ACTIVITY (Conditional Probability)
ACTIVITY (Conditional Probability)
P2. In a class of 30 students, 18 play basketball and 12 play football. If 6 students play
both sports, what is the probability that a randomly selected student plays basketball,
given that they play football?
P3. A bag contains 5 red marbles, 3 blue marbles, and 2 green marbles. Two marbles
are drawn without replacement. What is the probability that the second marble is blue,
given that the first marble drawn was red?
P4. A manufacturing process produces 5% defective items. The quality control system
detects 98% of defective items and 3% of non-defective items are incorrectly identified
as defective. If an item is identified as defective by the quality control system, what is
the probability that it is actually defective?
P5. A family has two children. Given that at least one of the children is a boy, what is
the probability that both children are boys? Assume that the probability of having a boy
or a girl is equal.
P6. In a certain population, 10% of people have a particular disease. A test for this
disease correctly identifies 95% of people who have the disease (true positives) and
90% of people who don’t have the disease (true negatives). If a person tests positive,
what is the probability that they actually have the disease?
P7. A software has three modules: A, B, and C. The probabilities of a bug being in these
modules are 0.3, 0.4, and 0.3 respectively. If a bug is found in module A, the probability
of it affecting module B is 0.2 and module C is 0.1. What is the probability that a bug
affects both modules A and B?
P8. In a group of 100 people, 60 speak English, 40 speak French, and 20 speak both
languages. If a person is selected at random and is known to speak French, what is the
probability that they also speak English?
P9. A student has to answer 3 out of 5 questions on an exam. The student knows the
answers to 3 questions for sure, has a 50% chance of answering the 4th question
correctly, and doesn’t know the answer to the 5th question at all. If the student answers
a question correctly, what is the probability that it was one of the questions they knew
for sure?
P10. A biased coin has a 60% chance of landing heads. It is flipped twice. Given that at
least one of the flips resulted in heads, what is the probability that both flips resulted in
heads?