in Personal Injury Verdicts, 10 APPLIED COGNITIVE PSYCHOL. 519 (1996); David Schkade, Cass
R. Sunstein & Daniel Kahneman, Deliberating About Dollars: The Severity Shift, 100 COLUM. L. REV. 1139
(2000). For surveys of the capacious literature, see Dennis J. Devine, Laura D. Clayton, Benjamin B.
Dunford, Rasmy Seying & Jennifer Pryce, Jury Decision Making: Forty-Five Years of Empirical Research
on Deliberating Groups, 7 PSYCHOL. P UB. P OL’Y & L. 622 (2001); and Ellsworth & Mauro, supra note 13,
at 693–02. For an earlier survey, see Robin MacCoun, Experimental Research on Jury Decision Making,
244 SC I. 1046 (1989). On the related psychological problem of jury nullification, see Mark Pingle,
Submitting to Authority: Its Effect on Decision Making, 18 J. ECON. P SYCHOL. 45 (1997).
15. C.K. ROWLAND & ROBERT A. CARP, P OLITICS AND JUDGMENT IN FEDERAL DISTRICT COURTS
152–73 (1996). See also Chris Guthrie, Jeffrey J. Rachlinski & Andrew J. Wistrich, Inside the Judicial
Mind, 86 CORNELL L. REV. 777 (2001) (examining judges’ susceptibility to cognitive illusions and biases);
Arthur J. Lurigio, John S. Carroll & Loretta J. Stalans, Understanding Judges’ Sentencing Decisions:
Attributions of Responsibility and Story Construction, in APPLICATIONS OF HEURISTICS AND BIASES TO
SOCIAL ISSUES 91 (Linda Heath et al. eds., 1994); Richard L. Wiener & Christine C. Pritchard, Negligence
Law and Mental Mutation: A Social Inference Model of Apportioning Fault, in APPLICATIONS OF
HEURISTICS AND BIASES TO SOCIAL ISSUES, supra, at 117; W. Kip Viscusi, How Do Judges Think About
Risk?, 1 AM. L. & ECON . REV . 26 (1999).
The most fundamental manifestation of bounded rationality at the level of judgment is the
occasional occurrence of legal error, which cognitive theory predicts is more likely, the more
complicated the rule a judge has to apply. Thus, the notoriously complicated Rule Against Perpetuities
has frequently resulted in legal error. Even the Rule’s all-time master described it as “a constant school
of modesty”—by which, of course, he meant intellectual modesty. JOHN C. GRAY , THE RULE AGAINST
PERPETUITIES at xi (Roland Gray ed., 4th ed. 1942) (1886). Within a cognitive model of judging, then,
an old maxim turns upside-down: Hard law makes bad cases when the judge who applies it is
boundedly rational!
16. For a suggestion of the general dearth of psychological studies of judging, see LAWRENCE BAUM,
THE PUZZLE OF JUDICIAL BEHAVIOR 137–38, 141 (1997).
My own explorations of the effects of bounded rationality on lawmaking began in 1996. See
Adam J. Hirsch, Inheritance and Inconsistency, 57 OHIO ST . L.J. 1057, 1145–62 (1996) [hereinafter
Hirsch, Inconsistency]; Adam J. Hirsch, Inheritance Law, Legal Contraptions, and the Problem of
Doctrinal Change, 79 OR. L. REV. 527, 567–68, 573 (2000). One can find occasional stabs at the
problem scattered through the literature of jurisprudence. For an early suggestion that the phenomenon
of legal fictions traced to the conceptual limitations of the “human mind[s]” of judges, see L. L. Fuller,
Legal Fictions, 25 I LL . L. REV . 513, 524–25 (1931). For several recent contributions to the literature,
see Hillary A. Sale, Judging Heuristics, 35 U.C. DAVIS L. REV . 903 (2002); Mark Seidenfeld, Cognitive
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Loafing, Social Conformity, and Judicial Review of Agency Rulemaking, 87 CORNELL L. REV . 486
(2002); and Stephen M. Bainbridge & G. Mitu Gulati, How Do Judges Maximize? (The Same Way
Everybody Else Does—Boundedly): Rules of Thumb in Securities Fraud Opinions, 51 EMORY L.J. 83
(2002).
17. Doubtless, academics enjoy more ample time for reflection than any other mortal lawmaker (“the
leisure of the theory class”). But compare Grant Gilmore’s (playful?) assertion that “the academic mind is
usually a generation or so behind the judicial min d in catching on to . . . things.” GRANT GILMORE, THE
DEATH OF CONTRACT 90 (1974).
18. E.g., Guthrie et al., supra note 15, at 829 (“Our study demonstrates that [trial] judges rely on the
same cognitive decision-making process as laypersons, which . . . can produce poor judgments.”).
19. For a theoretical discussion citing to earlier works on the same subject, see Craig D. Parks &
Rebecca Cowlin, Group Discussion as Affected by the Number of Alternatives and by a Time Limit, 62
ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAV . & HUM. DECISION PROCESSES 267 (1995).
20. See generally DAVID LUBAN , LAWYERS AND JUSTICE 47–49 (1988) (observing the exploitation
of “loopholes” in law). To a degree, election-finance law and criminal law likewise comprise competit ive
task environments. These games of cat-and-mouse have gone on since the dawn of law. For example,
Britain’s Parliament proved no match for medieval estate planners, who quickly succeeded in thwarting the
Statute of Uses. Blackstone commented dryly: “[T]hus . . . a statute made upon great deliberation . . . has
had little other effect than to make a slight alteration in the formal words of a conveyance.” 2 BLACKSTONE,
supra note 1, at * 336. Likewise, the church “ever had of their counsel the best learned men that they could
get,” and these “found many means to creep out of th[e mortmain] statute.” 2 id. at * 270.
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in the corporate realm, where lawmakers in different states vie to provide the
most appealing situs for business charters.21
Finally, and perhaps most significantly, our legal landscape is a busy
place, cultivated by busy persons. Juries typically face a single task, and they
have some flexibility in allocating time toward its accomplishment. By
contrast, lawmakers must attend to multiple tasks in a limited time. In The
Path of the Law, Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes told of “a very eminent
judge” who claimed “he never let a decision go until he was absolutely sure
that he was right.”22 If such behavior, or anything like it, was ever truly
possible, it is assuredly not so today. Dockets (and legislative agendas) are
too crowded to permit it. As we would expect, term and session deadlines—
occasioning the proverbial rush to judgment—put added pressure on scarce
cognitive resources.23
None of this is to suggest that bounded rationality exercises a dominant
influence on patterns of lawmaking; human nature is too complicated for that.
But the part that it does play, alongside so many others,24 merits investigation.
21. See generally Charles Tiebout, A Pure Theory of Local Expenditures, 64 J. POL . ECON. 416
(1956) (positing a general theory of legal competition among states).
22. Oliver Wendell Holmes, The Path of the Law, 10 HARV. L. REV. 457, 465 (1897).
23. For an early recognition, see ARISTOTLE, THE “ART ” OF RHETORIC 5–7 (John Henry Freese
trans., G.P. Putnam’s Sons 1926) (c. 330 B.C.) (observing that “judgments are delivered on the spur of the
moment, so that it is difficult for the judges properly to decide questions of justice or expediency”). On the
theoretical significance of time pressure, see TIME PRESSURE AND STRESS IN HUMAN JUDGMENT AND
DECISION MAKING (Ola Svenson & A. John Maule eds., 1993); JOHN W. PAYNE, JAMES R. BETTMAN &
ERIC J. JOHNSON , T HE ADAPTIVE DECISION MAKER 37–40 (1993); and A. John Maule & Anne C. Edland,
The Effects of Time Pressure on Human Judgment and Decision Making, in DECISION MAKING : COGNITIVE
MODELS AND EXPLANATIONS 189 (Rob Ranyard et al. eds., 1997); Mieneke W.H. Weenig & Marleen
Maarleveld, The Impact of Time Constraints on Information Search Strategies in Complex Choice Tasks, 23
J. ECON. PSYCHOL. 689 (2002). For suggestions by judges that time pressure has adversely affected the
quality of their opinions, see EDWARD LAZARUS, CLOSED CHAMBERS 285–86 (1998); Howard T. Markey,
On the Present Deterioration of the Federal Appellate Process: Never Another Learned Hand, 33 S.D. L.
REV . 371, 374 (1988); and Lauren K. Robel, Caseload and Judging: Judicial Adaptations to Caseload, 1990
BYU L. REV. 3, 9–10. By analogy, the scramble that occurs near the end of a legislative session or when a
bill is on the floor is notoriously inauspicious for the quality of legislation. E.g., Stephen Breyer, The 1991
Justice Lester W. Roth Lecture: On the Uses of Legislative History in Interpreting Statutes, 65 S. CAL. L.
REV . 845, 873 (1992). Crowded agendas also diminish the intensity of review of private legislation.
Lawrence H. Averill, Jr., An Eclectic History and Analysis of the 1990 Uniform Probate Code, 55 ALA . L.
REV . 891, 905 n.63 (1992); Adam J. Hirsch, Revisions in Need of Revising: The Uniform Disclaimer of
Property Interests Act, 29 FLA . ST . U. L. REV. 109, 179 n.324 (2001).
24. Not least, of course, the substantive policy concerns of lawmakers. For a range of perspectives,
see generally BAUM, supra note 16; DANIEL A. FARBER & P HILIP P. FRICKEY , L AW AND PUBLIC CHOICE
12–33 (1991); RICHARD A. POSNER, OVERCOMING LAW 109–44 (1995); RICHARD A. POSNER, THE
PROBLEMS OF JURISPRUDENCE 186–96 (1990); ROWLAND & CARP, supra note 15, at 10–17; LAWRENCE S.
WRIGHTSMAN, JUDICIAL DECISION MAKING : IS PSYCHOLOGY RELEVANT ? (1999); Orley Ashenfelter,
Theodore Eisenberg & Stewart J. Schwab, Politics and the Judiciary: The Influence of Judicial Background
on Case Outcomes, 24 J. LEGAL STUD. 257 (1995); Frederick Schauer, Incentives, Reputation, and the
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This Article makes a preliminary foray into the field. The question that it
poses is a simple one: In what respects do legal rules reflect their authors’
limited capacities for productive thinking?
Inglorious Determinants of Judicial Behavior, 68 U. CIN. L. REV. 615 (2000); Dan Simon, A Psychological
Model of Judicial Decision Making, 30 RUTGERS L.J. 1 (1998); and Gregory C. Sisk, Michael Heise &
Andrew P. Morris, Charting the Influences on the Judicial Mind: An Empirical Study of Judicial Reasoning,
73 N.Y.U. L. REV . 1377 (1998).
25. Professor Simon offered this illustration in his seminal essay. Herbert A. Simon, A Behavioral
Model of Rational Choice, 69 Q. J. ECON. 99, 106–07 (1955).
26. “What a person cannot do he or she will not do, no matter how strong the urge to do it.”
HERBERT A. SIMON , T HE SCIENCES OF THE ARTIFICIAL 28 (3d ed. 1996). On selective search, see id. at 55–
59.
27. Sanford J. Fox, Reflection on the Law Reforming Process, 4 U. MICH. J.L. REFORM 443, 452
(1971).
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28. Richard V. Wellman, Law Teachers and the Uniform Probate Code, 24 J. LEGAL EDUC. 180, 182
(1972).
29. RICHARD A. POSNER, ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF LAW § 21.5, at 614 & n.7 (citing to prior
discussions).
30. This phenomenon may also have to do with mechanisms of long-term memory retrieval.
“Associationist” theories of memory posit that knowledge is stored in interconnected mental compartments.
Those interconnections operate like an analytical search tree, and, absent a close connection, a lawmaker (let
us say) might fail to associate legal knowledge in one compartment with that located in another. Steven A.
Sloman, Rational Versus Arational Models of Thought, in THE NATURE OF COGNITION 557, 573–74, 578
(Ro bert J. Sternberg ed., 1999) (citing to memory studies).
31. “[P]articular decision domains will evoke particular values, and great inconsistencies in choice
may result from fluctuating attention.” SIMON , supra note 2, at 18. For an early recognition of the
phenomenon in connection with one branch of lawmaking, see JOHN CHIPMAN GRAY, RESTRAINTS ON THE
ALIENATION OF PROPERTY § 7 (2d ed. 1895).
32. For an extended discussion and a great number of examples, see Hirsch, Inconsistency, supra note
16.
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33. Hirsch, Inconsistency, supra note 16, at 1125–35. It is tempting to posit at this juncture
something akin to an “inverse square law” in cognitive jurisprudence: The greater the “distance” between
two points along the legal landscape, the lesser the likelihood that a lawmaker will think to compare them
when crafting a rule at one of the two points. But as a science of human nature, cognitive psychology cannot
so easily be reduced to the austerity of equations.
34. Or to use Simon’s phraseology, they suffer “unanticipated consequences.” Simon, supra note 25,
at 103; Herbert A. Simon, Rationality in Political Behavior, 16 POL. P SYCHOL. 45, 46–47 (1995). Of course,
this is not the only circumstance that can occasion what is commonly meant by surprise, but it does
constitute one distinct variant of the phenomenon. See generally G.L.S. SHACKLE, DECISION ORDER AND
TIME IN HUMAN AFFAIRS (2d ed. 1969) (discussing surprise in the context of economic theory).
35. See BOBBY FISCHER, MY 60 M EMORABLE GAMES 28 (1969) (“This [p]awn sac[rifice] caught me
completely by surprise.”); id. at 114 (“Having overlooked [black’s] last move, I was somewhat shaken!”); id.
at 193 (“This [move] looked like a shot—but instead it’s a shock.”).
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retrospect that they had paid greater attention to other dimensions of the
problem, realizing too late that they have made a bad move.
Lawmakers, too, are susceptible to surprise. Occasionally, lawmakers
miscalculate the social repercussions of rules they craft.36 More typically,
however, lawmakers fail to contemplate circumstances that call for refining
general rules. Had lawmakers searched down neglected pathways, they
would have announced more discriminate, or more limited, rules a priori.
Persons crafting rules have one unparalleled advantage over persons
playing chess: Judges and legislators are allowed to take their moves back.
Lawmakers reverse ill-conceived (as well as timeworn) rules. Likewise, and
more commonly, the development of exceptions to rules, “an omnipresent
feature of the legal terrain,”37 must trace substantially to selective search and
resulting surprise on the part of lawmaking bodies.38
However reluctantly, lawmakers have had to own up to their periodic
miscalculations. In the well-known case of Riggs v. Palmer,39 the high court
of New York confronted the troubling spectacle of a will beneficiary due to
inherit because he had slain the testator. Here, as cognitive theory predicts
can happen,40 the testator failed to envisage this remote contingency and to
provide for it under the terms of the will itself. But so, too, had lawmakers:
the statutes regulating wills likewise included no qualification to disinherit
slayers. The court corrected the legislators’ oversight:
If such a case had been present to their minds . . . it cannot be doubted
that they would have provided for it. . . . The writers of laws do not
36. A striking historical example of legal miscalculation was Great Britain’s “bloody code” of the
eighteenth century: the vast expansion of the list of capital offenses, on the erroneous assumption that
increasing the severity of punishment would control the incidence of crime. When members of Parliament
came to the realization that “extreme severity, instead of operating as prevention to crimes, rather tended to
inflame and promote them, by adding desperation to villainy,” they set about reforming the code. 1 LEON
RADZINOWICZ, A HISTORY OF ENGLISH CRIMINAL LAW AND ITS ADMINISTRATION FROM 1750, at 343
(1948) (quoting Sir Archibald Macdonald). See also ADAM JAY HIRSCH, THE RISE OF THE PENITENTIARY :
PRISONS AND PUNISHMENTS IN EARLY AMERICA 40–43 (1992).
37. Frederick Schauer, Exceptions, 58 U. CHI. L. REV . 871, 872 (1991).
38. Cf. id. at 872–73, 875 (suggesting that exceptions are typically the product of “fortuitous
circumstances” of the inadequacy of language to express exceptions to rules within the singular wording of
the rules themselves). See also supra note 20 and accompanying text (noting legal actors’ exploitation of
imperfect rules, or “loopholes” in rules, that can prompt lawmakers to undertake to refine them).
39. 22 N.E. 188 (N.Y. 1889).
40. “If the parties [to a contract] are boundedly rational, they may be unable to anticipate every
eventuality,” irrespective of the transaction costs involved. Oliver Hart & John Moore, Incomplete
Contracts and Renegotiation, 56 ECONOMETRICA 755, 757 (1988). Of course, wills would not be expected
to differ from contracts in this respect.
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always express their intention perfectly, but either exceed it or fall short
of it. . . . [L]aw-makers could not set down every case in express terms.41
41. Riggs, 22 N.E. at 189. See also, e.g., In re Estate o f Kolacy, 753 A.2d 1257, 1261 (N.J. Super. Ct.
Ch. Div. 2000).
42. Commissioners are equally vulnerable to surprise. For an example in the Uniform Laws, see
infra note 102. The overarching problem was identified long ago by Aristotle:
[I]t is plainly impossible to pronounce with complete accuracy upon such a subject -matter as
human action. Whenever then the terms of the law are general, but the particular case is an
exception to the general law, it is right, where the legislator’s rule is inadequate or erroneous
in virtue of its generality, to rectify the defect.
ARISTOTLE, THE NICOMACHEAN ETHICS 179–80 (J.E.C. Welldon trans., Prometheus Books 1987)(c.
334–23 B.C.) (citation omitted).
43. See generally John F. Manning, Textualism and the Equity of the Statute, 101 COLUM L. REV. 1
(2001) (discussing the propriety of judicial legislation). Other jurisprudes have spilled drums of ink over
Riggs. See, e.g., RONALD DWORKIN, The Model of Rules I, in TAKING RIGHTS SERIOUSLY 14, 23–45
(1977).
44. See RESTATEMENT (SECOND) OF PROP.: DONATIVE TRANSFERS § 34.8 note (1983) (Statutory
Note to Section 34.8).
45. Compare a related observation by Judge Frank Easterbrook:
What happens when you turn a generalist [judge] loose in a complex world? An ignorant or
unwise judge will be unaware of his limits and is apt to do something foolish. A sophisticated
judge understands that he is not knowledgeable and so tries to limit the potential damage.
How is this done? By and large, it is done by constructing “five-part balancing tests.” Not
only judges but also the leaders of the bar find this approach congenial. The American Law
Institute’s Restatements teem with multi- factor approaches.
Frank H. Easterbrook, What’s So Special About Judges?, 61 U. COLO . L. REV . 773, 779–80 (1990).
Legislators have also chosen on occasion to adopt standards instead of rules, sometimes declaring their
intention of allowing gradual refinement of the law. For instances of intentional indefiniteness within the
610 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LAW REVIEW [Vol. 76:599
federal Bankruptcy Code, for example, see 11 U.S.C.A. § 1113(c)(3), § 361 & Historical and Revision
Notes, § 525 & Historical and Revision Notes (2000). For a famous example in the Uniform Laws, see
U.C.C. § 2-302 & cmt. (1987).
46. See, e.g., Carol M. Rose, Crystals and Mud in Property Law, 40 STAN . L. REV . 577, 590–93
(1988). Compare economic models of the optimal level of generality or specificity of law. See Kaplow,
supra note 5, at 585–86 (exploring the efficiency of expending resources to craft rules as a whole, as
compared to piecemeal, ex post refinement of a standard, and citing to earlier economic analyses). See
generally Russell B. Korobkin, Behavioral Analysis and Legal Form: Rules vs. Standards Revisited, 79 OR .
L. REV. 23 (2000) (providing a behavioral analysis of the virtues of rules versus standards from the
perspective of legal actors and adjudicators, but not from the perspective of lawmakers).
47. See, e.g., DANIEL KAHNEMAN , ATTENTION AND EFFORT 178–202 (1973); HAROLD E. P ASHLER,
THE PSYCHOLOGY OFATTENTION 265–317 (1998); David Navon & Daniel Gopher, On the Economy of the
Human-Processing System, 86 PSYCHOL. REV . 214, 218–22 (1979); Christopher D. Wickens, Processing
Resources in Attention, in VARIETIES OF ATTENTION 63 (Raja Parasuraman & D. R. Davies eds., 1984).
2003] COGNITIVE JURISPRUDENCE 611
48. Warren Thorngate, On Paying Attention, in RECENT TRENDS INTHEORETICAL PSYCHOLOGY 247,
249 (Wm J. Baker et al. eds., 1988).
49. Id. at 250.
50. The same conclusion derives from the closely allied field of informational economics: “The
economic approach . . . implies . . . greater investment in information when undertaking major than minor
decisions—the purchase of a house or entrance into marriage versus the purchase of a sofa or bread.”
BECKER , supra note 5, at 6–7.
51. To give just one example, the phenomenon has been observed within the field of
psycholinguistics: studies indicate that persons engaged in the task of reading employ comprehension
strategies that ration attention, expending greater effort on passages deemed important while skimming over
trivial passages. Christine J. Gordon & Carl Braun, Metacognitive Processes: Reading and Writing
Narrative Discourse, in 2 METACOGNITION, COGNITION, AND HUMAN PERFORMANCE 1, 3–6 (D.L. Forrest -
Pressley et al. eds., 1985) (citing and summarizing prior studies).
52. In a similar vein, abstract thinkers have ever been the butt of derision for misdirecting their
cognitive energies—beginning with Socrates, whom his contemporary Eupolis mocked as a “poverty-
stricken windbag . . . who contemplates everything in the world but does not know where his next meal is
coming from.” I. F. STONE , THE TRIAL OF SOCRATES 135 (1988).
53. Professor Simon associated the phenomenon with legislative behavior and with government
decisionmaking in general. SIMON, supra note 2, at 79–83; Herbert A. Simon, Rationality as Process and as
Product of Thought, in DECISION MAKING 58, 72–74 (David E. Bell et al. eds., 1988).
54. Another factor, obviously, is variations in the raw talent of different lawmakers. In what state
would we find commercial law today, had Karl Llewellyn and Grant Gilmore decided to become
constit utional lawyers?
612 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LAW REVIEW [Vol. 76:599
Lawmakers can economize on the effort they put into a less significant
rule in a number of different ways. The most parsimonious strategy is simply
to abstain from touching the rule at all—decision by default, a kind of
heuristic that cognitive psychologists have observed in other social contexts.55
In connection with statutory law, the bottleneck of the agenda is well
known.56 Barring distortions of the legislative process stemming from
interest group politics,57 statutes situated in back-alleys of the legal
landscape —exempt property law, for example —are frequently left to gather
dust. Forgotten but not gone, these laws tend ineluctably toward
obsolescence.58
In connection with case law, the abstention heuristic translates into blind
adherence to precedent—or, in the vernacular of jurisprudence, formalism—
with the same result that rules become stranded in the past.59 With respect to
judicial lawmaking, however, patterns of abstention are less often conceived
in cognitive terms. According to orthodox jurisprudence, repeated in
Supreme Court decisions, precedent is supposed to have greater weight in
those areas where the reliance interest of individuals is higher—for instance,
in the areas of property law and commercia l law. In areas where fewer
persons rely on the stability of rules, such as constitutional law, fidelity to the
principle of stare decisis drops correspondingly. 60
55. See, e.g., Steffen Huck & Jorg Oechssler, Informational Cascades in the Laboratory: Do They
Occur for the Right Reasons?, 21 J. ECON. PSYCHOL. 661 (2000); Amos Tversky & Eldar Shafir, Choice
Under Conflict: The Dynamics of Deferred Decision, 3 PSYCHOL. SC I. 358 (1992).
56. See, e.g., Michael E. Levine & Charles R. Plott, Agenda Influence and Its Implications, 63 VA . L.
REV . 561 (1977).
57. See generally FARBER & FRICKEY, supra note 24, at 12–33.
58. “The . . . notable characteristics of state exemption laws are their extreme variety and, in many
instances, their extreme obsolescence. . . . [T]hey are not typically subject to periodic legislative revision,”
due to “neglect.” Vern Countryman, For a New Exemption Policy in Bankruptcy, 14 RUTGERS L. REV. 678,
681–84 (1960). See also Richard E. Mendales, Rethinking Exemptions in Bankruptcy, 40 B.C. L. REV . 851,
855–56 (1999). Likewise, the law of donative transfers suffers notoriously from “[g]eneral legislative
disinterest.” Edward C. Halbach, Jr., Stare Decisis and Rules of Construction in Wills and Trusts, 52 CAL .
L. REV . 921, 921 (1964). A recent court has bemoaned the failure of Wyoming’s legislature to update the
state’s obscure intestacy statute in over 130 years. See In re Estate of Fosler, 13 P.3d 686, 689–90 (Wyo.
2000). And in Massachusetts, a court has had to wrestle of late with a 165 year old intestacy statute!
Woodward v. Comm’r of Soc. Sec., 760 N.E. 2d 257, 264 (Mass. 2002).
59. Adherence to precedent also effectively results when an appeal is denied, and the two
mechanisms can be conceived as functionally similar. See generally H.W. P ERRY, JR., DECIDING TODECIDE
(1991). There are other possible jurisprudential applications of the abstention heuristic. Another, far larger
(but less common) one is the legal reception. See generally ALAN WATSON, LEGAL TRANSPLANTS (1974).
60. For recent discussions, see State Oil Co. v. Khan, 522 U.S. 3, 20 (1997); and Planned Parenthood
of Southeastern Pa. v. Casey, 505 U.S. 833, 854–55 (1992). For recent law and economics analyses of stare
decisis, citing in turn to earlier ones, see generally Thomas R. Lee, Stare Decisis in Economic Perspective:
An Economic Analysis of the Supreme Court’s Doctrine of Precedent, 78 N.C. L. REV . 643 (2000); and Erin
2003] COGNITIVE JURISPRUDENCE 613
O’Hara, Social Constraint or Implicit Collusion? Toward a Game Theoretic Analysis of Stare Decisis, 24
SETON HALL L. REV . 736 (1993).
61. This much, at least, has been recognized for some time. Justice Holmes described formalism as
the “uninstructive and indolent use of phrases to save the trouble of thinking closely.” Oliver Wendell
Holmes, Law in Science and Science in Law, 12 HARV. L. REV. 443, 461 (1899). Although he appreciated
the legal certainty that formalism provides, Holmes insisted that “repose is not the destiny of man.” Holmes,
supra note 22, at 465–68 (quotation at 466); Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr., Address at the Banquet of
Midellesex Bar Association (Dec. 3, 1902), in 3 THE COLLECTED WORKS OF JUSTICE HOLMES 535, 536
(Sheldon M. Novick ed., 1995). In a less pejorative vein, Judge Cardozo pointed out that “the labor of
judges would be increased almost to the breaking point if every past decision could be reopened in every
case.” CARDOZO, supra note 10, at 149. For more recent observations, see, for example, BAUM, supra note
16, at 72; and Frederick Schauer, Precedent, 39 STAN . L. REV. 571, 599 (1987). On the possibility that
precedent constitutes a form of herd behavior, see Eric Talley, Precedential Cascades: An Appraisal, 73 S.
CAL . L. REV . 87 (1999).
62. Stevens v. Casdorph, 508 S.E.2d 610, 615 (W. Va. 1998) (Workman, J., dissenting).
63. For evidence that such considerations can affect a higher court’s decision to grant an appeal, see
PERRY, supra note 59, at 253–65. For the suggestion that decision on the basis of procedural technicality,
avoiding the substantive merits of a case, can likewise operate as a mechanism for agenda control, enabling
the court to dispose of “undesirable” cases “quickly and cheaply,” and thereby to devote “more energy to
cases in which they are interested,” see Jonathan R. Macey, Judicial Preferences, Public Choice, and the
Rules of Procedure, 23 J. LEGAL STUD. 627, 632–41, 645–46 (1994) (quotations at 646).
64. See, e.g., Halbach, supra note 58, at 921. The titles tell the story. See generally W. BARTON
LEACH , P ROPERTY LAW INDICTED! OR THE PEOPLE VS. BLACKSTONE, KENT , GRAY , AND STARE DECISIS
(ACCESSORIES: PONTIUS PILATE AND THE LAWS OF THE MEDES AND THE PERSIANS) (1967); William F.
Fratcher, Exorcise the Curse of Reversionary Possibilities, 28 MO . B. J. 34 (1972); Wythe Holt, The Testator
Who Gave Away Less Than All He or She Had: Perversions in the Law of Future Interests, 32 ALA . L. REV .
69 (1980); Taylor Mattis & David Schellenberg, The Doctrine of Worthier Title in Illinois: Burying the
Dead, 23 J. MAR. L. REV. 81 (1989); Ronald Maudsley, Escaping the Tyranny of Common Law Estates, 42
MO . L . REV. 355 (1977); Nicholas L. White, Bringing Tennessee into the Twentieth Century: Re
614 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LAW REVIEW [Vol. 76:599
Possibilities of Reverter, Powers of Termination and Executory Interests When Used as Land Control
Devices, 15 MEM. ST . U. L. REV . 555 (1985); Robert R. Wright, Medieval Law in the Age of Space: Some
“Rules of Property” in Arkansas, 22 ARK. L. REV. 248 (1968); Charles M. Agee, Jr., Note, Has Tennessee
Abolished Its Ancient Class Gift Doctrine or Only Modified It? , 7 MEM. ST . U. L. REV . 129 (1976).
65. ASHBEL G. GULLIVER, CASES AND MATERIALS ON THE LAW OF FUTURE INTERESTS 11 (1959).
66. Id. at 12.
67. See, e.g., PAYNE ET AL ., supra note 23, at 72–75 (suggesting that reflection is positively
correlated with decision quality). For an early observation, see JEREMY BENTHAM, The Principles of Penal
Law, in 1 WORKS OF JEREMY BENTHAM 365, 402 (John Bowring ed., 1842) (ms. 1775–1802). According to
Bentham, “[i]n matters of importance, everyone calculates. Each individual calculates with more or less
correctness, according to . . . the power of the motives which actuate him.” Id. But see Timothy D. Wilson
& Jonathan W. Schooler, Thinking Too Much: Introspection Can Reduce the Quality of Preferences and
Decisions, 60 J. PERSONALITY & SOC. P SYCHOL. 181 (1991) (finding that when one’s spontaneous decision
happens to be superior, reflection can prompt one to switch to an inferior decision because one will often
perceive additional advantages and disadvantages in alternative choices, hence making the alternatives more
difficult to distinguish); Timothy D. Wilson, Douglas J. Lisle, Jonathan W. Schooler, Sara D. Hodges,
Kristen J. Klaaren & Suzanne J. LaFleur, Introspecting About Reasons Can Reduce Post-Choice
Satisfaction, 19 PERSONALITY & SOC. P SYCHOL. BULL. 331 (1993) (related finding).
68. FRANK M. COFFIN, ON APPEAL 175–76 (1994); Robel, supra note 23, at 9. For two other
appellate judges’ acknowledgment of case sorting (but without this nomenclature), see Markey, supra note
23, at 380–81; Patricia M. Wald, The Rhetoric of Results and the Results of Rhetoric: Judicial Writings, 62
U. CHI. L. REV. 1371, 1374 (1995) (“Time does not allow for the same careful, thoughtful analysis and
writing to be poured into all cases . . . .”). See also William M. Richman & William L. Reynolds, Appellate
Justice, Bureaucracy, and Scholarship, 21 U. M ICH. J.L. REFORM 623, 629, 642–43 (1988).
2003] COGNITIVE JURISPRUDENCE 615
Frank Coffin, author of several works on the ways of his profession, insisted
that some such process has become a veritable necessity:
Without a sense of the relative importance of cases, both I and my clerks
will be tempted to lavish time and care on every case, whether routine or
significant . . . . We would soon find ourselves falling behind and
working on older and older cases. And the older the cases, the harder it
is to recall what we have . . . discussed . . . , and the cycle becomes
vicious.69
69. COFFIN, supra note 68, at 175–76. See also Wald, supra note 68, at 1374 (“But what is the
alternative?”).
70. FRANK M. COFFIN, T HE WAYS OF A JUDGE 163 (1980).
71. “[C]aseload pressure . . . leaves no alternative, in most instances, to . . . intensive utilization of law
clerks.” Id. at 69–70. See also , Robel, supra note 23, at 10. According to one estimate, “well over half of
the text the [Supreme] Court now produces was generated by law clerks.” Sean Donahue, Behind the Pillars
of Justice: Remarks on Law Clerks, 3 LONG TERM VIEW , Spring 1995, at 77, 81.
72. Markey, supra note 23, at 380–81; Richman & Reynolds, supra note 68, at 629, 642–43; Robel,
supra note 23, at 47.
73. For suggestions of this effect, see POSNER, supra note 10, at 149–51, 157; Erwin N. Griswold,
The Federal Courts Today and Tomorrow: A Summary and Survey, 38 S.C. L. REV. 393, 398 (1987); and
Markey, supra note 23, at 382. But see W ILLIAM H. REHNQUIST , THE SUPREME COURT 262–63 (Pat Hass
ed., Alfred Knopf 2001) (1989) (insisting that clerks always operate under the judge’s close supervision).
74. John H. Langbein, The Supreme Court Flunks Trusts, 1990 SUP. CT . REV. 207, 217–28.
616 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LAW REVIEW [Vol. 76:599
would have uttered such doctrinal hash if they had been seriously
engaged in the enterprise.
Unfortunately, [this] is not the first instance in which the Supreme
Court has discharged ERISA business shoddily. I understand why a
Court wrestling with the grandest issues of public law may feel that its
mission is distant from ERISA. . . . If the Court is bored with the detail
of supervising complex bodies of statutory law, thought should be given
to having the job done by a court that would take it seriously.75
78. In re Dulles’ Estate, 67 A. 49, 50 (Pa. 1907). Within future interests law, the Rule Against
Perpetuities—whose dissection required of Professor John Chipman Gray no fewer than 833 mind-numbing
pages—is doubtless the mother of all legal excrescences, despite its distance from law’s center of gravity.
GRAY , supra note 15. For observations (both modern and historical) of the prevalence of legal excrescences
within the legal landscape, see FRED RODELL, WOE UNTO YOU, LAWYERS ! 41 (1939); and Hirsch,
Inconsistency, supra note 16, at 1146–47 nn.270, 273.
79. In a recent article, Professor Andrew Kull draws the opposite conclusion. He argues that apathy
on the part of judges tends systematically toward legal simplification:
[T]he elaboration and maintenance of legal doctrine requires cultivation. Issues that form a
significant and rewarding part of professional life will justify finer distinctions and more
elaborate legal structures. . . . [T]he common law (or equity) itself needs nourishment, the
way a tree needs to take moisture from the ground. When judges . . . begin to spend most of
their time working on other problems, an old tree that grew to enormous size when moisture
was plentiful will start t o die back and to lose some of its branches.
Andrew Kull, The Simplification of Private Law, 51 J. LEGAL EDUC. 284, 291 (2001). Yet, to continue
Professor Kull’s metaphor, we know that neglect of vegetation can cause it to wither or, just as easily, to
become overgrown. So long as lawmakers lavish attention on a rule, we would expect its degree of
complexity (or lushness) to correspond more closely with perceptions of public policy. When lawmakers
become inattentive, however, that correspondence may cease in either direction. The “nervous” response of
over-refinement (or over-cultivation) of law follows from lawmakers’ pretensions and yearnings to impress
their audience. Thus, Blackstone (in a delightfully Whiggish set piece) accused the Normans of having
“frittered [Anglo-Saxon law] into logical distinctions . . . and . . . metaphysical subtilties, with a skill most
amazingly artificial . . . [, for] no other purpose . . . than to show the vast powers of the human intellect,
however vainly or preposterously employed.” 4 BLACKSTONE, supra note 1, at *417. As a more recent
observer echoes, “simplicity embarrasses . . . lawyers and judges.” LoPucki, supra note 12, at 1500. See
also Robert F. Nagel, The Formulaic Constitution, 84 MICH. L. REV. 165, 182 (1985) (suggesting that in
complexifying legal rules, courts are playing to an academic audience); Peter H. Schuck, Legal Complexity:
Some Causes, Consequences, and Cures, 42 DUKE L.J. 1, 7, 31–38 (1992) (positing that legal complexity is
a “craft value”). Of course, special interest lobbying can cause a legal excrescence to arise in any corner of
the legal landscape. See supra note 57 and accompanying text.
618 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LAW REVIEW [Vol. 76:599
bequests for the care of pets, graves, and the like. It was, as one of the
Commissions admitted, “a tag end . . . a manifest frill. . . . The main concerns
of the revised [Uniform Probate Code] lie elsewhere.”84 How, then, did the
Commissioners go about drafting this minor provision? By copying out of a
draft submitted to them by a layperson!85 The result was a rule shot-through
with ambiguities and setting a limit on the duration of honorary trusts that was
arrived at, as the reporter himself confessed, “for no particular reason.”86
Commissioners, alas, are just as vulnerable to task interference as any other
lawmakers.
Task interference within a code can manifest itself dynamically as
neglect, on top of shoddy construction. As lawmakers struggle to modernize
a code (which, because it takes so long to complete, can grow obsolete even
before it is adopted87), they will likely turn their attention first to its central
provisions. Outlying provisions within a code—like outlying quadrants of
law within a universe of codes—may once more be left to gather dust. What
else could explain the survival within the estate -administration provisions of
many local probate codes of those hoary distinctions between real and
personal property that have long since disappeared from the (more prominent)
substantive provisions of those very same codes?88 Commissioners, too, have
updated the Uniform Laws unmethodically. 89
Once again, lawmakers are not entirely oblivious to these phenomena,
and they have offered at least one response to the problem of task interference
84. Letter from John H. Langbein to Adam J. Hirsch (Sept. 20, 1999) (on file with author).
85. See Adam J. Hirsch, Trusts for Purposes: Policy, Ambiguity, and Anomaly in the Uniform Laws,
26 FLA. ST . U. L. REV . 913, 952 (1999).
86. National Conference of Commissioners on Uniform State Laws, Proceedings in Committee of the
Whole, Uniform Probate Code Article II (July 15, 1990), at 133–34 (unpublished document, on file with
author) (statement of Professor Lawrence Waggoner). The sundry ambiguities in the provision are unpacked
in detail in Hirsch, supra note 85, at 930–50.
87. See, e.g., Grant Gilmore, The Good Faith Purchase Idea and the Uniform Commercial Code:
Confessions of a Repentant Draftsman, 15 GA . L. REV. 605, 627 (1981) (discussing revisions to the Uniform
Commercial Code).
88. See W ILLIAM M. MC GOVERN, JR. & SHELDON F. KURTZ, WILLS, T RUSTS AND ESTATES § 12.6,
at 505 (2d ed. 2001). E.g., FLA . STAT . ch. 733.612(21) (2001). On the antiquated theoretical roots of the
distinction, see THOMAS E. ATKINSON, HANDBOOK OF THE LAW OF WILLS 668 (2d ed. 1953).
89. A striking illustration of peripheral obsolescence within the Uniform Laws is the provision
dealing with lacunae in the Uniform Commercial Code, also replicated within the Uniform Probate Code and
other Uniform Acts. The provision’s vague language—stating that gaps are to be filled “by the principles of
law and equity”—has been slavishly copied without apparent reconsideration or elaboration by the
Commissioners for over a century, originating in their first widely adopted product, the Uniform Negotiable
Instruments Law of . . . 1896! Compare U.C.C. § 1-103 & cmt. (1987), and UNIF . PROB. CODE § 1-103
(amended 2002), 8 U.L.A. 27 (1998), with UNIF . NEGOTIABLE INSTRUMENTS LAW § 196 (1896). For a
further discussion, noting several issues of construction raised by the provision, see Adam J. Hirsch, supra
note 85, at 916 n.18.
620 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LAW REVIEW [Vol. 76:599
within a given work product. Consider the distinction between precedent and
dictum, a dichotomy so deeply ingrained that it is rarely discussed (although,
historically, it did not take hold within the legal mind until sometime around
the seventeenth century90). One jurisprudential explanation for the
nonbinding effect of dicta is political: Unlike legislators, judges are only
empowered to decide the issues before them. 91 But another explanation,
offered by Justice John Marshall as early as 1821, is cognitive. He reflected
in Cohens v. Virginia, “The reason for this maxim is obvious. The question
actually before the Court is investigated with care, and considered in its full
extent. Other principles . . . are considered in their relation to the case
decided, but their possible bearing on all other cases is seldom completely
investigated.”92
There it was. Courts focus their attention on the central matter of the
dispute at-hand and pay less mind to issues potentially raised by other facts.
Justice Marshall understood intuitively that dicta should not bind, because
they provide less reliable analysis. Both his descriptive and normative
conclusions fit perfectly into a theory of cognitive jurisprudence.
90. See J.H. BAKER, AN INTRODUCTION TOENGLISH LEGAL HISTORY 172–73 (2d ed. 1979); RUPERT
CROSS & J.W. HARRIS , PRECEDENT IN ENGLISH LAW 41 (4th ed. 1991); Harold J. Berman & Charles J.
Reid, Jr., The Transformation of English Legal Science: From Hale to Blackstone, 45 EMORY L.J. 437, 447–
48 (1996).
91. See Michael C. Dorf, Dicta and Article III, 142 U. PA . L. REV. 1997, 2000–01 (1994); Kent
Greenawalt, Reflections on Holding and Dictum, 39 J. LEGAL EDUC. 431, 434 (1989).
92. Cohens v. Virginia, 19 U.S. (6 Wheat.) 264, 399–400 (1821) (emphasis added). See also Wittmer
v. Peters, 87 F.3d 916, 919 (7th Cir. 1996) (Posner, C.J.); BAKER, supra note 90, at 173 (quoting sixteenth-
century commentary); KARL N. LLEWELLYN, THE CASE LAW SYSTEM IN AMERICA 15–16 (Paul Gewirtz
ed., 1989) (1928–29).
2003] COGNITIVE JURISPRUDENCE 621
perhaps the best we can hope for—and with due apologies to the justices
under observation for turning them into guinea pigs.
The pretermitted spouse rule, now codified into most states’ probate
codes, deals once again with the problem of how to interpret a will executed
prior to a profound change in circumstances. Ordinarily, if a testator fails to
provide for a surviving spouse, the survivor can claim a forced share of the
decedent’s estate, known as the elective share in common law jurisdic tions.
But if the survivor is omitted from a will the testator executed prior to
marriage, and which the testator forbore to revise thereafter, the survivor can
instead claim an intestate share of the decedent’s estate—invariably a sum
larger than the forced share.93
The rationale for the pretermitted spouse rule is clear: It gives effect to
the probable intent of the testator, one of the core policies of inheritance law.
Although a premarital will may purport to leave out the surviving spouse,
lawmakers surmise that the decedent’s failure to update her will after the
marriage, in the majority of cases, constitutes an oversight. In all likelihood,
the premarital will fails to reflect the testator’s actual postmarital intent. By
overriding an obsolete estate plan, the pretermitted spouse doctrine operates to
forestall inadvertent disinheritance of a surviving spouse.94
That said, it has remained for lawmakers to iron out the details of the
doctrine—whence our sequence of cases. In the first case, Estate of Ganier v.
Estate of Ganier,95 decided in 1982, the court was presented with a twist on
the usual fact pattern. Here, the testator (T) and the person whom she would
eventually marry (A) met in 1973 and became “close friends.”96 In 1977, T
executed a will under which she left A a modest bequest. The relationship
deepened, and eighteen months later, in 1978, the parties wed. T died in
1979, never having amended her premarital will. 97
A could now elect against the will and claim a forced share (3/10 of the
estate under state law), an improvement over his share under the executed
estate plan. But could he claim instead an intestate share (here, 1/2 of the
estate) based upon the pretermitted spouse rule? This rule had already been
codified within the state. The text of the statute specified that a surviving
spouse was entitled to an intestate share under a premarital will “unless . . .
[t]he spouse is provided for in the will,” as he was in the instant case.98 On
simple reading, then, this was an easy case.
Justice Overton did not resolve the issue easily, however. Having drawn
attention to the statutory text, he proceeded to explore the purpose underlying
the pretermitted spouse doctrine. The aim of that doctrine, Overton reported,
was “to prevent the inadvertent disinheritance of a spouse whom the testator
had married after executing a will.”99 Yet what exactly did this policy
encompass? On the one hand, a will might make no provision for an as yet
unmet spouse, or it might fail to treat a premarital benefic iary as a spouse.
Under this second scenario, deference to the language of the will would again
thwart intent: “Marriage effects a profound change in a person’s relationships
and responsibilities,” and “[s]ubstantially different considerations underlie a
person’s bequest to a friend or acquaintance and that person’s testamentary
provision for the well-being of a spouse.”100 In light of this fact, Justice
Overton opined for a unanimous court, “We hold that a spouse has not been
‘provided for,’ within the meaning of [the statute], unless the testator . . .
made such provision in contemplation of marriage . . . . Eliminating [that]
requirement . . . defeats the reason for the rule.”101
Justice Overton’s activeness of mind and preparedness to add a judicial
gloss upon the statutory text is noteworthy. And the result is also eminently
sensible, so much so that the rule in Ganier was grafted into the Uniform
Probate Code when the Commissioners got around to revising it in 1990. 102
The Supreme Court of Florida was spa red further encounters with the
pretermitted spouse doctrine for the next twelve years. Then came Via v.
Putnam103 in 1995, raising a new and provocative set of facts.
In Via, the testator (T) and his first wife (A) executed mutual wills in
1985, under which each bequeathed his entire estate to the other, with the
Held, B could claim a full intestate share of T’s estate, according to the
letter of the pretermitted spouse statute.
104. Id. at 462–65. See generally MC GOVERN & KURTZ, supra note 88, § 4.9, at 215–16.
105. Via, 656 So.2d at 466.
624 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LAW REVIEW [Vol. 76:599
106. Id.
107. See supra note 99 and accompanying text.
108. Via, 656 So.2d at 466.
2003] COGNITIVE JURISPRUDENCE 625
elaboration of the elective share rule and of the pretermitted spouse rule. In
Via, analysis of the first issue took up more pages and appears to have
consumed more intellectual energy. By hypothesis, the first issue distracted
his attention from the second one; the second portion of the opinion in Via
reads more like an afterthought. There is no evidence that Justice Overton
even consulted Ganier when he drafted Via109—which in-and-of-itself might
have triggered in his mind greater reflection. And his formalistic method of
analysis concerning the second issue —seeking no further than a plain
meaning—served to spare him from further effort.110 Textualism is the
cognitive analogue of precedent when statutory construction stands at issue.
Can we point to the indications of task interference here as conclusive?
Well, perhaps not.111 But this curious sequence of cases is at least suggestive
that task interference within opinions can occur. And if that helps to explain
the court’s behavior in Via—if, in fact, the court would have been inclined to
pursue more thoughtfully its analysis of the pretermitted spouse rule, as it had
in Ganier, but for the need to pursue other issues simultaneously 112—then we
can readily see how contingent that inclination is. For the existence of the
elective-share diversion in Via was pure happenstance. That part of the case
might just as easily have been absent, for instance if a statute or a separate
common law opinion had already resolved the issue.
116. For one tantalizingly simple response to this problem, which may, however, be more properly
taken as the starting point of the analysis, see Kaplow, supra note 5, at 579 (“The value of effort in designing
a rule depends on the frequency of behavior subject to the rule.”). See also PERRY, supra note 59, at 254,
260, 262, 264.
117. Processes of the legislative agenda, and of the judicial agenda insofar as it can accept or reject
appeals, are of course exceptions.
118. See KARL N. LLEWELLYN, THE COMMON LAW TRADITION : DECIDING APPEALS 365 (1960)
(“Covert tools are never reliable tools.”).
119. Consider a comment made by an anonymous Supreme Court Justice to Professor H.W. Perry, in
response to his query of whether the Justice’s interest in subject areas affects the Justice’s decisions to grant
certiorari: “I am sure it [does], but I am not even sure what those areas are for me.” PERRY, supra note 59, at
261.
120. This may not be true of all our instincts, a point now under exploration within the realm of
behavioral biology. See generally Owen D. Jones, Time-Shifted Rationality and the Law of Law’s Leverage:
Behavioral Economics Meets Behavioral Biology, 95 NW . L. REV . 1141 (2001).
121. See Shelly Chaiken, The Heuristic Model of Persuasion, in 5 SOCIAL INFLUENCE: T HE ONTARIO
SYMPOSIUM 3, 8–11 (Mark P. Zanna et al. eds., 1987) (surveying the literature in connection with persuasion
628 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LAW REVIEW [Vol. 76:599
social boundaries of their own lives. In those instances where lawmakers do,
however, experience issue involvement, one would expect them to deliberate
more. And because the presence or absence of issue involvement is peculiar
to the individual lawmaker, its cumulative effect on the allocation of attention
should be to heighten its randomness.
A second risk, having the same effect, is that lawmakers’ attention may
be drawn not to rules, but rather to facts. Psychological studies find a
tendency of persons to focus more on “vivid,” concrete information than on
“pallid,” abstract information, and the extremeness of information also tends
to grab attention.122 Facts are more concrete than rules, and the salience of
facts does not necessarily correlate with the importance of the issues of law
that they raise. Certainly, the power of facts to concentrate legislative minds
is well known. Some statutory rules are even named after the events that
swept them onto the agenda, such as Megan’s Law, the Son-of-Sam Laws,
and, once upon a time, Tilden’s Law.123
That fact-salience draws (and, by so doing, distorts) the attention of the
judicial mind is also likely. We are already familiar with one of its other
manifestations: Hard cases make bad law! Presumably, judges are prompted
to lavish attention on those very same cases. Willful legal error, like a
reevaluation of law, requires mental effort, after all. In these instances, facts
provoke the court to effort. If the same court, thus galvanized, were instead to
find cause to revise the applicable rule, the effort expended would not
necessarily bear any relation to the importance placed on the rule in question.
A closely related magnet for attention is emotion: People tend to focus
on what stirs them, along with what stands out.124 Emotion, surely, is largely
responsible for making a hard case an attention-getting case. But issues of
law as well as of fact may excite the emotions of a lawmaker. Here, again,
research); Shelly Cjaolem & Charles Stangor, Attitudes and Attitude Change, in 38 ANN. REV. PSYCHOL.
575, 594–96 (1987) (observing that at higher levels of personal involvement, subjects tend to engage not
only in more, but also in biased, information processing).
122. See RICHARD NISBETT & LEE ROSS, HUMAN INFERENCE: STRATEGIES AND SHORTCOMINGS OF
SOCIAL JUDGMENT 47–49 (1980); SUSAN T. RISKE & SHELLEY E. T AYLOR, SOCIAL COGNITION 247–66 (2d
ed. 1991); Leslie Z. McArthur, What Grabs You? The Role of Attention in Impression Formation and Causal
Attribution, in 1 SOCIAL COGNITION : T HE ONTARIO SYMPOSIUM 201, 203, 215 (E. Tory Higgins et al. eds.,
1981); Shelley E. Taylor, The Availability Bias in Social Perception and Interaction, in JUDGMENT UNDER
UNCERTAINTY: HEURISTICS AND BIASES 190, 192–93 (Daniel Kahneman et al. eds., 1982).
123. For the dramatic, but now forgotten, events that gave rise to the last of these, see J.B. Ames, The
Failure of the “Tilden Trust,” 5 HARV. L. REV . 389, 389–92 (1892); and Lawrence M. Friedman, The
Dynastic Trust, 73 YALE L.J. 547, 590 n.156 (1964).
124. NISBETT & ROSS, supra note 122, at 45–47; PASHLER, supra note 47, at 246–48; SIMON , supra
note 2, at 29–30. See generally Yaniv Hanoch, “Neither an Angel Nor an Ant”: Emotion as an Aid to
Bounded Rationality, 23 J. ECON. P SYCHOL. 1 (2002).
2003] COGNITIVE JURISPRUDENCE 629
lawmakers may find themselves lured away from issues they would deem
more important, were the choice made dispassionately. For a cognitive
concomitant to emotional poignancy is emotional aridness—an unstimulating,
thankless task is liable to be a thinkless one.125
These theoretical predictions find some support in the extant literature of
legal criticism. The observation that emotion can move lawmakers is as old
as Aristotle,126 but the notion that it affects attention to rules has also been
sounded on occasion. Recall Dean Gulliver’s explanation for lawmakers’
neglect of future interests law: The facts of these cases “[are] not calculated to
engender a white heat of emotional prejudice in favor of either” litigant.127
Recall also Professor Langbein’s speculation that the U.S. Supreme Court is
“bored” with the law of ERISA and other “complex bodies of statutory law,”
and for this reason “has discharged ERISA business shoddily.”128
Other commentators have also weighed in on this theme. Professor
Frederick Schauer asserts that the Supreme Court’s “comparatively brief,”
unanimous or nearly unanimous opinions in ERISA, AFDC, and tax cases
reflect the fact that “the substance of the dispute[s] seem[] . . . less politically
or morally or economically charged” in these cases than in constitutional
cases simultaneously before the Court.129 Yet, Schauer adds, the Court’s
implicit judgments concerning the importance of these cases are “morally and
socially erroneous,” for “[f]ar more of the public welfare of the United States
turns on questions of qualification for AFDC benefits than on the question of
flag desecration.”130
Failures of attention have also been observed at the root of a more
concrete phenomenon—the setting, and skewing, of the judicial agenda.
Here, even participants in the process have voiced concerns. Not long after
leaving the federal Court of Appeals, Kenneth Starr criticized the Supreme
Court for agreeing to hear an excess of “sexy” cases while turning aside
“important but unglamorous business-related issues.”131 Presumably, the sex
125. The problem of emotion in law has recently aroused scholars. For a contribution addressing some
of its other dimensions, see RICHARD A. P OSNER, Emotion in Law, in FRONTIERS OF LEGAL THEORY 225
(2001).
126. See ARISTOTLE, supra note 23, at 5–7. See also N. Sec. Co. v. United States, 193 U.S. 197, 400–
01 (1903) (Holmes, J., dissenting).
127. GULLIVER, supra note 65, at 12.
128. Langbein, supra note 74, at 228–29.
129. Schauer, supra note 76, at 247–48.
130. Id. at 247. Schauer himself rates these cases as “[un]interesting,” or even as “real dogs,” but
“[t]hat is not to say they [are] socially unimportant.” Id.
131. Kenneth W. Starr, Rule of Law: Supreme Court Needs a Management Revolt, WALL ST . J., Oct.
13, 1993, at A23.
630 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LAW REVIEW [Vol. 76:599
132. Kenneth W. Starr, Rule of Law: Trivial Pursuits at the Supreme Court, WALL ST . J., Oct. 6, 1993,
at A17.
133. Singleton v. Commissioner, 569 F.2d 863, cert. denied, 439 U.S. 940, 941–42 (1978) (Blackmun,
J., dissenting).
134. PERRY, supra note 59, at 260–63.
135. See id. at 261–62.
136. See generally Baruch Fischhoff, Debiasing, in JUDGMENT UNDER UNCERTAINTY: HEURISTICS
AND BIASES, supra note 122, at 422.
137. We shall not delve here into the question of whether individual lawmakers could somehow be
motivated to dedicate greater cognitive effort to their work than they already do. By all accounts, judges and
legislators labor rather diligently at their jobs, whatever their mercenary incentives to do so. E.g., JEWELL &
PATTERSON, supra note 77, at 92–98; ALAN ROSENTHAL, LEGISLATIVE LIFE 62–64 (1981); Griswold, supra
note 73, at 398, 403; Judith S. Kaye, Forward: “Year in Review” Shows Court of Appeals Continuing Its
Great Traditions, 42 N.Y.L. SCH . L. REV. 331, 333–35 (1998); Markey, supra note 23, at 373; Robel, supra
note 23, at 7–8. Cf. POSNER, supra note 10, at 85–86, 221–36, 335–36 (suggesting that judges could be
2003] COGNITIVE JURISPRUDENCE 631
prompted to greater effort). See generally Lynn A. Stout, Judges as Altruistic Hierarchs, 43 WM. & MARY
L. REV . 1605 (2002) (addressing theoretically lawmakers’ devotion to their work). Cf. infra note 143.
138. “[I]t is now clear that the elaborate organizatio ns that human beings have constructed in the
modern world to carry out the work of . . . government can only be understood as machinery for coping with
the limits of man’s abilities to comprehend and compute in the face of complexity . . . .” Herbert A. Simon,
Rational Decision Making in Business Organizations, 69 AM. ECON . REV . 493, 501 (1979). See also
SIMON , supra note 2, at 87–88.
139. Thus, two heads are better than one. Modern cognitive studies tend to confirm the maxim, albeit
with significant reservations. See infra note 143.
140. By the nineteenth century, even the traditionally monocratic Court of Equity bowed to this logic.
BAKER, supra note 90, at 95–99. Fo r modern discussions in connection with the federal courts, see, for
example, POSNER, supra note 10, at 181, 193; Griswold, supra note 73, at 407–08; and William L. Reynolds
& William M. Richman, Justice with More Judges, 15 J.L. & P OL. 559 (1999).
141. Opinions are rather a product of “solitary incubation,” as one judge has put it. COFFIN, supra note
68, at 169.
142. For a brief recitation of some of the petty conflicts that plagued the U.S. Supreme Court in the
mid-twentieth century, see Michael J. Klarman, Book Review, 12 LAW & HIST . REV . 399, 402–03 (1994).
Disrespectful rhetoric within opinions hardly improves matters. See, e.g., United States v. Virginia, 518 U.S.
515, 594–95 (1996) (Scalia, J., dissenting) (asserting that “[a]ny lawyer who gave . . . advice” a priori in line
with the ruling of the six-Justice majority “ought to have been either disbarred or committed”). Conferences
of the Supreme Court have been characterized as remarkably devoid of discourse, although the Justices do
exchange views by way of written memoranda. See LAZARUS, supra note 23, at 285; REHNQUIST , supra
note 73, at 254–55, 257–59; SAVAGE, supra note 111, at 202–03. One byproduct of the paucity of
interaction is a proliferation of multiple opinions. Griswold, supra note 73, at 400. As described by one
former law clerk, the Court is “really nine separate courts. The Justices lead separate, even isolated lives.”
LAWRENCE BAUM, THE SUPREME COURT 158–69 (7th ed. 2001) (quotation at 159). But compare Judge
Coffin’s assertion that appellate courts have fostered a collegial atmosphere that results in superior
judgments. COFFIN , supra note 70, at 58–59, 171–75.
143. Studies suggest that the effectiveness of brainstorming and information pooling as a means of
enhancing the quality of decisions can depend upon such factors as how the group is organized and what sort
of decision lies at issue. For surveys of the literature, see generally Daniel Gigone & Reid Hastie, Proper
Analysis of the Accuracy of Group Judgments, 121 PSYCHOL. BULL. 149 (1997); Reid Hastie, Review Essay:
Experimental Evidence on Group Accuracy, in INFORMATION POOLING AND GROUP DECISION MAKING 129
(Bernard Grofman & Guillermo Owen eds., 1986); and John M. Levine & Richard L. Moreland, Progress in
632 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LAW REVIEW [Vol. 76:599
Small Group Research, 1990 ANN . REV. P SYCHOL. 585. The utility of group involvement is doubtful, for
example, when tasks have no easily demonstrable solution, which is often true of lawmaking. Gigone &
Hastie, supra, at 149. Group decision is also vulnerable to social loafing by individual members of the
group, see Levine & Moreland, supra , at 615 (citing to studies), and even to group pathologies that
encourage the group to risky and extreme choices, see id. at 619 (citing to studies). For discussions in a legal
context, see COFFIN , supra note 68, at 168; Eleanor C. Main & Thomas G. Walker, Choice Shifts and
Extreme Behavior: Judicial Review in the Federal Courts, 91 J. SOC . PSYCHOL. 215 (1973); Schkade et al.,
supra note 14, at 1139; Seidenfeld, supra note 16, at 527–43; and Cass R. Sunstein, Deliberative Trouble?
Why Groups Go to Extremes, 110 YALE L.J. 71 (2000).
144. In a similar spirit, the American Law Institute employs consultative groups as adjuncts to the
process of drafting Restatements. “The apparent organizational theory behind this system is based upon the
principle that the more persons to review a draft, the better the finished product will be,” and consultative
groups “provide those drafting the project with a sounding board” for their ideas. Averill, supra note 23, at
904–05. One Commissioner has suggested that Uniform Act projects duplicate this technique, possibly with
“subgroups,” for different segments of projects. Id.
145. See the related economic discussion in GARY S. BECKER, HUMAN CAPITAL 17–21 (3d ed. 1993).
On the cognitive efficiency of expert judgment, see, for example, Robert J. Sternberg & Peter A. Frensch,
On Being an Expert: A Cost-Benefit Analysis, in THE PSYCHOLOGY OF EXPERTISE 191, 191–97 (Robert R.
Hoffman ed., 1992). Expertise is not, however, an unqualified blessing, for it can breed do gmatism and
respond inflexibly to new situations. Richard L. Revesz, Specialized Courts and the Administra tive
Lawmaking System, 138 U. P A. L. REV . 1111, 1120 (1990) (quoting Justice Scalia); Seidenfeld, supra note
16, at 496–508; Sternberg & Frensch, supra, at 197–98. Needless to add, social change often does present
lawmakers with novel problems. Once again, the point finds expression in the maxims of folk psychology:
Sometimes the most novel insights come out of the mouths of babes.
146. Rochelle C. Dreyfuss, Specialized Adjudication, 1990 BYU L. REV . 377, 378–79; Griswold,
supra note 73, at 408. But see POSNER, supra note 10, at 250–53, 244–70 (suggesting that specialization of
courts renders lawmaking more ideological because experts in an area of law are apt to embrace one of a
number of competing ideologies).
2003] COGNITIVE JURISPRUDENCE 633
147. See supra text following note 77. Even a generalist court may be able, however, to exploit the
expertise of individual members by deferring to them within their particular metier. For a suggestion that
Justice Powell received such deference in corporate and securities cases, see Bainbridge & Gulati, supra note
16, at 139–42. For a suggestion by one of his brethren that Justice Blackmun served as the Court’s authority
on tax matters, see William J. Brennan, Jr., A Tribute to Justice Harry A. Blackmun, 1990 ANN. SURV. AM.
L. xi, xiii. See also COFFIN, supra note 70, at 141 (asserting that his philosophy in assigning cases was to
“exploit expertise in moderation, making sure that each judge eventually gains experience in all fields”). But
see Kaye, supra note 137, at 335 (noting the practice of one appellate court to assign cases at random so that
“no one of us is designated ‘the expert’ in any particular subject area”); Kirk J. Stark, The Unfulfilled Tax
Legacy of Justice Robert H. Jackson, 54 TAX L. REV. 171, 174–75 (2000–2001) (suggesting that the Court
failed to avail itself of Justice Jackson’s tax expertise). Staff assistance aside, a similar pattern of deference
to the expertise of individual legislators within a legislative body has been observed. JEWELL & P ATTERSON,
supra note 77, at 218–20.
148. See supra note 6 and accompanying text.
149. See Guthrie et al., supra note 15, at 821–22, 828–29 (suggesting that “judges and legislators
might craft rules that minimize the adverse effects that cognitive illusions can have on judgment”); Jeffrey J.
Rachlinski, Heuristics and Biases in the Courts: Ignorance or Adaptation?, 79 OR. L. REV. 61, 70–81, 85–
101 (2000) (offering examples); Jeffrey J. Rachlinski, A Positive Psychological Theory of Judging in
Hindsight, 65 U. CHI. L. REV . 571, 602–24 (1998) (same) [hereinafter Rachlinski, Psychological Theory];
Schkade et al., supra note 14, at 1168–70 (concerning juries). Several recent scholars have identified rules
whose function (they posit) is to reduce the cognitive burdens of judgment, through no-fault and other fact -
excluding mechanisms, without substantially impairing judgment, in areas of law where disputes are
perceived to be relatively unimportant. Bainbridge & Gulati, supra note 16, at 118–36; Kull, supra note 79,
at 286, 289, 291; Sale, supra note 16, at 905–44. On the utility of these devices, compare Bainbridge &
Gulati, supra note 16, at 136–38, with Sale, supra note 16, at 944–63, and with Kull, supra note 79, at 292–
93.
634 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LAW REVIEW [Vol. 76:599
One example is the principle that dicta lack the weight of precedent.154
Because judges are (however dimly) aware both of their own tendency to
gloss over portions of an opinion peripheral to the issue at-hand and of a
succeeding judge to free-ride on a predecessor’s cognitive effort, they have
taken care to underscore to successors that no such portion should carry the
full force of law. In this instance, a principle of legal process finds its
vindication in the frailties of the very ones who have propounded it.
Conceivably, we could expand on and diffuse this bright-line principle,
according diminished precedential weight to common law in outlying regions
of the legal landscape, where lawmaking is bound to be less thoughtful. Such
a principle would, however, disrupt reliance and would probably prove
unworkable in any event, given the difficulty of defining law’s fringes.155 At
the same time, a legislature can, and should, as a rule of thumb scrutinize with
a more skeptical eye provisions of common law rules and model codes, not to
mention its own existing codes, that it recognizes as remote whenever it
codifies and revises law. Because they are less likely to have been carefully
crafted, minor rules merit less legislative deference, apa rt from the separate
consideration of reliance and transition costs.
Lawmakers could also take steps to protect themselves against some of
the manifestations of bounded rationality by insisting on reallocations of
cognitive effort that they might not otherwise be inclined to make. A
suggestion (or directive) that statutes and opinions contain relation-to-other-
rules comments or analysis would help to assuage the problem of legal
inconsistency by encouraging (or requiring) lawmakers to develop peripheral
vision. Likewise, a suggestion (or mandate) that comments expounding a
rationale for each and every one of a statute’s or model rule’s provisions
accompany its passage or promulgation would serve to reduce the frequency
of arbitrary choice within these forms of lawmaking.156 Coaxing lawmakers
to redistribute the effort they dedicate to law found in different substantive
areas or secreted in different cases seems more difficult to accomplish via
process rules. There remains, nevertheless, one last thing that lawmakers can
do about bounded rationality in that regard, without really doing anything at
all: They can follow the Delphic admonition to know thyself ! By gaining an
appreciation of cognitive theory, lawmakers may learn to budget their own
attention more reflectively and hence to become less susceptible to attentional
errors.
There is room for optimism that, once made aware of task interference
and salience, lawmakers will become better equipped to conduct themselves
efficiently. Although some “robust” cognitive biases have proven
unresponsive to education,157 these seem to be ones involving mental
processes that occur outside of awareness and hence that are difficult to
manipulate.158 At a certain level, this is also true of attention: The processes
whereby one is led to focus on a matter “occur rapidly and seem opaque to the
individual.”159 Still, one’s overall distribution of attention at least has the
potential to occur consciously and so ought to be malleable.160 Certainly,
lawmakers are sensible of the choices they make to accept an appeal or to
introduce legislation, rationing attention at a gross level. They could easily
enough be made sensible of other, more subtle, choices that lawmakers have
(presumably) been making intuitively, as well as of the saliency phenomena
that can cause them to discriminate between cognitive tasks. By act of will,
surely, persons are capable of redirecting their attention. 161
In other words, lawmakers may do well simply to read this article.
But even saying this much involves assumptions. One is that, once
educated, lawmakers will prove able to apply what they have learned
correctly. 162 The risk nonetheless exists that they will commit so-called errors
157. The hindsight bias, see supra note 3, is one example. For references to studies, see Rachlinski,
Psychological Theory, supra note 149, at 586–88. Cf. Hillman, supra note 7, at 735–36.
158. See Arkes, supra note 114, at 493 (citing to studies); Timothy D. Wilson & Nancy Brekke,
Mental Contamination and Mental Correction: Unwanted Influence on Judgments and Evaluations, 116
PSYCHOL. BULL. 117, 121–22 (1994) (citing to studies). People also appear to underestimate their own
susceptibility to cognitive bias and so may be less inclined to take education about it to heart. See id . at 125–
26.
159. PASHLER, supra note 47, at 8.
160. See PAYNE ET AL ., supra note 23, at 14–15, 107–08 (suggesting that “people sometimes explicitly
control their mode of cognition,” although “conscious decisions on how to decide are not made that often”).
161. Justice Holmes spoke of consciously ignoring hard cases: “I have long said there is no such thing
as a hard case. I am frightened weekly but always when you walk up to the lion and lay hold the hide comes
off and the same old donkey of a question of law is underneath.” Letter from Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr., to
Frederick Pollock (Dec. 11, 1909), in 1 HOLMES-POLLOCK LETTERS 155, 156 (Mark DeWolfe Howe ed., 2d
ed. 1961).
162. The strategy of raising lawmakers’ consciousness, so that they learn to think about thinking, may
simply push unconscious behaviors back one step. “The distinction between automatic and controlled
processes is somewhat muddied by the fact that in principle, even deliberate, conscious actions are mediated
2003] COGNITIVE JURISPRUDENCE 637
by unconscious, automatic processes.” John F. Kihlstrom, Conscious Versus Unconscious Cognition, in THE
NATURE OF COGNITION 173, 178 (Robert J. Sternberg ed., 1999).
163. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, On the Study of Statistical Intuitions, in JUDGMENT UNDER
UNCERTAINTY: H EURISTICS AND BIASES, supra note 122, at 493, 495 (1982); Matthew Rabin, Psychology
and Economics, 36 J. ECON. LITERATURE 11, 31–32 (1998).
164. For a st udy reporting this “reversed impact” effect, see Richard E. Petty, Duane T. Wegener &
Paul H. White, Flexible Correction Process in Social Judgment: Implications for Persuasion, 16 SOC .
COGNITION 93, 109–10 (1998). For a review of other studies reporting instances of overcompensation,
among other errors of application, see Wilson & Brekke, supra note 158, at 130–33. See generally Duane T.
Wegener, Meghan Dunn & Danny Tokusato, The Flexible Correction Model: Phenomenology and the Use
of Naive Theories in Avoiding or Removing Bias, in COGNITIVE SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY 277 (Gordon B.
Moskowitz ed., 2001).
165. In re J.P. Linahan, 138 F.2d 650, 652–53 (2d Cir. 1943) (Frank, J.).
166. Id. at 652 n.10.
167. Or, paradoxically, education might literally backfire: trying to suppress attention to something
salient could cause it to become more accessible than before, “and this can lead to the thought having a
greater contaminating effect on judgment.” Wegener et al., supra note 164, at 282 (citing to studies)
(emphasis added).
168. For discussions raising this dilemma in the abstract, see Conlisk, supra note 5, at 686–88; Cass R.
Sunstein & Edna Ullmann-Margalit, Second-Order Decisions, 110 ETHICS 5, 28–30 (1999); Wilson &
Brekke, supra note 158, at 136. See also Kihlstrom, supra note 162, at 177–78 (suggesting that even
unconscious cognitive processes may draw on attentional resources).
638 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LAW REVIEW [Vol. 76:599
169. For one study in which such a “disruptive” effect appeared, see Cesare Cornoldi, The Impact of
Metacognitive Reflection on Cognitive Control, in METACOGNITIVE AND COGNITIVE NEUROPSYCHOLOGY
139, 153–54 (Giuliana Mazzoni & Thomas O. Nelson eds., 1998). See also Wilson & Schooler, supra note
67, at 191 (suggesting such an effect as one possible explanation for the study’s data). Of course, we can
alert lawmakers to this danger as well (unless doing so simply compounds the problem, see supra note 167).
But lawmakers will then have to ponder how to make decisions about how to make decisions about how to
make decisions, and we face an infinite regress.
170. The parable of the centipede comes to mind:
The centipede was happy, quite,
Until the frog for fun
Said, “Pray which foot comes after which,”
Which wrought his mind to such a pitch
He lay distracted in the ditch,
Considering how to run.
A NEW DICTIONARY OF QUOTATIONS ON HISTORICAL PRINCIPLES FROM ANCIENT ANDMODERN SOURCES
151 (H.L. Mencken ed., Alfred A. Knopf 6th ed. 1960) (anonymous).