Probability
Probability
Konei
1 Bolalil, and{ andem evemls
r y aclen hsse Jcasulla ucoelam calbd
arcdern uperri onert 9 r a l . a c k s eult 4
Ve eocbei mer7 scaledan bulceme The sil
a l l fsssibla Dulceees an K e L M t
Tual i calla hesanpe bace h a t
sample spae . E halher
l cons
Ss e furuk sampla Apace a mam apetumoa
ano v e ulcome S
t eg ual
prebabb, a t
E e s s
PLE) nlE)
=
2ue
2"
canmet s a
e
that h alnll,
nead anshor gpuanlly (callad
llaining
peg uancH) The gutn a euei A
4ymbea3ed FCA) a d i w e z
FCA) Nurbe baals n 2shck A ecwzs
e
Prumber
a n e v e pogsurely loses eli
a ewert
ramden nis<
onds lo slabidze Omd g e m i a l approachu a
contamt ralue. n toms egucorCy, pretabeil
fegaoo2ca, prelalriuly
may be dhneo a s PCA) um
M
M = nlo oMals muht in A OCt
NaN
ere M umber r u a l s tni bch A eceurs
N otal imber uals
ermbe nalezi l u e e l
PCA)
ns)
PCB)-4 PCANB) -2
nls) nCs)
Fnen the kgue t a cleas S
A
ahat CAu o)= 6-3)
n
+3+3)
PCAUB) = n (AUB
(s) (s)
P(An6)
cclusue eutn
Nt-4 A amdB aee mulua
.PCANB) = (An8) = O
n(S)
PAne) = PCA)+PG)
Som al
Vaniamce Ds persLeN
LErelims
a varualla
2wllxespect ta
mam value. ThL divalen a ariab
prom l ma a l u *
vakue Jhe meam tthus
dewraluer 2utuld ke
mian
Jhus
divralle dss mst
hole us
:(-)
Sn a di oreli vawiable
* s z = z PCx) (Ar)2
J a cenünsus vwuiatk
* Pa). =)*.de
W: slanclard devralien (ahe calles"reol maam
9 a r e deuralien) gwen y e s9roe ro
h e vauale
[ -(a)*7a
Binemial Biibulen
samnpla apaca S eolaur
Sr a BmDell ual, e
eocac Lws ilcemes
eoeplrmerd ewhera csim4
ate
Zl us criiee an
2 HH,HTT
TH, TT
99
HHR, HHT ,39
HTH, THH
HTT, THT
TTH, TT
cslumn
larly, h eremns n e olh 22
iliuali will
Zssued h
Thereora,csmg 7
au
e symbslized by4+9)
2 72-2
9+f4+nln-)
+
2
bmemal lUicwtemm
J u l l s amalo9, 2vil celumr
he hibu'bulen g e wohe uu
callid r o n e a l disbebulwn
-)
JBit
oc! (n-)!
.
a P)
as + =I
Thue ual
Cohgasfe h a . e derolprx mian 2nluek
c l(n-x)
-
(n-x)
a)
el (n-a) -
( n -)
x!-)
n
t)r)-()6-9
0-1
) n p+9)
(u o]
al cdil balor
)
Sandard durcaher
2 45 7
cutue ard
large, e sebbe
when n vy
Fe4nuooh cuue
ecome ndas le rquiskele
Then , T2can be eurned ly enlegrakri i
nnn t
we c a n rezlict
wh
ulor: 11
small (ie ) , z)
aj c 71) U) f vey
(72-)
Exppamdh 2U
nq n 1-lrp lnp
oerrua olazibul+em beceres
PCa) = n
PCa)CP ! (n-)|
(n -zt) L*
b(7-*
(n-) . .
cohyre m =n
Pa)
S
3 x312 Jhs s
Poissen o l i l l a l u e
32
an Poessem o e i b e i l e r n
PO)
ruedioi =
y olel
meam
2 (2-1)
( )
= p
2
Varuanuce, a Pocss v e dibubulen
2
3t d >ruler VauLame
2
m P
2c )
= eC-)
o-2)
-2)
+m
3ut 2
Vanamea
NemaL ( yaussa)Dieulreuliern
paramelve te and l
mal Vubndee, w
(x)
O
Man h e miapovnt
(2) Jo nvvmal diibubuhem meam = madan made.
(3) The mumal cwwwe vctinal nf rily 2 e t
he - aeis
ouchamg
(4) The ewwe g closur amal clswe e
mos
-aris as it
owayrem e meam
() The oal a e a
unclvr he cwwe s lakem as "" The
mean duinds hui arua imlo 2qral
(6) The ales.
brebalilil pueperdenal ls e aea
()
6rube3 -u knnon as stöndard
(8) r a amdoncl nwemal aualle mRar =
0_ amd
andarrd devralee isI
() Abua umdee he cwwe
awa
m - te 0 t O.5 amd The
em 0 to o
alse O. 5
amd slardard devrali8
Meam a Nomal 2sri bule
Meam
-4(
t 2
Mepn-
leam
et t) a l t
tow24y)e"t'at
TT
O
77 (
aua cc
Normal Diabuhn
A)
ott= -
T 4 lt t 2/2ust
26
+o + 2
t
T 2tdt
erj
t a t
+ 26/
NTT
uamce
Slandavaderalen
(1
be
Morkelf, m
roblem, os solved hy c v l a v e la m
slalis as drurhatd alarls rom a
prwcadeng A5
a m as cenpletely mdependert e he
a t the ebuunkeard oflii d
ahat i he ralabill, d r u t n a l e r m 2ukhuh
v l l eeach his
taerN stops
a dislance frerr e lamp post
random ds plocomenls (g
parlicle aundergoeng hysicalslual
olerr)
a
2onul Zalis
Breruar dumkarads
ovemmemli
Pala le a
A u c c s L U n e
degir? e reghl
ausbacerenlá
t he bR
e
amd lept be aml 2 apecluwel
N = ntN2
The met iplacamal (sa4) he
m.l (n,- ) l = -7.)) l = 2r-N)l
ht relabibihat aliblaeernar.Z i s e
be
ns, i frobalill, hat dipla cerert i i l i
agh; q
andr, lë
The prebal.z n, sltps
bo e rujlt
h umber dihnct osiillas ti N
mn
Iovut,-72
ama n,= N +m
hu he robatillg hal arti ch will b
alir N diplaceoxensl gwee l
N
N
( N2 )
h e neomalizng censlar
on ( )
i n g s mula, we get
n Pm.) nc + N&N -N -
N n 2
()(Nt+(N)
()+ )
Plm. 2)=n e +N r N -
Ki N Lr2
-
N+ nN t N
- ( N - ) n (n-g
nN-
n P m L) = n EN
N +m)
N+m N-9
PCm)= NEL 2 )
N+m