Resilience Semarang Ang v2 Web 0
Resilience Semarang Ang v2 Web 0
Cerema
CLIMAT & TERRITOIRES DE DEMAIN
Cerema
CLIMAT & TERRITOIRES DE DEMAIN
This series presents the state of knowledge at a given time and provides information on a subject, without
being exhaustive. It provides an update on professional knowledge and practices, including new technical or
methodological approaches. It is designed for professionals wishing to maintain and further their knowledge
of constantly changing technical fields. The information presented may be considered recommendations but
The Resilience of the Indonesian Coastline
does not have the status of validated references. to Natural Hazards
Semarang and subsidence
The Resilience of the Indonesian Coastline to Natural Hazards
Semarang and subsidence
Coastlines are fragile areas exposed to natural hazards. They may be intensely disrupted by both rapidly
developing urbanisation and the effects of climate change. This publication presents the case of the Indonesian
urban area of Semarang, located on the shores of the Java Sea.
The Semarang coastline is unusual in that it is exposed to very active subsidence which can cause the ground
to sink by up to 13 cm per year.
Cerema has carried out an analysis in collaboration with Diponegoro University - Undip (Indonesia) to identify
the processes at work. The work produced was supported by the French Embassy in Indonesia and the
ministries of research and foreign affairs of both countries. By applying the concept of resilience, a path is
opening up in the search for appropriate responses.
The publication is fully illustrated, and contains contributions from scientists and experts who have engaged in
practical work in Semarang in different contexts, thus bringing their own vision to the analysis of the situation.
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Connaissances | Series
The Resilience of the Indonesian
Coastline to Natural Hazards
Semarang and subsidence
Connaissances Series
This collection presents the state of knowledge at a given time and provides information on a subject,
without being exhaustive. It provides an update on professional knowledge and practices including
new technical or methodological approaches. It is designed for professionals wishing to maintain
and deepen their knowledge of constantly changing technical fields. The information presented may be
considered as recommendations but does not have the status of validated references.
This work, a collective work by Cerema, is the fruit of scientific and technical collaboration between
Cerema (France) and the Diponegoro University of Semarang (Indonesia) conducted from 2013 to 2018.
The Rector of Diponegoro University, Dr Yos Johan Utama, SH., M. Hum, and the French Ambassador
for the Climate, Philippe Lacoste, deputy special representative for the 2015 Paris Climate Conference,
co-chaired the seminar on the city of Semarang resilience, as part of the Cerema mission in October 2015.
Unless otherwise stated, the photographic, diagram, illustration credits belong to Cerema.
3
Prefaces
According to the latest IPCC report, climate change will have a very significant impact on coastal systems, with a
multiplication of submersion, flooding and coastal erosion phenomena. In a context of demographic growth,
economic development and coastal urbanisation, the question of the resilience of these territories to natural risks
becomes acute.
Cerema’s cooperation with Diponegoro University (Faculty of Marine Sciences) in Indonesia highlights the challenge
of climate change in the specific case of the municipality of Semarang’s coastline which is particularly vulnerable to
subsidence. This work has enabled significant progress to be made in understanding the harmful interactions that occur
on coasts between urbanisation processes and the physical phenomena which cause the natural hazards to happen.
Beyond the specific case of Semarang, which justifies the implementation of a resilience approach, other Indonesian
and also French urban contexts can then benefit from these reflections in order to anticipate the challenges posed by
the development of coastal cities confronted with effects of climate change, for example in terms of rising sea levels.
This scientific cooperation forms part of the more institutional one between the Ministry for an Ecological and
Inclusive Transition (MTES, Ministère de la Transition écologique et solidaire) and the Indonesian Ministry of Public
Works and Housing (MPWH). The work done by Cerema and Diponegoro University was presented at Cerema, in Lyon
on 22 February 2019, during the session of the joint Franco-Indonesian working group on sustainable urban
development. They were received favourably by the Indonesian delegation chaired by Mrs Anita Firmanti Eko Susetyowati,
Secretary General of the MPWH.
Furthermore, this work, I hope, will provide useful input for the feasibility study piloted by the French Development
Agency (AFD, Agence française de développement) on Semarang, pilot city appearing in the Indonesian "Ecodistrict"
programme. The first conclusions should have been made by the end of 2019.
I express the wish that a Franco-Indonesian dynamic might be engaged to bring together the necessary conditions
for putting a subsidence observatory in place on the coastal strip of Semarang as the first stage of a more global
territorial resilience approach. This observatory is a pragmatic step that enables bringing together public and private
players in order to give strategic direction to urban development and produce actions contributing to the resilience
of the Semarang territory.
Virginie Dumoulin-Wieczorkiewicz,
Director of the European and International Affairs Delegation
(DAEI, Délégation aux affaires européennes et internationales)
Ministry for an Ecological and Solidary Transition
4 prEfaces
Cerema's file on the Indonesian coastline’s resilience to natural hazards, applied here to the case of Semarang,
illustrates the dynamism of the scientific and technical cooperation between France and Indonesia. It summarises
several years of work carried out jointly between the Centre for Studies and Expertise on Hazards, the Environment,
Mobility and Planning (CEREMA, Centre d’études et d’expertise sur les risques, l’environnement, la mobilité et
l’aménagement) and Semarang’s Diponegoro University (UNDIP).
The subject of the Indonesian coastline’s vulnerability to natural hazards is a complex and sensitive one in the
particular context of climate change. It justifies the support provided by the French Institute in Indonesia to the
partnership put in place between the two organisations, and also the support for the work done coming from the
French Hubert Curien Programme for International Cooperation (PHC, Partenariats Hubert Curien) in its Indonesian
Nusantara component. This programme is carried out by the Ministry for Foreign Affairs and by the Ministry for
Higher Education, Research and Innovation (MEsRI, Ministère de l’Enseignement supérieur, de la Recherche et
de l’Innovation) to promote the mobility of scientists engaged in bilateral research. It is implemented in Indonesia
by the Ministry of Higher Education, Research and Technology (RISTEKDIKTI).
The work done at Semarang has brought to light the direct links which exist between urban development and natural
physical phenomena with harmful effects. These relationships justify a broader overall approach to development
than at the level of the individual project. The results of the analyses and proposals made were shared with local
players, chiefly as part of the seminar held on 7 October 2015 at UNDIP under the aegis of the rector and the French
Climate ambassador, in the context of the preparations for COP 21.
The work presented here does not constitute an end in itself. It puts forward an initiative to be taken which can unite
Indonesian players, at different territorial levels, on taking coastal issues into account in urban development. This
can be done by collective action, by mobilising expertise which is primarily local, while supplementing it where
necessary with the support of experts who could come from other geographical locations.
In any case, France is capable of supporting initiatives for Indonesian territorial resilience to natural hazards, whether
on the coast of Semarang and neighbouring municipalities within the Province of Central Java, or on other Indonesian
coasts also facing development issues.
Hopefully, as a first step, Cerema and UNDIP's proposal to create a subsidence observatory on the urbanised coastal
strip of Semarang will get a favourable response from our Indonesian friends and the financial support necessary
also to put it into action.
Nicolas Gascoin,
Attaché for scientific and technological cooperation,
French Embassy in Indonesia
PR E FAC E S 5
The scientific and technical collaboration between Diponegoro University and Cerema is a fruitful one. It extends
the more conventional scientific collaboration that Diponegoro University has been rolling out over many years
with French universities and top colleges, with the constant support of the French Institute in Indonesia.
The subject of study here is important since it involves analysing and understanding the physical and anthropogenic
phenomena that affect the coast of the Province of Central-Java in its highly urbanised part, within the sensitive
context of climate change. Cerema, vocationally more technical than scientific, brings its skills to spotlight modes
of action that can help resolve the questions raised. The Diponegoro University mobilised mainly the scientific skills
of the Faculty of Fisheries and Marine Sciences which is working on the subject of subsidence.
Within the important context of preparations for COP 21, a significant stage in the work done with Cerema was
the seminar organised at UNDIP on 7 October 2015, in the presence of the French Ambassador for the Climate.
This seminar brought together French and Indonesian partners on this coastal issue. This collaboration with Cerema
also enabled the creation in 2016, within Undip, of a centre dedicated to the study of hazards on the coastal strip.
The aim of this university study centre is to develop prevention and protection actions against all-natural hazards
on the coast.
The resilience approach recommended by Cerema is in line with the guidelines set out by international frameworks
(Climate COP, Habitat III, Sendai Framework). We are collaborating on this subject with Indonesian players and,
in particular, the city of Semarang.
The first stage proposed by Cerema, the creation of an observatory for subsidence and its effects, is a good
way to bring together public and private players around scientific and technical knowledge and to search hard for
satisfactory solutions. It would be useful for the observatory to also be open to the municipalities neighbouring
Semarang which can bring their own experience and have the same needs for a collective response.
Table of Contents
Prefaces 3
Foreword 9
General Introduction 11
PART 1
The coast, a space in the process of becoming fragile 12
1. An area distressed by climate change 15
2. An area particularly at risk from urbanisation 17
3. The Indonesian coastline 20
4. Cerema's intervention in Semarang 23
PART 2
Semarang: the challenge of the coastal strip 26
1. A geographical context became a constraint 29
2. Worrying urbanisation dynamics 32
3. Subsidence, a major phenomenon in Semarang 34
4. Other natural phenomena 43
5. From individual action to the mobilisation of players 47
PART 3
Semarang:
towards a territorial resilience methodology 52
1. Resilience: what is it? 55
2. Resilience: responses at different levels 58
3. A territorial resilience project for Semarang 62
4. The coastal strip observatory: a foundation stage 65
5. Different viewpoints from scientists 71
General conclusion 77
Technical annex by Tre Altamira 81
Bibliography 87
Glossary 91
Index of illustrations 93
9
Foreword
This work deals with the resilience of coastal areas to It is only by mobilising the concept of territorial
natural hazards, drawing on the case of the Indonesian resilience that we can hope to prevent disasters
urban district of Semarang. The intervention of Cerema that are in progress and future ones, as well as limit
in collaboration with Diponegoro University (UNDIP) their negative impacts on communities and activities.
in Semarang in Indonesia over a five year period Resilience must make it possible to provide
(2013-2017) made it possible to grasp – in a specific development of the territory under acceptable
case – the challenges facing coasts, fragile areas by conditions by collectively meeting the challenges
nature, in the context of their urbanisation and it faces, in particular the impact of climate change.
the effects of climate change.
The installation of an observatory of the Semarang
The individual case of the Semarang coastline concerns coastal strip could be a first step towards this
having a subsidence phenomenon, that is to say soil resilience and constitute a precious tool for giving
subsidence, that is particularly active. The urbanisation direction to urban development and taking
dynamics that can be observed on this coast interfere coordinated measures.
with the subsidence and is faced by other natural
hazards (such as submersion, erosion). The project would also bring together local authorities
and all stakeholders, public and private, around
These processes interact with each other and generate the issue of future changes to the coastline.
harmful effects on the quality of life and economic
activities of communities. Cerema is a player able to contribute its support to
Indonesian partners. It can do this by mobilising
The analysis conducted by Cerema and UNDIP its own expertise and by bringing on board, side
shows that sector-specific actions are not enough by side, high-level French expertise meeting the
to halt processes that are harmful to building work. different requirements.
Pascal Berteaud,
Director-General at Cerema
11
General Introduction
This work by Cerema presents a resilience approach mobilises collective action, that a path can open up
to natural hazards in the Semarang urban district towards the search for appropriate responses.
in Indonesia. Located at the edge of the Java Sea,
this expanding city is exposed to major natural International frameworks (Climate COP, Habitat III
hazards and is faced with developmental issues on Conference, Sendai Framework) recommend
its coastal strip. employing territorial resilience approaches, which
are more efficient than conventional approaches.
The work produced is the fruit of the Franco- Such approaches are ambitious and require major
Indonesian scientific and technical collaboration investment on the part of the various players. For
between Cerema (France) and Diponegoro University Semarang, a first pragmatic step has been proposed
(UNDIP, Indonesia) over five years, between 2013 – the creation of an observatory for the subsidence
and 2017. This collaboration has benefited from and its effects on the urbanised coastal strip. This
the support of the French Embassy in Indonesia observatory has appeared to be a necessary tool for
and from the ministries responsible for Research bringing together public and private players, for
and Foreign Affairs of both countries. giving strategic direction to urban development and
produce actions contributing to territorial resilience.
Generally, the coasts exposed to different human It would be useful for it to also cover the municipalities
and natural influences are fragile spaces. Today, neighbouring Semarang.
they can be greatly disturbed by rapid urban
development and by the effects of climate change. Semarang's case is emblematic of the intensity of
Beyond these common features, each coast presents the subsidence and of its impacts. However, other
specific features requiring individual analysis, coastal territories in south-east Asia and Indonesia
therefore, and is full of lessons for other coasts. are configured in similar ways.
The particular case of the Semarang coast results The first part of the work recalls the general
from its exposure to very active subsidence. This challenges for coastlines as fragile urbanised
phenomenon results in soil subsidence which can spaces, before describing Cerema's on site
reach up to 13 cm per year in certain sectors. It procedural methods, in Semarang, in partnership
interacts with other natural hazards, as well as with Diponegoro University and in connection with
with anthropogenic activity. Subsidence and the the municipality of Semarang. The second part
associated processes generate effects harmful both presents an analysis of the territory highlighting
to economic activities and to the living conditions the challenges that relate to the future of the
of communities. coastal strip. Finally, the third part puts forward
the territorial resilience approach and the principles
Targeted on the coastal strip of Semarang, of a subsidence observatory.
without necessarily being limited to this sector,
the analysis done by Cerema and UNDIP made it The work also benefits from contributions by
possible to identify the processes at work. scientists and experts who have been specifically
Sector-specific actions are not enough to stop involved in different contexts in the territory of
them. It's by applying the concept of resilience, Semarang, thus bringing their own vision to the
which takes into account systemic effects and analysis of the situation.
P A R T 1
The coast, a space
in the process of becoming fragile
Human societies have always established very • the fitness for habitation of living spaces
close ties with the biophysical components of threatened by the accelerated urbanisation of
their territory. Relationships between societies and the planet: the deterioration of water, air and
their environment can become extremely distressed soil quality…
when transformations occur too rapidly. These
transformations can occur at the very heart of The disasters that occur may be more intense or more
society: demographic changes, changing lifestyles... frequent than in the past. They sometimes take new
They can also affect natural components such as forms or locations. They are violent, causing
the climate, physical environment or ecosystems. immediately observable or progressive damage,
All of these components are subject to changes often with insidious effects.
that are that much stronger because they interact
with each other. It is necessary to pay particular attention to the
territories affected by these global changes. This is
At this start of the third millennium, demographic the case for certain coastlines confronted
growth and the effects of human activity are simultaneously with intense urbanisation and the
causing changes at the planetary level. The effects effects of climate change. The imbalances observed
which are observed at the global and local levels are constitute a challenge for the safety of the public
at least of two orders1 : and human activities. It is, therefore, appropriate to
1 Michel Lussault, • biophysical transformations: the collapse of raise questions about the modalities of these
L’avènement du monde.
Essai sur l’habitation biodiversity, global warming, the exhaustion of imbalances and to inquire into the resilience of
humaine de la Terre,
éd. Seuil, 2013. natural resources, etc.; these territories.
T h e c o a s t, a s pa c e i n t h e p r o c e s s o f b e c o m i n g f r a g i l e 15
An area 1
distressed by climate change
The coast is a space which is both particularly 1.2. Specific physical phenomena
exposed to natural phenomena and attractive to
people. Nowadays, this type of space is among the There are several different physical phenomena
most at risk from the effects of climate change. which affect the coast, sometimes to the detriment
It is also subject to the spread of urbanisation in of its fitness for habitation. They can be of global
the context of increasing international trade and or local origin, of vast or restricted extent,
globalisation. These changes may lead to situations permanent or temporary. The main physical
of local concern in terms of fitness for habitation phenomena interacting with urbanisation should
and exposure to natural disasters. be presented here.
Subsidence is a phenomenon of compaction of at 1.7 mm per year. The scenarios put forward by
loose water-saturated sedimentary ground, which the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
is particularly compressible. It results in a gradual (GIEC, Groupe d'experts intergouvernemental sur
lowering of the ground level and particularly affects l'évolution du climat) forecast a rise in sea levels at
the alluvial deltas. This slow natural process is the end of the century going from 0.55 m to 0.82 m,
sometimes greatly accelerated by human actions. depending on the measures taken to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions. However, researcher
2 A study which came out Coastal ecosystems, arable land and inland Christine Cabasset (Irasec) is working on more
in May 2019, confirming
the results of other freshwater can be contaminated with sea-salt. pessimistic scenarios with regard to the rise in
previous studies, revises
the forecasts upwards The soils become unusable for agricultural sea levels2.
in light of the Greenland
and Antarctic ice sheets purposes and the water table unfit for consumption.
melting faster, which
has combined with Excess sedimentation also impacts the quality of This phenomenon modifies sea currents, the
the effects of global
warming in the strict sense. natural environments and how hydro-systems direction of swell as well as sedimentary exchange.
In a global warming
business-as-usual function. The mangrove, a natural barrier, is then These progressive changes reshape the coastlines
scenario, "it is plausible
that sea levels could impaired and no longer plays its protective role and produce marine transgression. Nearly two thirds
exceed two meters
by 2100. That could against ocean currents. of the sandy coasts worldwide are eroding, whilst
lead to land loss of
1.79 million km2,
most estuaries are filling up. The frequency of
including land important
for agricultural production,
Finally, the interactions between marine and storms or their intensities are destined to increase,
and the displacement
of 187 million people",
inland waters should be noted. In fact, strong exposing coasts to greater climatic instabilities
in Bamber et al.,
Ice sheet contributions
tides aggravate inland flooding by hampering than in the past.
to future sea-level rise the evacuation of river water.
from structured expert
judgment, Proceedings Climate change acting on a global scale is thus a
of the National Academy
of Sciences, 2019, p. 5. Climate change causes the above-mentioned powerful vector for coastal transformation. It poses
Source: Christine Cabasset,
"Le tourisme en Indonésie, physical phenomena or amplifies them. Thus, the a major challenge to which human beings must
un enjeu local et national
en quête de gouvernance", physical expansion of water bodies and the respond without delay. Simultaneously, growing
in R. Madinier (dir.),
Indonésie contemporaine, melting of mountain glaciers or polar ice sheets urbanisation is another powerful factor in coastal
Irasec - Les Indes Savantes,
Bangkok-Paris, 2016. produce an overall rise in mean sea level estimated transformation which should be considered carefully.
T h e c o a s t, a s pa c e i n t h e p r o c e s s o f b e c o m i n g f r a g i l e 17
An area 2
particularly at risk from urbanisation
The maritime environment has always been Seoul (25.4 million), Bombay (24.3 million), Shanghai
conducive to human activities. The sea is a source (24.2 million), Manila (24.2 million), New York
of economic wealth for coastal populations. It (23.7 million) and Lagos (21.7 million). Only Delhi
harbours food supplies. In addition, low-lying coasts (26.5 million inhabitants) and Cairo (22.9 million)
are favourable to the construction of habitats and are truly inland cities.
roads, provided that they are protected by defensive
works and are located at sufficient distance from Beyond big global metropolises, the population is
the shore exposed to the effects of swells. concentrated on the coastal areas already
impacted by climate change. Today 15 to 20%
of the world's population lives less than 15 km
2.1. Coastal urbanisation from a sea shore. This urban pressure causes an
and its effects artificialisation of the coastline to the detriment
of natural environments which affects the rich
Ever since Antiquity, economic exchanges have biodiversity in particular. By developing in areas
developed in particular by maritime or river routes subject to disturbing physical phenomena
over greater and greater distances. Maritime accentuated by the effects of climate change,
exchanges require structured human settlements urbanisation is exposed to major risks.
near the shoreline, ensuring:
• the concentration and export of local products; More or less virtuous co-evolutions have been
• the import and distribution of materials or constructed over time between human settlements
goods that cannot be produced locally. and coastal areas. Today, however, global population
growth and a rapid urbanisation process are
The coasts are also places of transit and residence producing imbalances which are putting these
for communities. coastal territories under stress.
In Senegal, the Barbary Tongue which separates In mainland France, Aquitaine is one of the regions
the Senegal river from the ocean is also threatened most vulnerable to coastal erosion. Depending on
with disappearance. The city of Saint-Louis in the place, a decline in the coastline of around 100
Senegal is exposed to episodes of submersion while to 300 metres has been recorded over a century.
agricultural land is affected by salinisation. And as for the rocky Normandy coasts, they are
subject to strong erosion accentuated by landslides
of swathes of the cliff face.
The environmental organisation Climate Central has local populations and western tourists, especially
established a list of 90 cities that will be badly in Thailand.
impacted by an increase in the number and
severity of floods. Among them is, for example, A few months later, on 28 August 2005, Hurricane
the small North American town of Atlantic City Katrina ravaged the coasts of New Orleans in
(40,000 inhabitants), located in an island setting the United States. Urbanisation is developed
on New Jersey's Atlantic coast. This city is there as a polder, at a level of 6 metres below
already experiencing recurrent marine flooding. sea level. The levees had broken. The number of
The distress of the inhabitants faced with these victims was estimated at 2,000 people, while
phenomena is further accentuated by the town’s 140,000 were displaced. The disaster mainly
economic difficulties. affected the poor.
On the other hand, some countries which have In the south of Bangladesh, living between the arms
had large-scale disasters have learnt to deal with of the sea, rivers and streams, the population suffers
coastal dynamics and their dangers. This is the from tidal waves and floods during the hurricane
case in the Netherlands, which has developed seasons. Following the cyclone of 29 April 1991,
a global policy of protection against marine which claimed more than 138,000 victims and
floods following the trauma of the storm of created 10 million refugees, measures were taken
1 February 1953 which resulted in more than such as the construction of shelters in order to protect
1,800 victims. Developments due to climate change the people. They have shown their effectiveness
are pushing the country to completely revisit its during the latest cyclones.
development policy.
On the night of 27-28 February 2010, storm
Xynthia swept across Europe. In France, the
2.3. The most recent disasters storm particularly impacted the Atlantic coastline.
This event claimed 53 victims, of whom 47 were on
In recent years, several major disasters have the coastal strip, with a lot of property damage.
marked coastal populations and caused significant
damage to property and activities. They reflect On 11 March 2011, a tsunami occurred along the
the sensitivity of coastlines in the context of their Pacific coast of Tohoku in Japan. This earthquake,
growing urbanisation and climate change. which was felt over 600 km of coastline, claimed
more than 18,000 victims and caused a large-scale
The most emblematic disaster is the Indian nuclear disaster. It deeply impacted the local
Ocean tsunami of 26 December 2004. It struck population and also the world economy.
mainly the north of the island of Sumatra in
Indonesia, the coasts of Sri Lanka, the south of In September 2017 in the Caribbean, storm Irma
India and the west of Thailand. This tsunami followed a trajectory touching a string of coastal
claimed more than 200,000 lives, most of whom territories in the Antilles until it hit the coast of
were in the province of Aceh, in the north of Florida. The death toll came to nearly 130 with
the island of Sumatra, Indonesia. It impacted more than a thousand displaced people.
20 T h e c o a s t, a s pa c e i n t h e p r o c e s s o f b e c o m i n g f r a g i l e
Indonesia has two types of climates with big Because of its geographical, physical and human
contrasts between the islands: characteristics, Indonesia is exposed to many natural
• a tropical climate, with an alternating wet hazards: volcanic eruptions, earthquakes, landslides,
season from October to April characterised by floods and tsunamis.
heavy precipitation (winter monsoon) and dry
season from May to October;
• an equatorial climate with no variation in 3.2. The vulnerability
temperature or rainfall, humid all year round. of the Indonesian coast
Annual precipitation varies between 2,000 and The Indonesian coast is locally very urbanised. The
3,000 millimetres at low altitude. The highest main economic cities are located on the coast, like
rainfall is located in the mountainous regions Jakarta or Surabaya. The coastlines are made fragile
near the equator and on the landforms on the west by demographic growth and the development of
coast of Sumatra, to the west of Java, Kalimantan, activities which are concentrated there, furthermore
Sulawesi and Papua. They can reach values of in the context of climate change.
6,000 millimetres. Humidity is often very high, in
the region of 80%. The average annual temperature The extended length of urbanised coast makes
does not vary much, while the temperature Indonesia very sensitive to the effects of climate
gradient between the plain and the mountain is change. Coastal areas are particularly at risk from a
high. In Jakarta, on the island of Java, the daily rise in sea levels, but also to rapid variations in
average is between 26°C and 30°C. meteorological phenomena such as storms which
can change course and precipitation which can
Agriculture benefits from favourable overall soil intensify or, conversely, become scarce.
conditions. Volcanic eruptions have fertilised the
soil with large deposits of ash in the lowlands. Coastlines are particularly sensitive to natural hazards.
The immense green plains and plateaus and Inland flooding is particularly common there. Greater
the terraced hills have allowed agriculture to magnitude earthquakes occur on the Indian Ocean
develop which enables food provision to the seaboard. This sea board is also the most exposed to the
people on the densely populated islands, such as tsunamis which can result from such earthquakes.
Java and Bali. The December 2004 tsunami off the north coast of
Sumatra remains in the collective memory.
Indonesia is the 4th most populous country in the
world with more than 260 million inhabitants In 2006, on Java, another tsunami caused
(according to 2017 data). This big and rapidly 343 deaths on the south coast. In August 2018,
increasing population gives it very high urban a deadly earthquake on the island of Lombok led
growth, among the highest in the world. Located in to the evacuation of tourists from the little Gili
the far north-west of the island of Java, the capital Islands. The earthquake of 28 September 2018
Jakarta has thus become, in a few decades, the third followed by a tsunami devastated Palu, a town on
largest urban area on the planet, with 31.7 million Sulawesi, resulting in more than 2,000 deaths and
inhabitants. Other urban areas are following this 5,000 missing.
progression like Surabaya, located on the east coast
of the island of Java, which has exceeded 10 million Recently, an eruption of the Krakatoa (or Krakatau)
inhabitants, or Bandung (8.5 million inhabitants), volcano occurred in the Sunda Strait, a few
in the west of Java. kilometres from the west coast of the island of Java.
22 T h e c o a s t, a s pa c e i n t h e p r o c e s s o f b e c o m i n g f r a g i l e
It was followed by a tsunami on 23 December 2018 According to 2015 data, Java is even the most
that struck the coastal area of the Sunda Strait, populated island in the world with 145 million
killing 430 people and causing serious damage to inhabitants. Its population density is high, with
buildings and infrastructure. This tsunami reminds nearly 1,000 inhabitants per square kilometre. It is
us once again of how acute the problem posed by composed of six provinces: Banten, West Java,
urbanised coastlines is. Central Java, East Java, along with Jakarta, the
capital of Indonesia, and Yogyakarta which have
Other slower coastal phenomena, like the rise in the status of special territory.
sea levels and subsidence, that is to say the
gradual drop in the ground level, greatly impact West Java and East Java are dominated by big
people’s quality of life and the economies of the metropolises: Jakarta and, to a lesser extent,
coastal areas. Even without causing deaths, the Bandung on one side and Surabaya on the
manifestations of these phenomena can prove to other. Central Java is distinguished by an urban
be damaging, as the case of Semarang shows. structure made of a triangle of secondary cities,
of comparable power: Semarang, Yogyakarta and
Surakarta.
3.3. Semarang's coast
exposed to natural hazards Semarang, capital of the province of Central
Java, is included in the urban area of Kedungsepur
The urban district of Semarang is located on (Kendal-Demak-Ungaran-Semarang-Purwodadi)
the island of Java below the equator, between totalling 7.1 million inhabitants. Covering an area
the 6 th and the 8th parallels. It is the seat of of 374 km², the city is located on the north coast
government of the Province of Central Java. It overlooking the Java Sea. With a very old port
is a densely populated residential area and an infrastructure and structured into districts, this
economic centre, with many industrial and administrative and economic centre which has
service centres. 1.76 million inhabitants (2017) is experiencing major
urban sprawl, a consequence of the demographic
expansion which it has had in recent years.
In 2014, the work done by Cerema and UNDIP had To clarify the resilience project on its coastal strip
the aim of understanding the territory’s systemic observatory component, a Hubert Curien Partnership
functioning, in connection with the disruption was set up between Cerema and UNDIP as part
happening there, of characterising the physical of the Franco-Indonesian Nusantara 2016-2017
phenomena present, of identifying possibilities programme. In France, this programme is carried out by
for limiting them by technical systems. The the Ministry for Foreign Affairs and by the Ministry
professionals concerned and UNDIP students had for Higher Education and Research to promote the
adapted a systemic approach for this. mobility of scientists engaged in bilateral research.
24 T h e c o a s t, a s pa c e i n t h e p r o c e s s o f b e c o m i n g f r a g i l e
In Indonesia, it is implemented by the Ministry The UNDIP and Cerema partners made technical
of Higher Education, Research and Technology departments and managers associates of their
(Ristekdikti). work during participatory workshops (June 2014).
The meetings established trust-based connections
This Cerema-UNDIP project entitled “Coastal between the different participants. This unprece-
Disaster Mitigation and Rehabilitation Strategy to dented connectivity around the question of the
Strengthen Semarang Urban Resilience” aimed to coastline was the first step towards envisaging
define the observatory specifications, confirming later collaborative work.
the territorial resilience approach.
The aim was to build bridges between UNDIP
In 2018 and 2019, Cerema worked on all of the and local decision-makers in order to move
work done to produce the present summary. from scientific knowledge of natural and
anthropogenic hazards to operational action of
During each mission, Cerema and UNDIP presented necessity collective.
the progress of their reflections on the Semarang
problem together to the city's technical departments, This work enabled identifying the players who
in particular to the office responsible for urban constituted potential resources for action on the
development and planning (Bappeda). future of the coastal strip. They shed light on the
need to articulate the levels of the work: that of
the district, the city and the region (province). They
4.2. Working method also initiated examining the time scales. Scientific
knowledge of the phenomena and modelling
Cerema and UNDIP’s joint approach was very developments do indeed call us to reflect on ways
specific since it aimed to develop resilience of combining short term actions and long-term
dynamics to natural hazards for Semarang actions. This involves setting up tools and places
centred on the challenge to be met on the coast. for sharing knowledge and projects.
It focused on:
• creating a link between scientific knowledge and The workshops have involved local technical
practitioners (sending out and sharing knowledge); departments. The goal of these workshops was
• improving understanding of the phenomena to interconnect the scientific knowledge built up
currently happening on the coastal strip and their by UNDIP, Cerema’s expertise and the knowledge
urban impacts; of local departments. They made it possible to
• identifying the needs of the people impacted: share a more global vision of the questions raised
inhabitants, businesses, functionaries; by the vulnerability of the coastal strip, by
• proposing a project in the sense of a collective completing the partial visions held previously
action involving decision-makers. by the various players.
7. Cerema-UNDIP workshop.
T h e c o a s t, a s pa c e i n t h e p r o c e s s o f b e c o m i n g f r a g i l e 25
This collaboration, then, allowed firstly for offered to the relevant inhabitants. This inquiry
observing and understanding the factors behind confirmed the fear of these coastal inhabitants of
the disruption and their interactions, building the one day having to leave their village, even though
first model of Semarang’s systemic functioning they make a living from fishing and seafood.
with regard to natural hazards and identifying
types of actions that could be undertaken. This first phase of work transcribed again in part 2
of the document, below, served as the basis for
Work in the workshops enabled: organising the seminar on 7 October 2015 which
1. Identifying and characterising the factors involved the decision-makers.
behind the disruption;
2. Qualifying the main issues at stake, in relation to It led to the construction of a territorial resilience
these disturbances; project, one of the first steps of which was the
3. Initiating a frame of reference for the technical creation of a subsidence observatory on the
measures or initiatives already taken; coastal strip. This project is described in part 3
4. Constructing a proposal for a roadmap with of this document.
interconnecting the players as a priority.
The objective was to help local authorities to
A field trip enabled taking the situations of the think about the progression of the physical
fishing villages located beside the Java Sea into phenomenon and the impact on projects
account. At risk from the phenomenon of subsidence, underway on this coastal strip, to take a step
flooding and pollution, their communities, back from the various possible remedial actions
whose activity is linked to the sea, want to stay put. and to integrate them into the framework of a
A questionnaire created by Cerema and UNDIP was global and systemic vision.
P A R T 2
Semarang :
the challenge of the coastal strip
4 Nur Miladan, Communities’ One of Indonesia’s most populous metropolises, Its geography is, however, emblematic of a vulnerable
contributions to urban
resilience process : a case the territory of Semarang is a major administrative coastline with big issues. Targeting the issue of
study of Semarang city
(Indonesia) toward coastal and economic centre on the island of Java. Its natural hazards in relation to this coastal location is
hydrological risk,
architecture, space role was designated as one of supporting therefore necessary if sustainable development is to be
management, doctoral
thesis, Spatial development national development, in particular industrialisation ensured. This is the purpose of the territorial analysis
and town planning,
University of Paris-Est, 2016. and service provision, between 2011 and 2025 4. done by Cerema in connection with local players.
S e m a r a n g : t h e c h a l l e n g e o f t h e c o a s ta l s t r i p 29
South North
A B
Upper area Middle area Coastal margin
1750 m
1500 m
1250 m
1000 m
750 m
500 m
250 m
25 km 20 km 15 km 10 km 5 km
Section A-B above represents the topographic Made of weathered formations of volcanic origin
profile of the city of Semarang from south to north. over a great depth, this upper part is subject to
This profile shows a volcanic relief on the foothills landslide phenomena. These impact homes and
of Mount Ungaran which rises to 2,050 metres roads as for example in recent years in Sekaran,
above sea level. In the central part, an uneven Sadeng and Bedan Duwur. Some residents are
topography made up of deep valleys goes before forced to abandon badly damaged houses, others
a very flat alluvial plain to the north as it occupy them in spite of the chaos and the risk
approaches the coast. The city of Semarang involved. The roads impacted by landslides remain
occupies this coastal plain over a width of about open to traffic, for lack of an alternative solution.
10 km. The section shows a relatively short
distance, about 25 km, from the top of the 2 - The middle part
watershed to the city, for a significant drop,
close to 2,000 m. This very uneven and steep Located between the high volcanic reliefs and
topography has a direct impact on the intensity the coastal strip, this part presents a hilly
of the flooding in the city. topography notched by talwegs with relatively
steep slopes. It is occupied by the historic city
1 – The high part and its more recent developments. Important
arteries, densely built residential blocks and
The upper part of Semarang, with hilly reliefs up hydraulic structures inherited for the most part
to an altitude of 425 m and plateaus intersected from the Dutch colonial period give a high degree
by deep talwegs, was historically occupied by the of structure to this area.
primary equatorial forest and by agricultural
activities distributed according to altitude. Made up of recent unconsolidated sedimentary
depositions, this middle part is also subject to the
This geographic area has recently been experiencing phenomenon of subsidence, albeit with less intensity
urbanisation due to demographic expansion than on the coastal strip. It is also particularly
and land limitations in previously urbanised exposed to inland flooding from canals overflowing,
areas. It also supports the migration of the combined with high tides in particular.
population leaving the coastal strip and its
problems. It includes recently built opulent In this area urbanisation is rapid and intense,
structures that are dwellings often located in which causes a lot of soil erosion, big earthworks
modern housing estates. and landslides.
S e m a r a n g : t h e c h a l l e n g e o f t h e c o a s ta l s t r i p 31
3 - The coastal strip The coastal strip has been under strong urban
pressure for several decades, while being exposed
The coastal strip is located at altimetric sea level to intense physical phenomena clearly visible across
over a breadth of 4 to 7 km. Its 13,000 ha surface the territory, such as:
area represents about 34% of the territory of 1. Subsidence;
Semarang. This low-lying area supports economic 2. Marine transgression;
activities: industries, commercial port, fishing, as 3. Inland flooding.
well as road and rail infrastructure. Traditional
housing consisting of lightly-structured individual It is also exposed to the effects of climate change and
houses is widespread, alongside buildings housing rising sea levels, in particular. These phenomena greatly
office activities. impact the whole urban district and its development.
32 S e m a r a n g : t h e c h a l l e n g e o f t h e c o a s ta l s t r i p
6 Source: Diponegoro
University (UNDIP). 12. Evolution of the urbanisation (in ha). From UNDIP.
S e m a r a n g : t h e c h a l l e n g e o f t h e c o a s ta l s t r i p 33
Daily trips to economic activity centres generate road infrastructures in the form of ring roads,
stress for the public and congestion on main to reduce automobile congestion and support
roads, which has consequences for the health the urbanisation of sectors which are still not yet
and safety of individuals. Heavy road traffic built today.
creates excessive air pollution from gas emissions,
noise pollution and causes a growing number of
traffic accidents.
7 According to Sukhyar
(2003).
8 In hydro-geology,
an aquifer corresponds
to a geological formation
enabling the storage and
flow of an underground
aquifer, which can be
exploited for human
needs, whereas an aquitard
is a permeable formation,
but not saturated with
water and therefore
exploitable. 16. Schematic geological profile of the Semarang plain.
S e m a r a n g : t h e c h a l l e n g e o f t h e c o a s ta l s t r i p 35
About 56,900 measurement points were detected underground water, construction and creating
in the sector under consideration. The results show embankments…
a strong deformation gradient that extends from
the interior to the coastal zone. Various movement Groundwater pumping strongly accentuates
11 The number of wells
recorded was 94 in 1974, areas are thus brought to light. The maximum subsidence. This is the case when water extraction
178 in 1981, 350 in 1989,
600 in 1990, 950 in 1996
settlement zone is located in the eastern part of is significantly higher than the natural recharge
and 1,050 in 2000. The
extraction volume
the municipality, where the subsidence measured of aquifers. The decrease in the volume of
increased from around
0.4 million m3/year
reaches 13 cm per year. groundwater results in a decrease in the interstitial
in 1900 to 0.9 million
in 1974, 1.8 million
pressure and a corresponding increase in the
in 1981, 8.8 million in
1989, 16.9 million in 1990,
The work carried out by TRE ALTAMIRA is explained compaction of the fluvial outwash.
32.8 million in 1996 in the annex to the document.
and 38 million in 2000.
According to Abidin et al., In Semarang, the amount of wells and ground-
Land subsidence
in coastal city of ■ Subsidence factors water abstraction has increased sharply since the
Semarang (Indonesia):
characteristics, impacts early 1990s11, as shown in Figure 19 below. In
and causes, Geomatics,
Natural Hazards and Risk, Subsidence in Semarang is largely the result of some areas, there is a direct correlation between
2013, 4: 3, 226-240,
DOI: 10.1080/19475705. natural factors. It is, however, accelerated by the the lowering of the roof of the water table and
2012.692336 2013
and Nur Miladan, op.cit. intensification of human activity: pumping of soil subsidence.
S e m a r a n g : t h e c h a l l e n g e o f t h e c o a s ta l s t r i p 37
-1400
much higher than natural subsidence. Moreover,
50.00
50
Deep wells
45.00 Total with drawal (Million m3/year)
the need to win back areas lost to the sea leads to
Groundwater abstraction (Million m3/year)
- 1200
40.00
30.00
- 800
The answers provided locally contribute to the
25.00 aggravation of the problem.
- 600
20.00
5.00
- 200 as being a possible accelerator of subsidence. In 2018,
0.00 -0 the University of Bandung12 established for the first
1900 1910 1920 1932 1982 1985 1990 1995 1996 1998 1999 2002
time the effect of the groundwater salinity on the
19. Groundwater exploitation and number of deep wells. compressibility of the Semarang-Demak aquitard,
From The International Symposium and workshop on
Current Problems in Groundwater Management and i.e. on the intensity of the subsidence13. The coastal
Related Water Resources Issues, Bali December 2007. aquifer-aquitard system has variable features
ranging from freshwater to saltwater. The Damar
Water management in Semarang is faced with a aquifer, the main aquifer on the Semarang-Demak
deficit in hydraulic infrastructure combined with plain, contains fresh water which has run through
constantly increasing needs linked to population volcanic rocks. On the other hand, the water tables
growth, lifestyle changes in and the development made up of marine clays contain salt water.
of economic activities. Through establishing
collective management. which can meet the Finally, there is the question of the role of Semarang’s
challenges, we hope that the excessive demands tectonics on subsidence (cf. Figure 20). Without
on aquifers can be reduced. having been demonstrated, it is possible that the
natural phenomenon linked to the set of faults
Ground load is another factor making subsidence running north-west to south-east accentuates
worse. Increasing construction of buildings, subsidence by a general tilting of the area towards
infrastructures or embankments on this compressible the north-east. A deeper investigation of this
ground causes "anthropogenic" soil subsidence subject would be necessary.
Sea of Java
N
Coastal area
Recent alluvium
Middle area
Sandy composition
F F F
F F
Marl
Upper area
F
F
F F
Marly-clay
Clluvium
Fault
Volcanic formation Sarah Dwi et al., op.cit. 12
F
The increase in the salinity 13
Marly-clay of the clays increases the rate
Marl of consolidation and hydraulic
conductivity. It promotes rapid
20. Semarang’s structural geology. dissipation of interstitial water.
38 S e m a r a n g : t h e c h a l l e n g e o f t h e c o a s ta l s t r i p
3.3. The territory’s vulnerability This map shows that approximately 970,000 inha-
to subsidence hazard bitants, that is to say nearly half the population of
Semarang, live in a subsidence area. The table below
The territory's vulnerability to subsidence requires shows the following distribution, according to
analysis of the damage capacity of the elements hazard intensity level:
exposed to this natural phenomenon and its
effects. The impact of subsidence on the life of Intensity level Number of inhabitants
the population, on the proper functioning of
high (red) 200,000
infrastructure, on the city’s equipment and
economy can be evaluated by crossing different medium (orange) 480,000
The distribution of the different communication ■ The population and the built environment
routes at risk from the subsidence hazard is defined
as follows: Buildings have been observed sinking into the
ground. This sometimes causes tilting, a decrease
Subsidence hazard/ Motorway Main roads Secondary roads Railway in the heights of the entrances and the ceiling. Cracks
Issues in km in km in km in km
may appear on the walls, sea water can damage
TOTAL 12 km 51.5 km 52 km 24.5 km the foundations, causing loss of functionality.
Of red zone 1 km 24 km 5 km 12 km Homes directly exposed to marine transgression
can be flooded.
Table 1. Length of the various infrastructures impacted by subsidence.
The main economic structures of the city (hospitals/ In the fishing districts very close to the sea the
care centres, stations, airport, schools, strategic residents live in their flooded house or take
industrial buildings...) have been listed and grouped refuge upstairs during high tides. Some people
thematically. The superimposition of these data on raise their homes every five years, either by
the subsidence hazard map shows that a high number raising the roof by at least one metre, or by
of vital centres are located in areas of heavy subsidence. adding an extra floor15. They can also raise the
These are mainly four health centres, 19 schools/ floor of their house and the level of the land or
universities and the historic centre of Semarang. build a small dam around their property to keep
the water out. As part of his ongoing thesis,
This analysis shows that subsidence has a big impact devoted to the social and spatial transformations
15 Safrinal Sofaniadi,
Rusmadi and on the sector’s economy and the life of the territory. caused by industrialisation in Semarang16, Julien
Aniessa Delima Sari,
Protect, adapt or relocate? Birgi notes:
Responding to climate
change in coastal • The increased isolation of districts, ringed by
Indonesia, Asian Cities
Climate Resilience 3.4. The disruption dikes and raising the height of the infrastructure;
Working Paper Series,
IIED order no: 10723, 2015. and the response provided • Increased destitution: many inhabitants remain,
16 Julien Birgi, When
but those who have the means leave the districts
productive systems
at work in emerging
The total area at risk from the subsidence phenomenon most impacted by subsidence. They are replaced by
countries shape cities
and contribute to
currently covers approximately 16,000 ha, or 42% of much poorer migrants who settle there, because
their resilience.
Comparative analysis
the territory of Semarang. there are still areas available;
of the impact of different
forms of loose soil
• The dissolution of social bonds: those who have
industries on socio-spatial In an urban environment, this phenomenon creates the means raise their house, those who do not
structures in Semarang
and Jepara in Java, disruption for housing, economic buildings such have it remain flooded/sunk. The answers are more
Indonesia, from 1985
until today, Geography as offices and industrial buildings and damages individual than coming from citizen associations.
thesis in progress,
under the supervision transport infrastructure together with structural Social tensions are appearing, while the forms of
of Manuelle Franck,
INALCO, Sorbonne Paris works, roads, railways and the drainage system, solidarity that are widespread in poor quarters in
Cité Université, CESSMA
(UMR 245). including pipelines. Indonesia tend to disappear.
S e m a r a n g : t h e c h a l l e n g e o f t h e c o a s ta l s t r i p 41
23. Building subsidence (on the left) and land raising (on the right).
8 cm in 10 years, 17
28. Phenomenon of marine transgression on the coastal strip of Semarang. according to UNDIP.
44 S e m a r a n g : t h e c h a l l e n g e o f t h e c o a s ta l s t r i p
The issue of marine transgression falls within the scientists are also mobilised. UNDIP is experimenting
jurisdiction of the Province of Central Java. Its with new systems that promote the establishment
fisheries management has to face management of the mangrove and its protection from destructive
difficulties linked to the disappearance of the wave action.
coast. The coastline usually sets the limit of land
management and maritime management, each These provisions have recourse to innovative
area having its own regulatory framework. ecological engineering techniques aimed at
Technical, political and administrative support trapping sediment and weakening currents, with
for the flooding of villages is an example of an some of them showing promising results…
immediate challenge posed by the rapid modification
of the area.
The disappearance of the mangrove, the coast’s 30. Re-creation of the mangrove.
natural protective barrier, results from human
occupation, industrialisation, civil engineering In urban areas, marine transgression is slowed down
works and climate change. Actions have been put by the obstacle created by buildings, but it is
in place to recoup this natural environment. The assisted by the phenomenon of subsidence. In
re-creation of the mangrove (see figure below) non-urbanised areas, the intrusion of the sea is
involves rural populations. Local authorities and facilitated and extends further inland.
29. Changes to the coastline at Semarang (from Cerema and UNDIP data).
S e m a r a n g : t h e c h a l l e n g e o f t h e c o a s ta l s t r i p 45
Pumping stations19 have been designed to pump In addition, urban institutions seek to resolve
run-off water to the sea (see Figure 32). These flooding hazards through other plans and
stations are in permanent operation. projects in progress with the support of the
central government and the Province of Central
Since the 1990s, the municipality has taken the Java, such as:
hazard related to seasonal high tides (rob) and • the Jatibarang dam project, in collaboration
19 The dewatering stations flooding into consideration in planning and in with the Japanese government;
are pumping stations
for inland waters which particular in master plans20. Urban institutions • the Banger polder pilot project, in cooperation
do not find a gravity
outlet. These waters are have drawn up some plans for the urban drainage with the Dutch government;
concentrated in a pond,
from where they are system in collaboration with international players • the urban resilience project in the Asian
extracted and returned
under pressure to in order to reduce the risk of flooding. Cities Climate Change Resilience Network
an outlet.
(ACCCRN) programme, initiated by Mercy Corps
20 Cf. master plan for
the development of
Based on these plans, a number of works have been (international NGO).
water resources
and feasibility study
undertaken in an attempt to stem flooding, namely:
for urgent flood controls,
the urban drainage of
• rehabilitating diversion canals and rivers; The medium-term effectiveness of these hydraulic
the city of Semarang
and its surrounds,
• the development of the Tawang polder; structures can, however, be questioned. In particular,
developed by the Japan
International Cooperation
• some pumping systems. the increase in sediment coming from the reliefs
Agency/JICA (1993), requires a significant maintenance effort such as
draft Semarang urban
drainage master plan These developments enable partial resolution dredging at short time intervals to limit overflowing
developed by the Ministry
of Public Works (2000) of flooding hazards and in particular the afore- during intense rains.
and urban drainage
master plan. mentioned phenomenon of the rob.
S e m a r a n g : t h e c h a l l e n g e o f t h e c o a s ta l s t r i p 47
This territory-wide process can be summarised The principle is always the same: in a very sensitive
as follows: environment, anthropogenic activities modify natural
elements; the modifications caused alter the living
environment and impact natural resources.
Responses brought in isolation by a player can give
rise to new impacts, which cause further aggravation
of the damage.
5.2. Public and private responses Devices are being tested. They are intended to
facilitate trapping sediment by breaking the
In Indonesia, since the decentralisation laws, energy of ocean currents. Different materials
responsibilities are distributed as follows: have been tested: PVC, wood, bamboo. Plant
• national roads, railways, coastline: Central State cultures have also been set up to replant the
(Pemerintah Pusat); mangrove.
• rivers and watersheds and provincial roads:
Province (Propinsi); At the urban level, the City of Semarang's
• urban planning and local roads: Cities (Kotamadya) various departments, the technical services, the
and Departments (Kabupaten). social services, are on the front line. They are
mobilised to respond daily to the problems that
It is therefore functionaries at different levels who arise. For example, the public authorities
must deal with the disturbances that impact the broadcast the times and levels of the tides,
coastal strip and carry out actions to remedy the chaos. which enables activities to be adapted to flooding
Actions are taken by the operators of major road or in the districts.
rail infrastructure; they aim to reinforce their structures.
At the province level in Central Java, companies are Dewatering stations operate continuously to avoid
combating marine transgression. The local authorities the flooding of certain areas.
also act at the urban level. Out of necessity, then,
the question of coordinating these actions arises. Private companies organise themselves individually
to respond to the chaos they suffer in the coastal
At the regional level, the coastal developments strip. They raise their facilities, rebuild buildings,
carried out now combine heavy work and solutions abandon certain very exposed areas in favour of
based on nature. Thus, UNDIP is experimenting others that are less exposed. Some heavily
and modelling ecological engineering techniques impacted buildings are decommissioned as
with the purpose of reconstructing the mangrove. shown in Figure 36 below.
In his thesis21, Julien Birgi analyses the resilience prevent flooding. These developments, financed
of industrial areas, amongst other subjects. He by the public authority, pulled the districts of
was able to identify the following elements: the west Semarang between the airport and the
developers of industrial zones are public or port out of water. But these very costly
private companies, which invest little if anything investments are of limited effectiveness over
in infrastructure maintenance, a fortiori when time, because they are themselves at risk from
they are faced with a phenomenon as massive as heavy subsidence.
the seasonal high tides (rob). Consequently, it is
the companies themselves (holders of construction By participating in the Resilient cities action,
leases) that try to cope with it. But the possibilities the City of Semarang displays its concern with
for action at their level are limited. Indeed, if they meeting the challenges that its territory is
raise their premises, they face access problems for facing. It develops planning on the scale of its
their trucks and employees by submerged and territory. It takes multiple issues into account
deeply rutted tracks. They either therefore prefer in particular relating to economic development,
to move, to the detriment of the surrounding resource protection and the organisation of
population and contributing to peri-urbanisation. mobility.
In practice, only the public authority (provincial
or municipal government) compensates for the The coastal problem is part of a set of questions
shortcomings of private players: resilience costs raised by urban development. The City is trying
are therefore assumed by the local authority. to deal with the problem by providing fairly
ad hoc responses, since it is in regard to local
Heavy development work like the JICA retention infrastructure (major infrastructure is dealt with
ponds project has been carried out to try to by the Province or the Central State).
21 Julien Birgi, op. cit. 37. JICA retention pond project, under construction.
S e m a r a n g : t h e c h a l l e n g e o f t h e c o a s ta l s t r i p 51
If the intention certainly exists, Julien Birgi has carried out (for example, by creating more
not identified an integrated approach consisting density over conserved areas to rehouse the
of, for example, articulating planning, infrastructure populations most at risk).
work and a redeployment policy for inhabitants
and activities. He sees two main reasons for this, The initiatives are most often taken on a
the difficulty in coordinating interventions sector-specific basis. They are useful for limiting
(Bappeda being separate from the technical damage, but a collective response is necessary
operational departments that are piloting the to coordinate them and to get some leverage.
works) and the absence of a policy and the Actions complementary to these works are also
tools allowing urban renewal operations to be being sought.
P A R T 3
Semarang :
towards a territorial
resilience methodology
The complex situation of the Semarang coastal strip, This part, after having defined the notion of resilience,
as analysed, leads to applying the resilience concept. will put forward a methodology that takes into
Resilience offers a new paradigm to best counter account the specific features of the coastal strip, a
unwanted impacts and disturbances produced by a first step consisting in setting up an observatory of
rapidly changing environment. The resilience approach subsidence and its impacts. Finally, different
to the Semarang coast makes it possible to leverage viewpoints from scientists who have performed
learning, innovation, developing cooperation, solidarity analyses on this area will provide us with a
and coordinated actions between the players. complementary perspective.
Semarang: towards a territorial resilience methodology 55
consider urbanised coasts as assemblies made which were previously unknown. These different Edgar Morin, 24
La méthode
up of a large number of interacting entities, in types of resources either exist within the territory or T1 - La nature de la nature,
Ed. Seuils Points,
constant relationship with the outdoors. As are available at higher levels. For example, the 1977, P.149.
systems do, the coast follows a territorial path, resilience of a coastline requires mobilising the Refer to the CGDD/Cerema, 25
Villes et territoires résilients,
resulting from natural or anthropogenic dynamics. players in the area behind it (coastal hinterland). May 2015.
56 Semarang: towards a territorial resilience methodology
C – Encouraging learning and innovation measures. Monitoring not limited to the territory
allows for anticipating locally unprecedented
In the face of new or complex disruption, disturbances. For example, shoreline analyses
conventional and standardised responses are no performed at a regional level broaden possible
longer sufficient. Conversely, it is often possible feedback on events that occurred and the response
to find innovative and tailor-made responses, provided. Forward-looking approaches are also
which are sometimes simple and less costly. good levers for resilience.
Innovation is therefore a component of resilience.
For example, the fight against coastal erosion is
developing nature-based solutions where 1.2. The limitations of strictly
previously it focused solely on the construction sector-specific responses
of civil engineering works.
Weakened by urbanisation and climate change,
D – Reducing vulnerabilities the coasts are faced with different types of change,
with variable kinetics, interacting with each other.
Reduction of vulnerability is a primary component They are experiencing both an intensification of
of resilience. Its purpose is to limit damage in the the hazards and increasing human and economic
event of disturbances and thereby to facilitate a issues. This complexity alters the effectiveness of
rapid resumption of the territory's functionality. strictly technical responses following the usual
However, it comes up against technical and building of structural works model.
economic limitations, hence the notion of
acceptability of a level of hazard. For example, If the completion of isolated structural works
certain extremely intense natural phenomena, can give a one-off solution to a problem and for
such as marine submersion, cannot be counteracted a given time, alone these can rarely thwart the very
by structural works. powerful natural and anthropogenic processes in
the long term.
E – Taking into account specific features
of the territory What is more, it is futile to imagine that structural
works could be designed to give protection from
The resilience of a territory only makes sense if it the most intense hazards, especially in the
relies on local history and culture with their current context of climate change. Besides,
particularities and the way they work. The because of their cost and their impact on the
measures envisaged will be relevant if they take built environment, the environment and the
these elements into account by being received landscape, structural works that have been
better by the population. However, the specific completed cannot easily be redesigned with
features of the territory should not be reproduced larger dimensions.
in their current state without taking into account
the environmental changes in progress. The Finally, designing structures is difficult in an
changes in progress on the coast can thus lead environment that fluctuates too much and
to questioning the urbanisation practices in quickly makes the assumptions made for their
these areas. dimensions obsolete. Moreover, their high cost
would require a long period of technical efficiency,
F – Promoting vigilance and anticipation covering at least the amortisation period of
the investments.
Resilience enhances players’ ability to imagine
and anticipate disturbances that can impact However, in addition to the construction of
the territory and take into account subsequent structural works, the territories include management
Semarang: towards a territorial resilience methodology 57
systems which can play a beneficial role in the There are, consequently, different ways to act to
face of naturally occurring or human-induced reduce the vulnerability of coasts. The one proposed
disturbances. Certain coastal developments can prioritises a global vision for the territory by
thus be regulated and certain shocks absorbed, associating hazard prevention with other needs
for example by revising a planning scheme to be satisfied: mobility, conservation of natural
redistributing urbanisation making it less vulnerable, environments, public health, facilities requirements,
or decongestion measures in a district facilitating etc. The authorities are then put in the position of
its evacuation in the event of a hazard. Risk giving priority to land projects integrating reduced
management is thus integrated into the development vulnerability. This global and shared approach is
and management of the territory. the only one able to provide effective responses.
58 Semarang: towards a territorial resilience methodology
2 Resilience:
responses at different levels
Resilience is proposed as a response to the After years of state delay, the Paris Conference in
challenges to which certain coasts are exposed. December 2015 marked a turning point in the
This response involves the local level directly fight against climate change by leading to the first
impacted by the disturbances that the territory legally binding universal agreement.
faces to a very great extent. But resilience also
requires the involvement of the national and By November 2017, 168 countries had ratified the
supranational levels. It is by interconnecting Paris Agreement, which accounts for around 80%
these different levels of intervention that of all global emissions. This agreement defines
resilience can be effective. The principles are general emission control objectives to contain
presented below. temperature rises. It provides milestones every
five years on how the objectives are achieved.
2.1. The global level: The Paris Agreement provides for continued and
thematic policies enhanced international support for the adaptation
efforts of developing countries. It recognises the
Among the main global challenges are climate importance of preventing, limiting and dealing with
disruption, rampant urbanisation and natural or losses associated with the effects of climate change.
technological disasters. International conferences It legitimises the role of local authorities called
targeted on these major challenges try to promote upon to build resilience and reduce vulnerability to
frameworks for action that limit the harmful the consequences of this change. It further
effects for present and future generations. affirms the need to cooperate and enhance
understanding, action and support in different
■ Climate disruption areas, such as early warning systems, preparedness
and the Paris Agreement (ratified in 2017) for emergencies and provisions for insurance against
climate hazards.
Climate change is one of the main challenges
for the contemporary world. This global change, This agreement provides a framework for collective
the effects of which are already widely action by states to limit climate change in the
observable, engages human beings’ responsibility. coming decades. It also stipulates that actions may
Its effects, which are going to degrade the be taken in the general interest in favour of limiting
overall habitability of the planet, will make damage in the areas most at risk. It recognises
themselves particularly felt in certain very the role of non-state players in the fight against
vulnerable areas, such as coasts or arid zones. climate change, in particular local authorities,
The already visible impacts will be mainly borne civil society and the private sector. The principle
26 The African Development
Bank (AfDB), Asian
by future generations. of acting collectively on coastlines weakened by
Development Bank (ADB), climate change emerges as a direct consequence of
European Bank
for Reconstruction Under the UN climate convention, adopted in this agreement. The action requires the mobilisation
and Development (EBRD),
European Investment 1992, a Conference of the Parties (COP) brings of financial resources. Also, at the international
Bank (EIB), the Inter-
American Development together 195 States each year. The objective is to level, multilateral financing banks26 are identified
Bank Group (IDBG),
the Islamic Development control greenhouse gas emissions to contain as among the main donors acting in the fight
Bank (IsDB) and the World
Bank Group (WBG). climate disruptions. against climate change.
Semarang: towards a territorial resilience methodology 59
amplified by climatic factors. They primarily affect of conflict that has arisen between demographic
dense urban areas and impact especially the and urban extension and the natural elements.
poorest populations on the planet. Having said as much, to date, they have not been
identified as such, in particular via an international
In 1987, the United Nations General Assembly "coastline" framework document which was to
decided on an International Decade for Disaster Risk address their specific problems.
Reduction (UNISDR, United Nations International
Strategy for Disaster Reduction). This initiative Furthermore, the three international policies
resulted in ten-year action plans in 1994 (Yokohama), mentioned above have in common the promotion
then in 2005 (Hyogo) and in 2015 (Sendai). The of resilience methodologies as a suitable means
"Sendai framework", in force until 2030, sets an to respond to the challenges to be met.
international goal of protecting life, health, means
of subsistence, ecosystems, natural heritage and Addressing resilience across a territory or a city
critical infrastructure. It calls for a substantial allows for interconnecting the thematic challenges
reduction in losses and aims to increase societal of climate change, the urban developments and
and environmental resilience. the disaster prevention which, in reality, are all
interacting with each other.
For the first time, the UNISDR is widening the scope
of its action from natural hazards to technological To help cities establish strategies responding to the
hazards, thus admitting that it is difficult to consider challenges of the XXIst century taking into account the
the former without taking the latter into account. interests of populations, the Rockefeller Foundation in
It focuses on brutal shocks, but does not explicitly 2013 set up a programme entitled "100 Resilient cities".
extend its field to slow or progressive phenomena, The participating cities were selected based on a
such as subsidence, pollution or contamination. file presenting their motivations. The programme
These phenomena, however, can strongly impact the provides the selected cities with its expertise in
living environment and the health of communities. seeking funding and helps them network.
They also cause major economic damage.
France implemented a national coastline management strategy in 2012. This strategy recognises the mobility
of the coastline. It recommends working on a strategic retreat from the sectors that cannot be defended and
emphasises soft methods of stabilisation of the dune cordons and sandy coasts, reserving structural works
for protection where the stakes are high. The 2012-2015 action proposals relate to the observation of coastal
development, the definition of local strategies shared between players, the adaptation of management doctrines
and the mobilisation of specific funding.
To follow up on the first action program, a new program was adopted for the 2017-2019 period. It presents:
1. A summary of the actions done under the previous programme;
2. Common principles and strategic recommendations for coastline management;
3. 11 actions and 51 sub-actions identified, organised into 5 focal areas:
• to develop and share knowledge on the coastline,
• to develop and put into practice shared territorial strategies,
• to develop experimental methodologies in coastal areas to facilitate spatial recomposition,
• to identify the methods of financial intervention,
• to communicate, raise awareness and train people about the problems of coastline management.
This strategy is intended to be used in forms suitable for each coastal region. Thus, the prefect of the Occitanie region
has established an integrated regional coastline management strategy for the 2018-2050 period. This regional
strategy defines a reference framework within which coastal development operations must take place.
This regional level is rich in possibilities. While Operating at a local level does not exclude
leaving freedom of initiative to each State and working in a network. Thus, a network dedicated
each coastal territory, it would make possible, for to developing the resilience capacities of Asian
the benefit of the greatest number: cities in the face of climate change, the Asian
• a cross-analysis of the problems raised; Cities Climate Change Resilience Network, has
• data pooling; been set up by the Rockefeller Foundation. This
• benchmarking exercises between local responses; network unites India, Indonesia, Bangladesh,
• the mobilisation of high-level international expertise; Thailand and Vietnam.
• development and experimenting with new methods;
• the mobilisation of international funding. This level can itself be broken down into multiple
mini-levels of operations depending on the territorial
This level is intermediate between the one, often organisation in place: State, province or region,
global, at which major principles are defined and the municipality, district. These levels are situated
one where they are put into practice at local level. further away from or nearer to communities.
possibility of pooling instrumentation and analysis groundwater…). Management at the watershed level Badan Perencanaan 29
Pembangunan Daerah,
resources. Finally, its purpose is to make projections benefits the coastal strip. disingkat Bappeda.
64 Semarang: towards a territorial resilience methodology
Other themes would justify resilience methodologies, This is why the proposed territorial resilience
but it seems that the action should be confined to project is limited to the four focal points for work
a few major themes. described in the table below:
Resilience
Subject Purpose First steps principles
(cf. 1.1 )
Focal point 1 - Establish a system 1. P
utting data providers in touch 1. Situational analysis of resources A, B, F
observing the effects of subsidence. with each other. available.
2. Defining needs. 2. Defining needs.
3. S
tructuring the observatory 3. Identifying gaps.
and the methods for creating it, 4. Definition of the projected
its management. observatory.
Focal point 3 - Adapt the urban 1. D iagnosing technical problems 1. Shared situational analysis D
infrastructure through technical and the solutions used. for problems.
innovation. 2. E stablishing a resilience action 2. Analysis of possible solutions.
programme for technical 3. Defining an action programme.
infrastructure.
The territorial resilience approach requires devising in place dedicated budgets, mobilising the greatest
strategic planning in favour of the coastal strip, possible number of players concerned and in
ensuring that disturbances on the coastal strip particular the manufacturers, establishing local
are taken into account in the definition and communication and links with the population,
implementation of development projects, putting defining training needs.
Semarang: towards a territorial resilience methodology 65
DATA
Most observatories take the form of computer For the proper functioning of the observatory,
applications in which data is collected, ordered, it is useful to set up governance connecting
processed and returned in summary form, managers, contributors and beneficiaries. This will
such as thematic maps, tables, graphics (see enable defining31 :
Figure 40). • the objectives to be followed;
• the main directions to be taken;
http://observatoire 30
The recovered processed data is made available • the protocols and management plans to be devised; gouvernance.ca
to users interested in the subject, such as • the field surveys to be carried out; http://www.valleedugaleizon.fr/ 31
observatoire-territoire/
developers or scientists. • the results obtained to be validated. observatoire-scientifique.html
66 Semarang: towards a territorial resilience methodology
The observatory also requires the establishment then communicate the information produced to
of agreements with various organisations, in beneficiary organisations.
order to increase the number of partners, to
share the workload and the financial costs. Correlations between natural phenomena and
anthropogenic dynamics can be made in order
to understand and anticipate changes in the
4.2. The SeMiReSu project: coastal strip.
a simplified prototype
These analyses will aim to integrate hazards into
Scientific work done in the context of the Nusantara regional planning and provide the most appropriate
PHC led to the proposal for the creation of an responses.
observatory on subsidence and its effects on the
Semarang coastal strip called "Semarang coastal This observatory should also have knowledge of the
Mitigation and Resilience to Subsidence" (SeMiReSu). various projects impacting the coastal strip. It can
then simulate their induced effects and suggest
This project aims to develop the territorial resilience of that they be taken into account.
Semarang to natural hazards in a context of demo-
graphic growth, climate change and the exposure There are multiple players potentially concerned
of the coastal strip to the impact of subsidence. by this project. They are involved in different areas
The objectives to be achieved are as follows: of management: transport infrastructure, urban
• to contribute to the knowledge and monitoring planning and housing, water...
over time of subsidence phenomena on the coastal
strip and its impact on the territory of Semarang by The main public stakeholders are the cities (Kotamadya)
setting up a lasting network of measurements not limited to Semarang, and the agencies (Kabupaten)
carried out by different organisations: the multi- responsible respectively for urban planning and roads,
plication of measurement points enriching and the Province of Central Java (Propinsi Java Central)
improving interpretations; responsible for rivers, watersheds and provincial roads,
• to develop knowledge and make it available to the Central State (Pemerintah Pusat) responsible for
decision-makers and project directors with the national roads, railways and coastline.
production of thematic maps and analyses;
• to raise awareness and train players about Private players amongst those most concerned by
damaging systemic effects and how to avoid or the coastal strip are also to be mobilised: the
limit them; airport manager, seaport manager and managers
• to federate the projects participating in the of big companies.
territory’s resilience and enhance them to promote
new ones.. In support of this first circle of players, expert
organisations, administrative departments, service
This project starts from the findings that the City, providers will then need to be mobilised.
universities, water management services, design offices
produce a lot of data on Semarang and its coastal strip. By raising awareness and bringing together all of
These relate to various subjects - measuring subsidence, these players, the observatory will be an operational
demography, economic activities, habitat, distribution lever for territorial resilience.
of water supplies and collections and the different
pumping operations, etc. - useful for carrying out a It is envisaged that the themes to be dealt with will
territorial resilience action. be broken down into two strands, distinct but
destined to be linked together :
The SeMiReSu observatory will allow us to collect • water-related hazards (at the level of the watershed);
useful data, update them, process them, and • hazards linked to urbanisation (Semarang level).
Semarang: towards a territorial resilience methodology 67
Inland flooding hazard (overflow): knowledge, monitoring. Protection by structural works, management and operational practices.
Rises in the sea level/submersion. Coastal development: strategic or economic facilities, urbanisation.
Land salinisation (slaking area). Activity established at the coast, linked to the sea: fishing.
Salinisation of freshwater water tables. Freshwater groundwater/saltwater groundwater abstraction.
Coastal erosion. Mangrove reconstruction.
Disappearance of terrestrial areas.
State of the natural or reconfigured mangrove.
Subsidence: space data. Public living conditions, vulnerability of facilities and structural works,
economic impacts.
Groundwater abstraction and its progression, solutions.
Water needs and their evolution: household and industrial uses.
Human activities.
Constructive modes.
...
Ground movement: identification, knowledge and monitoring. Urban planning.
Constructive modes.
The evolution and development of this tool will only • to develop knowledge about resilient habitats and
be possible with the active collaboration of the make it available to players in the building sector;
partners, as well as a constant supply of subsidence • to manage abandoned land.
data over time.
The observatory will enable the implementation of
About forty players have been identified as an information system designed to ensure the
potentially concerned by the observatory. These production of data and the monitoring of indicators
players are distributed as follows: relating to resilient habitats. The ability of the
habitat to absorb disturbances and to re-organise
Indicative number itself could be understood by the producing data
Field of activity of organisations
concerned on the following themes:
Water management 4 • knowledge of multi-physical phenomena on the
Spatial planning 3
scale of buildings;
• measurement campaigns in situ with the
Infrastructures 5
characterisation of constraints, pathologies and
Underground infrastructure 1
disruptions;
Energy 3
• the identification of structural and functional
Public health 4 strategies for the construction, protection, adaptation
Economic and social 9 and renovation of habitats;
Educational establishments 3 • the analysis of feedback and the conservation of
Geophysics and environment 6 collective memory;
Hazard and risk management 3 • training, encouragement to learn, to know the
habitat and how it works, to acquire behaviours
Marine sciences and oceanography 4
suitable to living conditions in buildings exposed to
Total number of organisations 45
natural hazards.
4.3. Focus on “resilient habitat” The observatory will be able to look with particular
by Richard Cantin, attention at different types of buildings exposed to
teacher-researcher natural hazards, depending on whether they provide
management of civil security events, accommodate or
The “resilient habitat” component of the observatory are likely to provide shelter for communities susceptible
aims to build knowledge to improve the living to hazards or participate in public service missions,
conditions of the inhabitants and develop the and which must be restored as quickly as possible.
resilience of habitats exposed to natural hazards.
Resilient habitat refers to the different types of Data relating to resilience strategies will be regularly
building use (residential, tertiary, industrial, etc.). updated for these buildings.
The objectives are the following: The observatory must be able to grasp the
• to contribute to interdisciplinary knowledge of change, but also to adapt to it, by taking
the different habitats exposed to natural hazards; systemic interactions between buildings and their
• to draw up a summary of the buildings and ensure environment into consideration. It will thus promote
monitoring over time; organising information in order to determine and act
• to provide information on the capacity of habitats at different levels (building, residential block, district)
to absorb disturbances; with a global and multi-dimensional approach.
Semarang: towards a territorial resilience methodology 69
43. Activities building impacted by subsidence. The ground floor level is lowered.
70 Semarang: towards a territorial resilience methodology
The observatory should facilitate forward thinking This observatory will support awareness-raising
to outline the possible futures of habitats, to make and training actions for inhabitants and players
information, the consistency and sustainability of in the building sector, developing skills relating
the information system more reliable and to provide to construction and renovation methods for
information accessible to inhabitants. different types of buildings at risk from natural
hazards. It should thus enable inhabitants and
In this context, the “resilient habitat” component decision-makers to regularly and quickly have
of the observatory should allow for: indicators available even just to give them
• carrying out building-level diagnostics; information about the realities of the habitats
• the production of scientific expertise specific to they manage and the elements they need in order
resilient habitat; to make their decisions and do their operations.
• knowledge and the monitoring of inhabitants’
living conditions;
• the establishment of multi-annual action
programmes aimed at improving the resilience of
habitats (research and development, innovative
projects, experiments).
Semarang: towards a territorial resilience methodology 71
5.2. Spotlight on the actions and/or absence of link between these two levels
of inhabitants, by Gilles Hubert could thus be brought into question.
Gilles Hubert takes up here the results of the work As shown by the Cerema report, the city of
of Nur Miladan, completed as part of a doctoral Semarang is a particularly interesting area for
thesis defended in 201632. studying natural hazards and visualising the use of
a territorial resilience strategy. It is therefore not
■ Original research areas surprising that Nur Miladan should have focused
and a relevant field on this example. For his research, he mainly did an
important field investigation to study the modes
The research related to understanding the forms of of action of inhabitants living in very exposed
action taken by communities of inhabitants at the districts more closely.
level of their own district, to deal with recurring
natural phenomena (flooding linked to tides with Two types of land were studied (cf. Figure 44). They were
high coefficients, the rob). It is in the field of work chosen because they correspond to two conventional
32 Nur Miladan, op. cit.
This thesis was
on questions of civic and social values ("Civic and Indonesian urban forms. They are located at the level
jointly supervised
by Nathalie Lancret,
social capacity"). It helped to get a better grasp of of the coastal strip of Semarang (land reclaimed from
the National Centre
for Scientific Research
the concept of social resilience. the sea over the course of past centuries) on either
(CNRS, Centre national de
la recherche scientifique)
side of the Tanjung Emas port and are bordered by
director of research, The thesis looked at, on the one hand, the policy canalised rivers. They have in common that they are
Sugiono Soetomo
(university professor) implemented by the public authorities to manage exposed to flooding and are furthermore located
and Gilles Hubert
(university professor). flood hazard at different levels (institutional in an area of high subsidence (greater than or equal
It benefited from joint
supervision between territories, at risk territories) and, on the other to 7 cm per year). The two terrains differ in their
the University of Paris-Est
and Dipanegoro University. hand, the action of inhabitants at the level of social characteristics and, consequently, in their
33 Op. cit. their neighbourhoods to face the hazards. The link specific urban features.
44. Location of sectors 1,2, and 3. Source: Doctoral thesis by Nur Miladan33
Semarang: towards a territorial resilience methodology 73
The first type corresponds to a residential district The community represents a human group formed
(Tanah Mas) which was built on the basis of an within a district or a village. It constitutes an area
urban planning scheme and built by private for sociability where various forms of solidarity
developers. It is made up of relatively similar are expressed. There are two types of community
detached houses. The quality of infrastructure and organisation:
networks (drinking water supply, waste water • Rukun Tetangga: neighbourhood association
system, waste collection) is remarkable in comparison whose head is chosen by deliberation on the part
to the other terrain. of the families;
• Rukun Warga: grouping of neighbourhood
The latter is made up of two traditional habitat associations, the head of which is appointed from
districts. This type of habitat, specific to South- among the heads of these latter.
east Asia is called kampung. "Urban village" has
also been used to designate it. These two districts It is generally considered that urban life generates a
are adjacent. Their urban and social characteristics process of individualism. This does not seem to be
are similar: the case here. The spirit of solidarity, which is part
• Kampung Cilosari: a working-class district where of traditional Indonesian culture, remains present.
the inhabitants work in the port industry or live
off the informal economy; ■ Solidarity actions at the district level
• Kampung Tambak Lorok: a fishing district, located
downstream from the previous one and right next Faced with the hazards and inadequate institutional
to the sea. responses, the residents associations develop
forms of self-organisation and self-help at the
The vulnerability of the kampung to flooding is district level. They seek to reduce the impact of
higher than that of the residential district, especially flooding by themselves by acting on the urban
due to poor quality infrastructure and networks. morphology (reinforcing dikes, raising streets or
The poor coverage of the drinking water supply pavements...), on the housing (improving the level
network leads residents to pump in the ground- of protection, building an additional floor…) and
water, overuse of which aggravates the phenomenon on water management (clearing canals, waste
of subsidence. removal, pumping).
■ Characterising the role Work in the districts, done at the level of the public
of the communities of inhabitants spaces, is the responsibility of the community
which raises funds from the families. They are
The mess caused by recurrent hydrological events coordinated by the "heads" of the communities.
(whether they come from rain or tides) and the The work to reduce the vulnerability of housing is
very relative effectiveness of the structural financed by the households, but is carried out with
measures put in place by the local authorities lead help from the community.
the inhabitants to act autonomously in their
districts in order to protect themselves. Households, according to their means, try to
renovate, repair and reinforce their housing.
These initiatives have multiplied since the emergence These practices remain modest and partial.
of the rob in the 1980s, a marine submersion
phenomenon accentuated by the retreat of the ■ The production of environmental inequalities
coastline and land subsidence. They are based on
the existence of communities of inhabitants who, The residents associations function independently
in Indonesia, are part of society and are integrated of each other. Solidarity is expressed at the level of
into the institutional system. a district, but not between districts. This form of
74 Semarang: towards a territorial resilience methodology
self-organisation is a source of conflict between The inhabitants know the hydrological phenomena,
adjacent neighbourhoods (the one upstream which they see as disruptive elements of their
discharging its water into the one downstream). daily life. However, they do not wish to move
It also generates tensions within the same district. house. The occupants of the residential area
consider that they live in a strategic sector (close
This is for example the case with the two kampung to the city centre and workplaces). Those of the
studied, where individual and collective means are kampung are also attached to their neighbourhood
insufficient to make actions effective. These poor for similar reasons (proximity to the sea for
districts do not have the possibility of reducing the fishermen and to the port for workers in industry).
vulnerability of their territory. Solidarity translates Coupled with this is the fact that they are unable
into operations that mobilise time and labour: to move.
cleaning up canals, cleaning streets, etc. Actions to
improve housing, which some families can carry The existence of community systems at the local
out, sometimes cause neighbourhood conflicts. level is an asset for confronting hazard and crisis
Community leaders play a major role in quieting situations. Their actions are a significant element
tensions. But the spirit of solidarity is on the wane. in constructing the resilience of a territory. But
they must be complementary to public authority
The situation encountered in the Tanah Mas residential intervention and not a response to their failure.
area is different. The financial capacity of households They should be valued, but they must also be
and, consequently, that of the community, allow the regulated.
deployment of collective and individual measures
that look satisfactory to the inhabitants. Community Currently, each community acts on its own
operations thus do not get under way. The community account and intervenes for the protection of its
was able to finance a pumping system which had the immediate environment, without worrying about
effect of strengthening the solidarity between any domino effects. It operates autonomously
residents and their desire to act collectively (rather with resources that are totally dependent on the
than at an individual level). This system is also capacity of its members. This causes the creation
recognised by the public authorities. Here too, of environmental inequalities.
community leaders have an essential role: they
coordinate efforts and guide decision-making. For their part, the public authorities act at another
level and in another area. They recognise the
■ Collectively building territorial resilience actions of the communities, but do not worry
about collateral effects.
In view of the results of the research, we can
consider that the inhabitants, whatever the district, The advantage of articulating and coordinating
have a culture of hazard that has been built on the the actions of both seems obvious. As such, the
lived experience of events, given their recurrence, observatory proposed by Cerema can be an
but also on their involvement in taking action in the opportunity to visualise coordination between
absence of effective intervention on the part of players (community leaders, heads of public
public authorities. authorities, external experts...).
77
General conclusion
Located on the north coast of the island of Java, technological responses such as the construction
Semarang urban district has strong demographic of hydraulic structures, elevating the roofs of
dynamics which are accompanied by a rapid dwellings, raising road infrastructure, etc. were
expansion of the urban influence on a geographically necessary but insufficient to compensate for
constrained territory. the effects of subsistence. Taken separately,
these actions cannot prevent the multiple
To the north, the coastal strip is exposed to multiple interactions between anthropogenic activities
very intense natural hazards including subsidence, and natural phenomena. They thus act as
inland flooding and rising sea levels. Made up of big palliatives, without succeeding in arresting the
volcanic reliefs, the south of the territory is subject ongoing processes.
to increasing deforestation, often accompanied
by landslides. To respond to this problematic situation and allow
Semarang to develop in a sustainable way, Cerema
The work done jointly by Cerema and UNDIP has recommends a territorial resilience methodology.
shown the need for collective and determined This principle is not intended to remove the impacts
action to meet the challenges of sustainable urban of natural phenomena present, but to reduce them
development, in a sensitive context where intense or slow them down, even anticipate and prevent
natural phenomena and the effects of climate their most damaging effects.
change are superimposed. This work benefitted from
the assistance and support of many French partners As a first step, the creation of an observatory for
(French Institute of Indonesia, ENTPE in particular) the subsidence on the coastal strip and its
and Indonesian partners (City of Semarang, effects is proposed. This tool will make it possible
Province of Central Java in particular). to collectively manage scientific and technical
knowledge by giving open access to players in the
Particular attention has been paid to the coastal territory. It will facilitate taking into account
strip where urbanisation has developed widely in natural phenomena in projects and also the prior
recent decades. Human occupation has reclaimed performance of analyses on the effects of a
recent land of alluvial origin, which is being project on the territory. It will help to bring
compacted. Subsidence measurements show very together the players concerned: local, regional and
significant soil subsidence in certain areas. national authorities, professionals and managers,
scientists and experts.
On the coast, natural phenomena are intense. They
interact with each other and with anthropogenic The materialisation of this observatory appeared
activity, in particular groundwater pumping, as a short-term, pragmatic and unifying objective.
overloading of land with embankments or structural It requires the continuation of an already very
works. These damaging processes impact residents' active collaboration between French and
living conditions and economic activity. Indonesian partners and, moreover, the mobilisation
of financial contributors. The resilience methodology
Semarang territory analyses were shared with will then rely on the observatory to be rolled
local players. They have shown that the usual out in different directions.
78 General conclusion
Other steps are destined to follow the establishment as a support for similar work on other coasts in
of this observatory. Their definition will depend Indonesia, Southeast Asia or other parts of the
on the priorities that players identify. It is desirable globe. These particularly vulnerable coasts are
that the other three focal points proposed often confronted with dense urbanisation,
(promotion of a resilient habitat, adaptation of various natural hazards and the effects of climate
urban infrastructure through technical innovation, change, in particular the rising sea levels.
global management) be included in the developments
of the coming years. And besides, this territorial resilience methodology
is also perfectly consistent with international
The case of Semarang shows that each coast has frameworks on climate change, sustainable urban
a particular configuration. However, the territorial development and disaster prevention. Conditions are
resilience approach proposed in Semarang can serve right for it to be put into action.
80 T e c h n i c a l a n n e x b y T r e A lta m i r a
81
1. Movement measurement sent out the signal to the satellite with a strong
with SqueeSAR® and constant (lasting) intensity over time (Ferretti
et al., 2001). These algorithms make it possible to
■ Methodology achieve millimetric precision for ground movements
by estimating and eliminating contributions from
InSAR combines synthetic aperture radars (SAR) atmospheric noise. The SqueeSAR algorithm®,
corresponding to high resolution satellite systems software owned by TRE ALTAMIRA, supplies high
and interferometry which refers to the superimposition precision measurements of surface deformations
of waves, in order to detect differences over time. from the processing of a set of radar images34.
Radar satellites record the distance travelled by
the radar signal between emission and reception There are two types of measurement points:
of the wave with very great precision. Thus, by Permanent Scatterers (PS) which are point targets
comparing the evolution of the target-sensor which show a very strong reflection inside a pixel in
distance over time, InSAR technology provides the image (for example, built-up area, rock outcrops,
very precise information on ground deformation, linear structures, etc.) and Distributed Scatterers (DS)
thus making it possible to detect movements with which are extended targets which can be formed
millimetric precision. in certain environments in the absence of a
dominant reflector (PS), by grouping homogeneous
The advanced PSI type interferometry algorithms pixels in order to obtain a sufficiently strong and
are based on the use of a large number of radar stable reflection over time (uncultivated land,
acquisitions, in order to identify the targets which dirt roads, deserts, etc.).
A Ferretti et al., 34
"A New Algorithm
for Processing Interferometric
Data-Stacks: SqueeSAR®",
IEEE Transactions
on Geoscience
and Remote Sensing,
Figure 1. Type of measurement points considered during a SqueeSAR® analysis. 2011.
82 T e c h n i c a l a n n e x b y T r e A lta m i r a
Figure 2. Projection of actual ground movement in the direction of the line of sight (LOS).
■ Movement measurement and precision not only on the quality of each image, but also
on the quality of the processing carried out.
SAR satellites follow a fixed trajectory around
the Earth at an altitude of about 800 km. This
trajectory is inclined a few degrees relative to 2. Case study – Historical study
the north-south axis. Radar satellites measure of subsidence across the city
movements in the direction of their line of sight of Semarang
(LOS) which is defined as the line towards which
the sensor looks at the surface of the Earth. In ■ Area of interest and satellite data archive
other words, what the sensor actually measures
is the projection of the movement in the LOS; The study focuses on the city of Semarang, a city
different examples are offered in Figure 2. in Indonesia located on the north coast of Java,
the Pasisir. Located on the island of Java’s ocean
Displacement measurements provided by the seaboard, the city of Semarang developed
SqueeSAR technique® are differential and relative towards the coast on unconsolidated quaternary
to a spatial reference. This reference point is sedimentary grounds (alluvial delta).
selected during the process based on its excellent
electromagnetic characteristics. Due to urbanisation, it has suffered the effects of
subsidence for several years, that is to say, soil
An accuracy index corresponding to the standard compaction, combined with processes of marine
deviation is also provided with each measurement. erosion and rising sea levels. This complex
The precision of the processing depends largely combination of natural phenomena exacerbated
on the estimation of the atmospheric artifacts by anthropogenic activities produces a dynamic
impacting the dataset. This step will itself depend damaging to the territory.
T e c h n i c a l a n n e x b y T r e A lta m i r a 83
Measurement precision
Figure 5 represents the movement map across between -75 and 75 mm/year, depending on the
Semarang resulting from analysis by radar satellite direction and intensity of the movement.
interferometry of Earth observation data acquired About 56,900 measurement points were detected in
by the Sentinel-1 satellite over approximately the sector under consideration. The results show a
four years, between October 2014 and July 2018. strong deformation gradient that extends from the
On the illustration, the different coloured dots interior to the coastal zone. Various sectors of
correspond to natural targets which are mainly movement are thus brought to light, the area of
located in built-up areas, on bare soil or in areas of maximum subsidence is located to the east; the
little vegetation, etc. and which constitute the subsidence measured there reaching 13 cm per year.
measurement points used for analysis of the
surface movements. Time series are plotted in Figure 6, they show the
The information on the speed of deformation progression of subsidence in different places; the
measured by the technique is given in millimetres closest to the coast, cumulative movements of more
per year from the scale varying from red to blue, than 35 cm over 4 years were measured.
Figure 5. Movement map from SqueeSAR analysis® data Sentinel-1 acquired between 14 October 2014 and 19 July 2018.
3. Summary
In this article, interferometry shows its full capacity to The use of interferometry for detecting surface
perform temporal and precise monitoring of surface deformation of natural (for example, natural soil
movements in Semarang. Around 57,000 measurement compaction…) or anthropogenic origin (for example,
points were thus detected without any ground groundwater extraction…) can thus have a strong
instrumentation being necessary. Interferometry impact on development strategies; there is no
thus makes it possible, when a data archive is doubt that this “macro” view of the territories
available, to carry out retrospective analyses; we can could be of great help for better understanding
also emphasise the speed of execution, since a of hazards and plans for resilience.
situational analysis of the movements affecting
the site can be generated in less than two months.
87
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Glossary
The definitions proposed below are those used in the Subduction: process by which an oceanic tectonic
■
work. They do not exclude other possible definitions. plate curves and plunges under another plate before
sinking into the Earth’s mantle.
Natural hazard: manifestation of a potentially
■
damaging and naturally caused physical process at Subsidence: phenomenon of compaction of loose
■
a given time and place. The characteristics of the sedimentary soils saturated with water, which
natural hazard, nature, intensity, frequency, depend are particularly compressible.
on the physical process or processes involved, on the
geographic configuration. They vary over time. Marine submersion: temporary invasion of land
■
by the sea during storms or hurricanes.
Coastal strip: the coastal strip is defined here
■
qualitatively as the flat coastal area located at Talweg: steepest line following the bottom of a
■
altimetric sea level, an area exposed to the tidal valley, of a dale, of a ravine.
range and to changes in the coastline. When setting
up the observatory, this concept must be clarified Marine transgression: lasting invasion of coastal
■
– by basing it on scientific and technical criteria. areas by the sea, due to land mass subsidence or
a general rise in sea levels.
Tectonic plate: piece of the rigid envelope of the
■
Earth’s surface that includes the Earth's crust and Tsunami: tidal wave type phenomenon mainly
■
part of the mantle that moves. generated by a brutal movement of the seabed
during an earthquake, an underwater volcanic
Resilience: capacity to work out a shared solution
■ eruption or a landslide.
to disaster prevention acceptable to the greatest
number of stakeholders and which involves them Urbanisation: process of city development and
■
in its implementation, while admitting that this concentration of population in these latter.
solution does not allow for eliminating all damage.
Territory vulnerability: potential for damage to
■
Natural risk: potentially harmful event, having a
■ its components (population, networks, essential
certain probability. The risk results from the facilities, the natural environment, economic
conjunction of a natural hazard and a problem. activities...) here faced by natural hazards.
93
Index of illustrations
Table of Contents
Prefaces 3
Foreword 9
General Introduction 11
PART 1
The coast, a space in the process of becoming fragile 12
1. An area distressed by climate change 15
1.1. The coast: an area fragile by nature 15
1.2. Specific physical phenomena 15
2. An area particularly at risk from urbanisation 17
2.1. Coastal urbanisation and its effects 17
2.2. Fitness for habitation threatened by slow and continuous processes 17
2.3. The most recent disasters 19
3. The Indonesian coastline 20
3.1. The geographical context 20
3.2. The vulnerability of the Indonesian coast 21
3.3. Semarang's coast exposed to natural hazards 22
4. Cerema's intervention in Semarang 23
4.1. Chronology of the interventions 23
4.2. Working method 24
PART 2
Semarang: the challenge of the coastal strip 26
1. A geographical context became a constraint 29
2. Une dynamique d’urbanisation préoccupante 32
3. Subsidence, a major phenomenon in Semarang 34
3.1. A physical and anthropogenic phenomenon 34
3.2. Subsidence hazard 38
3.3. The territory’s vulnerability to subsidence hazard 39
3.4. The disruption and the response provided 40
PART 3
Semarang:
towards a territorial resilience methodology 52
1. Resilience: what is it? 55
1.1. The contribution of the resilience concept 55
1.2. The limitations of strictly sector-specific responses 56
General conclusion 77
Bibliography 87
Glossary 91
Index of illustrations 93
98
Les littoraux sont des espaces fragiles exposés aux aléas naturels. Ils peuvent être intensément perturbés par
le développement rapide de l’urbanisation et par les effets du changement climatique. Cet ouvrage présente le cas
de l’agglomération indonésienne de Semarang situé en bordure de la mer de Java.
La particularité du littoral de Semarang résulte de son exposition à une subsidence très active qui se traduit par
un affaissement du sol pouvant atteindre jusqu’à 13 cm par an.
Le Cerema a mené une analyse en collaboration avec l’université Diponegoro – Undip (Indonésie) pour identifier
les processus à l’oeuvre. Le travail produit a bénéficié du soutien de l’Ambassade de France en Indonésie et
des ministères chargés de la recherche et des affaires étrangères des deux pays. C’est en appliquant le concept
de résilience qu’une voie s’ouvre vers la recherche de réponses adaptées.
Largement illustré, Ll’ouvrage bénéficie de contributions de la part de scientifiques et d’experts qui sont intervenus
concrètement sur le territoire de Semarang dans des contextes différents, apportant ainsi leur propre vision à
l’analyse de la situation.
99
Los litorales son espacios frágiles expuestos a los peligros naturales. Pueden ser intensamente perturbados
por el rápido desarrollo de la urbanización y por los efectos del cambio climático. Esta obra presenta el caso de
la aglomeración indonesia de Semarang, situada al borde del Mar de Java.
La particularidad del litoral de Semarang resulta de su exposición a una subsidencia muy activa que se traduce
por un hundimiento del suelo que puede alcanzar hasta 13 cm por año.
Cerema realizó un análisis en colaboración con la Universidad Diponegoro – Undip (Indonesia) para identificar los
procesos existentes. El trabajo realizado contó con el apoyo de la Embajada de Francia en Indonesia y de los
ministerios encargados de investigación y de asuntos internacionales de los dos países. Aplicando el concepto de
resiliencia se abre una vía a la búsqueda de respuestas adaptadas.
Ampliamente ilustrada, la obra cuenta con contribuciones de científicos y de expertos que intervinieron
concretamente en el territorio de Semarang en diferentes contextos, aportando de esta forma su propia visión
al análisis de la situación.
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The Resilience of the Indonesian Coastline
does not have the status of validated references. to Natural Hazards
Semarang and subsidence
The Resilience of the Indonesian Coastline to Natural Hazards
Semarang and subsidence
Coastlines are fragile areas exposed to natural hazards. They may be intensely disrupted by both rapidly
developing urbanisation and the effects of climate change. This publication presents the case of the Indonesian
urban area of Semarang, located on the shores of the Java Sea.
The Semarang coastline is unusual in that it is exposed to very active subsidence which can cause the ground
to sink by up to 13 cm per year.
Cerema has carried out an analysis in collaboration with Diponegoro University - Undip (Indonesia) to identify
the processes at work. The work produced was supported by the French Embassy in Indonesia and the
ministries of research and foreign affairs of both countries. By applying the concept of resilience, a path is
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The publication is fully illustrated, and contains contributions from scientists and experts who have engaged in
practical work in Semarang in different contexts, thus bringing their own vision to the analysis of the situation.
Territoires résilients
Six leviers d’actions pour bâtir votre stratégie (2018)
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