Punjab Budget Analysis 2024-25
Punjab Budget Analysis 2024-25
2024-25
The Finance Minister of Punjab, Mr. Harpal Singh Cheema, presented the Budget for the state for the financial year
2024-25 on March 5, 2024.
Budget Highlights
▪ The Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) of Punjab for 2024-25 (at current prices) is projected to be
Rs 8,02,701 crore, amounting to growth of 9% over the previous year.
▪ Expenditure (excluding debt repayment) in 2024-25 is estimated to be Rs 1,35,051 crore, an increase of
4.3% over the revised estimate for 2023-24. In addition, debt of Rs 69,867 crore will be repaid by the state.
In 2023-24, as per revised estimates, expenditure (excluding debt repayment) is estimated to be Rs 1,29,450
crore, 4% lower than the budget estimate.
▪ Receipts (excluding borrowings) for 2024-25 are estimated to be Rs 1,04,586 crore, an increase of 5.5%
over the revised estimate for 2023-24. In 2023-24, as per revised estimates, receipts (excluding
borrowings) are estimated to be Rs 99,140 crore, 1% lower than the budget estimate.
▪ Revenue deficit in 2024-25 is estimated to be Rs 23,198 crore (2.9% of GSDP). In 2023-24, revenue deficit is
estimated to be Rs 23,812 crore (3.2% of GSDP), lower than the budget estimate (3.5% of GSDP).
▪ Fiscal deficit for 2024-25 is targeted at 3.8% of GSDP (Rs 30,465 crore). In 2023-24, as per the revised
estimates, fiscal deficit is expected to be 4.1% of GSDP, lower than the budget estimate (4.98% of GSDP).
Policy Highlights
▪ School Education: Mission Samrath will be launched to impart essential skills to primary and upper
primary students. 118 government schools will be transformed into Schools of Eminence, and a further 100
government senior secondary schools will be upgraded into Schools of Brilliance. For skill development,
School of Applied Learning will be set up. High-tech vocational labs will be constructed in 40 schools.
▪ Irrigation: A new Malwa canal project will be started, which will provide irrigation coverage to around
1.78 lakh acres in the districts of Bathinda, Faridkot, Ferozepur, and Muktsar.
▪ Agriculture: Punjab Horticulture Advancement and Sustainable Entrepreneurship scheme will be launched
to develop horticulture clusters in major production zones.
▪ Forestry: Human Wildlife Conflict Mitigation Scheme will be launched.
7.2%
7.1%
7.0%
8%
6.8%
6.6%
7.6% in 2023-24.
6.4%
Expenditure in 2024-25
▪ Revenue expenditure for 2024-25 is proposed to be Rs 1,27,134 crore, an increase of 4% over the revised
estimate of 2023-24. This includes the expenditure on salaries, pensions, interest, grants, and subsidies.
▪ Capital outlay for 2024-25 is proposed to be Rs 7,445 crore, an increase of 16% over the revised estimate
for 2023-24. Capital outlay indicates expenditure towards creation of assets. In 2023-24, as per revised
estimates, total capital outlay is estimated to be 38% lower than the budget estimate. Capital outlay on
roads and bridges is estimated to be Rs 900 crore lower than budgeted (42% lower). Urban development
(Rs 706 crore less), water supply and sanitation (Rs 603 crore less), and irrigation and flood control (Rs 410
crore less) are sectors with a high cut back in capital outlay as compared to the budget estimate in 2023-24.
Table 2: Expenditure budget 2024-25 (in Rs crore)
% change from % change from
2022-23 2023-24 2023-24 2024-25
Items BE 23-24 to RE RE 23-24 to BE
Actuals Budgeted Revised Budgeted
23-24 24-25
Revenue Expenditure 1,13,661 1,23,441 1,22,751 -1% 1,27,134 4%
Capital Outlay 6,667 10,355 6,406 -38% 7,445 16%
Loans given by the state 1,382 1,041 293 -72% 472 61%
Net Expenditure 1,21,710 1,34,836 1,29,450 -4% 1,35,051 4%
Sources: Annual Financial Statement, Punjab Budget 2024-25; PRS.
March 8, 2024 -2-
Punjab Budget Analysis 2024-25 PRS Legislative Research
Power Subsidy: In 2024-25, the state has estimated to spend Rs 20,200 crore towards power subsidy, which is
19% of its revenue receipts. No increase is estimated in power subsidy in 2024-25, as compared to the revised
estimate for 2023-24 as well as actuals for 2022-23. In 2021-22, the state had spent Rs 13,443 crore towards
power subsidy, which was 17% of its revenue receipts.
Sector-wise expenditure: The sectors listed below account for 52% of the total expenditure on sectors by the
state in 2024-25. See Annexure 1 for a comparison of Punjab’s expenditure on key sectors with other states.
Table 4: Sector-wise expenditure under Punjab Budget 2024-25 (in Rs crore)
% change
2022-23 2023-24 2023-24 2024-25 from RE Budget Provisions
Sector
Actuals Budgeted Revised Budgeted 23-24 to for 2024-25
BE 24-25
Education, ▪ Rs 1,593 crore has been allocated
Sports, Arts, 14,649 17,525 16,397 17,330 6% towards Samagra Shiksha Abhiyan.
and Culture
Agriculture and ▪ Rs 9,330 crore has been allocated
12,601 13,704 13,093 13,660 4% towards power subsidy to farmers.
Allied Activities
Social Welfare ▪ Rs 5,925 crore has been allocated
7,815 8,963 9,177 9,004 -2% towards social security assistance.
and Nutrition
▪ District police has been allocated Rs
Police 8,003 8,528 8,246 8,453 3% 5,325 crore.
▪ Rs 7,780 crore has been allocated
Energy 8,292 7,894 7,836 7,934 1% towards free power to domestic
consumers.
▪ Rs 961 crore has been allocated
Health and towards National Health Mission.
4,782 5,595 5,281 6,171 17%
Family Welfare ▪ Rs 249 crore has been allocated
towards Aam Aadmi Clinics.
▪ Rs 1,672 crore has been allocated
Transport 1,183 2,940 1,989 2,340 18% towards capital outlay on roads and
bridges.
▪ Rs 862 crore has been allocated
Irrigation and towards capital outlay on irrigation and
2,070 2,630 2,166 2,107 -3%
Flood Control flood control.
Water Supply ▪ Rs 620 crore has been allocated
1,463 1,987 1,432 1,549 8% towards rural water supply.
and Sanitation
▪ Rs 611 crore has been allocated for
Welfare of SC, Pradhan Mantri Adarsh Gram Yojna.
ST, OBC, and 809 1,046 1,341 1,505 12%
▪ Rs 245 crore has been allocated for post
Minorities
matric scholarship for scheduled castes.
% of total
expenditure on 51% 53% 52% 52%
all sectors
Sources: Annual Financial Statement, Punjab Budget 2024-25; PRS.
Receipts in 2024-25
▪ Total revenue receipts for 2024-25 are estimated to be Rs 1,03,936 crore, an increase of 5% over the
revised estimate for 2023-24. Of this, Rs 70,146 crore (67%) will be raised by the state through its own
resources, and Rs 33,790 crore (33%) will come from the centre. Resources from the centre will be in the
form of state’s share in central taxes (21.2% of revenue receipts) and grants (11.3% of revenue receipts).
▪ State’s own tax revenue: Punjab’s total own tax revenue is estimated to be Rs 58,900 crore in 2024-25, an
increase of 15% over the revised estimate of 2023-24. Own tax revenue as a percentage of GSDP is
estimated at 7.3% in 2024-25, higher than the revised estimate for 2023-24 (6.98% of GSDP). As per the
actual figures for 2022-23, own tax revenue was 6.3% of GSDP.
▪ State’s own non-tax revenue: In 2024-25, the state has estimated to receive Rs 11,246 crore from own
non-tax sources, an increase of 12% over the revised estimate for 2023-24. Own non-tax revenue is
estimated to increase from 0.9% of GSDP in 2022-23 to 1.4% of GSDP in both 2023-24 and 2024-25. In
2023-24, own non-tax revenue is estimated to be 28% higher than the budget estimate, mainly on account
of a higher revenue anticipated under miscellaneous general services (Rs 1,592 crore higher than budgeted).
▪ Grants from the centre in 2024-25 are estimated at Rs 11,748 crore, a decrease of 33% over the revised
estimate for 2023-24. Key reasons for decrease are discontinuation of GST compensation grants, and a
reduction in revenue deficit grants (see box below). In 2022-23, the state had received grants worth Rs
16,143 crore under these two heads, which is estimated to decline to Rs 1,995 crore in 2024-25.
Table 5: Break-up of the state government’s receipts (in Rs crore)
% change from % change from
2022-23 2023-24 2023-24 2024-25
Items BE 2023-24 to RE 2023-24 to
Actuals Budgeted Revised Budgeted
RE 2023-24 BE 2024-25
State's Own Tax 42,243 51,835 51,400 -1% 58,900 15%
State's Own Non-Tax 6,232 7,824 10,051 28% 11,246 12%
Share in Central Taxes 17,164 18,458 19,958 8% 22,041 10%
Grants-in-aid from Centre 21,977 20,735 17,530 -15% 11,748 -33%
Revenue Receipts 87,616 98,852 98,940 0% 1,03,936 5%
Non-debt Capital Receipts 164 1,200 200 -83% 650 225%
Net Receipts 87,779 1,00,052 99,140 -0.9% 1,04,586 5%
BE is Budget Estimates; RE is Revised Estimates.
Sources: Annual Financial Statement, Punjab Budget 2024-25; PRS.
Revenue deficit grant to reduce to zero in 2025-26
▪ In 2024-25, SGST is estimated to be the largest
source of own tax revenue (44% share in own tax As per the recommendations of the 15th Finance Commission, the
central government has been providing post-devolution revenue deficit
revenue). SGST revenue is estimated to increase
grants to 17 states to help eliminate revenue deficit. The Commission
by 14% over the revised estimates of 2023-24. has recommended grants worth Rs 25,968 crore for Punjab over five
SGST revenue is estimated to increase from 2.7% years, 92% of which were to be provided by 2023-24 itself.
of GSDP in 2022-23 (as per actuals) to 3.2% of
GSDP in 2024-25 (as per budget estimates). The revenue under this account was Rs 10,081 crore in 2021-22 and
Rs 8,274 crore in 2022-23, comprising 13% and 9% of revenue
▪ In 2024-25, state excise and sales tax/VAT are receipts, respectively. The grant reduces to Rs 5,618 crore in 2023-
estimated to be the next two largest sources of 24 (6% of revenue receipts), and further to Rs 1,995 crore in 2024-25
revenue after SGST. Revenue from these taxes is (2% of revenue receipts). No grants under this account will be
estimated to increase by 5% and 14%, respectively provided in 2025-26. This gap left in revenue will have to be met by
either augmenting own sources of revenue or containing expenditure.
over the revised estimates for 2023-24.
Note that Punjab has not been able to eliminate revenue deficit in any
of these years, even after accounting for these grants.
2020-21
2022-23
2024-25 BE
2025-26*
2026-27*
2023-24 RE
2025-26*
2026-27*
2019-20
2020-21
2022-23
2024-25 BE
2023-24 RE
2021-22
2021-22
Revenue Balance Fiscal Balance Note: *Figures for 2025-26 and 2026-27 are projections; Liabilities
above exclude GST compensation loans, which is to be repaid by the
Note: *Figures for 2025-26 and 2026-27 are projections. Negative
central government. RE is Revised Estimates; BE is budget
sign (-) indicates a deficit. RE is Revised Estimates; BE is budget
estimates.
estimates.
Sources: FRBM Statements, Punjab Budget 2024-25; PRS.
Sources: FRBM Statements, Punjab Budget 2024-25; PRS.
Outstanding Government Guarantees: Outstanding liabilities of states do not include a few other liabilities
that are contingent in nature, which states may have to honour in certain cases. State governments guarantee the
borrowings of State Public Sector Enterprises (SPSEs) from financial institutions. At the end of March 2024,
the state’s outstanding guarantee is estimated to be Rs 22,036 crore, which is 3% of Punjab’s GSDP in 2023-24.
75% of the total guarantee is estimated to have been extended to Punjab State Power Corporation Limited.
DISCLAIMER: This document is being furnished to you for your information. You may choose to reproduce or redistribute this report for
non-commercial purposes in part or in full to any other person with due acknowledgement of PRS Legislative Research (“PRS”). The
opinions expressed herein are entirely those of the author(s). PRS makes every effort to use reliable and comprehensive information, but
PRS does not represent that the contents of the report are accurate or complete. PRS is an independent, not-for-profit group. This document
has been prepared without regard to the objectives or opinions of those who may receive it.
March 8, 2024 -5-
Punjab Budget Analysis 2024-25 PRS Legislative Research
5% 4% 2%
2%
0% 0%
0%
2022-23
2022-23
2023-24 (RE)
2023-24 (RE)
2023-24 (BE)
2023-24 (BE)
2024-25 (BE)
2024-25 (BE)
Average of all states
2023-24 (RE)
2023-24 (BE)
2024-25 (BE)
(2023-24 BE)
(2023-24 BE)
2023-24 (RE)
2023-24 (BE)
2024-25 (BE)
Average of all states
2022-23
2022-23
2023-24 (RE)
2023-24 (RE)
2023-24 (BE)
2024-25 (BE)
2024-25 (BE)
Average of all states
2023-24 (BE)
(2023-24 BE)
(2023-24 BE)
(2023-24 BE)
Note: 2022-23, 2023-24 (BE), 2023-24 (RE), and 2024-25 (BE) figures are for Punjab.
Sources: Annual Financial Statement, Punjab Budget 2024-25; various state budgets; PRS.
1
The 31 states include the Union Territories of Delhi, Jammu and Kashmir, and Puducherry .