2024-Meta Analysis RCT-Prophylaxis To Prevent Cardiotoxicity
2024-Meta Analysis RCT-Prophylaxis To Prevent Cardiotoxicity
1443-9506/23/$36.00
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hlc.2023.11.004
Received 10 November 2022; received in revised form 31 October 2023; accepted 3 November 2023; online published-ahead-of-print 5 January 2024
Background The benefits in survivorship gained with anthracycline (ANT)-based chemotherapies for breast cancer
are unfortunately mitigated for some patients by irreversible cardiotoxicity. Randomised controlled
trials (RCTs) have explored multiple cardioprotection options, however, it remains unclear which drug
is most effective in preserving left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). This study aimed to perform a
systematic review and network meta-analysis, using Bayesian and frequentist approaches, of RCTs
evaluating cardioprotective agents.
Methods Two authors searched four databases (CENTRAL, Cochrane Reviews, MEDLINE, SCOPUS), to find
RCTs evaluating cardioprotective agents. Trial populations were limited to patients with breast cancer
without prior ANT exposure. The primary outcome was mean LVEF change pre and post ANT dosing.
Our primary analysis utilised a Bayesian approach, while our sensitivity analysis used frequentist
methodology (Prospero registration number CRD42020199580).
Results From 4,007 search results, we identified 12 RCTs, with their various trial arms considered separately—
nine beta-blocker (BB), two angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor /angiotensin receptor blockers
[(AA)1BB=AABB], one AA, one spironolactone, one statin—evaluating 1,126 patients (age 50.5 years).
Bayesian network meta-analysis showed no difference in LVEF preservation between AA (1.3%, 95%
credible interval [-0.20, 2.9]), BB (0.77, [-0.21, 1.8]), AABB (0.84 [-1.1, 2.8]), spironolactone (0.72, [-2.3, 3.7])
or statin (0.60, [-2.4, 3.6]) when compared against placebo. However, the frequentist analysis showed
benefits from using AA (mean difference, 1.32% [0.32, 2.33]) and BB (mean difference, 0.76% [0.12, 1.4]).
Conclusions There is insufficient evidence to support prophylactic cardioprotection to prevent EF reduction. How-
ever, frequentist analysis suggested that AA or BBs provide cardioprotection. Thus, for those already on
other anti-hypertensives, switching to AA or BBs could be considered.
Keywords Cardiotoxicity CTRCD Cardioprotection Network meta-analysis Breast cancer
*Corresponding author at: University of Sydney Nepean Clinical School, Level 5, South Block, PO Box 63, Penrith, NSW 2751, Australia; Email: Kazuaki.Negishi@
sydney.edu.au; X: @kaznegishi
Ó 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Australian and New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons (ANZSCTS) and the Cardiac
Society of Australia and New Zealand (CSANZ). This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Preventing Anthracycline Cardiotoxicity: A Network Meta-Analysis 711
Methods
Statistical Analysis
Study Selection Statistical analysis was performed by an academic biostatis-
We performed a comprehensive search of randomised con- tician (GL). A Bayesian network meta-analysis was used as
trol trials on 7 June 2021 in CENTRAL (Cochrane Controlled our primary method to analyse both direct and indirect
Register of Trials), CDSR (Cochrane Database of Systematic comparisons of ACEi/ARB (AA), BB, or both AABB, spi-
Reviews), PubMed and SCOPUS databases from database ronolactone (SPR) and statins, with placebo as the reference
inception until 7 June 2021. Our search was independently group. Standardised mean differences (SMD) were calcu-
executed by two reviewers (PJ and SS), and was based on lated from LVEF data and accompanying SDs extracted from
the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and each comparison.
712 P. Jeyaprakash et al.
Figure 1 PRISMA Flowchart. Literature search performed according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Re-
views and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). After removing duplicates 4,007 records were screened by two independent reviewers
using Covidence software. Twelve studies were included in the network meta-analysis.
Our primary analysis used Bayesian inference with Monte agents from most effective to least effective at preserving
Carlo Markov chain-based sampling procedures. We used an LVEF. Meta-regression was performed to determine whether
uninformative prior determined by the gemtc package of R EAD, a previously reported determinant of ANT toxicity,
statistical software (The R Foundation for Statistical had a substantial influence towards cardioprotective effect.
Computing, Vienna, Austria) using the whole dataset. We Additionally, a frequentist method of network meta-analysis
used 5,000 burn-in iterations to check convergence, before was performed as a sensitivity analysis.
computing 100,000 actual simulation iterations to determine Risk of bias was assessed for all articles included in our
final probability estimates. A Gelman–Rubin plot and Gel- quantitative analysis using the Cochrane Risk of Bias
man diagnostics were used to assess the most optimal Monte assessment tool, which addressed issues with randomisation,
Carlo Markov chain-based model (Supplementary Figure 1). allocation concealment, blinding, attrition, and reporting bias
The node-split method was used to assess for inconsistency [18]. Heterogeneity between studies was assessed quantita-
between direct and direct comparisons. Our main analysis tively using the Cochrane I2 statistic [21]. Publication bias
compared all cardioprotective agents against placebo using was assessed using a funnel plot and Egger’s test. All
both direct and indirect comparisons. Standardised mean analysis was performed with R 4.1.0 statistical software [22],
differences (SMDs) in LVEF are presented with 95% credible using the “metafor", “dmetar” “gemtc”, “netmeta” and
intervals (CrIs). A subgroup analysis was performed studies “rjags” packages.
using AA as a reference group.
As a sensitivity analysis, we performed frequentist
network meta-analysis [20] to assess both direct and indirect Results
effects of each prophylactic drug class, where SMD with 95%
CI was reported. We also performed a subgroup frequentist A summary of the search is illustrated with a Preferred
analysis of studies where ANTs were used without trastu- Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses
zumab to determine whether possible incremental car- flow diagram in Figure 1. Our structured search from four
diotoxicity from trastuzumab changed patient outcomes databases yielded 4,007 titles after removing duplicates. Af-
with prophylactic therapy. ter exclusion by title and abstract, 265 full-text articles were
Surface Under the Cumulative Ranking scores were assessed for eligibility. A total of 12 studies met all inclusion
calculated based on this analysis to rank cardioprotective criteria to be included in our network meta-analysis.
Preventing Anthracycline Cardiotoxicity: A Network Meta-Analysis 713
First author Year Country Follow- Anthracyclines Imaging Trastuzumab Trial arms (Drug1 n Mean ANT equivalent
up tool Target Dose) age, y dose mg/m2
Kaya [28] 2013 Turkey 6 months Dox or Epi TTE No Nebivolol 5 mg 27 51 257
Placebo 18 51 348
Liu [29] 2013 China 6 months Dox TTE No Carvedilol 5 mg 1 20 53 N/A
Candesartan 2.5 mg
Control 20 54 N/A
Elitok [37] 2014 Turkey 6 months Dox TTE No Carvedilol 12.5 mg 40 54 535
Placebo 40 53 523
Akpek [38] 2015 Turkey 6 months Dox or Epi TTE Yes Spironolactone 25 mg 43 50 482
Placebo 40 51 509
Pituskin [39] 2016 Canada 11 months Dox or Epi CMR Yes Bisoprolol 10 mg 31 53 592
Perindopril 8 mg 33 50 659
Placebo 30 51 643
Beheshti [30] 2016 Iran 1 week Dox TTE No Carvedilol 6.25 mg 30 42 240
Placebo 40 40 240
Gulati [9] 2016 Norway 4 months Epi CMR Yes Candesartan 32 mg1 28 50 297
Metoprolol 100 mg
Candesartan 32 mg 32 52 298
Metoprolol 50 mg 30 51 283
Placebo 30 51 283
Nabati [31] 2017 Iran 6 months Dox TTE No Carvedilol 6.25 mg 41 48 349
Placebo 40 47 360
Cochera [40] 2018 Romania 6 months Dox TTE No Nebivolol 5 mg 30 53 521
Control 30 52 519
Avila [41] 2018 Brazil 6 months Dox TTE No Carvedilol 50 mg 96 51 340
Placebo 96 53 338
Nabati [10] 2019 Iran 6 months Dox TTE Yes Rosuvastatin 20 mg 41 38 339
Placebo 40 39 338
Guglin [8] 2019 USA 12 months N/A TTE/ Yes Lisinopril 10 mg 65 51 N/A
MUGA Carvedilol 10 mg 59 52 N/A
Placebo 60 51 N/A
Anthracycline dose expressed in mg/m2 signifying dose/body surface area; ANT equivalent dose conversion as per European Society of Cardiology [19] -
(doxorubicin dose=idarubicin dose30.53=epirubicin dose30.7).
Abbreviations: N, number of participants in trial arm; ANT, anthracycline; Dox, doxorubicin; Epi, epirubicin; TTE, transthoracic echocardiography; N/A, Data
not available; CMR, cardiovascular magnetic resonance; MUGA, multigated acquisition scan.
The most common reasons for exclusion were paediatric/ Mean changes in LVEF pre and post ANT-based chemo-
animal studies (n=91), non-RCT data (n=30), and a lack of therapy from the trial arms of all analysed RCTs are reported
LVEF calculation both pre and post ANT exposure (n=48). in Table 2. We constructed a network plot (Figure 2) to
Baseline characteristics for the 12 included RCTs are illustrate direct and indirect comparisons of cardioprotective
shown in Table 1 and Supplementary Table 2. A total of 1,126 agents that were used from the included RCTs. We repre-
patients, all female, with a mean age of 50.5 years were sented the combination AA1BB (i.e., AABB in Figure 2) as a
included. A variety of cardioprotective agent comparisons separate node in our network plot to determine if there was
including BB alone (n=9), AA alone (n=3), Combination any additional synergistic effect on LVEF preservation.
BB1AA (n=2), SPR (n=1) and statin (n=1) were seen among A forest plot was generated to display the relative differ-
included trial arms. The weighted mean baseline LVEF was ence in mean LVEF for patients receiving cardioprotection,
62.6%, and the mean doxorubicin EAD was 412mg/m2, with the placebo arm being used as a reference (Figure 3).
dosed to body surface area. Ten trials used transthoracic None of the cardioprotective agents showed a statistically
echocardiography for LVEF assessment, while two used significant reduction in LVEF decline when compared to
cardiac magnetic resonance, and the mean follow-up LVEF placebo using the Bayesian model. The Gelman plot and
assessment occurred at 6 months. Gelman diagnostics used to assess the chosen Markov Chain
714 P. Jeyaprakash et al.
First author Year Trial arms n LVEF pre6SD LVEF post6SD Mean difference6SD
Abbreviations: LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; ANT, anthracycline; Mean difference, Post ANT mean–Pre ANT mean; SD, standard deviation; CI,
confidence interval (95%); n, number of participants in treatment arm; N/A, data not available.
Model are shown in Supplementary Figure 1. The node (Figure 3). The corresponding ranking of efficacy in the fre-
splitting analysis using the random effects model displayed quentist model is shown in Supplementary Table 4.
in Supplementary Figure 2 did not reveal inconsistency be- Our sensitivity analysis again demonstrated that the
tween direct and indirect comparisons between BB and AABB combination did not show a statistically substantial
AA1BB (p=0.70) or AA and AA1BB (p=0.58). Agents were protective effect. Statins and SPR were similarly not signifi-
then ranked according to relative efficacy, and results are cantly different compared to placebo under the frequentist
shown in Supplementary Table 3. model. A subgroup frequentist analysis only evaluating
Network meta-regression indicated no substantial rela- studies that used ANTs without trastuzumab also showed
tionship between EAD and cardioprotective agents (b=-0.08 no substantial difference with BBs compared to placebo
95% CrI -1.84, 1.73). Subgroup analysis results using AA as (Supplementary Figure 3).
the comparator arm are illustrated in the forest plot in Egger’s test performed to assess for publication bias did
Figure 4. In summary, there was no substantial LVEF pres- not indicate the presence of funnel plot asymmetry (-0.047
ervation in using BB (-0.23% 95% CrI -0.79, 0.36) or combi- [95% CI -3.19, 3.1]). A funnel plot for all direct comparisons
nation AA1BB (0.20 95% CrI -0.70, 1.1) when compared with between trials shown in Supplementary Figure 4 was also
AA. symmetrical.
However, our sensitivity analysis using the frequentist We used the Cochrane Risk of Bias assessment tool to
model revealed that AA and BB were able to significantly assess all included RCTs across five key domains, as shown
prevent LVEF decline when compared to placebo, with in Supplementary Table 5. The main potential sources of bias
SMDs of 1.32% (0.32,2.33) and 0.76% (0.12–1.40), respectively across all RCTs were a lack of description regarding
Preventing Anthracycline Cardiotoxicity: A Network Meta-Analysis 715
Discussion
Our network meta-analysis provides an updated comparison
of cardioprotective agents in the setting of ANT-based
chemotherapy. Our primary analysis using Bayesian model
demonstrated that no substantial LVEF preservation was
offered by prophylactic use of any of the studied car-
dioprotective agents as compared to placebo. Therefore,
routine use of cardioprotective agent is not recommended
based on current literature. However, our sensitivity analysis
using the frequentist model showed that AA alone and BB
alone have substantial cardioprotective effects when
administered prophylactically. The discrepancy in the results
from the two statistical methods (i.e., Bayesian vs frequentist)
Figure 2 Network plot. Network plot showing direct
can, at least partially, explain the heterogeneity among the
and indirect drug class comparisons. Thicker lines
previous meta-analyses.
represent a higher number of direct comparisons.
Abbreviations: AA, angiotensin-converting enzyme There have been four network meta-analyses and one meta-
inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers; BB, beta- analysis previously performed examining cardioprotective
blockers; SPR, spironolactone, AABB, angiotensin re- agents. We have compared our study to these in Table 3,
ceptor blockers & beta-blockers. specifically highlighting the key differences we pre-specified
to provide new insights into the field of cardio-oncology.
The first of these published network meta-analyses assessing
randomisation process, and also failure to describe how
cardioprotection was in 2017, which examined cardiac out-
LVEF measurement was standardised across all included
comes rather than LVEF decline as a continuous variable [13].
patients. There was potential for inter-observer variability
Their results showed moderate evidence for both dexrazoxane
Figure 3 Overall effect of cardioprotective agents on LVEF relative to placebo. In Bayesian model (panel A), standardised
mean difference and 95% CrI are shown, whereas in frequentist model (panel B) standardised mean difference and 95% CI
are. The Bayesian model shows no significant difference in LVEF with the use of cardioprotective agents. However, in the
frequentist model, there is a statistically significant benefit with the use of ACE inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers or
beta-blockers. There was significant heterogeneity among studies, as evidenced by the frequentist model I2 statistic of 94%.
Abbreviations: ACE, angiotensin-converting enzyme; CI, confidence interval; CrI, credible interval; LVEF, left ventricular
ejection fraction.
716 P. Jeyaprakash et al.
Figure 4 Subgroup analysis: effect of cardioprotective agents on LVEF relative to ACEi/ARB using Bayesian Model. We
performed a subgroup analysis to determine whether there was any incremental difference between ACEi/ARB alone,
compared to combination ACEi/ARB1beta blockers, or against beta blockers alone. No difference was seen in either
comparison. Standardised mean difference and 95% credible interval are shown. Abbreviations: ACEi, angiotensin-
converting enzyme inhibitor; ARB, angiotensin receptor blocker; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction.
and AA, however, they indicated that more research is the latest publication [15]. Thus, a new meta-analysis is
required with larger RCTs to appropriately deal with the issue warranted. Second, the previous meta-analyses used only
of cardioprotection. While this provided important clinical one of two methods (Bayesian or frequentist). Performing
insights, the definitions of heart failure secondary to car- both Bayesian and frequentist meta-analysis allows us to
diotoxicity were inconsistent between the included studies, determine whether findings are statistically robust enough to
and as a result there was significant variability in the way inform clinical decision-making.
clinical heart failure outcomes were reported [23]. As a result, Both methods of analysis are valid and statistically
this review reported high rates of heterogeneity between trial accepted ways of performing meta-analysis. There are,
methodologies, and high risk of bias among many of their however, a few advantages to using a Bayesian approach
included studies. To account for this, we performed our meta- thus we chose it as the primary method. A Bayesian
analysis using the objective measure of SMD in LVEF rather approach does not assume that the testing parameter (in this
than using reports of heart failure. case, LVEF%) is fixed. Rather, it assumes that LVEF is
We have also designed and executed our network meta- random and has its own probability distribution, which can
analysis carefully to attempt to deal with key gaps and be modelled. This allows us to better model the variance of
areas of heterogeneity present in the recent meta-analyses the true effects (tau-squared) in the LVEF analysis. Bayesian
examining ANT cardioprotection published between 2017 analysis also uses the likelihood principle, which means that
and 2021 [13–16]. These trials included a less uniform patient any inferences are only based on available observed data,
population, as multiple cancer types were included, and rather than unobserved data in the frequentist analysis [24].
some non-randomised cohort studies were used for analysis. By showing that the statistical analysis method used is all
Paediatric studies were included in one of the meta-analyses that differentiates statistical significance, we are highlighting
[14], which resulted in more participant heterogeneity. One the fragility and uncertainty of published data in this space.
report diluted the strength of direct and indirect comparisons Interestingly combination AA/BB prophylaxis was not
by examining each drug individually rather than by drug shown to be effective even in our frequentist analysis, despite
class [15]. Meanwhile, another report condensed the effects AA and BB separately showing a signal towards benefit in
by combining all the cardioprotective agents together [16]. the frequentist analysis. One of the explanations for this may
These prior reviews importantly included trials where pa- be the low overall numbers that received AABB combination
tients had in some cases received prior ANT exposure. Un- across included trials (n=48). Results previously published
like this review, neither of the prior reviews performed meta- by our group have shown that ANT cardiotoxicity is much
regression to determine whether ANT dose was a less than previously reported using modern ANT regimens,
confounder for their results. with a weighted mean reduction in LVEF of only 5.4% in
There are three key reasons that motivated another meta- placebo arms [25]. Therefore, the number of participants
analysis. First, the previous meta-analyses were discordant, included across the studies in this meta-analysis may not be
resulting in confusion at the highest level of evidence. large enough to detect a statistically significant benefit in
Several years have passed since the last search (June 2019) of combination AABB therapy. Another possibility is that there
Preventing Anthracycline Cardiotoxicity: A Network Meta-Analysis 717
Items Our Study Abdel-Qadir [13] Vaduganathan [16] Li [14] Alizadehasl [15]
Table 3. (continued).
Items Our Study Abdel-Qadir [13] Vaduganathan [16] Li [14] Alizadehasl [15]
Abbreviations: LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; RCT, randomized controlled trial; CTRCD, cancer therapeutics-related cardiac dysfunction; SMD,
standardised mean difference; AA, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker; ACE, angiotensin-converting enzyme; BB, beta-
blocker.
may be an unknown counterproductive mechanism when demonstrated that isolated AA and isolated BB were car-
both AA and BB are concurrently prescribed, however, this dioprotective rather than combination therapy as suggested
seems unlikely given the large body of evidence for combi- by the guidelines [12].
nation AABB therapy in the setting of heart failure with
systolic dysfunction.
We identified significant variability in the choices of BB and Limitations
AA between our included studies, as four different BB (car-
vedilol, metoprolol, nebivolol, or bisoprolol), and three AA One of the limitations of the assessment of ANT-induced
agents (candesartan, perindopril, lisinopril) were used. The cardiotoxicity in our included studies is that changes in
biochemical properties of carvedilol in particular have been LVEF measured using traditional echocardiography occur
examined in vitro, and there is evidence to indicate additional late. Paediatric data has shown large variations in the onset
antioxidant properties when compared to other BBs [26]. This of cardiotoxicity, from 1 week up to 20 years after ANT
may have had a clinically significant effect on our analysis, as administration, which are independent of established risk
the proposed mechanism of ANT cardiotoxicity is the pro- factors of cumulative dose and pre-existing cardiac disease
duction of reactive oxygen species. There were also differences [33]. The majority of RCTs we included only reported follow-
in BB dose, with carvedilol doses ranging from the lowest up periods of 6 months, which may have been insufficient to
6.25mg dose up to the highest 50mg dose. Heart failure detect late cardiotoxicity. Studies using more sensitive mea-
guidelines indicate that in order to maximise the benefit of BB sures of cardiac function such as myocardial strain have
and AA, up-titration to the maximal tolerated dose is required shown that adverse changes can develop months before
[27]. Some of the included studies [28–31] may not have changes in LVEF occur [34]. There is a proposed large trial
adequately up-titrated drugs to achieve maximal protective evaluating the role of BBs in preventing cardiotoxicity using
effect prior to ANT administration, possibly underestimating the outcome of changes myocardial strain instead of LVEF,
their role in preventing LVEF decline. and this may provide important insights [35].
The guidelines currently encourage the use of the Heart Despite our efforts to study a homogeneous cohort by
Failure Association and International Cardio-Oncology So- learning from previous reviews, there was still marked het-
ciety risk assessment tool to stratify cardiotoxicity risk erogeneity identified between included trial arms. There was
[12,32]. Those in the high and very high-risk groups are then a wide variation in LVEF decline, particularly among the
encouraged to commence prophylactic cardioprotection with placebo arms, which implied that some trial populations
AA and BB [12]. Although our study does not recommend may be more susceptible to ANT cardiotoxicity than others.
blanket cardioprotection prescription prior to ANT therapy, In addition, the protocols for chemotherapy, cardioprotective
it does potentially support the latest guidelines by suggest- drugs and LVEF measurement varied significantly among
ing a certain population may benefit [12]. However, it should included studies. To mitigate this, we only included RCTs in
be noted that our study in the frequentist model our analysis to minimise inherent bias.
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