Lecture 3 2017
Lecture 3 2017
EQUIVALENCE
• Economic Equivalent
• How much?
• When?
• The same principle goes for money. You need to chart how
well you are doing, how effective is your approach, is the
option A is better than the option B?, etc.
Today ?
RM10 RM ??
0 1 2 3 4
1 year ?
RM10 RM ??
(PV) (FV)
0 1 2 3 4
1.3 SIMPLE (NOMINAL) INTEREST
RATE
Simple Interest
Interest is calculated using principal only
Interest = (principal)(number of periods)(interest rate)
I = (P)(n)(i) F = P [1+(i)(n)]
Example: $100,000 lent for 3 years at simple i = 10% per year. What is
repayment after 3 years?
Interest = 100,000(3)(0.10) = $30,000
RM1 RM1.05
0 1
1.5 EFFECTIVE PERIODIC RATE (r) &
EFFECTIVE ANNUAL INTEREST
RATE (ia)
Definition
r = inom / m i a = [1 + (inom / m)]m – 1
CP m i% Effective rate, i a
Year 1 18 (1.18)1 - 1= 18%
6 months 2 9 (1.09)2 - 1= 18.81%
Quarter 4 4.5 (1.045)4 - 1= 19.25%
Month 12 1.5 (1.015)12 - 1= 19.562%
Week 52 0.35 (1.0035)52 - 1= 19.68%
i a= (1 + i)m - 1
© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
1-17
1.6 CASH FLOW DIAGRAMS / TABLE NOTATION
r = effective interest rate per interest period
i =nominal interest rate or APR
t = number of compounding periods (e.g., month, quarter, years)
PV = present sum of money; the equivalent value of one or more cash flows at the
present time reference point
FV = future sum of money; the equivalent value of one or more cash flows at a
future time reference point
A = end-of-period cash flows (or equivalent end-of-period values ) in a uniform
series continuing for a specified number of periods, starting at the end of the first
period and continuing through the last period
G = uniform gradient amounts -- used if cash flows increase by a constant amount
CASH FLOW DIAGRAM NOTATION
1
1 2 3 4 5=t
1 Time scale with progression of time moving from left to right; the numbers represent
time periods (e.g., years, months, quarters, etc...) and may be presented within a time
interval or at the end of a time interval.
CASH FLOW DIAGRAM NOTATION
1
1 2 3 4 5=t
PV =$8,000 2
1 Time scale with progression of time moving from left to right; the numbers represent
time periods (e.g., years, months, quarters, etc...) and may be presented within a time
interval or at the end of a time interval.
Year
0 1
Rate of return = 6% per year
$100 now $100 now is economically equivalent to $106 one year from now,
if the $100 is invested at a rate of 6% per year.
Use interest rate i and time t in upcoming relations to move money
(values of P, F and A) backwards and forwards between time periods t
= 0, 1, …, n to make them equivalent (not equal) at the rate i
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1-24
Established when we are indifferent between a future payment, or a series
of future payments, and a present sum of money .
Considers the comparison of alternative options, or proposals, by reducing
them to an equivalent basis, depending on:
interest rate;
amounts of money involved;
timing of the affected monetary receipts and/or expenditures;
manner in which the interest , or profit on invested capital is paid and
the initial capital is recovered.
5 6 7
0 1 2 3 4 Years
0 1 2 3 4 Years
2. Construct a cash flow diagram for the following cash flows: RM25,000
outflow at time 0, RM9,000 per year inflow in years 1 through 5 at an
interest rate of 10% per year, and an unknown future amount in year 5.
Refers to moving a single dollar amount up and down the time line.
0 1
i = 10% or r?
0 1
i = 10%
r = 0.1
How do you get RM110?
0 1
i = 10%
r = 0.1
FV = RM100 + RM100(0.1)=RM110
FV = RM100 (1+0.1)=RM110
0 1
i = 10%
r = 0.1
FV = RM100 (1+0.1)=RM110
RM100 RM 110
0 1
i = 10%
r = 0.1
What would you multiply the PV (RM100) if you want to move it
over 2 time period?
FV = RM100(1+0.1) ?
RM100
0 1 2
i = 10%
r = 0.1
FV = RM100(1+0.1)(1+0.1)=RM100(1+0.1)2 =R M121
0 1 2
i = 10%
r = 0.1
FV = RM100(1+0.1)2
FV = PV(1+0.1)2
FV = PV (1+r)t FV = PV (1+i)n
0 1 t
FV = PV (1+r)t
How do we know that 12% is not an effective rate? If not stated by the
bank, by convention the interest rate is the APR (nominal or Annual
Percentage Rate).
A bank pays 12% compounded quarterly. What is the equivalent 6
month effective rate (r).
rq = 0.12/4 = 0.03
0 One quarter 1 2 3 4
i = 12%
A bank pays 12% compounded quarterly. What is the equivalent 6
month effective rate (r).
rq = 0.12/4 = 0.03
RM1 RM1.03
0 One quarter 1 2 3 4
i = 12%
Now the problems says what is the effective 6 month rate?
The amount of interest made from RM1 after one 6 month period
RM1 RM1.03 RM ?
0 One quarter 1 2 3 4
i = 12%
RM1 RM1.03 (FV) RM ?
FV = PV(1+r)t
FV = 1(1+rq)t
FV = 1(1+0.03)2 =1.0609
rq = 0.12/4 = 0.03
RM1 RM1.03
0 One quarter 1 2 3 4
i = 12%
So what is the effective 1 month rate?
0 1 2 3 month
FV = PV(1+r)t
1.03 = 1(1+rm)3
rm = 0.0099 or 0.99%
RM ? RM10,000 RM ?
0 3 6 9 12 month
1st, we need to calculate the effective monthly rate
rm = 0.12/12 = 0.01 or 1%
0 3 6 9 12 month
FV = PV(1+r)t
What is the future value of RM10,000 at time t=12?
FV = PV(1+r)t
FV = 10,000(1+rm)6
FV = 10,000(1+0.01)6
FV = 10,615.2
You inherit RM10,000 that is payable in 6 months. What is the equivalent
value 3 month and 1 year from today? Assume a bank pays 12%
compounded monthly.
RM ? RM10,000
0 3 6 9 12 month
0 3 6 9 12 month
RM 9705.9 RM10,000
0 3 6 9 12 month
Single Payment Factors (F/P and P/F)
Single payment factors involve only P and F. Cash flow diagrams are as follows:
Financial Product
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1-62
Equal cash flows between equal time periods over a finite period of time.
multiple payment
0 1 2 3 4
1 i n 1
Fn A
i © 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
1-64
What is Perpetuity?
Financial Product
Perpetuity –
Equal cash flows between equal time periods over an infinite period of
time.
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1 2 3 ∞
1 i n 1
Fn A
i
0 1 2 3
A = Given A=?
0 1 2 3 4 5 0 1 2 3 4 5
P = Given
P=?
P = A(P/A,i,n) Standard Factor Notation A = P(A/P,i,n)
Note: P is one period Ahead of first A value
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2-71
Uniform Series Involving P/A and A/P
We will derive a formula that will “crush” all the multiple cash values into
one equivalent value at a specific time period
0 1 2 3 ∞
For a given r (effective interest rate), there exist one single dollar value that is
mathematically equivalent with multiple cash flow.
0 1 2 3 ∞
0 1
Rephrase -For a given r, there exists a dollar value at time 0 in which you are
theoretically indifferent between all the RM100 values that go on forever and
one value (RM X) at t=0
Imagine that you are given RM100 today. You deposit it in a bank and the
effective annual interest rate is 10% (r= 0.1).
RM 100
0 1
RM 100 RM 110
0 1
3.1 The Present Value of Perpetuity
RM 100 RM 110
0 1
Say at t=1, you spend RM10 and leave RM100 sitting in the bank
RM 100 RM 100
Remains in the bank
0 1
RM 100 RM 10
Spend
0 1
RM 100 RM 100 RM ?
1 2
1 2
RM 100 RM 100
Remains in the bank
0 1 2
RM 10 RM 10
Spend
0
1 2
RM 100
r = 0.1
0 1
RM 10 RM 10
Your spending
0
1 2
0 1 2 3 ∞
= 0 1
r = 0.1
0 1 2 3 ∞
= 0 1
r = 0.1
Notice that
0 1 2 3 ∞
= 0 1
r = 0.1
Also
C C C C PVperp
0 1 2 3 ∞
= 0 1
r
Where:
C is the repeated cash flow
r is the effective periodic rate
PVperp is the present value of Perpetuity
0 1 2 3 ∞
= -1 0 1 2
r
Once we have crushed the multiple cash flows into a single value, we can use a
single cash flow principles to move that value anywhere on the time line.
= 0 1
0 1 5 6 7 ∞
= 0 1
0 1 5 6 7 ∞
= 0 1
0 1 5 6 7 ∞
= 0 1
0 1 5 6 7 ∞
= 0 1
0 1 5 6 7 ∞
= 0 1
0 1 5 6 7 ∞
= 0 1
0 1 5 6 7 ∞
RM1 RM1.02
0 1 Quarter 1
0 1 month 1 2 3 months
0 1 month 1 2 3 months
0 1 month 1 2 3 months
0 1 month 1 2 3 months
= 0 1
0 1 5 6 7 ∞
= 0 1
0 1 5 6 7 ∞
= 0 5
0 1 5 6 7 ∞
0 5
= 0 1
0 1 5 6 7 ∞
Again, we will derive a formula that will “crush” all the multiple cash
values into one equivalent value at a specific time period
As in the case of perpetuity, for a given r, there exists a dollar value at time 0 in
which you are theoretically indifferent between the RM100 annuity and a single
value (RM X) at t=0
RM100 RM100 RM100 RM ?
=
0 1 r = 0.1 2 ∞ 0 1
=
0 1 r = 0.1 2 ∞ 0 1
RM100 RM100 RM100 RM100 RM1000
=
0 1 r = 0.1 2 3 ∞ 0 1
Say we want to derive the formula for annuity of RM100 at time =1 and time =2
i.e. 2 periods annuity
RM100 RM100 RM100 RM100 RM1000
A =
0 1 r = 0.1 2 3 ∞ 0 1
The perpetuity above (A) can be split into two parts B and C
RM100 RM100 RM100 RM100 RM1000
A =
0 1 r = 0.1 2 3 ∞ 0 1
RM100 RM100
B
0 1 2
RM100 RM100
C
3 ∞
RM100 RM100 RM100 RM100 RM1000
A =
0 1 r = 0.1 2 3 ∞ 0 1
RM100 RM100
B
0 1 2
RM100 RM100
C
3 ∞
RM100 RM100 RM100 RM100 RM1000
A =
0 1 r = 0.1 2 3 ∞ 0 1
RM100 RM100
B
0 1 2
RM100 RM100
C
3 ∞
Is C is a perpetuity ?
RM100 RM100 RM100 RM100 RM1000
A =
0 1 r = 0.1 2 3 ∞ 0 1
RM100 RM100
B
0 1 2
RM100 RM100
C
3 ∞
Is C is a perpetuity ?
Therefore, we can apply the present perpetuity formula to C
RM100 RM100 RM100 RM100 RM1000
A =
0 1 r = 0.1 2 3 ∞ 0 1
RM100 RM100
B
0 1 2
Is C is a perpetuity ?
Therefore, we can apply the present perpetuity formula to C
RM100 RM100 RM100 RM100 RM1000
A =
0 1 r = 0.1 2 3 ∞ 0 1
RM100 RM100
B
0 1 2
RM100 RM100
B
0 1 2
RM100 RM100
B
0 1 2
RM100 RM100
B
0 1 2
Hence the present of an annuity today is the present value of perpetuity today
minus the value of perpetuity tomorrow that is discounted to today.
RM100 RM100 RM100 RM100 RM1000
A =
0 1 r = 0.1 2 3 ∞ 0 1