Chap 3 Time Value of Money and DCF Model
Chap 3 Time Value of Money and DCF Model
Chapter Three
The Time Value of Finance
Corporate
Ross Westerfield Jaffe
Money and Discounted • •
3
Sixth Edition
Cashflow Model
Instructor: Pham Ha
3-1
Chapter Outline
Chapter Outline
$10,500 = $10,000×(1.05).
Year 0 1
3-5
PV =
value
1+ r
Where C1 is cash flow at date 1 and r is
the appropriate interest rate.
C1/(1 + r)
PV = $9,523.81 C1 = $10,000
$10,000/1.05
Year 0 1
3-7
FV = C0×(1 + r)T
$5.92 = $1.10×(1.40)5
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$1.10 (1.40) 5
$1.10 (1.40) 4
$1.10 (1.40) 3
$1.10 (1.40) 2
$1.10 (1.40)
0 1 2 3 4 5
3-13
PV $20,000
0 1 2 3 4 5
$20,000
$9,943.53 =
(1.15) 5
3-14
How Long is the Wait?
$10,000
(1.10) = T
=2
$5,000
ln( 1.10) = ln 2
T
ln 2 0.6931
T= = = 7.27 years
ln( 1.10) 0.0953
3-15
What Rate Is Enough?
Assume the total cost of a university education will be
$50,000 when your child enters university in 12 years.
You have $5,000 to invest today. What rate of interest
must you earn on your investment to cover the cost of
your child’s education? About 21.15%.
FV = C 0 (1 + r ) T
$50,000 = $5,000 (1 + r ) 12
$50,000
(1 + r ) =
12
= 10 (1 + r ) = 101 12
$5,000
r = 10
1 12
− 1 = 1.2115 − 1 = .2115
3-16
2
3-17
$70.93
(1 + EAR) =
3
$50
13
$70.93
EAR = − 1 = .1236
$50
So, investing at 12.36% compounded annually
is the same as investing at 12% compounded
semiannually.
3-19
3.4 Simplifications
• Perpetuity
– A constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever.
• Growing perpetuity
– A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate
forever.
• Annuity
– A stream of constant cash flows that lasts for a fixed
number of periods.
• Growing annuity
– A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate for a
fixed number of periods.
3-21
Perpetuity
A constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever.
C C C
…
0 1 2 3
C C C
PV = + + +
(1 + r ) (1 + r ) (1 + r )
2 3
Perpetuity: Example
What is the value of a British consol that promises to
pay £15 each year, every year until the sun turns
into a red giant and burns the planet to a crisp?
The interest rate is 10-percent.
£15
PV = = £150
.10
3-23
Growing Perpetuity
A growing stream of cash flows that lasts forever.
C C×(1+g) C ×(1+g)2
…
0 1 2 3
C C (1 + g ) C (1 + g ) 2
PV = + + +
(1 + r ) (1 + r ) 2
(1 + r ) 3
$1.30
PV = = $26.00
.10 − .05
3-25
Annuity
A constant stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity.
C C C C
0 1 2 3 T
C C C C
PV = + + +
(1 + r ) (1 + r ) (1 + r )
2 3
(1 + r )T
The formula for the present value of an annuity is:
C 1
PV = 1 − T
r (1 + r )
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Annuity: Example
If you can afford a $400 monthly car payment, how
much car can you afford if interest rates are 7% on
36-month loans?
$400 $400 $400 $400
0 1 2 3 36
$400 1
PV = 1 − 36
= $12,954.59
.07 / 12 (1 + .07 12)
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We have: 2
0.074
EAR = 1 + − 1 = .075369 = 7.5369%
2
3-29
(1 + 0.075369 )
1
12 − 1 = .00607369 = .607369 %
We use the present value of annuity formula to find
the monthly payment (PMT):
PMT 1
100,000 = 1− 300
.00607369 (1 + .00607369)
PMT = $725.28
3-30
Growing Annuity
A growing stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity.
C C×(1+g) C ×(1+g)2 C×(1+g)T-1
0 1 2 3 T
C C (1 + g ) C (1 + g )T −1
PV = + ++
(1 + r ) (1 + r ) 2
(1 + r )T
The formula for the present value of a growing annuity:
C 1+ g
T
PV = 1 −
r − g (1 + r )
3-31
Growing Annuity
A retirement plan offers to pay $20,000 per year for
40 years and increase the annual payment by 3-
percent each year. What is the present value at
retirement if the discount rate is 10-percent?
$20,000 1.03
40
PV = 1 − = $265,121.57
.10 − .03 1.10
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C 1+ g
T
Growing Annuity : PV = 1 −
r − g (1 + r )
3-35
Example 2 Continued
Example 2 Timeline
0 1 2 3 4 5
100 300
136.05
349.92
$485.97
3-40
Decisions, Decisions
• Your broker calls you and tells you that he has this great investment
opportunity. If you invest $100 today, you will receive $40 in one year
and $75 in two years. If you require a 15% return on investments of this
risk, should you take the investment?
– Use the CF keys to compute the value of the
investment
• CF; CF0 = 0; C01 = 40; F01 = 1; C02 = 75; F02 = 1
• NPV; I = 15; CPT NPV = $91.49
0 1 2 … 39 40 41 42 43 44
• Perpetuity: PV = C/r
• Annuities:
1
1 −
(1 + r ) t
PV = C
r
(1 + r ) t − 1
FV = C
r
3-48
Buying a House
• Bank loan
– Monthly income = 36,000 / 12 = $3,000
– Maximum payment = .28(3,000) = $840
– PV = 840[1 – 1/1.005360] / .005 = $140,105
• Total Price
– Legal fees = .04(140,105) = $5,604
– Deposit = 20,000 – 5604 = $14,396
– Total Price = 140,105 + 14,396 = $154,501
3-52
Annuity Due
0 1 2 3
$35,061.12
3-63
Table 3.2
3-64
Computing APRs
Things to Remember
• You ALWAYS need to make sure that the interest rate and the time
period match
– If you are looking at annual periods, you need an
annual rate
– If you are looking at monthly periods, you need a
monthly rate
• If you have an APR based on monthly compounding, you have to use
monthly periods for lump sums, or adjust the interest rate appropriately if
you have payments other than monthly
3-69
EAR – Formula
m
APR
EAR = 1 + − 1
m
Remember that the APR is the quoted
rate
3-71
Decisions, Decisions II
APR = m (1 + EAR)
1
m
-1
3-74
APR – Example
or 11.39%
3-75