Project Report IT
Project Report IT
A PROJECT REPORT
ON
“Equity Research on IT Industry”
A Summer Internship Project (SIP) done in
Bharati Vidyapeeth’s
Institute of Management Studies & Research, Navi Mumbai
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Yours Sincerely
Prerna Walunj
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CERTIFICATE
Date: ___________
_____________________ _________________
Prof._____________ Dr. Anjali Kalse
Project Guide Director
BVIMSR BVIMSR
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT........................................................................................ 2
CERTIFICATE ......................................................................................................... 3
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY. ......................................................................................4
INTRODUCTION OF SECTOR… .......................................................................9
Theoretical Background ...................................................................................... 10
Competitor ........................................................................................................... 12
Literature Review ................................................................................................ 15
Products and Offering ...........................................................................................16
Vision and Mission… .......................................................................................... 23
Significance of Study ............................................................................................24
Scope of Study ......................................................................................................25
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY… .......................................... 26
Objectives of the Study .........................................................................................26
Research Methodology ........................................................................................ 26
Fundamental Analysis ......................................................................................... 27
Technical Analysis .............................................................................................. 29
Types of Long-Term Technical Analysis Patterns .............................................. 31
Short Term Analysis ............................................................................................ 40
Candle Stick Patterns… ........................................................................................41
Data Collection… ................................................................................................ 43
Economic Data… ................................................................................................ 44
Analysis and Major Findings…........................................................................... 48
Result of Fundamental Analysis of stocks of IT Sector… .................................. 48
Long Term Technical Analysis Result ..................................................................59
Short Term Technical Analysis Result ..................................................................67
Hedging ............................................................................................................... 71
Findings… ........................................................................................................... 69
Conclusion ........................................................................................................... 74
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Recommendation .................................................................................................. 75
Bibliography……………………………………………………………… 76
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1. Introduction
1.1 About the Sector
Indian information technology (IT) industry has played a key role in putting India on
the global map. In addition to fueling India ‘s economy, this industry is also
positively influencing the lives of its people through an active direct and indirect
contribution to various socio-economic parameters such as employment, standard of
living and diversity. The industry has played a significant role in transforming India
‘s image from a slow-moving bureaucratic economy to a land of innovative
entrepreneurs and a global player in providing world-class technology solutions and
business services, according to National Association of Software and Service
Companies (NASSCOM).
Information Technology in India is an industry consisting of two major
components: IT services and business process outsourcing (BPO). The sector has
increased its contribution to India’s GDP from 1.2% in 1998 to 7.7% in 2017.
According to NASSCOM, the sector aggregated revenues of US$160 billion in
2017, with export revenue standing at US$99 billion and domestic revenue at US$48
billion, growing by over 13%. The United States accounts for two-thirds of India’s
IT services exports.
India’s growing stature in the Information Age enabled it to form close ties
with both the United States and the European Union. However, the recent global
financial crises have deeply impacted Indian IT companies as well as global
companies. As a result, hiring has dropped sharply, and employees are looking at
different sectors like financial services, telecommunications, and manufacturing,
which have been growing phenomenally over the lastfew years.
With fundamental structural changes visible everywhere in the IT services due to
Cloud computing, proliferation of Social media, Big data, Analytics all leading to
digital services and digital economy, many of the leading companies in India’s IT
sector reported lower headcountsin their financial results.
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Economics of IT: This branch explores the economic aspects of the IT sector,
including cost-benefit analysis, IT investment, and the impact of technology on
markets and industries.
Ethical and Legal Aspects: Theoretical foundations of IT also include ethics and
legal considerations, such as intellectual property rights, privacy, and cybersecurity
ethics.
Data Science and Big Data: Theoretical concepts in data science include statistical
analysis, machine learning algorithms, and data mining. Big data theory deals with
handling and analyzing large datasets efficiently.
Competitors
Literature review
Vision:
"To be at the forefront of technological innovation, driving positive
change, and improving the quality of life through cutting-edge IT solutions."
Mission:
Study Significance
5. Data Analysis:
Plan how you will analyze the data collected. This may involve
quantitative analysis (e.g., statistical tests) or qualitative analysis (e.g.,
content analysis, thematic coding).
6. Ethical Considerations:
ECONOMICAL DATA:
• GST COLLECTION:
The gross GST revenue collected in the month of
April, 2023 is ₹ 1,87,035 crore of which CGST is ₹38,440 crore, SGST
is ₹47,412 crore, IGST is ₹89,158 crore (including ₹34,972 crore
collected on import of goods) and cess is ₹12,025 crore (including
₹901 crore collected on import of goods). The revenues for the
month of April 2023 are 12% higher than the GST revenues in the
same month last year. During the month, the revenues from
domestic transactions (including import of services) are 16% higher
than the revenues from these sources during the same month last
year. For the first time gross GST collection has crossed ₹1.75 lakh
crore mark. Total number of e-way bills generated in the month of
March 2023 was 9.0 crore, which is 11% higher than 8.1 crore e-way
bills generated in the month of February 2023.
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BUDGET:
Capital expenditure in the 2023-24 Union Budget doubled from Rs 4.26 lakh
crore of actual expenditure in 2020-21 to Rs 10.01 lakh crore budgeted in 2023-24.
This is the third consecutive year that capital investment outlay has increased, but
at the cost of social welfare programmes that provide a social safety net to citizens
and ensure basic rights, including livelihoods, health, nutrition and education. The
total receipts other than borrowings is estimated at Rs 27.2 lakh crore and the total
expenditure is estimated at Rs 45 lakh crore. The net tax receipts are estimated at
Rs 23.3 lakh crore. The fiscal deficit is estimated to be 5.9 per cent of GDP.
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CALCULATION OF GDP:
Gross domestic product is a monetary measure of the market value of all the
final goods and services produced and sold in a specific time period by a country
or countries. GDP is most often used by the government of a single country to
measure its economic health.
GDP= C + I + G + (X-M).
• C is consumer spending
• I is business investment
• G is government spending
• (X-M) is net exports
QUARTERLY GDP
RATES
2021(in %) 2022(in %) 2023(in %)
Q1 3.1 1.6 4.1
Q2 -29.3 20.1 13.5
Q3 -7.5 8.4 6.3
Q4 0.4 5.4 4.4
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INFALTION
Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and
services in an economy rises, leading to a decrease in the purchasing power of a
currency. It's typically measured as an annual percentage increase in prices and can
have various causes, such as increased demand, supply disruptions, or excessive
money supply growth. Central banks often use monetary policy tools to try and
control inflation and keep it within a target range to maintain economic stability.
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ISIN INE467B01029
Founder J. R. D. Tata
COMPANYSITUATION
SWOT ANALYSIS
Strengths Weakness
Team
Opportunities Threats
Strengths
Wide Range of Services
Tata Consultancy Services provides a broad IoT intellectual property portfolio and
The enterprise has an established network of partners. In alignment with its strategic
vision it develops and nurtures strategic partnerships. The partner initiatives are intended to work
together on partner technologies and to be trained, assisted and resourced for partner technology
“Its global alliance partners include Amazon Web Services, Adobe, Apigee, AppDynamics,
Appian, Aptitude software, Automation anywhere, Avaya, Blueprint, Bosch, CA, Cisco, Citrix,
Cloudera, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Dell, Oracle, VMware, RedHat, Hitachi, Google, IBM,
Microsoft, Juniper Networks, NetApp, SAP, and Symantec, among others.”
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Weakness
During the financial year 2018, the company’s operational performance declined. In
2018, the company’s margin decreased to 24.8% from 25.7% as compared to the margin in 2017.
Lack of focus and follow-up on the cost management by the company indicates weak operational
performance
Legal Battles
In 2016, TCS was found guilty for the alleged misuse of Epic System’s confidential
information. As a result of this TCS had to pay for the damages worth 940 million dollars
(MarketLine,2019). Such legal battles may affect the company’s performance, overall growth
and reputation in the market
Opportunities
The global market for IT services has exceeded $697.7 billion in 2017 and is projected to
grow by $947 billion by CAGR by 6.3 percent in 2017-22. Infrastructure services represented
45.1% of the global IT services market ' total market value, followed by 30.9% application
In regional terms, the US accounted for 37,5% of the overall IT services industry, led by Europe,
31,7%, AsiaPacific, 24,2%, the Middle East, 0,2% and the rest of the world, 6,4% in 2017.
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Cloud-Based Solutions
Digital technologies of transformation and fast internet connectivity come into being.
Cloud-based solutions are growing worldwide and expenses on cloud services are expected to
TCS has a robust cloud-based architecture and is, therefore, able to benefit from the
generated market.
Threats
Organizations, including Wipro, Infosys, Capgemini, and Deloitte, etc. operate intensively in the
IT sector which contributes to the global price wars which reduce the market share.
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PESTEL ANALYSIS
POLITICAL TECHNOLOGICAL
etc.
ECONOMIC LEGAL
SOCIAL ENVIRONMENTAL
The firm defines its mission as “Our mission reflects the Tata Group's longstanding commitment
innovative, best-in-class consulting, IT solutions and services and To make it a joy for all
For keeping up with the mission of the firm, work has been done in various aspects. As a
result, TCS was voted Global Most Outstanding Company in India by investors across the world
in Asiamoney's 2019 Asia Outstanding Company survey. Besides, TCS has been listed as India's
most successful company in the decade, with Asiamoney's top investor surveys the highest
As regards the vision of the company, The TCS mission is to disassociate the growth of
the company and impact on the environment from activities to reflect the bottom line of the
business. The Green Approach is an aspect of its internal procedures and resources. Their
mission is to evolve sustainably from green buildings to green IT to a green distribution chain
and to help clients accomplish sustainable growth through green solutions and business
processes.
According to TCS, "Our vision is to decouple business growth and ecological footprint from its
operations to address the environment bottom-line. The green approach is embedded in our
internal processes and services offerings...... From green buildings to green IT to a green supply
chain, our mantra is to grow sustainably and help our customers achieve sustainable growth
Financial Performance
The financial performance is the most important data about a company for any investor
for making an investment decision. So, let's analyze the financial
performance of the company requested by you ‘Tata Consultancy Services’ In Crore Rupees
over the past 3 years.
Dividend/share Rs 18 Rs 29 Rs 27.5
In the past 3 years, TCS has continued to show a substantial increase in its annual
revenue. A transition from the Fiscal year 2017 to 2018 showed an increase of 3956 crores while
from 2018 to 2019 an increase of 24028 crores was observed. Net profit margins increased from
20.4% in the fiscal year 2018 to 20.9% in the fiscal year 2019. On the other hand, the rise in the
expense figure was nominal in overall due to inflation, yet TCS has implemented measures such
as avoiding travel where necessary and shifting people from overseas to India to reduce costs.
The company business meetings are generally done via video conferencing .
TCS has been outstanding in growing its assets overtime and converting them value for
digital design studio. W12 Studios adds to the portfolio of services of TCS Interactive as it helps
leading global brands to innovate, produce and deliver unique digital experiences throughout the
user journey (Tata Consultancy Services, 2019). Also, recently TCS acquired some assets at the
GMTC-I, which could improve its automotive engineering capacity. Also, TCS will support its
global vehicle programs with engineering design services over the next five years through the
acquisition of GMTC-I in Bengaluru in its two companies’ partnership. Consequently, TCS total
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assets rose by a growth of 7% in FY2018 and by 8.1% in FY2019. While a 15-20% return on a
rising business is commonly accepted as nice, TCS has surpassed this cap ten years early.
Consequently, today Tata Consultancy Services Limited has outperformed all the IT consulting
sectors and other services sectors on basis of its return on equity – delivering a higher
30.26% compared to a peer-average of 15.18% over the past 12 months. TCS will spend much
more with more leverage and gain more revenue, increasing its earnings in upcoming years.
investors for the past several years, the dividend fell in the last fiscal year from Rs 29/share in
2018 to Rs 18/share in 2019 (Tata Consultancy Services, 2019). Economists have blamed the
continuously declining economy of India as a major reason for this fall in the company’s
dividend. It is very clear that the declining economy of a country directly impacts the dividend of
the companies. Even then TCS has responded to this decline comparatively better than other
The same thing was seen in the stock price that fell off the company from 2018 to 2019.
One can observe the remarkable growth shown by the company from 2017 to 2018 where the
stock price of the firm rose from Rs 1451.45 to Rs 2031.33 (Tata Consultancy Services, 2019).
The company's market value hit more than $98 billion in April 2018, with TCS share closing to
7% higher. The share price hits spikes in the January-March 2018 quarter (Q4) which was due to
stronger than expected profits (Business Today, 2019). This can also probably be an outcome of
TCS’s newly announced 1:1 bonus share issue, which furthermore lifting investors’ sentiments.
In April 2018 TCS became the first Indian IT firm to hit this landmark of $100 billion
(Rs 6,65,275 crore) market capitalization while Infosys which is considered as a major rival of
the company in India had a market cap of $40 billion. Even in a declining economy the company
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still stands tall due to its diversification in the American and European markets.
P/E Ratio
The current P/E ratio of Infosys is 16.8 and for TCS, the P/E ratio is 21.5. Thus, we can
see than TCS is enjoying a good amount of premium valuation over Infosys.
The recent growth numbers of sales, net profit can be the contributing factors in the
For Infosys, 3-years, 5-years, and 10-years P/E ratios are 18.6, 19.41 and 20.28
respectively. On the other hand, for TCS, 3-years, 5-years, and 10-years P/E ratios are
From the above, we can get the trend for P/E numbers for Infosys, which earlier the
stock, was having a premium valuation of P/E around 20. But over the years, there is a
And after the recent whistleblower complaints against executives of Infosys for unethical
valuation.
Sales Growth
For Infosys, 3-years and 5-years sales growth CAGR (Compounded Annual Growth
While for TCS, 3-years and 5-years sales growth CAGR (Compounded Annual Growth
TCS has achieved a higher growth rate on sales than that of Infosys. It is the reason why
For Infosys, 3-years and 5-years Net profit growth CAGR is 4.2% and 7.45%
respectively.
While for TCS, 3-years and 5-years sales growth CAGR is 9.52% and 10.55%
respectively.
In the case of Net profit growth, we can see TCS is outperforming over Infosys with
Valuation of Selection of
Growth
stock picks
Selection of Determination of
Value LTPT(Long term
picks pricetarget)
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Hedging
A hedge is an investment to reduce the risk of adverse price movements in an asset.
Normally,a hedge consists of taking an offsetting position in a related security.
Investors and money managers use hedging practices to reduce and control their
exposure torisks. In order to appropriately hedge in the investment world, one
must use variousinstruments in a strategic fashion to offset the risk of adverse price
movements in the market.The best way to do this is to make another investment in a
targeted and controlled way. Ofcourse, the parallels with the insurance example
above are limited: in the case of floodinsurance, the policy holder would be
completely compensated for her loss, perhaps less adeductible. In the investment
space, hedging is both more complex and an imperfect science. A perfect hedge is
one that eliminates all risk in a position or portfolio. In other words, thehedge is
100% inversely correlated to the vulnerable asset. This is more an ideal than a
realityon the ground, and even the hypothetical perfect hedge is not without cost.
Basis risk refers tothe risk that an asset and a hedge will not move in opposite
directions as expected; "basis"refers to the discrepancy.
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FINDINGS
Financial literacy in our country is very less and people still invest through
conservative style of investing.
General public still have this notion that financial market I nothing, but legal
gambling and they are afraid to invest because it does not guarantee any fixed
rate of return as compared to other investments other than financial markets.
Inform or aware people about financial market and the rate of return on
investments which is higher than other investments like banks, bonds or real
estate is mandatory.
To mitigate or diversify the risk, it is suggested that the capital should be invested
in all thedirections.
Since people still invest through conventional style, all the territories of
investment should be explored so that they do know how to grow their capital.
Technical analysis uses data from short periods of time to develop the patterns used
to predict securities or market movement, while fundamental analysis relies on
information that spansyears.
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CONCLUSION
The fund’s percentage performance of NAV starts beating the index’s percentage
performance on the latest date of status.
This shows that fundamental analysis is the very important tool for long term
investment.
Short duration of data collection in technical analysis, investors tend to use this
method morein short-term trading.
The information technology sector in India has a low-cost advantage by being 5-6
times lessexpensive than the US.
The NAV seems to be a lot more volatile than the industry index value due to
inclusion of a few stocks. This means that the risk is more in the Fund’s AUM
rather than the Information technology (Software) Index but since higher risk
yields to a higher return, the Fund is seen as a better way to grow the initial
amount of Rs.10 Crores.
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RECOMMENDATIONS
It is recommended not to invest in a stock on an intraday basis as the risk is too high.
A stock should be tracked for at least 1 Month before including it in any fund.
If the fund’s NAV percentage change is unable to beat the Index point percentage
change benchmark, then re-allocation of funds must be done in order to ensure a
better return fromthe fund.
Re-analysis on a newer base date can also be undertaken if a stock selected in the
fund starts to underperform due to unfavorable news concerning the Political,
Social and Economic Factors.
Before going to invest, an investor should have clear and adequate knowledge of
capital market.
It is better to go for long term investment rather than short term investment.
Because it is less risky and also provide sufficient return.
The investors who want to evaluate long-term investment decisions must start
with a fundamental analysis of a company, an individual stock or the market as a
whole.
In case of half knowledge about stock market is very dangerous. So, whenever a
person wants to invest in stock market, he should take necessary tips from
technical analysts.
Investors and analysts who use technical analysis feel strongly that future
performance can be determined well by reviewing patterns based on past
performance data.
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BIBLIOGRAPHY
https://www.tcs.com/
https://www.wipro.com
https://www.infosis.com
www.ibef.org
https://www.scribbr.com