Manual Course Branche Managers
Manual Course Branche Managers
Textbook
May, 2010
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Colophon
Subtitle Textbook
Project Number
Contact address for this publication Rabo International Advisory Services (RIAS) BV
Croeselaan 18
Postbus 17100
3500 HG Utrecht
Tel +31 (0)30 2163670
Fax +31 (0)30 2163677
[email protected]
4. CREDIT COMMITTEE______________________________________________________ 20
Content:
Crediting as teamwork
Chapter Content
Steps in the crediting process
Structuring the lending process
Role of the credit officer
Objectives:
Learning Objectives o Understand the importance of well structured crediting process for a bank
o Use the different roles in the team
o Organise the crediting process step by step
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1.3 Importance of a well structured lending process
Step by step lending In summary, structure makes the process more efficient and easily understood, and
process reduces the risk.
Each step should be assigned a maximum time period for completion and be planned by
the organization for each loan product.
Commercial Officers must manage their time in a way that allows faster moving
transactions to be underwritten and disbursed more quickly and slower ones to be
moved down the
priority list. Commercial Officers must continuously set priorities within their own
pipelines and move all clients through the process in the quickest manner possible.
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Typical reasons for delays include:
- Long delays in receiving Credit Committee approval from the head office; some
Commercial Officers will give the maximum locally authorized amount for this
reason.
- The client takes a long time to submit all necessary documents.
- Lengthy legal and collateral registration processes in some countries.
- Delays in receiving information from clients to fulfill conditions of disbursement.
- Client delays in finishing part of a project so that the bank can disburse the next
part of the loan.
New Customer
1.5 Step 1: New Customers Introduction
The goal at the first meeting with the applicant is to screen out applicants who are
not eligible for borrowing under the bank’s eligibility criteria and to sell the bank
procedure and products to applicants who are eligible.
This first contact is important because this is where applicants get a chance to
understand the bank’s products and determine right away if they are in line with their
expectations. It is important for the Loan Administrator or Commercial Officer to be
well trained, understand the products and not waste time on ineligible clients.
Loan appraisal
1.6 Step 2: Loan Appraisal
A few sources Commercial Officers will use to perform their credit analysis are:
- Customer
- Documentation
- Site visit
Site Visit
- External checking
The site visit is one of the most crucial steps in the pre-approval process because direct
observation and one-on-one conversations with each potential borrower provide
precious information for the Commercial Officer in his/her assessment of the
applicant’s credit worthiness. A site visit allows the Commercial Officer to inspect the
business premises and confirm what the borrower stated and wrote about the
company’s premises, production or sales space, assets, and inventory amounts and
turnover. It allows
the Commercial Officer to meet and interview the Managers and employees. Lastly, the
Commercial Officer can gather financial data to evaluate the potential of the business.
The objective of the site visit is to make an objective judgment about whether the
business is well run and has potential.
Next, the Commercial Officer should focus his/her visit on reviewing the entrepreneur’s
management capacity, market potential and importance of further financing through
borrowing to further his/her business goals. If the Commercial Officer manages to
remain objective, curious and thorough during the site visit, then it is a very powerful
tool to evaluate the information gathered in the paperwork.
Credit is both an art and a science. Part of the site visit involves artistic thinking, using
intuition (gut feeling) to determine if people are being honest about the information
provided, talking to partners, family members of staff, and being flexible when site visits
do not always take place as expected. Site visits can be used to double-check written
information, but also to collect information on the applicant’s skills and personality and
whether or not s/he is a good Manager/owner.
The Loan Appraisal Form is a critical component in the decision making process and
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helps to answer three crucial questions:
1. Is there a GOOD FIT between the customer and the Bank?
2. Will the customer BE ABLE to repay?
External checking 3. What are the key RISKS?
A good Commercial Officer NEVER takes for granted what the customer says. Good
lending practices depend on fact-checking and character-checking of the borrower from
external sources. If the customer has borrowed before, it is essential to check whether
the loan was repaid as agreed.
When dealing with larger loans the external checks on the client’s character may be
overtaken by more formalized "capacity" lending. This means that the financial
indicators will be more important than, or just as important as, the character of the
borrower. Therefore, in addition to looking at the historical cash flows for larger loans,
more attention will be paid to the type of collateral and other financial indicators, such
as competition and inventory levels/turnover.
The Commercial Officer reviews the Loan Appraisal and Cash flow forms. Then s/he
completes his/her analysis and makes his/her recommendation, making sure the final
documentation is in order and checklist is completed. This step is important because
the Commercial Officer must be confident in recommending the potential client and
business to the Manager and Credit Committee.
Two pair of eyes
The final review by the Credit Manager can also be referred to as: “Two Pairs of Eyes”
As a general rule, it is important that every loan be looked at by someone who has not
been involved in the loan process thus far. When dealing with new customers on larger
loans, a second person should not only review the loan, but visit the customer before
loan approval.
Loan Officers must remember of course, that they will be held responsible for their
loans and overall portfolio. This step will make the Loan Officer feel stronger about the
loan if the Credit Manager is satisfied with it.
In preparing the application it is, as part of the learning organization, very common to
ask a colleague to reed the proposal and discuss the case.
Credit Committee
1.7 Step 3: Approval
Once the loan is structured and due diligence is completed, the deal should be
presented to the Credit Committee. During the Credit Committee phase, each
Commercial Officer will recommend prospective clients and applicable paperwork to
the members and answer questions the committee may have. The Credit Committee
discusses the merits of the proposed project, and votes to approve, approve with
additional conditions, postpone, or reject.
Generally, most deals should be accepted if they make it all the way through to Credit
Committee. If a high percentage of deals are rejected at the Credit Committee level,
there is a need to look at the process up to this point. Otherwise, the client, Commercial
Officer and Credit Committee have wasted a lot of time. These possibly could have been
Loan Is rejected weeded out at an earlier stage, made easier for the client and more efficient for BPR.
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Approved loan section explaining the reason.
If a customer has been approved, the forms are approved and signed, including loan
conditions. The client is informed by phone of the decision and an appointment is made
to sign the loan documentation. If a deal is approved with additional conditions of
disbursement, the client is informed of these conditions. Then the Commercial Officer
aids the client in fulfilling the conditions by taking them through the process step-by-
step.
Disbursement
1.8 Step 4: Disbursement
Each step leading up to this point is critical to an efficient overall approach, and the
Commercial Officer must continue to be diligent throughout the entire process.
Even though the loan has been approved, there may still be some outstanding issues
that need to be cleaned up, such as additional documentation, for example. If so, the
Commercial Officer requests any additional loan documentation required for closing,
Collateral registration and the loan agreements are then prepared.
If required, the Commercial Officer arranges for collateral registration and insurance
documentation. Sometimes BPR uses another individual with connections in the
registrar or a lawyer who know the process. The lawyer prepares the loan and collateral
agreements. The Commercial Officer completes the closing checklist. The Manager or
another assigned staff member checks all documentation and conditions and completes
a form confirming that everything is in order and requesting disbursement.
The documentation is signed by both the client, Manager and, where appropriate, the
guarantors. A copy of all documentation and the repayment schedule are provided to
the client.
The Commercial Officer ensures that all disbursement conditions have been met. The
Commercial Officer instructs the client on the process of monitoring. Finally, the funds
are disbursed to the client through his/her account or directly to the supplier if
conditioned by the loan.
Monitoring
1.9 Step 5: Monitoring
During the disbursement process, the Manager and the Commercial Officer decide on
the monitoring schedule for the client. This schedule depends on the credit history of
the client and the high risk periods of the project. For example, a bank may have a rule
that all clients are monitored within one week after disbursal to make sure the loan
funds were used for the correct purpose. Clients are monitored quarterly thereafter, to
make sure everything is going well. If there is a case with a client where a major sales
contract is to be renewed between quarterly visits, the Commercial Officer should also
schedule a visit at this time, due to the high risk of the contract not being renewed.
Role of the commercial
officer 1.10 Role of the commercial officer
It is important for Commercial Officers to treat their customers well for the following
reasons:
1. Commercial Officers are the first point of contact with the customer and build the
reputation of BPR.
2. Marketing experts have long demonstrated that it costs five times more to get a new
customer than to keep an old one. Financing relationships are build on trust between
the customer and the bank. Trust takes time to create, and it is done through creating a
polite but friendly and comfortable working relationship with customers. The customers
of BPR should be seen and treated as its assets.
3. Contented customers are willing to refer others to BPR. Conversely, clients that have
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been treated poorly are likely to tell their friends and business associates about the
poor treatment they received. Further, they are more likely to tell their peers about a
bad experience than a good experience. This is another reason why Commercial
Officers’ knowledge and behaviour towards clients is so crucial!
4. If the customers feel the BANK is treating them well, this increases their desire to be
a good customer. This means higher repayment rates and more deposits
What are the essential skills that Commercial Officers should display in order to ensure
that customers are well treated?
All salespeople need to deploy a triple combination of skills that blend into a persuasive
approach:
1. Service: This is paramount. Everything from being prompt for a meeting to ensuring
reliable after-sales service matters
2. Technical excellence: In product knowledge, for instance. Nothing less than 100%
proficiency will do here. Anything less will be noticed and will dilute effectiveness.
10 rules of customer
3. Sales skills: The details of the many techniques that contribute to a persuasive
service approach must be actively built into your approach.
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9. Approach client complaints in a professional manner. If customers have complaints,
deal with them calmly. Remember that an unhappy customer talks to twice as many
people as a happy customer. Even unhappy customers can be brought back to
satisfaction if their complaints are heeded. There may or may not be something the
Commercial Officer can do to resolve the customer's problem, but just listening,
sympathising and if necessary, apologising can help a lot.
10. Rejections: be pleasant but firm. It is important to explain why a loan has been
refused clearly and avoid promising future prospects of a loan unless the customer has
a good chance of getting a different decision next time.
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2. Credit Risk Analysis
Content
Objective:
- Be able to make a food credit analyses
- How to get reliable information
2.1 Introduction
Lending is the business of taking risks. Every loan implies a certain level of risk. The
principal risk for commercial officers is called credit risk: the risk that the borrower may
not meet the terms of the loan and that secondary sources of repayment, such as
collateral or other family income will be insufficient to cover the losses. Commercial
officers are there to understand and manage risk, not to avoid it or deny it.
Credit analysis is the process of understanding and analyzing the credit of a customer as
a means to evaluate the level of credit risk they represent. The commercial officer is
responsible for this process. The result of the process is usually a conclusion that is
presented to the decision makers about whether or not to make the loan. Credit
analysis helps us define the level of risk and evaluate whether it is a risk worth taking.
When thinking of credit, one can try to understand and get information about the 5 C’s:
- Character;
- Collateral;
- Capacity;
- conditions and
- capital.
Each one of them is critical to good credit analysis for high microfinance performance.
This section focuses on character and a later section will provide
guidelines on conditions.
Lending as an art
Part of the “Art” of lending is in:
• Making credit decisions based on complete information;
• Understanding the motivations and character of your customers;
Building trust with your customers to help motivate repayment part of lending is also
Lending as a science
“Science”:
• Obtaining the facts of the loan request (what is going on here?)
• Analyzing the information to tell the real story
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• Preparing a cashflow and calculating repayment capacity.
The first step in the crediting process is to find out the key information regarding the
customer’s request. This is the bare minimum to assess eligibility of the borrower/
business:
• Loan amount requested and loan use
• Information about the borrower (company, individual, partnership)
Once you have ascertained that the borrower is eligible, move on to assess the 3 M’s.
The level of risk depends on several factors about the specific business. These can be
summarized into three main categories, known as the 3 M’s: Management, Money and
Market.
Management: Is this the right business owner for the business. Is he/she a good
fit? Is he/she reliable?
Money: Is this the right amount and structure of financing? What future
sources of cash will the customer have to repay?
Market: Is this a good business opportunity? Is there a market? Are there
customers?
2.3 Regarding management, what are good qualities for a business owner?
Qualities for a business The Manager should have the right demeanor and character and be suited to the
owner
business. For example, if one is heavily involved in selling, it helps to be a good sales
person and not a shy individual, who is terrified of approaching potential customers. A
good Manager can make an average business opportunity successful. A poor Manager
will fail at even the best business opportunity.
Management is the most important factor in whether a business idea is successful,
because the Manager can make the business work by finding new customers, or finding
new ways to solve a problem. Less experienced borrowers should stick to businesses
with which they are already familiar or have experience, and grow them gradually.
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- How long is the cash cycle or operating cycle of the business?;
- How realistic are the growth projections of the business owner. Have they
underestimated or overestimated sales figures?;
- Is this the right amount of financing? Can we reduce the amount? Do we
need to increase the amount?;
- Can the borrower manage a larger cashflow associated with receiving a
larger loan?;
- The cashflow will help answer the following question: Can the business
repay the debt payments of principal and interest?
Thus, it is very important to ask and understand specifically how the loan proceeds will
be used. Will the money be used to purchase equipment or raw materials? How soon
can the investment produce cash for the business and repay a loan installment to the
bank? The employees’ and owner’s salary should be paid from the cashflow of the
business, not with the loan funds. The owner's salary should be drawn after the loan
installment is paid.
Checking information A visit to the applicant’s residence should also be performed, whether located next to
or separately from the business. The commercial officer should be able to determine
the applicant’s type of housing, its structural condition, household fixtures and
appliances (or lack thereof) so that their impact on the loan application can later be
measured. This can also be a useful indicator of the applicant’s permanency of
residence in the community.
Interviewing the client Tips for commercial officers when interviewing a potential client:
- Be certain to ask all relevant questions, so as to get a clear picture about why
the client needs the loan, how the client will use the loan and how regular
payments can be made without unnecessary stress to the business/family.
- Get further impressions of the client’s character, trustworthiness and reliability.
- Get a clear picture of the applicant’s cashflow and how this will affect his/her
ability to repay the loan.
- Review the screening and loan application forms before the site visit and
compare them to what you see and hear on site.
- Ensure that the potential client fully understands his/her future loan
obligations, especially the incentives for prompt payment and the
consequences for paying late.
- Avoid doing business with a client who is not believed to be trustworthy.
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- Seek a second opinion from a supervisor if for any reason there is doubt on a
particular business-related matter. Character and cashflow assessments
however, are the sole responsibility of the commercial officer.
- Before closing the interview, remind the applicant to visit the bank during the
week to follow up on the status of his/her application. Schedule the applicant’s
visit after the Credit Committee meeting, when all applications for the week
have been reviewed.
Repeat Loans
Repeat loans are very important because:
• If you serve clients well when they are small, you will retain them as
customers as they grow;
• The processes should be more efficient for a second loan;
• The Commercial Officer already has a relationship with client and knows the
business;
• The client is obviously satisfied with the organization or would not return for
another loan.
The Commercial officer still needs to conduct the due diligence because situations
change quickly with micro and small businesses. Also, as loans get larger, the risk to
the Bank also increases.
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3. Loan Structuring
Content
Loan structuring
The right amount of money
Size of the loan matters
Risk of too short loan terms
How to detect the borrowers need
5 key questions for commercial officers
Objective:
Make a tailor made loan proposal based on the real needs
3.1 Introduction
Most borrowers, all around the world, large or small, ask for more money and a longer
term than they really need. Taking too large of a loan is one of the major reasons for
default. Banks are often at fault for giving too large of loans to repeat customers,
without truly taking into account their ability to repay. Clients are always better at
taking money than repaying it. The challenge for a commercial officer is to identify how
much money is appropriate and how the payments should be structured. The
commercial officer should not necessarily give what the client requests, but work with
clients in making them ultimately see why proper loan structuring is better for them.
Again, the loan policy should provide clear guidelines for the commercial officer,
so that excessive discretion is not used. Exceptions to policy should be sanctioned by a
superior.
The loan size should be enough to fulfill the needs of the project, but should not be too
much so that repayment becomes unmanageable. Giving too large of a loan can put the
borrower in jeopardy. No matter how much s/he might WANT to repay, s/he may not
BE ABLE to repay.
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Does the customer WANT to repay and will the customer BE ABLE to repay.
3.5 Is it good for the customer if we give the longest term loan available
Term of the loan Giving a loan for too long a time allows the entrepreneur to use it for lots of purposes
that you may not have expected (and which may not be successful!). If their business
cycle is shorter, they may have to save up to repay the loan later on and this may be a
very difficult thing to do when they also have other, household expenses. Also,
customers pay BPR interest on the amount they have outstanding. If they can pay the
loan earlier, it will be cheaper for them!!
If they repay exactly on time, they will be able to get a larger loan the next time! It is
best to give a loan term that corresponds to the loan use. For example, shorter term
loans are better for working capital and longer term loans are more suited for buying
equipment and fixed assets.
3.6 What are the dangers of a loan with too short of a term?
Giving a loan for too short a time can mean that the entrepreneur’s repayments will be
Too short terms
too large and they will not BE ABLE to make their monthly payments.
It is the Commercial Officer’s job to match the type of business and loan to the
repayment period within the policy guidelines. Just because a bank only gives
loans for 24 months, it may not be appropriate to give a loan for building a dormitory
for this period. Giving a loan for too short a time can mean that the borrower’s
repayments will be too large and they will NOT BE ABLE to make their monthly
payments. Generally, shorter term loans are for working capital purposes, while longer
term loans are for fixed asset purposes. If there is a good business reason for an
exception to the policy, the Commercial Officer should go ahead and make the case to
his/her superior
3.7 How does the commercial officer determine the borrower’s needs
Determining borrower’s Sometimes borrowers forget to include important parts of the project. For example,
needs transport for the goods. It is the job of the commercial officer not to cut the loan to the
bare minimum, but to help the borrower determine what is best and that the project
costs are reasonable. Commercial officers should not necessarily give the loan amount
the client requests. The commercial officer should understand and check the costs of
achieving the borrower’s plan.
How does the commercial officer determine the borrower’s repayment capacity?
The repayment capacity of the borrower is proven through the use of two tools, the
Loan Appraisal Tool and Cashflow Tool, which includes the Repayment Capacity. When
structuring the loan repayment, the commercial officer must ask themselves five key
questions before proceeding with the loan repayment schedule. These questions aid in
reviewing their diligence in completing the Loan Appraisal Tool and Cashflow Tool to
make sure that all the pertinent information has been thoroughly completed and
verified internally and externally before the loan is structured.
The reader may note that potential income (with the loan) may be higher than current
and/or historical income. In our experience and according to best practices, it
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is important to look to historic cashflow, rather than only to projections that are more
subjective. This is especially important in developing (un-transparent) markets, where
assumptions can be wildly off target. Obviously, for start up businesses, this is not
possible.
For start up businesses, commercial officers should be extremely cautious and
conservative, given the higher level of risk associated with start-ups. They should base
their calculations on conservative figures from another like business, taking particular
nuances into consideration (capacity of equipment, location of business and experience
of owner, compared to the like business).
Details regarding the 5 Key Questions the commercial officers must ask themselves:
5 Key Questions 1. Are cashflow costs verified and reasonable? Answer this question while comparing
the loan with loans given to similar businesses.
One of the most important points here is to ensure that the cashflow is reasonable
(sales and expenses) and that the repayment capacity has been calculated properly. If
the cashflow is not realistic, the Commercial Officer is putting the borrower in jeopardy
of defaulting. The foundation of all the loan decisions must be made upon good,
complete information and a good cashflow.
All costs in the cashflow must be verified and reasonable, according to market prices.
Credit officers should go to the market and check current prices and also compare this
loan with other like business loans. This gives a good sense of the type of business.
After a while a Commercial Officer will know all types of businesses and common sales
prices, costs, expense categories and amounts, and equipment costs. It becomes
second nature.
2. Are the costs for producing the product or delivering the service over- or
underestimated?
This should be based on the business historical cashflow. Sometimes costs can be
difficult to determine or are left out. Some examples of typical costs not included are
administrative and sales employees’ time, transport costs and losses from items that
have been damaged. Costs must be kept conservative so that the business does not
have difficulty in repaying the loan, but not too conservative so that the business has
more cash than they know what to do with.
It may be that because the borrower wants to try something new, he needs a piece of
machinery that would not be available on the local market. Factor this in and connect it
to borrower’s experience with the business to decide; is it worth the added delivery
costs and learning to use a new machine?
Ask: Why do we not want the borrower to have too much cash on hand?
Answer: Because the borrower may take it out of the business and spend it on some
other risky venture or personal matter, putting the loan repayment at risk.
3. How long is the operating or cash cycle? Is there a cushion for a longer cash cycle?
Cash cycle: How long is the period from when a client receives the loan funds to when
they buy a product and to when cash is received from a customer who buys the
product? The cash cycle for a bakery that buys flour on a weekly basis and produces
bread daily is 1 day. A carpenter shop that produces school desks for schools might buy
the raw materials in May, make 1000 desks, and then sell them in August, resulting in a
cash cycle of 3 months. There should be a cushion in case the cash cycle is longer than
predicted. For example, if considering a trade business, then approximately 7 days is
appropriate. If considering a production or service-based business, allow for an
approximate 25% delay in the cash cycle.
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4. Does the experience of the borrower fit the loan amount, terms and project?
Look at the experience of the borrower: Should s/he take a smaller loan if this is a new
business for her/him, or if there is some change with the expansion of her/his business?
Should the Commercial Officer test the borrower and build trust and credit history
before giving a big loan?
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4. Credit Committee
Content
Credit Committee
Role of the Credit Committee
General rules for a credit committee
How to make the decisions
Objective:
Conduct a structured meeting of the Credit Committee
4.1 Introduction
We recommend that banks have a “Committee” that sits together and discusses the
loans. One purpose of this type of Credit Committee is to provide a setting where loans
are presented and can be discussed, questions answered and feedback given on the
analysis and risks presented.
Commercial officers learn new skills and what to expect by having a ”live” Credit
Committee. In this option the Credit Committee should be made up of 3–5 members to
keep the decisions quick, yet give good feedback and analysis. The Credit Committee
usually has various members for increasing levels of authority. In the case of larger
loans, the loan may be approved at the branch level and then sent to a Head Office
Credit Committee, also made up of 3–5 members, for final approval.
General Rules General rules that the Credit Committee should follow are:
• Appoint a chairperson to facilitate;
• Limit the number of loans to review in one session;
• One meeting should not be more than two hours;
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• All write-ups on loan applicants are to be received in advance;
• Start and end meeting on time;
• Set time limit expectation for presentations – five minutes;
• Standardize commercial officers’ presentations;
• If the commercial officer is not prepared, defer the loan to the next meeting
when the commercial officer is prepared;
• Save all Q&A until after the presentation;
• Limit Q&A session for each loan – ten minutes;
• Chairperson records outcome of CC and all members sign – approve, defer, or
reject with comments.
Thus, in a two hour period, the Credit Committee can review eight loans if each loan
review is not more than 15 minutes. If there are additional loans to be reviewed, they
take a break and come back. Over two hours of reviewing loans is too much time to
retain focus.
Making decisions After the presentation and discussion session, the chairman summarizes the loan
application and a vote is taken. The Credit Committee can make decisions either by a
majority vote or reaching a consensus, according to the banks policies. Decisions should
rarely be made by one member and/or “influenced” by one member (i.e., chairman or
most senior staff person).
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5. Monitoring in a nutshell
Content:
- Monitoring plan, Timely reporting, Market developments (competition, supply,
customers).
- Five reasons for monitoring a loan
- Most important factors to monitor
Objective:
Understand the importance of monitoring
5.1 Introduction
Commercial officers need to monitor regularly to:
- Remind clients of repayments that are coming due;
- Keep an eye on the clients;
- Understand the client’s business development;
- Catch problems early;
- Document information in the file;
- Marketing;
- Build the client relationship;
- Establish trust;
- Give advice (not too much!);
- Allow Managers to review portfolio information.
5 reasons for monitoring 1. To let the customer know that BPR is taking an interest in their business. The
customer should understand that repayment is important to the BANK. The relationship
should be supportive; it is in the interest of both the customer and the BANK that the
business should develop successfully;
2. To catch any potential problem early. Why?
• In case there is still time to try and work out the situation.
• BPR can act before collateral disappears.
3. To document information gained and update the credit file. Why– why?
• Recording the date of the visit helps to ensure the next visit will be made at
the necessary time.
• Good records aid quick decisions in the future.
• To help your replacement quickly understand the entire history of the loan
and easily continue the relationship with the customer, if you leave your
position, for whatever reason.
4. To conduct marketing efforts; finding other customers through current clients and
building a good name for BPR.
5. To build a relationship of trust and honesty with the client. A good relationship can
help bring in new clients (through friends of the client), encourage repeat loans,
encourage the client to repay on time and enable the Commercial Officer to better
detect if something is wrong before a loan becomes delinquent.
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The most important factors to monitor are the changes in (Pikholz, 2001):
1. Physical look of shop, raw materials, employees, etc.
2. Sales trends and inventory levels, accounts receivables and payables (if
applicable)
3. Overall cashflow (sales and expenses) compared to analysis
4. Assets and liabilities
5. Major sums in or out of the business – purchases/sales
6. Major increases/decreases in receivables, payables or inventory
7. Competition
8. Suppliers and customers
9. Collateral condition
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